Opinion Poll by Deltapoll, 26–29 April 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.3% 46.6–50.0% 46.1–50.4% 45.7–50.8% 44.9–51.7%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.3% 24.8–27.8% 24.4–28.3% 24.1–28.6% 23.4–29.4%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 8.8% 7.9–9.8% 7.6–10.1% 7.4–10.3% 7.0–10.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.3–7.5%
Green Party 2.8% 4.3% 3.7–5.1% 3.5–5.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.1–5.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.2–4.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 2.2% 1.8–2.8% 1.7–3.0% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.4%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 396 375–418 368–425 364–435 354–448
Conservative Party 365 163 143–184 137–191 124–195 111–206
Liberal Democrats 11 20 14–26 11–27 9–30 7–36
Brexit Party 0 3 3–4 3–6 3–7 2–13
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 48 39 26–48 22–52 20–53 16–55
Plaid Cymru 4 7 6–10 6–12 5–12 5–13
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.6%  
355 0.2% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.3%  
357 0.2% 99.2%  
358 0.1% 99.0%  
359 0.2% 98.9%  
360 0.3% 98.7%  
361 0.1% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.2% 98%  
365 0.7% 97%  
366 1.2% 97%  
367 0.3% 96%  
368 0.3% 95%  
369 0.9% 95%  
370 0.5% 94%  
371 0.6% 94%  
372 1.1% 93%  
373 0.5% 92%  
374 1.1% 91%  
375 0.8% 90%  
376 1.4% 89%  
377 1.4% 88%  
378 0.9% 87%  
379 1.1% 86%  
380 1.2% 85%  
381 2% 83%  
382 2% 81%  
383 0.6% 80%  
384 0.8% 79%  
385 4% 78%  
386 3% 75%  
387 2% 72%  
388 2% 70%  
389 3% 68%  
390 2% 65%  
391 2% 64%  
392 1.4% 62%  
393 3% 61%  
394 2% 58%  
395 5% 56%  
396 3% 51% Median
397 2% 48%  
398 3% 46%  
399 2% 44%  
400 4% 42%  
401 1.3% 38%  
402 2% 37%  
403 2% 34%  
404 3% 32%  
405 5% 29%  
406 1.0% 25%  
407 2% 24%  
408 2% 22%  
409 1.1% 20%  
410 2% 19%  
411 0.8% 17%  
412 0.5% 16%  
413 0.4% 15%  
414 2% 15%  
415 0.9% 13%  
416 0.9% 12%  
417 1.3% 11%  
418 0.7% 10%  
419 0.4% 9%  
420 0.7% 9%  
421 0.8% 8%  
422 1.4% 8%  
423 0.7% 6%  
424 0.2% 6%  
425 0.5% 5%  
426 0.2% 5%  
427 0.2% 5%  
428 0.2% 5%  
429 0.5% 4%  
430 0.6% 4%  
431 0.1% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.1% 3%  
434 0.1% 3%  
435 1.1% 3%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.5%  
438 0% 1.4%  
439 0.1% 1.4%  
440 0.1% 1.3%  
441 0.1% 1.1%  
442 0% 1.1%  
443 0% 1.0%  
444 0% 1.0%  
445 0.2% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 0.8%  
447 0.1% 0.7%  
448 0.1% 0.6%  
449 0% 0.5%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.4%  
115 0.1% 99.3%  
116 0.1% 99.2%  
117 0.1% 99.2%  
118 0.3% 99.1%  
119 0.2% 98.8%  
120 0.4% 98.6%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.7% 97%  
126 0.1% 97%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.1% 96%  
129 0.1% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0.1% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.2% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 0.2% 95%  
137 0.5% 95%  
138 0.5% 95%  
139 1.2% 94%  
140 0.4% 93%  
141 0.9% 93%  
142 1.4% 92%  
143 2% 90%  
144 0.6% 88%  
145 2% 88%  
146 1.2% 86%  
147 2% 85%  
148 0.7% 83%  
149 0.4% 82%  
150 2% 82%  
151 0.5% 80%  
152 1.4% 80%  
153 2% 78%  
154 2% 76%  
155 2% 74%  
156 2% 72%  
157 3% 70%  
158 3% 67%  
159 6% 64%  
160 3% 58%  
161 2% 55%  
162 3% 53%  
163 2% 51% Median
164 2% 48%  
165 4% 47%  
166 4% 43%  
167 3% 40%  
168 1.3% 37%  
169 3% 36%  
170 3% 33%  
171 3% 30%  
172 0.8% 26%  
173 1.1% 26%  
174 1.2% 25%  
175 0.9% 23%  
176 1.0% 22%  
177 1.3% 21%  
178 1.1% 20%  
179 2% 19%  
180 0.8% 17%  
181 1.2% 16%  
182 2% 15%  
183 2% 13%  
184 1.0% 11%  
185 0.6% 10%  
186 1.1% 9%  
187 0.4% 8%  
188 1.3% 8%  
189 0.6% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.3% 5%  
193 1.0% 5%  
194 0.4% 4%  
195 0.7% 3%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.6% 2%  
200 0.1% 1.1%  
201 0.2% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 1.2% 99.9%  
8 0.8% 98.7%  
9 0.5% 98%  
10 2% 97%  
11 2% 95% Last Result
12 1.2% 94%  
13 0.9% 93%  
14 3% 92%  
15 8% 89%  
16 3% 81%  
17 6% 79%  
18 8% 72%  
19 11% 64%  
20 11% 53% Median
21 6% 42%  
22 7% 36%  
23 8% 30%  
24 4% 22%  
25 5% 18%  
26 5% 13%  
27 4% 8%  
28 0.6% 4%  
29 0.9% 4%  
30 0.8% 3%  
31 0.6% 2%  
32 0.4% 1.4%  
33 0.2% 1.1%  
34 0.1% 0.8%  
35 0.2% 0.7%  
36 0.2% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.4%  
38 0.1% 0.2%  
39 0% 0.1%  
40 0% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 1.2% 99.8%  
3 49% 98.6% Median
4 40% 50%  
5 3% 9%  
6 3% 6%  
7 0.8% 3%  
8 0.3% 2%  
9 0.1% 2%  
10 0.3% 2%  
11 0.4% 2%  
12 0.6% 1.3%  
13 0.4% 0.7%  
14 0.2% 0.3%  
15 0% 0.2%  
16 0.1% 0.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0.1%  
19 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.8% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 0.4% 99.8%  
17 0.6% 99.5%  
18 0.5% 98.9%  
19 0.5% 98%  
20 0.5% 98%  
21 1.3% 97%  
22 2% 96%  
23 0.7% 94%  
24 0.9% 93%  
25 0.7% 93%  
26 3% 92%  
27 1.1% 89%  
28 0.5% 88%  
29 4% 87%  
30 2% 84%  
31 2% 82%  
32 2% 80%  
33 0.8% 78%  
34 5% 78%  
35 3% 72%  
36 7% 70%  
37 8% 63%  
38 3% 55%  
39 6% 52% Median
40 5% 46%  
41 5% 41%  
42 3% 36%  
43 3% 32%  
44 6% 29%  
45 4% 23%  
46 7% 19%  
47 2% 12%  
48 4% 11% Last Result
49 0.6% 7%  
50 1.5% 7%  
51 0.1% 5%  
52 0.7% 5%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.8% 1.3%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.4%  
58 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 4% 100%  
6 24% 96%  
7 43% 72% Median
8 0.1% 29%  
9 2% 29%  
10 18% 27%  
11 0.2% 9%  
12 8% 9%  
13 0.8% 0.9%  
14 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 463 100% 441–484 434–490 430–502 420–515
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 462 100% 440–483 433–489 429–501 419–514
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 454 100% 432–476 425–481 421–494 409–506
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 442 100% 421–461 417–465 413–480 403–488
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 435 100% 413–453 408–459 405–472 394–481
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 423 100% 400–448 393–456 387–463 377–481
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 416 100% 392–441 385–449 379–457 368–474
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 404 100% 382–425 376–432 372–441 362–455
Labour Party 202 396 100% 375–418 368–425 364–435 354–448
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 209 0% 185–233 177–240 169–246 152–255
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 202 0% 178–225 169–233 162–238 145–247
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 183 0% 165–204 159–208 146–211 136–221
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 170 0% 150–193 144–200 131–204 119–215
Conservative Party 365 163 0% 143–184 137–191 124–195 111–206

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0.1% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.7%  
418 0.1% 99.6%  
419 0% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.5%  
421 0.1% 99.4%  
422 0.1% 99.4%  
423 0.1% 99.3%  
424 0.1% 99.1%  
425 0.2% 99.0%  
426 0.1% 98.9%  
427 0.1% 98.7%  
428 0.7% 98.6%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.2% 98%  
431 0.7% 97%  
432 0.3% 97%  
433 0.8% 96%  
434 0.7% 96%  
435 0.4% 95%  
436 0.6% 95%  
437 0.9% 94%  
438 0.9% 93%  
439 0.8% 92%  
440 0.7% 91%  
441 1.1% 91%  
442 0.7% 90%  
443 1.5% 89%  
444 2% 87%  
445 1.1% 85%  
446 1.2% 84%  
447 2% 83%  
448 1.3% 81%  
449 0.9% 79%  
450 0.6% 79%  
451 1.3% 78%  
452 1.2% 77%  
453 0.8% 76%  
454 1.3% 75%  
455 0.9% 73%  
456 4% 73%  
457 4% 68%  
458 2% 65%  
459 2% 63%  
460 4% 61%  
461 2% 57%  
462 3% 54%  
463 2% 51% Median
464 1.5% 49%  
465 2% 48%  
466 3% 45%  
467 4% 42%  
468 3% 38%  
469 3% 35%  
470 3% 32%  
471 2% 29%  
472 2% 27%  
473 1.5% 24%  
474 2% 23%  
475 1.0% 21%  
476 0.3% 20%  
477 2% 20%  
478 0.5% 18%  
479 0.5% 17%  
480 1.5% 17%  
481 2% 15%  
482 2% 13%  
483 0.5% 12%  
484 2% 11%  
485 1.4% 10%  
486 0.9% 8%  
487 1.2% 7%  
488 0.5% 6%  
489 0.6% 6%  
490 0.3% 5%  
491 0.2% 5%  
492 0.3% 5%  
493 0.1% 4%  
494 0.1% 4%  
495 0.1% 4%  
496 0.1% 4%  
497 0.1% 4%  
498 0.1% 4%  
499 0.1% 4%  
500 0.2% 4%  
501 0.1% 3%  
502 0.9% 3%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.1% 2%  
507 0.4% 2%  
508 0.2% 1.4%  
509 0.2% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 0.9%  
511 0.1% 0.8%  
512 0.1% 0.7%  
513 0.1% 0.6%  
514 0% 0.5%  
515 0.1% 0.5%  
516 0% 0.4%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.4%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.3%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0.1% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0.1% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0% 99.6%  
419 0.1% 99.5%  
420 0.1% 99.4%  
421 0.1% 99.4%  
422 0.1% 99.3%  
423 0.1% 99.1%  
424 0.2% 99.0%  
425 0.1% 98.9%  
426 0.1% 98.7%  
427 0.7% 98.6%  
428 0.2% 98%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.7% 97%  
431 0.3% 97%  
432 0.8% 96%  
433 0.7% 96%  
434 0.4% 95%  
435 0.6% 95%  
436 0.9% 94%  
437 0.9% 93%  
438 0.8% 92%  
439 0.7% 91%  
440 1.1% 91%  
441 0.7% 90%  
442 1.5% 89%  
443 2% 87%  
444 1.1% 85%  
445 1.2% 84%  
446 2% 83%  
447 1.3% 81%  
448 0.9% 79%  
449 0.6% 79%  
450 1.3% 78%  
451 1.2% 77%  
452 0.8% 76%  
453 1.3% 75%  
454 0.9% 73%  
455 4% 73%  
456 4% 68%  
457 2% 65%  
458 2% 63%  
459 4% 61%  
460 2% 57%  
461 3% 54%  
462 2% 51% Median
463 1.5% 49%  
464 2% 48%  
465 3% 45%  
466 4% 42%  
467 3% 38%  
468 3% 35%  
469 3% 32%  
470 2% 29%  
471 2% 27%  
472 1.5% 24%  
473 2% 23%  
474 1.0% 21%  
475 0.3% 20%  
476 2% 20%  
477 0.5% 18%  
478 0.5% 17%  
479 2% 17%  
480 2% 15%  
481 2% 13%  
482 0.5% 12%  
483 2% 11%  
484 1.4% 10%  
485 0.9% 8%  
486 1.2% 7%  
487 0.5% 6%  
488 0.5% 6%  
489 0.3% 5%  
490 0.2% 5%  
491 0.3% 5%  
492 0.1% 4%  
493 0.1% 4%  
494 0.1% 4%  
495 0.1% 4%  
496 0.1% 4%  
497 0.1% 4%  
498 0.1% 4%  
499 0.2% 4%  
500 0.1% 3%  
501 0.9% 3%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.3% 2%  
505 0.1% 2%  
506 0.4% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.4%  
508 0.2% 1.1%  
509 0.1% 0.9%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.1% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.5%  
515 0% 0.4%  
516 0.1% 0.4%  
517 0% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.3%  
414 0.1% 99.2%  
415 0.2% 99.1%  
416 0.1% 98.9%  
417 0.1% 98.8%  
418 0.2% 98.6%  
419 0.1% 98%  
420 0.7% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.3% 97%  
423 1.0% 97%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.9% 96%  
426 0.5% 95%  
427 0.4% 94%  
428 0.6% 94%  
429 0.7% 93%  
430 0.9% 92%  
431 0.7% 91%  
432 1.1% 91%  
433 1.1% 90%  
434 0.9% 89%  
435 2% 88%  
436 3% 86%  
437 2% 83%  
438 0.8% 81%  
439 1.3% 80%  
440 0.4% 79%  
441 1.0% 79%  
442 0.4% 78%  
443 0.7% 77%  
444 1.5% 76%  
445 2% 75%  
446 1.3% 73%  
447 2% 72%  
448 2% 70%  
449 4% 67%  
450 4% 63%  
451 2% 59%  
452 3% 57%  
453 2% 54%  
454 2% 52%  
455 2% 50% Median
456 2% 48%  
457 2% 46%  
458 3% 44%  
459 5% 41%  
460 4% 36%  
461 2% 32%  
462 2% 30%  
463 1.4% 27%  
464 3% 26%  
465 0.9% 23%  
466 2% 22%  
467 1.0% 21%  
468 0.5% 20%  
469 0.3% 19%  
470 1.5% 19%  
471 0.7% 17%  
472 2% 17%  
473 2% 15%  
474 1.3% 13%  
475 1.2% 12%  
476 2% 11%  
477 0.9% 9%  
478 0.9% 8%  
479 1.1% 7%  
480 0.6% 6%  
481 0.4% 5%  
482 0.2% 5%  
483 0.1% 5%  
484 0.2% 5%  
485 0.2% 4%  
486 0.1% 4%  
487 0.1% 4%  
488 0.1% 4%  
489 0.1% 4%  
490 0.1% 4%  
491 0% 4%  
492 0.1% 4%  
493 0.1% 4%  
494 1.1% 3%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.6% 2%  
501 0.3% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0% 0.7%  
504 0.1% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.6%  
506 0.1% 0.5%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.4%  
509 0% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0.1% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0.1% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0% 99.6%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0.1% 99.4%  
406 0.1% 99.3%  
407 0.2% 99.2%  
408 0.1% 99.0%  
409 0.2% 98.9%  
410 0.3% 98.7%  
411 0.3% 98%  
412 0.6% 98%  
413 0.2% 98%  
414 0.4% 97%  
415 1.0% 97%  
416 0.6% 96%  
417 1.2% 95%  
418 0.5% 94%  
419 0.9% 94%  
420 2% 93%  
421 0.9% 91%  
422 0.9% 90%  
423 0.9% 89%  
424 3% 88%  
425 0.8% 85%  
426 1.1% 84%  
427 0.6% 83%  
428 1.5% 83%  
429 1.5% 81%  
430 2% 80%  
431 0.4% 78%  
432 2% 78%  
433 2% 76%  
434 1.4% 74%  
435 2% 73%  
436 3% 70%  
437 0.4% 67%  
438 5% 67%  
439 3% 62%  
440 2% 59%  
441 3% 56%  
442 3% 53% Median
443 3% 50%  
444 1.5% 46%  
445 3% 45%  
446 3% 42%  
447 4% 39%  
448 3% 35%  
449 4% 32%  
450 4% 28%  
451 2% 24%  
452 2% 22%  
453 0.6% 20%  
454 2% 20%  
455 2% 18%  
456 0.6% 16%  
457 0.6% 15%  
458 2% 15%  
459 0.6% 13%  
460 2% 12%  
461 0.8% 11%  
462 1.2% 10%  
463 0.8% 9%  
464 1.4% 8%  
465 1.4% 6%  
466 0.3% 5%  
467 0.2% 5%  
468 0.2% 5%  
469 0.3% 4%  
470 0.1% 4%  
471 0.1% 4%  
472 0.1% 4%  
473 0% 4%  
474 0.1% 4%  
475 0.1% 4%  
476 0.4% 4%  
477 0.4% 3%  
478 0.1% 3%  
479 0.2% 3%  
480 0.4% 3%  
481 0.4% 2%  
482 0.7% 2%  
483 0.2% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.0%  
485 0.1% 0.9%  
486 0.2% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0% 0.5%  
489 0% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.3%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0.1% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0.1% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.4%  
397 0.1% 99.3%  
398 0.1% 99.2%  
399 0.2% 99.1%  
400 0.2% 98.9%  
401 0.1% 98.8%  
402 0.1% 98.6%  
403 0.5% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.7% 98%  
406 0.5% 97%  
407 0.7% 96%  
408 1.3% 96%  
409 0.8% 94%  
410 0.6% 94%  
411 0.4% 93%  
412 1.0% 93%  
413 2% 92%  
414 2% 90%  
415 0.4% 88%  
416 1.1% 87%  
417 0.7% 86%  
418 2% 86%  
419 1.4% 83%  
420 0.7% 82%  
421 1.5% 81%  
422 2% 80%  
423 2% 78%  
424 1.2% 76%  
425 0.8% 75%  
426 2% 74%  
427 0.9% 72%  
428 3% 71%  
429 4% 69%  
430 1.4% 65%  
431 2% 63%  
432 5% 61%  
433 2% 56%  
434 4% 54%  
435 2% 51% Median
436 3% 48%  
437 3% 45%  
438 2% 42%  
439 5% 40%  
440 3% 35%  
441 3% 32%  
442 3% 30%  
443 3% 27%  
444 3% 24%  
445 1.5% 22%  
446 0.6% 20%  
447 2% 20%  
448 0.6% 18%  
449 2% 17%  
450 0.5% 15%  
451 2% 15%  
452 2% 13%  
453 1.4% 11%  
454 1.0% 10%  
455 1.0% 9%  
456 0.7% 8%  
457 1.2% 7%  
458 0.9% 6%  
459 0.4% 5%  
460 0.2% 5%  
461 0.1% 4%  
462 0.3% 4%  
463 0.1% 4%  
464 0.1% 4%  
465 0% 4%  
466 0.1% 4%  
467 0.1% 4%  
468 0% 4%  
469 0.1% 4%  
470 0.7% 3%  
471 0.1% 3%  
472 0.1% 3%  
473 0.2% 2%  
474 0.4% 2%  
475 0.7% 2%  
476 0.1% 1.1%  
477 0.1% 1.0%  
478 0.1% 0.9%  
479 0.2% 0.7%  
480 0% 0.5%  
481 0% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.5%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0% 0.4%  
485 0% 0.4%  
486 0% 0.3%  
487 0% 0.3%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0.1% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0% 99.7%  
375 0% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.4%  
379 0.2% 99.3%  
380 0.1% 99.1%  
381 0.1% 99.0%  
382 0.1% 98.9%  
383 0.2% 98.9%  
384 0.3% 98.7%  
385 0.2% 98%  
386 0.3% 98%  
387 1.0% 98%  
388 0.3% 97%  
389 0.3% 97%  
390 0.4% 96%  
391 0.4% 96%  
392 0.5% 96%  
393 0.7% 95%  
394 0.6% 94%  
395 0.4% 94%  
396 0.3% 93%  
397 2% 93%  
398 0.4% 91%  
399 0.8% 91%  
400 0.3% 90%  
401 1.2% 90%  
402 2% 89%  
403 0.7% 87%  
404 1.4% 86%  
405 1.0% 85%  
406 1.3% 84%  
407 1.1% 83%  
408 0.3% 82%  
409 2% 81%  
410 1.5% 79%  
411 3% 78%  
412 2% 75%  
413 1.2% 72%  
414 1.0% 71%  
415 2% 70%  
416 1.4% 68%  
417 2% 67%  
418 2% 65%  
419 5% 63%  
420 2% 58%  
421 2% 55%  
422 2% 54%  
423 1.3% 51% Median
424 2% 50%  
425 1.0% 48%  
426 3% 47%  
427 2% 44%  
428 2% 42%  
429 3% 40%  
430 3% 37%  
431 2% 34%  
432 2% 32%  
433 0.9% 30%  
434 2% 29%  
435 2% 27%  
436 2% 25%  
437 2% 23%  
438 1.0% 21%  
439 3% 20%  
440 0.9% 18%  
441 0.4% 17%  
442 0.7% 16%  
443 1.1% 16%  
444 1.3% 15%  
445 1.0% 13%  
446 0.9% 12%  
447 0.5% 11%  
448 2% 11%  
449 0.2% 9%  
450 0.6% 9%  
451 0.4% 8%  
452 0.8% 8%  
453 0.5% 7%  
454 0.1% 6%  
455 1.2% 6%  
456 0.2% 5%  
457 0.1% 5%  
458 0.2% 5%  
459 0.1% 5%  
460 0.4% 4%  
461 1.1% 4%  
462 0.2% 3%  
463 0.3% 3%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.1% 2%  
466 0.1% 2%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.1% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.4% 2%  
472 0% 1.2%  
473 0.1% 1.2%  
474 0.1% 1.1%  
475 0.1% 1.0%  
476 0.1% 1.0%  
477 0% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.8%  
479 0.2% 0.7%  
480 0% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.5%  
482 0% 0.5%  
483 0.1% 0.4%  
484 0.1% 0.4%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0.1% 0.3%  
487 0% 0.2%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.7%  
365 0% 99.7%  
366 0.1% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.5%  
370 0.1% 99.4%  
371 0.1% 99.2%  
372 0.1% 99.1%  
373 0.2% 99.1%  
374 0.2% 98.9%  
375 0.1% 98.7%  
376 0.3% 98.6%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.3% 98%  
379 0.5% 98%  
380 0.8% 97%  
381 0.5% 97%  
382 0.4% 96%  
383 0.3% 96%  
384 0.3% 95%  
385 0.3% 95%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.7% 94%  
388 0.2% 93%  
389 0.6% 93%  
390 2% 92%  
391 0.5% 91%  
392 1.2% 90%  
393 0.5% 89%  
394 1.4% 89%  
395 0.8% 87%  
396 1.3% 87%  
397 2% 85%  
398 1.5% 84%  
399 1.3% 82%  
400 1.4% 81%  
401 1.4% 80%  
402 0.4% 78%  
403 2% 78%  
404 2% 76%  
405 2% 74%  
406 1.3% 72%  
407 2% 70%  
408 1.5% 68%  
409 3% 67%  
410 2% 64%  
411 2% 62%  
412 2% 60%  
413 4% 59%  
414 2% 54%  
415 2% 52%  
416 2% 51% Median
417 2% 49%  
418 1.3% 46%  
419 2% 45%  
420 4% 43%  
421 1.1% 39%  
422 3% 38%  
423 2% 35%  
424 2% 32%  
425 2% 30%  
426 1.4% 29%  
427 2% 27%  
428 0.5% 25%  
429 2% 25%  
430 0.9% 23%  
431 1.5% 22%  
432 3% 20%  
433 0.6% 17%  
434 1.0% 17%  
435 0.6% 16%  
436 1.4% 15%  
437 1.0% 14%  
438 0.7% 13%  
439 1.3% 12%  
440 0.3% 11%  
441 2% 10%  
442 0.2% 9%  
443 0.5% 9%  
444 0.2% 8%  
445 0.5% 8%  
446 1.1% 7%  
447 0.3% 6%  
448 0.8% 6%  
449 0.3% 5%  
450 0.1% 5%  
451 0.1% 5%  
452 0.2% 5%  
453 0.5% 4%  
454 1.1% 4%  
455 0.2% 3%  
456 0.1% 3%  
457 0.3% 3%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.1% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0% 2%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.4% 2%  
466 0% 1.2%  
467 0.1% 1.1%  
468 0.1% 1.0%  
469 0.1% 0.9%  
470 0% 0.8%  
471 0.1% 0.8%  
472 0.2% 0.7%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0.1% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.2% 99.4%  
365 0.2% 99.2%  
366 0.1% 99.0%  
367 0.1% 98.9%  
368 0.1% 98.8%  
369 0.2% 98.6%  
370 0.1% 98%  
371 0.2% 98%  
372 1.0% 98%  
373 0.7% 97%  
374 0.2% 96%  
375 0.7% 96%  
376 0.8% 96%  
377 0.4% 95%  
378 0.9% 94%  
379 1.1% 94%  
380 0.5% 92%  
381 1.1% 92%  
382 1.1% 91%  
383 1.5% 90%  
384 0.9% 88%  
385 0.5% 88%  
386 1.1% 87%  
387 0.6% 86%  
388 2% 85%  
389 2% 84%  
390 0.8% 82%  
391 0.7% 81%  
392 2% 80%  
393 2% 78%  
394 3% 76%  
395 2% 73%  
396 3% 70%  
397 2% 67%  
398 0.7% 65%  
399 2% 64%  
400 2% 62%  
401 5% 60%  
402 2% 55%  
403 2% 53% Median
404 2% 51%  
405 4% 48%  
406 2% 45%  
407 1.0% 43%  
408 2% 42%  
409 2% 40%  
410 4% 38%  
411 5% 34%  
412 4% 29%  
413 1.0% 25%  
414 2% 24%  
415 2% 22%  
416 2% 20%  
417 1.0% 18%  
418 0.4% 17%  
419 0.6% 17%  
420 1.4% 16%  
421 1.2% 15%  
422 0.5% 14%  
423 1.0% 13%  
424 1.2% 12%  
425 0.9% 11%  
426 0.7% 10%  
427 0.7% 9%  
428 0.9% 9%  
429 2% 8%  
430 0.2% 6%  
431 0.7% 6%  
432 0.2% 5%  
433 0.2% 5%  
434 0.2% 5%  
435 0.2% 4%  
436 0.6% 4%  
437 0.4% 4%  
438 0.2% 3%  
439 0.3% 3%  
440 0.2% 3%  
441 0.4% 3%  
442 0.7% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.1% 2%  
445 0.1% 1.4%  
446 0.1% 1.4%  
447 0.1% 1.3%  
448 0% 1.2%  
449 0.1% 1.2%  
450 0.1% 1.1%  
451 0.1% 1.0%  
452 0.2% 1.0%  
453 0% 0.8%  
454 0.1% 0.7%  
455 0.1% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.3%  
460 0% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0.1% 0.2%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.7%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.6%  
355 0.2% 99.4%  
356 0.1% 99.3%  
357 0.2% 99.2%  
358 0.1% 99.0%  
359 0.2% 98.9%  
360 0.3% 98.7%  
361 0.1% 98%  
362 0.3% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.2% 98%  
365 0.7% 97%  
366 1.2% 97%  
367 0.3% 96%  
368 0.3% 95%  
369 0.9% 95%  
370 0.5% 94%  
371 0.6% 94%  
372 1.1% 93%  
373 0.5% 92%  
374 1.1% 91%  
375 0.8% 90%  
376 1.4% 89%  
377 1.4% 88%  
378 0.9% 87%  
379 1.1% 86%  
380 1.2% 85%  
381 2% 83%  
382 2% 81%  
383 0.6% 80%  
384 0.8% 79%  
385 4% 78%  
386 3% 75%  
387 2% 72%  
388 2% 70%  
389 3% 68%  
390 2% 65%  
391 2% 64%  
392 1.4% 62%  
393 3% 61%  
394 2% 58%  
395 5% 56%  
396 3% 51% Median
397 2% 48%  
398 3% 46%  
399 2% 44%  
400 4% 42%  
401 1.3% 38%  
402 2% 37%  
403 2% 34%  
404 3% 32%  
405 5% 29%  
406 1.0% 25%  
407 2% 24%  
408 2% 22%  
409 1.1% 20%  
410 2% 19%  
411 0.8% 17%  
412 0.5% 16%  
413 0.4% 15%  
414 2% 15%  
415 0.9% 13%  
416 0.9% 12%  
417 1.3% 11%  
418 0.7% 10%  
419 0.4% 9%  
420 0.7% 9%  
421 0.8% 8%  
422 1.4% 8%  
423 0.7% 6%  
424 0.2% 6%  
425 0.5% 5%  
426 0.2% 5%  
427 0.2% 5%  
428 0.2% 5%  
429 0.5% 4%  
430 0.6% 4%  
431 0.1% 3%  
432 0.2% 3%  
433 0.1% 3%  
434 0.1% 3%  
435 1.1% 3%  
436 0.1% 2%  
437 0.1% 1.5%  
438 0% 1.4%  
439 0.1% 1.4%  
440 0.1% 1.3%  
441 0.1% 1.1%  
442 0% 1.1%  
443 0% 1.0%  
444 0% 1.0%  
445 0.2% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 0.8%  
447 0.1% 0.7%  
448 0.1% 0.6%  
449 0% 0.5%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.4%  
452 0.1% 0.3%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.9%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.8%  
145 0% 99.8%  
146 0.1% 99.8%  
147 0% 99.7%  
148 0% 99.7%  
149 0% 99.6%  
150 0% 99.6%  
151 0% 99.6%  
152 0.1% 99.5%  
153 0% 99.5%  
154 0.2% 99.4%  
155 0% 99.2%  
156 0.1% 99.2%  
157 0.1% 99.1%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 98.9%  
160 0% 98.8%  
161 0.4% 98.8%  
162 0.1% 98%  
163 0.2% 98%  
164 0.1% 98%  
165 0.1% 98%  
166 0.1% 98%  
167 0.1% 98%  
168 0.2% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.2% 97%  
171 0.1% 97%  
172 1.3% 97%  
173 0.3% 96%  
174 0.1% 95%  
175 0.1% 95%  
176 0.2% 95%  
177 0.3% 95%  
178 0.8% 95%  
179 0.5% 94%  
180 1.0% 93%  
181 0.4% 92%  
182 0.4% 92%  
183 0.4% 92%  
184 0.3% 91%  
185 2% 91%  
186 0.7% 89%  
187 1.0% 89%  
188 1.1% 87%  
189 0.7% 86%  
190 1.1% 86%  
191 1.1% 85%  
192 0.5% 83%  
193 0.9% 83%  
194 3% 82%  
195 1.4% 79%  
196 2% 78%  
197 1.4% 76%  
198 2% 75%  
199 1.5% 73%  
200 0.9% 72%  
201 2% 71%  
202 3% 69%  
203 2% 66%  
204 2% 63%  
205 3% 61%  
206 2% 58%  
207 2% 55%  
208 1.4% 54%  
209 3% 52% Median
210 1.1% 49%  
211 1.1% 48%  
212 3% 47%  
213 4% 44%  
214 2% 40%  
215 2% 37%  
216 2% 35%  
217 1.2% 33%  
218 2% 32%  
219 2% 30%  
220 1.1% 28%  
221 3% 27%  
222 1.0% 24%  
223 2% 23%  
224 0.6% 21%  
225 2% 21%  
226 1.0% 19%  
227 2% 18%  
228 0.8% 16%  
229 2% 15%  
230 0.8% 13%  
231 0.7% 12%  
232 1.5% 12%  
233 0.7% 10%  
234 0.6% 10%  
235 2% 9%  
236 0.9% 8%  
237 0.4% 7%  
238 0.5% 6%  
239 0.4% 6%  
240 0.7% 5%  
241 0.2% 5%  
242 0.3% 4%  
243 0.6% 4%  
244 0.2% 4%  
245 0.7% 3%  
246 0.3% 3%  
247 0.3% 2%  
248 0.4% 2%  
249 0.3% 2%  
250 0.2% 1.3%  
251 0.1% 1.2%  
252 0.1% 1.0%  
253 0.2% 0.9%  
254 0.1% 0.7%  
255 0.2% 0.7%  
256 0.1% 0.5%  
257 0.1% 0.4%  
258 0% 0.4%  
259 0.1% 0.4%  
260 0% 0.3%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0.1% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
127 0% 100%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.6%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0% 99.5%  
145 0.1% 99.5%  
146 0% 99.5%  
147 0.2% 99.4%  
148 0.1% 99.2%  
149 0.1% 99.2%  
150 0.2% 99.1%  
151 0% 98.9%  
152 0.1% 98.9%  
153 0.1% 98.8%  
154 0.1% 98.7%  
155 0.4% 98.7%  
156 0.1% 98%  
157 0.1% 98%  
158 0.1% 98%  
159 0.1% 98%  
160 0.1% 98%  
161 0.1% 98%  
162 0.2% 98%  
163 0.4% 97%  
164 0.2% 97%  
165 1.2% 97%  
166 0.2% 96%  
167 0.2% 95%  
168 0.1% 95%  
169 0.3% 95%  
170 0.2% 95%  
171 1.1% 95%  
172 0.6% 94%  
173 0.3% 93%  
174 0.8% 93%  
175 0.4% 92%  
176 0.5% 92%  
177 0.3% 91%  
178 2% 91%  
179 0.6% 89%  
180 1.4% 88%  
181 1.2% 87%  
182 0.6% 86%  
183 0.9% 85%  
184 0.8% 84%  
185 0.5% 83%  
186 0.8% 83%  
187 3% 82%  
188 0.6% 79%  
189 3% 78%  
190 0.6% 75%  
191 3% 75%  
192 2% 72%  
193 1.4% 70%  
194 2% 69%  
195 4% 67%  
196 1.2% 63%  
197 4% 62%  
198 1.4% 58%  
199 3% 57%  
200 1.4% 54%  
201 1.0% 52%  
202 2% 51% Median
203 3% 49%  
204 1.2% 46%  
205 2% 45%  
206 4% 43%  
207 4% 39%  
208 3% 35%  
209 1.1% 32%  
210 0.9% 31%  
211 1.3% 30%  
212 1.1% 29%  
213 2% 28%  
214 3% 26%  
215 3% 23%  
216 0.7% 20%  
217 1.4% 20%  
218 1.0% 18%  
219 1.0% 17%  
220 2% 16%  
221 0.9% 15%  
222 1.0% 14%  
223 2% 13%  
224 0.5% 11%  
225 1.3% 11%  
226 0.4% 9%  
227 0.6% 9%  
228 1.1% 8%  
229 1.0% 7%  
230 0.4% 6%  
231 0.4% 6%  
232 0.3% 5%  
233 0.9% 5%  
234 0.3% 4%  
235 0.3% 4%  
236 0.6% 4%  
237 0.3% 3%  
238 0.8% 3%  
239 0.2% 2%  
240 0.2% 2%  
241 0.3% 2%  
242 0.2% 1.3%  
243 0.1% 1.1%  
244 0.1% 1.0%  
245 0.2% 0.9%  
246 0.2% 0.7%  
247 0.1% 0.5%  
248 0.1% 0.4%  
249 0% 0.4%  
250 0% 0.3%  
251 0% 0.3%  
252 0% 0.3%  
253 0.1% 0.3%  
254 0.1% 0.2%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0.1%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
123 0% 100%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.8%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.7%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.7%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0.1% 99.6%  
137 0% 99.5%  
138 0% 99.5%  
139 0.1% 99.4%  
140 0.2% 99.3%  
141 0.1% 99.1%  
142 0.1% 99.0%  
143 0.1% 98.9%  
144 0.8% 98.8%  
145 0.3% 98%  
146 0.3% 98%  
147 0.1% 97%  
148 0.3% 97%  
149 0.1% 97%  
150 0.4% 97%  
151 0.1% 96%  
152 0% 96%  
153 0.1% 96%  
154 0.1% 96%  
155 0.1% 96%  
156 0.2% 96%  
157 0.3% 96%  
158 0.3% 96%  
159 0.3% 95%  
160 0.9% 95%  
161 0.6% 94%  
162 1.3% 93%  
163 2% 92%  
164 0.4% 91%  
165 1.3% 90%  
166 1.0% 89%  
167 0.8% 88%  
168 2% 87%  
169 0.4% 85%  
170 1.0% 84%  
171 2% 83%  
172 2% 82%  
173 1.2% 80%  
174 2% 78%  
175 2% 76%  
176 5% 75%  
177 4% 70%  
178 3% 66%  
179 4% 63%  
180 3% 59%  
181 3% 56%  
182 1.4% 53%  
183 4% 52% Median
184 4% 48%  
185 1.1% 44%  
186 5% 43%  
187 2% 38%  
188 4% 36%  
189 3% 32%  
190 1.2% 29%  
191 2% 28%  
192 1.4% 25%  
193 1.5% 24%  
194 0.9% 23%  
195 2% 22%  
196 1.1% 20%  
197 0.9% 19%  
198 1.4% 18%  
199 1.3% 17%  
200 0.8% 15%  
201 2% 15%  
202 1.3% 12%  
203 0.6% 11%  
204 1.0% 10%  
205 2% 9%  
206 1.0% 7%  
207 0.6% 6%  
208 1.1% 6%  
209 0.6% 5%  
210 0.3% 4%  
211 1.2% 4%  
212 0.2% 2%  
213 0.6% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.1% 1.4%  
216 0.3% 1.2%  
217 0.1% 0.9%  
218 0.1% 0.8%  
219 0.1% 0.7%  
220 0.1% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.5%  
222 0% 0.4%  
223 0.1% 0.4%  
224 0% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.3%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0.1% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.6%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.2%  
125 0.3% 99.1%  
126 0.5% 98.8%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.3% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.4% 98%  
132 0.8% 97%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.1% 96%  
135 0.1% 96%  
136 0.1% 96%  
137 0.1% 96%  
138 0.1% 96%  
139 0.1% 96%  
140 0.2% 96%  
141 0.2% 96%  
142 0.2% 96%  
143 0.2% 95%  
144 0.5% 95%  
145 0.4% 95%  
146 1.0% 94%  
147 0.5% 93%  
148 0.9% 93%  
149 1.2% 92%  
150 2% 91%  
151 1.4% 89%  
152 1.4% 88%  
153 2% 86%  
154 2% 85%  
155 0.5% 83%  
156 1.4% 83%  
157 0.3% 81%  
158 0.9% 81%  
159 1.2% 80%  
160 2% 79%  
161 2% 77%  
162 2% 75%  
163 1.3% 73%  
164 3% 72%  
165 3% 69%  
166 6% 66%  
167 2% 60%  
168 3% 58%  
169 2% 55%  
170 2% 52% Median
171 2% 50%  
172 2% 48%  
173 3% 46%  
174 2% 43%  
175 4% 41%  
176 4% 37%  
177 3% 33%  
178 2% 31%  
179 2% 29%  
180 1.3% 27%  
181 2% 26%  
182 1.2% 24%  
183 0.5% 23%  
184 0.8% 22%  
185 0.9% 22%  
186 0.8% 21%  
187 1.5% 20%  
188 2% 18%  
189 2% 17%  
190 2% 14%  
191 1.0% 12%  
192 0.9% 11%  
193 1.2% 10%  
194 0.7% 9%  
195 1.1% 8%  
196 0.3% 7%  
197 0.6% 7%  
198 0.6% 6%  
199 0.4% 6%  
200 0.8% 5%  
201 0.4% 4%  
202 0.9% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.1% 3%  
205 0.4% 2%  
206 0.5% 2%  
207 0.2% 1.5%  
208 0.1% 1.3%  
209 0.2% 1.1%  
210 0.1% 0.9%  
211 0.1% 0.8%  
212 0.1% 0.7%  
213 0.1% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.6%  
215 0.1% 0.5%  
216 0.1% 0.4%  
217 0.1% 0.4%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0.1% 0.3%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.5%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.4%  
115 0.1% 99.3%  
116 0.1% 99.2%  
117 0.1% 99.2%  
118 0.3% 99.1%  
119 0.2% 98.8%  
120 0.4% 98.6%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.4% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.3% 98%  
125 0.7% 97%  
126 0.1% 97%  
127 0.1% 96%  
128 0.1% 96%  
129 0.1% 96%  
130 0% 96%  
131 0.1% 96%  
132 0.1% 96%  
133 0.2% 96%  
134 0.2% 96%  
135 0.4% 96%  
136 0.2% 95%  
137 0.5% 95%  
138 0.5% 95%  
139 1.2% 94%  
140 0.4% 93%  
141 0.9% 93%  
142 1.4% 92%  
143 2% 90%  
144 0.6% 88%  
145 2% 88%  
146 1.2% 86%  
147 2% 85%  
148 0.7% 83%  
149 0.4% 82%  
150 2% 82%  
151 0.5% 80%  
152 1.4% 80%  
153 2% 78%  
154 2% 76%  
155 2% 74%  
156 2% 72%  
157 3% 70%  
158 3% 67%  
159 6% 64%  
160 3% 58%  
161 2% 55%  
162 3% 53%  
163 2% 51% Median
164 2% 48%  
165 4% 47%  
166 4% 43%  
167 3% 40%  
168 1.3% 37%  
169 3% 36%  
170 3% 33%  
171 3% 30%  
172 0.8% 26%  
173 1.1% 26%  
174 1.2% 25%  
175 0.9% 23%  
176 1.0% 22%  
177 1.3% 21%  
178 1.1% 20%  
179 2% 19%  
180 0.8% 17%  
181 1.2% 16%  
182 2% 15%  
183 2% 13%  
184 1.0% 11%  
185 0.6% 10%  
186 1.1% 9%  
187 0.4% 8%  
188 1.3% 8%  
189 0.6% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.3% 5%  
193 1.0% 5%  
194 0.4% 4%  
195 0.7% 3%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.6% 2%  
200 0.1% 1.1%  
201 0.2% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.1% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.1% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.4%  
208 0.1% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

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