Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 27–30 October 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.4% 47.7–51.1% 47.2–51.5% 46.8–52.0% 46.0–52.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.9% 25.4–28.4% 25.0–28.9% 24.6–29.2% 24.0–30.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.8% 10.8–13.0% 10.5–13.3% 10.3–13.6% 9.8–14.2%
Green Party 2.8% 5.1% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.7–6.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.2–4.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.2% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.4%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.1–0.4% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 420 399–434 394–438 390–447 379–462
Conservative Party 365 155 137–177 129–182 119–190 101–201
Liberal Democrats 11 38 30–43 27–50 26–51 24–53
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–3
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–3
Scottish National Party 48 16 7–24 5–29 4–33 1–36
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.3%  
382 0% 99.2%  
383 0.1% 99.2%  
384 0.2% 99.1%  
385 0.1% 98.9%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.1% 98.6%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.7% 98%  
391 0.5% 97%  
392 0.4% 97%  
393 0.9% 96%  
394 0.6% 95%  
395 1.2% 95%  
396 0.3% 94%  
397 2% 93%  
398 1.2% 92%  
399 2% 90%  
400 0.5% 89%  
401 1.2% 88%  
402 1.3% 87%  
403 1.0% 86%  
404 0.7% 85%  
405 0.6% 84%  
406 2% 83%  
407 2% 82%  
408 1.0% 80%  
409 2% 79%  
410 2% 76%  
411 1.0% 74%  
412 4% 73%  
413 0.8% 68%  
414 1.1% 68%  
415 1.1% 67%  
416 2% 65%  
417 4% 64%  
418 2% 60%  
419 3% 58%  
420 7% 55% Median
421 8% 48%  
422 5% 40%  
423 6% 35%  
424 6% 29%  
425 5% 23%  
426 2% 18%  
427 0.7% 17%  
428 2% 16%  
429 2% 15%  
430 0.6% 13%  
431 0.4% 12%  
432 0.3% 12%  
433 1.0% 11%  
434 0.9% 10%  
435 0.7% 9%  
436 0.8% 9%  
437 1.4% 8%  
438 1.4% 6%  
439 0.5% 5%  
440 0.2% 4%  
441 0.1% 4%  
442 0.1% 4%  
443 0.2% 4%  
444 0.9% 4%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0% 3%  
448 0% 2%  
449 0% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.5% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.3% 2%  
455 0.3% 1.3%  
456 0.1% 1.0%  
457 0.1% 0.9%  
458 0% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.7%  
460 0% 0.6%  
461 0% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0% 99.4%  
105 0% 99.4%  
106 0.2% 99.3%  
107 0.1% 99.1%  
108 0.1% 99.0%  
109 0% 98.9%  
110 0.1% 98.9%  
111 0.1% 98.8%  
112 0.2% 98.7%  
113 0.3% 98.6%  
114 0.1% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.3% 98%  
120 0.3% 97%  
121 0.2% 97%  
122 0.4% 97%  
123 0.6% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0.1% 96%  
126 0.2% 96%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.3% 95%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 1.2% 95%  
131 0.3% 94%  
132 0.9% 93%  
133 0.7% 92%  
134 0.4% 92%  
135 0.4% 91%  
136 0.5% 91%  
137 0.9% 90%  
138 3% 89%  
139 0.8% 87%  
140 1.0% 86%  
141 2% 85%  
142 0.5% 83%  
143 0.7% 82%  
144 2% 82%  
145 2% 80%  
146 1.3% 78%  
147 1.1% 77%  
148 10% 76%  
149 8% 66%  
150 0.9% 59%  
151 2% 58%  
152 1.1% 56%  
153 0.9% 55%  
154 2% 54%  
155 7% 52% Median
156 3% 45%  
157 6% 42%  
158 1.0% 36%  
159 0.3% 35%  
160 0.6% 35%  
161 4% 34%  
162 0.5% 30%  
163 3% 30%  
164 2% 27%  
165 0.9% 25%  
166 1.5% 24%  
167 1.5% 23%  
168 1.0% 21%  
169 0.8% 20%  
170 4% 19%  
171 0.3% 16%  
172 1.4% 15%  
173 0.5% 14%  
174 0.8% 13%  
175 2% 13%  
176 0.3% 11%  
177 0.8% 10%  
178 2% 10%  
179 0.3% 8%  
180 0.4% 8%  
181 2% 7%  
182 0.9% 6%  
183 0.3% 5%  
184 0.2% 5%  
185 0.8% 4%  
186 0.4% 4%  
187 0.1% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.2% 3%  
190 0.3% 3%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.1% 1.4%  
195 0.2% 1.3%  
196 0.1% 1.1%  
197 0.1% 1.0%  
198 0% 0.9%  
199 0.2% 0.9%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.6%  
202 0% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.4%  
205 0% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.2% 99.7%  
25 0.7% 99.5%  
26 2% 98.7%  
27 4% 97%  
28 0.8% 93%  
29 0.4% 92%  
30 7% 92%  
31 2% 84%  
32 2% 82%  
33 4% 81%  
34 1.3% 77%  
35 0.5% 76%  
36 10% 75%  
37 9% 65%  
38 9% 57% Median
39 9% 48%  
40 12% 39%  
41 6% 27%  
42 4% 21%  
43 7% 17%  
44 1.0% 9%  
45 0.6% 8%  
46 0.5% 8%  
47 1.1% 7%  
48 0.5% 6%  
49 0.7% 6%  
50 0.8% 5%  
51 2% 4%  
52 2% 2%  
53 0.3% 0.6%  
54 0% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.2%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0% 0.1%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 2% 3%  
3 1.2% 1.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 7%  
2 4% 6%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 1.0% 99.8%  
2 0.8% 98.8%  
3 0.2% 98%  
4 1.1% 98%  
5 5% 97%  
6 1.4% 91%  
7 2% 90%  
8 2% 88%  
9 2% 86%  
10 3% 84%  
11 1.2% 80%  
12 5% 79%  
13 0.7% 75%  
14 5% 74%  
15 9% 69%  
16 16% 60% Median
17 6% 45%  
18 9% 39%  
19 3% 30%  
20 1.5% 26%  
21 2% 25%  
22 9% 22%  
23 2% 14%  
24 2% 12%  
25 2% 10%  
26 1.2% 8%  
27 1.2% 7%  
28 0.6% 6%  
29 1.2% 5%  
30 0.4% 4%  
31 0.5% 3%  
32 0.4% 3%  
33 0% 3%  
34 2% 2%  
35 0% 0.7%  
36 0.3% 0.7%  
37 0% 0.4%  
38 0.2% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 19% 100%  
1 28% 81%  
2 24% 53% Median
3 21% 29%  
4 7% 8% Last Result
5 1.3% 1.3%  
6 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 475 100% 453–493 447–501 440–511 428–529
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 474 100% 452–492 446–500 439–510 427–528
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 473 100% 449–490 443–499 437–508 425–526
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 459 100% 436–476 430–483 425–491 412–509
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 457 100% 434–475 428–482 423–491 410–507
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 438 100% 418–452 412–458 406–468 396–481
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 436 100% 416–449 409–456 404–465 395–480
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 422 100% 401–435 396–440 393–449 380–463
Labour Party 202 420 100% 399–434 394–438 390–447 379–462
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 191 0% 177–211 171–217 161–223 148–232
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 172 0% 154–195 147–201 138–205 121–218
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 170 0% 153–193 145–198 138–203 119–217
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 156 0% 139–179 130–185 121–192 102–203
Conservative Party 365 155 0% 137–177 129–182 119–190 101–201

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.8%  
423 0% 99.7%  
424 0% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0% 99.6%  
427 0% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.5%  
430 0.1% 99.4%  
431 0.3% 99.3%  
432 0% 99.1%  
433 0.1% 99.0%  
434 0.1% 99.0%  
435 0.4% 98.8%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.4% 98%  
438 0.1% 98%  
439 0.2% 98%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.2% 97%  
442 0.3% 97%  
443 0.2% 97%  
444 0.4% 97%  
445 0.6% 96%  
446 0.2% 96%  
447 0.7% 95%  
448 0.6% 95%  
449 1.5% 94%  
450 2% 93%  
451 0.3% 91%  
452 0.7% 91%  
453 0.6% 90%  
454 0.4% 89%  
455 2% 89%  
456 0.6% 87%  
457 0.4% 87%  
458 1.5% 86%  
459 0.4% 85%  
460 4% 84%  
461 0.7% 80%  
462 0.9% 79%  
463 1.2% 79%  
464 2% 77%  
465 0.9% 76%  
466 2% 75%  
467 3% 73%  
468 0.6% 70%  
469 4% 69%  
470 0.5% 66%  
471 0.3% 65%  
472 1.1% 65%  
473 6% 64%  
474 3% 57%  
475 7% 55%  
476 2% 48%  
477 0.9% 46% Median
478 1.2% 45%  
479 2% 44%  
480 0.7% 42%  
481 7% 41%  
482 10% 34%  
483 1.2% 24%  
484 1.3% 23%  
485 2% 22%  
486 2% 20%  
487 0.8% 18%  
488 0.4% 17%  
489 2% 17%  
490 1.0% 15%  
491 0.8% 14%  
492 3% 13%  
493 0.8% 10%  
494 0.4% 10%  
495 0.4% 9%  
496 0.4% 9%  
497 0.7% 8%  
498 0.9% 8%  
499 0.3% 7%  
500 1.1% 6%  
501 0.4% 5%  
502 0.3% 5%  
503 0.1% 5%  
504 0.2% 4%  
505 0% 4%  
506 0% 4%  
507 0.6% 4%  
508 0.4% 4%  
509 0.2% 3%  
510 0.3% 3%  
511 0.3% 3%  
512 0.3% 2%  
513 0.2% 2%  
514 0.1% 2%  
515 0% 2%  
516 0.1% 2%  
517 0.3% 2%  
518 0.2% 1.4%  
519 0% 1.2%  
520 0.1% 1.2%  
521 0% 1.1%  
522 0.1% 1.1%  
523 0.1% 1.0%  
524 0.2% 0.9%  
525 0% 0.7%  
526 0% 0.6%  
527 0.1% 0.6%  
528 0% 0.6%  
529 0.1% 0.5%  
530 0% 0.4%  
531 0% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0% 0.3%  
535 0.1% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.8%  
422 0% 99.7%  
423 0% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0% 99.6%  
426 0% 99.6%  
427 0.1% 99.5%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.4%  
430 0.3% 99.3%  
431 0% 99.1%  
432 0.1% 99.0%  
433 0.1% 99.0%  
434 0.4% 98.8%  
435 0.2% 98%  
436 0.4% 98%  
437 0.1% 98%  
438 0.2% 98%  
439 0.3% 98%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.3% 97%  
442 0.2% 97%  
443 0.4% 97%  
444 0.6% 96%  
445 0.2% 96%  
446 0.7% 95%  
447 0.6% 95%  
448 1.5% 94%  
449 2% 93%  
450 0.3% 91%  
451 0.7% 91%  
452 0.6% 90%  
453 0.4% 89%  
454 2% 89%  
455 0.6% 87%  
456 0.5% 87%  
457 1.5% 86%  
458 0.4% 85%  
459 4% 84%  
460 0.6% 80%  
461 0.9% 79%  
462 1.3% 78%  
463 2% 77%  
464 0.9% 76%  
465 2% 75%  
466 3% 73%  
467 0.6% 70%  
468 4% 69%  
469 0.5% 66%  
470 0.3% 65%  
471 1.2% 65%  
472 6% 64%  
473 3% 57%  
474 7% 55%  
475 2% 48%  
476 0.9% 46% Median
477 1.2% 45%  
478 2% 44%  
479 0.7% 42%  
480 7% 41%  
481 10% 34%  
482 1.2% 24%  
483 1.4% 23%  
484 2% 21%  
485 2% 20%  
486 0.8% 18%  
487 0.4% 17%  
488 3% 17%  
489 0.7% 14%  
490 0.7% 14%  
491 3% 13%  
492 0.8% 10%  
493 0.4% 10%  
494 0.4% 9%  
495 0.4% 9%  
496 1.1% 8%  
497 0.6% 7%  
498 0.2% 7%  
499 1.2% 6%  
500 0.5% 5%  
501 0.2% 5%  
502 0.1% 5%  
503 0.2% 4%  
504 0% 4%  
505 0% 4%  
506 0.6% 4%  
507 0.4% 4%  
508 0.2% 3%  
509 0.3% 3%  
510 0.3% 3%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.2% 2%  
513 0.1% 2%  
514 0% 2%  
515 0.1% 2%  
516 0.3% 2%  
517 0.2% 1.4%  
518 0% 1.2%  
519 0.1% 1.2%  
520 0% 1.1%  
521 0% 1.0%  
522 0.1% 1.0%  
523 0.2% 0.9%  
524 0% 0.7%  
525 0% 0.6%  
526 0.1% 0.6%  
527 0% 0.6%  
528 0.1% 0.5%  
529 0% 0.4%  
530 0% 0.4%  
531 0% 0.3%  
532 0% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0.1% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.8%  
419 0% 99.8%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.6%  
424 0% 99.6%  
425 0% 99.5%  
426 0% 99.5%  
427 0.1% 99.4%  
428 0.3% 99.3%  
429 0% 99.0%  
430 0.1% 99.0%  
431 0.2% 98.9%  
432 0.2% 98.7%  
433 0.1% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.2% 98%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.1% 97%  
439 0.2% 97%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.6% 97%  
442 0.2% 96%  
443 1.2% 96%  
444 0.4% 95%  
445 1.5% 94%  
446 0.4% 93%  
447 1.2% 93%  
448 0.6% 91%  
449 0.7% 91%  
450 0.4% 90%  
451 0.9% 90%  
452 2% 89%  
453 0.6% 87%  
454 2% 86%  
455 2% 85%  
456 0.7% 83%  
457 2% 83%  
458 0.9% 80%  
459 0.6% 79%  
460 0.6% 79%  
461 2% 78%  
462 2% 76%  
463 2% 75%  
464 3% 73%  
465 3% 70%  
466 0.4% 67%  
467 2% 67%  
468 0.9% 65%  
469 0.9% 64%  
470 5% 63%  
471 4% 58%  
472 1.1% 55%  
473 7% 54%  
474 1.1% 46% Median
475 2% 45%  
476 0.6% 44%  
477 3% 43%  
478 1.1% 40%  
479 9% 39%  
480 1.2% 30%  
481 6% 28%  
482 1.0% 22%  
483 2% 21%  
484 1.4% 19%  
485 0.2% 17%  
486 2% 17%  
487 1.1% 15%  
488 2% 14%  
489 0.3% 13%  
490 3% 12%  
491 0.6% 10%  
492 0.2% 9%  
493 0.4% 9%  
494 0.7% 8%  
495 0.3% 8%  
496 2% 7%  
497 0.2% 6%  
498 0.2% 5%  
499 0.4% 5%  
500 0.3% 5%  
501 0.1% 4%  
502 0.1% 4%  
503 0% 4%  
504 0% 4%  
505 0.1% 4%  
506 1.1% 4%  
507 0.2% 3%  
508 0.6% 3%  
509 0.2% 2%  
510 0.1% 2%  
511 0% 2%  
512 0.1% 2%  
513 0.1% 2%  
514 0.3% 2%  
515 0.1% 1.3%  
516 0.1% 1.2%  
517 0% 1.2%  
518 0.1% 1.1%  
519 0.2% 1.1%  
520 0% 0.9%  
521 0.2% 0.9%  
522 0% 0.7%  
523 0.1% 0.7%  
524 0% 0.6%  
525 0.1% 0.6%  
526 0% 0.5%  
527 0.1% 0.5%  
528 0.1% 0.4%  
529 0% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.3%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0.1% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0.1% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.2% 99.5%  
413 0% 99.3%  
414 0% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 99.3%  
416 0.1% 99.2%  
417 0.1% 99.1%  
418 0.2% 99.0%  
419 0.1% 98.8%  
420 0.2% 98.8%  
421 0.2% 98.6%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.4% 98%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.2% 97%  
427 0.5% 97%  
428 0.2% 97%  
429 0.6% 97%  
430 2% 96%  
431 2% 94%  
432 0.8% 93%  
433 0.5% 92%  
434 0.5% 91%  
435 0.6% 91%  
436 0.7% 90%  
437 0.9% 89%  
438 1.1% 88%  
439 2% 87%  
440 1.3% 86%  
441 0.7% 84%  
442 2% 84%  
443 0.3% 82%  
444 0.6% 82%  
445 0.9% 81%  
446 1.3% 80%  
447 1.1% 79%  
448 2% 78%  
449 2% 75%  
450 1.4% 73%  
451 2% 72%  
452 1.1% 70%  
453 4% 69%  
454 5% 65%  
455 2% 61%  
456 0.7% 59%  
457 0.5% 58%  
458 7% 58%  
459 6% 51%  
460 1.0% 45% Median
461 2% 44%  
462 3% 42%  
463 6% 39%  
464 6% 33%  
465 0.8% 26%  
466 3% 26%  
467 2% 22%  
468 2% 21%  
469 2% 19%  
470 2% 16%  
471 2% 15%  
472 0.3% 12%  
473 0.4% 12%  
474 0.5% 12%  
475 0.5% 11%  
476 1.5% 11%  
477 0.6% 9%  
478 0.2% 9%  
479 0.2% 8%  
480 1.4% 8%  
481 0.6% 7%  
482 0.8% 6%  
483 0.6% 6%  
484 0.1% 5%  
485 0% 5%  
486 0.4% 5%  
487 0.2% 4%  
488 0.2% 4%  
489 0.1% 4%  
490 0.6% 4%  
491 1.0% 3%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.5% 2%  
496 0% 2%  
497 0.1% 1.5%  
498 0.1% 1.4%  
499 0.1% 1.3%  
500 0.3% 1.2%  
501 0.1% 1.0%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0% 0.6%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0% 0.5%  
510 0.1% 0.5%  
511 0% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.4%  
513 0.1% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0.1% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.5%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.3%  
414 0% 99.2%  
415 0.1% 99.2%  
416 0.2% 99.0%  
417 0.1% 98.9%  
418 0.2% 98.8%  
419 0.2% 98.6%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.1% 98%  
423 0.2% 98%  
424 0.2% 97%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.4% 97%  
427 0.8% 96%  
428 2% 96%  
429 1.3% 94%  
430 0.8% 92%  
431 0.6% 92%  
432 0.3% 91%  
433 0.5% 91%  
434 1.3% 90%  
435 1.1% 89%  
436 0.8% 88%  
437 1.5% 87%  
438 0.9% 86%  
439 2% 85%  
440 1.0% 83%  
441 0.4% 82%  
442 0.2% 81%  
443 0.6% 81%  
444 0.9% 81%  
445 1.5% 80%  
446 1.0% 78%  
447 5% 77%  
448 2% 72%  
449 0.9% 71%  
450 3% 70%  
451 0.7% 67%  
452 6% 66%  
453 0.4% 60%  
454 0.9% 59%  
455 0.7% 58%  
456 1.3% 58%  
457 11% 56%  
458 1.4% 45% Median
459 3% 44%  
460 3% 41%  
461 0.6% 38%  
462 0.7% 37%  
463 12% 36%  
464 0.9% 24%  
465 2% 23%  
466 1.4% 21%  
467 0.4% 20%  
468 4% 19%  
469 2% 16%  
470 2% 14%  
471 0.1% 12%  
472 0.4% 12%  
473 0.5% 12%  
474 0.4% 11%  
475 1.1% 11%  
476 1.3% 10%  
477 0.1% 8%  
478 1.0% 8%  
479 1.0% 7%  
480 0.5% 6%  
481 0.4% 6%  
482 0.3% 5%  
483 0.1% 5%  
484 0.3% 5%  
485 0.2% 5%  
486 0.1% 4%  
487 0.4% 4%  
488 0.1% 4%  
489 0.2% 4%  
490 0.6% 3%  
491 0.7% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.4% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.1% 1.5%  
496 0% 1.4%  
497 0.1% 1.4%  
498 0.4% 1.3%  
499 0.1% 0.9%  
500 0% 0.8%  
501 0% 0.8%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.7%  
504 0% 0.6%  
505 0% 0.6%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0.1% 0.4%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0.1% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0.1% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0.1% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.7%  
392 0% 99.7%  
393 0% 99.7%  
394 0.1% 99.7%  
395 0% 99.6%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.1% 99.5%  
398 0.1% 99.4%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.2%  
401 0.4% 99.1%  
402 0.2% 98.7%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.2% 98%  
406 0.6% 98%  
407 0.2% 97%  
408 0.4% 97%  
409 0.6% 97%  
410 0.4% 96%  
411 0.4% 95%  
412 0.7% 95%  
413 0.4% 94%  
414 0.8% 94%  
415 0.9% 93%  
416 0.9% 92%  
417 1.0% 91%  
418 2% 90%  
419 0.7% 89%  
420 0.4% 88%  
421 2% 88%  
422 2% 86%  
423 0.8% 84%  
424 3% 83%  
425 0.7% 80%  
426 3% 80%  
427 1.4% 77%  
428 1.0% 75%  
429 5% 74%  
430 0.9% 69%  
431 1.0% 68%  
432 2% 67%  
433 2% 65%  
434 3% 63%  
435 0.6% 59%  
436 2% 59%  
437 1.1% 57%  
438 12% 56% Median
439 3% 44%  
440 2% 41%  
441 10% 39%  
442 1.3% 29%  
443 3% 27%  
444 6% 25%  
445 2% 19%  
446 0.4% 17%  
447 1.0% 17%  
448 3% 16%  
449 0.7% 13%  
450 1.2% 12%  
451 0.9% 11%  
452 2% 10%  
453 0.6% 9%  
454 0.6% 8%  
455 0.7% 7%  
456 0.4% 7%  
457 1.3% 6%  
458 0.3% 5%  
459 0.9% 5%  
460 0.6% 4%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0% 3%  
463 0.1% 3%  
464 0.1% 3%  
465 0.2% 3%  
466 0.1% 3%  
467 0.1% 3%  
468 0.1% 3%  
469 0.4% 2%  
470 0% 2%  
471 0.1% 2%  
472 0% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0% 2%  
475 0.1% 1.5%  
476 0.1% 1.4%  
477 0.1% 1.3%  
478 0.3% 1.2%  
479 0.3% 0.9%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.5%  
483 0% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.4%  
485 0.1% 0.4%  
486 0% 0.3%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.5%  
396 0.1% 99.4%  
397 0.1% 99.3%  
398 0.1% 99.2%  
399 0.2% 99.1%  
400 0.4% 98.9%  
401 0.4% 98.5%  
402 0.1% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.6% 98%  
405 0.4% 97%  
406 0.7% 97%  
407 0.1% 96%  
408 0.4% 96%  
409 0.7% 96%  
410 0.3% 95%  
411 0.6% 94%  
412 1.0% 94%  
413 0.4% 93%  
414 2% 93%  
415 0.5% 91%  
416 1.3% 90%  
417 0.5% 89%  
418 3% 88%  
419 0.5% 85%  
420 2% 85%  
421 2% 83%  
422 0.5% 82%  
423 1.0% 81%  
424 4% 80%  
425 2% 76%  
426 1.1% 75%  
427 4% 74%  
428 0.5% 69%  
429 1.3% 69%  
430 3% 67%  
431 0.9% 64%  
432 1.0% 63%  
433 4% 62%  
434 1.0% 59%  
435 4% 58%  
436 4% 53% Median
437 9% 50%  
438 1.4% 41%  
439 1.4% 40%  
440 7% 38%  
441 6% 32%  
442 5% 25%  
443 2% 21%  
444 1.4% 19%  
445 1.3% 17%  
446 0.5% 16%  
447 2% 15%  
448 2% 13%  
449 2% 11%  
450 0.9% 10%  
451 0.9% 9%  
452 0.2% 8%  
453 0.5% 8%  
454 1.4% 7%  
455 0.7% 6%  
456 0.5% 5%  
457 0.2% 5%  
458 0.5% 5%  
459 0.9% 4%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.1% 3%  
462 0.1% 3%  
463 0.1% 3%  
464 0.1% 3%  
465 0.2% 3%  
466 0.1% 2%  
467 0% 2%  
468 0.4% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.1% 2%  
472 0.1% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.5%  
474 0.1% 1.4%  
475 0% 1.4%  
476 0.3% 1.3%  
477 0.4% 1.0%  
478 0.1% 0.6%  
479 0% 0.5%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.4%  
484 0.1% 0.3%  
485 0.1% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0.1% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0.1% 99.9%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.1% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.2%  
385 0.1% 99.2%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0.2% 98.9%  
388 0.1% 98.8%  
389 0.2% 98.7%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.5% 98%  
393 0.7% 98%  
394 0.7% 97%  
395 0.9% 96%  
396 0.5% 95%  
397 0.3% 95%  
398 1.3% 95%  
399 2% 93%  
400 1.1% 91%  
401 1.1% 90%  
402 1.0% 89%  
403 0.3% 88%  
404 2% 88%  
405 1.3% 86%  
406 0.1% 84%  
407 1.2% 84%  
408 1.1% 83%  
409 2% 82%  
410 3% 80%  
411 0.8% 77%  
412 0.2% 76%  
413 1.2% 76%  
414 6% 75%  
415 2% 69%  
416 1.3% 67%  
417 0.4% 66%  
418 2% 66%  
419 5% 64%  
420 1.1% 59%  
421 0.8% 58%  
422 13% 57% Median
423 9% 44%  
424 4% 35%  
425 9% 32%  
426 2% 22%  
427 2% 20%  
428 0.5% 18%  
429 3% 17%  
430 2% 14%  
431 0.5% 13%  
432 0.3% 12%  
433 1.0% 12%  
434 0.5% 11%  
435 1.2% 11%  
436 0.3% 9%  
437 0.1% 9%  
438 2% 9%  
439 1.5% 7%  
440 1.0% 6%  
441 0.2% 5%  
442 0.2% 5%  
443 0.2% 4%  
444 0.8% 4%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0% 2%  
452 0.1% 2%  
453 0.5% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.5% 2%  
457 0.3% 1.2%  
458 0% 0.9%  
459 0% 0.9%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.4%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.3%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.5%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.1% 99.3%  
382 0% 99.2%  
383 0.1% 99.2%  
384 0.2% 99.1%  
385 0.1% 98.9%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.1% 98.6%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.7% 98%  
391 0.5% 97%  
392 0.4% 97%  
393 0.9% 96%  
394 0.6% 95%  
395 1.2% 95%  
396 0.3% 94%  
397 2% 93%  
398 1.2% 92%  
399 2% 90%  
400 0.5% 89%  
401 1.2% 88%  
402 1.3% 87%  
403 1.0% 86%  
404 0.7% 85%  
405 0.6% 84%  
406 2% 83%  
407 2% 82%  
408 1.0% 80%  
409 2% 79%  
410 2% 76%  
411 1.0% 74%  
412 4% 73%  
413 0.8% 68%  
414 1.1% 68%  
415 1.1% 67%  
416 2% 65%  
417 4% 64%  
418 2% 60%  
419 3% 58%  
420 7% 55% Median
421 8% 48%  
422 5% 40%  
423 6% 35%  
424 6% 29%  
425 5% 23%  
426 2% 18%  
427 0.7% 17%  
428 2% 16%  
429 2% 15%  
430 0.6% 13%  
431 0.4% 12%  
432 0.3% 12%  
433 1.0% 11%  
434 0.9% 10%  
435 0.7% 9%  
436 0.8% 9%  
437 1.4% 8%  
438 1.4% 6%  
439 0.5% 5%  
440 0.2% 4%  
441 0.1% 4%  
442 0.1% 4%  
443 0.2% 4%  
444 0.9% 4%  
445 0.2% 3%  
446 0.2% 3%  
447 0% 3%  
448 0% 2%  
449 0% 2%  
450 0.1% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.5% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.3% 2%  
455 0.3% 1.3%  
456 0.1% 1.0%  
457 0.1% 0.9%  
458 0% 0.7%  
459 0.1% 0.7%  
460 0% 0.6%  
461 0% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
134 0% 100%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.6%  
148 0.1% 99.5%  
149 0.1% 99.4%  
150 0.3% 99.3%  
151 0.3% 99.0%  
152 0.1% 98.8%  
153 0.1% 98.6%  
154 0% 98.5%  
155 0% 98%  
156 0.2% 98%  
157 0.1% 98%  
158 0.1% 98%  
159 0% 98%  
160 0.4% 98%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.1% 97%  
163 0.1% 97%  
164 0.2% 97%  
165 0.1% 97%  
166 0.1% 97%  
167 0% 97%  
168 0.3% 97%  
169 0.5% 97%  
170 0.9% 96%  
171 0.3% 95%  
172 1.2% 95%  
173 0.8% 94%  
174 0.3% 93%  
175 0.6% 93%  
176 0.7% 92%  
177 2% 91%  
178 0.8% 89%  
179 1.4% 89%  
180 0.6% 87%  
181 3% 87%  
182 1.0% 84%  
183 0.4% 83%  
184 2% 82%  
185 6% 81%  
186 2% 75%  
187 1.3% 72%  
188 10% 71%  
189 2% 61%  
190 3% 59%  
191 12% 56%  
192 1.0% 44%  
193 2% 43% Median
194 0.5% 41%  
195 3% 40%  
196 3% 37%  
197 2% 34%  
198 1.0% 32%  
199 0.8% 31%  
200 5% 30%  
201 1.0% 26%  
202 1.3% 25%  
203 3% 23%  
204 0.9% 20%  
205 3% 19%  
206 0.7% 17%  
207 2% 16%  
208 2% 14%  
209 1.3% 12%  
210 0.8% 11%  
211 0.6% 10%  
212 0.9% 9%  
213 1.0% 9%  
214 1.1% 8%  
215 0.7% 7%  
216 0.5% 6%  
217 0.6% 5%  
218 0.5% 5%  
219 0.7% 4%  
220 0.3% 4%  
221 0.4% 3%  
222 0.2% 3%  
223 0.5% 3%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.3% 2%  
226 0.4% 2%  
227 0.2% 1.3%  
228 0.2% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.8%  
230 0.1% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.6%  
232 0% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0% 0.4%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0.1% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.5%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0% 99.4%  
125 0% 99.4%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0% 99.2%  
129 0% 99.2%  
130 0.1% 99.1%  
131 0.3% 99.0%  
132 0.1% 98.7%  
133 0% 98.6%  
134 0.1% 98.6%  
135 0.1% 98.5%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 0.3% 98%  
138 0.7% 98%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.1% 96%  
142 0.4% 96%  
143 0.1% 96%  
144 0.2% 96%  
145 0.3% 95%  
146 0.2% 95%  
147 0.2% 95%  
148 0.8% 95%  
149 0.2% 94%  
150 1.0% 94%  
151 1.0% 93%  
152 0.1% 92%  
153 1.4% 92%  
154 1.0% 90%  
155 0.5% 89%  
156 0.4% 89%  
157 0.4% 88%  
158 0.2% 88%  
159 2% 88%  
160 2% 86%  
161 4% 84%  
162 0.4% 80%  
163 1.3% 80%  
164 2% 79%  
165 1.0% 77%  
166 12% 76%  
167 0.9% 63%  
168 0.5% 63%  
169 4% 62%  
170 2% 58%  
171 1.2% 56%  
172 11% 55%  
173 1.5% 43% Median
174 0.6% 42%  
175 0.9% 41%  
176 0.4% 41%  
177 6% 40%  
178 0.8% 34%  
179 3% 33%  
180 0.7% 30%  
181 2% 29%  
182 5% 27%  
183 1.2% 22%  
184 1.4% 21%  
185 0.7% 20%  
186 0.6% 19%  
187 0.4% 19%  
188 0.7% 18%  
189 0.7% 18%  
190 2% 17%  
191 0.8% 15%  
192 1.5% 14%  
193 0.7% 13%  
194 1.1% 12%  
195 1.3% 11%  
196 0.4% 9%  
197 0.3% 9%  
198 0.8% 9%  
199 2% 8%  
200 1.4% 6%  
201 1.3% 5%  
202 0.3% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.4% 3%  
205 0.1% 3%  
206 0.1% 2%  
207 0.2% 2%  
208 0.5% 2%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.2% 2%  
211 0.2% 1.4%  
212 0.1% 1.2%  
213 0.1% 1.0%  
214 0.1% 0.9%  
215 0.1% 0.8%  
216 0% 0.7%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.1% 0.5%  
219 0% 0.4%  
220 0% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0% 0.3%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0.1% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0% 99.4%  
123 0% 99.4%  
124 0.1% 99.4%  
125 0% 99.3%  
126 0.1% 99.3%  
127 0% 99.2%  
128 0.1% 99.1%  
129 0.3% 99.0%  
130 0.1% 98.7%  
131 0.1% 98.7%  
132 0.1% 98.6%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 1.0% 98%  
139 0.6% 97%  
140 0.1% 96%  
141 0.2% 96%  
142 0.2% 96%  
143 0.4% 96%  
144 0.1% 95%  
145 0.1% 95%  
146 0.6% 95%  
147 0.8% 94%  
148 1.0% 94%  
149 1.0% 93%  
150 0.2% 92%  
151 0.2% 91%  
152 0.7% 91%  
153 1.4% 91%  
154 0.6% 89%  
155 0.6% 89%  
156 0.5% 88%  
157 0.2% 88%  
158 2% 87%  
159 1.5% 85%  
160 2% 84%  
161 2% 81%  
162 2% 79%  
163 3% 77%  
164 0.9% 74%  
165 6% 73%  
166 6% 67%  
167 3% 61%  
168 2% 58%  
169 0.7% 56%  
170 6% 55%  
171 7% 49% Median
172 0.5% 42%  
173 0.7% 41%  
174 2% 41%  
175 5% 39%  
176 4% 35%  
177 1.2% 31%  
178 2% 30%  
179 1.4% 28%  
180 2% 26%  
181 2% 25%  
182 1.3% 22%  
183 1.3% 21%  
184 1.0% 19%  
185 0.5% 18%  
186 0.3% 18%  
187 2% 18%  
188 0.7% 16%  
189 1.2% 15%  
190 2% 14%  
191 1.1% 12%  
192 0.7% 11%  
193 0.7% 10%  
194 0.6% 10%  
195 0.5% 9%  
196 0.4% 9%  
197 2% 8%  
198 2% 6%  
199 0.4% 4%  
200 0.8% 4%  
201 0.4% 3%  
202 0.2% 3%  
203 0.1% 3%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.4% 2%  
207 0.1% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.2% 1.4%  
210 0.1% 1.2%  
211 0.2% 1.1%  
212 0.1% 0.9%  
213 0.1% 0.8%  
214 0% 0.7%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0% 0.4%  
220 0% 0.3%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0.1% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0% 100%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.8%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0% 99.7%  
100 0.1% 99.7%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0% 99.5%  
104 0% 99.5%  
105 0% 99.4%  
106 0% 99.4%  
107 0% 99.3%  
108 0.2% 99.3%  
109 0% 99.1%  
110 0.1% 99.0%  
111 0.1% 98.9%  
112 0% 98.8%  
113 0.1% 98.8%  
114 0.1% 98.7%  
115 0.4% 98.6%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.1% 98%  
118 0% 98%  
119 0.1% 98%  
120 0.3% 98%  
121 0.5% 98%  
122 0.2% 97%  
123 1.1% 97%  
124 0.1% 96%  
125 0% 96%  
126 0% 96%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.2% 96%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 0.3% 95%  
131 0.2% 95%  
132 0.7% 95%  
133 1.3% 94%  
134 0.3% 93%  
135 0.7% 92%  
136 0.4% 92%  
137 0.2% 91%  
138 0.6% 91%  
139 3% 90%  
140 0.7% 88%  
141 2% 87%  
142 1.1% 85%  
143 2% 84%  
144 0.2% 83%  
145 2% 82%  
146 2% 81%  
147 1.1% 79%  
148 6% 78%  
149 1.1% 71%  
150 9% 70%  
151 2% 61%  
152 3% 60%  
153 0.5% 57%  
154 2% 56%  
155 1.2% 54%  
156 7% 53%  
157 1.0% 46% Median
158 4% 45%  
159 5% 41%  
160 0.9% 37%  
161 1.0% 36%  
162 1.5% 35%  
163 0.4% 33%  
164 3% 33%  
165 3% 30%  
166 1.5% 27%  
167 2% 25%  
168 2% 23%  
169 0.9% 22%  
170 0.6% 21%  
171 0.8% 20%  
172 2% 19%  
173 0.7% 17%  
174 2% 17%  
175 1.5% 15%  
176 0.6% 13%  
177 2% 13%  
178 1.0% 11%  
179 0.5% 10%  
180 2% 10%  
181 0.5% 8%  
182 0.4% 8%  
183 0.3% 7%  
184 1.4% 7%  
185 0.7% 6%  
186 0.9% 5%  
187 0.3% 4%  
188 0.4% 4%  
189 0.1% 3%  
190 0.1% 3%  
191 0.2% 3%  
192 0.3% 3%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.2% 2%  
195 0.2% 2%  
196 0.1% 1.5%  
197 0.1% 1.4%  
198 0.2% 1.2%  
199 0.1% 1.0%  
200 0.1% 1.0%  
201 0.3% 0.9%  
202 0.1% 0.6%  
203 0% 0.5%  
204 0% 0.5%  
205 0% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.4%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
84 0% 100%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.8%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.7%  
99 0.1% 99.7%  
100 0% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.6%  
102 0% 99.5%  
103 0.1% 99.4%  
104 0% 99.4%  
105 0% 99.4%  
106 0.2% 99.3%  
107 0.1% 99.1%  
108 0.1% 99.0%  
109 0% 98.9%  
110 0.1% 98.9%  
111 0.1% 98.8%  
112 0.2% 98.7%  
113 0.3% 98.6%  
114 0.1% 98%  
115 0% 98%  
116 0.1% 98%  
117 0.2% 98%  
118 0.3% 98%  
119 0.3% 98%  
120 0.3% 97%  
121 0.2% 97%  
122 0.4% 97%  
123 0.6% 96%  
124 0% 96%  
125 0.1% 96%  
126 0.2% 96%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.3% 95%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 1.2% 95%  
131 0.3% 94%  
132 0.9% 93%  
133 0.7% 92%  
134 0.4% 92%  
135 0.4% 91%  
136 0.5% 91%  
137 0.9% 90%  
138 3% 89%  
139 0.8% 87%  
140 1.0% 86%  
141 2% 85%  
142 0.5% 83%  
143 0.7% 82%  
144 2% 82%  
145 2% 80%  
146 1.3% 78%  
147 1.1% 77%  
148 10% 76%  
149 8% 66%  
150 0.9% 59%  
151 2% 58%  
152 1.1% 56%  
153 0.9% 55%  
154 2% 54%  
155 7% 52% Median
156 3% 45%  
157 6% 42%  
158 1.0% 36%  
159 0.3% 35%  
160 0.6% 35%  
161 4% 34%  
162 0.5% 30%  
163 3% 30%  
164 2% 27%  
165 0.9% 25%  
166 1.5% 24%  
167 1.5% 23%  
168 1.0% 21%  
169 0.8% 20%  
170 4% 19%  
171 0.3% 16%  
172 1.4% 15%  
173 0.5% 14%  
174 0.8% 13%  
175 2% 13%  
176 0.3% 11%  
177 0.8% 10%  
178 2% 10%  
179 0.3% 8%  
180 0.4% 8%  
181 2% 7%  
182 0.9% 6%  
183 0.3% 5%  
184 0.2% 5%  
185 0.8% 4%  
186 0.4% 4%  
187 0.1% 3%  
188 0.2% 3%  
189 0.2% 3%  
190 0.3% 3%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.2% 2%  
193 0.5% 2%  
194 0.1% 1.4%  
195 0.2% 1.3%  
196 0.1% 1.1%  
197 0.1% 1.0%  
198 0% 0.9%  
199 0.2% 0.9%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.6%  
202 0% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.4%  
205 0% 0.4%  
206 0.1% 0.3%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations