Opinion Poll by We Think, 14–15 December 2023

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.0% 47.0–51.1% 46.4–51.7% 46.0–52.2% 45.0–53.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.6% 24.9–28.5% 24.4–29.0% 24.0–29.5% 23.2–30.4%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.5% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
Green Party 2.8% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–6.0%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 403 381–430 374–442 367–451 354–463
Conservative Party 365 155 127–181 114–187 104–193 88–206
Liberal Democrats 11 30 22–40 20–42 19–46 15–51
Brexit Party 0 2 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 48 36 22–46 19–51 17–53 14–56

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.1%  
360 0.1% 98.9%  
361 0.2% 98.8%  
362 0.2% 98.6%  
363 0.2% 98%  
364 0.2% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.3% 98%  
368 0.3% 97%  
369 0.4% 97%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.5% 96%  
372 0.4% 96%  
373 0.4% 95%  
374 0.5% 95%  
375 0.6% 94%  
376 0.7% 94%  
377 0.5% 93%  
378 0.8% 93%  
379 0.8% 92%  
380 0.6% 91%  
381 1.1% 90%  
382 1.1% 89%  
383 1.0% 88%  
384 0.9% 87%  
385 1.0% 86%  
386 1.1% 85%  
387 2% 84%  
388 1.5% 83%  
389 1.3% 81%  
390 2% 80%  
391 1.4% 78%  
392 2% 77%  
393 1.2% 75%  
394 2% 73%  
395 3% 71%  
396 2% 69%  
397 2% 66%  
398 2% 64%  
399 2% 62%  
400 3% 60%  
401 3% 57%  
402 3% 54%  
403 3% 51% Median
404 3% 49%  
405 3% 45%  
406 2% 43%  
407 2% 41%  
408 2% 38%  
409 3% 36%  
410 2% 33%  
411 2% 32%  
412 2% 30%  
413 2% 28%  
414 1.2% 26%  
415 2% 25%  
416 2% 24%  
417 0.9% 22%  
418 1.2% 21%  
419 1.3% 20%  
420 0.9% 19%  
421 1.3% 18%  
422 1.1% 16%  
423 0.6% 15%  
424 0.8% 15%  
425 0.4% 14%  
426 1.0% 13%  
427 0.8% 12%  
428 0.6% 12%  
429 0.5% 11%  
430 0.6% 10%  
431 0.6% 10%  
432 0.6% 9%  
433 0.3% 9%  
434 0.5% 8%  
435 0.4% 8%  
436 0.4% 7%  
437 0.3% 7%  
438 0.5% 7%  
439 0.3% 6%  
440 0.2% 6%  
441 0.5% 6%  
442 0.2% 5%  
443 0.3% 5%  
444 0.2% 5%  
445 0.4% 4%  
446 0.2% 4%  
447 0.3% 4%  
448 0.2% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.2% 1.5%  
457 0.2% 1.3%  
458 0.1% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 1.0%  
460 0.1% 0.9%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.6%  
89 0% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.4%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.1%  
95 0.1% 99.0%  
96 0.1% 98.9%  
97 0.2% 98.8%  
98 0.1% 98.6%  
99 0.1% 98.6%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.1% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.2% 97%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.1% 97%  
108 0.3% 97%  
109 0.2% 97%  
110 0.2% 96%  
111 0.4% 96%  
112 0.4% 96%  
113 0.3% 95%  
114 0.3% 95%  
115 0.2% 95%  
116 0.2% 95%  
117 0.3% 94%  
118 0.2% 94%  
119 0.3% 94%  
120 0.3% 94%  
121 0.5% 93%  
122 0.4% 93%  
123 0.5% 92%  
124 0.6% 92%  
125 0.3% 91%  
126 0.6% 91%  
127 0.6% 90%  
128 0.7% 90%  
129 0.7% 89%  
130 0.5% 88%  
131 0.8% 88%  
132 0.6% 87%  
133 0.8% 87%  
134 1.2% 86%  
135 1.0% 85%  
136 0.8% 84%  
137 1.4% 83%  
138 1.1% 81%  
139 1.5% 80%  
140 1.3% 79%  
141 1.0% 78%  
142 1.3% 77%  
143 2% 75%  
144 2% 73%  
145 2% 71%  
146 2% 69%  
147 1.2% 67%  
148 3% 66%  
149 2% 63%  
150 2% 61%  
151 2% 59%  
152 2% 57%  
153 1.4% 55%  
154 3% 53%  
155 3% 50% Median
156 2% 48%  
157 2% 46%  
158 2% 44%  
159 2% 42%  
160 2% 40%  
161 3% 38%  
162 2% 35%  
163 2% 34%  
164 2% 32%  
165 1.2% 30%  
166 1.1% 29%  
167 1.0% 28%  
168 2% 27%  
169 2% 25%  
170 1.4% 23%  
171 1.3% 21%  
172 0.8% 20%  
173 1.4% 19%  
174 0.8% 18%  
175 2% 17%  
176 1.1% 15%  
177 0.9% 14%  
178 1.0% 13%  
179 0.6% 12%  
180 1.4% 12%  
181 0.8% 10%  
182 0.8% 10%  
183 0.9% 9%  
184 1.1% 8%  
185 0.6% 7%  
186 0.6% 6%  
187 0.7% 6%  
188 0.7% 5%  
189 0.4% 4%  
190 0.5% 4%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.2% 3%  
193 0.2% 3%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.2% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.1% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.3%  
200 0.2% 1.2%  
201 0.1% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.6%  
207 0% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0.1% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0.1% 99.8%  
15 0.2% 99.7%  
16 0.3% 99.5%  
17 0.5% 99.1%  
18 1.1% 98.6%  
19 1.2% 98%  
20 2% 96%  
21 2% 94%  
22 3% 92%  
23 5% 88%  
24 4% 83%  
25 5% 79%  
26 6% 74%  
27 7% 67%  
28 3% 60%  
29 4% 57%  
30 5% 53% Median
31 5% 48%  
32 4% 43%  
33 4% 39%  
34 3% 36%  
35 3% 33%  
36 4% 30%  
37 5% 26%  
38 6% 21%  
39 3% 15%  
40 4% 12%  
41 2% 8%  
42 2% 6%  
43 1.0% 4%  
44 0.3% 3%  
45 0.3% 3%  
46 0.5% 3%  
47 0.4% 2%  
48 0.2% 2%  
49 0.2% 2%  
50 0.5% 1.4%  
51 0.5% 0.8%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 5% 68%  
2 25% 63% Median
3 36% 38%  
4 2% 2%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.6% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.3% 0.4%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.1% 99.8%  
11 0.1% 99.8%  
12 0% 99.7%  
13 0.1% 99.7%  
14 0.1% 99.6%  
15 0.5% 99.4%  
16 0.8% 99.0%  
17 1.2% 98%  
18 1.4% 97%  
19 2% 96%  
20 1.4% 94%  
21 2% 93%  
22 3% 91%  
23 2% 88%  
24 2% 86%  
25 1.4% 84%  
26 3% 83%  
27 3% 80%  
28 0.7% 78%  
29 4% 77%  
30 2% 73%  
31 2% 71%  
32 4% 69%  
33 1.0% 66%  
34 13% 65%  
35 1.1% 52%  
36 7% 51% Median
37 2% 44%  
38 8% 43%  
39 3% 35%  
40 4% 32%  
41 5% 28%  
42 3% 23%  
43 3% 21%  
44 5% 18%  
45 2% 13%  
46 2% 11%  
47 1.0% 9%  
48 1.4% 8% Last Result
49 0.7% 7%  
50 0.8% 6%  
51 1.0% 5%  
52 1.3% 4%  
53 1.1% 3%  
54 0.7% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.3%  
56 0.3% 0.7%  
57 0.4% 0.4%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 469 100% 443–497 437–511 431–520 417–535
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 434 100% 408–466 399–478 391–489 377–504
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 439 100% 416–462 411–475 406–483 393–495
Labour Party 202 403 100% 381–430 374–442 367–451 354–463
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 190 0% 160–217 146–225 136–233 120–247
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 185 0% 163–208 150–213 142–218 129–231
Conservative Party 365 155 0% 127–181 114–187 104–193 88–206

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0% 99.6%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.1% 99.4%  
420 0.1% 99.3%  
421 0.1% 99.3%  
422 0.1% 99.2%  
423 0.1% 99.1%  
424 0.2% 99.0%  
425 0.1% 98.8%  
426 0.1% 98.7%  
427 0.2% 98.6%  
428 0.1% 98%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.3% 98%  
431 0.3% 98%  
432 0.4% 97%  
433 0.4% 97%  
434 0.4% 97%  
435 0.7% 96%  
436 0.6% 96%  
437 0.4% 95%  
438 0.8% 95%  
439 0.8% 94%  
440 0.8% 93%  
441 0.8% 92%  
442 0.9% 91%  
443 1.1% 91%  
444 0.9% 89%  
445 0.9% 89%  
446 1.0% 88%  
447 1.1% 87%  
448 1.3% 86%  
449 1.0% 84%  
450 2% 83%  
451 0.9% 82%  
452 0.9% 81%  
453 0.9% 80%  
454 1.5% 79%  
455 2% 78%  
456 2% 76%  
457 1.4% 74%  
458 1.1% 73%  
459 2% 72%  
460 2% 70%  
461 1.1% 68%  
462 3% 67%  
463 2% 65%  
464 2% 62%  
465 2% 60%  
466 2% 58%  
467 2% 56%  
468 2% 54%  
469 3% 53% Median
470 2% 50%  
471 2% 48%  
472 3% 46%  
473 2% 43%  
474 2% 41%  
475 3% 40%  
476 2% 37%  
477 2% 35%  
478 2% 33%  
479 2% 31%  
480 2% 29%  
481 2% 27%  
482 1.2% 25%  
483 1.3% 24%  
484 1.1% 23%  
485 1.2% 22%  
486 1.3% 20%  
487 1.3% 19%  
488 0.9% 18%  
489 1.4% 17%  
490 0.8% 15%  
491 0.8% 15%  
492 0.9% 14%  
493 0.6% 13%  
494 0.6% 12%  
495 0.4% 12%  
496 0.9% 11%  
497 0.6% 10%  
498 0.4% 10%  
499 0.5% 9%  
500 0.4% 9%  
501 0.4% 8%  
502 0.5% 8%  
503 0.7% 7%  
504 0.3% 7%  
505 0.2% 6%  
506 0.1% 6%  
507 0.3% 6%  
508 0.2% 6%  
509 0.3% 6%  
510 0.2% 5%  
511 0.3% 5%  
512 0.5% 5%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.2% 4%  
515 0.3% 4%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.1% 3%  
518 0.3% 3%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.5%  
527 0.1% 1.4%  
528 0.1% 1.2%  
529 0.1% 1.1%  
530 0.1% 1.0%  
531 0.1% 0.9%  
532 0.1% 0.7%  
533 0.1% 0.7%  
534 0.1% 0.6%  
535 0.1% 0.5%  
536 0% 0.4%  
537 0% 0.4%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0% 99.6%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.1% 99.5%  
378 0.1% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.4%  
380 0.1% 99.3%  
381 0.1% 99.2%  
382 0.1% 99.1%  
383 0.1% 99.0%  
384 0.1% 98.9%  
385 0.2% 98.8%  
386 0.1% 98.6%  
387 0.2% 98%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.3% 98%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.3% 97%  
393 0.3% 97%  
394 0.3% 97%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 0.3% 96%  
397 0.3% 96%  
398 0.3% 96%  
399 0.6% 95%  
400 0.4% 95%  
401 0.6% 94%  
402 0.7% 94%  
403 0.5% 93%  
404 0.6% 93%  
405 0.6% 92%  
406 0.4% 91%  
407 0.7% 91%  
408 0.8% 90%  
409 1.1% 89%  
410 1.2% 88%  
411 0.9% 87%  
412 0.9% 86%  
413 0.8% 85%  
414 0.9% 85%  
415 2% 84%  
416 1.3% 82%  
417 2% 81%  
418 2% 79%  
419 1.1% 77%  
420 1.0% 76%  
421 1.4% 75%  
422 2% 73%  
423 2% 71%  
424 2% 70%  
425 2% 68%  
426 3% 66%  
427 2% 63%  
428 2% 61%  
429 1.3% 59%  
430 2% 58%  
431 2% 56%  
432 1.2% 54%  
433 1.2% 53% Median
434 2% 52%  
435 3% 49%  
436 2% 47%  
437 2% 45%  
438 2% 43%  
439 2% 41%  
440 2% 39%  
441 2% 36%  
442 2% 35%  
443 1.0% 32%  
444 1.5% 31%  
445 2% 30%  
446 1.4% 28%  
447 1.4% 27%  
448 1.0% 26%  
449 2% 25%  
450 1.1% 23%  
451 1.5% 22%  
452 0.9% 20%  
453 1.5% 20%  
454 0.7% 18%  
455 0.4% 17%  
456 1.1% 17%  
457 0.6% 16%  
458 0.7% 15%  
459 0.7% 14%  
460 0.6% 14%  
461 0.6% 13%  
462 1.0% 13%  
463 0.7% 12%  
464 0.5% 11%  
465 0.3% 10%  
466 0.7% 10%  
467 0.5% 9%  
468 0.3% 9%  
469 0.5% 8%  
470 0.4% 8%  
471 0.5% 8%  
472 0.3% 7%  
473 0.2% 7%  
474 0.4% 7%  
475 0.2% 6%  
476 0.4% 6%  
477 0.4% 6%  
478 0.4% 5%  
479 0.3% 5%  
480 0.2% 5%  
481 0.3% 4%  
482 0.3% 4%  
483 0.2% 4%  
484 0.2% 4%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.3% 3%  
487 0.1% 3%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.2% 3%  
490 0.3% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.2% 1.5%  
496 0.1% 1.3%  
497 0.1% 1.1%  
498 0.1% 1.0%  
499 0.1% 1.0%  
500 0.1% 0.9%  
501 0.1% 0.8%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.4%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.7%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.3%  
397 0.1% 99.2%  
398 0.1% 99.1%  
399 0.1% 99.0%  
400 0.2% 98.9%  
401 0.1% 98.7%  
402 0.2% 98.6%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 0.1% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.5% 97%  
408 0.7% 97%  
409 0.5% 96%  
410 0.5% 96%  
411 0.5% 95%  
412 1.0% 95%  
413 0.8% 94%  
414 1.1% 93%  
415 1.3% 92%  
416 0.9% 90%  
417 0.9% 90%  
418 1.4% 89%  
419 1.3% 87%  
420 1.2% 86%  
421 2% 85%  
422 0.8% 83%  
423 2% 82%  
424 1.2% 81%  
425 2% 80%  
426 2% 78%  
427 1.2% 76%  
428 2% 75%  
429 1.1% 73%  
430 2% 72%  
431 2% 70%  
432 1.2% 68%  
433 2% 67%  
434 3% 65%  
435 2% 62%  
436 2% 60%  
437 3% 58%  
438 3% 55%  
439 3% 53% Median
440 3% 50%  
441 3% 47%  
442 3% 44%  
443 3% 41%  
444 2% 38%  
445 3% 35%  
446 2% 32%  
447 2% 30%  
448 2% 27%  
449 2% 25%  
450 2% 24%  
451 2% 22%  
452 2% 21%  
453 1.3% 19%  
454 1.4% 18%  
455 0.9% 16%  
456 0.9% 15%  
457 0.7% 14%  
458 1.0% 14%  
459 0.8% 13%  
460 0.7% 12%  
461 1.0% 11%  
462 1.0% 10%  
463 0.6% 9%  
464 0.4% 9%  
465 0.6% 8%  
466 0.4% 8%  
467 0.3% 7%  
468 0.2% 7%  
469 0.2% 7%  
470 0.3% 7%  
471 0.2% 6%  
472 0.1% 6%  
473 0.4% 6%  
474 0.3% 5%  
475 0.5% 5%  
476 0.3% 5%  
477 0.4% 4%  
478 0.3% 4%  
479 0.3% 4%  
480 0.2% 3%  
481 0.3% 3%  
482 0.2% 3%  
483 0.4% 3%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.2% 1.5%  
488 0.1% 1.3%  
489 0.1% 1.2%  
490 0.2% 1.1%  
491 0.1% 1.0%  
492 0.1% 0.8%  
493 0.1% 0.7%  
494 0.1% 0.6%  
495 0.1% 0.5%  
496 0.1% 0.4%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.1%  
360 0.1% 98.9%  
361 0.2% 98.8%  
362 0.2% 98.6%  
363 0.2% 98%  
364 0.2% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.3% 98%  
368 0.3% 97%  
369 0.4% 97%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.5% 96%  
372 0.4% 96%  
373 0.4% 95%  
374 0.5% 95%  
375 0.6% 94%  
376 0.7% 94%  
377 0.5% 93%  
378 0.8% 93%  
379 0.8% 92%  
380 0.6% 91%  
381 1.1% 90%  
382 1.1% 89%  
383 1.0% 88%  
384 0.9% 87%  
385 1.0% 86%  
386 1.1% 85%  
387 2% 84%  
388 1.5% 83%  
389 1.3% 81%  
390 2% 80%  
391 1.4% 78%  
392 2% 77%  
393 1.2% 75%  
394 2% 73%  
395 3% 71%  
396 2% 69%  
397 2% 66%  
398 2% 64%  
399 2% 62%  
400 3% 60%  
401 3% 57%  
402 3% 54%  
403 3% 51% Median
404 3% 49%  
405 3% 45%  
406 2% 43%  
407 2% 41%  
408 2% 38%  
409 3% 36%  
410 2% 33%  
411 2% 32%  
412 2% 30%  
413 2% 28%  
414 1.2% 26%  
415 2% 25%  
416 2% 24%  
417 0.9% 22%  
418 1.2% 21%  
419 1.3% 20%  
420 0.9% 19%  
421 1.3% 18%  
422 1.1% 16%  
423 0.6% 15%  
424 0.8% 15%  
425 0.4% 14%  
426 1.0% 13%  
427 0.8% 12%  
428 0.6% 12%  
429 0.5% 11%  
430 0.6% 10%  
431 0.6% 10%  
432 0.6% 9%  
433 0.3% 9%  
434 0.5% 8%  
435 0.4% 8%  
436 0.4% 7%  
437 0.3% 7%  
438 0.5% 7%  
439 0.3% 6%  
440 0.2% 6%  
441 0.5% 6%  
442 0.2% 5%  
443 0.3% 5%  
444 0.2% 5%  
445 0.4% 4%  
446 0.2% 4%  
447 0.3% 4%  
448 0.2% 3%  
449 0.3% 3%  
450 0.3% 3%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.3% 2%  
453 0.2% 2%  
454 0.2% 2%  
455 0.2% 2%  
456 0.2% 1.5%  
457 0.2% 1.3%  
458 0.1% 1.1%  
459 0.1% 1.0%  
460 0.1% 0.9%  
461 0.1% 0.7%  
462 0.1% 0.6%  
463 0.1% 0.5%  
464 0.1% 0.4%  
465 0% 0.4%  
466 0% 0.4%  
467 0.1% 0.3%  
468 0% 0.2%  
469 0% 0.2%  
470 0% 0.2%  
471 0% 0.2%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.4%  
123 0.1% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.2%  
125 0.2% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.9%  
128 0.1% 98.8%  
129 0.1% 98.8%  
130 0.2% 98.7%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.2% 98%  
136 0.2% 98%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.1% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.3% 96%  
143 0.2% 96%  
144 0.2% 96%  
145 0.3% 96%  
146 0.4% 95%  
147 0.3% 95%  
148 0.4% 95%  
149 0.3% 94%  
150 0.4% 94%  
151 0.2% 94%  
152 0.4% 93%  
153 0.5% 93%  
154 0.3% 93%  
155 0.5% 92%  
156 0.3% 92%  
157 0.4% 91%  
158 0.3% 91%  
159 0.6% 91%  
160 0.9% 90%  
161 0.5% 89%  
162 0.7% 89%  
163 0.8% 88%  
164 0.5% 87%  
165 0.8% 87%  
166 0.5% 86%  
167 0.8% 85%  
168 0.9% 85%  
169 0.8% 84%  
170 0.7% 83%  
171 1.1% 82%  
172 0.7% 81%  
173 2% 80%  
174 1.0% 79%  
175 2% 78%  
176 1.1% 76%  
177 1.2% 75%  
178 1.4% 73%  
179 2% 72%  
180 1.1% 70%  
181 1.4% 69%  
182 2% 68%  
183 2% 66%  
184 3% 64%  
185 2% 61%  
186 2% 59%  
187 2% 57%  
188 2% 55%  
189 2% 53%  
190 1.5% 51%  
191 2% 49% Median
192 2% 48%  
193 1.3% 46%  
194 1.4% 44%  
195 2% 43%  
196 2% 41%  
197 2% 39%  
198 2% 36%  
199 1.3% 34%  
200 2% 33%  
201 2% 31%  
202 2% 29%  
203 1.5% 28%  
204 1.5% 26%  
205 2% 25%  
206 2% 23%  
207 1.2% 21%  
208 1.3% 20%  
209 2% 19%  
210 1.2% 17%  
211 1.2% 16%  
212 0.5% 15%  
213 0.8% 14%  
214 1.3% 13%  
215 1.2% 12%  
216 0.6% 11%  
217 0.5% 10%  
218 0.8% 10%  
219 0.9% 9%  
220 0.4% 8%  
221 0.4% 7%  
222 0.7% 7%  
223 0.7% 6%  
224 0.5% 6%  
225 0.5% 5%  
226 0.3% 5%  
227 0.2% 4%  
228 0.6% 4%  
229 0.3% 4%  
230 0.2% 3%  
231 0.4% 3%  
232 0.2% 3%  
233 0.2% 3%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.3% 2%  
236 0.2% 2%  
237 0.1% 2%  
238 0.2% 2%  
239 0.1% 1.3%  
240 0.1% 1.2%  
241 0.1% 1.1%  
242 0.1% 1.0%  
243 0.1% 0.9%  
244 0.1% 0.8%  
245 0.1% 0.7%  
246 0.1% 0.6%  
247 0.1% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.4%  
249 0% 0.4%  
250 0.1% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0% 0.3%  
253 0% 0.2%  
254 0% 0.2%  
255 0% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.8%  
124 0% 99.8%  
125 0% 99.8%  
126 0.1% 99.7%  
127 0% 99.7%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.1% 99.6%  
130 0.1% 99.5%  
131 0.1% 99.4%  
132 0.1% 99.3%  
133 0.1% 99.1%  
134 0.1% 99.0%  
135 0.1% 98.9%  
136 0.1% 98.8%  
137 0.1% 98.7%  
138 0.2% 98.6%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.4% 98%  
141 0.3% 98%  
142 0.2% 98%  
143 0.3% 97%  
144 0.2% 97%  
145 0.3% 97%  
146 0.2% 96%  
147 0.4% 96%  
148 0.4% 96%  
149 0.4% 95%  
150 0.2% 95%  
151 0.5% 95%  
152 0.3% 94%  
153 0.3% 94%  
154 0.2% 94%  
155 0.2% 94%  
156 0.2% 93%  
157 0.3% 93%  
158 0.5% 93%  
159 0.3% 92%  
160 0.2% 92%  
161 0.9% 92%  
162 0.7% 91%  
163 0.8% 90%  
164 0.9% 89%  
165 1.1% 89%  
166 0.8% 87%  
167 0.6% 87%  
168 0.8% 86%  
169 0.9% 85%  
170 1.0% 84%  
171 1.4% 83%  
172 2% 82%  
173 2% 80%  
174 1.4% 78%  
175 1.5% 77%  
176 1.5% 76%  
177 2% 74%  
178 4% 72%  
179 3% 69%  
180 2% 66%  
181 4% 64%  
182 2% 59%  
183 3% 57%  
184 3% 54%  
185 2% 50% Median
186 4% 48%  
187 2% 45%  
188 2% 43%  
189 3% 41%  
190 3% 38%  
191 1.0% 34%  
192 1.5% 33%  
193 3% 32%  
194 0.7% 29%  
195 1.3% 29%  
196 2% 27%  
197 1.3% 26%  
198 2% 24%  
199 1.5% 22%  
200 2% 21%  
201 1.2% 19%  
202 0.8% 18%  
203 2% 17%  
204 0.9% 15%  
205 2% 15%  
206 1.3% 13%  
207 0.9% 11%  
208 0.9% 10%  
209 1.1% 10%  
210 1.2% 8%  
211 1.3% 7%  
212 0.6% 6%  
213 0.3% 5%  
214 0.6% 5%  
215 0.8% 4%  
216 0.7% 4%  
217 0.2% 3%  
218 0.3% 3%  
219 0.2% 2%  
220 0.2% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.2% 1.4%  
224 0.1% 1.2%  
225 0.2% 1.1%  
226 0.1% 0.9%  
227 0.1% 0.8%  
228 0.1% 0.8%  
229 0.1% 0.7%  
230 0.1% 0.6%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.4%  
233 0% 0.3%  
234 0% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.6%  
89 0% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.4%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.1%  
95 0.1% 99.0%  
96 0.1% 98.9%  
97 0.2% 98.8%  
98 0.1% 98.6%  
99 0.1% 98.6%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.1% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.2% 97%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.1% 97%  
108 0.3% 97%  
109 0.2% 97%  
110 0.2% 96%  
111 0.4% 96%  
112 0.4% 96%  
113 0.3% 95%  
114 0.3% 95%  
115 0.2% 95%  
116 0.2% 95%  
117 0.3% 94%  
118 0.2% 94%  
119 0.3% 94%  
120 0.3% 94%  
121 0.5% 93%  
122 0.4% 93%  
123 0.5% 92%  
124 0.6% 92%  
125 0.3% 91%  
126 0.6% 91%  
127 0.6% 90%  
128 0.7% 90%  
129 0.7% 89%  
130 0.5% 88%  
131 0.8% 88%  
132 0.6% 87%  
133 0.8% 87%  
134 1.2% 86%  
135 1.0% 85%  
136 0.8% 84%  
137 1.4% 83%  
138 1.1% 81%  
139 1.5% 80%  
140 1.3% 79%  
141 1.0% 78%  
142 1.3% 77%  
143 2% 75%  
144 2% 73%  
145 2% 71%  
146 2% 69%  
147 1.2% 67%  
148 3% 66%  
149 2% 63%  
150 2% 61%  
151 2% 59%  
152 2% 57%  
153 1.4% 55%  
154 3% 53%  
155 3% 50% Median
156 2% 48%  
157 2% 46%  
158 2% 44%  
159 2% 42%  
160 2% 40%  
161 3% 38%  
162 2% 35%  
163 2% 34%  
164 2% 32%  
165 1.2% 30%  
166 1.1% 29%  
167 1.0% 28%  
168 2% 27%  
169 2% 25%  
170 1.4% 23%  
171 1.3% 21%  
172 0.8% 20%  
173 1.4% 19%  
174 0.8% 18%  
175 2% 17%  
176 1.1% 15%  
177 0.9% 14%  
178 1.0% 13%  
179 0.6% 12%  
180 1.4% 12%  
181 0.8% 10%  
182 0.8% 10%  
183 0.9% 9%  
184 1.1% 8%  
185 0.6% 7%  
186 0.6% 6%  
187 0.7% 6%  
188 0.7% 5%  
189 0.4% 4%  
190 0.5% 4%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.2% 3%  
193 0.2% 3%  
194 0.4% 2%  
195 0.2% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.1% 1.4%  
199 0.2% 1.3%  
200 0.2% 1.2%  
201 0.1% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.6%  
207 0% 0.5%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

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