Opinion Poll by Techne UK, 18–19 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.2% 45.6–48.8% 45.1–49.3% 44.7–49.7% 43.9–50.4%
Conservative Party 43.6% 27.3% 25.9–28.8% 25.5–29.2% 25.1–29.6% 24.4–30.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.6% 10.6–12.7% 10.3–13.0% 10.1–13.2% 9.6–13.8%
Green Party 2.8% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–4.0% 2.4–4.1% 2.2–4.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.7% 1.8–4.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 391 372–411 367–416 362–420 351–430
Conservative Party 365 166 144–187 139–192 134–198 122–209
Liberal Democrats 11 36 26–41 25–43 23–47 21–51
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 36 24–43 20–47 18–50 16–53
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0–2

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.4%  
354 0.1% 99.3%  
355 0.1% 99.1%  
356 0.2% 99.0%  
357 0.2% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98.6%  
359 0.3% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.4% 98%  
363 0.5% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.5% 96%  
366 0.6% 96%  
367 0.7% 95%  
368 0.5% 94%  
369 1.1% 94%  
370 0.9% 93%  
371 0.8% 92%  
372 1.2% 91%  
373 1.3% 90%  
374 2% 89%  
375 1.3% 86%  
376 1.3% 85%  
377 2% 84%  
378 3% 82%  
379 2% 79%  
380 2% 76%  
381 2% 74%  
382 2% 72%  
383 3% 70%  
384 3% 67%  
385 2% 64%  
386 2% 62%  
387 2% 61%  
388 3% 58%  
389 2% 56%  
390 2% 53%  
391 2% 51% Median
392 2% 49%  
393 2% 47%  
394 2% 45%  
395 3% 42%  
396 2% 40%  
397 2% 37%  
398 2% 36%  
399 2% 34%  
400 3% 32%  
401 2% 28%  
402 2% 27%  
403 1.3% 25%  
404 2% 23%  
405 2% 21%  
406 2% 19%  
407 2% 17%  
408 2% 16%  
409 2% 14%  
410 2% 12%  
411 1.3% 11%  
412 1.2% 9%  
413 1.1% 8%  
414 0.8% 7%  
415 1.1% 6%  
416 0.8% 5%  
417 0.7% 4%  
418 0.4% 4%  
419 0.5% 3%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.3% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 1.4%  
425 0.2% 1.2%  
426 0.1% 1.0%  
427 0.1% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.6%  
431 0% 0.5%  
432 0% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.4%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.4%  
124 0.1% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.1%  
127 0.1% 99.0%  
128 0.2% 98.9%  
129 0.2% 98.7%  
130 0.2% 98.6%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.5% 97%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.5% 96%  
138 0.6% 96%  
139 0.9% 95%  
140 0.5% 94%  
141 1.1% 94%  
142 1.3% 93%  
143 1.0% 91%  
144 2% 90%  
145 1.2% 89%  
146 1.3% 88%  
147 1.3% 86%  
148 1.4% 85%  
149 2% 83%  
150 2% 82%  
151 1.5% 80%  
152 3% 78%  
153 1.4% 75%  
154 2% 74%  
155 2% 72%  
156 1.2% 70%  
157 2% 69%  
158 2% 67%  
159 2% 65%  
160 2% 63%  
161 2% 61%  
162 2% 59%  
163 3% 57%  
164 1.4% 54%  
165 2% 53%  
166 2% 51% Median
167 3% 49%  
168 1.4% 46%  
169 3% 45%  
170 2% 42%  
171 2% 40%  
172 2% 38%  
173 2% 35%  
174 2% 33%  
175 2% 31%  
176 2% 29%  
177 3% 27%  
178 1.4% 24%  
179 2% 23%  
180 2% 21%  
181 2% 19%  
182 2% 17%  
183 1.1% 15%  
184 1.5% 14%  
185 1.2% 13%  
186 1.2% 11%  
187 1.5% 10%  
188 1.1% 9%  
189 0.7% 8%  
190 0.9% 7%  
191 0.7% 6%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 0.5% 5%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 0.5% 4%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.2% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.2% 2%  
200 0.3% 2%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.4%  
204 0.1% 1.2%  
205 0.2% 1.1%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.3% 99.8%  
21 0.2% 99.5%  
22 0.6% 99.3%  
23 1.3% 98.7%  
24 1.5% 97%  
25 2% 96%  
26 4% 94%  
27 5% 90%  
28 4% 85%  
29 2% 81%  
30 4% 78%  
31 6% 74%  
32 7% 69%  
33 5% 62%  
34 4% 57%  
35 2% 53%  
36 6% 52% Median
37 7% 46%  
38 12% 39%  
39 6% 27%  
40 7% 21%  
41 5% 14%  
42 3% 10%  
43 2% 7%  
44 1.1% 5%  
45 0.2% 4%  
46 0.6% 3%  
47 0.8% 3%  
48 0.2% 2%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0.3% 1.5%  
51 0.7% 1.1%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.0% 2%  
3 0.7% 0.7%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.8%  
15 0.1% 99.7%  
16 0.3% 99.6%  
17 1.0% 99.3%  
18 1.5% 98%  
19 1.4% 97%  
20 0.7% 95%  
21 1.3% 95%  
22 2% 93%  
23 1.4% 92%  
24 2% 90%  
25 1.3% 89%  
26 5% 87%  
27 2% 83%  
28 1.3% 81%  
29 2% 80%  
30 1.4% 78%  
31 7% 77%  
32 6% 69%  
33 1.3% 64%  
34 10% 62%  
35 2% 52%  
36 10% 51% Median
37 0.9% 40%  
38 8% 40%  
39 3% 31%  
40 8% 29%  
41 7% 21%  
42 1.3% 14%  
43 4% 13%  
44 1.5% 9%  
45 1.3% 7%  
46 0.8% 6%  
47 0.8% 5%  
48 1.1% 4% Last Result
49 0.6% 3%  
50 0.5% 3%  
51 0.7% 2%  
52 0.6% 1.5%  
53 0.5% 0.9%  
54 0.2% 0.4%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.5% 2%  
2 1.1% 1.3%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 460 100% 439–482 434–487 428–492 417–504
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 426 100% 403–449 397–455 391–460 379–472
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 425 100% 409–444 404–448 398–451 389–461
Labour Party 202 391 100% 372–411 367–416 362–420 351–430
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 200 0% 177–223 171–229 166–235 153–247
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 201 0% 182–217 178–222 175–228 164–237
Conservative Party 365 166 0% 144–187 139–192 134–198 122–209

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.1% 99.4%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 99.1%  
422 0.1% 98.9%  
423 0.2% 98.8%  
424 0.2% 98.6%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.3% 98%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.2% 97%  
430 0.4% 97%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.3% 96%  
433 0.5% 96%  
434 0.6% 95%  
435 0.7% 95%  
436 0.9% 94%  
437 0.7% 93%  
438 1.2% 92%  
439 1.5% 91%  
440 1.2% 90%  
441 1.2% 89%  
442 1.4% 87%  
443 1.1% 86%  
444 2% 85%  
445 2% 82%  
446 2% 81%  
447 2% 79%  
448 1.4% 77%  
449 3% 76%  
450 2% 73%  
451 2% 71%  
452 2% 68%  
453 2% 67%  
454 2% 64%  
455 2% 62%  
456 2% 60%  
457 3% 58%  
458 1.3% 55%  
459 3% 54%  
460 2% 51%  
461 2% 49%  
462 1.4% 47%  
463 3% 45% Median
464 2% 43%  
465 2% 41%  
466 2% 39%  
467 2% 37%  
468 2% 35%  
469 2% 33%  
470 1.2% 31%  
471 2% 30%  
472 2% 28%  
473 1.4% 26%  
474 3% 25%  
475 2% 22%  
476 2% 20%  
477 2% 18%  
478 1.4% 16%  
479 1.3% 15%  
480 1.3% 14%  
481 1.2% 12%  
482 2% 11%  
483 1.0% 10%  
484 1.3% 9%  
485 1.1% 7%  
486 0.5% 6%  
487 0.9% 6%  
488 0.6% 5%  
489 0.5% 4%  
490 0.3% 4%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.4% 3%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.4%  
498 0.2% 1.3%  
499 0.1% 1.1%  
500 0.1% 1.0%  
501 0.1% 0.8%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.6%  
505 0% 0.5%  
506 0% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.4%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0.2% 99.2%  
384 0.2% 99.0%  
385 0.2% 98.9%  
386 0.2% 98.7%  
387 0.2% 98.5%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.4% 98%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.5% 97%  
393 0.3% 97%  
394 0.5% 97%  
395 0.5% 96%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.9% 95%  
398 0.6% 94%  
399 0.6% 94%  
400 0.7% 93%  
401 0.7% 92%  
402 1.2% 92%  
403 0.7% 90%  
404 1.0% 90%  
405 1.4% 89%  
406 1.3% 87%  
407 1.4% 86%  
408 1.5% 85%  
409 2% 83%  
410 2% 82%  
411 2% 80%  
412 2% 78%  
413 2% 77%  
414 2% 75%  
415 2% 73%  
416 3% 71%  
417 2% 68%  
418 2% 67%  
419 3% 65%  
420 2% 62%  
421 2% 60%  
422 2% 58%  
423 2% 56%  
424 2% 54%  
425 2% 53%  
426 3% 51%  
427 3% 48% Median
428 2% 45%  
429 2% 43%  
430 1.0% 41%  
431 2% 40%  
432 2% 38%  
433 2% 37%  
434 1.2% 35%  
435 2% 34%  
436 2% 32%  
437 2% 30%  
438 2% 28%  
439 1.4% 26%  
440 2% 24%  
441 1.3% 22%  
442 2% 21%  
443 2% 19%  
444 1.2% 18%  
445 2% 17%  
446 1.3% 15%  
447 1.3% 14%  
448 2% 12%  
449 1.0% 11%  
450 1.1% 10%  
451 0.7% 9%  
452 0.9% 8%  
453 1.0% 7%  
454 0.7% 6%  
455 0.8% 5%  
456 0.5% 5%  
457 0.4% 4%  
458 0.6% 4%  
459 0.4% 3%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.3% 2%  
463 0.3% 2%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.2% 1.5%  
466 0.1% 1.3%  
467 0.2% 1.2%  
468 0.1% 1.0%  
469 0.1% 0.9%  
470 0.1% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.7%  
472 0.1% 0.6%  
473 0.1% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.1% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.3%  
392 0.2% 99.2%  
393 0.2% 99.0%  
394 0.2% 98.8%  
395 0.2% 98.6%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.4% 98%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.4% 97%  
401 0.4% 97%  
402 0.5% 96%  
403 0.4% 96%  
404 0.6% 95%  
405 1.0% 95%  
406 0.5% 94%  
407 0.8% 93%  
408 1.1% 92%  
409 2% 91%  
410 2% 89%  
411 2% 88%  
412 3% 86%  
413 2% 83%  
414 3% 81%  
415 2% 78%  
416 3% 76%  
417 3% 73%  
418 3% 70%  
419 3% 67%  
420 2% 64%  
421 3% 62%  
422 2% 59%  
423 3% 57%  
424 2% 54%  
425 3% 52%  
426 1.3% 49%  
427 3% 48% Median
428 2% 45%  
429 3% 44%  
430 2% 40%  
431 2% 39%  
432 2% 37%  
433 3% 35%  
434 2% 32%  
435 1.2% 30%  
436 5% 29%  
437 1.5% 24%  
438 2% 22%  
439 3% 21%  
440 2% 18%  
441 2% 16%  
442 2% 14%  
443 1.1% 12%  
444 3% 11%  
445 2% 8%  
446 1.0% 7%  
447 0.5% 5%  
448 0.8% 5%  
449 0.8% 4%  
450 0.5% 3%  
451 0.5% 3%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.3% 2%  
455 0.2% 1.5%  
456 0.1% 1.3%  
457 0.2% 1.2%  
458 0.1% 1.0%  
459 0.2% 0.9%  
460 0.1% 0.7%  
461 0.1% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0% 0.4%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0.1% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.8%  
347 0% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.7%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.6%  
352 0.1% 99.5%  
353 0.1% 99.4%  
354 0.1% 99.3%  
355 0.1% 99.1%  
356 0.2% 99.0%  
357 0.2% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98.6%  
359 0.3% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.4% 98%  
363 0.5% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.5% 96%  
366 0.6% 96%  
367 0.7% 95%  
368 0.5% 94%  
369 1.1% 94%  
370 0.9% 93%  
371 0.8% 92%  
372 1.2% 91%  
373 1.3% 90%  
374 2% 89%  
375 1.3% 86%  
376 1.3% 85%  
377 2% 84%  
378 3% 82%  
379 2% 79%  
380 2% 76%  
381 2% 74%  
382 2% 72%  
383 3% 70%  
384 3% 67%  
385 2% 64%  
386 2% 62%  
387 2% 61%  
388 3% 58%  
389 2% 56%  
390 2% 53%  
391 2% 51% Median
392 2% 49%  
393 2% 47%  
394 2% 45%  
395 3% 42%  
396 2% 40%  
397 2% 37%  
398 2% 36%  
399 2% 34%  
400 3% 32%  
401 2% 28%  
402 2% 27%  
403 1.3% 25%  
404 2% 23%  
405 2% 21%  
406 2% 19%  
407 2% 17%  
408 2% 16%  
409 2% 14%  
410 2% 12%  
411 1.3% 11%  
412 1.2% 9%  
413 1.1% 8%  
414 0.8% 7%  
415 1.1% 6%  
416 0.8% 5%  
417 0.7% 4%  
418 0.4% 4%  
419 0.5% 3%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.3% 2%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.2% 1.4%  
425 0.2% 1.2%  
426 0.1% 1.0%  
427 0.1% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.6%  
431 0% 0.5%  
432 0% 0.4%  
433 0% 0.4%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.2%  
439 0% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.7%  
150 0% 99.7%  
151 0% 99.7%  
152 0.1% 99.6%  
153 0.1% 99.6%  
154 0.1% 99.5%  
155 0.1% 99.4%  
156 0.1% 99.3%  
157 0.1% 99.2%  
158 0.1% 99.1%  
159 0.2% 99.0%  
160 0.1% 98.8%  
161 0.2% 98.7%  
162 0.2% 98.5%  
163 0.3% 98%  
164 0.3% 98%  
165 0.2% 98%  
166 0.3% 98%  
167 0.4% 97%  
168 0.6% 97%  
169 0.4% 96%  
170 0.5% 96%  
171 0.8% 95%  
172 0.7% 95%  
173 1.0% 94%  
174 0.9% 93%  
175 0.7% 92%  
176 1.1% 91%  
177 1.1% 90%  
178 2% 89%  
179 1.3% 88%  
180 1.3% 86%  
181 2% 85%  
182 1.2% 83%  
183 1.5% 82%  
184 2% 81%  
185 1.3% 79%  
186 2% 78%  
187 1.4% 75%  
188 2% 74%  
189 2% 72%  
190 2% 70%  
191 2% 68%  
192 1.2% 66%  
193 2% 65%  
194 2% 63%  
195 2% 62%  
196 1.0% 59%  
197 2% 58%  
198 2% 57%  
199 3% 55%  
200 3% 52%  
201 2% 49%  
202 2% 47% Median
203 2% 46%  
204 2% 43%  
205 2% 42%  
206 2% 39%  
207 3% 38%  
208 2% 35%  
209 2% 33%  
210 3% 32%  
211 2% 29%  
212 2% 27%  
213 2% 25%  
214 2% 23%  
215 2% 22%  
216 2% 20%  
217 2% 18%  
218 1.4% 17%  
219 1.4% 15%  
220 1.3% 14%  
221 1.3% 13%  
222 1.0% 11%  
223 0.7% 10%  
224 1.2% 10%  
225 0.7% 8%  
226 0.7% 8%  
227 0.6% 7%  
228 0.6% 6%  
229 0.9% 6%  
230 0.4% 5%  
231 0.5% 4%  
232 0.5% 4%  
233 0.3% 3%  
234 0.5% 3%  
235 0.2% 3%  
236 0.4% 2%  
237 0.2% 2%  
238 0.2% 2%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.2% 1.4%  
241 0.2% 1.3%  
242 0.2% 1.1%  
243 0.2% 1.0%  
244 0.1% 0.8%  
245 0.1% 0.7%  
246 0.1% 0.6%  
247 0.1% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.5%  
249 0.1% 0.4%  
250 0% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
146 0% 100%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0% 99.8%  
157 0% 99.8%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0.1% 99.7%  
162 0.1% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.6%  
164 0.1% 99.6%  
165 0.1% 99.5%  
166 0.1% 99.4%  
167 0.2% 99.2%  
168 0.1% 99.1%  
169 0.2% 99.0%  
170 0.1% 98.8%  
171 0.2% 98.7%  
172 0.3% 98.5%  
173 0.3% 98%  
174 0.4% 98%  
175 0.5% 98%  
176 0.5% 97%  
177 0.8% 97%  
178 0.8% 96%  
179 0.5% 95%  
180 1.0% 94%  
181 2% 93%  
182 3% 92%  
183 1.1% 89%  
184 2% 88%  
185 2% 86%  
186 2% 84%  
187 3% 82%  
188 2% 79%  
189 2% 78%  
190 5% 76%  
191 1.2% 71%  
192 2% 70%  
193 3% 67%  
194 2% 65%  
195 2% 63%  
196 2% 61%  
197 3% 60%  
198 2% 56%  
199 3% 55%  
200 1.3% 52%  
201 3% 51%  
202 2% 48% Median
203 3% 46%  
204 2% 43%  
205 3% 41%  
206 2% 38%  
207 3% 35%  
208 3% 32%  
209 3% 29%  
210 3% 27%  
211 2% 24%  
212 3% 22%  
213 2% 19%  
214 3% 17%  
215 2% 14%  
216 2% 12%  
217 2% 11%  
218 1.1% 9%  
219 0.8% 8%  
220 0.5% 7%  
221 1.0% 6%  
222 0.6% 5%  
223 0.4% 5%  
224 0.5% 4%  
225 0.4% 4%  
226 0.4% 3%  
227 0.5% 3%  
228 0.3% 3%  
229 0.4% 2%  
230 0.2% 2%  
231 0.2% 2%  
232 0.2% 1.4%  
233 0.2% 1.2%  
234 0.2% 1.0%  
235 0.1% 0.8%  
236 0.1% 0.7%  
237 0.1% 0.6%  
238 0.1% 0.4%  
239 0.1% 0.4%  
240 0.1% 0.3%  
241 0.1% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.4%  
124 0.1% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.1%  
127 0.1% 99.0%  
128 0.2% 98.9%  
129 0.2% 98.7%  
130 0.2% 98.6%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.4% 98%  
135 0.5% 97%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.5% 96%  
138 0.6% 96%  
139 0.9% 95%  
140 0.5% 94%  
141 1.1% 94%  
142 1.3% 93%  
143 1.0% 91%  
144 2% 90%  
145 1.2% 89%  
146 1.3% 88%  
147 1.3% 86%  
148 1.4% 85%  
149 2% 83%  
150 2% 82%  
151 1.5% 80%  
152 3% 78%  
153 1.4% 75%  
154 2% 74%  
155 2% 72%  
156 1.2% 70%  
157 2% 69%  
158 2% 67%  
159 2% 65%  
160 2% 63%  
161 2% 61%  
162 2% 59%  
163 3% 57%  
164 1.4% 54%  
165 2% 53%  
166 2% 51% Median
167 3% 49%  
168 1.4% 46%  
169 3% 45%  
170 2% 42%  
171 2% 40%  
172 2% 38%  
173 2% 35%  
174 2% 33%  
175 2% 31%  
176 2% 29%  
177 3% 27%  
178 1.4% 24%  
179 2% 23%  
180 2% 21%  
181 2% 19%  
182 2% 17%  
183 1.1% 15%  
184 1.5% 14%  
185 1.2% 13%  
186 1.2% 11%  
187 1.5% 10%  
188 1.1% 9%  
189 0.7% 8%  
190 0.9% 7%  
191 0.7% 6%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 0.5% 5%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 0.5% 4%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.2% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.2% 2%  
200 0.3% 2%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.4%  
204 0.1% 1.2%  
205 0.2% 1.1%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations