Opinion Poll by Opinium for The Observer, 25–27 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.7% 43.0–46.5% 42.5–47.0% 42.1–47.4% 41.3–48.2%
Conservative Party 43.6% 28.8% 27.2–30.4% 26.8–30.8% 26.4–31.2% 25.7–32.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.1% 9.1–12.4% 8.6–13.0%
Green Party 2.8% 5.8% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–7.0% 4.7–7.2% 4.3–7.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 3.0–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.6–5.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.1–4.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 365 343–385 338–391 334–397 326–407
Conservative Party 365 196 174–218 167–223 161–227 150–234
Liberal Democrats 11 26 20–34 19–38 17–39 12–42
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Brexit Party 0 2 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4
Scottish National Party 48 38 26–49 22–52 18–53 15–56

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6% Majority
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.2% 98.9%  
331 0.4% 98.7%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 0.4% 98%  
335 0.6% 97%  
336 0.6% 97%  
337 0.7% 96%  
338 0.7% 95%  
339 0.4% 95%  
340 1.0% 94%  
341 0.9% 93%  
342 1.0% 92%  
343 1.4% 91%  
344 1.1% 90%  
345 1.4% 89%  
346 1.4% 87%  
347 1.1% 86%  
348 2% 85%  
349 1.5% 83%  
350 2% 82%  
351 2% 80%  
352 1.4% 78%  
353 2% 77%  
354 2% 75%  
355 3% 73%  
356 1.4% 70%  
357 2% 68%  
358 2% 66%  
359 2% 64%  
360 3% 63%  
361 2% 59%  
362 2% 58%  
363 2% 55%  
364 2% 53%  
365 2% 51% Median
366 1.4% 49%  
367 2% 48%  
368 3% 45%  
369 2% 42%  
370 2% 40%  
371 2% 38%  
372 2% 36%  
373 2% 33%  
374 3% 31%  
375 2% 28%  
376 2% 26%  
377 2% 24%  
378 3% 22%  
379 1.1% 19%  
380 2% 18%  
381 2% 16%  
382 2% 15%  
383 1.4% 13%  
384 1.1% 12%  
385 0.9% 10%  
386 1.0% 10%  
387 1.1% 8%  
388 0.7% 7%  
389 0.6% 7%  
390 0.8% 6%  
391 0.6% 5%  
392 0.6% 5%  
393 0.5% 4%  
394 0.3% 4%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.2% 1.4%  
402 0.2% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 1.1%  
404 0.1% 0.9%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.1% 99.5%  
151 0.1% 99.4%  
152 0.2% 99.3%  
153 0.1% 99.1%  
154 0.2% 99.0%  
155 0.1% 98.9%  
156 0.2% 98.7%  
157 0.1% 98.5%  
158 0.3% 98%  
159 0.3% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 0.4% 98%  
162 0.2% 97%  
163 0.4% 97%  
164 0.3% 97%  
165 0.5% 96%  
166 0.4% 96%  
167 0.5% 96%  
168 0.5% 95%  
169 0.4% 95%  
170 0.9% 94%  
171 0.6% 93%  
172 0.8% 93%  
173 0.9% 92%  
174 0.9% 91%  
175 1.3% 90%  
176 1.1% 89%  
177 1.4% 87%  
178 1.1% 86%  
179 2% 85%  
180 2% 83%  
181 2% 81%  
182 2% 80%  
183 2% 77%  
184 2% 76%  
185 2% 74%  
186 2% 72%  
187 3% 70%  
188 2% 67%  
189 2% 65%  
190 2% 63%  
191 2% 60%  
192 2% 58%  
193 2% 56%  
194 2% 54%  
195 2% 52%  
196 1.3% 50% Median
197 3% 49%  
198 2% 46%  
199 1.1% 44%  
200 2% 43%  
201 1.3% 41%  
202 3% 40%  
203 2% 37%  
204 2% 35%  
205 3% 33%  
206 2% 30%  
207 2% 29%  
208 2% 26%  
209 2% 24%  
210 2% 23%  
211 1.3% 21%  
212 2% 20%  
213 1.3% 17%  
214 2% 16%  
215 1.4% 14%  
216 1.3% 13%  
217 1.1% 12%  
218 1.1% 11%  
219 1.2% 10%  
220 1.0% 8%  
221 0.6% 7%  
222 1.3% 7%  
223 1.0% 6%  
224 0.7% 5%  
225 0.5% 4%  
226 0.5% 3%  
227 0.4% 3%  
228 0.5% 2%  
229 0.5% 2%  
230 0.2% 1.4%  
231 0.2% 1.1%  
232 0.2% 0.9%  
233 0.2% 0.7%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.8% Last Result
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 0.1% 99.5%  
14 0.2% 99.4%  
15 0.4% 99.2%  
16 0.8% 98.8%  
17 2% 98%  
18 1.3% 96%  
19 3% 95%  
20 4% 92%  
21 3% 88%  
22 5% 85%  
23 9% 80%  
24 7% 72%  
25 7% 65%  
26 10% 58% Median
27 10% 48%  
28 10% 38%  
29 2% 28%  
30 3% 27%  
31 4% 24%  
32 5% 19%  
33 3% 14%  
34 2% 12%  
35 0.8% 10%  
36 2% 9%  
37 2% 7%  
38 2% 5%  
39 1.5% 3%  
40 0.8% 2%  
41 0.6% 1.2%  
42 0.3% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 88% 100% Last Result, Median
2 6% 12%  
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 40% 100% Last Result
1 6% 60%  
2 26% 54% Median
3 27% 27%  
4 0.6% 0.6%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.9%  
11 0.1% 99.8%  
12 0.1% 99.8%  
13 0% 99.7%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.1% 99.6%  
16 0.3% 99.4%  
17 0.7% 99.1%  
18 1.2% 98%  
19 0.8% 97%  
20 0.7% 96%  
21 0.7% 96%  
22 0.9% 95%  
23 1.5% 94%  
24 1.0% 93%  
25 1.0% 92%  
26 2% 91%  
27 0.9% 89%  
28 2% 88%  
29 2% 86%  
30 3% 84%  
31 7% 81%  
32 2% 74%  
33 6% 71%  
34 3% 65%  
35 4% 62%  
36 5% 59%  
37 2% 53%  
38 8% 52% Median
39 2% 43%  
40 6% 41%  
41 9% 36%  
42 2% 26%  
43 4% 25%  
44 3% 21%  
45 2% 18%  
46 3% 16%  
47 0.9% 14%  
48 2% 13% Last Result
49 1.3% 11%  
50 2% 10%  
51 3% 8%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 4%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.5% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 429 100% 406–451 401–457 397–463 390–475
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 402 100% 382–420 377–426 373–432 368–441
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 391 100% 367–415 361–422 356–428 348–441
Labour Party 202 365 99.6% 343–385 338–391 334–397 326–407
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 233 0% 209–257 202–263 196–268 183–276
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 222 0% 204–243 199–247 192–250 183–256
Conservative Party 365 196 0% 174–218 167–223 161–227 150–234

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0.1% 99.9%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.6%  
391 0.2% 99.4%  
392 0.3% 99.3%  
393 0.2% 99.0%  
394 0.3% 98.8%  
395 0.4% 98.6%  
396 0.5% 98%  
397 0.5% 98%  
398 0.5% 97%  
399 0.7% 97%  
400 0.5% 96%  
401 1.3% 95%  
402 0.7% 94%  
403 0.8% 93%  
404 1.1% 93%  
405 1.2% 92%  
406 0.9% 90%  
407 1.1% 89%  
408 1.2% 88%  
409 1.2% 87%  
410 2% 86%  
411 2% 84%  
412 1.4% 83%  
413 1.3% 81%  
414 2% 80%  
415 2% 78%  
416 2% 76%  
417 2% 74%  
418 2% 72%  
419 3% 71%  
420 2% 67%  
421 2% 66%  
422 2% 64%  
423 2% 62%  
424 3% 60%  
425 1.2% 58%  
426 2% 56%  
427 2% 54%  
428 2% 52%  
429 2% 50% Median
430 1.1% 48%  
431 3% 47%  
432 2% 44%  
433 2% 42%  
434 1.2% 40%  
435 2% 39%  
436 2% 37%  
437 4% 35%  
438 3% 31%  
439 1.5% 28%  
440 2% 27%  
441 1.0% 25%  
442 2% 24%  
443 2% 22%  
444 1.3% 20%  
445 2% 18%  
446 2% 16%  
447 1.0% 14%  
448 0.7% 13%  
449 1.2% 12%  
450 1.1% 11%  
451 1.4% 10%  
452 0.9% 9%  
453 0.7% 8%  
454 0.9% 7%  
455 0.6% 6%  
456 0.5% 6%  
457 0.4% 5%  
458 0.4% 5%  
459 0.4% 4%  
460 0.4% 4%  
461 0.4% 4%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 0.4% 3%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.2% 2%  
468 0.1% 1.5%  
469 0.1% 1.3%  
470 0.2% 1.3%  
471 0.1% 1.1%  
472 0.2% 0.9%  
473 0.1% 0.8%  
474 0.1% 0.7%  
475 0.1% 0.6%  
476 0.1% 0.5%  
477 0.1% 0.4%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0.1% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.2% 99.5%  
369 0.2% 99.3%  
370 0.3% 99.1%  
371 0.4% 98.9%  
372 0.4% 98%  
373 0.5% 98%  
374 0.5% 97%  
375 0.8% 97%  
376 1.0% 96%  
377 0.7% 95%  
378 0.9% 94%  
379 1.0% 94%  
380 1.3% 93%  
381 1.0% 91%  
382 1.2% 90%  
383 1.2% 89%  
384 2% 88%  
385 1.0% 86%  
386 2% 85%  
387 2% 84%  
388 2% 82%  
389 2% 80%  
390 2% 78%  
391 2% 76%  
392 2% 73%  
393 2% 71%  
394 3% 69%  
395 2% 67%  
396 2% 65%  
397 2% 63%  
398 2% 60%  
399 2% 58%  
400 3% 56%  
401 2% 53%  
402 2% 51%  
403 1.4% 49% Median
404 2% 47%  
405 2% 46%  
406 2% 43%  
407 2% 41%  
408 3% 39%  
409 3% 36%  
410 3% 33%  
411 2% 30%  
412 3% 28%  
413 2% 25%  
414 2% 23%  
415 2% 20%  
416 2% 18%  
417 2% 16%  
418 2% 14%  
419 1.1% 12%  
420 1.3% 11%  
421 1.2% 10%  
422 0.9% 8%  
423 0.7% 7%  
424 0.8% 7%  
425 0.6% 6%  
426 0.6% 5%  
427 0.5% 5%  
428 0.5% 4%  
429 0.3% 4%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.3% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.3% 2%  
434 0.3% 2%  
435 0.3% 2%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.3% 1.4%  
438 0.2% 1.1%  
439 0.2% 0.9%  
440 0.1% 0.7%  
441 0.2% 0.6%  
442 0.1% 0.5%  
443 0.1% 0.4%  
444 0.1% 0.3%  
445 0.1% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.2% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.2%  
351 0.1% 99.0%  
352 0.2% 98.9%  
353 0.3% 98.7%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.4% 98%  
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.4% 97%  
358 0.4% 97%  
359 0.8% 96%  
360 0.5% 96%  
361 0.4% 95%  
362 0.7% 95%  
363 0.6% 94%  
364 1.1% 94%  
365 0.6% 92%  
366 1.2% 92%  
367 1.1% 91%  
368 1.2% 90%  
369 1.0% 88%  
370 1.2% 87%  
371 1.0% 86%  
372 1.4% 85%  
373 1.4% 84%  
374 2% 82%  
375 1.1% 81%  
376 2% 80%  
377 2% 78%  
378 2% 76%  
379 2% 75%  
380 2% 73%  
381 3% 72%  
382 1.4% 69%  
383 2% 67%  
384 2% 66%  
385 2% 64%  
386 3% 62%  
387 1.4% 59%  
388 1.4% 58%  
389 2% 56%  
390 3% 54%  
391 2% 51% Median
392 2% 49%  
393 1.4% 47%  
394 1.1% 46%  
395 2% 45%  
396 1.5% 43%  
397 2% 42%  
398 2% 39%  
399 2% 37%  
400 2% 34%  
401 2% 33%  
402 2% 30%  
403 1.2% 28%  
404 2% 27%  
405 2% 25%  
406 2% 23%  
407 2% 21%  
408 2% 20%  
409 1.1% 18%  
410 1.2% 17%  
411 1.4% 16%  
412 0.9% 14%  
413 2% 13%  
414 1.3% 12%  
415 0.8% 10%  
416 0.7% 10%  
417 0.7% 9%  
418 1.0% 8%  
419 0.7% 7%  
420 0.7% 6%  
421 0.4% 6%  
422 0.8% 5%  
423 0.4% 5%  
424 0.5% 4%  
425 0.3% 4%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.2% 3%  
428 0.5% 3%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.3% 2%  
431 0.1% 2%  
432 0.1% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.2% 1.5%  
435 0.2% 1.3%  
436 0.2% 1.1%  
437 0.1% 0.9%  
438 0.1% 0.8%  
439 0.1% 0.7%  
440 0.2% 0.7%  
441 0.1% 0.5%  
442 0% 0.4%  
443 0% 0.4%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0% 0.3%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 99.9%  
321 0% 99.9%  
322 0% 99.9%  
323 0.1% 99.8%  
324 0.1% 99.8%  
325 0.1% 99.7%  
326 0.1% 99.6% Majority
327 0.2% 99.5%  
328 0.2% 99.3%  
329 0.2% 99.2%  
330 0.2% 98.9%  
331 0.4% 98.7%  
332 0.2% 98%  
333 0.4% 98%  
334 0.4% 98%  
335 0.6% 97%  
336 0.6% 97%  
337 0.7% 96%  
338 0.7% 95%  
339 0.4% 95%  
340 1.0% 94%  
341 0.9% 93%  
342 1.0% 92%  
343 1.4% 91%  
344 1.1% 90%  
345 1.4% 89%  
346 1.4% 87%  
347 1.1% 86%  
348 2% 85%  
349 1.5% 83%  
350 2% 82%  
351 2% 80%  
352 1.4% 78%  
353 2% 77%  
354 2% 75%  
355 3% 73%  
356 1.4% 70%  
357 2% 68%  
358 2% 66%  
359 2% 64%  
360 3% 63%  
361 2% 59%  
362 2% 58%  
363 2% 55%  
364 2% 53%  
365 2% 51% Median
366 1.4% 49%  
367 2% 48%  
368 3% 45%  
369 2% 42%  
370 2% 40%  
371 2% 38%  
372 2% 36%  
373 2% 33%  
374 3% 31%  
375 2% 28%  
376 2% 26%  
377 2% 24%  
378 3% 22%  
379 1.1% 19%  
380 2% 18%  
381 2% 16%  
382 2% 15%  
383 1.4% 13%  
384 1.1% 12%  
385 0.9% 10%  
386 1.0% 10%  
387 1.1% 8%  
388 0.7% 7%  
389 0.6% 7%  
390 0.8% 6%  
391 0.6% 5%  
392 0.6% 5%  
393 0.5% 4%  
394 0.3% 4%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.4% 3%  
397 0.3% 3%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.3% 2%  
400 0.3% 2%  
401 0.2% 1.4%  
402 0.2% 1.3%  
403 0.2% 1.1%  
404 0.1% 0.9%  
405 0.1% 0.8%  
406 0.1% 0.7%  
407 0.1% 0.6%  
408 0.1% 0.5%  
409 0.1% 0.4%  
410 0.1% 0.3%  
411 0% 0.3%  
412 0% 0.2%  
413 0% 0.2%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0.1%  
418 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
171 0% 100%  
172 0% 99.9%  
173 0% 99.9%  
174 0% 99.9%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.8%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.6%  
183 0.1% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.1% 99.4%  
186 0.1% 99.3%  
187 0.1% 99.2%  
188 0.1% 99.1%  
189 0.1% 99.0%  
190 0.2% 98.9%  
191 0.1% 98.6%  
192 0.2% 98.5%  
193 0.2% 98%  
194 0.2% 98%  
195 0.3% 98%  
196 0.3% 98%  
197 0.3% 97%  
198 0.3% 97%  
199 0.4% 97%  
200 0.2% 96%  
201 0.4% 96%  
202 0.7% 96%  
203 0.5% 95%  
204 0.7% 95%  
205 0.4% 94%  
206 1.1% 93%  
207 0.8% 92%  
208 0.8% 92%  
209 0.8% 91%  
210 1.1% 90%  
211 1.0% 89%  
212 1.3% 88%  
213 2% 87%  
214 1.1% 85%  
215 2% 84%  
216 1.5% 82%  
217 1.2% 81%  
218 2% 79%  
219 1.3% 78%  
220 2% 76%  
221 1.3% 74%  
222 2% 73%  
223 2% 71%  
224 3% 69%  
225 4% 66%  
226 1.4% 63%  
227 2% 61%  
228 2% 60%  
229 2% 58%  
230 2% 56%  
231 2% 54%  
232 1.1% 53%  
233 2% 52%  
234 3% 50% Median
235 2% 47%  
236 2% 45%  
237 2% 43%  
238 2% 41%  
239 1.2% 39%  
240 2% 38%  
241 1.5% 35%  
242 3% 34%  
243 2% 31%  
244 2% 29%  
245 2% 27%  
246 2% 26%  
247 2% 24%  
248 1.1% 22%  
249 2% 21%  
250 1.4% 19%  
251 1.2% 18%  
252 1.3% 17%  
253 1.4% 16%  
254 1.0% 14%  
255 1.0% 13%  
256 1.4% 12%  
257 2% 11%  
258 0.8% 9%  
259 0.7% 8%  
260 0.9% 8%  
261 0.6% 7%  
262 0.7% 6%  
263 0.5% 5%  
264 0.6% 5%  
265 0.5% 4%  
266 0.5% 4%  
267 0.5% 3%  
268 0.5% 3%  
269 0.4% 2%  
270 0.3% 2%  
271 0.2% 2%  
272 0.3% 1.3%  
273 0.2% 1.1%  
274 0.2% 0.8%  
275 0.1% 0.7%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.4%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0.1% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0.1%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0.1% 99.9%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0.1% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.2% 99.4%  
186 0.2% 99.2%  
187 0.3% 99.0%  
188 0.2% 98.8%  
189 0.2% 98.5%  
190 0.3% 98%  
191 0.2% 98%  
192 0.3% 98%  
193 0.3% 97%  
194 0.3% 97%  
195 0.4% 97%  
196 0.6% 97%  
197 0.4% 96%  
198 0.5% 96%  
199 0.7% 95%  
200 0.6% 94%  
201 0.6% 94%  
202 0.9% 93%  
203 1.1% 92%  
204 1.3% 91%  
205 1.2% 90%  
206 2% 89%  
207 2% 87%  
208 2% 85%  
209 3% 83%  
210 2% 81%  
211 2% 78%  
212 3% 77%  
213 3% 74%  
214 4% 71%  
215 2% 67%  
216 3% 65%  
217 2% 62%  
218 3% 60%  
219 2% 58%  
220 2% 56%  
221 3% 54%  
222 2% 51% Median
223 2% 49%  
224 2% 47%  
225 2% 45%  
226 2% 43%  
227 2% 41%  
228 2% 38%  
229 2% 36%  
230 2% 34%  
231 2% 32%  
232 2% 29%  
233 2% 27%  
234 3% 25%  
235 2% 22%  
236 1.3% 21%  
237 3% 19%  
238 1.0% 16%  
239 1.3% 15%  
240 2% 14%  
241 1.4% 12%  
242 1.0% 11%  
243 1.3% 10%  
244 1.4% 9%  
245 0.9% 7%  
246 1.0% 6%  
247 0.6% 5%  
248 0.9% 5%  
249 1.0% 4%  
250 0.5% 3%  
251 0.5% 2%  
252 0.6% 2%  
253 0.3% 1.4%  
254 0.3% 1.1%  
255 0.3% 0.8%  
256 0.1% 0.6%  
257 0.1% 0.4%  
258 0.1% 0.3%  
259 0.1% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
139 0% 100%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.9%  
143 0% 99.9%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0.1% 99.7%  
148 0.1% 99.6%  
149 0.1% 99.6%  
150 0.1% 99.5%  
151 0.1% 99.4%  
152 0.2% 99.3%  
153 0.1% 99.1%  
154 0.2% 99.0%  
155 0.1% 98.9%  
156 0.2% 98.7%  
157 0.1% 98.5%  
158 0.3% 98%  
159 0.3% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 0.4% 98%  
162 0.2% 97%  
163 0.4% 97%  
164 0.3% 97%  
165 0.5% 96%  
166 0.4% 96%  
167 0.5% 96%  
168 0.5% 95%  
169 0.4% 95%  
170 0.9% 94%  
171 0.6% 93%  
172 0.8% 93%  
173 0.9% 92%  
174 0.9% 91%  
175 1.3% 90%  
176 1.1% 89%  
177 1.4% 87%  
178 1.1% 86%  
179 2% 85%  
180 2% 83%  
181 2% 81%  
182 2% 80%  
183 2% 77%  
184 2% 76%  
185 2% 74%  
186 2% 72%  
187 3% 70%  
188 2% 67%  
189 2% 65%  
190 2% 63%  
191 2% 60%  
192 2% 58%  
193 2% 56%  
194 2% 54%  
195 2% 52%  
196 1.3% 50% Median
197 3% 49%  
198 2% 46%  
199 1.1% 44%  
200 2% 43%  
201 1.3% 41%  
202 3% 40%  
203 2% 37%  
204 2% 35%  
205 3% 33%  
206 2% 30%  
207 2% 29%  
208 2% 26%  
209 2% 24%  
210 2% 23%  
211 1.3% 21%  
212 2% 20%  
213 1.3% 17%  
214 2% 16%  
215 1.4% 14%  
216 1.3% 13%  
217 1.1% 12%  
218 1.1% 11%  
219 1.2% 10%  
220 1.0% 8%  
221 0.6% 7%  
222 1.3% 7%  
223 1.0% 6%  
224 0.7% 5%  
225 0.5% 4%  
226 0.5% 3%  
227 0.4% 3%  
228 0.5% 2%  
229 0.5% 2%  
230 0.2% 1.4%  
231 0.2% 1.1%  
232 0.2% 0.9%  
233 0.2% 0.7%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations