Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 19–20 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.7% 47.6–51.8% 47.1–52.3% 46.5–52.8% 45.6–53.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 28.6% 26.7–30.5% 26.2–31.0% 25.8–31.5% 25.0–32.4%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.6% 9.4–12.0% 9.1–12.4% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.4%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.6% 2.7–6.1%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.5%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.4–2.2%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6% 0.0–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 403 379–423 373–430 368–437 356–454
Conservative Party 365 179 153–204 144–213 136–220 117–232
Liberal Democrats 11 27 22–37 20–39 19–41 14–46
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–3
Scottish National Party 48 16 5–28 3–32 1–36 0–42
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–5 3–6 3–6 3–7
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0% 99.6%  
356 0.3% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.2%  
360 0.1% 99.0%  
361 0.1% 99.0%  
362 0.3% 98.9%  
363 0.1% 98.6%  
364 0.1% 98.5%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.2% 97%  
370 1.3% 97%  
371 0.1% 96%  
372 0.4% 96%  
373 0.3% 95%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 2% 95%  
376 0.6% 93%  
377 0.8% 93%  
378 0.2% 92%  
379 2% 92%  
380 0.2% 90%  
381 0.7% 90%  
382 1.4% 89%  
383 1.0% 87%  
384 0.5% 86%  
385 0.6% 86%  
386 2% 85%  
387 2% 84%  
388 2% 81%  
389 1.1% 79%  
390 0.9% 78%  
391 3% 77%  
392 3% 74%  
393 5% 71%  
394 3% 66%  
395 0.4% 63%  
396 2% 63%  
397 1.2% 61%  
398 5% 60%  
399 1.4% 55%  
400 0.8% 54%  
401 1.1% 53%  
402 2% 52%  
403 2% 50% Median
404 2% 48%  
405 0.9% 45%  
406 0.5% 45%  
407 2% 44%  
408 2% 43%  
409 2% 40%  
410 7% 39%  
411 0.6% 32%  
412 0.4% 31%  
413 4% 31%  
414 2% 27%  
415 2% 25%  
416 1.5% 23%  
417 1.4% 21%  
418 4% 20%  
419 0.8% 16%  
420 2% 15%  
421 2% 13%  
422 0.9% 11%  
423 1.2% 10%  
424 0.4% 9%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.3% 8%  
427 2% 8%  
428 0.4% 6%  
429 0.3% 5%  
430 0.8% 5%  
431 0.4% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.1% 4%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.3% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.1% 1.4%  
445 0% 1.3%  
446 0.2% 1.2%  
447 0% 1.0%  
448 0% 1.0%  
449 0% 1.0%  
450 0% 1.0%  
451 0% 0.9%  
452 0.2% 0.9%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0.2% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.5%  
456 0% 0.4%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.4%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0% 99.4%  
122 0% 99.4%  
123 0.2% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.0%  
126 0.1% 98.9%  
127 0% 98.8%  
128 0.1% 98.7%  
129 0.2% 98.6%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.4% 98%  
136 0.4% 98%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.1% 97%  
139 0.2% 97%  
140 0.1% 97%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 1.0% 96%  
143 0.2% 95%  
144 0.4% 95%  
145 0.1% 95%  
146 0.2% 95%  
147 0.3% 94%  
148 0.1% 94%  
149 1.0% 94%  
150 0.4% 93%  
151 1.0% 93%  
152 0.4% 92%  
153 1.4% 91%  
154 1.2% 90%  
155 0.5% 89%  
156 0.4% 88%  
157 1.0% 88%  
158 5% 87%  
159 0.8% 81%  
160 0.7% 80%  
161 2% 80%  
162 1.1% 78%  
163 2% 77%  
164 3% 75%  
165 0.3% 71%  
166 1.1% 71%  
167 2% 70%  
168 1.1% 67%  
169 0.8% 66%  
170 3% 66%  
171 4% 63%  
172 0.8% 59%  
173 2% 58%  
174 2% 57%  
175 0.7% 55%  
176 1.4% 54%  
177 0.7% 53%  
178 2% 52%  
179 0.8% 50% Median
180 7% 49%  
181 2% 42%  
182 0.8% 40%  
183 0.2% 39%  
184 1.2% 39%  
185 4% 38%  
186 2% 34%  
187 2% 32%  
188 0.8% 31%  
189 0.5% 30%  
190 2% 29%  
191 1.2% 28%  
192 2% 27%  
193 1.4% 25%  
194 2% 24%  
195 0.8% 21%  
196 1.1% 20%  
197 0.9% 19%  
198 0.4% 18%  
199 1.5% 18%  
200 3% 17%  
201 1.1% 13%  
202 0.5% 12%  
203 0.5% 12%  
204 2% 11%  
205 2% 10%  
206 0.9% 8%  
207 0.8% 7%  
208 0.2% 7%  
209 0.5% 7%  
210 0.2% 6%  
211 0.4% 6%  
212 0.3% 5%  
213 0.1% 5%  
214 0.1% 5%  
215 1.1% 5%  
216 0.1% 4%  
217 0.2% 4%  
218 0.1% 3%  
219 0.2% 3%  
220 1.1% 3%  
221 0.2% 2%  
222 0% 2%  
223 0.1% 2%  
224 0.3% 2%  
225 0.3% 1.4%  
226 0.1% 1.1%  
227 0.1% 1.1%  
228 0.1% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.9%  
230 0.1% 0.8%  
231 0.2% 0.7%  
232 0% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0.2% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0.3% 99.9%  
13 0.1% 99.6%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.7% 99.5%  
16 0.5% 98.8%  
17 0.1% 98%  
18 0.2% 98%  
19 2% 98%  
20 3% 96%  
21 0.6% 93%  
22 8% 93%  
23 9% 85%  
24 5% 76%  
25 10% 71%  
26 9% 62%  
27 7% 53% Median
28 8% 46%  
29 2% 38%  
30 7% 36%  
31 3% 29%  
32 6% 26%  
33 1.4% 20%  
34 2% 19%  
35 3% 17%  
36 3% 13%  
37 1.2% 10%  
38 3% 9%  
39 2% 6%  
40 1.0% 4%  
41 1.1% 3%  
42 0.6% 2%  
43 0.4% 1.1%  
44 0.1% 0.7%  
45 0.1% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.4%  
48 0% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 97% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 3%  
2 2% 2%  
3 0.5% 0.5%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.9% 100%  
1 2% 99.1%  
2 1.1% 97%  
3 2% 96%  
4 4% 94%  
5 1.4% 91%  
6 7% 89%  
7 2% 82%  
8 7% 80%  
9 3% 73%  
10 3% 70%  
11 2% 68%  
12 0.4% 66%  
13 3% 66%  
14 3% 62%  
15 7% 59%  
16 9% 52% Median
17 8% 44%  
18 3% 36%  
19 2% 32%  
20 5% 30%  
21 1.3% 26%  
22 2% 25%  
23 4% 23%  
24 2% 18%  
25 3% 17%  
26 2% 14%  
27 1.2% 12%  
28 0.7% 10%  
29 0.4% 10%  
30 3% 9%  
31 1.1% 6%  
32 0.4% 5%  
33 0.3% 5%  
34 2% 5%  
35 0.1% 3%  
36 1.1% 3%  
37 0.2% 2%  
38 0.2% 2%  
39 0.2% 1.3%  
40 0.2% 1.1%  
41 0.1% 1.0%  
42 0.4% 0.9%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0.2% 0.3%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1% Last Result
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 6% 99.9%  
4 15% 94% Last Result
5 72% 79% Median
6 7% 8%  
7 1.0% 1.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 451 100% 426–477 417–486 410–494 398–513
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 450 100% 425–476 416–485 409–493 397–512
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 445 100% 419–471 411–481 404–488 391–507
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 435 100% 409–459 403–468 395–476 383–494
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 430 100% 404–454 398–463 390–472 378–489
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 423 100% 400–445 392–451 386–459 375–478
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 419 100% 395–440 387–447 381–454 369–473
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 406 100% 384–428 378–434 373–441 361–459
Labour Party 202 403 100% 379–423 373–430 368–437 356–454
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 205 0% 184–229 178–237 170–243 151–254
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 199 0% 175–224 166–231 157–238 140–251
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 194 0% 170–220 161–226 153–233 135–246
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 184 0% 158–209 148–218 141–225 122–237
Conservative Party 365 179 0% 153–204 144–213 136–220 117–232

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0.2% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0.1% 99.6%  
398 0% 99.5%  
399 0.2% 99.5%  
400 0.1% 99.3%  
401 0.1% 99.2%  
402 0.1% 99.1%  
403 0.1% 99.0%  
404 0.1% 98.9%  
405 0.3% 98.8%  
406 0.3% 98.6%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.1% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 1.1% 98%  
411 0.1% 97%  
412 0.1% 97%  
413 0.2% 97%  
414 0.1% 96%  
415 1.1% 96%  
416 0.1% 95%  
417 0.1% 95%  
418 0.3% 95%  
419 0.6% 95%  
420 0.2% 94%  
421 0.4% 94%  
422 0.2% 93%  
423 0.7% 93%  
424 0.9% 93%  
425 2% 92%  
426 2% 90%  
427 0.5% 89%  
428 0.5% 88%  
429 1.1% 88%  
430 3% 86%  
431 1.4% 83%  
432 0.4% 82%  
433 1.0% 82%  
434 1.1% 81%  
435 0.8% 79%  
436 2% 79%  
437 1.4% 76%  
438 2% 75%  
439 1.2% 73%  
440 2% 72%  
441 0.5% 71%  
442 0.8% 70%  
443 2% 69%  
444 2% 67%  
445 4% 66%  
446 1.2% 62%  
447 0.2% 61%  
448 0.9% 61%  
449 3% 60%  
450 7% 57%  
451 0.7% 51%  
452 2% 50% Median
453 0.7% 48%  
454 1.4% 47%  
455 0.7% 46%  
456 2% 45%  
457 2% 43%  
458 0.8% 41%  
459 4% 41%  
460 3% 37%  
461 0.8% 34%  
462 1.1% 34%  
463 2% 32%  
464 1.2% 30%  
465 0.4% 29%  
466 3% 29%  
467 2% 25%  
468 1.2% 23%  
469 2% 22%  
470 1.0% 20%  
471 0.8% 19%  
472 5% 19%  
473 1.0% 13%  
474 0.4% 12%  
475 0.6% 12%  
476 1.2% 11%  
477 1.5% 10%  
478 0.4% 9%  
479 1.0% 8%  
480 0.4% 7%  
481 1.0% 7%  
482 0.1% 6%  
483 0.3% 6%  
484 0.2% 6%  
485 0.1% 5%  
486 0.4% 5%  
487 0.2% 5%  
488 1.1% 5%  
489 0.2% 4%  
490 0% 3%  
491 0.2% 3%  
492 0.1% 3%  
493 0.2% 3%  
494 0.4% 3%  
495 0.4% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.1% 1.4%  
503 0% 1.3%  
504 0.1% 1.2%  
505 0% 1.1%  
506 0.1% 1.0%  
507 0.3% 0.9%  
508 0% 0.7%  
509 0% 0.6%  
510 0% 0.6%  
511 0% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0% 0.5%  
514 0% 0.5%  
515 0% 0.5%  
516 0.1% 0.4%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0.2% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0% 99.5%  
398 0.2% 99.5%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.2%  
401 0.1% 99.1%  
402 0.1% 99.0%  
403 0.1% 98.9%  
404 0.3% 98.8%  
405 0.3% 98.6%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.1% 98%  
408 0.2% 98%  
409 1.1% 98%  
410 0.1% 97%  
411 0.1% 97%  
412 0.2% 97%  
413 0.1% 96%  
414 1.1% 96%  
415 0.1% 95%  
416 0.1% 95%  
417 0.3% 95%  
418 0.6% 95%  
419 0.2% 94%  
420 0.4% 94%  
421 0.2% 93%  
422 0.7% 93%  
423 0.9% 93%  
424 2% 92%  
425 2% 90%  
426 0.5% 89%  
427 0.5% 88%  
428 1.1% 88%  
429 3% 86%  
430 1.4% 83%  
431 0.4% 82%  
432 1.0% 82%  
433 1.1% 81%  
434 0.8% 79%  
435 2% 79%  
436 1.4% 76%  
437 2% 75%  
438 1.2% 73%  
439 2% 72%  
440 0.5% 71%  
441 0.8% 70%  
442 2% 69%  
443 2% 67%  
444 4% 66%  
445 1.2% 62%  
446 0.2% 61%  
447 0.9% 61%  
448 3% 60%  
449 7% 57%  
450 0.7% 51%  
451 2% 50% Median
452 0.7% 48%  
453 1.4% 47%  
454 0.7% 46%  
455 2% 45%  
456 2% 43%  
457 0.8% 41%  
458 4% 41%  
459 3% 37%  
460 0.8% 34%  
461 1.1% 34%  
462 2% 32%  
463 1.2% 30%  
464 0.4% 29%  
465 3% 29%  
466 2% 25%  
467 1.2% 23%  
468 2% 22%  
469 1.0% 20%  
470 0.8% 19%  
471 5% 19%  
472 1.0% 13%  
473 0.4% 12%  
474 0.6% 12%  
475 1.2% 11%  
476 1.5% 10%  
477 0.4% 9%  
478 1.0% 8%  
479 0.4% 7%  
480 1.0% 7%  
481 0.1% 6%  
482 0.3% 6%  
483 0.2% 6%  
484 0.1% 5%  
485 0.4% 5%  
486 0.2% 5%  
487 1.1% 5%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0% 3%  
490 0.2% 3%  
491 0.1% 3%  
492 0.2% 3%  
493 0.4% 3%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.1% 1.4%  
502 0% 1.3%  
503 0.1% 1.2%  
504 0% 1.1%  
505 0.1% 1.0%  
506 0.3% 0.9%  
507 0% 0.6%  
508 0% 0.6%  
509 0% 0.6%  
510 0% 0.6%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0% 0.5%  
513 0% 0.5%  
514 0% 0.5%  
515 0.1% 0.4%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.2% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.6%  
392 0% 99.5%  
393 0.2% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.3%  
395 0.1% 99.2%  
396 0.1% 99.1%  
397 0.1% 99.0%  
398 0% 98.9%  
399 0.3% 98.8%  
400 0.3% 98.5%  
401 0.1% 98%  
402 0% 98%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 1.1% 98%  
405 0.1% 97%  
406 0.1% 97%  
407 0.2% 97%  
408 0.2% 96%  
409 0.9% 96%  
410 0.1% 95%  
411 0.2% 95%  
412 0.3% 95%  
413 0.6% 95%  
414 0.2% 94%  
415 0.1% 94%  
416 0.4% 94%  
417 0.9% 93%  
418 1.1% 92%  
419 1.5% 91%  
420 1.2% 90%  
421 0.6% 89%  
422 0.3% 88%  
423 1.2% 88%  
424 3% 87%  
425 1.4% 84%  
426 0.9% 82%  
427 1.2% 81%  
428 0.8% 80%  
429 0.8% 79%  
430 2% 79%  
431 2% 76%  
432 0.8% 75%  
433 2% 74%  
434 1.4% 72%  
435 0.4% 71%  
436 0.6% 70%  
437 2% 70%  
438 2% 68%  
439 4% 66%  
440 0.8% 62%  
441 0.4% 61%  
442 0.3% 61%  
443 1.4% 60%  
444 6% 59%  
445 3% 53%  
446 2% 50% Median
447 0.7% 48%  
448 1.4% 47%  
449 0.5% 46%  
450 1.3% 45%  
451 2% 44%  
452 0.9% 41%  
453 3% 41%  
454 2% 37%  
455 1.0% 35%  
456 1.4% 34%  
457 1.5% 33%  
458 2% 31%  
459 0.8% 29%  
460 0.9% 29%  
461 4% 28%  
462 2% 24%  
463 2% 22%  
464 0.8% 20%  
465 1.2% 20%  
466 5% 18%  
467 1.3% 14%  
468 0.6% 13%  
469 0.6% 12%  
470 0.7% 11%  
471 2% 11%  
472 0.4% 9%  
473 0.1% 8%  
474 1.1% 8%  
475 1.1% 7%  
476 0.2% 6%  
477 0.3% 6%  
478 0.1% 6%  
479 0.2% 5%  
480 0.1% 5%  
481 0.3% 5%  
482 1.1% 5%  
483 0.3% 4%  
484 0.1% 3%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 0.2% 3%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.5% 3%  
489 0.3% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.1% 1.4%  
497 0% 1.3%  
498 0% 1.2%  
499 0.1% 1.2%  
500 0.1% 1.0%  
501 0.3% 0.9%  
502 0% 0.6%  
503 0% 0.6%  
504 0% 0.6%  
505 0% 0.6%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0% 0.5%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0% 99.6%  
383 0.2% 99.6%  
384 0% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.1% 99.3%  
387 0.3% 99.2%  
388 0.2% 98.9%  
389 0.1% 98.8%  
390 0.4% 98.7%  
391 0.1% 98%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.1% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.1% 97%  
397 0.2% 97%  
398 1.1% 97%  
399 0.3% 96%  
400 0.3% 96%  
401 0.2% 95%  
402 0.1% 95%  
403 0.8% 95%  
404 0.2% 94%  
405 0.6% 94%  
406 2% 93%  
407 0.7% 92%  
408 0.2% 91%  
409 0.8% 91%  
410 0.2% 90%  
411 0.9% 90%  
412 0.5% 89%  
413 1.5% 88%  
414 2% 87%  
415 0.4% 85%  
416 0.4% 84%  
417 2% 84%  
418 3% 82%  
419 0.7% 80%  
420 1.2% 79%  
421 3% 78%  
422 2% 75%  
423 2% 73%  
424 1.1% 70%  
425 0.6% 69%  
426 3% 69%  
427 0.6% 66%  
428 4% 66%  
429 2% 62%  
430 0.5% 60%  
431 3% 59%  
432 0.7% 57%  
433 2% 56%  
434 0.7% 54%  
435 5% 53% Median
436 2% 48%  
437 0.3% 46%  
438 1.0% 45%  
439 0.4% 44%  
440 2% 44%  
441 1.2% 42%  
442 3% 41%  
443 7% 38%  
444 2% 31%  
445 0.5% 29%  
446 1.1% 29%  
447 2% 28%  
448 0.9% 26%  
449 0.7% 25%  
450 1.4% 24%  
451 2% 23%  
452 2% 21%  
453 0.6% 19%  
454 2% 19%  
455 0.8% 17%  
456 2% 16%  
457 0.1% 14%  
458 4% 14%  
459 0.3% 10%  
460 0.6% 10%  
461 1.5% 9%  
462 0.3% 8%  
463 0.2% 7%  
464 1.2% 7%  
465 0.3% 6%  
466 0.4% 6%  
467 0.1% 5%  
468 0.4% 5%  
469 0.8% 5%  
470 0.2% 4%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.4% 4%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.1% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.4% 2%  
480 0% 2%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.3% 2%  
484 0% 1.3%  
485 0% 1.3%  
486 0.1% 1.3%  
487 0.3% 1.1%  
488 0.1% 0.9%  
489 0% 0.8%  
490 0.1% 0.8%  
491 0% 0.6%  
492 0% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.6%  
494 0% 0.5%  
495 0% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0% 0.4%  
498 0% 0.4%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.7%  
376 0% 99.7%  
377 0% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.6%  
379 0% 99.4%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.3%  
382 0.3% 99.2%  
383 0.2% 98.9%  
384 0.1% 98.8%  
385 0.3% 98.7%  
386 0.1% 98%  
387 0.2% 98%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.1% 97%  
392 0.2% 97%  
393 1.2% 97%  
394 0.3% 96%  
395 0.1% 96%  
396 0.2% 95%  
397 0.2% 95%  
398 0.7% 95%  
399 0.3% 94%  
400 0.7% 94%  
401 2% 93%  
402 0.5% 92%  
403 0.4% 91%  
404 0.9% 91%  
405 0.3% 90%  
406 1.0% 90%  
407 0.4% 89%  
408 2% 88%  
409 2% 87%  
410 0.4% 85%  
411 0.3% 84%  
412 2% 84%  
413 2% 82%  
414 0.7% 80%  
415 1.2% 79%  
416 3% 78%  
417 2% 75%  
418 1.2% 73%  
419 2% 72%  
420 0.9% 69%  
421 2% 69%  
422 0.5% 66%  
423 4% 66%  
424 1.4% 61%  
425 0.9% 60%  
426 2% 59%  
427 2% 57%  
428 0.6% 56%  
429 0.7% 55%  
430 5% 55% Median
431 4% 50%  
432 0.4% 46%  
433 0.6% 45%  
434 2% 45%  
435 1.0% 43%  
436 0.2% 42%  
437 2% 42%  
438 8% 40%  
439 3% 32%  
440 0.6% 29%  
441 0.5% 29%  
442 2% 28%  
443 1.3% 27%  
444 0.8% 25%  
445 1.0% 25%  
446 1.2% 24%  
447 3% 22%  
448 0.9% 20%  
449 2% 19%  
450 1.1% 17%  
451 1.1% 16%  
452 0.6% 15%  
453 4% 14%  
454 0.2% 10%  
455 0.8% 10%  
456 0.4% 9%  
457 1.3% 9%  
458 0.1% 7%  
459 1.1% 7%  
460 0.3% 6%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.3% 5%  
463 0.4% 5%  
464 0.8% 5%  
465 0.1% 4%  
466 0.1% 4%  
467 0.6% 4%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.3% 3%  
470 0% 3%  
471 0.1% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.1% 2%  
474 0.4% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0% 1.3%  
480 0% 1.3%  
481 0% 1.3%  
482 0.2% 1.2%  
483 0.2% 1.0%  
484 0.1% 0.8%  
485 0.2% 0.8%  
486 0% 0.6%  
487 0% 0.6%  
488 0% 0.6%  
489 0% 0.5%  
490 0% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.4%  
494 0% 0.4%  
495 0.1% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0.1% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0.1% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.7%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0.1% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.6%  
375 0.1% 99.5%  
376 0.1% 99.4%  
377 0.1% 99.4%  
378 0.3% 99.3%  
379 0.1% 99.0%  
380 0.1% 98.9%  
381 0.1% 98.8%  
382 0.1% 98.7%  
383 0.2% 98.6%  
384 0.2% 98%  
385 0.3% 98%  
386 1.1% 98%  
387 0.1% 97%  
388 0.2% 97%  
389 0.2% 97%  
390 0.5% 96%  
391 0.1% 96%  
392 1.1% 96%  
393 0.3% 95%  
394 0.5% 94%  
395 0.6% 94%  
396 0.5% 93%  
397 0.3% 93%  
398 1.3% 93%  
399 0.7% 91%  
400 1.0% 91%  
401 0.8% 90%  
402 0.6% 89%  
403 2% 88%  
404 1.3% 86%  
405 2% 85%  
406 0.9% 82%  
407 2% 82%  
408 0.7% 80%  
409 2% 79%  
410 2% 77%  
411 0.8% 75%  
412 4% 74%  
413 1.0% 71%  
414 4% 70%  
415 0.9% 65%  
416 1.1% 64%  
417 2% 63%  
418 0.9% 61%  
419 1.2% 60%  
420 0.4% 59%  
421 6% 59%  
422 0.9% 52%  
423 1.4% 51%  
424 3% 50% Median
425 2% 47%  
426 4% 45%  
427 0.3% 42%  
428 1.3% 41%  
429 0.5% 40%  
430 3% 40%  
431 2% 37%  
432 3% 35%  
433 1.1% 32%  
434 0.4% 31%  
435 2% 31%  
436 4% 29%  
437 3% 25%  
438 4% 22%  
439 0.9% 18%  
440 2% 17%  
441 2% 15%  
442 1.0% 13%  
443 0.9% 12%  
444 0.7% 11%  
445 1.1% 10%  
446 1.3% 9%  
447 0.7% 8%  
448 1.3% 7%  
449 0.1% 6%  
450 0.4% 6%  
451 0.6% 5%  
452 0.4% 5%  
453 0.3% 5%  
454 0.5% 4%  
455 0.5% 4%  
456 0.4% 3%  
457 0.3% 3%  
458 0.1% 3%  
459 0.2% 3%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0% 2%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.2% 1.5%  
467 0.2% 1.3%  
468 0.2% 1.1%  
469 0% 0.9%  
470 0% 0.9%  
471 0% 0.9%  
472 0% 0.9%  
473 0.2% 0.9%  
474 0.1% 0.7%  
475 0% 0.6%  
476 0.1% 0.6%  
477 0% 0.5%  
478 0% 0.5%  
479 0.1% 0.5%  
480 0.1% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0.1% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.1% 99.5%  
371 0% 99.4%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.3% 99.2%  
374 0% 99.0%  
375 0.1% 98.9%  
376 0.1% 98.8%  
377 0.1% 98.7%  
378 0.3% 98.6%  
379 0.3% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 1.1% 98%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 0.1% 96%  
385 0.5% 96%  
386 0.3% 96%  
387 0.9% 96%  
388 0.3% 95%  
389 0.4% 94%  
390 0.8% 94%  
391 0.4% 93%  
392 0.2% 93%  
393 1.4% 93%  
394 0.7% 91%  
395 1.2% 91%  
396 0.5% 89%  
397 0.4% 89%  
398 2% 88%  
399 1.4% 86%  
400 3% 85%  
401 0.7% 82%  
402 2% 82%  
403 0.5% 80%  
404 2% 79%  
405 2% 78%  
406 2% 76%  
407 3% 74%  
408 0.8% 71%  
409 4% 70%  
410 1.4% 66%  
411 1.4% 65%  
412 2% 63%  
413 0.8% 61%  
414 0.5% 60%  
415 0.9% 60%  
416 6% 59%  
417 1.0% 52%  
418 0.5% 51%  
419 2% 51% Median
420 3% 49%  
421 4% 47%  
422 2% 43%  
423 1.1% 41%  
424 1.3% 40%  
425 0.9% 39%  
426 2% 38%  
427 3% 36%  
428 1.4% 33%  
429 0.3% 31%  
430 1.1% 31%  
431 4% 30%  
432 3% 26%  
433 3% 23%  
434 3% 19%  
435 2% 17%  
436 2% 15%  
437 1.2% 13%  
438 0.5% 12%  
439 1.0% 12%  
440 1.3% 11%  
441 1.2% 9%  
442 0.9% 8%  
443 0.5% 7%  
444 1.0% 7%  
445 0.4% 6%  
446 0.5% 6%  
447 0.5% 5%  
448 0.2% 5%  
449 0.4% 4%  
450 0.5% 4%  
451 0.3% 3%  
452 0.3% 3%  
453 0.2% 3%  
454 0.2% 3%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.1% 1.5%  
462 0.2% 1.4%  
463 0.3% 1.2%  
464 0% 0.9%  
465 0% 0.9%  
466 0% 0.9%  
467 0% 0.9%  
468 0.2% 0.9%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0% 0.5%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.3% 99.6%  
362 0.1% 99.3%  
363 0.1% 99.2%  
364 0.1% 99.2%  
365 0.1% 99.0%  
366 0.1% 99.0%  
367 0.2% 98.9%  
368 0.1% 98.7%  
369 0.2% 98.6%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.2% 98%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.2% 98%  
374 0.2% 97%  
375 1.3% 97%  
376 0.1% 96%  
377 0.6% 96%  
378 0.2% 95%  
379 0.2% 95%  
380 2% 95%  
381 0.6% 93%  
382 0.8% 92%  
383 0.1% 92%  
384 2% 92%  
385 0.2% 90%  
386 0.8% 90%  
387 2% 89%  
388 0.9% 87%  
389 0.4% 86%  
390 0.6% 86%  
391 2% 85%  
392 2% 83%  
393 2% 81%  
394 1.2% 79%  
395 0.9% 78%  
396 4% 77%  
397 3% 74%  
398 5% 70%  
399 2% 65%  
400 0.9% 63%  
401 2% 62%  
402 1.1% 61%  
403 4% 59%  
404 2% 56%  
405 0.8% 54%  
406 3% 53%  
407 0.4% 50%  
408 4% 50% Median
409 0.6% 46%  
410 2% 45%  
411 0.5% 43%  
412 0.7% 43%  
413 1.0% 42%  
414 3% 41%  
415 6% 38%  
416 0.6% 32%  
417 1.1% 31%  
418 4% 30%  
419 2% 26%  
420 3% 25%  
421 0.7% 22%  
422 1.1% 21%  
423 4% 20%  
424 1.4% 16%  
425 2% 15%  
426 2% 13%  
427 0.3% 10%  
428 1.2% 10%  
429 0.3% 9%  
430 0.8% 9%  
431 1.2% 8%  
432 1.1% 7%  
433 0.5% 6%  
434 0.3% 5%  
435 0.8% 5%  
436 0.2% 4%  
437 0.2% 4%  
438 0.1% 4%  
439 0.5% 4%  
440 0.5% 3%  
441 0.2% 3%  
442 0% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.2% 2%  
445 0.2% 2%  
446 0.1% 2%  
447 0.4% 2%  
448 0% 1.4%  
449 0.1% 1.4%  
450 0.1% 1.3%  
451 0.1% 1.1%  
452 0% 1.0%  
453 0% 1.0%  
454 0% 1.0%  
455 0% 1.0%  
456 0% 0.9%  
457 0.2% 0.9%  
458 0.2% 0.7%  
459 0% 0.5%  
460 0% 0.5%  
461 0% 0.4%  
462 0% 0.4%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0% 0.3%  
465 0% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.2%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.8%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0% 99.6%  
356 0.3% 99.6%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.2%  
360 0.1% 99.0%  
361 0.1% 99.0%  
362 0.3% 98.9%  
363 0.1% 98.6%  
364 0.1% 98.5%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.4% 98%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.2% 97%  
370 1.3% 97%  
371 0.1% 96%  
372 0.4% 96%  
373 0.3% 95%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 2% 95%  
376 0.6% 93%  
377 0.8% 93%  
378 0.2% 92%  
379 2% 92%  
380 0.2% 90%  
381 0.7% 90%  
382 1.4% 89%  
383 1.0% 87%  
384 0.5% 86%  
385 0.6% 86%  
386 2% 85%  
387 2% 84%  
388 2% 81%  
389 1.1% 79%  
390 0.9% 78%  
391 3% 77%  
392 3% 74%  
393 5% 71%  
394 3% 66%  
395 0.4% 63%  
396 2% 63%  
397 1.2% 61%  
398 5% 60%  
399 1.4% 55%  
400 0.8% 54%  
401 1.1% 53%  
402 2% 52%  
403 2% 50% Median
404 2% 48%  
405 0.9% 45%  
406 0.5% 45%  
407 2% 44%  
408 2% 43%  
409 2% 40%  
410 7% 39%  
411 0.6% 32%  
412 0.4% 31%  
413 4% 31%  
414 2% 27%  
415 2% 25%  
416 1.5% 23%  
417 1.4% 21%  
418 4% 20%  
419 0.8% 16%  
420 2% 15%  
421 2% 13%  
422 0.9% 11%  
423 1.2% 10%  
424 0.4% 9%  
425 0.8% 9%  
426 0.3% 8%  
427 2% 8%  
428 0.4% 6%  
429 0.3% 5%  
430 0.8% 5%  
431 0.4% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.1% 4%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.3% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.1% 1.4%  
445 0% 1.3%  
446 0.2% 1.2%  
447 0% 1.0%  
448 0% 1.0%  
449 0% 1.0%  
450 0% 1.0%  
451 0% 0.9%  
452 0.2% 0.9%  
453 0.1% 0.7%  
454 0.2% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.5%  
456 0% 0.4%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.4%  
460 0.1% 0.3%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.2%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.9%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.8%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0.1% 99.7%  
150 0.1% 99.6%  
151 0% 99.5%  
152 0% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.5%  
154 0% 99.4%  
155 0.1% 99.4%  
156 0.2% 99.3%  
157 0% 99.1%  
158 0% 99.1%  
159 0% 99.1%  
160 0% 99.1%  
161 0.2% 99.1%  
162 0.2% 98.9%  
163 0.2% 98.7%  
164 0.1% 98.5%  
165 0% 98%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.2% 98%  
168 0.3% 98%  
169 0.1% 98%  
170 0.2% 98%  
171 0.1% 97%  
172 0.2% 97%  
173 0.4% 97%  
174 0.5% 97%  
175 0.5% 96%  
176 0.3% 96%  
177 0.4% 95%  
178 0.6% 95%  
179 0.4% 95%  
180 0.2% 94%  
181 1.3% 94%  
182 0.7% 93%  
183 1.3% 92%  
184 1.1% 91%  
185 0.7% 89%  
186 0.9% 89%  
187 1.0% 88%  
188 2% 87%  
189 2% 85%  
190 0.9% 83%  
191 4% 82%  
192 3% 78%  
193 4% 75%  
194 2% 71%  
195 0.4% 69%  
196 1.1% 69%  
197 3% 68%  
198 2% 65%  
199 3% 63%  
200 0.4% 60%  
201 1.3% 60%  
202 0.3% 58%  
203 4% 58%  
204 2% 55%  
205 3% 53%  
206 1.4% 50% Median
207 0.9% 49%  
208 6% 48%  
209 0.4% 41%  
210 1.2% 41%  
211 0.9% 40%  
212 2% 39%  
213 1.1% 37%  
214 1.0% 36%  
215 4% 35%  
216 1.0% 30%  
217 4% 29%  
218 0.8% 25%  
219 1.5% 25%  
220 2% 23%  
221 0.8% 21%  
222 2% 20%  
223 0.8% 18%  
224 2% 17%  
225 1.3% 15%  
226 2% 14%  
227 0.6% 12%  
228 0.7% 11%  
229 1.0% 10%  
230 0.8% 9%  
231 1.3% 9%  
232 0.2% 7%  
233 0.5% 7%  
234 0.5% 7%  
235 0.5% 6%  
236 0.2% 6%  
237 1.1% 5%  
238 0.1% 4%  
239 0.5% 4%  
240 0.2% 4%  
241 0.1% 3%  
242 0.1% 3%  
243 1.2% 3%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.1% 2%  
246 0.2% 2%  
247 0.2% 1.4%  
248 0.1% 1.2%  
249 0.1% 1.1%  
250 0.1% 1.1%  
251 0.3% 1.0%  
252 0.1% 0.7%  
253 0.1% 0.6%  
254 0.1% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.5%  
256 0% 0.4%  
257 0% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0.1% 0.3%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0.1% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.7%  
136 0% 99.6%  
137 0% 99.6%  
138 0.1% 99.6%  
139 0% 99.5%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.4%  
143 0% 99.4%  
144 0.2% 99.4%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.2% 99.2%  
147 0.2% 99.0%  
148 0% 98.8%  
149 0% 98.7%  
150 0% 98.7%  
151 0.3% 98.7%  
152 0% 98%  
153 0.1% 98%  
154 0.1% 98%  
155 0.4% 98%  
156 0.1% 98%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.1% 97%  
159 0% 97%  
160 0.3% 97%  
161 0.2% 97%  
162 0.6% 97%  
163 0.1% 96%  
164 0.1% 96%  
165 0.9% 96%  
166 0.4% 95%  
167 0.3% 95%  
168 0.4% 94%  
169 0.3% 94%  
170 1.1% 94%  
171 0.1% 93%  
172 1.3% 93%  
173 0.4% 91%  
174 0.9% 91%  
175 0.1% 90%  
176 4% 90%  
177 0.7% 86%  
178 1.3% 85%  
179 1.1% 84%  
180 2% 83%  
181 0.9% 81%  
182 3% 80%  
183 1.2% 78%  
184 1.0% 76%  
185 0.9% 75%  
186 1.3% 75%  
187 2% 73%  
188 0.5% 72%  
189 0.6% 71%  
190 3% 71%  
191 8% 68%  
192 2% 60%  
193 0.2% 58%  
194 0.9% 58%  
195 2% 57%  
196 0.5% 55%  
197 0.4% 55%  
198 4% 54%  
199 5% 50%  
200 0.6% 45% Median
201 0.5% 45%  
202 2% 44%  
203 2% 42%  
204 0.9% 41%  
205 1.5% 40%  
206 4% 38%  
207 0.5% 34%  
208 2% 34%  
209 0.9% 31%  
210 2% 30%  
211 1.2% 28%  
212 2% 27%  
213 3% 25%  
214 1.2% 22%  
215 0.7% 21%  
216 2% 20%  
217 1.5% 18%  
218 0.3% 16%  
219 0.5% 16%  
220 2% 15%  
221 2% 13%  
222 0.4% 12%  
223 1.0% 11%  
224 0.2% 10%  
225 0.8% 10%  
226 0.4% 9%  
227 0.6% 9%  
228 2% 8%  
229 0.6% 7%  
230 0.3% 6%  
231 0.7% 6%  
232 0.2% 5%  
233 0.2% 5%  
234 0.2% 5%  
235 0.3% 4%  
236 1.2% 4%  
237 0.3% 3%  
238 0.1% 3%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.2% 2%  
241 0.2% 2%  
242 0.2% 2%  
243 0.1% 2%  
244 0.3% 2%  
245 0.1% 1.3%  
246 0.1% 1.2%  
247 0.3% 1.1%  
248 0.1% 0.8%  
249 0.1% 0.7%  
250 0% 0.6%  
251 0.2% 0.6%  
252 0% 0.4%  
253 0% 0.4%  
254 0% 0.3%  
255 0.1% 0.3%  
256 0.1% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.2%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0% 99.6%  
133 0.1% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.5%  
135 0% 99.5%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.4%  
138 0% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.4%  
140 0% 99.2%  
141 0.1% 99.2%  
142 0.3% 99.1%  
143 0.1% 98.9%  
144 0% 98.7%  
145 0% 98.7%  
146 0.3% 98.7%  
147 0.1% 98%  
148 0.1% 98%  
149 0% 98%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.1% 98%  
152 0.1% 98%  
153 0.2% 98%  
154 0.1% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.2% 97%  
157 0.4% 97%  
158 0.2% 96%  
159 0.2% 96%  
160 0.8% 96%  
161 0.4% 95%  
162 0.1% 95%  
163 0.5% 95%  
164 0.3% 94%  
165 1.2% 94%  
166 0.2% 93%  
167 0.3% 93%  
168 1.4% 92%  
169 0.6% 91%  
170 0.2% 90%  
171 4% 90%  
172 0.1% 86%  
173 2% 86%  
174 0.9% 84%  
175 2% 83%  
176 0.6% 81%  
177 2% 80%  
178 2% 79%  
179 1.3% 77%  
180 0.7% 76%  
181 0.9% 75%  
182 2% 74%  
183 1.1% 72%  
184 0.5% 71%  
185 2% 71%  
186 7% 69%  
187 3% 62%  
188 1.2% 59%  
189 2% 58%  
190 0.4% 56%  
191 0.9% 56%  
192 0.3% 55%  
193 2% 54%  
194 6% 52%  
195 0.6% 46% Median
196 2% 46%  
197 0.7% 44%  
198 3% 43%  
199 0.5% 41%  
200 2% 40%  
201 4% 38%  
202 0.6% 34%  
203 3% 34%  
204 0.5% 31%  
205 1.1% 31%  
206 3% 29%  
207 2% 27%  
208 3% 25%  
209 1.3% 22%  
210 0.7% 21%  
211 2% 20%  
212 2% 18%  
213 0.4% 16%  
214 0.5% 16%  
215 2% 15%  
216 1.4% 13%  
217 0.6% 12%  
218 0.9% 11%  
219 0.2% 10%  
220 0.8% 10%  
221 0.2% 9%  
222 0.8% 9%  
223 2% 8%  
224 0.6% 7%  
225 0.2% 6%  
226 0.8% 6%  
227 0.1% 5%  
228 0.2% 5%  
229 0.3% 5%  
230 0.3% 4%  
231 1.1% 4%  
232 0.3% 3%  
233 0.1% 3%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.3% 2%  
236 0.1% 2%  
237 0.3% 2%  
238 0.1% 2%  
239 0.3% 2%  
240 0.1% 1.3%  
241 0.2% 1.2%  
242 0.3% 1.1%  
243 0.1% 0.8%  
244 0.1% 0.7%  
245 0% 0.6%  
246 0.2% 0.6%  
247 0% 0.4%  
248 0% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.4%  
125 0% 99.4%  
126 0% 99.4%  
127 0% 99.4%  
128 0.3% 99.3%  
129 0.1% 99.1%  
130 0.1% 99.0%  
131 0% 98.8%  
132 0% 98.8%  
133 0.1% 98.7%  
134 0.2% 98.6%  
135 0% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 0.2% 98%  
139 0.1% 98%  
140 0.3% 98%  
141 0.5% 98%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0.1% 97%  
146 0.3% 97%  
147 1.1% 96%  
148 0.3% 95%  
149 0.1% 95%  
150 0.2% 95%  
151 0.1% 95%  
152 0.3% 94%  
153 0.2% 94%  
154 1.1% 94%  
155 1.1% 93%  
156 0.1% 92%  
157 0.5% 92%  
158 2% 91%  
159 0.8% 89%  
160 0.6% 89%  
161 0.5% 88%  
162 1.3% 87%  
163 5% 86%  
164 1.2% 81%  
165 0.5% 80%  
166 2% 80%  
167 2% 78%  
168 4% 76%  
169 0.9% 72%  
170 0.7% 71%  
171 2% 71%  
172 1.5% 69%  
173 1.4% 67%  
174 1.0% 66%  
175 2% 65%  
176 3% 63%  
177 0.8% 59%  
178 2% 58%  
179 1.2% 56%  
180 0.5% 55%  
181 1.4% 54%  
182 0.7% 53%  
183 2% 52%  
184 3% 50% Median
185 6% 47%  
186 1.4% 41%  
187 0.3% 39%  
188 0.3% 39%  
189 0.9% 39%  
190 4% 38%  
191 2% 34%  
192 2% 32%  
193 0.6% 30%  
194 0.4% 30%  
195 1.4% 29%  
196 2% 28%  
197 0.9% 26%  
198 2% 25%  
199 2% 24%  
200 0.7% 21%  
201 0.7% 20%  
202 1.1% 20%  
203 0.9% 19%  
204 1.4% 18%  
205 3% 16%  
206 1.2% 13%  
207 0.3% 12%  
208 0.6% 12%  
209 1.2% 11%  
210 1.4% 10%  
211 1.0% 9%  
212 0.8% 8%  
213 0.5% 7%  
214 0.3% 6%  
215 0.2% 6%  
216 0.4% 6%  
217 0.3% 5%  
218 0.2% 5%  
219 0.1% 5%  
220 0.9% 5%  
221 0.2% 4%  
222 0.2% 4%  
223 0.1% 3%  
224 0.1% 3%  
225 1.1% 3%  
226 0.3% 2%  
227 0% 2%  
228 0.1% 2%  
229 0.3% 2%  
230 0.3% 1.5%  
231 0% 1.1%  
232 0.1% 1.1%  
233 0.1% 1.0%  
234 0.1% 0.9%  
235 0.1% 0.8%  
236 0.2% 0.7%  
237 0% 0.5%  
238 0.1% 0.5%  
239 0.1% 0.4%  
240 0.2% 0.3%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.5%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.4%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0% 99.4%  
122 0% 99.4%  
123 0.2% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.1%  
125 0% 99.0%  
126 0.1% 98.9%  
127 0% 98.8%  
128 0.1% 98.7%  
129 0.2% 98.6%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.4% 98%  
136 0.4% 98%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.1% 97%  
139 0.2% 97%  
140 0.1% 97%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 1.0% 96%  
143 0.2% 95%  
144 0.4% 95%  
145 0.1% 95%  
146 0.2% 95%  
147 0.3% 94%  
148 0.1% 94%  
149 1.0% 94%  
150 0.4% 93%  
151 1.0% 93%  
152 0.4% 92%  
153 1.4% 91%  
154 1.2% 90%  
155 0.5% 89%  
156 0.4% 88%  
157 1.0% 88%  
158 5% 87%  
159 0.8% 81%  
160 0.7% 80%  
161 2% 80%  
162 1.1% 78%  
163 2% 77%  
164 3% 75%  
165 0.3% 71%  
166 1.1% 71%  
167 2% 70%  
168 1.1% 67%  
169 0.8% 66%  
170 3% 66%  
171 4% 63%  
172 0.8% 59%  
173 2% 58%  
174 2% 57%  
175 0.7% 55%  
176 1.4% 54%  
177 0.7% 53%  
178 2% 52%  
179 0.8% 50% Median
180 7% 49%  
181 2% 42%  
182 0.8% 40%  
183 0.2% 39%  
184 1.2% 39%  
185 4% 38%  
186 2% 34%  
187 2% 32%  
188 0.8% 31%  
189 0.5% 30%  
190 2% 29%  
191 1.2% 28%  
192 2% 27%  
193 1.4% 25%  
194 2% 24%  
195 0.8% 21%  
196 1.1% 20%  
197 0.9% 19%  
198 0.4% 18%  
199 1.5% 18%  
200 3% 17%  
201 1.1% 13%  
202 0.5% 12%  
203 0.5% 12%  
204 2% 11%  
205 2% 10%  
206 0.9% 8%  
207 0.8% 7%  
208 0.2% 7%  
209 0.5% 7%  
210 0.2% 6%  
211 0.4% 6%  
212 0.3% 5%  
213 0.1% 5%  
214 0.1% 5%  
215 1.1% 5%  
216 0.1% 4%  
217 0.2% 4%  
218 0.1% 3%  
219 0.2% 3%  
220 1.1% 3%  
221 0.2% 2%  
222 0% 2%  
223 0.1% 2%  
224 0.3% 2%  
225 0.3% 1.4%  
226 0.1% 1.1%  
227 0.1% 1.1%  
228 0.1% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.9%  
230 0.1% 0.8%  
231 0.2% 0.7%  
232 0% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0.2% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations