Opinion Poll by Techne UK, 1–2 November 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.2% 46.6–49.9% 46.2–50.3% 45.8–50.7% 45.0–51.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 27.3% 25.8–28.7% 25.4–29.2% 25.1–29.5% 24.4–30.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.5% 10.6–12.7% 10.3–13.0% 10.0–13.2% 9.6–13.8%
Green Party 2.8% 4.9% 4.3–5.7% 4.1–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.7–6.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.4% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 409 390–424 386–429 380–435 371–448
Conservative Party 365 167 146–191 140–196 134–201 119–213
Liberal Democrats 11 36 27–42 26–43 25–48 23–52
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–3
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0–2
Scottish National Party 48 16 6–24 5–28 4–32 1–36

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.1% 99.5%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.1% 99.3%  
374 0.1% 99.2%  
375 0.2% 99.1%  
376 0.2% 98.9%  
377 0.2% 98.7%  
378 0.3% 98.6%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 0.4% 97%  
382 0.4% 97%  
383 0.4% 97%  
384 0.4% 96%  
385 0.4% 96%  
386 0.6% 96%  
387 1.3% 95%  
388 1.2% 94%  
389 2% 92%  
390 2% 91%  
391 1.2% 88%  
392 1.0% 87%  
393 2% 86%  
394 2% 84%  
395 2% 82%  
396 2% 80%  
397 2% 77%  
398 3% 75%  
399 2% 72%  
400 2% 70%  
401 3% 68%  
402 3% 65%  
403 2% 62%  
404 2% 61%  
405 2% 59%  
406 2% 57%  
407 2% 55%  
408 2% 53%  
409 3% 51% Median
410 2% 48%  
411 3% 46%  
412 3% 44%  
413 4% 41%  
414 3% 37%  
415 2% 34%  
416 3% 32%  
417 2% 29%  
418 2% 26%  
419 3% 24%  
420 2% 21%  
421 4% 19%  
422 2% 15%  
423 2% 13%  
424 2% 11%  
425 1.4% 10%  
426 1.1% 8%  
427 0.6% 7%  
428 1.0% 7%  
429 0.8% 6%  
430 0.8% 5%  
431 0.5% 4%  
432 0.4% 4%  
433 0.2% 3%  
434 0.3% 3%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.4% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.1% 1.4%  
440 0.2% 1.3%  
441 0.2% 1.1%  
442 0.1% 0.9%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.7%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0% 0.5%  
447 0% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.5%  
449 0% 0.5%  
450 0% 0.4%  
451 0% 0.4%  
452 0% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.1% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.1%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.9%  
128 0.2% 98.8%  
129 0.1% 98.5%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.2% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.3% 98%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0.4% 97%  
137 0.4% 96%  
138 0.4% 96%  
139 0.5% 96%  
140 0.6% 95%  
141 0.8% 95%  
142 0.9% 94%  
143 0.7% 93%  
144 1.1% 92%  
145 0.9% 91%  
146 1.5% 90%  
147 0.8% 89%  
148 2% 88%  
149 1.2% 86%  
150 2% 85%  
151 1.4% 84%  
152 2% 82%  
153 2% 80%  
154 1.2% 78%  
155 2% 77%  
156 2% 74%  
157 2% 72%  
158 2% 70%  
159 2% 68%  
160 2% 66%  
161 3% 64%  
162 2% 62%  
163 2% 59%  
164 2% 58%  
165 3% 56%  
166 2% 53%  
167 2% 52% Median
168 2% 49%  
169 2% 47%  
170 2% 46%  
171 2% 44%  
172 2% 42%  
173 2% 39%  
174 2% 38%  
175 2% 36%  
176 2% 34%  
177 1.4% 32%  
178 2% 30%  
179 2% 28%  
180 2% 27%  
181 2% 25%  
182 2% 23%  
183 2% 22%  
184 2% 20%  
185 1.0% 18%  
186 2% 17%  
187 1.4% 15%  
188 1.4% 14%  
189 0.9% 12%  
190 1.2% 11%  
191 1.2% 10%  
192 1.1% 9%  
193 0.7% 8%  
194 0.9% 7%  
195 0.8% 6%  
196 0.8% 6%  
197 0.5% 5%  
198 0.5% 4%  
199 0.5% 4%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.3% 3%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.4%  
207 0.1% 1.2%  
208 0.2% 1.1%  
209 0.1% 0.9%  
210 0.2% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.7%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0.3% 99.9%  
23 1.1% 99.6%  
24 0.6% 98.6%  
25 2% 98%  
26 4% 96%  
27 6% 92%  
28 4% 86%  
29 3% 82%  
30 2% 79%  
31 6% 76%  
32 7% 71%  
33 8% 64%  
34 3% 56%  
35 1.1% 54%  
36 3% 53% Median
37 7% 50%  
38 12% 43%  
39 5% 31%  
40 11% 26%  
41 3% 15%  
42 5% 12%  
43 2% 7%  
44 0.7% 5%  
45 0.1% 4%  
46 0.4% 4%  
47 1.0% 4%  
48 0.9% 3%  
49 0.4% 2%  
50 0.2% 1.2%  
51 0.3% 1.1%  
52 0.5% 0.7%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.0% 2%  
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.8% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.4% 1.2%  
2 0.7% 0.8%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.9% 99.8%  
2 0.3% 98.9%  
3 0.7% 98.5%  
4 3% 98%  
5 3% 95%  
6 3% 92%  
7 4% 89%  
8 4% 85%  
9 4% 81%  
10 4% 77%  
11 3% 73%  
12 2% 70%  
13 3% 69%  
14 5% 66%  
15 8% 61%  
16 9% 53% Median
17 10% 44%  
18 7% 34%  
19 5% 27%  
20 3% 21%  
21 4% 19%  
22 3% 15%  
23 2% 12%  
24 1.3% 10%  
25 0.7% 9%  
26 2% 8%  
27 0.9% 6%  
28 0.4% 5%  
29 1.1% 5%  
30 0.5% 4%  
31 0.6% 3%  
32 0.7% 3%  
33 0.1% 2%  
34 1.1% 2%  
35 0% 0.8%  
36 0.3% 0.7%  
37 0% 0.4%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 459 100% 435–480 430–486 425–492 413–507
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 443 100% 421–464 416–470 411–476 400–490
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 424 100% 404–442 399–446 395–451 384–464
Labour Party 202 409 100% 390–424 386–429 380–435 371–448
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 202 0% 184–221 180–227 175–231 162–242
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 182 0% 162–205 156–210 150–215 136–226
Conservative Party 365 167 0% 146–191 140–196 134–201 119–213

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.1% 99.6%  
414 0.1% 99.5%  
415 0.1% 99.4%  
416 0.2% 99.3%  
417 0.1% 99.1%  
418 0.2% 99.1%  
419 0.1% 98.9%  
420 0.2% 98.8%  
421 0.2% 98.6%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.3% 98%  
426 0.5% 97%  
427 0.5% 97%  
428 0.5% 96%  
429 0.5% 96%  
430 0.8% 95%  
431 0.8% 94%  
432 0.9% 94%  
433 0.7% 93%  
434 1.1% 92%  
435 1.2% 91%  
436 1.2% 90%  
437 0.9% 89%  
438 1.4% 88%  
439 1.5% 86%  
440 2% 85%  
441 1.0% 83%  
442 2% 82%  
443 2% 80%  
444 2% 78%  
445 2% 77%  
446 2% 75%  
447 2% 73%  
448 2% 72%  
449 1.4% 70%  
450 2% 68%  
451 2% 66%  
452 2% 64%  
453 2% 62%  
454 2% 61%  
455 2% 58%  
456 2% 56%  
457 1.5% 54%  
458 2% 53%  
459 2% 51%  
460 2% 48%  
461 2% 47% Median
462 2% 44%  
463 2% 42%  
464 2% 41%  
465 2% 38%  
466 2% 36%  
467 2% 34%  
468 2% 32%  
469 2% 30%  
470 2% 28%  
471 2% 26%  
472 1.3% 23%  
473 2% 22%  
474 2% 20%  
475 1.4% 18%  
476 2% 16%  
477 1.2% 15%  
478 2% 14%  
479 0.8% 12%  
480 1.5% 11%  
481 1.0% 10%  
482 1.0% 9%  
483 0.7% 8%  
484 0.8% 7%  
485 0.8% 6%  
486 0.6% 5%  
487 0.5% 5%  
488 0.4% 4%  
489 0.4% 4%  
490 0.4% 3%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.3% 3%  
493 0.3% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 1.4%  
499 0.1% 1.2%  
500 0.1% 1.1%  
501 0.1% 1.0%  
502 0.1% 0.9%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.1% 99.5%  
401 0.1% 99.4%  
402 0.1% 99.3%  
403 0.1% 99.2%  
404 0.2% 99.1%  
405 0.1% 98.9%  
406 0.2% 98.8%  
407 0.2% 98.6%  
408 0.2% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 0.3% 98%  
411 0.4% 98%  
412 0.3% 97%  
413 0.6% 97%  
414 0.7% 96%  
415 0.5% 96%  
416 0.6% 95%  
417 0.9% 95%  
418 0.9% 94%  
419 1.1% 93%  
420 1.1% 92%  
421 1.3% 91%  
422 1.3% 89%  
423 2% 88%  
424 1.0% 86%  
425 1.5% 85%  
426 1.2% 84%  
427 3% 83%  
428 2% 80%  
429 2% 79%  
430 2% 77%  
431 2% 75%  
432 2% 74%  
433 2% 72%  
434 2% 70%  
435 2% 67%  
436 2% 66%  
437 2% 64%  
438 3% 62%  
439 1.4% 60%  
440 2% 58%  
441 2% 56%  
442 2% 54%  
443 2% 52%  
444 2% 50%  
445 2% 48% Median
446 2% 45%  
447 2% 43%  
448 1.4% 41%  
449 2% 39%  
450 2% 37%  
451 2% 35%  
452 3% 33%  
453 3% 31%  
454 2% 28%  
455 2% 26%  
456 2% 24%  
457 2% 22%  
458 2% 20%  
459 2% 18%  
460 2% 16%  
461 1.4% 14%  
462 1.4% 13%  
463 1.3% 12%  
464 1.0% 10%  
465 1.0% 9%  
466 1.1% 8%  
467 0.7% 7%  
468 0.6% 6%  
469 0.7% 6%  
470 0.6% 5%  
471 0.5% 4%  
472 0.6% 4%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.3% 3%  
476 0.4% 3%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.2% 1.4%  
482 0.1% 1.2%  
483 0.1% 1.1%  
484 0.1% 1.0%  
485 0.1% 0.9%  
486 0.1% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.6%  
490 0% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.4%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.1% 99.4%  
387 0.1% 99.3%  
388 0.1% 99.2%  
389 0.2% 99.1%  
390 0.2% 98.9%  
391 0.3% 98.7%  
392 0.2% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.4% 97%  
397 0.8% 97%  
398 0.5% 96%  
399 0.7% 96%  
400 0.8% 95%  
401 1.1% 94%  
402 1.1% 93%  
403 1.0% 92%  
404 1.0% 91%  
405 2% 90%  
406 2% 88%  
407 2% 86%  
408 1.3% 84%  
409 2% 83%  
410 2% 81%  
411 2% 79%  
412 2% 77%  
413 3% 75%  
414 2% 72%  
415 3% 70%  
416 2% 67%  
417 2% 66%  
418 3% 64%  
419 2% 62%  
420 3% 60%  
421 3% 57%  
422 2% 55%  
423 2% 52%  
424 2% 51%  
425 3% 49% Median
426 2% 46%  
427 3% 44%  
428 3% 41%  
429 3% 39%  
430 2% 36%  
431 3% 34%  
432 2% 31%  
433 3% 29%  
434 2% 26%  
435 2% 23%  
436 2% 21%  
437 2% 19%  
438 2% 17%  
439 2% 14%  
440 1.1% 12%  
441 0.9% 11%  
442 2% 10%  
443 1.4% 8%  
444 0.9% 7%  
445 0.8% 6%  
446 0.5% 5%  
447 0.5% 5%  
448 0.8% 4%  
449 0.4% 4%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.4% 3%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.1% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.3% 1.3%  
458 0.1% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 1.0%  
460 0.1% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.8%  
462 0.1% 0.7%  
463 0.1% 0.6%  
464 0.1% 0.5%  
465 0% 0.5%  
466 0% 0.4%  
467 0% 0.4%  
468 0% 0.4%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0.1% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.1% 99.5%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.1% 99.3%  
374 0.1% 99.2%  
375 0.2% 99.1%  
376 0.2% 98.9%  
377 0.2% 98.7%  
378 0.3% 98.6%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.5% 98%  
381 0.4% 97%  
382 0.4% 97%  
383 0.4% 97%  
384 0.4% 96%  
385 0.4% 96%  
386 0.6% 96%  
387 1.3% 95%  
388 1.2% 94%  
389 2% 92%  
390 2% 91%  
391 1.2% 88%  
392 1.0% 87%  
393 2% 86%  
394 2% 84%  
395 2% 82%  
396 2% 80%  
397 2% 77%  
398 3% 75%  
399 2% 72%  
400 2% 70%  
401 3% 68%  
402 3% 65%  
403 2% 62%  
404 2% 61%  
405 2% 59%  
406 2% 57%  
407 2% 55%  
408 2% 53%  
409 3% 51% Median
410 2% 48%  
411 3% 46%  
412 3% 44%  
413 4% 41%  
414 3% 37%  
415 2% 34%  
416 3% 32%  
417 2% 29%  
418 2% 26%  
419 3% 24%  
420 2% 21%  
421 4% 19%  
422 2% 15%  
423 2% 13%  
424 2% 11%  
425 1.4% 10%  
426 1.1% 8%  
427 0.6% 7%  
428 1.0% 7%  
429 0.8% 6%  
430 0.8% 5%  
431 0.5% 4%  
432 0.4% 4%  
433 0.2% 3%  
434 0.3% 3%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.3% 2%  
437 0.4% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.1% 1.4%  
440 0.2% 1.3%  
441 0.2% 1.1%  
442 0.1% 0.9%  
443 0.1% 0.8%  
444 0.1% 0.7%  
445 0.1% 0.6%  
446 0% 0.5%  
447 0% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.5%  
449 0% 0.5%  
450 0% 0.4%  
451 0% 0.4%  
452 0% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
145 0% 100%  
146 0% 99.9%  
147 0% 99.9%  
148 0% 99.9%  
149 0% 99.9%  
150 0% 99.9%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.8%  
153 0% 99.8%  
154 0.1% 99.8%  
155 0% 99.7%  
156 0% 99.7%  
157 0% 99.7%  
158 0% 99.6%  
159 0% 99.6%  
160 0% 99.6%  
161 0% 99.6%  
162 0.1% 99.5%  
163 0.1% 99.5%  
164 0.1% 99.4%  
165 0.1% 99.3%  
166 0.1% 99.2%  
167 0.1% 99.1%  
168 0.1% 99.0%  
169 0.3% 98.9%  
170 0.2% 98.6%  
171 0.1% 98%  
172 0.1% 98%  
173 0.3% 98%  
174 0.3% 98%  
175 0.4% 98%  
176 0.3% 97%  
177 0.4% 97%  
178 0.8% 96%  
179 0.5% 96%  
180 0.5% 95%  
181 0.8% 95%  
182 0.9% 94%  
183 1.5% 93%  
184 2% 91%  
185 0.9% 90%  
186 1.1% 89%  
187 2% 88%  
188 2% 86%  
189 2% 83%  
190 2% 81%  
191 2% 79%  
192 2% 77%  
193 3% 74%  
194 2% 71%  
195 3% 69%  
196 2% 66%  
197 3% 64%  
198 3% 61%  
199 3% 59%  
200 2% 56%  
201 3% 54%  
202 2% 51%  
203 2% 49% Median
204 2% 48%  
205 3% 45%  
206 3% 42%  
207 2% 40%  
208 3% 38%  
209 2% 36%  
210 2% 34%  
211 3% 33%  
212 2% 30%  
213 3% 28%  
214 2% 25%  
215 2% 23%  
216 2% 21%  
217 2% 19%  
218 1.4% 17%  
219 2% 16%  
220 2% 14%  
221 2% 12%  
222 0.9% 10%  
223 1.0% 9%  
224 1.1% 8%  
225 1.1% 7%  
226 0.8% 6%  
227 0.7% 5%  
228 0.5% 4%  
229 0.8% 4%  
230 0.4% 3%  
231 0.3% 3%  
232 0.3% 2%  
233 0.2% 2%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.3% 2%  
236 0.2% 1.3%  
237 0.2% 1.1%  
238 0.1% 0.9%  
239 0.1% 0.8%  
240 0.1% 0.7%  
241 0.1% 0.6%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0.1% 0.4%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0.1% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
117 0% 100%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.8%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.6%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.5%  
138 0.1% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.3%  
141 0.1% 99.2%  
142 0.1% 99.1%  
143 0.1% 99.0%  
144 0.1% 98.9%  
145 0.2% 98.8%  
146 0.1% 98.6%  
147 0.3% 98%  
148 0.2% 98%  
149 0.2% 98%  
150 0.4% 98%  
151 0.3% 97%  
152 0.3% 97%  
153 0.3% 97%  
154 0.6% 97%  
155 0.5% 96%  
156 0.6% 95%  
157 0.8% 95%  
158 0.7% 94%  
159 0.7% 93%  
160 1.2% 93%  
161 1.0% 92%  
162 1.0% 91%  
163 1.3% 90%  
164 1.4% 88%  
165 1.5% 87%  
166 2% 86%  
167 2% 84%  
168 2% 82%  
169 2% 80%  
170 2% 78%  
171 2% 76%  
172 2% 74%  
173 3% 72%  
174 3% 69%  
175 2% 67%  
176 2% 65%  
177 2% 63%  
178 1.4% 61%  
179 2% 59%  
180 2% 57%  
181 2% 55%  
182 2% 52%  
183 2% 50% Median
184 2% 48%  
185 2% 46%  
186 2% 44%  
187 1.4% 42%  
188 3% 40%  
189 2% 38%  
190 2% 36%  
191 2% 34%  
192 2% 33%  
193 2% 30%  
194 2% 28%  
195 2% 26%  
196 2% 25%  
197 2% 23%  
198 2% 21%  
199 3% 20%  
200 1.2% 17%  
201 1.5% 16%  
202 1.0% 15%  
203 2% 14%  
204 1.3% 12%  
205 1.3% 11%  
206 1.1% 9%  
207 1.1% 8%  
208 0.8% 7%  
209 0.9% 6%  
210 0.6% 5%  
211 0.5% 5%  
212 0.7% 4%  
213 0.6% 4%  
214 0.3% 3%  
215 0.4% 3%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.2% 2%  
218 0.2% 2%  
219 0.2% 2%  
220 0.2% 1.4%  
221 0.1% 1.2%  
222 0.2% 1.1%  
223 0.1% 0.9%  
224 0.1% 0.7%  
225 0.1% 0.7%  
226 0.1% 0.6%  
227 0.1% 0.5%  
228 0.1% 0.4%  
229 0.1% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.3%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
100 0% 100%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.1% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.1%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.9%  
128 0.2% 98.8%  
129 0.1% 98.5%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.2% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.3% 98%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0.4% 97%  
137 0.4% 96%  
138 0.4% 96%  
139 0.5% 96%  
140 0.6% 95%  
141 0.8% 95%  
142 0.9% 94%  
143 0.7% 93%  
144 1.1% 92%  
145 0.9% 91%  
146 1.5% 90%  
147 0.8% 89%  
148 2% 88%  
149 1.2% 86%  
150 2% 85%  
151 1.4% 84%  
152 2% 82%  
153 2% 80%  
154 1.2% 78%  
155 2% 77%  
156 2% 74%  
157 2% 72%  
158 2% 70%  
159 2% 68%  
160 2% 66%  
161 3% 64%  
162 2% 62%  
163 2% 59%  
164 2% 58%  
165 3% 56%  
166 2% 53%  
167 2% 52% Median
168 2% 49%  
169 2% 47%  
170 2% 46%  
171 2% 44%  
172 2% 42%  
173 2% 39%  
174 2% 38%  
175 2% 36%  
176 2% 34%  
177 1.4% 32%  
178 2% 30%  
179 2% 28%  
180 2% 27%  
181 2% 25%  
182 2% 23%  
183 2% 22%  
184 2% 20%  
185 1.0% 18%  
186 2% 17%  
187 1.4% 15%  
188 1.4% 14%  
189 0.9% 12%  
190 1.2% 11%  
191 1.2% 10%  
192 1.1% 9%  
193 0.7% 8%  
194 0.9% 7%  
195 0.8% 6%  
196 0.8% 6%  
197 0.5% 5%  
198 0.5% 4%  
199 0.5% 4%  
200 0.5% 3%  
201 0.3% 3%  
202 0.4% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.4%  
207 0.1% 1.2%  
208 0.2% 1.1%  
209 0.1% 0.9%  
210 0.2% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.7%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations