Opinion Poll by Techne UK, 8–9 November 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.7% 47.0–50.3% 46.6–50.8% 46.2–51.2% 45.4–52.0%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.5% 25.1–28.0% 24.7–28.4% 24.3–28.7% 23.7–29.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.6% 9.6–11.6% 9.3–11.9% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.7%
Green Party 2.8% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.8% 4.7–7.0% 4.4–7.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.2–4.6%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 417 397–434 393–440 388–448 380–462
Conservative Party 365 161 140–185 132–191 123–196 107–205
Liberal Democrats 11 30 25–39 23–40 22–42 20–47
Green Party 1 1 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0–2 0–2 0–3
Scottish National Party 48 16 7–24 5–27 5–34 1–37

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.2% 99.2%  
384 0.1% 99.0%  
385 0.1% 98.9%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.3% 98.5%  
388 0.8% 98%  
389 0.7% 97%  
390 0.5% 97%  
391 0.3% 96%  
392 0.5% 96%  
393 0.8% 96%  
394 1.4% 95%  
395 2% 93%  
396 1.2% 91%  
397 1.0% 90%  
398 0.3% 89%  
399 1.1% 89%  
400 0.9% 88%  
401 2% 87%  
402 2% 85%  
403 2% 83%  
404 2% 81%  
405 2% 79%  
406 1.3% 77%  
407 2% 76%  
408 2% 74%  
409 1.3% 73%  
410 1.0% 71%  
411 2% 70%  
412 3% 68%  
413 3% 65%  
414 3% 62%  
415 4% 59%  
416 3% 55%  
417 2% 52% Median
418 2% 50%  
419 3% 48%  
420 5% 44%  
421 6% 40%  
422 3% 34%  
423 3% 30%  
424 2% 28%  
425 2% 25%  
426 3% 24%  
427 3% 21%  
428 2% 18%  
429 2% 16%  
430 2% 15%  
431 1.2% 13%  
432 1.1% 12%  
433 0.9% 11%  
434 0.8% 10%  
435 1.1% 9%  
436 0.8% 8%  
437 1.2% 7%  
438 0.6% 6%  
439 0.2% 6%  
440 0.4% 5%  
441 0.7% 5%  
442 0.4% 4%  
443 0.3% 4%  
444 0.4% 4%  
445 0.4% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.2% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 1.5%  
456 0.1% 1.3%  
457 0.2% 1.2%  
458 0.1% 1.0%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.1% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.6%  
106 0% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.1% 99.4%  
109 0.1% 99.4%  
110 0.1% 99.3%  
111 0.1% 99.2%  
112 0.1% 99.1%  
113 0.1% 99.0%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.2% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.6%  
117 0.1% 98%  
118 0.1% 98%  
119 0.2% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.2% 97%  
125 0.2% 97%  
126 0.3% 97%  
127 0.3% 97%  
128 0.3% 96%  
129 0.3% 96%  
130 0.3% 96%  
131 0.3% 95%  
132 0.5% 95%  
133 0.5% 95%  
134 0.8% 94%  
135 0.5% 93%  
136 0.5% 93%  
137 1.0% 92%  
138 0.5% 91%  
139 0.7% 91%  
140 1.1% 90%  
141 0.9% 89%  
142 0.8% 88%  
143 2% 87%  
144 1.1% 86%  
145 1.3% 85%  
146 1.5% 84%  
147 1.5% 82%  
148 2% 81%  
149 2% 79%  
150 2% 77%  
151 2% 75%  
152 2% 73%  
153 2% 71%  
154 2% 69%  
155 2% 67%  
156 2% 65%  
157 3% 63%  
158 2% 60%  
159 3% 58%  
160 3% 55%  
161 2% 52% Median
162 2% 50%  
163 3% 48%  
164 2% 45%  
165 2% 43%  
166 3% 41%  
167 2% 38%  
168 2% 37%  
169 2% 34%  
170 2% 32%  
171 2% 30%  
172 2% 28%  
173 1.3% 26%  
174 1.5% 25%  
175 2% 23%  
176 2% 22%  
177 1.2% 20%  
178 1.2% 19%  
179 1.0% 17%  
180 1.4% 16%  
181 0.8% 15%  
182 1.4% 14%  
183 1.1% 13%  
184 1.0% 12%  
185 1.0% 11%  
186 0.7% 10%  
187 0.7% 9%  
188 1.1% 8%  
189 0.9% 7%  
190 0.8% 6%  
191 0.6% 6%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.5% 4%  
195 0.5% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.3% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.4%  
201 0.2% 1.2%  
202 0.1% 1.0%  
203 0.2% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0% 0.5%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.4%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.9%  
20 0.4% 99.8%  
21 0.3% 99.4%  
22 2% 99.1%  
23 4% 97%  
24 2% 93%  
25 7% 91%  
26 10% 84%  
27 12% 74%  
28 3% 62%  
29 4% 59%  
30 6% 55% Median
31 8% 49%  
32 6% 41%  
33 4% 35%  
34 2% 31%  
35 3% 30%  
36 4% 27%  
37 5% 22%  
38 6% 17%  
39 4% 11%  
40 3% 8%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.2% 3%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0.3% 1.1%  
45 0.1% 0.8%  
46 0.2% 0.7%  
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 76% 100% Last Result, Median
2 12% 24%  
3 12% 12%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 10%  
2 6% 7%  
3 1.4% 1.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.6% 99.8%  
2 0.2% 99.2%  
3 0.2% 99.0%  
4 1.2% 98.7%  
5 3% 98%  
6 3% 95%  
7 2% 91%  
8 5% 89%  
9 4% 85%  
10 5% 81%  
11 3% 76%  
12 1.4% 74%  
13 4% 72%  
14 2% 68%  
15 9% 66%  
16 8% 57% Median
17 6% 49%  
18 8% 44%  
19 6% 36%  
20 4% 30%  
21 7% 26%  
22 7% 19%  
23 2% 13%  
24 3% 10%  
25 0.7% 7%  
26 0.9% 6%  
27 0.9% 6%  
28 0.3% 5%  
29 0.3% 4%  
30 0.3% 4%  
31 0.3% 4%  
32 0.7% 3%  
33 0.1% 3%  
34 2% 3%  
35 0.1% 1.1%  
36 0.4% 1.0%  
37 0.1% 0.5%  
38 0.3% 0.4%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 464 100% 440–486 434–494 430–502 420–518
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 448 100% 426–468 420–476 415–485 406–500
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 434 100% 412–451 407–458 402–466 395–480
Labour Party 202 417 100% 397–434 393–440 388–448 380–462
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 192 0% 175–214 168–218 159–223 145–230
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 178 0% 157–200 149–206 140–210 124–220
Conservative Party 365 161 0% 140–185 132–191 123–196 107–205

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0.1% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.6%  
421 0.1% 99.5%  
422 0.2% 99.4%  
423 0.2% 99.3%  
424 0.1% 99.1%  
425 0.2% 99.0%  
426 0.2% 98.7%  
427 0.3% 98.5%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.4% 98%  
430 0.5% 98%  
431 0.5% 97%  
432 0.5% 97%  
433 0.8% 96%  
434 0.7% 95%  
435 0.6% 95%  
436 0.9% 94%  
437 0.9% 93%  
438 1.2% 92%  
439 0.8% 91%  
440 0.8% 90%  
441 0.9% 90%  
442 1.0% 89%  
443 1.2% 88%  
444 1.4% 87%  
445 1.0% 85%  
446 1.2% 84%  
447 1.2% 83%  
448 1.1% 82%  
449 1.3% 81%  
450 2% 79%  
451 2% 78%  
452 2% 76%  
453 1.2% 74%  
454 2% 73%  
455 2% 71%  
456 2% 69%  
457 3% 67%  
458 2% 64%  
459 2% 62%  
460 3% 61%  
461 2% 58%  
462 3% 56%  
463 3% 53% Median
464 2% 51%  
465 3% 49%  
466 2% 46%  
467 3% 44%  
468 2% 40%  
469 2% 38%  
470 2% 36%  
471 2% 34%  
472 2% 32%  
473 2% 30%  
474 3% 28%  
475 2% 25%  
476 2% 24%  
477 2% 22%  
478 2% 20%  
479 1.0% 18%  
480 2% 17%  
481 1.0% 16%  
482 1.5% 15%  
483 1.3% 13%  
484 0.7% 12%  
485 1.0% 11%  
486 0.8% 10%  
487 0.8% 9%  
488 0.7% 9%  
489 0.7% 8%  
490 0.5% 7%  
491 0.8% 7%  
492 0.6% 6%  
493 0.4% 5%  
494 0.5% 5%  
495 0.3% 5%  
496 0.3% 4%  
497 0.3% 4%  
498 0.3% 4%  
499 0.3% 3%  
500 0.2% 3%  
501 0.2% 3%  
502 0.2% 3%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.1% 2%  
508 0.1% 2%  
509 0.1% 2%  
510 0.1% 1.4%  
511 0.2% 1.3%  
512 0.1% 1.1%  
513 0.1% 1.1%  
514 0.1% 1.0%  
515 0.1% 0.8%  
516 0.1% 0.8%  
517 0.1% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.6%  
519 0.1% 0.5%  
520 0.1% 0.4%  
521 0% 0.4%  
522 0% 0.3%  
523 0% 0.3%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.1% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.5%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.2% 99.3%  
409 0.1% 99.2%  
410 0.2% 99.0%  
411 0.3% 98.8%  
412 0.2% 98.6%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.3% 98%  
415 0.5% 98%  
416 0.5% 97%  
417 0.5% 97%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.6% 96%  
420 0.6% 95%  
421 1.2% 94%  
422 0.8% 93%  
423 0.8% 93%  
424 0.9% 92%  
425 0.8% 91%  
426 1.3% 90%  
427 2% 89%  
428 1.5% 87%  
429 1.0% 86%  
430 1.4% 85%  
431 1.3% 83%  
432 1.2% 82%  
433 2% 81%  
434 0.9% 79%  
435 2% 78%  
436 1.5% 76%  
437 2% 75%  
438 2% 73%  
439 3% 71%  
440 2% 69%  
441 2% 67%  
442 2% 66%  
443 2% 63%  
444 2% 61%  
445 3% 59%  
446 4% 57%  
447 3% 53% Median
448 3% 51%  
449 2% 48%  
450 3% 46%  
451 3% 43%  
452 3% 40%  
453 2% 37%  
454 3% 35%  
455 2% 32%  
456 2% 30%  
457 2% 28%  
458 2% 26%  
459 2% 24%  
460 2% 22%  
461 1.5% 20%  
462 1.5% 18%  
463 1.4% 17%  
464 1.3% 16%  
465 1.5% 14%  
466 1.0% 13%  
467 1.0% 12%  
468 0.7% 11%  
469 0.6% 10%  
470 0.7% 9%  
471 0.7% 9%  
472 0.9% 8%  
473 0.4% 7%  
474 0.6% 7%  
475 0.7% 6%  
476 0.4% 5%  
477 0.4% 5%  
478 0.4% 4%  
479 0.4% 4%  
480 0.3% 4%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0.2% 3%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.1% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.1% 1.4%  
493 0.2% 1.3%  
494 0.1% 1.2%  
495 0.1% 1.1%  
496 0.1% 0.9%  
497 0.1% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0.1% 0.6%  
501 0.1% 0.5%  
502 0% 0.4%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0% 99.7%  
394 0.1% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.5%  
396 0.1% 99.5%  
397 0.1% 99.3%  
398 0.2% 99.2%  
399 0.3% 99.0%  
400 0.3% 98.7%  
401 0.3% 98%  
402 0.6% 98%  
403 0.3% 97%  
404 0.3% 97%  
405 0.7% 97%  
406 1.0% 96%  
407 0.6% 95%  
408 0.8% 95%  
409 1.0% 94%  
410 0.6% 93%  
411 2% 92%  
412 0.8% 90%  
413 0.9% 89%  
414 0.7% 88%  
415 1.0% 88%  
416 1.1% 87%  
417 1.1% 86%  
418 2% 85%  
419 2% 83%  
420 1.5% 81%  
421 2% 79%  
422 1.4% 77%  
423 1.3% 76%  
424 2% 75%  
425 2% 73%  
426 2% 70%  
427 3% 69%  
428 3% 66%  
429 2% 63%  
430 2% 61%  
431 3% 58%  
432 3% 55%  
433 3% 53% Median
434 3% 50%  
435 3% 47%  
436 4% 44%  
437 3% 40%  
438 3% 37%  
439 4% 34%  
440 2% 30%  
441 2% 28%  
442 2% 26%  
443 3% 24%  
444 2% 21%  
445 2% 19%  
446 2% 17%  
447 1.4% 16%  
448 0.8% 14%  
449 1.0% 13%  
450 2% 12%  
451 1.3% 11%  
452 0.9% 9%  
453 0.8% 8%  
454 0.7% 8%  
455 0.7% 7%  
456 0.6% 6%  
457 0.4% 6%  
458 0.5% 5%  
459 0.4% 5%  
460 0.2% 4%  
461 0.4% 4%  
462 0.4% 4%  
463 0.3% 3%  
464 0.2% 3%  
465 0.1% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.2% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.1% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.1% 2%  
473 0.1% 1.5%  
474 0.2% 1.4%  
475 0.1% 1.2%  
476 0.2% 1.1%  
477 0.1% 0.9%  
478 0.2% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.6%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.4%  
383 0.2% 99.2%  
384 0.1% 99.0%  
385 0.1% 98.9%  
386 0.2% 98.8%  
387 0.3% 98.5%  
388 0.8% 98%  
389 0.7% 97%  
390 0.5% 97%  
391 0.3% 96%  
392 0.5% 96%  
393 0.8% 96%  
394 1.4% 95%  
395 2% 93%  
396 1.2% 91%  
397 1.0% 90%  
398 0.3% 89%  
399 1.1% 89%  
400 0.9% 88%  
401 2% 87%  
402 2% 85%  
403 2% 83%  
404 2% 81%  
405 2% 79%  
406 1.3% 77%  
407 2% 76%  
408 2% 74%  
409 1.3% 73%  
410 1.0% 71%  
411 2% 70%  
412 3% 68%  
413 3% 65%  
414 3% 62%  
415 4% 59%  
416 3% 55%  
417 2% 52% Median
418 2% 50%  
419 3% 48%  
420 5% 44%  
421 6% 40%  
422 3% 34%  
423 3% 30%  
424 2% 28%  
425 2% 25%  
426 3% 24%  
427 3% 21%  
428 2% 18%  
429 2% 16%  
430 2% 15%  
431 1.2% 13%  
432 1.1% 12%  
433 0.9% 11%  
434 0.8% 10%  
435 1.1% 9%  
436 0.8% 8%  
437 1.2% 7%  
438 0.6% 6%  
439 0.2% 6%  
440 0.4% 5%  
441 0.7% 5%  
442 0.4% 4%  
443 0.3% 4%  
444 0.4% 4%  
445 0.4% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.2% 3%  
448 0.1% 3%  
449 0.1% 2%  
450 0.2% 2%  
451 0.1% 2%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 1.5%  
456 0.1% 1.3%  
457 0.2% 1.2%  
458 0.1% 1.0%  
459 0.1% 0.9%  
460 0.1% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.3%  
466 0% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0.1% 99.8%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.7%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.1% 99.5%  
146 0.1% 99.5%  
147 0.1% 99.4%  
148 0.1% 99.2%  
149 0.1% 99.1%  
150 0.2% 99.0%  
151 0.2% 98.8%  
152 0.1% 98.7%  
153 0.1% 98.5%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.1% 98%  
156 0.1% 98%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.2% 98%  
159 0.2% 98%  
160 0.1% 97%  
161 0.2% 97%  
162 0.2% 97%  
163 0.4% 97%  
164 0.4% 97%  
165 0.4% 96%  
166 0.3% 96%  
167 0.4% 95%  
168 0.5% 95%  
169 0.5% 95%  
170 0.7% 94%  
171 0.6% 93%  
172 0.7% 93%  
173 0.8% 92%  
174 1.2% 91%  
175 2% 90%  
176 1.4% 88%  
177 1.1% 87%  
178 0.7% 86%  
179 2% 85%  
180 2% 84%  
181 2% 82%  
182 2% 80%  
183 3% 78%  
184 2% 75%  
185 2% 73%  
186 2% 71%  
187 4% 68%  
188 3% 64%  
189 4% 62%  
190 4% 58%  
191 3% 54% Median
192 4% 52%  
193 3% 48%  
194 2% 45%  
195 3% 43%  
196 2% 40%  
197 2% 38%  
198 3% 36%  
199 3% 33%  
200 2% 30%  
201 2% 29%  
202 2% 27%  
203 2% 25%  
204 2% 23%  
205 2% 21%  
206 1.4% 20%  
207 2% 18%  
208 2% 16%  
209 1.2% 15%  
210 1.0% 14%  
211 0.8% 12%  
212 0.7% 12%  
213 0.9% 11%  
214 0.8% 10%  
215 2% 9%  
216 0.5% 7%  
217 0.9% 7%  
218 0.8% 6%  
219 0.7% 5%  
220 0.8% 4%  
221 0.6% 3%  
222 0.3% 3%  
223 0.3% 3%  
224 0.5% 2%  
225 0.3% 2%  
226 0.3% 1.4%  
227 0.2% 1.1%  
228 0.2% 0.9%  
229 0.1% 0.7%  
230 0.1% 0.6%  
231 0% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0% 0.3%  
234 0% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
109 0% 100%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0.1% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.1% 99.3%  
128 0.1% 99.3%  
129 0.1% 99.2%  
130 0.1% 99.1%  
131 0.1% 99.0%  
132 0.1% 98.8%  
133 0.1% 98.7%  
134 0.1% 98.6%  
135 0.2% 98.5%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.2% 98%  
138 0.2% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.2% 98%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.2% 97%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.3% 97%  
145 0.2% 97%  
146 0.3% 96%  
147 0.5% 96%  
148 0.3% 96%  
149 0.6% 95%  
150 0.5% 95%  
151 0.5% 94%  
152 0.6% 94%  
153 0.6% 93%  
154 0.8% 93%  
155 0.9% 92%  
156 0.7% 91%  
157 0.8% 90%  
158 0.7% 89%  
159 1.0% 89%  
160 0.9% 88%  
161 2% 87%  
162 1.4% 85%  
163 1.4% 84%  
164 2% 82%  
165 1.4% 81%  
166 2% 79%  
167 3% 77%  
168 2% 75%  
169 2% 73%  
170 2% 71%  
171 2% 69%  
172 3% 67%  
173 3% 64%  
174 3% 61%  
175 3% 58%  
176 2% 55%  
177 2% 53% Median
178 3% 51%  
179 2% 48%  
180 4% 46%  
181 2% 42%  
182 1.5% 40%  
183 2% 38%  
184 3% 36%  
185 2% 33%  
186 2% 32%  
187 3% 30%  
188 1.5% 28%  
189 2% 26%  
190 1.2% 24%  
191 2% 23%  
192 1.0% 21%  
193 2% 20%  
194 1.3% 19%  
195 1.1% 17%  
196 1.3% 16%  
197 1.3% 15%  
198 1.3% 14%  
199 2% 12%  
200 1.1% 11%  
201 0.9% 10%  
202 0.9% 9%  
203 0.8% 8%  
204 0.8% 7%  
205 1.1% 6%  
206 0.6% 5%  
207 0.6% 5%  
208 0.5% 4%  
209 0.5% 3%  
210 0.5% 3%  
211 0.5% 2%  
212 0.3% 2%  
213 0.2% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.3% 1.3%  
216 0.2% 1.0%  
217 0.1% 0.9%  
218 0.1% 0.8%  
219 0.1% 0.6%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0.1% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
91 0% 100%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.8%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.7%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.6%  
106 0% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.1% 99.4%  
109 0.1% 99.4%  
110 0.1% 99.3%  
111 0.1% 99.2%  
112 0.1% 99.1%  
113 0.1% 99.0%  
114 0.1% 98.9%  
115 0.2% 98.8%  
116 0.1% 98.6%  
117 0.1% 98%  
118 0.1% 98%  
119 0.2% 98%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.2% 98%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.2% 98%  
124 0.2% 97%  
125 0.2% 97%  
126 0.3% 97%  
127 0.3% 97%  
128 0.3% 96%  
129 0.3% 96%  
130 0.3% 96%  
131 0.3% 95%  
132 0.5% 95%  
133 0.5% 95%  
134 0.8% 94%  
135 0.5% 93%  
136 0.5% 93%  
137 1.0% 92%  
138 0.5% 91%  
139 0.7% 91%  
140 1.1% 90%  
141 0.9% 89%  
142 0.8% 88%  
143 2% 87%  
144 1.1% 86%  
145 1.3% 85%  
146 1.5% 84%  
147 1.5% 82%  
148 2% 81%  
149 2% 79%  
150 2% 77%  
151 2% 75%  
152 2% 73%  
153 2% 71%  
154 2% 69%  
155 2% 67%  
156 2% 65%  
157 3% 63%  
158 2% 60%  
159 3% 58%  
160 3% 55%  
161 2% 52% Median
162 2% 50%  
163 3% 48%  
164 2% 45%  
165 2% 43%  
166 3% 41%  
167 2% 38%  
168 2% 37%  
169 2% 34%  
170 2% 32%  
171 2% 30%  
172 2% 28%  
173 1.3% 26%  
174 1.5% 25%  
175 2% 23%  
176 2% 22%  
177 1.2% 20%  
178 1.2% 19%  
179 1.0% 17%  
180 1.4% 16%  
181 0.8% 15%  
182 1.4% 14%  
183 1.1% 13%  
184 1.0% 12%  
185 1.0% 11%  
186 0.7% 10%  
187 0.7% 9%  
188 1.1% 8%  
189 0.9% 7%  
190 0.8% 6%  
191 0.6% 6%  
192 0.6% 5%  
193 0.7% 4%  
194 0.5% 4%  
195 0.5% 3%  
196 0.4% 3%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.3% 2%  
200 0.2% 1.4%  
201 0.2% 1.2%  
202 0.1% 1.0%  
203 0.2% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0% 0.5%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.4%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations