Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 26–27 March 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.3% 42.8–45.8% 42.4–46.2% 42.0–46.6% 41.3–47.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 23.3% 22.1–24.6% 21.7–25.0% 21.4–25.3% 20.8–25.9%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.1% 10.2–12.1% 9.9–12.3% 9.7–12.6% 9.3–13.1%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.8% 6.6–9.0% 6.2–9.4%
Green Party 2.8% 6.9% 6.2–7.8% 6.0–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.5–8.6%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.5%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 2.2% 1.8–2.7% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.0% 1.5–3.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 383 363–407 357–417 352–424 343–437
Conservative Party 365 136 111–156 100–162 93–167 82–176
Liberal Democrats 11 41 34–51 31–52 29–53 24–58
Brexit Party 0 19 12–20 9–21 6–21 4–23
Green Party 1 3 3 3 2–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 40 34–50 32–52 28–53 22–56
Plaid Cymru 4 7 6–12 6–12 6–12 5–13

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.1% 99.4%  
345 0.2% 99.3%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.2% 98.9%  
348 0.3% 98.7%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.2% 98%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.3% 97%  
354 0.4% 97%  
355 0.5% 96%  
356 0.7% 96%  
357 0.5% 95%  
358 0.5% 95%  
359 0.6% 94%  
360 0.6% 94%  
361 0.5% 93%  
362 2% 93%  
363 1.0% 91%  
364 1.3% 90%  
365 1.2% 88%  
366 2% 87%  
367 1.4% 86%  
368 0.7% 84%  
369 1.4% 84%  
370 2% 82%  
371 2% 80%  
372 2% 79%  
373 2% 77%  
374 2% 74%  
375 2% 72%  
376 2% 70%  
377 3% 68%  
378 4% 65%  
379 3% 61%  
380 2% 59%  
381 2% 56%  
382 3% 54%  
383 2% 51% Median
384 4% 49%  
385 2% 46%  
386 2% 44%  
387 2% 41%  
388 2% 39%  
389 4% 38%  
390 1.5% 34%  
391 2% 32%  
392 2% 30%  
393 2% 29%  
394 2% 27%  
395 3% 25%  
396 2% 23%  
397 0.9% 21%  
398 1.3% 20%  
399 1.3% 19%  
400 2% 17%  
401 2% 15%  
402 0.9% 14%  
403 0.8% 13%  
404 0.8% 12%  
405 0.6% 11%  
406 0.8% 11%  
407 0.6% 10%  
408 0.5% 9%  
409 0.4% 9%  
410 0.5% 9%  
411 0.5% 8%  
412 0.5% 8%  
413 0.3% 7%  
414 0.6% 7%  
415 0.4% 6%  
416 0.4% 6%  
417 0.5% 5%  
418 0.4% 5%  
419 0.4% 4%  
420 0.3% 4%  
421 0.3% 4%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.3% 3%  
424 0.4% 3%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.3% 2%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.1% 1.3%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.2% 1.1%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.6%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.3%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.5%  
83 0.2% 99.4%  
84 0.1% 99.2%  
85 0.1% 99.2%  
86 0.2% 99.1%  
87 0.2% 98.9%  
88 0.3% 98.7%  
89 0.1% 98%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.3% 98%  
92 0.2% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.3% 97%  
95 0.5% 97%  
96 0.3% 96%  
97 0.5% 96%  
98 0.3% 96%  
99 0.3% 95%  
100 0.4% 95%  
101 0.3% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 0.2% 94%  
104 0.4% 94%  
105 0.6% 94%  
106 0.5% 93%  
107 0.7% 92%  
108 0.5% 92%  
109 0.6% 91%  
110 0.6% 91%  
111 0.4% 90%  
112 1.4% 90%  
113 1.0% 88%  
114 0.9% 87%  
115 0.5% 86%  
116 1.3% 86%  
117 0.8% 85%  
118 2% 84%  
119 1.0% 82%  
120 2% 81%  
121 1.0% 80%  
122 1.3% 78%  
123 2% 77%  
124 3% 75%  
125 1.1% 72%  
126 2% 71%  
127 2% 69%  
128 3% 67%  
129 2% 64%  
130 2% 62%  
131 2% 61%  
132 2% 59%  
133 2% 56%  
134 2% 55%  
135 2% 52%  
136 2% 50% Median
137 2% 48%  
138 4% 46%  
139 3% 42%  
140 2% 39%  
141 2% 37%  
142 3% 36%  
143 4% 33%  
144 2% 29%  
145 2% 27%  
146 2% 25%  
147 2% 23%  
148 2% 20%  
149 2% 19%  
150 1.1% 17%  
151 1.3% 16%  
152 1.3% 15%  
153 1.3% 13%  
154 0.8% 12%  
155 1.0% 11%  
156 0.7% 10%  
157 0.7% 9%  
158 1.4% 9%  
159 0.7% 7%  
160 0.5% 7%  
161 0.7% 6%  
162 0.7% 5%  
163 0.5% 5%  
164 0.7% 4%  
165 0.4% 3%  
166 0.3% 3%  
167 0.3% 3%  
168 0.3% 2%  
169 0.3% 2%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.2% 1.3%  
173 0.1% 1.1%  
174 0.3% 1.0%  
175 0.1% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 0.3% 99.7%  
25 0.1% 99.4%  
26 0.4% 99.3%  
27 0.6% 98.9%  
28 0.5% 98%  
29 0.7% 98%  
30 1.4% 97%  
31 1.2% 96%  
32 1.3% 94%  
33 2% 93%  
34 2% 91%  
35 3% 89%  
36 4% 86%  
37 5% 82%  
38 7% 77%  
39 6% 69%  
40 10% 63%  
41 7% 53% Median
42 9% 46%  
43 5% 37%  
44 2% 32%  
45 2% 30%  
46 4% 28%  
47 3% 25%  
48 3% 21%  
49 1.3% 19%  
50 6% 18%  
51 5% 11%  
52 3% 6%  
53 0.5% 3%  
54 0.5% 2%  
55 0.8% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.9%  
57 0.3% 0.8%  
58 0% 0.5%  
59 0.2% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.2%  
61 0% 0.1%  
62 0% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.6% 100%  
5 1.0% 99.4%  
6 1.4% 98%  
7 2% 97%  
8 0.5% 96%  
9 0.2% 95%  
10 1.1% 95%  
11 1.5% 94%  
12 4% 92%  
13 5% 88%  
14 7% 83%  
15 1.1% 76%  
16 8% 75%  
17 4% 67%  
18 12% 62%  
19 20% 51% Median
20 24% 31%  
21 5% 7%  
22 0.5% 1.4%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.1% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.1% 100% Last Result
2 4% 98.9%  
3 95% 95% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.4% 99.7%  
23 0.2% 99.4%  
24 0.4% 99.1%  
25 0.2% 98.8%  
26 0.4% 98.6%  
27 0.5% 98%  
28 0.2% 98%  
29 0.9% 97%  
30 0.8% 96%  
31 0.3% 96%  
32 2% 95%  
33 0.1% 93%  
34 10% 93%  
35 0.5% 83%  
36 9% 82%  
37 0.3% 73%  
38 13% 73%  
39 3% 60%  
40 8% 57% Median
41 15% 49%  
42 2% 34%  
43 7% 32%  
44 2% 25%  
45 4% 23%  
46 2% 19%  
47 2% 17%  
48 3% 16% Last Result
49 2% 13%  
50 3% 11%  
51 2% 8%  
52 3% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.7% 1.2%  
56 0.4% 0.5%  
57 0.1% 0.2%  
58 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 0.9% 100%  
6 11% 99.1%  
7 43% 88% Median
8 1.0% 45%  
9 3% 44%  
10 24% 41%  
11 0.4% 17%  
12 14% 16%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 476 100% 456–502 450–512 444–521 435–532
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 473 100% 453–499 447–509 441–518 432–529
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 465 100% 444–491 437–502 432–509 422–522
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 433 100% 410–460 404–471 397–480 386–493
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 425 100% 401–452 394–464 388–472 377–485
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 432 100% 416–454 409–463 405–470 397–480
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 423 100% 406–445 400–455 395–462 388–473
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 391 100% 372–415 366–425 361–432 352–444
Labour Party 202 383 100% 363–407 357–417 352–424 343–437
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 184 0% 157–208 147–214 138–220 126–231
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 176 0% 149–199 139–205 130–211 118–221
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 177 0% 157–193 146–199 140–203 132–210
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 144 0% 119–165 108–171 100–177 89–186
Conservative Party 365 136 0% 111–156 100–162 93–167 82–176

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.1% 99.5%  
436 0.2% 99.4%  
437 0.1% 99.2%  
438 0.1% 99.1%  
439 0.3% 99.0%  
440 0.2% 98.7%  
441 0.2% 98.5%  
442 0.3% 98%  
443 0.3% 98%  
444 0.3% 98%  
445 0.3% 97%  
446 0.5% 97%  
447 0.4% 97%  
448 0.7% 96%  
449 0.4% 95%  
450 0.9% 95%  
451 0.4% 94%  
452 0.9% 94%  
453 0.7% 93%  
454 0.9% 92%  
455 0.7% 91%  
456 0.7% 90%  
457 0.8% 90%  
458 1.4% 89%  
459 2% 88%  
460 0.9% 86%  
461 1.2% 85%  
462 1.2% 84%  
463 2% 83%  
464 2% 81%  
465 3% 79%  
466 1.2% 77%  
467 3% 75%  
468 2% 73%  
469 4% 71%  
470 2% 67%  
471 3% 65%  
472 2% 62%  
473 3% 60%  
474 3% 57% Median
475 3% 54%  
476 3% 52%  
477 2% 49%  
478 2% 47%  
479 2% 45%  
480 2% 43%  
481 3% 41%  
482 2% 38%  
483 2% 36%  
484 2% 34%  
485 2% 32%  
486 3% 30%  
487 2% 27%  
488 1.3% 25%  
489 0.9% 24%  
490 1.3% 23%  
491 1.5% 22%  
492 1.5% 20%  
493 1.2% 19%  
494 1.3% 18%  
495 1.0% 16%  
496 0.9% 15%  
497 0.9% 14%  
498 1.2% 14%  
499 0.4% 12%  
500 0.8% 12%  
501 0.8% 11%  
502 0.8% 10%  
503 0.7% 10%  
504 0.5% 9%  
505 0.6% 8%  
506 0.4% 8%  
507 0.3% 7%  
508 0.3% 7%  
509 0.5% 7%  
510 0.3% 6%  
511 0.2% 6%  
512 0.6% 6%  
513 0.2% 5%  
514 0.4% 5%  
515 0.6% 4%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.4% 4%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.3% 3%  
521 0.4% 3%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.4%  
527 0.2% 1.3%  
528 0.2% 1.1%  
529 0.1% 0.9%  
530 0.1% 0.7%  
531 0.1% 0.6%  
532 0.1% 0.6%  
533 0.1% 0.5%  
534 0% 0.4%  
535 0% 0.4%  
536 0.1% 0.3%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.2%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0.1% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.7%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0.2% 99.4%  
434 0.1% 99.2%  
435 0.1% 99.1%  
436 0.2% 99.0%  
437 0.2% 98.8%  
438 0.3% 98.6%  
439 0.3% 98%  
440 0.3% 98%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.3% 97%  
443 0.5% 97%  
444 0.4% 97%  
445 0.7% 96%  
446 0.4% 95%  
447 0.9% 95%  
448 0.4% 94%  
449 0.9% 94%  
450 0.7% 93%  
451 0.9% 92%  
452 0.7% 91%  
453 0.7% 91%  
454 0.8% 90%  
455 1.4% 89%  
456 1.5% 88%  
457 1.0% 86%  
458 1.1% 85%  
459 1.2% 84%  
460 2% 83%  
461 2% 81%  
462 2% 79%  
463 1.3% 77%  
464 3% 75%  
465 2% 73%  
466 4% 71%  
467 2% 67%  
468 3% 66%  
469 2% 63%  
470 3% 60%  
471 3% 57% Median
472 3% 55%  
473 3% 52%  
474 2% 49%  
475 2% 47%  
476 2% 45%  
477 2% 43%  
478 3% 41%  
479 2% 38%  
480 2% 36%  
481 2% 34%  
482 2% 32%  
483 3% 30%  
484 2% 27%  
485 1.2% 25%  
486 0.9% 24%  
487 1.3% 23%  
488 1.4% 22%  
489 2% 20%  
490 1.2% 19%  
491 1.3% 18%  
492 0.9% 16%  
493 1.0% 16%  
494 0.9% 14%  
495 1.2% 14%  
496 0.3% 12%  
497 0.8% 12%  
498 0.9% 11%  
499 0.8% 10%  
500 0.7% 10%  
501 0.6% 9%  
502 0.6% 8%  
503 0.4% 8%  
504 0.4% 7%  
505 0.3% 7%  
506 0.5% 7%  
507 0.3% 6%  
508 0.1% 6%  
509 0.6% 6%  
510 0.2% 5%  
511 0.4% 5%  
512 0.6% 4%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.3% 4%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.3% 3%  
518 0.4% 3%  
519 0.3% 2%  
520 0.3% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.1% 1.4%  
524 0.2% 1.3%  
525 0.2% 1.1%  
526 0.1% 0.9%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.6%  
529 0.1% 0.6%  
530 0.1% 0.5%  
531 0% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.4%  
533 0.1% 0.3%  
534 0% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.8%  
418 0% 99.8%  
419 0.1% 99.8%  
420 0.1% 99.7%  
421 0.1% 99.7%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.1% 99.5%  
424 0.1% 99.3%  
425 0.1% 99.2%  
426 0.2% 99.1%  
427 0.2% 98.9%  
428 0.2% 98.7%  
429 0.4% 98.5%  
430 0.2% 98%  
431 0.4% 98%  
432 0.4% 98%  
433 0.4% 97%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.4% 96%  
436 0.5% 96%  
437 0.9% 96%  
438 0.4% 95%  
439 0.5% 94%  
440 0.8% 94%  
441 0.8% 93%  
442 0.9% 92%  
443 0.8% 91%  
444 0.9% 90%  
445 0.6% 90%  
446 0.9% 89%  
447 0.8% 88%  
448 1.4% 87%  
449 1.3% 86%  
450 2% 85%  
451 2% 83%  
452 2% 81%  
453 1.1% 79%  
454 2% 78%  
455 3% 75%  
456 2% 73%  
457 2% 71%  
458 3% 69%  
459 3% 67%  
460 4% 64%  
461 2% 60%  
462 2% 58%  
463 3% 56%  
464 3% 54% Median
465 3% 51%  
466 2% 48%  
467 2% 47%  
468 3% 44%  
469 2% 42%  
470 3% 40%  
471 2% 37%  
472 2% 35%  
473 2% 33%  
474 1.5% 31%  
475 1.3% 30%  
476 3% 28%  
477 3% 26%  
478 0.9% 23%  
479 1.2% 22%  
480 1.1% 21%  
481 1.4% 20%  
482 0.7% 18%  
483 1.5% 18%  
484 0.9% 16%  
485 1.2% 15%  
486 0.6% 14%  
487 0.8% 14%  
488 0.9% 13%  
489 0.6% 12%  
490 1.2% 11%  
491 0.8% 10%  
492 0.5% 9%  
493 0.6% 9%  
494 0.4% 8%  
495 0.3% 8%  
496 0.6% 7%  
497 0.3% 7%  
498 0.3% 7%  
499 0.4% 6%  
500 0.3% 6%  
501 0.2% 5%  
502 0.4% 5%  
503 0.3% 5%  
504 0.3% 4%  
505 0.4% 4%  
506 0.3% 4%  
507 0.3% 3%  
508 0.2% 3%  
509 0.4% 3%  
510 0.2% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.2% 2%  
513 0.2% 2%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.2% 1.4%  
516 0.1% 1.3%  
517 0.2% 1.2%  
518 0.1% 0.9%  
519 0.1% 0.8%  
520 0.1% 0.7%  
521 0% 0.6%  
522 0.1% 0.5%  
523 0.1% 0.4%  
524 0% 0.3%  
525 0% 0.3%  
526 0% 0.3%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.5%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.1% 99.3%  
390 0.2% 99.2%  
391 0.1% 99.0%  
392 0.3% 98.9%  
393 0.3% 98.6%  
394 0.1% 98%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.4% 97%  
399 0.4% 97%  
400 0.4% 97%  
401 0.5% 96%  
402 0.3% 96%  
403 0.3% 95%  
404 0.6% 95%  
405 0.5% 95%  
406 0.8% 94%  
407 1.2% 93%  
408 0.8% 92%  
409 0.9% 91%  
410 0.8% 90%  
411 0.8% 90%  
412 1.4% 89%  
413 1.2% 87%  
414 1.2% 86%  
415 1.3% 85%  
416 0.9% 84%  
417 1.2% 83%  
418 1.2% 81%  
419 2% 80%  
420 2% 79%  
421 2% 77%  
422 1.3% 75%  
423 2% 74%  
424 2% 72%  
425 2% 70%  
426 3% 67%  
427 2% 64%  
428 2% 63%  
429 2% 61%  
430 3% 59%  
431 2% 57% Median
432 3% 55%  
433 3% 52%  
434 2% 49%  
435 2% 47%  
436 1.4% 45%  
437 2% 43%  
438 2% 41%  
439 2% 39%  
440 1.5% 37%  
441 1.2% 35%  
442 3% 34%  
443 1.0% 31%  
444 2% 30%  
445 2% 28%  
446 2% 26%  
447 2% 24%  
448 1.3% 23%  
449 1.3% 21%  
450 0.9% 20%  
451 1.3% 19%  
452 1.5% 18%  
453 0.9% 16%  
454 0.7% 16%  
455 1.2% 15%  
456 1.1% 14%  
457 1.1% 13%  
458 0.4% 12%  
459 0.6% 11%  
460 0.8% 10%  
461 0.4% 10%  
462 0.5% 9%  
463 0.5% 9%  
464 0.5% 8%  
465 0.5% 8%  
466 0.3% 7%  
467 0.3% 7%  
468 0.5% 7%  
469 0.3% 6%  
470 0.3% 6%  
471 0.5% 5%  
472 0.2% 5%  
473 0.3% 5%  
474 0.5% 4%  
475 0.2% 4%  
476 0.3% 4%  
477 0.4% 3%  
478 0.2% 3%  
479 0.2% 3%  
480 0.3% 3%  
481 0.1% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.3% 2%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.2% 1.4%  
486 0.1% 1.2%  
487 0.1% 1.1%  
488 0.1% 1.0%  
489 0.1% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0.1% 0.7%  
492 0.1% 0.6%  
493 0.1% 0.5%  
494 0% 0.4%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0.1% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.3%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.1% 99.5%  
378 0.1% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.3%  
380 0.1% 99.3%  
381 0.2% 99.1%  
382 0.1% 98.9%  
383 0.4% 98.8%  
384 0.2% 98%  
385 0.1% 98%  
386 0.2% 98%  
387 0.3% 98%  
388 0.3% 98%  
389 0.3% 97%  
390 0.5% 97%  
391 0.4% 97%  
392 0.4% 96%  
393 0.3% 96%  
394 0.6% 95%  
395 0.5% 95%  
396 0.5% 94%  
397 0.5% 94%  
398 0.8% 93%  
399 0.7% 93%  
400 1.5% 92%  
401 0.7% 90%  
402 1.0% 90%  
403 1.2% 89%  
404 0.6% 87%  
405 1.3% 87%  
406 1.1% 85%  
407 2% 84%  
408 1.5% 83%  
409 1.1% 81%  
410 1.0% 80%  
411 2% 79%  
412 1.1% 78%  
413 3% 76%  
414 3% 74%  
415 1.5% 71%  
416 1.2% 69%  
417 2% 68%  
418 2% 67%  
419 3% 64%  
420 3% 61%  
421 2% 59%  
422 1.3% 56%  
423 2% 55%  
424 2% 53% Median
425 3% 51%  
426 2% 48%  
427 3% 46%  
428 2% 43%  
429 1.3% 42%  
430 2% 41%  
431 2% 38%  
432 3% 36%  
433 1.4% 34%  
434 0.8% 32%  
435 2% 31%  
436 2% 29%  
437 2% 27%  
438 1.2% 26%  
439 2% 25%  
440 2% 22%  
441 1.2% 21%  
442 0.9% 20%  
443 0.8% 19%  
444 1.4% 18%  
445 2% 17%  
446 0.6% 15%  
447 0.6% 14%  
448 0.6% 14%  
449 0.9% 13%  
450 1.3% 12%  
451 0.5% 11%  
452 0.5% 10%  
453 0.7% 10%  
454 0.4% 9%  
455 0.4% 9%  
456 0.5% 8%  
457 0.4% 8%  
458 0.5% 7%  
459 0.2% 7%  
460 0.3% 7%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.4% 6%  
463 0.4% 5%  
464 0.4% 5%  
465 0.5% 5%  
466 0.3% 4%  
467 0.3% 4%  
468 0.3% 4%  
469 0.2% 3%  
470 0.4% 3%  
471 0.1% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.4% 2%  
474 0.2% 2%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.1% 1.5%  
478 0.2% 1.3%  
479 0.1% 1.1%  
480 0.1% 1.0%  
481 0.1% 0.9%  
482 0.1% 0.8%  
483 0.1% 0.7%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0.2% 99.6%  
398 0.1% 99.5%  
399 0.2% 99.3%  
400 0.3% 99.2%  
401 0.2% 98.9%  
402 0.3% 98.7%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 0.7% 98%  
405 0.6% 98%  
406 0.4% 97%  
407 0.6% 97%  
408 0.5% 96%  
409 0.7% 95%  
410 0.9% 95%  
411 0.6% 94%  
412 1.1% 93%  
413 0.9% 92%  
414 0.5% 91%  
415 0.7% 91%  
416 1.2% 90%  
417 2% 89%  
418 2% 87%  
419 0.9% 86%  
420 2% 85%  
421 3% 83%  
422 2% 81%  
423 2% 78%  
424 3% 76%  
425 2% 74%  
426 5% 72%  
427 3% 67%  
428 5% 64%  
429 3% 60%  
430 4% 57% Median
431 2% 53%  
432 4% 51%  
433 2% 47%  
434 3% 45%  
435 3% 42%  
436 3% 39%  
437 3% 36%  
438 2% 34%  
439 2% 32%  
440 2% 30%  
441 3% 28%  
442 2% 25%  
443 2% 24%  
444 1.3% 21%  
445 2% 20%  
446 1.0% 18%  
447 2% 17%  
448 1.4% 15%  
449 0.8% 14%  
450 0.9% 13%  
451 0.8% 12%  
452 0.6% 11%  
453 0.7% 11%  
454 0.7% 10%  
455 0.6% 9%  
456 0.5% 9%  
457 0.3% 8%  
458 0.4% 8%  
459 0.6% 8%  
460 0.7% 7%  
461 0.6% 6%  
462 0.3% 6%  
463 0.4% 5%  
464 0.4% 5%  
465 0.4% 5%  
466 0.3% 4%  
467 0.3% 4%  
468 0.6% 3%  
469 0.4% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.3% 2%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.2% 1.2%  
476 0.2% 1.1%  
477 0.1% 0.9%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.1% 0.7%  
480 0.1% 0.6%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0.1% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0.2% 99.6%  
389 0.2% 99.4%  
390 0.3% 99.2%  
391 0.1% 98.9%  
392 0.3% 98.8%  
393 0.3% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.4% 98%  
396 0.3% 97%  
397 0.7% 97%  
398 0.6% 96%  
399 0.6% 96%  
400 0.8% 95%  
401 0.4% 94%  
402 0.4% 94%  
403 1.3% 94%  
404 0.5% 92%  
405 2% 92%  
406 0.9% 90%  
407 0.7% 89%  
408 0.8% 89%  
409 2% 88%  
410 1.2% 86%  
411 2% 85%  
412 2% 83%  
413 2% 81%  
414 3% 79%  
415 1.2% 76%  
416 3% 75%  
417 2% 72%  
418 4% 69%  
419 3% 65%  
420 3% 62%  
421 4% 59%  
422 3% 55%  
423 4% 52% Median
424 2% 48%  
425 3% 46%  
426 2% 43%  
427 3% 41%  
428 2% 38%  
429 2% 36%  
430 2% 33%  
431 3% 32%  
432 1.4% 29%  
433 2% 28%  
434 3% 26%  
435 2% 23%  
436 2% 22%  
437 2% 20%  
438 2% 18%  
439 1.3% 17%  
440 1.2% 15%  
441 1.1% 14%  
442 0.8% 13%  
443 1.0% 12%  
444 1.0% 11%  
445 0.4% 10%  
446 0.6% 10%  
447 0.2% 9%  
448 0.5% 9%  
449 0.6% 8%  
450 0.4% 8%  
451 0.5% 7%  
452 0.6% 7%  
453 0.5% 6%  
454 0.5% 6%  
455 0.4% 5%  
456 0.3% 5%  
457 0.4% 5%  
458 0.5% 4%  
459 0.4% 4%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0.3% 3%  
463 0.3% 2%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.3% 1.4%  
468 0.2% 1.1%  
469 0.1% 1.0%  
470 0.1% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.7%  
472 0.1% 0.6%  
473 0.1% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0.1% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0.1% 99.8%  
350 0.1% 99.7%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.5%  
354 0.2% 99.3%  
355 0.2% 99.2%  
356 0.3% 99.0%  
357 0.1% 98.7%  
358 0.3% 98.6%  
359 0.3% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.3% 98%  
362 0.4% 97%  
363 0.5% 97%  
364 0.7% 97%  
365 0.4% 96%  
366 0.5% 96%  
367 0.5% 95%  
368 0.6% 95%  
369 1.2% 94%  
370 0.8% 93%  
371 1.0% 92%  
372 1.0% 91%  
373 0.8% 90%  
374 1.3% 89%  
375 2% 88%  
376 1.4% 86%  
377 1.2% 85%  
378 2% 83%  
379 2% 82%  
380 2% 80%  
381 2% 78%  
382 2% 76%  
383 2% 74%  
384 2% 72%  
385 2% 69%  
386 3% 67%  
387 2% 64%  
388 4% 61%  
389 2% 58%  
390 3% 55% Median
391 3% 53%  
392 3% 50%  
393 2% 47%  
394 3% 45%  
395 2% 42%  
396 4% 41%  
397 1.4% 36%  
398 2% 35%  
399 2% 33%  
400 2% 31%  
401 2% 29%  
402 2% 27%  
403 1.4% 25%  
404 1.4% 23%  
405 1.3% 22%  
406 1.4% 20%  
407 2% 19%  
408 2% 17%  
409 1.1% 15%  
410 0.8% 14%  
411 1.1% 13%  
412 0.7% 12%  
413 0.6% 12%  
414 0.8% 11%  
415 0.6% 10%  
416 0.4% 10%  
417 0.5% 9%  
418 0.6% 9%  
419 0.7% 8%  
420 0.4% 7%  
421 0.5% 7%  
422 0.3% 6%  
423 0.5% 6%  
424 0.5% 6%  
425 0.3% 5%  
426 0.4% 5%  
427 0.5% 4%  
428 0.3% 4%  
429 0.3% 4%  
430 0.3% 3%  
431 0.4% 3%  
432 0.3% 3%  
433 0.4% 2%  
434 0.2% 2%  
435 0.2% 2%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.4%  
438 0.3% 1.3%  
439 0.1% 1.0%  
440 0.1% 0.8%  
441 0.1% 0.8%  
442 0.1% 0.7%  
443 0.1% 0.6%  
444 0.1% 0.6%  
445 0.1% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.4%  
447 0% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.3%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.2%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.6%  
343 0.1% 99.5%  
344 0.1% 99.4%  
345 0.2% 99.3%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.2% 98.9%  
348 0.3% 98.7%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.2% 98%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.4% 98%  
353 0.3% 97%  
354 0.4% 97%  
355 0.5% 96%  
356 0.7% 96%  
357 0.5% 95%  
358 0.5% 95%  
359 0.6% 94%  
360 0.6% 94%  
361 0.5% 93%  
362 2% 93%  
363 1.0% 91%  
364 1.3% 90%  
365 1.2% 88%  
366 2% 87%  
367 1.4% 86%  
368 0.7% 84%  
369 1.4% 84%  
370 2% 82%  
371 2% 80%  
372 2% 79%  
373 2% 77%  
374 2% 74%  
375 2% 72%  
376 2% 70%  
377 3% 68%  
378 4% 65%  
379 3% 61%  
380 2% 59%  
381 2% 56%  
382 3% 54%  
383 2% 51% Median
384 4% 49%  
385 2% 46%  
386 2% 44%  
387 2% 41%  
388 2% 39%  
389 4% 38%  
390 1.5% 34%  
391 2% 32%  
392 2% 30%  
393 2% 29%  
394 2% 27%  
395 3% 25%  
396 2% 23%  
397 0.9% 21%  
398 1.3% 20%  
399 1.3% 19%  
400 2% 17%  
401 2% 15%  
402 0.9% 14%  
403 0.8% 13%  
404 0.8% 12%  
405 0.6% 11%  
406 0.8% 11%  
407 0.6% 10%  
408 0.5% 9%  
409 0.4% 9%  
410 0.5% 9%  
411 0.5% 8%  
412 0.5% 8%  
413 0.3% 7%  
414 0.6% 7%  
415 0.4% 6%  
416 0.4% 6%  
417 0.5% 5%  
418 0.4% 5%  
419 0.4% 4%  
420 0.3% 4%  
421 0.3% 4%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.3% 3%  
424 0.4% 3%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.3% 2%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.3% 2%  
429 0.1% 1.3%  
430 0.1% 1.2%  
431 0.2% 1.1%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.6%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.4%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0.1% 0.3%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0.1% 99.5%  
127 0.1% 99.4%  
128 0.1% 99.4%  
129 0.1% 99.3%  
130 0.2% 99.2%  
131 0.2% 99.0%  
132 0.1% 98.8%  
133 0.2% 98.8%  
134 0.2% 98.6%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 0.2% 98%  
138 0.3% 98%  
139 0.1% 97%  
140 0.4% 97%  
141 0.4% 97%  
142 0.2% 97%  
143 0.4% 96%  
144 0.2% 96%  
145 0.2% 96%  
146 0.5% 96%  
147 0.7% 95%  
148 0.4% 94%  
149 0.2% 94%  
150 0.4% 94%  
151 0.3% 93%  
152 0.3% 93%  
153 0.7% 93%  
154 0.5% 92%  
155 0.6% 92%  
156 0.2% 91%  
157 1.0% 91%  
158 0.7% 90%  
159 0.9% 89%  
160 0.4% 88%  
161 0.9% 88%  
162 0.7% 87%  
163 0.7% 86%  
164 2% 85%  
165 0.7% 83%  
166 0.9% 83%  
167 2% 82%  
168 2% 80%  
169 2% 78%  
170 1.2% 76%  
171 0.8% 75%  
172 0.8% 74%  
173 2% 73%  
174 2% 72%  
175 2% 70%  
176 2% 67%  
177 2% 65%  
178 1.4% 63%  
179 2% 62%  
180 2% 60%  
181 2% 57%  
182 2% 56%  
183 2% 53% Median
184 3% 51%  
185 2% 48%  
186 2% 47%  
187 2% 45%  
188 3% 43%  
189 2% 40%  
190 2% 38%  
191 2% 36%  
192 3% 34%  
193 3% 32%  
194 2% 29%  
195 2% 27%  
196 1.5% 26%  
197 1.2% 24%  
198 2% 23%  
199 2% 21%  
200 1.4% 19%  
201 0.8% 18%  
202 2% 17%  
203 1.2% 15%  
204 1.1% 14%  
205 0.7% 13%  
206 1.1% 12%  
207 0.7% 11%  
208 2% 10%  
209 0.8% 9%  
210 0.6% 8%  
211 0.4% 7%  
212 0.5% 7%  
213 1.0% 6%  
214 0.5% 5%  
215 0.5% 5%  
216 0.4% 4%  
217 0.5% 4%  
218 0.3% 3%  
219 0.4% 3%  
220 0.3% 3%  
221 0.2% 2%  
222 0.3% 2%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.3% 2%  
225 0.2% 1.5%  
226 0.1% 1.3%  
227 0.2% 1.1%  
228 0.2% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.8%  
230 0.1% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.5%  
232 0.1% 0.5%  
233 0% 0.4%  
234 0.1% 0.3%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.2%  
237 0.1% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0.1% 99.3%  
122 0.1% 99.2%  
123 0.1% 99.1%  
124 0.3% 99.0%  
125 0.1% 98.7%  
126 0.2% 98.6%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.2% 98%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.4% 97%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.4% 97%  
134 0.3% 97%  
135 0.2% 96%  
136 0.3% 96%  
137 0.2% 96%  
138 0.5% 96%  
139 0.4% 95%  
140 0.6% 95%  
141 0.4% 94%  
142 0.2% 94%  
143 0.3% 93%  
144 0.5% 93%  
145 0.6% 93%  
146 0.6% 92%  
147 0.4% 91%  
148 0.6% 91%  
149 0.4% 90%  
150 0.8% 90%  
151 1.0% 89%  
152 1.0% 88%  
153 0.4% 87%  
154 1.4% 87%  
155 0.7% 85%  
156 0.9% 85%  
157 1.5% 84%  
158 1.0% 82%  
159 1.3% 81%  
160 2% 80%  
161 2% 78%  
162 1.4% 76%  
163 1.1% 75%  
164 1.2% 73%  
165 2% 72%  
166 1.1% 70%  
167 2% 69%  
168 1.5% 67%  
169 2% 65%  
170 3% 63%  
171 3% 61%  
172 2% 58%  
173 2% 56%  
174 1.5% 54%  
175 2% 53%  
176 2% 50% Median
177 3% 49%  
178 2% 45%  
179 1.4% 43%  
180 3% 42%  
181 3% 39%  
182 2% 36%  
183 2% 34%  
184 2% 32%  
185 2% 30%  
186 2% 29%  
187 1.5% 26%  
188 2% 25%  
189 1.2% 23%  
190 2% 21%  
191 1.2% 20%  
192 1.5% 18%  
193 2% 17%  
194 1.0% 15%  
195 0.9% 14%  
196 2% 13%  
197 0.7% 12%  
198 0.8% 11%  
199 0.9% 10%  
200 1.0% 9%  
201 1.2% 8%  
202 0.6% 7%  
203 0.8% 7%  
204 0.5% 6%  
205 0.3% 5%  
206 0.4% 5%  
207 0.5% 4%  
208 0.4% 4%  
209 0.6% 4%  
210 0.4% 3%  
211 0.2% 3%  
212 0.4% 2%  
213 0.2% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.2% 2%  
216 0.2% 1.4%  
217 0.1% 1.2%  
218 0.1% 1.0%  
219 0.1% 0.9%  
220 0.2% 0.8%  
221 0.1% 0.6%  
222 0.1% 0.5%  
223 0% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.3%  
227 0.1% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0.1% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.7%  
131 0% 99.6%  
132 0.1% 99.5%  
133 0.3% 99.4%  
134 0.1% 99.1%  
135 0.1% 99.0%  
136 0.1% 98.9%  
137 0.2% 98.8%  
138 0.5% 98.6%  
139 0.4% 98%  
140 0.4% 98%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 0.3% 97%  
143 0.4% 97%  
144 0.4% 96%  
145 0.5% 96%  
146 0.8% 95%  
147 0.9% 95%  
148 0.3% 94%  
149 0.3% 93%  
150 0.3% 93%  
151 0.2% 93%  
152 0.1% 93%  
153 0.2% 92%  
154 0.3% 92%  
155 0.6% 92%  
156 0.8% 91%  
157 0.6% 91%  
158 0.7% 90%  
159 3% 89%  
160 1.1% 87%  
161 0.5% 86%  
162 0.8% 85%  
163 2% 84%  
164 3% 82%  
165 1.1% 79%  
166 2% 78%  
167 0.5% 75%  
168 1.3% 75%  
169 2% 74%  
170 4% 72%  
171 2% 68%  
172 3% 66%  
173 2% 63%  
174 3% 61%  
175 2% 58%  
176 3% 55%  
177 3% 52% Median
178 3% 50%  
179 5% 46%  
180 5% 42%  
181 4% 37%  
182 2% 33%  
183 2% 31%  
184 3% 29%  
185 3% 26%  
186 3% 23%  
187 2% 20%  
188 1.0% 18%  
189 3% 17%  
190 1.2% 14%  
191 2% 13%  
192 1.1% 11%  
193 0.5% 10%  
194 0.5% 10%  
195 0.4% 9%  
196 2% 9%  
197 0.7% 7%  
198 0.8% 6%  
199 0.8% 6%  
200 0.4% 5%  
201 0.4% 4%  
202 0.9% 4%  
203 0.8% 3%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.4% 1.3%  
208 0.2% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.2% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0% 100%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0.1% 99.8%  
87 0% 99.7%  
88 0.1% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.6%  
90 0.1% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.3%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.2% 99.0%  
95 0.2% 98.8%  
96 0.1% 98.7%  
97 0.3% 98.5%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.3% 98%  
101 0.2% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.1% 97%  
104 0.4% 97%  
105 0.3% 96%  
106 0.3% 96%  
107 0.3% 96%  
108 0.4% 95%  
109 0.3% 95%  
110 0.4% 95%  
111 0.3% 94%  
112 0.5% 94%  
113 0.4% 93%  
114 0.6% 93%  
115 0.4% 92%  
116 0.5% 92%  
117 0.7% 91%  
118 0.6% 91%  
119 1.1% 90%  
120 1.0% 89%  
121 0.9% 88%  
122 0.5% 87%  
123 0.9% 87%  
124 0.8% 86%  
125 1.1% 85%  
126 1.4% 84%  
127 0.9% 83%  
128 1.4% 82%  
129 1.4% 80%  
130 2% 79%  
131 2% 77%  
132 2% 75%  
133 0.9% 73%  
134 2% 72%  
135 3% 70%  
136 2% 68%  
137 2% 65%  
138 2% 64%  
139 3% 62%  
140 2% 59%  
141 2% 57%  
142 2% 56%  
143 2% 54% Median
144 3% 51%  
145 2% 49%  
146 2% 46%  
147 3% 44%  
148 3% 42%  
149 2% 39%  
150 3% 36%  
151 2% 33%  
152 3% 32%  
153 2% 28%  
154 2% 26%  
155 2% 25%  
156 2% 23%  
157 2% 20%  
158 2% 19%  
159 1.1% 16%  
160 1.4% 15%  
161 0.8% 14%  
162 0.9% 13%  
163 0.9% 12%  
164 0.9% 11%  
165 1.2% 10%  
166 0.9% 9%  
167 0.7% 8%  
168 1.0% 8%  
169 0.6% 7%  
170 0.6% 6%  
171 0.6% 5%  
172 0.7% 5%  
173 0.3% 4%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 0.4% 3%  
176 0.4% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.2% 2%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.4%  
182 0.2% 1.1%  
183 0.1% 0.9%  
184 0.1% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.7%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.5%  
83 0.2% 99.4%  
84 0.1% 99.2%  
85 0.1% 99.2%  
86 0.2% 99.1%  
87 0.2% 98.9%  
88 0.3% 98.7%  
89 0.1% 98%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.3% 98%  
92 0.2% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.3% 97%  
95 0.5% 97%  
96 0.3% 96%  
97 0.5% 96%  
98 0.3% 96%  
99 0.3% 95%  
100 0.4% 95%  
101 0.3% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 0.2% 94%  
104 0.4% 94%  
105 0.6% 94%  
106 0.5% 93%  
107 0.7% 92%  
108 0.5% 92%  
109 0.6% 91%  
110 0.6% 91%  
111 0.4% 90%  
112 1.4% 90%  
113 1.0% 88%  
114 0.9% 87%  
115 0.5% 86%  
116 1.3% 86%  
117 0.8% 85%  
118 2% 84%  
119 1.0% 82%  
120 2% 81%  
121 1.0% 80%  
122 1.3% 78%  
123 2% 77%  
124 3% 75%  
125 1.1% 72%  
126 2% 71%  
127 2% 69%  
128 3% 67%  
129 2% 64%  
130 2% 62%  
131 2% 61%  
132 2% 59%  
133 2% 56%  
134 2% 55%  
135 2% 52%  
136 2% 50% Median
137 2% 48%  
138 4% 46%  
139 3% 42%  
140 2% 39%  
141 2% 37%  
142 3% 36%  
143 4% 33%  
144 2% 29%  
145 2% 27%  
146 2% 25%  
147 2% 23%  
148 2% 20%  
149 2% 19%  
150 1.1% 17%  
151 1.3% 16%  
152 1.3% 15%  
153 1.3% 13%  
154 0.8% 12%  
155 1.0% 11%  
156 0.7% 10%  
157 0.7% 9%  
158 1.4% 9%  
159 0.7% 7%  
160 0.5% 7%  
161 0.7% 6%  
162 0.7% 5%  
163 0.5% 5%  
164 0.7% 4%  
165 0.4% 3%  
166 0.3% 3%  
167 0.3% 3%  
168 0.3% 2%  
169 0.3% 2%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.3% 2%  
172 0.2% 1.3%  
173 0.1% 1.1%  
174 0.3% 1.0%  
175 0.1% 0.7%  
176 0.1% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.5%  
178 0.1% 0.4%  
179 0.1% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations