Opinion Poll by YouGov, 4–5 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.4% 45.9–48.9% 45.5–49.3% 45.2–49.6% 44.5–50.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 25.3% 24.0–26.6% 23.7–26.9% 23.4–27.3% 22.8–27.9%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.6% 10.7–12.6% 10.5–12.9% 10.2–13.1% 9.8–13.6%
Green Party 2.8% 5.8% 5.1–6.5% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–6.9% 4.5–7.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 4.2% 3.7–4.9% 3.5–5.1% 3.4–5.2% 3.2–5.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.7% 3.2–4.3% 3.0–4.5% 2.9–4.6% 2.7–4.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.8–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 394 377–413 371–421 367–428 361–440
Conservative Party 365 142 122–161 112–166 103–172 90–181
Liberal Democrats 11 37 30–47 26–49 25–51 22–53
Green Party 1 1 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 51 41–56 40–57 38–57 34–58
Brexit Party 0 0 0–2 0–3 0–3 0–3
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–5 4–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.2% 99.5%  
362 0.2% 99.3%  
363 0.2% 99.1%  
364 0.3% 98.9%  
365 0.4% 98.7%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.4% 97%  
369 1.0% 97%  
370 0.8% 96%  
371 0.6% 95%  
372 0.4% 95%  
373 0.5% 94%  
374 2% 94%  
375 0.6% 92%  
376 1.2% 92%  
377 0.9% 90%  
378 1.3% 89%  
379 1.4% 88%  
380 1.0% 87%  
381 0.8% 86%  
382 0.9% 85%  
383 2% 84%  
384 3% 82%  
385 4% 79%  
386 3% 76%  
387 3% 73%  
388 5% 70%  
389 2% 65%  
390 2% 63%  
391 3% 62%  
392 4% 58%  
393 4% 54%  
394 1.4% 50% Median
395 3% 49%  
396 2% 45%  
397 3% 43%  
398 4% 40%  
399 2% 36%  
400 2% 34%  
401 2% 32%  
402 2% 29%  
403 3% 28%  
404 2% 25%  
405 4% 23%  
406 2% 20%  
407 1.0% 18%  
408 1.0% 17%  
409 0.8% 16%  
410 1.1% 15%  
411 3% 14%  
412 0.7% 11%  
413 0.8% 11%  
414 1.4% 10%  
415 0.8% 8%  
416 0.2% 8%  
417 0.8% 7%  
418 0.7% 7%  
419 0.6% 6%  
420 0.4% 5%  
421 0.3% 5%  
422 0.2% 5%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.5% 4%  
425 0.2% 4%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.5% 3%  
428 0.4% 3%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.4% 2%  
434 0.2% 1.4%  
435 0.1% 1.2%  
436 0.2% 1.0%  
437 0% 0.8%  
438 0.1% 0.8%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.2% 0.5%  
441 0.1% 0.4%  
442 0% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 99.1%  
96 0.2% 99.0%  
97 0.1% 98.8%  
98 0.3% 98.8%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.3% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.1% 98%  
104 0.1% 97%  
105 0.1% 97%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.5% 97%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.3% 96%  
110 0.4% 96%  
111 0.3% 95%  
112 0.8% 95%  
113 0.1% 94%  
114 0.3% 94%  
115 0.2% 94%  
116 0.3% 94%  
117 0.5% 93%  
118 1.2% 93%  
119 0.5% 92%  
120 0.7% 91%  
121 0.5% 91%  
122 0.4% 90%  
123 0.9% 90%  
124 0.8% 89%  
125 1.5% 88%  
126 1.3% 86%  
127 1.1% 85%  
128 1.4% 84%  
129 2% 83%  
130 2% 81%  
131 2% 78%  
132 1.5% 76%  
133 2% 75%  
134 4% 73%  
135 3% 69%  
136 2% 66%  
137 2% 64%  
138 3% 62%  
139 2% 60%  
140 3% 57%  
141 3% 55%  
142 2% 52% Median
143 4% 49%  
144 5% 45%  
145 1.2% 40%  
146 3% 38%  
147 3% 36%  
148 3% 33%  
149 1.2% 30%  
150 4% 29%  
151 2% 24%  
152 2% 22%  
153 0.5% 20%  
154 1.1% 20%  
155 3% 19%  
156 1.3% 16%  
157 0.4% 14%  
158 0.4% 14%  
159 1.3% 13%  
160 0.6% 12%  
161 2% 11%  
162 1.4% 10%  
163 0.6% 8%  
164 0.7% 8%  
165 1.3% 7%  
166 0.8% 6%  
167 0.5% 5%  
168 0.4% 4%  
169 0.7% 4%  
170 0.3% 3%  
171 0.3% 3%  
172 0.5% 3%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 0.5% 99.6%  
23 0.7% 99.1%  
24 0.4% 98%  
25 1.4% 98%  
26 2% 97%  
27 2% 95%  
28 2% 93%  
29 1.1% 91%  
30 1.3% 90%  
31 2% 89%  
32 2% 87%  
33 6% 86%  
34 6% 80%  
35 8% 74%  
36 7% 66%  
37 11% 59% Median
38 10% 48%  
39 8% 38%  
40 7% 31%  
41 3% 24%  
42 3% 21%  
43 2% 17%  
44 1.1% 16%  
45 1.2% 14%  
46 2% 13%  
47 2% 11%  
48 3% 9%  
49 2% 6%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.4% 3%  
52 0.8% 1.4%  
53 0.2% 0.5%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 63% 100% Last Result, Median
2 19% 37%  
3 18% 18%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.6% 99.9%  
35 0.1% 99.3%  
36 0.9% 99.2%  
37 0.1% 98%  
38 2% 98%  
39 0.4% 96%  
40 3% 96%  
41 9% 92%  
42 2% 84%  
43 6% 82%  
44 2% 76%  
45 3% 73%  
46 3% 70%  
47 1.3% 67%  
48 4% 66% Last Result
49 3% 62%  
50 6% 60%  
51 9% 54% Median
52 11% 45%  
53 12% 34%  
54 4% 21%  
55 4% 17%  
56 6% 13%  
57 4% 6%  
58 2% 2%  
59 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 60% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 40%  
2 22% 31%  
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.4% 100%  
4 7% 99.6% Last Result
5 91% 93% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 487 100% 468–508 462–517 457–525 448–538
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 486 100% 467–506 461–515 456–524 446–536
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 481 100% 462–501 456–510 451–519 442–531
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 449 100% 432–465 427–472 423–482 417–491
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 444 100% 427–460 422–467 418–477 412–486
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 436 100% 415–460 409–469 405–476 394–490
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 431 100% 410–455 404–464 400–471 389–485
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 399 100% 382–418 376–425 372–433 366–445
Labour Party 202 394 100% 377–413 371–421 367–428 361–440
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 197 0% 173–217 164–223 155–227 142–238
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 192 0% 168–213 159–218 150–222 137–233
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 179 0% 162–195 156–200 146–204 136–210
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 147 0% 126–166 117–171 108–177 95–186
Conservative Party 365 142 0% 122–161 112–166 103–172 90–181

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0.2% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.5%  
449 0.1% 99.5%  
450 0.2% 99.4%  
451 0.1% 99.2%  
452 0.2% 99.1%  
453 0.2% 98.9%  
454 0.3% 98.7%  
455 0.3% 98%  
456 0.5% 98%  
457 0.2% 98%  
458 0.3% 97%  
459 0.4% 97%  
460 0.3% 97%  
461 0.8% 96%  
462 0.6% 95%  
463 0.6% 95%  
464 0.6% 94%  
465 1.4% 94%  
466 0.9% 92%  
467 1.1% 91%  
468 1.0% 90%  
469 2% 89%  
470 0.5% 87%  
471 0.8% 87%  
472 1.2% 86%  
473 0.7% 85%  
474 1.0% 84%  
475 3% 83%  
476 1.3% 80%  
477 1.2% 79%  
478 3% 78%  
479 2% 75%  
480 4% 73%  
481 2% 70%  
482 3% 67%  
483 2% 64%  
484 2% 62%  
485 4% 60%  
486 3% 56%  
487 4% 53%  
488 3% 49% Median
489 3% 46%  
490 2% 43%  
491 2% 41%  
492 3% 39%  
493 1.3% 35%  
494 2% 34%  
495 3% 32%  
496 4% 29%  
497 1.5% 25%  
498 0.8% 24%  
499 3% 23%  
500 2% 20%  
501 1.1% 18%  
502 2% 17%  
503 1.1% 15%  
504 1.4% 14%  
505 1.1% 13%  
506 0.7% 12%  
507 0.9% 11%  
508 0.3% 10%  
509 0.7% 10%  
510 0.6% 9%  
511 0.5% 8%  
512 1.2% 8%  
513 0.4% 7%  
514 0.3% 6%  
515 0.2% 6%  
516 0.6% 6%  
517 0.4% 5%  
518 0.2% 5%  
519 0.3% 5%  
520 0.4% 4%  
521 0.2% 4%  
522 0.5% 4%  
523 0.5% 3%  
524 0.1% 3%  
525 0.1% 3%  
526 0.3% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.1% 2%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.2% 2%  
531 0.4% 2%  
532 0.1% 1.1%  
533 0.1% 1.0%  
534 0.1% 0.9%  
535 0.1% 0.8%  
536 0.2% 0.7%  
537 0.1% 0.6%  
538 0.1% 0.5%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.4%  
541 0.1% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0.1% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0.1% 99.7%  
446 0.1% 99.6%  
447 0.1% 99.5%  
448 0.1% 99.4%  
449 0.2% 99.4%  
450 0.2% 99.2%  
451 0.2% 99.0%  
452 0.2% 98.8%  
453 0.3% 98.6%  
454 0.4% 98%  
455 0.4% 98%  
456 0.3% 98%  
457 0.3% 97%  
458 0.5% 97%  
459 0.3% 96%  
460 0.9% 96%  
461 0.9% 95%  
462 0.5% 94%  
463 0.3% 94%  
464 2% 94%  
465 1.0% 92%  
466 1.0% 91%  
467 1.2% 90%  
468 2% 89%  
469 0.7% 87%  
470 0.7% 86%  
471 1.4% 86%  
472 0.7% 84%  
473 0.9% 84%  
474 3% 83%  
475 2% 80%  
476 1.0% 77%  
477 2% 76%  
478 2% 74%  
479 3% 72%  
480 2% 68%  
481 4% 66%  
482 2% 63%  
483 1.3% 60%  
484 4% 59%  
485 4% 55%  
486 3% 51%  
487 3% 47% Median
488 3% 44%  
489 2% 41%  
490 2% 39%  
491 3% 37%  
492 2% 34%  
493 1.4% 33%  
494 5% 31%  
495 2% 27%  
496 1.3% 24%  
497 1.3% 23%  
498 2% 22%  
499 3% 20%  
500 2% 17%  
501 0.7% 15%  
502 0.9% 14%  
503 1.3% 14%  
504 1.1% 12%  
505 1.0% 11%  
506 0.2% 10%  
507 0.5% 10%  
508 0.7% 9%  
509 0.6% 9%  
510 2% 8%  
511 0.3% 7%  
512 0.2% 6%  
513 0.4% 6%  
514 0.8% 6%  
515 0.1% 5%  
516 0.3% 5%  
517 0.2% 5%  
518 0.5% 4%  
519 0.2% 4%  
520 0.5% 4%  
521 0.5% 3%  
522 0.1% 3%  
523 0.1% 3%  
524 0.1% 3%  
525 0.4% 2%  
526 0.2% 2%  
527 0.1% 2%  
528 0.1% 2%  
529 0.4% 2%  
530 0.2% 1.2%  
531 0.1% 1.0%  
532 0.1% 0.9%  
533 0.1% 0.8%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.6%  
536 0.1% 0.5%  
537 0% 0.4%  
538 0.1% 0.4%  
539 0.1% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0.1% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0.1% 99.9%  
439 0.1% 99.8%  
440 0.1% 99.7%  
441 0.2% 99.7%  
442 0.1% 99.5%  
443 0.1% 99.4%  
444 0.2% 99.4%  
445 0.1% 99.2%  
446 0.2% 99.0%  
447 0.2% 98.8%  
448 0.4% 98.6%  
449 0.4% 98%  
450 0.4% 98%  
451 0.3% 98%  
452 0.2% 97%  
453 0.5% 97%  
454 0.3% 96%  
455 0.8% 96%  
456 0.9% 95%  
457 0.6% 94%  
458 0.3% 94%  
459 1.5% 94%  
460 0.9% 92%  
461 1.1% 91%  
462 1.1% 90%  
463 2% 89%  
464 0.7% 87%  
465 0.7% 86%  
466 1.5% 86%  
467 0.6% 84%  
468 1.0% 84%  
469 3% 83%  
470 2% 80%  
471 1.2% 77%  
472 2% 76%  
473 2% 74%  
474 3% 72%  
475 2% 69%  
476 4% 66%  
477 3% 63%  
478 1.3% 60%  
479 4% 59%  
480 3% 55%  
481 3% 51%  
482 3% 48% Median
483 3% 44%  
484 2% 41%  
485 3% 39%  
486 2% 37%  
487 2% 35%  
488 2% 33%  
489 5% 31%  
490 2% 27%  
491 1.3% 24%  
492 1.3% 23%  
493 2% 22%  
494 3% 20%  
495 2% 17%  
496 0.8% 15%  
497 0.9% 14%  
498 1.3% 14%  
499 1.1% 12%  
500 0.9% 11%  
501 0.3% 10%  
502 0.5% 10%  
503 0.7% 9%  
504 0.6% 9%  
505 1.4% 8%  
506 0.4% 7%  
507 0.3% 6%  
508 0.4% 6%  
509 0.8% 6%  
510 0.1% 5%  
511 0.3% 5%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.5% 4%  
514 0.2% 4%  
515 0.6% 4%  
516 0.5% 3%  
517 0.1% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.1% 3%  
520 0.3% 2%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.4% 2%  
525 0.2% 1.2%  
526 0.1% 1.0%  
527 0.1% 0.9%  
528 0.1% 0.8%  
529 0.1% 0.8%  
530 0.1% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.5%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0.1% 0.4%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0.1% 99.9%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.2% 99.6%  
418 0.2% 99.4%  
419 0.3% 99.2%  
420 0.3% 98.9%  
421 0.3% 98.6%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.6% 98%  
424 0.5% 97%  
425 0.5% 97%  
426 0.8% 96%  
427 1.1% 96%  
428 0.8% 95%  
429 1.0% 94%  
430 0.6% 93%  
431 2% 92%  
432 0.8% 90%  
433 1.0% 89%  
434 1.3% 88%  
435 1.0% 87%  
436 0.8% 86%  
437 3% 85%  
438 1.4% 83%  
439 1.3% 81%  
440 2% 80%  
441 3% 78%  
442 4% 75%  
443 3% 70%  
444 3% 67%  
445 3% 65%  
446 3% 62%  
447 4% 58%  
448 4% 54%  
449 5% 50%  
450 3% 45% Median
451 4% 42%  
452 4% 38%  
453 2% 34%  
454 4% 32%  
455 1.4% 28%  
456 3% 27%  
457 3% 24%  
458 1.2% 21%  
459 1.5% 20%  
460 3% 18%  
461 1.0% 15%  
462 1.0% 15%  
463 2% 13%  
464 1.1% 12%  
465 0.6% 10%  
466 1.3% 10%  
467 1.0% 9%  
468 0.8% 8%  
469 0.5% 7%  
470 0.9% 6%  
471 0.3% 5%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.3% 5%  
474 0.1% 4%  
475 0.2% 4%  
476 0.1% 4%  
477 0.1% 4%  
478 0.3% 4%  
479 0.4% 4%  
480 0.5% 3%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0.5% 3%  
483 0.4% 2%  
484 0.1% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.2% 1.4%  
487 0.2% 1.2%  
488 0.1% 1.0%  
489 0.3% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.6%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0.1% 99.9%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.2% 99.6%  
413 0.2% 99.4%  
414 0.3% 99.2%  
415 0.3% 98.9%  
416 0.3% 98.6%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.6% 98%  
419 0.4% 97%  
420 0.5% 97%  
421 0.9% 96%  
422 1.1% 96%  
423 0.8% 95%  
424 1.0% 94%  
425 0.6% 93%  
426 2% 92%  
427 0.9% 90%  
428 1.0% 89%  
429 1.2% 88%  
430 1.0% 87%  
431 0.9% 86%  
432 3% 85%  
433 1.3% 83%  
434 1.3% 81%  
435 2% 80%  
436 3% 78%  
437 5% 75%  
438 3% 70%  
439 2% 68%  
440 3% 65%  
441 4% 62%  
442 4% 59%  
443 4% 55%  
444 5% 51%  
445 3% 45% Median
446 4% 42%  
447 4% 38%  
448 2% 34%  
449 3% 32%  
450 2% 29%  
451 3% 27%  
452 3% 24%  
453 1.1% 21%  
454 1.5% 20%  
455 3% 18%  
456 1.1% 16%  
457 0.9% 15%  
458 2% 14%  
459 1.0% 12%  
460 0.7% 11%  
461 1.3% 10%  
462 0.9% 9%  
463 0.8% 8%  
464 0.5% 7%  
465 0.9% 6%  
466 0.4% 5%  
467 0.3% 5%  
468 0.3% 5%  
469 0.1% 4%  
470 0.2% 4%  
471 0.1% 4%  
472 0.1% 4%  
473 0.3% 4%  
474 0.4% 4%  
475 0.4% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.5% 3%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.2% 1.4%  
482 0.2% 1.2%  
483 0.1% 1.0%  
484 0.3% 0.9%  
485 0.1% 0.6%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.7%  
394 0.2% 99.7%  
395 0.2% 99.5%  
396 0.1% 99.3%  
397 0.3% 99.2%  
398 0.2% 98.9%  
399 0.2% 98.7%  
400 0.1% 98%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0.1% 98%  
403 0.1% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.5% 97%  
408 0.8% 97%  
409 0.9% 96%  
410 0.4% 95%  
411 0.4% 94%  
412 1.4% 94%  
413 1.0% 93%  
414 1.1% 92%  
415 0.6% 91%  
416 2% 90%  
417 0.8% 88%  
418 1.5% 88%  
419 1.2% 86%  
420 0.8% 85%  
421 1.0% 84%  
422 1.4% 83%  
423 1.3% 82%  
424 0.6% 80%  
425 0.7% 80%  
426 3% 79%  
427 2% 76%  
428 4% 74%  
429 2% 70%  
430 4% 68%  
431 2% 64%  
432 4% 62%  
433 4% 58%  
434 2% 55%  
435 2% 52%  
436 1.1% 51% Median
437 2% 50%  
438 1.1% 47%  
439 2% 46%  
440 3% 45%  
441 3% 42%  
442 2% 38%  
443 2% 37%  
444 4% 34%  
445 2% 31%  
446 3% 29%  
447 2% 26%  
448 1.0% 24%  
449 1.5% 23%  
450 0.9% 22%  
451 0.8% 21%  
452 1.3% 20%  
453 0.9% 19%  
454 1.1% 18%  
455 1.0% 17%  
456 0.9% 16%  
457 0.9% 15%  
458 2% 14%  
459 2% 12%  
460 0.9% 10%  
461 0.8% 9%  
462 0.2% 8%  
463 1.1% 8%  
464 0.9% 7%  
465 0.5% 6%  
466 0.3% 6%  
467 0.2% 5%  
468 0.2% 5%  
469 0.5% 5%  
470 0.6% 5%  
471 0.4% 4%  
472 0.1% 4%  
473 0.1% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.3% 3%  
476 0.3% 3%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.1% 1.4%  
485 0.1% 1.3%  
486 0.1% 1.3%  
487 0.1% 1.2%  
488 0.5% 1.1%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.2% 99.7%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.1% 99.3%  
392 0.3% 99.2%  
393 0.2% 98.9%  
394 0.3% 98.7%  
395 0.1% 98%  
396 0.1% 98%  
397 0.1% 98%  
398 0.1% 98%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.3% 98%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.5% 97%  
403 0.8% 97%  
404 0.9% 96%  
405 0.4% 95%  
406 0.5% 94%  
407 1.3% 94%  
408 1.1% 93%  
409 1.0% 92%  
410 0.7% 91%  
411 1.5% 90%  
412 0.9% 88%  
413 1.4% 88%  
414 1.2% 86%  
415 0.8% 85%  
416 1.0% 84%  
417 1.4% 83%  
418 1.3% 82%  
419 0.6% 80%  
420 0.7% 80%  
421 3% 79%  
422 2% 76%  
423 3% 74%  
424 3% 71%  
425 3% 68%  
426 2% 65%  
427 4% 62%  
428 4% 58%  
429 2% 55%  
430 2% 53%  
431 1.0% 51% Median
432 2% 50%  
433 2% 48%  
434 2% 46%  
435 3% 45%  
436 4% 42%  
437 2% 39%  
438 2% 37%  
439 3% 34%  
440 2% 31%  
441 3% 29%  
442 2% 26%  
443 1.0% 24%  
444 1.5% 23%  
445 1.0% 22%  
446 0.6% 21%  
447 1.3% 20%  
448 1.0% 19%  
449 1.0% 18%  
450 0.8% 17%  
451 1.2% 16%  
452 0.7% 15%  
453 2% 14%  
454 1.4% 12%  
455 1.0% 10%  
456 0.8% 9%  
457 0.3% 9%  
458 1.1% 8%  
459 0.9% 7%  
460 0.5% 6%  
461 0.3% 6%  
462 0.2% 5%  
463 0.2% 5%  
464 0.5% 5%  
465 0.6% 5%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.1% 4%  
468 0.1% 3%  
469 0.2% 3%  
470 0.3% 3%  
471 0.3% 3%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.2% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.1% 1.4%  
480 0.1% 1.4%  
481 0.1% 1.3%  
482 0.1% 1.2%  
483 0.4% 1.1%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.4%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.7%  
365 0.1% 99.6%  
366 0.2% 99.5%  
367 0.2% 99.3%  
368 0.2% 99.1%  
369 0.3% 98.9%  
370 0.4% 98.7%  
371 0.4% 98%  
372 0.5% 98%  
373 0.4% 97%  
374 1.0% 97%  
375 0.8% 96%  
376 0.6% 95%  
377 0.4% 95%  
378 0.5% 94%  
379 2% 94%  
380 0.6% 92%  
381 1.2% 92%  
382 0.9% 90%  
383 1.2% 89%  
384 1.5% 88%  
385 1.0% 87%  
386 0.9% 86%  
387 0.9% 85%  
388 2% 84%  
389 3% 82%  
390 3% 79%  
391 3% 76%  
392 3% 73%  
393 5% 70%  
394 2% 65%  
395 1.4% 63%  
396 3% 62%  
397 4% 58%  
398 4% 54%  
399 2% 50% Median
400 3% 48%  
401 3% 45%  
402 3% 43%  
403 4% 40%  
404 1.3% 35%  
405 2% 34%  
406 3% 32%  
407 1.4% 29%  
408 2% 28%  
409 3% 25%  
410 3% 23%  
411 2% 20%  
412 0.8% 17%  
413 1.0% 17%  
414 0.7% 16%  
415 1.3% 15%  
416 2% 14%  
417 0.8% 11%  
418 1.1% 11%  
419 1.0% 9%  
420 0.8% 8%  
421 0.2% 8%  
422 0.8% 7%  
423 0.8% 7%  
424 0.5% 6%  
425 0.4% 5%  
426 0.3% 5%  
427 0.2% 5%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.5% 4%  
430 0.2% 4%  
431 0.2% 3%  
432 0.5% 3%  
433 0.4% 3%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.1% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.4% 2%  
439 0.2% 1.4%  
440 0.1% 1.1%  
441 0.2% 1.0%  
442 0.1% 0.8%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.2% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.2% 99.5%  
362 0.2% 99.3%  
363 0.2% 99.1%  
364 0.3% 98.9%  
365 0.4% 98.7%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.4% 98%  
368 0.4% 97%  
369 1.0% 97%  
370 0.8% 96%  
371 0.6% 95%  
372 0.4% 95%  
373 0.5% 94%  
374 2% 94%  
375 0.6% 92%  
376 1.2% 92%  
377 0.9% 90%  
378 1.3% 89%  
379 1.4% 88%  
380 1.0% 87%  
381 0.8% 86%  
382 0.9% 85%  
383 2% 84%  
384 3% 82%  
385 4% 79%  
386 3% 76%  
387 3% 73%  
388 5% 70%  
389 2% 65%  
390 2% 63%  
391 3% 62%  
392 4% 58%  
393 4% 54%  
394 1.4% 50% Median
395 3% 49%  
396 2% 45%  
397 3% 43%  
398 4% 40%  
399 2% 36%  
400 2% 34%  
401 2% 32%  
402 2% 29%  
403 3% 28%  
404 2% 25%  
405 4% 23%  
406 2% 20%  
407 1.0% 18%  
408 1.0% 17%  
409 0.8% 16%  
410 1.1% 15%  
411 3% 14%  
412 0.7% 11%  
413 0.8% 11%  
414 1.4% 10%  
415 0.8% 8%  
416 0.2% 8%  
417 0.8% 7%  
418 0.7% 7%  
419 0.6% 6%  
420 0.4% 5%  
421 0.3% 5%  
422 0.2% 5%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.5% 4%  
425 0.2% 4%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.5% 3%  
428 0.4% 3%  
429 0.2% 2%  
430 0.1% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.4% 2%  
434 0.2% 1.4%  
435 0.1% 1.2%  
436 0.2% 1.0%  
437 0% 0.8%  
438 0.1% 0.8%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.2% 0.5%  
441 0.1% 0.4%  
442 0% 0.3%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0.1% 99.8%  
136 0.1% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0.1% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.6%  
141 0% 99.6%  
142 0.2% 99.5%  
143 0% 99.4%  
144 0.4% 99.3%  
145 0% 98.9%  
146 0.2% 98.9%  
147 0.1% 98.7%  
148 0.1% 98.6%  
149 0.1% 98%  
150 0.1% 98%  
151 0.1% 98%  
152 0.2% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.4% 98%  
156 0.1% 97%  
157 0.3% 97%  
158 0.1% 97%  
159 0.1% 97%  
160 0.3% 97%  
161 0.1% 96%  
162 0.7% 96%  
163 0.3% 96%  
164 0.5% 95%  
165 0.2% 95%  
166 0.2% 95%  
167 0.9% 94%  
168 0.5% 93%  
169 0.7% 93%  
170 0.2% 92%  
171 1.1% 92%  
172 0.4% 91%  
173 1.2% 91%  
174 2% 89%  
175 1.2% 88%  
176 1.4% 87%  
177 0.8% 85%  
178 1.1% 84%  
179 2% 83%  
180 0.8% 82%  
181 1.1% 81%  
182 2% 80%  
183 0.5% 78%  
184 1.2% 78%  
185 1.2% 76%  
186 2% 75%  
187 2% 73%  
188 2% 71%  
189 3% 68%  
190 3% 65%  
191 2% 62%  
192 3% 60%  
193 3% 57%  
194 1.0% 54%  
195 2% 53%  
196 1.4% 51%  
197 2% 50%  
198 1.4% 48% Median
199 4% 47%  
200 2% 43%  
201 5% 41%  
202 2% 36%  
203 3% 34%  
204 4% 31%  
205 3% 28%  
206 2% 25%  
207 0.9% 23%  
208 3% 22%  
209 1.1% 19%  
210 0.9% 18%  
211 0.8% 17%  
212 1.1% 16%  
213 0.9% 15%  
214 1.1% 14%  
215 1.3% 13%  
216 1.1% 12%  
217 0.9% 11%  
218 0.9% 10%  
219 1.2% 9%  
220 1.1% 8%  
221 0.6% 7%  
222 1.1% 6%  
223 0.8% 5%  
224 0.3% 4%  
225 0.4% 4%  
226 0.6% 3%  
227 0.5% 3%  
228 0.2% 2%  
229 0.2% 2%  
230 0.2% 2%  
231 0.1% 2%  
232 0.2% 2%  
233 0.1% 2%  
234 0.2% 1.4%  
235 0.2% 1.2%  
236 0.3% 1.0%  
237 0.2% 0.8%  
238 0.2% 0.6%  
239 0.1% 0.4%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0.1% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
122 0% 100%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0% 99.6%  
136 0% 99.6%  
137 0.2% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.4%  
139 0.4% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.0%  
141 0.2% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.7%  
143 0.1% 98.6%  
144 0% 98%  
145 0.1% 98%  
146 0.1% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0.1% 98%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.4% 97%  
153 0.1% 97%  
154 0.2% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.1% 96%  
157 0.7% 96%  
158 0.3% 96%  
159 0.5% 95%  
160 0.2% 95%  
161 0.2% 95%  
162 0.9% 94%  
163 0.5% 93%  
164 0.6% 93%  
165 0.2% 92%  
166 1.1% 92%  
167 0.4% 91%  
168 1.0% 91%  
169 2% 90%  
170 1.3% 88%  
171 1.4% 87%  
172 0.8% 85%  
173 0.8% 84%  
174 2% 84%  
175 0.8% 82%  
176 1.1% 81%  
177 2% 80%  
178 0.6% 78%  
179 1.2% 78%  
180 1.2% 76%  
181 2% 75%  
182 2% 73%  
183 2% 71%  
184 3% 68%  
185 3% 66%  
186 2% 63%  
187 3% 60%  
188 2% 57%  
189 1.3% 55%  
190 1.5% 53%  
191 2% 52%  
192 2% 50%  
193 2% 48% Median
194 3% 47%  
195 2% 44%  
196 5% 41%  
197 2% 36%  
198 3% 34%  
199 4% 31%  
200 2% 28%  
201 2% 25%  
202 0.9% 23%  
203 3% 22%  
204 1.1% 19%  
205 0.9% 18%  
206 0.8% 17%  
207 1.1% 16%  
208 0.9% 15%  
209 1.0% 14%  
210 1.2% 13%  
211 1.3% 12%  
212 0.8% 11%  
213 1.0% 10%  
214 1.1% 9%  
215 1.2% 8%  
216 0.5% 7%  
217 1.2% 6%  
218 0.8% 5%  
219 0.3% 4%  
220 0.4% 4%  
221 0.6% 4%  
222 0.5% 3%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.1% 2%  
227 0.2% 2%  
228 0.1% 2%  
229 0.2% 1.4%  
230 0.2% 1.2%  
231 0.2% 1.0%  
232 0.2% 0.8%  
233 0.2% 0.6%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
126 0% 100%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0.1% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0.1% 99.7%  
134 0.1% 99.7%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.4%  
138 0.2% 99.3%  
139 0.2% 99.1%  
140 0.1% 98.9%  
141 0.3% 98.8%  
142 0.1% 98%  
143 0.1% 98%  
144 0.2% 98%  
145 0.3% 98%  
146 0.4% 98%  
147 0.2% 97%  
148 0.6% 97%  
149 0.2% 96%  
150 0.3% 96%  
151 0.1% 96%  
152 0.1% 96%  
153 0.1% 96%  
154 0.1% 96%  
155 0.2% 96%  
156 0.4% 95%  
157 0.5% 95%  
158 1.1% 94%  
159 0.4% 93%  
160 1.0% 93%  
161 0.6% 92%  
162 2% 91%  
163 0.7% 90%  
164 1.1% 89%  
165 1.1% 88%  
166 1.5% 87%  
167 1.0% 85%  
168 2% 84%  
169 2% 82%  
170 2% 80%  
171 1.3% 78%  
172 3% 76%  
173 3% 73%  
174 3% 71%  
175 4% 68%  
176 4% 64%  
177 3% 61%  
178 5% 57%  
179 4% 53% Median
180 4% 48%  
181 4% 44%  
182 3% 41%  
183 4% 37%  
184 4% 33%  
185 2% 30%  
186 2% 28%  
187 4% 26%  
188 3% 22%  
189 1.2% 19%  
190 2% 18%  
191 1.0% 16%  
192 2% 15%  
193 1.2% 13%  
194 2% 12%  
195 0.8% 11%  
196 0.6% 10%  
197 0.5% 9%  
198 2% 9%  
199 0.7% 7%  
200 1.1% 6%  
201 0.8% 5%  
202 0.9% 4%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.5% 3%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.2% 2%  
208 0.4% 1.3%  
209 0.2% 0.9%  
210 0.2% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.8%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.7%  
94 0% 99.6%  
95 0.1% 99.6%  
96 0.1% 99.4%  
97 0.1% 99.3%  
98 0.1% 99.2%  
99 0.1% 99.2%  
100 0.1% 99.1%  
101 0.2% 99.0%  
102 0.1% 98.8%  
103 0.3% 98.8%  
104 0.1% 98%  
105 0.2% 98%  
106 0.3% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.1% 98%  
109 0.1% 97%  
110 0.1% 97%  
111 0.2% 97%  
112 0.5% 97%  
113 0.4% 97%  
114 0.3% 96%  
115 0.4% 96%  
116 0.3% 95%  
117 0.8% 95%  
118 0.1% 94%  
119 0.2% 94%  
120 0.2% 94%  
121 0.3% 94%  
122 0.7% 93%  
123 1.1% 93%  
124 0.5% 92%  
125 0.6% 91%  
126 0.6% 91%  
127 0.4% 90%  
128 0.8% 89%  
129 0.8% 89%  
130 2% 88%  
131 1.3% 86%  
132 1.0% 85%  
133 2% 84%  
134 1.4% 82%  
135 3% 81%  
136 2% 78%  
137 1.4% 76%  
138 2% 75%  
139 4% 73%  
140 3% 69%  
141 2% 66%  
142 2% 64%  
143 3% 62%  
144 2% 59%  
145 3% 57%  
146 3% 54%  
147 2% 51% Median
148 5% 49%  
149 5% 44%  
150 1.3% 40%  
151 3% 38%  
152 3% 36%  
153 3% 33%  
154 2% 30%  
155 4% 28%  
156 2% 24%  
157 2% 22%  
158 0.7% 21%  
159 1.0% 20%  
160 3% 19%  
161 1.3% 16%  
162 0.5% 14%  
163 0.4% 14%  
164 1.3% 13%  
165 0.6% 12%  
166 2% 11%  
167 1.3% 9%  
168 0.7% 8%  
169 0.6% 7%  
170 1.2% 7%  
171 0.8% 6%  
172 0.6% 5%  
173 0.5% 4%  
174 0.6% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.3% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.4%  
182 0.2% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 0.8%  
184 0.1% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0.1% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 99.1%  
96 0.2% 99.0%  
97 0.1% 98.8%  
98 0.3% 98.8%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.3% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.1% 98%  
104 0.1% 97%  
105 0.1% 97%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.5% 97%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.3% 96%  
110 0.4% 96%  
111 0.3% 95%  
112 0.8% 95%  
113 0.1% 94%  
114 0.3% 94%  
115 0.2% 94%  
116 0.3% 94%  
117 0.5% 93%  
118 1.2% 93%  
119 0.5% 92%  
120 0.7% 91%  
121 0.5% 91%  
122 0.4% 90%  
123 0.9% 90%  
124 0.8% 89%  
125 1.5% 88%  
126 1.3% 86%  
127 1.1% 85%  
128 1.4% 84%  
129 2% 83%  
130 2% 81%  
131 2% 78%  
132 1.5% 76%  
133 2% 75%  
134 4% 73%  
135 3% 69%  
136 2% 66%  
137 2% 64%  
138 3% 62%  
139 2% 60%  
140 3% 57%  
141 3% 55%  
142 2% 52% Median
143 4% 49%  
144 5% 45%  
145 1.2% 40%  
146 3% 38%  
147 3% 36%  
148 3% 33%  
149 1.2% 30%  
150 4% 29%  
151 2% 24%  
152 2% 22%  
153 0.5% 20%  
154 1.1% 20%  
155 3% 19%  
156 1.3% 16%  
157 0.4% 14%  
158 0.4% 14%  
159 1.3% 13%  
160 0.6% 12%  
161 2% 11%  
162 1.4% 10%  
163 0.6% 8%  
164 0.7% 8%  
165 1.3% 7%  
166 0.8% 6%  
167 0.5% 5%  
168 0.4% 4%  
169 0.7% 4%  
170 0.3% 3%  
171 0.3% 3%  
172 0.5% 3%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.4%  
177 0.3% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.3%  
184 0.1% 0.2%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

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