Opinion Poll by More in Common for Times Radio, 24–27 November 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 46.6% 44.8–48.4% 44.3–48.9% 43.9–49.4% 43.0–50.2%
Conservative Party 43.6% 29.6% 28.0–31.3% 27.6–31.8% 27.2–32.2% 26.4–33.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.6% 10.6–12.9% 10.3–13.2% 10.0–13.5% 9.5–14.1%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.5–5.0% 3.3–5.2% 3.2–5.4% 2.9–5.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 3.7% 3.1–4.5% 2.9–4.7% 2.8–4.9% 2.5–5.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.7–3.9% 2.5–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.1–4.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 369 346–389 341–395 337–402 329–412
Conservative Party 365 190 169–214 161–220 154–224 144–231
Liberal Democrats 11 30 23–39 22–41 20–42 17–47
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–3
Scottish National Party 48 36 23–46 18–50 17–52 12–55

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.8% Majority
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.2% 99.5%  
330 0.2% 99.3%  
331 0.2% 99.2%  
332 0.1% 99.0%  
333 0.2% 98.9%  
334 0.3% 98.7%  
335 0.3% 98%  
336 0.5% 98%  
337 0.6% 98%  
338 0.8% 97%  
339 0.4% 96%  
340 0.6% 96%  
341 0.8% 95%  
342 0.6% 94%  
343 0.7% 94%  
344 0.6% 93%  
345 1.1% 92%  
346 1.5% 91%  
347 1.4% 90%  
348 1.2% 88%  
349 1.1% 87%  
350 0.8% 86%  
351 1.4% 85%  
352 2% 84%  
353 2% 82%  
354 2% 81%  
355 2% 79%  
356 1.4% 76%  
357 1.5% 75%  
358 2% 73%  
359 2% 72%  
360 2% 70%  
361 3% 68%  
362 2% 66%  
363 3% 64%  
364 2% 60%  
365 2% 58%  
366 1.3% 56%  
367 1.1% 55%  
368 2% 54%  
369 3% 52% Median
370 3% 49%  
371 2% 45%  
372 2% 43%  
373 2% 41%  
374 2% 39%  
375 3% 37%  
376 3% 34%  
377 3% 31%  
378 2% 29%  
379 1.4% 27%  
380 2% 25%  
381 2% 24%  
382 3% 22%  
383 2% 19%  
384 2% 17%  
385 1.4% 15%  
386 1.2% 14%  
387 0.9% 13%  
388 1.0% 12%  
389 0.8% 11%  
390 1.0% 10%  
391 0.8% 9%  
392 1.4% 8%  
393 0.7% 7%  
394 0.5% 6%  
395 0.6% 6%  
396 0.4% 5%  
397 0.3% 5%  
398 0.4% 4%  
399 0.3% 4%  
400 0.6% 3%  
401 0.3% 3%  
402 0.3% 3%  
403 0.3% 2%  
404 0.2% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.3% 2%  
407 0.2% 1.3%  
408 0.2% 1.0%  
409 0.2% 0.9%  
410 0.1% 0.7%  
411 0.1% 0.6%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0% 0.4%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0.1% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.2% 98.8%  
151 0.3% 98.6%  
152 0.3% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.2% 97%  
156 0.3% 97%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.5% 96%  
160 0.5% 96%  
161 0.5% 95%  
162 0.7% 95%  
163 0.5% 94%  
164 0.5% 94%  
165 0.8% 93%  
166 0.4% 93%  
167 1.1% 92%  
168 0.7% 91%  
169 1.0% 90%  
170 1.0% 89%  
171 1.1% 88%  
172 1.4% 87%  
173 1.5% 86%  
174 1.2% 84%  
175 1.3% 83%  
176 2% 82%  
177 1.0% 80%  
178 2% 79%  
179 2% 77%  
180 0.9% 75%  
181 3% 74%  
182 2% 71%  
183 2% 69%  
184 2% 67%  
185 3% 65%  
186 3% 62%  
187 3% 59%  
188 2% 56%  
189 2% 54%  
190 2% 52% Median
191 2% 50%  
192 2% 48%  
193 2% 46%  
194 2% 44%  
195 2% 42%  
196 1.4% 40%  
197 2% 39%  
198 2% 37%  
199 2% 35%  
200 2% 32%  
201 1.4% 30%  
202 1.4% 29%  
203 2% 27%  
204 2% 25%  
205 2% 23%  
206 1.4% 21%  
207 2% 20%  
208 1.2% 18%  
209 2% 17%  
210 1.3% 15%  
211 0.9% 14%  
212 1.4% 13%  
213 0.8% 12%  
214 1.0% 11%  
215 0.9% 10%  
216 1.2% 9%  
217 0.9% 8%  
218 0.6% 7%  
219 0.6% 6%  
220 0.7% 5%  
221 0.6% 5%  
222 0.7% 4%  
223 0.4% 3%  
224 0.6% 3%  
225 0.4% 2%  
226 0.5% 2%  
227 0.3% 1.5%  
228 0.3% 1.2%  
229 0.2% 0.9%  
230 0.2% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0.1% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 0.2% 99.8%  
17 0.3% 99.7%  
18 0.3% 99.4%  
19 0.5% 99.1%  
20 2% 98.6%  
21 1.1% 97%  
22 2% 96%  
23 4% 94%  
24 5% 90%  
25 5% 85%  
26 6% 79%  
27 10% 74%  
28 10% 64%  
29 2% 53%  
30 5% 51% Median
31 6% 46%  
32 7% 40%  
33 5% 34%  
34 3% 28%  
35 1.2% 26%  
36 3% 24%  
37 4% 21%  
38 5% 17%  
39 4% 12%  
40 3% 8%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.1% 3%  
43 0.7% 2%  
44 0.3% 1.2%  
45 0.1% 0.9%  
46 0.1% 0.7%  
47 0.2% 0.6%  
48 0.1% 0.4%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.2%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 53% 100% Last Result, Median
1 6% 47%  
2 23% 41%  
3 18% 18%  
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.1% 99.8%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.1% 99.6%  
12 0.1% 99.5%  
13 0.1% 99.4%  
14 0.2% 99.3%  
15 0.3% 99.1%  
16 0.7% 98.9%  
17 1.2% 98%  
18 2% 97%  
19 1.1% 95%  
20 1.2% 94%  
21 1.0% 93%  
22 1.0% 92%  
23 2% 91%  
24 2% 89%  
25 1.2% 87%  
26 2% 86%  
27 1.1% 84%  
28 2% 83%  
29 3% 80%  
30 3% 78%  
31 9% 74%  
32 2% 65%  
33 5% 63%  
34 3% 58%  
35 4% 54%  
36 5% 51% Median
37 2% 46%  
38 8% 44%  
39 2% 36%  
40 4% 34%  
41 10% 30%  
42 2% 20%  
43 4% 18%  
44 1.3% 14%  
45 2% 13%  
46 1.1% 11%  
47 0.9% 10%  
48 2% 9% Last Result
49 1.0% 7%  
50 1.4% 6%  
51 1.3% 5%  
52 1.3% 3%  
53 0.9% 2%  
54 0.5% 1.3%  
55 0.4% 0.8%  
56 0.2% 0.4%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 434 100% 411–456 405–464 400–471 394–481
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 399 100% 374–423 368–431 362–438 353–450
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 404 100% 383–422 378–429 374–435 368–443
Labour Party 202 369 99.8% 346–389 341–395 337–402 329–412
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 226 0% 202–251 194–257 187–262 176–272
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 221 0% 203–241 197–247 190–250 182–256
Conservative Party 365 190 0% 169–214 161–220 154–224 144–231

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0.1% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.2% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.2% 99.2%  
397 0.2% 99.0%  
398 0.4% 98.7%  
399 0.4% 98%  
400 0.5% 98%  
401 0.4% 97%  
402 0.7% 97%  
403 0.5% 96%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.6% 95%  
406 0.8% 95%  
407 1.0% 94%  
408 0.8% 93%  
409 0.7% 92%  
410 1.2% 91%  
411 0.9% 90%  
412 1.1% 89%  
413 1.0% 88%  
414 1.3% 87%  
415 2% 86%  
416 0.9% 84%  
417 1.5% 83%  
418 2% 82%  
419 2% 80%  
420 2% 78%  
421 1.5% 76%  
422 2% 75%  
423 2% 73%  
424 1.5% 71%  
425 2% 69%  
426 3% 68%  
427 2% 64%  
428 2% 63%  
429 1.3% 61%  
430 2% 60%  
431 2% 58%  
432 1.4% 55%  
433 2% 54%  
434 2% 52%  
435 2% 50% Median
436 3% 48%  
437 2% 45%  
438 2% 43%  
439 3% 41%  
440 3% 38%  
441 3% 36%  
442 2% 33%  
443 2% 31%  
444 2% 29%  
445 3% 27%  
446 1.2% 25%  
447 2% 23%  
448 2% 22%  
449 1.4% 20%  
450 2% 19%  
451 1.4% 17%  
452 1.0% 15%  
453 1.0% 14%  
454 2% 13%  
455 1.1% 12%  
456 1.2% 11%  
457 0.5% 9%  
458 0.7% 9%  
459 0.8% 8%  
460 0.6% 8%  
461 0.8% 7%  
462 0.5% 6%  
463 0.5% 6%  
464 0.5% 5%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.4% 4%  
467 0.5% 4%  
468 0.3% 3%  
469 0.2% 3%  
470 0.3% 3%  
471 0.2% 3%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.3% 2%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.2% 1.4%  
477 0.2% 1.1%  
478 0.1% 1.0%  
479 0.1% 0.9%  
480 0.1% 0.7%  
481 0.2% 0.6%  
482 0.1% 0.5%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0.1% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.2% 99.3%  
356 0.2% 99.2%  
357 0.2% 99.0%  
358 0.2% 98.8%  
359 0.2% 98.6%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.4% 98%  
363 0.3% 97%  
364 0.5% 97%  
365 0.5% 97%  
366 0.4% 96%  
367 0.6% 96%  
368 0.6% 95%  
369 0.9% 94%  
370 0.7% 94%  
371 0.9% 93%  
372 0.9% 92%  
373 0.7% 91%  
374 1.2% 90%  
375 0.9% 89%  
376 0.9% 88%  
377 1.4% 87%  
378 1.0% 86%  
379 2% 85%  
380 1.1% 83%  
381 1.5% 82%  
382 1.3% 81%  
383 1.3% 79%  
384 1.3% 78%  
385 2% 77%  
386 2% 75%  
387 1.5% 73%  
388 2% 72%  
389 2% 70%  
390 2% 68%  
391 2% 66%  
392 1.4% 64%  
393 2% 63%  
394 1.5% 60%  
395 2% 59%  
396 2% 57%  
397 1.4% 55%  
398 2% 53%  
399 2% 51% Median
400 2% 49%  
401 2% 47%  
402 2% 45%  
403 2% 43%  
404 2% 40%  
405 2% 39%  
406 2% 36%  
407 2% 35%  
408 2% 33%  
409 2% 31%  
410 2% 29%  
411 2% 27%  
412 2% 26%  
413 2% 24%  
414 2% 22%  
415 2% 20%  
416 2% 19%  
417 0.9% 17%  
418 1.2% 16%  
419 1.3% 15%  
420 1.4% 14%  
421 0.6% 12%  
422 1.3% 12%  
423 0.8% 10%  
424 0.8% 9%  
425 0.4% 9%  
426 0.6% 8%  
427 0.5% 8%  
428 0.8% 7%  
429 0.7% 6%  
430 0.5% 6%  
431 0.4% 5%  
432 0.5% 5%  
433 0.5% 4%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0.4% 3%  
436 0.3% 3%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0.3% 3%  
439 0.3% 2%  
440 0.3% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.4%  
444 0.2% 1.3%  
445 0.1% 1.1%  
446 0.1% 0.9%  
447 0.2% 0.8%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0.1% 0.6%  
450 0.1% 0.5%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0% 0.4%  
453 0.1% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0.1% 99.9%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.2% 99.5%  
370 0.2% 99.3%  
371 0.3% 99.1%  
372 0.4% 98.9%  
373 0.4% 98%  
374 0.7% 98%  
375 0.7% 97%  
376 0.8% 97%  
377 0.6% 96%  
378 0.9% 95%  
379 1.1% 94%  
380 0.7% 93%  
381 1.0% 93%  
382 1.0% 92%  
383 1.1% 91%  
384 0.9% 89%  
385 0.9% 89%  
386 1.4% 88%  
387 1.3% 86%  
388 2% 85%  
389 2% 83%  
390 2% 81%  
391 1.3% 79%  
392 2% 78%  
393 2% 75%  
394 2% 73%  
395 4% 72%  
396 2% 68%  
397 1.5% 66%  
398 4% 64%  
399 2% 61%  
400 2% 59%  
401 2% 57%  
402 2% 55%  
403 2% 53%  
404 1.0% 51%  
405 2% 50% Median
406 3% 48%  
407 2% 45%  
408 2% 43%  
409 3% 41%  
410 3% 38%  
411 4% 35%  
412 3% 31%  
413 4% 28%  
414 2% 25%  
415 3% 22%  
416 0.8% 19%  
417 2% 18%  
418 2% 16%  
419 2% 14%  
420 1.4% 13%  
421 1.1% 11%  
422 1.0% 10%  
423 0.8% 9%  
424 0.6% 8%  
425 0.6% 8%  
426 0.8% 7%  
427 0.5% 6%  
428 0.2% 6%  
429 0.8% 5%  
430 0.5% 5%  
431 0.3% 4%  
432 0.3% 4%  
433 0.3% 4%  
434 0.6% 3%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.5% 2%  
437 0.3% 2%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.3% 1.4%  
440 0.2% 1.1%  
441 0.2% 0.9%  
442 0.1% 0.7%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0.1% 0.4%  
445 0.1% 0.3%  
446 0.1% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0.1% 99.8% Majority
327 0.1% 99.7%  
328 0.1% 99.7%  
329 0.2% 99.5%  
330 0.2% 99.3%  
331 0.2% 99.2%  
332 0.1% 99.0%  
333 0.2% 98.9%  
334 0.3% 98.7%  
335 0.3% 98%  
336 0.5% 98%  
337 0.6% 98%  
338 0.8% 97%  
339 0.4% 96%  
340 0.6% 96%  
341 0.8% 95%  
342 0.6% 94%  
343 0.7% 94%  
344 0.6% 93%  
345 1.1% 92%  
346 1.5% 91%  
347 1.4% 90%  
348 1.2% 88%  
349 1.1% 87%  
350 0.8% 86%  
351 1.4% 85%  
352 2% 84%  
353 2% 82%  
354 2% 81%  
355 2% 79%  
356 1.4% 76%  
357 1.5% 75%  
358 2% 73%  
359 2% 72%  
360 2% 70%  
361 3% 68%  
362 2% 66%  
363 3% 64%  
364 2% 60%  
365 2% 58%  
366 1.3% 56%  
367 1.1% 55%  
368 2% 54%  
369 3% 52% Median
370 3% 49%  
371 2% 45%  
372 2% 43%  
373 2% 41%  
374 2% 39%  
375 3% 37%  
376 3% 34%  
377 3% 31%  
378 2% 29%  
379 1.4% 27%  
380 2% 25%  
381 2% 24%  
382 3% 22%  
383 2% 19%  
384 2% 17%  
385 1.4% 15%  
386 1.2% 14%  
387 0.9% 13%  
388 1.0% 12%  
389 0.8% 11%  
390 1.0% 10%  
391 0.8% 9%  
392 1.4% 8%  
393 0.7% 7%  
394 0.5% 6%  
395 0.6% 6%  
396 0.4% 5%  
397 0.3% 5%  
398 0.4% 4%  
399 0.3% 4%  
400 0.6% 3%  
401 0.3% 3%  
402 0.3% 3%  
403 0.3% 2%  
404 0.2% 2%  
405 0.1% 2%  
406 0.3% 2%  
407 0.2% 1.3%  
408 0.2% 1.0%  
409 0.2% 0.9%  
410 0.1% 0.7%  
411 0.1% 0.6%  
412 0.1% 0.5%  
413 0% 0.4%  
414 0.1% 0.4%  
415 0.1% 0.3%  
416 0.1% 0.3%  
417 0% 0.2%  
418 0.1% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
162 0% 100%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.8%  
171 0.1% 99.8%  
172 0% 99.7%  
173 0.1% 99.7%  
174 0.1% 99.6%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0.1% 99.5%  
177 0.1% 99.4%  
178 0.1% 99.4%  
179 0.2% 99.3%  
180 0.1% 99.1%  
181 0.2% 99.0%  
182 0.1% 98.8%  
183 0.2% 98.7%  
184 0.2% 98%  
185 0.2% 98%  
186 0.4% 98%  
187 0.3% 98%  
188 0.2% 97%  
189 0.2% 97%  
190 0.3% 97%  
191 0.4% 97%  
192 0.3% 96%  
193 0.4% 96%  
194 0.6% 96%  
195 0.4% 95%  
196 0.6% 95%  
197 0.6% 94%  
198 0.7% 93%  
199 0.6% 93%  
200 0.8% 92%  
201 0.7% 91%  
202 0.9% 91%  
203 0.7% 90%  
204 1.2% 89%  
205 1.1% 88%  
206 1.1% 87%  
207 1.2% 86%  
208 1.4% 84%  
209 1.2% 83%  
210 2% 82%  
211 2% 80%  
212 2% 78%  
213 2% 76%  
214 1.5% 74%  
215 2% 73%  
216 2% 71%  
217 2% 69%  
218 2% 67%  
219 2% 65%  
220 2% 64%  
221 2% 61%  
222 2% 59%  
223 2% 57%  
224 2% 55%  
225 2% 53%  
226 2% 51% Median
227 2% 49%  
228 2% 48%  
229 2% 45%  
230 2% 43%  
231 3% 41%  
232 1.4% 38%  
233 1.3% 37%  
234 2% 36%  
235 2% 34%  
236 2% 32%  
237 2% 30%  
238 2% 28%  
239 1.4% 26%  
240 2% 25%  
241 2% 23%  
242 2% 22%  
243 1.0% 20%  
244 1.3% 19%  
245 2% 18%  
246 1.0% 16%  
247 2% 15%  
248 0.9% 13%  
249 1.0% 12%  
250 1.0% 11%  
251 0.8% 10%  
252 0.9% 10%  
253 0.7% 9%  
254 0.9% 8%  
255 1.0% 7%  
256 0.6% 6%  
257 0.8% 5%  
258 0.5% 5%  
259 0.6% 4%  
260 0.4% 4%  
261 0.5% 3%  
262 0.4% 3%  
263 0.4% 2%  
264 0.3% 2%  
265 0.3% 2%  
266 0.1% 1.4%  
267 0.2% 1.3%  
268 0.2% 1.1%  
269 0.2% 0.9%  
270 0.1% 0.7%  
271 0.1% 0.6%  
272 0.1% 0.5%  
273 0.1% 0.4%  
274 0.1% 0.3%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.2%  
277 0% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
174 0% 100%  
175 0% 99.9%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.6%  
183 0.1% 99.5%  
184 0.1% 99.4%  
185 0.3% 99.2%  
186 0.2% 98.9%  
187 0.3% 98.7%  
188 0.2% 98%  
189 0.2% 98%  
190 0.6% 98%  
191 0.3% 97%  
192 0.5% 97%  
193 0.4% 96%  
194 0.3% 96%  
195 0.4% 96%  
196 0.4% 95%  
197 0.8% 95%  
198 0.3% 94%  
199 0.6% 94%  
200 0.7% 93%  
201 0.8% 93%  
202 0.8% 92%  
203 1.2% 91%  
204 0.8% 90%  
205 1.5% 89%  
206 1.3% 88%  
207 2% 86%  
208 2% 85%  
209 3% 82%  
210 2% 80%  
211 3% 78%  
212 3% 75%  
213 4% 73%  
214 4% 69%  
215 4% 66%  
216 2% 62%  
217 3% 60%  
218 3% 57%  
219 1.5% 54%  
220 2% 53% Median
221 2% 51%  
222 1.2% 48%  
223 2% 47%  
224 2% 45%  
225 2% 43%  
226 3% 41%  
227 2% 38%  
228 3% 36%  
229 2% 33%  
230 2% 31%  
231 3% 29%  
232 2% 26%  
233 2% 24%  
234 2% 22%  
235 2% 20%  
236 2% 19%  
237 2% 16%  
238 1.5% 15%  
239 0.9% 13%  
240 1.2% 12%  
241 1.1% 11%  
242 1.0% 10%  
243 0.9% 9%  
244 1.2% 8%  
245 0.7% 7%  
246 0.7% 6%  
247 1.0% 6%  
248 1.0% 5%  
249 0.7% 4%  
250 0.6% 3%  
251 0.6% 2%  
252 0.5% 2%  
253 0.3% 1.2%  
254 0.2% 0.9%  
255 0.2% 0.7%  
256 0.1% 0.5%  
257 0.1% 0.4%  
258 0.1% 0.3%  
259 0.1% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
132 0% 100%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0.1% 99.7%  
143 0.1% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.2% 99.2%  
148 0.1% 99.0%  
149 0.1% 98.9%  
150 0.2% 98.8%  
151 0.3% 98.6%  
152 0.3% 98%  
153 0.3% 98%  
154 0.2% 98%  
155 0.2% 97%  
156 0.3% 97%  
157 0.1% 97%  
158 0.3% 97%  
159 0.5% 96%  
160 0.5% 96%  
161 0.5% 95%  
162 0.7% 95%  
163 0.5% 94%  
164 0.5% 94%  
165 0.8% 93%  
166 0.4% 93%  
167 1.1% 92%  
168 0.7% 91%  
169 1.0% 90%  
170 1.0% 89%  
171 1.1% 88%  
172 1.4% 87%  
173 1.5% 86%  
174 1.2% 84%  
175 1.3% 83%  
176 2% 82%  
177 1.0% 80%  
178 2% 79%  
179 2% 77%  
180 0.9% 75%  
181 3% 74%  
182 2% 71%  
183 2% 69%  
184 2% 67%  
185 3% 65%  
186 3% 62%  
187 3% 59%  
188 2% 56%  
189 2% 54%  
190 2% 52% Median
191 2% 50%  
192 2% 48%  
193 2% 46%  
194 2% 44%  
195 2% 42%  
196 1.4% 40%  
197 2% 39%  
198 2% 37%  
199 2% 35%  
200 2% 32%  
201 1.4% 30%  
202 1.4% 29%  
203 2% 27%  
204 2% 25%  
205 2% 23%  
206 1.4% 21%  
207 2% 20%  
208 1.2% 18%  
209 2% 17%  
210 1.3% 15%  
211 0.9% 14%  
212 1.4% 13%  
213 0.8% 12%  
214 1.0% 11%  
215 0.9% 10%  
216 1.2% 9%  
217 0.9% 8%  
218 0.6% 7%  
219 0.6% 6%  
220 0.7% 5%  
221 0.6% 5%  
222 0.7% 4%  
223 0.4% 3%  
224 0.6% 3%  
225 0.4% 2%  
226 0.5% 2%  
227 0.3% 1.5%  
228 0.3% 1.2%  
229 0.2% 0.9%  
230 0.2% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0.1% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations