Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 22–25 March 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.1% 45.6–48.6% 45.2–49.0% 44.9–49.4% 44.2–50.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 27.8% 26.5–29.2% 26.2–29.5% 25.8–29.9% 25.2–30.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.7% 8.8–10.6% 8.6–10.8% 8.4–11.1% 8.0–11.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.8% 4.3–6.0% 4.2–6.2% 3.9–6.6%
Green Party 2.8% 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.8–6.4%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.8–3.8% 2.6–4.0% 2.5–4.1% 2.3–4.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 383 367–402 361–406 356–410 347–418
Conservative Party 365 181 161–196 156–202 152–207 144–216
Liberal Democrats 11 23 17–27 16–30 15–32 10–37
Brexit Party 0 3 3–4 2–4 2–4 1–5
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 38 26–46 23–49 20–52 17–55

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.3% 99.1%  
352 0.2% 98.8%  
353 0.2% 98.6%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.3% 98%  
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.5% 97%  
358 0.6% 97%  
359 0.5% 96%  
360 0.5% 96%  
361 0.6% 95%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 0.9% 94%  
364 0.9% 93%  
365 0.8% 92%  
366 1.0% 91%  
367 1.2% 90%  
368 1.4% 89%  
369 2% 88%  
370 2% 86%  
371 2% 84%  
372 2% 82%  
373 2% 80%  
374 3% 77%  
375 3% 74%  
376 3% 71%  
377 2% 68%  
378 3% 66%  
379 3% 63%  
380 3% 60%  
381 4% 56%  
382 3% 53%  
383 2% 50% Median
384 3% 48%  
385 3% 45%  
386 3% 42%  
387 3% 39%  
388 2% 36%  
389 2% 34%  
390 2% 32%  
391 2% 30%  
392 1.5% 28%  
393 3% 27%  
394 2% 24%  
395 2% 22%  
396 2% 20%  
397 1.1% 18%  
398 2% 17%  
399 1.3% 15%  
400 2% 14%  
401 1.3% 12%  
402 1.3% 10%  
403 1.1% 9%  
404 1.1% 8%  
405 1.0% 7%  
406 0.9% 6%  
407 0.6% 5%  
408 0.9% 4%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.5% 3%  
411 0.3% 2%  
412 0.4% 2%  
413 0.3% 2%  
414 0.3% 1.3%  
415 0.2% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 0.9%  
417 0.2% 0.7%  
418 0.1% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.4%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0.1% 0.3%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.1% 99.1%  
148 0.2% 99.0%  
149 0.2% 98.8%  
150 0.4% 98.6%  
151 0.5% 98%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 0.4% 97%  
154 0.4% 97%  
155 0.8% 97%  
156 1.1% 96%  
157 1.0% 95%  
158 1.2% 94%  
159 0.8% 93%  
160 0.9% 92%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 89%  
163 2% 88%  
164 1.4% 86%  
165 2% 84%  
166 2% 83%  
167 2% 81%  
168 2% 79%  
169 2% 77%  
170 2% 76%  
171 2% 74%  
172 1.4% 72%  
173 3% 71%  
174 1.4% 68%  
175 2% 66%  
176 2% 64%  
177 4% 62%  
178 2% 58%  
179 2% 56%  
180 3% 54%  
181 3% 51% Median
182 3% 48%  
183 3% 45%  
184 3% 41%  
185 3% 39%  
186 3% 35%  
187 4% 33%  
188 3% 29%  
189 2% 26%  
190 3% 24%  
191 3% 21%  
192 2% 18%  
193 2% 16%  
194 2% 14%  
195 1.0% 12%  
196 1.2% 11%  
197 1.0% 10%  
198 0.9% 9%  
199 0.8% 8%  
200 0.6% 7%  
201 0.8% 6%  
202 0.8% 6%  
203 0.6% 5%  
204 0.4% 4%  
205 0.6% 4%  
206 0.4% 3%  
207 0.4% 3%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.3% 2%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.2% 1.2%  
213 0.2% 1.0%  
214 0.1% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.9%  
9 0.1% 99.8%  
10 0.3% 99.8%  
11 0.4% 99.4% Last Result
12 0.6% 99.1%  
13 0.3% 98%  
14 0.5% 98%  
15 1.3% 98%  
16 2% 96%  
17 4% 94%  
18 4% 90%  
19 7% 86%  
20 9% 79%  
21 7% 69%  
22 11% 62%  
23 13% 51% Median
24 6% 39%  
25 10% 32%  
26 8% 23%  
27 6% 15%  
28 2% 9%  
29 1.1% 7%  
30 2% 6%  
31 2% 5%  
32 1.1% 3%  
33 0.5% 2%  
34 0.3% 1.4%  
35 0.1% 1.1%  
36 0.4% 1.0%  
37 0.2% 0.6%  
38 0.2% 0.3%  
39 0.1% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 99.7%  
2 5% 99.4%  
3 75% 95% Median
4 19% 20%  
5 0.6% 1.1%  
6 0.2% 0.4%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.0% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.7% 1.0%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.4% 99.8%  
18 0.6% 99.4%  
19 0.9% 98.8%  
20 0.4% 98%  
21 1.0% 97%  
22 0.7% 96%  
23 1.1% 96%  
24 0.9% 95%  
25 1.2% 94%  
26 3% 93%  
27 1.4% 90%  
28 0.9% 89%  
29 3% 88%  
30 1.4% 84%  
31 6% 83%  
32 5% 77%  
33 2% 72%  
34 7% 70%  
35 2% 63%  
36 6% 61%  
37 3% 54%  
38 7% 52% Median
39 4% 45%  
40 4% 41%  
41 7% 36%  
42 3% 30%  
43 5% 26%  
44 8% 21%  
45 3% 13%  
46 3% 11%  
47 2% 8%  
48 1.1% 7% Last Result
49 0.8% 5%  
50 0.8% 5%  
51 0.9% 4%  
52 1.0% 3%  
53 1.0% 2%  
54 0.6% 1.1%  
55 0.3% 0.5%  
56 0.1% 0.2%  
57 0.1% 0.1%  
58 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 442 100% 426–462 420–467 415–471 406–479
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 419 100% 405–438 400–442 395–445 387–451
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 406 100% 387–427 381–433 375–437 365–446
Labour Party 202 383 100% 367–402 361–406 356–410 347–418
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 217 0% 196–236 190–242 186–247 177–258
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 203 0% 185–217 181–223 178–228 172–236
Conservative Party 365 181 0% 161–196 156–202 152–207 144–216

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.6%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.1% 99.2%  
410 0.2% 99.1%  
411 0.2% 98.9%  
412 0.3% 98.7%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.5% 98%  
416 0.3% 97%  
417 0.5% 97%  
418 0.5% 97%  
419 0.5% 96%  
420 0.7% 96%  
421 0.7% 95%  
422 0.7% 94%  
423 0.8% 93%  
424 0.7% 93%  
425 1.0% 92%  
426 1.0% 91%  
427 1.3% 90%  
428 1.2% 89%  
429 2% 88%  
430 2% 86%  
431 2% 84%  
432 3% 82%  
433 3% 78%  
434 2% 76%  
435 3% 73%  
436 4% 70%  
437 3% 67%  
438 3% 64%  
439 3% 61%  
440 3% 58%  
441 3% 55%  
442 3% 51%  
443 3% 49%  
444 2% 46% Median
445 3% 43%  
446 3% 41%  
447 2% 38%  
448 2% 36%  
449 2% 34%  
450 3% 32%  
451 1.5% 29%  
452 2% 28%  
453 2% 26%  
454 2% 24%  
455 2% 22%  
456 2% 21%  
457 2% 19%  
458 2% 17%  
459 1.3% 16%  
460 2% 14%  
461 2% 12%  
462 2% 11%  
463 0.8% 9%  
464 0.9% 8%  
465 1.0% 7%  
466 1.1% 6%  
467 1.1% 5%  
468 0.8% 4%  
469 0.4% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.4% 3%  
472 0.5% 2%  
473 0.3% 2%  
474 0.2% 1.4%  
475 0.2% 1.2%  
476 0.1% 1.0%  
477 0.2% 0.9%  
478 0.2% 0.7%  
479 0.1% 0.5%  
480 0% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.4%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0.1% 0.3%  
484 0.1% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.2% 99.1%  
391 0.2% 98.9%  
392 0.3% 98.7%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.4% 98%  
396 0.5% 97%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.6% 96%  
399 0.6% 96%  
400 0.6% 95%  
401 0.6% 94%  
402 0.8% 94%  
403 0.9% 93%  
404 1.0% 92%  
405 1.1% 91%  
406 1.4% 90%  
407 2% 88%  
408 2% 86%  
409 2% 84%  
410 2% 82%  
411 3% 80%  
412 3% 78%  
413 4% 74%  
414 3% 70%  
415 4% 67%  
416 3% 63%  
417 3% 60%  
418 4% 57%  
419 4% 53%  
420 3% 50%  
421 3% 47% Median
422 3% 44%  
423 3% 41%  
424 3% 38%  
425 2% 35%  
426 2% 33%  
427 2% 31%  
428 2% 29%  
429 2% 27%  
430 2% 25%  
431 2% 23%  
432 2% 21%  
433 1.4% 19%  
434 2% 18%  
435 2% 16%  
436 2% 14%  
437 2% 12%  
438 1.4% 10%  
439 1.3% 9%  
440 1.3% 8%  
441 1.1% 6%  
442 1.2% 5%  
443 0.8% 4%  
444 0.7% 3%  
445 0.7% 3%  
446 0.5% 2%  
447 0.4% 1.5%  
448 0.2% 1.1%  
449 0.2% 0.9%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.4%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0.1% 99.2%  
369 0.2% 99.1%  
370 0.2% 98.9%  
371 0.2% 98.8%  
372 0.2% 98.5%  
373 0.2% 98%  
374 0.3% 98%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.3% 97%  
377 0.4% 97%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0.6% 96%  
380 0.7% 96%  
381 0.6% 95%  
382 0.7% 94%  
383 0.9% 94%  
384 0.8% 93%  
385 0.9% 92%  
386 0.9% 91%  
387 1.1% 90%  
388 2% 89%  
389 2% 88%  
390 1.5% 86%  
391 2% 85%  
392 2% 83%  
393 2% 81%  
394 2% 79%  
395 2% 78%  
396 2% 76%  
397 3% 73%  
398 2% 70%  
399 3% 68%  
400 2% 65%  
401 3% 63%  
402 3% 60%  
403 2% 58%  
404 2% 55%  
405 3% 53%  
406 3% 50% Median
407 3% 47%  
408 3% 45%  
409 2% 42%  
410 2% 40%  
411 3% 38%  
412 2% 35%  
413 2% 33%  
414 2% 31%  
415 2% 29%  
416 2% 27%  
417 2% 25%  
418 1.1% 23%  
419 2% 22%  
420 1.4% 20%  
421 2% 19%  
422 1.4% 17%  
423 1.3% 16%  
424 1.3% 14%  
425 1.4% 13%  
426 1.4% 12%  
427 1.0% 10%  
428 1.2% 9%  
429 0.9% 8%  
430 0.9% 7%  
431 0.7% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.9% 5%  
434 0.6% 4%  
435 0.5% 4%  
436 0.4% 3%  
437 0.3% 3%  
438 0.5% 2%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.3% 2%  
441 0.2% 1.4%  
442 0.2% 1.2%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.1% 0.7%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0.1% 0.4%  
449 0.1% 0.3%  
450 0% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.3% 99.1%  
352 0.2% 98.8%  
353 0.2% 98.6%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.3% 98%  
356 0.3% 98%  
357 0.5% 97%  
358 0.6% 97%  
359 0.5% 96%  
360 0.5% 96%  
361 0.6% 95%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 0.9% 94%  
364 0.9% 93%  
365 0.8% 92%  
366 1.0% 91%  
367 1.2% 90%  
368 1.4% 89%  
369 2% 88%  
370 2% 86%  
371 2% 84%  
372 2% 82%  
373 2% 80%  
374 3% 77%  
375 3% 74%  
376 3% 71%  
377 2% 68%  
378 3% 66%  
379 3% 63%  
380 3% 60%  
381 4% 56%  
382 3% 53%  
383 2% 50% Median
384 3% 48%  
385 3% 45%  
386 3% 42%  
387 3% 39%  
388 2% 36%  
389 2% 34%  
390 2% 32%  
391 2% 30%  
392 1.5% 28%  
393 3% 27%  
394 2% 24%  
395 2% 22%  
396 2% 20%  
397 1.1% 18%  
398 2% 17%  
399 1.3% 15%  
400 2% 14%  
401 1.3% 12%  
402 1.3% 10%  
403 1.1% 9%  
404 1.1% 8%  
405 1.0% 7%  
406 0.9% 6%  
407 0.6% 5%  
408 0.9% 4%  
409 0.6% 3%  
410 0.5% 3%  
411 0.3% 2%  
412 0.4% 2%  
413 0.3% 2%  
414 0.3% 1.3%  
415 0.2% 1.1%  
416 0.2% 0.9%  
417 0.2% 0.7%  
418 0.1% 0.5%  
419 0.1% 0.4%  
420 0% 0.3%  
421 0.1% 0.3%  
422 0% 0.2%  
423 0% 0.2%  
424 0% 0.1%  
425 0% 0.1%  
426 0% 0.1%  
427 0% 0.1%  
428 0% 0.1%  
429 0% 0.1%  
430 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
164 0% 100%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.9%  
168 0% 99.9%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.8%  
172 0% 99.8%  
173 0% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.7%  
175 0.1% 99.7%  
176 0.1% 99.6%  
177 0.1% 99.5%  
178 0.1% 99.4%  
179 0.1% 99.3%  
180 0.2% 99.2%  
181 0.2% 99.0%  
182 0.2% 98.8%  
183 0.3% 98.6%  
184 0.3% 98%  
185 0.5% 98%  
186 0.4% 98%  
187 0.4% 97%  
188 0.5% 97%  
189 0.6% 96%  
190 0.8% 96%  
191 0.6% 95%  
192 0.6% 94%  
193 0.9% 94%  
194 0.9% 93%  
195 1.2% 92%  
196 1.1% 91%  
197 1.3% 89%  
198 1.4% 88%  
199 1.2% 87%  
200 1.4% 86%  
201 1.4% 84%  
202 2% 83%  
203 1.4% 81%  
204 2% 80%  
205 1.4% 78%  
206 2% 76%  
207 2% 75%  
208 2% 73%  
209 2% 70%  
210 2% 68%  
211 2% 67%  
212 2% 64%  
213 2% 62%  
214 2% 60%  
215 3% 57%  
216 3% 55%  
217 3% 52%  
218 2% 49%  
219 3% 47% Median
220 2% 44%  
221 3% 42%  
222 2% 39%  
223 3% 37%  
224 3% 34%  
225 2% 31%  
226 3% 29%  
227 2% 26%  
228 2% 24%  
229 2% 22%  
230 2% 20%  
231 2% 18%  
232 2% 17%  
233 1.5% 15%  
234 2% 14%  
235 2% 12%  
236 0.9% 10%  
237 0.9% 9%  
238 0.8% 8%  
239 0.9% 8%  
240 0.8% 7%  
241 0.7% 6%  
242 0.6% 5%  
243 0.7% 5%  
244 0.5% 4%  
245 0.4% 4%  
246 0.4% 3%  
247 0.3% 3%  
248 0.3% 2%  
249 0.3% 2%  
250 0.2% 2%  
251 0.2% 2%  
252 0.2% 1.4%  
253 0.2% 1.2%  
254 0.2% 1.0%  
255 0.1% 0.8%  
256 0.1% 0.7%  
257 0.1% 0.6%  
258 0.1% 0.5%  
259 0.1% 0.4%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0% 0.3%  
262 0.1% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
161 0% 100%  
162 0% 99.9%  
163 0% 99.9%  
164 0% 99.9%  
165 0% 99.9%  
166 0% 99.9%  
167 0% 99.8%  
168 0% 99.8%  
169 0% 99.8%  
170 0.1% 99.7%  
171 0.1% 99.6%  
172 0.1% 99.5%  
173 0.1% 99.4%  
174 0.2% 99.3%  
175 0.2% 99.1%  
176 0.4% 98.9%  
177 0.5% 98.6%  
178 0.7% 98%  
179 0.6% 97%  
180 0.8% 97%  
181 1.3% 96%  
182 1.1% 95%  
183 1.3% 94%  
184 2% 92%  
185 1.2% 91%  
186 2% 90%  
187 2% 87%  
188 2% 86%  
189 2% 84%  
190 1.3% 82%  
191 2% 80%  
192 2% 79%  
193 2% 77%  
194 2% 75%  
195 2% 73%  
196 2% 70%  
197 2% 68%  
198 2% 66%  
199 3% 64%  
200 3% 61%  
201 3% 58%  
202 3% 55%  
203 3% 53%  
204 4% 50% Median
205 4% 46%  
206 3% 42%  
207 3% 39%  
208 4% 36%  
209 3% 32%  
210 4% 29%  
211 3% 25%  
212 2% 22%  
213 2% 19%  
214 2% 17%  
215 2% 15%  
216 2% 13%  
217 1.3% 11%  
218 1.0% 10%  
219 1.2% 9%  
220 0.9% 8%  
221 0.9% 7%  
222 0.6% 6%  
223 0.6% 5%  
224 0.7% 5%  
225 0.5% 4%  
226 0.5% 4%  
227 0.5% 3%  
228 0.4% 3%  
229 0.4% 2%  
230 0.3% 2%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.2% 1.2%  
233 0.2% 1.0%  
234 0.2% 0.8%  
235 0.1% 0.7%  
236 0.1% 0.5%  
237 0.1% 0.4%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.3%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
131 0% 100%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0.1% 99.6%  
145 0.2% 99.5%  
146 0.2% 99.3%  
147 0.1% 99.1%  
148 0.2% 99.0%  
149 0.2% 98.8%  
150 0.4% 98.6%  
151 0.5% 98%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 0.4% 97%  
154 0.4% 97%  
155 0.8% 97%  
156 1.1% 96%  
157 1.0% 95%  
158 1.2% 94%  
159 0.8% 93%  
160 0.9% 92%  
161 2% 91%  
162 2% 89%  
163 2% 88%  
164 1.4% 86%  
165 2% 84%  
166 2% 83%  
167 2% 81%  
168 2% 79%  
169 2% 77%  
170 2% 76%  
171 2% 74%  
172 1.4% 72%  
173 3% 71%  
174 1.4% 68%  
175 2% 66%  
176 2% 64%  
177 4% 62%  
178 2% 58%  
179 2% 56%  
180 3% 54%  
181 3% 51% Median
182 3% 48%  
183 3% 45%  
184 3% 41%  
185 3% 39%  
186 3% 35%  
187 4% 33%  
188 3% 29%  
189 2% 26%  
190 3% 24%  
191 3% 21%  
192 2% 18%  
193 2% 16%  
194 2% 14%  
195 1.0% 12%  
196 1.2% 11%  
197 1.0% 10%  
198 0.9% 9%  
199 0.8% 8%  
200 0.6% 7%  
201 0.8% 6%  
202 0.8% 6%  
203 0.6% 5%  
204 0.4% 4%  
205 0.6% 4%  
206 0.4% 3%  
207 0.4% 3%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.3% 2%  
210 0.3% 2%  
211 0.3% 2%  
212 0.2% 1.2%  
213 0.2% 1.0%  
214 0.1% 0.8%  
215 0.1% 0.7%  
216 0.1% 0.6%  
217 0.1% 0.5%  
218 0.1% 0.4%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0.1% 0.3%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations