Opinion Poll by Ipsos MORI, 8–14 May 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.3% 42.2–46.4% 41.6–47.0% 41.1–47.5% 40.1–48.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.7% 20.0–23.5% 19.5–24.0% 19.1–24.4% 18.4–25.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.9% 10.6–13.4% 10.3–13.8% 10.0–14.1% 9.4–14.9%
Green Party 2.8% 9.3% 8.2–10.7% 7.9–11.0% 7.6–11.4% 7.1–12.0%
Brexit Party 2.0% 4.3% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.2–5.8% 2.8–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.0–5.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–2.0% 0.5–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 417 391–453 382–461 374–468 362–479
Conservative Party 365 108 68–138 60–148 53–157 42–169
Liberal Democrats 11 52 40–63 37–68 36–70 29–74
Green Party 1 4 3–6 3–6 3–7 3–9
Brexit Party 0 3 0–4 0–4 0–4 0–7
Scottish National Party 48 40 29–51 25–53 22–55 17–57
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 4–6 4–7 3–9

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.6%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.1% 99.3%  
366 0.1% 99.2%  
367 0.1% 99.1%  
368 0.3% 98.9%  
369 0.2% 98.7%  
370 0.1% 98%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.2% 98%  
373 0.2% 98%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.1% 97%  
376 0.3% 97%  
377 0.3% 97%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0.3% 96%  
380 0.4% 96%  
381 0.3% 96%  
382 0.6% 95%  
383 0.3% 95%  
384 0.6% 95%  
385 0.7% 94%  
386 0.6% 93%  
387 0.6% 93%  
388 0.9% 92%  
389 0.7% 91%  
390 0.3% 90%  
391 1.1% 90%  
392 1.4% 89%  
393 0.7% 88%  
394 1.0% 87%  
395 1.3% 86%  
396 2% 85%  
397 2% 83%  
398 1.2% 81%  
399 0.9% 80%  
400 2% 79%  
401 2% 77%  
402 2% 75%  
403 1.3% 73%  
404 2% 71%  
405 1.0% 70%  
406 1.4% 69%  
407 1.5% 67%  
408 3% 66%  
409 1.4% 63%  
410 2% 62%  
411 1.3% 60%  
412 1.2% 59%  
413 3% 58%  
414 1.1% 55%  
415 2% 54%  
416 0.8% 52%  
417 2% 51% Median
418 0.9% 49%  
419 1.0% 49%  
420 0.9% 48%  
421 1.1% 47%  
422 0.7% 46%  
423 0.9% 45%  
424 0.7% 44%  
425 0.9% 43%  
426 1.0% 42%  
427 0.7% 41%  
428 0.8% 41%  
429 2% 40%  
430 1.4% 38%  
431 0.8% 37%  
432 0.9% 36%  
433 1.3% 35%  
434 0.4% 34%  
435 2% 33%  
436 2% 32%  
437 2% 30%  
438 0.9% 28%  
439 0.9% 27%  
440 1.2% 26%  
441 0.8% 25%  
442 2% 24%  
443 1.5% 22%  
444 1.0% 21%  
445 2% 20%  
446 1.2% 18%  
447 2% 17%  
448 0.7% 15%  
449 2% 14%  
450 0.5% 13%  
451 1.1% 12%  
452 0.8% 11%  
453 0.4% 10%  
454 0.5% 10%  
455 0.7% 9%  
456 1.2% 9%  
457 0.6% 8%  
458 0.7% 7%  
459 0.5% 6%  
460 0.7% 6%  
461 0.3% 5%  
462 0.4% 5%  
463 0.6% 4%  
464 0.5% 4%  
465 0.3% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.3% 3%  
468 0.2% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.4% 2%  
473 0.2% 1.4%  
474 0.2% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.0%  
476 0.1% 0.9%  
477 0.2% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.6%  
479 0.1% 0.6%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0.1% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 0.1% 99.5%  
43 0.1% 99.4%  
44 0.1% 99.3%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 0.2% 99.1%  
47 0.3% 98.9%  
48 0.2% 98.5%  
49 0.2% 98%  
50 0.1% 98%  
51 0.3% 98%  
52 0.1% 98%  
53 0.4% 98%  
54 0.2% 97%  
55 0.3% 97%  
56 0.4% 97%  
57 0.3% 96%  
58 0.4% 96%  
59 0.5% 96%  
60 0.7% 95%  
61 0.4% 94%  
62 0.3% 94%  
63 0.7% 94%  
64 0.6% 93%  
65 0.8% 92%  
66 0.4% 91%  
67 0.6% 91%  
68 0.7% 90%  
69 0.6% 90%  
70 0.7% 89%  
71 0.8% 88%  
72 1.0% 88%  
73 1.1% 87%  
74 2% 86%  
75 1.0% 84%  
76 1.4% 83%  
77 1.5% 82%  
78 2% 80%  
79 0.7% 78%  
80 0.9% 78%  
81 2% 77%  
82 1.0% 75%  
83 1.2% 74%  
84 2% 73%  
85 0.7% 72%  
86 2% 71%  
87 1.4% 69%  
88 0.7% 68%  
89 0.7% 67%  
90 2% 67%  
91 1.2% 65%  
92 0.9% 64%  
93 0.8% 63%  
94 0.5% 62%  
95 1.0% 61%  
96 0.8% 60%  
97 2% 60%  
98 0.5% 58%  
99 0.6% 57%  
100 0.7% 57%  
101 0.5% 56%  
102 0.4% 55%  
103 1.2% 55%  
104 2% 54%  
105 0.8% 52%  
106 0.4% 51%  
107 0.7% 51%  
108 2% 50% Median
109 0.5% 48%  
110 0.9% 48%  
111 1.0% 47%  
112 4% 46%  
113 1.0% 42%  
114 1.1% 41%  
115 0.7% 40%  
116 1.4% 39%  
117 1.1% 38%  
118 1.3% 37%  
119 1.2% 36%  
120 3% 34%  
121 1.2% 31%  
122 2% 30%  
123 1.2% 28%  
124 1.1% 27%  
125 2% 26%  
126 1.5% 24%  
127 2% 22%  
128 1.3% 20%  
129 0.9% 19%  
130 0.7% 18%  
131 1.2% 17%  
132 0.8% 16%  
133 0.9% 15%  
134 1.5% 14%  
135 1.1% 13%  
136 1.3% 12%  
137 0.3% 10%  
138 0.3% 10%  
139 0.7% 10%  
140 0.4% 9%  
141 0.6% 9%  
142 0.8% 8%  
143 0.5% 7%  
144 0.3% 7%  
145 0.4% 6%  
146 0.5% 6%  
147 0.4% 6%  
148 0.2% 5%  
149 0.6% 5%  
150 0.2% 4%  
151 0.3% 4%  
152 0.3% 4%  
153 0.2% 4%  
154 0.4% 3%  
155 0.3% 3%  
156 0.3% 3%  
157 0.2% 3%  
158 0.1% 2%  
159 0.2% 2%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.2% 1.4%  
163 0.2% 1.3%  
164 0.1% 1.1%  
165 0.1% 1.0%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.6%  
170 0.1% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.9%  
26 0% 99.9%  
27 0.1% 99.8%  
28 0.1% 99.7%  
29 0.2% 99.6%  
30 0.2% 99.4%  
31 0.2% 99.2%  
32 0.3% 99.0%  
33 0.2% 98.7%  
34 0.4% 98%  
35 0.6% 98%  
36 0.9% 98%  
37 2% 97%  
38 2% 94%  
39 2% 92%  
40 2% 91%  
41 2% 89%  
42 3% 87%  
43 3% 84%  
44 3% 82%  
45 2% 79%  
46 3% 77%  
47 4% 74%  
48 2% 71%  
49 2% 68%  
50 5% 67%  
51 9% 61%  
52 10% 53% Median
53 3% 43%  
54 3% 39%  
55 4% 36%  
56 1.4% 32%  
57 3% 30%  
58 1.2% 27%  
59 5% 26%  
60 4% 21%  
61 2% 17%  
62 2% 15%  
63 3% 13%  
64 0.6% 10%  
65 2% 9%  
66 1.5% 8%  
67 0.5% 6%  
68 1.0% 6%  
69 0.9% 5%  
70 1.4% 4%  
71 0.4% 2%  
72 0.8% 2%  
73 0.6% 1.3%  
74 0.2% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.4%  
76 0.1% 0.2%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 30% 100%  
4 22% 70% Median
5 38% 48%  
6 6% 11%  
7 3% 5%  
8 0.8% 1.3%  
9 0.5% 0.5%  
10 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 3% 88%  
2 17% 85%  
3 56% 68% Median
4 10% 12%  
5 0.8% 2%  
6 0.2% 0.8%  
7 0.2% 0.5%  
8 0% 0.4%  
9 0% 0.4%  
10 0.1% 0.3%  
11 0.1% 0.3%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 0.1% 99.8%  
17 0.2% 99.7%  
18 0.3% 99.5%  
19 0.2% 99.2%  
20 0.5% 99.0%  
21 0.9% 98%  
22 1.0% 98%  
23 0.5% 97%  
24 0.5% 96%  
25 2% 96%  
26 0.9% 94%  
27 2% 93%  
28 0.5% 91%  
29 2% 91%  
30 0.8% 89%  
31 0.1% 88%  
32 4% 88%  
33 0.2% 84%  
34 11% 84%  
35 0.1% 73%  
36 10% 73%  
37 0.2% 63%  
38 11% 63%  
39 1.4% 52%  
40 4% 50% Median
41 14% 46%  
42 1.3% 32%  
43 6% 31%  
44 0.9% 25%  
45 2% 24%  
46 1.3% 22%  
47 0.9% 21%  
48 3% 20% Last Result
49 3% 16%  
50 3% 13%  
51 2% 11%  
52 2% 9%  
53 2% 7%  
54 1.4% 5%  
55 2% 3%  
56 0.9% 2%  
57 0.5% 0.8%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 1.1% 99.9%  
4 6% 98.8% Last Result
5 76% 93% Median
6 12% 17%  
7 4% 4%  
8 0% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.5%  
10 0.4% 0.5%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 518 100% 489–558 478–566 471–573 458–584
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 514 100% 485–553 475–561 466–568 454–579
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 509 100% 479–548 469–556 461–563 449–574
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 474 100% 443–515 431–524 423–534 409–545
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 469 100% 438–510 425–519 418–528 404–540
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 461 100% 439–494 431–504 422–509 413–516
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 456 100% 433–489 425–499 417–504 407–511
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 422 100% 396–458 388–466 380–473 367–484
Labour Party 202 417 100% 391–453 382–461 374–468 362–479
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 152 0% 111–184 102–197 93–205 81–219
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 159 0% 127–184 118–191 112–201 105–210
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 147 0% 106–179 97–192 88–200 76–213
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 113 0% 73–143 65–154 58–162 46–175
Conservative Party 365 108 0% 68–138 60–148 53–157 42–169

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0.1% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.7%  
455 0% 99.7%  
456 0.1% 99.7%  
457 0.1% 99.6%  
458 0.1% 99.5%  
459 0.1% 99.4%  
460 0.1% 99.3%  
461 0.2% 99.3%  
462 0.1% 99.1%  
463 0.1% 99.0%  
464 0.2% 99.0%  
465 0.1% 98.7%  
466 0.3% 98.6%  
467 0.2% 98%  
468 0.2% 98%  
469 0.1% 98%  
470 0.2% 98%  
471 0.3% 98%  
472 0.3% 97%  
473 0.5% 97%  
474 0.2% 96%  
475 0.2% 96%  
476 0.3% 96%  
477 0.3% 96%  
478 0.5% 95%  
479 0.2% 95%  
480 0.3% 95%  
481 0.7% 94%  
482 0.4% 94%  
483 0.4% 93%  
484 0.8% 93%  
485 0.5% 92%  
486 0.4% 92%  
487 0.7% 91%  
488 0.4% 90%  
489 1.1% 90%  
490 1.0% 89%  
491 1.2% 88%  
492 2% 87%  
493 0.7% 85%  
494 1.1% 85%  
495 0.9% 84%  
496 1.1% 83%  
497 1.4% 82%  
498 2% 80%  
499 2% 79%  
500 2% 77%  
501 2% 75%  
502 1.2% 73%  
503 1.3% 72%  
504 2% 71%  
505 3% 69%  
506 2% 67%  
507 1.2% 64%  
508 0.8% 63%  
509 0.6% 62%  
510 1.5% 62%  
511 2% 60%  
512 1.0% 59%  
513 3% 58%  
514 1.0% 54%  
515 0.3% 53%  
516 1.1% 53%  
517 1.4% 52%  
518 0.9% 51% Median
519 1.1% 50%  
520 0.6% 49%  
521 1.4% 48%  
522 1.2% 47%  
523 0.5% 45%  
524 0.7% 45%  
525 0.4% 44%  
526 0.7% 44%  
527 0.6% 43%  
528 2% 43%  
529 0.8% 41%  
530 1.1% 40%  
531 0.3% 39%  
532 0.9% 39%  
533 0.7% 38%  
534 1.1% 37%  
535 1.2% 36%  
536 2% 35%  
537 0.8% 33%  
538 1.2% 32%  
539 0.8% 31%  
540 0.9% 30%  
541 2% 29%  
542 2% 28%  
543 1.0% 26%  
544 1.1% 25%  
545 1.2% 24%  
546 0.9% 23%  
547 1.1% 22%  
548 2% 21%  
549 0.6% 19%  
550 1.1% 18%  
551 2% 17%  
552 2% 15%  
553 0.8% 14%  
554 0.7% 13%  
555 0.6% 12%  
556 0.6% 12%  
557 0.8% 11%  
558 0.9% 10%  
559 0.6% 9%  
560 0.9% 9%  
561 0.4% 8%  
562 0.6% 7%  
563 0.4% 7%  
564 0.5% 6%  
565 0.6% 6%  
566 0.6% 5%  
567 0.3% 5%  
568 0.4% 4%  
569 0.2% 4%  
570 0.4% 4%  
571 0.3% 3%  
572 0.5% 3%  
573 0.2% 3%  
574 0.3% 2%  
575 0.1% 2%  
576 0.2% 2%  
577 0.2% 2%  
578 0.3% 2%  
579 0.2% 1.3%  
580 0.1% 1.1%  
581 0.2% 1.0%  
582 0.1% 0.8%  
583 0.1% 0.7%  
584 0.1% 0.6%  
585 0.1% 0.5%  
586 0.1% 0.4%  
587 0.1% 0.3%  
588 0% 0.2%  
589 0% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.2%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0.1% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.8%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.7%  
451 0% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.1% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.1% 99.4%  
456 0.1% 99.3%  
457 0.1% 99.2%  
458 0.1% 99.1%  
459 0.1% 99.1%  
460 0.2% 98.9%  
461 0.1% 98.7%  
462 0.3% 98.6%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.2% 98%  
465 0.2% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.3% 97%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.3% 97%  
470 0.3% 97%  
471 0.4% 96%  
472 0.2% 96%  
473 0.2% 96%  
474 0.3% 95%  
475 0.4% 95%  
476 0.5% 95%  
477 0.3% 94%  
478 0.7% 94%  
479 0.6% 93%  
480 0.4% 93%  
481 0.6% 92%  
482 0.5% 92%  
483 0.6% 91%  
484 0.6% 91%  
485 2% 90%  
486 1.0% 88%  
487 0.9% 88%  
488 1.4% 87%  
489 0.8% 85%  
490 0.7% 84%  
491 1.0% 84%  
492 1.0% 83%  
493 2% 82%  
494 2% 80%  
495 2% 78%  
496 2% 76%  
497 1.1% 74%  
498 0.7% 73%  
499 1.4% 72%  
500 3% 71%  
501 2% 68%  
502 2% 66%  
503 2% 64%  
504 1.0% 63%  
505 0.9% 62%  
506 0.5% 61%  
507 2% 61%  
508 4% 59%  
509 0.9% 55%  
510 0.7% 54%  
511 1.0% 53%  
512 1.0% 52%  
513 0.8% 51%  
514 1.1% 51% Median
515 0.9% 49%  
516 1.4% 49%  
517 1.0% 47%  
518 0.4% 46%  
519 0.8% 46%  
520 1.0% 45%  
521 0.5% 44%  
522 0.5% 44%  
523 2% 43%  
524 1.4% 41%  
525 0.4% 40%  
526 0.6% 39%  
527 0.6% 39%  
528 0.8% 38%  
529 0.9% 37%  
530 1.5% 37%  
531 1.1% 35%  
532 1.2% 34%  
533 1.1% 33%  
534 0.8% 32%  
535 0.4% 31%  
536 1.1% 30%  
537 2% 29%  
538 2% 28%  
539 1.0% 26%  
540 2% 25%  
541 1.1% 23%  
542 1.0% 22%  
543 0.9% 21%  
544 2% 20%  
545 0.9% 19%  
546 2% 18%  
547 1.0% 16%  
548 1.4% 15%  
549 0.7% 13%  
550 0.8% 13%  
551 0.4% 12%  
552 1.3% 11%  
553 0.7% 10%  
554 0.7% 9%  
555 0.8% 9%  
556 0.4% 8%  
557 0.3% 7%  
558 0.7% 7%  
559 0.5% 7%  
560 0.6% 6%  
561 0.7% 5%  
562 0.3% 5%  
563 0.3% 4%  
564 0.3% 4%  
565 0.3% 4%  
566 0.4% 4%  
567 0.3% 3%  
568 0.5% 3%  
569 0.4% 2%  
570 0.1% 2%  
571 0.1% 2%  
572 0.1% 2%  
573 0.2% 2%  
574 0.3% 2%  
575 0.3% 1.2%  
576 0.1% 0.9%  
577 0.2% 0.9%  
578 0.1% 0.7%  
579 0.1% 0.6%  
580 0.1% 0.4%  
581 0% 0.4%  
582 0.1% 0.3%  
583 0% 0.2%  
584 0% 0.2%  
585 0% 0.2%  
586 0.1% 0.1%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0% 99.8%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0% 99.8%  
445 0% 99.7%  
446 0% 99.7%  
447 0.1% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.6%  
449 0.1% 99.5%  
450 0.1% 99.4%  
451 0.1% 99.3%  
452 0.1% 99.2%  
453 0.1% 99.1%  
454 0.2% 99.0%  
455 0.1% 98.9%  
456 0.1% 98.7%  
457 0.3% 98.6%  
458 0.2% 98%  
459 0.2% 98%  
460 0.2% 98%  
461 0.3% 98%  
462 0.3% 97%  
463 0.3% 97%  
464 0.3% 97%  
465 0.3% 96%  
466 0.4% 96%  
467 0.3% 96%  
468 0.2% 96%  
469 0.4% 95%  
470 0.4% 95%  
471 0.4% 95%  
472 0.3% 94%  
473 0.7% 94%  
474 0.6% 93%  
475 0.5% 93%  
476 0.5% 92%  
477 0.6% 92%  
478 0.5% 91%  
479 1.0% 91%  
480 1.2% 90%  
481 1.0% 88%  
482 0.9% 87%  
483 1.2% 86%  
484 0.8% 85%  
485 0.9% 84%  
486 0.8% 83%  
487 1.3% 83%  
488 2% 81%  
489 1.2% 80%  
490 3% 78%  
491 2% 76%  
492 1.1% 74%  
493 1.1% 73%  
494 1.3% 72%  
495 3% 71%  
496 2% 68%  
497 1.5% 66%  
498 1.4% 64%  
499 1.1% 63%  
500 1.0% 62%  
501 0.9% 61%  
502 1.1% 60%  
503 4% 59%  
504 0.8% 55%  
505 0.8% 54%  
506 1.2% 53%  
507 1.0% 52%  
508 0.8% 51%  
509 1.1% 50% Median
510 0.7% 49%  
511 2% 49%  
512 0.7% 47%  
513 0.6% 46%  
514 0.9% 46%  
515 0.6% 45%  
516 0.6% 44%  
517 0.4% 43%  
518 2% 43%  
519 1.3% 41%  
520 0.3% 40%  
521 0.6% 39%  
522 0.9% 39%  
523 0.5% 38%  
524 0.9% 37%  
525 1.4% 36%  
526 1.1% 35%  
527 1.3% 34%  
528 1.1% 33%  
529 0.7% 32%  
530 0.5% 31%  
531 1.5% 30%  
532 1.1% 29%  
533 2% 28%  
534 0.9% 26%  
535 2% 25%  
536 1.1% 23%  
537 1.1% 22%  
538 0.9% 21%  
539 2% 20%  
540 1.3% 19%  
541 2% 17%  
542 0.9% 15%  
543 1.4% 15%  
544 0.8% 13%  
545 0.7% 12%  
546 0.4% 12%  
547 1.2% 11%  
548 0.7% 10%  
549 0.7% 9%  
550 0.8% 9%  
551 0.5% 8%  
552 0.4% 7%  
553 0.5% 7%  
554 0.5% 6%  
555 0.6% 6%  
556 0.6% 5%  
557 0.4% 5%  
558 0.3% 4%  
559 0.2% 4%  
560 0.4% 4%  
561 0.3% 4%  
562 0.3% 3%  
563 0.5% 3%  
564 0.4% 2%  
565 0.1% 2%  
566 0.1% 2%  
567 0.2% 2%  
568 0.1% 2%  
569 0.3% 1.5%  
570 0.2% 1.2%  
571 0.1% 0.9%  
572 0.2% 0.9%  
573 0.1% 0.7%  
574 0.1% 0.6%  
575 0.1% 0.4%  
576 0% 0.4%  
577 0.1% 0.3%  
578 0.1% 0.2%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0.1% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.2%  
414 0.1% 99.2%  
415 0.1% 99.0%  
416 0.1% 98.9%  
417 0.2% 98.8%  
418 0.3% 98.7%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.1% 98%  
424 0.4% 97%  
425 0.3% 97%  
426 0.5% 97%  
427 0.2% 96%  
428 0.2% 96%  
429 0.4% 96%  
430 0.3% 95%  
431 0.2% 95%  
432 0.4% 95%  
433 0.4% 94%  
434 0.3% 94%  
435 0.2% 94%  
436 0.2% 94%  
437 0.6% 93%  
438 0.6% 93%  
439 0.5% 92%  
440 0.6% 92%  
441 0.3% 91%  
442 0.6% 91%  
443 1.1% 90%  
444 0.5% 89%  
445 1.1% 89%  
446 0.9% 88%  
447 2% 87%  
448 1.1% 85%  
449 0.6% 84%  
450 0.9% 83%  
451 0.5% 82%  
452 2% 82%  
453 1.2% 80%  
454 2% 79%  
455 2% 77%  
456 0.8% 75%  
457 1.0% 74%  
458 2% 74%  
459 2% 72%  
460 2% 70%  
461 1.2% 68%  
462 0.8% 67%  
463 2% 66%  
464 3% 64%  
465 1.4% 62%  
466 1.1% 60%  
467 1.3% 59%  
468 2% 58%  
469 1.0% 56%  
470 2% 55%  
471 0.8% 53%  
472 0.9% 52%  
473 0.6% 51%  
474 0.7% 51% Median
475 0.9% 50%  
476 0.7% 49%  
477 1.2% 48%  
478 1.2% 47%  
479 0.4% 46%  
480 0.5% 46%  
481 0.3% 45%  
482 2% 45%  
483 1.3% 43%  
484 0.4% 42%  
485 0.3% 41%  
486 0.9% 41%  
487 0.7% 40%  
488 0.7% 40%  
489 1.0% 39%  
490 1.1% 38%  
491 0.7% 37%  
492 1.0% 36%  
493 1.1% 35%  
494 2% 34%  
495 1.2% 32%  
496 0.7% 31%  
497 1.0% 30%  
498 0.7% 29%  
499 1.3% 28%  
500 1.1% 27%  
501 1.4% 26%  
502 1.5% 25%  
503 1.3% 23%  
504 1.4% 22%  
505 0.6% 21%  
506 1.0% 20%  
507 1.4% 19%  
508 1.0% 18%  
509 1.2% 17%  
510 0.9% 15%  
511 0.8% 15%  
512 1.4% 14%  
513 0.4% 12%  
514 2% 12%  
515 0.8% 10%  
516 0.7% 10%  
517 0.5% 9%  
518 0.6% 8%  
519 0.4% 8%  
520 0.6% 7%  
521 0.7% 7%  
522 0.6% 6%  
523 0.2% 6%  
524 0.3% 5%  
525 0.3% 5%  
526 0.4% 5%  
527 0.4% 4%  
528 0.4% 4%  
529 0.1% 4%  
530 0.2% 3%  
531 0.1% 3%  
532 0.3% 3%  
533 0.4% 3%  
534 0.4% 3%  
535 0.2% 2%  
536 0.1% 2%  
537 0.2% 2%  
538 0.2% 2%  
539 0.1% 1.4%  
540 0.1% 1.3%  
541 0.2% 1.2%  
542 0.1% 1.0%  
543 0.2% 0.9%  
544 0.1% 0.7%  
545 0.1% 0.6%  
546 0.1% 0.5%  
547 0.1% 0.4%  
548 0% 0.3%  
549 0% 0.3%  
550 0.1% 0.3%  
551 0% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.7%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0% 99.5%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0.1% 99.4%  
407 0.1% 99.3%  
408 0.1% 99.2%  
409 0.1% 99.1%  
410 0.1% 99.0%  
411 0.1% 98.9%  
412 0.2% 98.8%  
413 0.3% 98.6%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.1% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.4% 97%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.5% 97%  
422 0.3% 96%  
423 0.2% 96%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.3% 95%  
426 0.3% 95%  
427 0.3% 95%  
428 0.5% 94%  
429 0.3% 94%  
430 0.3% 94%  
431 0.1% 93%  
432 0.6% 93%  
433 0.5% 93%  
434 0.5% 92%  
435 0.5% 92%  
436 0.4% 91%  
437 0.4% 91%  
438 1.1% 90%  
439 0.9% 89%  
440 0.7% 88%  
441 0.9% 88%  
442 2% 87%  
443 1.1% 85%  
444 0.6% 84%  
445 0.8% 83%  
446 0.7% 82%  
447 2% 81%  
448 1.0% 80%  
449 2% 79%  
450 2% 77%  
451 0.8% 75%  
452 1.3% 74%  
453 1.5% 73%  
454 2% 72%  
455 2% 70%  
456 1.3% 68%  
457 1.0% 67%  
458 1.3% 66%  
459 3% 64%  
460 2% 62%  
461 0.5% 60%  
462 1.3% 59%  
463 2% 58%  
464 1.1% 56%  
465 3% 55%  
466 0.7% 52%  
467 0.9% 52%  
468 0.4% 51%  
469 0.6% 50% Median
470 1.0% 50%  
471 0.5% 49%  
472 1.4% 48%  
473 1.0% 47%  
474 0.4% 46%  
475 0.5% 45%  
476 0.3% 45%  
477 2% 45%  
478 1.1% 43%  
479 0.2% 42%  
480 0.8% 42%  
481 0.6% 41%  
482 0.6% 40%  
483 0.4% 40%  
484 1.2% 39%  
485 0.7% 38%  
486 1.0% 37%  
487 1.0% 36%  
488 1.0% 35%  
489 2% 34%  
490 1.3% 32%  
491 0.7% 31%  
492 0.7% 30%  
493 0.9% 29%  
494 1.3% 28%  
495 1.3% 27%  
496 1.1% 26%  
497 2% 25%  
498 1.1% 23%  
499 2% 22%  
500 0.8% 21%  
501 0.9% 20%  
502 1.4% 19%  
503 0.8% 17%  
504 1.4% 17%  
505 1.0% 15%  
506 0.9% 14%  
507 1.1% 13%  
508 0.5% 12%  
509 1.5% 12%  
510 0.8% 10%  
511 0.7% 10%  
512 0.5% 9%  
513 0.6% 8%  
514 0.4% 8%  
515 0.6% 7%  
516 0.6% 7%  
517 0.6% 6%  
518 0.3% 5%  
519 0.3% 5%  
520 0.3% 5%  
521 0.3% 5%  
522 0.4% 4%  
523 0.3% 4%  
524 0.2% 4%  
525 0.1% 3%  
526 0.2% 3%  
527 0.2% 3%  
528 0.5% 3%  
529 0.5% 2%  
530 0.1% 2%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.1% 1.4%  
535 0.1% 1.3%  
536 0.2% 1.2%  
537 0.1% 1.0%  
538 0.2% 0.9%  
539 0.1% 0.7%  
540 0.1% 0.6%  
541 0.1% 0.5%  
542 0.1% 0.4%  
543 0% 0.3%  
544 0% 0.3%  
545 0.1% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.2% 99.5%  
414 0.1% 99.4%  
415 0.1% 99.3%  
416 0.2% 99.1%  
417 0.1% 99.0%  
418 0.2% 98.8%  
419 0.3% 98.6%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.3% 98%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.2% 97%  
424 0.4% 97%  
425 0.3% 97%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.2% 96%  
428 0.3% 96%  
429 0.2% 96%  
430 0.3% 96%  
431 0.6% 95%  
432 0.6% 95%  
433 0.4% 94%  
434 0.6% 94%  
435 0.5% 93%  
436 0.8% 93%  
437 0.6% 92%  
438 1.0% 91%  
439 1.4% 90%  
440 1.1% 89%  
441 2% 88%  
442 3% 86%  
443 3% 83%  
444 1.4% 81%  
445 1.3% 79%  
446 1.4% 78%  
447 3% 76%  
448 1.5% 74%  
449 2% 72%  
450 1.1% 70%  
451 1.4% 69%  
452 2% 68%  
453 2% 66%  
454 1.5% 64%  
455 1.1% 63%  
456 4% 62%  
457 2% 58%  
458 2% 56%  
459 1.0% 55%  
460 1.0% 54%  
461 3% 53%  
462 1.4% 50% Median
463 2% 49%  
464 2% 47%  
465 1.2% 45%  
466 0.8% 44%  
467 0.2% 43%  
468 0.4% 43%  
469 0.4% 42%  
470 0.5% 42%  
471 1.1% 41%  
472 0.5% 40%  
473 0.5% 40%  
474 2% 39%  
475 1.1% 37%  
476 1.2% 36%  
477 1.0% 35%  
478 2% 34%  
479 1.0% 32%  
480 1.0% 31%  
481 2% 31%  
482 2% 29%  
483 1.1% 27%  
484 1.1% 26%  
485 2% 25%  
486 4% 23%  
487 0.6% 19%  
488 1.3% 19%  
489 0.9% 17%  
490 2% 16%  
491 0.9% 15%  
492 2% 14%  
493 1.3% 12%  
494 0.9% 11%  
495 0.8% 10%  
496 0.3% 9%  
497 0.7% 9%  
498 0.6% 8%  
499 0.3% 7%  
500 0.4% 7%  
501 0.5% 7%  
502 0.4% 6%  
503 0.4% 6%  
504 0.7% 5%  
505 0.6% 5%  
506 0.5% 4%  
507 0.6% 4%  
508 0.3% 3%  
509 0.3% 3%  
510 0.5% 2%  
511 0.5% 2%  
512 0.2% 1.4%  
513 0.2% 1.1%  
514 0.2% 0.9%  
515 0.1% 0.7%  
516 0.1% 0.6%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0.1% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.2%  
521 0.1% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.6%  
407 0.1% 99.5%  
408 0.2% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.3%  
410 0.1% 99.2%  
411 0.2% 99.1%  
412 0.2% 98.9%  
413 0.1% 98.7%  
414 0.4% 98.6%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.3% 98%  
417 0.4% 98%  
418 0.2% 97%  
419 0.4% 97%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.2% 96%  
422 0.2% 96%  
423 0.3% 96%  
424 0.2% 96%  
425 0.5% 96%  
426 0.5% 95%  
427 0.5% 94%  
428 0.3% 94%  
429 0.5% 94%  
430 0.6% 93%  
431 0.7% 92%  
432 0.7% 92%  
433 1.1% 91%  
434 1.4% 90%  
435 1.1% 89%  
436 2% 87%  
437 2% 86%  
438 3% 83%  
439 2% 80%  
440 2% 79%  
441 1.3% 77%  
442 2% 76%  
443 2% 74%  
444 2% 72%  
445 1.2% 70%  
446 2% 69%  
447 1.3% 67%  
448 2% 66%  
449 1.5% 64%  
450 1.2% 63%  
451 4% 62%  
452 2% 58%  
453 2% 56%  
454 0.9% 54%  
455 0.9% 53%  
456 3% 52%  
457 1.3% 50% Median
458 2% 49%  
459 2% 47%  
460 1.1% 45%  
461 0.6% 43%  
462 0.3% 43%  
463 0.3% 43%  
464 0.3% 42%  
465 0.5% 42%  
466 0.8% 41%  
467 0.8% 40%  
468 0.4% 40%  
469 2% 39%  
470 0.8% 37%  
471 1.2% 36%  
472 2% 35%  
473 2% 34%  
474 0.9% 32%  
475 0.5% 31%  
476 2% 31%  
477 2% 28%  
478 1.2% 27%  
479 1.1% 26%  
480 2% 25%  
481 3% 23%  
482 0.7% 19%  
483 1.4% 19%  
484 0.9% 17%  
485 2% 16%  
486 1.1% 15%  
487 2% 14%  
488 1.4% 12%  
489 0.7% 10%  
490 0.7% 10%  
491 0.4% 9%  
492 0.7% 9%  
493 0.5% 8%  
494 0.4% 7%  
495 0.5% 7%  
496 0.5% 7%  
497 0.4% 6%  
498 0.4% 6%  
499 0.6% 5%  
500 0.6% 5%  
501 0.5% 4%  
502 0.6% 4%  
503 0.3% 3%  
504 0.3% 3%  
505 0.4% 2%  
506 0.5% 2%  
507 0.2% 1.3%  
508 0.2% 1.1%  
509 0.2% 0.9%  
510 0.1% 0.7%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.4%  
513 0.1% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.3%  
515 0.1% 0.2%  
516 0.1% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.8%  
364 0.1% 99.8%  
365 0.1% 99.7%  
366 0% 99.7%  
367 0.1% 99.6%  
368 0.1% 99.5%  
369 0.1% 99.4%  
370 0.1% 99.3%  
371 0.1% 99.2%  
372 0.1% 99.1%  
373 0.3% 99.0%  
374 0.1% 98.7%  
375 0.2% 98.6%  
376 0.1% 98%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.1% 98%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.3% 97%  
383 0.4% 97%  
384 0.3% 96%  
385 0.3% 96%  
386 0.4% 96%  
387 0.5% 96%  
388 0.4% 95%  
389 0.5% 95%  
390 0.7% 94%  
391 0.7% 93%  
392 0.4% 93%  
393 1.1% 92%  
394 0.8% 91%  
395 0.3% 91%  
396 1.0% 90%  
397 1.4% 89%  
398 0.6% 88%  
399 1.0% 87%  
400 2% 86%  
401 1.2% 85%  
402 2% 83%  
403 1.4% 81%  
404 0.8% 80%  
405 2% 79%  
406 2% 77%  
407 2% 75%  
408 1.4% 73%  
409 1.4% 71%  
410 1.1% 70%  
411 1.4% 69%  
412 0.9% 68%  
413 3% 67%  
414 1.3% 64%  
415 1.3% 62%  
416 2% 61%  
417 1.2% 59%  
418 3% 58%  
419 1.1% 55%  
420 2% 54%  
421 0.8% 52%  
422 2% 51% Median
423 0.9% 50%  
424 1.0% 49%  
425 0.9% 48%  
426 1.0% 47%  
427 0.5% 46%  
428 1.0% 45%  
429 1.0% 44%  
430 0.9% 43%  
431 1.0% 42%  
432 0.6% 41%  
433 1.0% 41%  
434 1.2% 40%  
435 2% 38%  
436 0.6% 37%  
437 1.0% 36%  
438 1.2% 35%  
439 1.0% 34%  
440 1.5% 33%  
441 2% 32%  
442 2% 30%  
443 1.0% 28%  
444 0.8% 27%  
445 1.3% 26%  
446 0.9% 25%  
447 2% 24%  
448 1.3% 22%  
449 1.2% 21%  
450 2% 20%  
451 0.9% 18%  
452 2% 17%  
453 0.8% 15%  
454 2% 14%  
455 0.5% 13%  
456 1.1% 12%  
457 1.0% 11%  
458 0.4% 10%  
459 0.5% 10%  
460 0.7% 10%  
461 1.4% 9%  
462 0.4% 7%  
463 0.6% 7%  
464 0.5% 6%  
465 0.6% 6%  
466 0.3% 5%  
467 0.4% 5%  
468 0.5% 5%  
469 0.7% 4%  
470 0.3% 3%  
471 0.2% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.2% 3%  
474 0.3% 2%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.2% 1.4%  
479 0.2% 1.2%  
480 0.1% 1.0%  
481 0.1% 0.9%  
482 0.2% 0.8%  
483 0.1% 0.6%  
484 0.1% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.3%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.6%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.1% 99.3%  
366 0.1% 99.2%  
367 0.1% 99.1%  
368 0.3% 98.9%  
369 0.2% 98.7%  
370 0.1% 98%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.2% 98%  
373 0.2% 98%  
374 0.4% 98%  
375 0.1% 97%  
376 0.3% 97%  
377 0.3% 97%  
378 0.4% 97%  
379 0.3% 96%  
380 0.4% 96%  
381 0.3% 96%  
382 0.6% 95%  
383 0.3% 95%  
384 0.6% 95%  
385 0.7% 94%  
386 0.6% 93%  
387 0.6% 93%  
388 0.9% 92%  
389 0.7% 91%  
390 0.3% 90%  
391 1.1% 90%  
392 1.4% 89%  
393 0.7% 88%  
394 1.0% 87%  
395 1.3% 86%  
396 2% 85%  
397 2% 83%  
398 1.2% 81%  
399 0.9% 80%  
400 2% 79%  
401 2% 77%  
402 2% 75%  
403 1.3% 73%  
404 2% 71%  
405 1.0% 70%  
406 1.4% 69%  
407 1.5% 67%  
408 3% 66%  
409 1.4% 63%  
410 2% 62%  
411 1.3% 60%  
412 1.2% 59%  
413 3% 58%  
414 1.1% 55%  
415 2% 54%  
416 0.8% 52%  
417 2% 51% Median
418 0.9% 49%  
419 1.0% 49%  
420 0.9% 48%  
421 1.1% 47%  
422 0.7% 46%  
423 0.9% 45%  
424 0.7% 44%  
425 0.9% 43%  
426 1.0% 42%  
427 0.7% 41%  
428 0.8% 41%  
429 2% 40%  
430 1.4% 38%  
431 0.8% 37%  
432 0.9% 36%  
433 1.3% 35%  
434 0.4% 34%  
435 2% 33%  
436 2% 32%  
437 2% 30%  
438 0.9% 28%  
439 0.9% 27%  
440 1.2% 26%  
441 0.8% 25%  
442 2% 24%  
443 1.5% 22%  
444 1.0% 21%  
445 2% 20%  
446 1.2% 18%  
447 2% 17%  
448 0.7% 15%  
449 2% 14%  
450 0.5% 13%  
451 1.1% 12%  
452 0.8% 11%  
453 0.4% 10%  
454 0.5% 10%  
455 0.7% 9%  
456 1.2% 9%  
457 0.6% 8%  
458 0.7% 7%  
459 0.5% 6%  
460 0.7% 6%  
461 0.3% 5%  
462 0.4% 5%  
463 0.6% 4%  
464 0.5% 4%  
465 0.3% 3%  
466 0.2% 3%  
467 0.3% 3%  
468 0.2% 3%  
469 0.3% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.2% 2%  
472 0.4% 2%  
473 0.2% 1.4%  
474 0.2% 1.2%  
475 0.1% 1.0%  
476 0.1% 0.9%  
477 0.2% 0.8%  
478 0.1% 0.6%  
479 0.1% 0.6%  
480 0.1% 0.5%  
481 0.1% 0.3%  
482 0.1% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.2% 99.4%  
83 0.2% 99.3%  
84 0.1% 99.1%  
85 0.2% 99.0%  
86 0.2% 98.8%  
87 0.1% 98.7%  
88 0.2% 98.5%  
89 0.1% 98%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.1% 98%  
92 0.3% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.2% 97%  
95 0.3% 97%  
96 0.2% 97%  
97 0.4% 97%  
98 0.3% 96%  
99 0.2% 96%  
100 0.3% 96%  
101 0.1% 95%  
102 0.3% 95%  
103 0.5% 95%  
104 0.9% 94%  
105 0.6% 94%  
106 0.4% 93%  
107 0.3% 93%  
108 0.7% 92%  
109 0.5% 92%  
110 0.6% 91%  
111 2% 91%  
112 0.8% 89%  
113 0.9% 88%  
114 0.6% 87%  
115 1.0% 87%  
116 0.9% 86%  
117 0.8% 85%  
118 1.0% 84%  
119 1.4% 83%  
120 1.2% 82%  
121 1.5% 80%  
122 0.5% 79%  
123 2% 79%  
124 1.1% 77%  
125 1.3% 76%  
126 2% 74%  
127 1.3% 73%  
128 0.5% 71%  
129 0.4% 71%  
130 1.1% 70%  
131 2% 69%  
132 0.9% 67%  
133 1.0% 66%  
134 0.9% 65%  
135 1.1% 64%  
136 0.7% 63%  
137 1.1% 62%  
138 0.6% 61%  
139 0.5% 61%  
140 0.9% 60%  
141 1.0% 59%  
142 0.2% 58%  
143 2% 58%  
144 0.6% 56%  
145 0.5% 56%  
146 0.3% 55%  
147 0.5% 55%  
148 1.0% 54%  
149 1.2% 53%  
150 0.5% 52%  
151 1.4% 52%  
152 0.5% 50%  
153 0.8% 50% Median
154 0.4% 49%  
155 3% 49%  
156 0.9% 46%  
157 2% 45%  
158 0.6% 43%  
159 1.3% 42%  
160 1.3% 41%  
161 1.4% 40%  
162 3% 38%  
163 0.7% 36%  
164 1.2% 35%  
165 1.4% 34%  
166 1.4% 33%  
167 1.3% 31%  
168 2% 30%  
169 1.1% 28%  
170 1.3% 27%  
171 2% 25%  
172 2% 23%  
173 1.3% 22%  
174 1.3% 20%  
175 0.8% 19%  
176 0.8% 18%  
177 1.0% 17%  
178 0.7% 16%  
179 2% 16%  
180 0.6% 14%  
181 1.4% 14%  
182 0.9% 12%  
183 0.4% 11%  
184 1.3% 11%  
185 0.4% 10%  
186 0.4% 9%  
187 0.4% 9%  
188 0.5% 8%  
189 0.3% 8%  
190 0.3% 8%  
191 0.5% 7%  
192 0.5% 7%  
193 0.2% 6%  
194 0.4% 6%  
195 0.3% 6%  
196 0.4% 5%  
197 0.4% 5%  
198 0.3% 5%  
199 0.3% 4%  
200 0.5% 4%  
201 0.2% 4%  
202 0.3% 3%  
203 0.2% 3%  
204 0.3% 3%  
205 0.2% 3%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.1% 2%  
208 0.2% 2%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.1% 2%  
211 0.3% 1.5%  
212 0.1% 1.2%  
213 0.1% 1.1%  
214 0.1% 0.9%  
215 0.1% 0.9%  
216 0.1% 0.8%  
217 0.1% 0.7%  
218 0.1% 0.6%  
219 0.1% 0.5%  
220 0.1% 0.4%  
221 0% 0.4%  
222 0.1% 0.4%  
223 0% 0.3%  
224 0% 0.3%  
225 0% 0.2%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.6%  
105 0.1% 99.6%  
106 0.1% 99.4%  
107 0.3% 99.3%  
108 0.2% 99.0%  
109 0.2% 98.8%  
110 0.4% 98.6%  
111 0.4% 98%  
112 0.4% 98%  
113 0.4% 97%  
114 0.8% 97%  
115 0.3% 96%  
116 0.4% 96%  
117 0.6% 96%  
118 0.6% 95%  
119 0.7% 94%  
120 0.3% 94%  
121 0.2% 93%  
122 0.3% 93%  
123 0.4% 93%  
124 0.9% 92%  
125 0.6% 92%  
126 0.5% 91%  
127 0.8% 90%  
128 0.7% 90%  
129 2% 89%  
130 2% 87%  
131 1.2% 85%  
132 2% 84%  
133 0.8% 82%  
134 2% 81%  
135 0.9% 79%  
136 0.9% 78%  
137 2% 77%  
138 3% 75%  
139 1.3% 73%  
140 0.9% 71%  
141 2% 70%  
142 2% 68%  
143 0.9% 67%  
144 1.3% 66%  
145 0.9% 65%  
146 2% 64%  
147 0.6% 62%  
148 1.0% 61%  
149 1.0% 60%  
150 0.9% 59%  
151 0.3% 58%  
152 0.1% 58%  
153 0.3% 58%  
154 0.2% 57%  
155 0.9% 57%  
156 1.0% 56%  
157 2% 55%  
158 0.7% 53%  
159 3% 52%  
160 2% 49% Median
161 0.6% 48%  
162 2% 47%  
163 2% 45%  
164 4% 43%  
165 1.0% 39%  
166 0.8% 38%  
167 0.8% 38%  
168 2% 37%  
169 2% 35%  
170 2% 33%  
171 2% 31%  
172 1.1% 29%  
173 2% 28%  
174 2% 26%  
175 2% 24%  
176 0.9% 22%  
177 1.3% 22%  
178 3% 20%  
179 2% 17%  
180 2% 15%  
181 1.4% 13%  
182 0.8% 12%  
183 1.0% 11%  
184 1.1% 10%  
185 0.6% 9%  
186 1.0% 8%  
187 0.6% 7%  
188 0.4% 7%  
189 0.5% 6%  
190 0.4% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.4% 5%  
193 0.2% 5%  
194 0.2% 4%  
195 0.3% 4%  
196 0.2% 4%  
197 0.3% 4%  
198 0.2% 3%  
199 0.3% 3%  
200 0.3% 3%  
201 0.3% 3%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.1% 1.2%  
206 0.1% 1.1%  
207 0.2% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.8%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0% 0.5%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0.1% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.9%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.8%  
71 0.1% 99.8%  
72 0% 99.8%  
73 0.1% 99.7%  
74 0.1% 99.7%  
75 0.1% 99.6%  
76 0.1% 99.5%  
77 0.2% 99.4%  
78 0.2% 99.3%  
79 0.1% 99.1%  
80 0.2% 99.0%  
81 0.1% 98.8%  
82 0.1% 98.7%  
83 0.2% 98.5%  
84 0.1% 98%  
85 0.2% 98%  
86 0.2% 98%  
87 0.3% 98%  
88 0.3% 98%  
89 0.1% 97%  
90 0.4% 97%  
91 0.2% 97%  
92 0.4% 96%  
93 0.2% 96%  
94 0.3% 96%  
95 0.3% 96%  
96 0.2% 95%  
97 0.3% 95%  
98 0.4% 95%  
99 0.9% 94%  
100 0.6% 94%  
101 0.3% 93%  
102 0.4% 93%  
103 0.6% 92%  
104 0.5% 92%  
105 0.6% 91%  
106 2% 90%  
107 0.8% 89%  
108 0.9% 88%  
109 0.6% 87%  
110 1.1% 87%  
111 0.9% 86%  
112 0.7% 85%  
113 1.2% 84%  
114 1.2% 83%  
115 1.3% 82%  
116 1.3% 80%  
117 0.8% 79%  
118 2% 78%  
119 1.0% 77%  
120 2% 76%  
121 1.4% 74%  
122 0.9% 72%  
123 0.7% 72%  
124 0.4% 71%  
125 0.9% 70%  
126 2% 69%  
127 1.0% 67%  
128 1.0% 66%  
129 0.9% 65%  
130 0.8% 64%  
131 1.0% 64%  
132 1.1% 63%  
133 0.7% 61%  
134 0.7% 61%  
135 0.7% 60%  
136 0.7% 59%  
137 0.4% 58%  
138 2% 58%  
139 0.7% 56%  
140 0.4% 55%  
141 0.3% 55%  
142 0.6% 55%  
143 0.7% 54%  
144 1.3% 53%  
145 0.6% 52%  
146 1.3% 51%  
147 0.5% 50%  
148 0.7% 49% Median
149 0.6% 49%  
150 3% 48%  
151 0.8% 46%  
152 2% 45%  
153 0.6% 43%  
154 1.3% 42%  
155 1.3% 41%  
156 2% 40%  
157 2% 38%  
158 0.7% 36%  
159 1.2% 35%  
160 1.1% 34%  
161 2% 33%  
162 1.5% 31%  
163 2% 30%  
164 1.1% 27%  
165 2% 26%  
166 1.4% 25%  
167 2% 23%  
168 1.4% 22%  
169 1.2% 20%  
170 0.6% 19%  
171 1.0% 18%  
172 1.0% 17%  
173 0.7% 16%  
174 2% 16%  
175 1.0% 14%  
176 0.9% 13%  
177 0.7% 12%  
178 0.7% 11%  
179 1.2% 11%  
180 0.5% 10%  
181 0.3% 9%  
182 0.5% 9%  
183 0.5% 8%  
184 0.3% 8%  
185 0.4% 7%  
186 0.4% 7%  
187 0.5% 7%  
188 0.3% 6%  
189 0.3% 6%  
190 0.3% 6%  
191 0.3% 5%  
192 0.4% 5%  
193 0.3% 5%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 0.5% 4%  
196 0.2% 4%  
197 0.3% 3%  
198 0.2% 3%  
199 0.3% 3%  
200 0.3% 3%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.2% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.4%  
207 0.1% 1.2%  
208 0.1% 1.0%  
209 0.1% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.7%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0% 0.4%  
216 0% 0.4%  
217 0.1% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.3%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.1% 99.4%  
49 0.1% 99.3%  
50 0.1% 99.2%  
51 0.2% 99.1%  
52 0.3% 98.9%  
53 0.2% 98.6%  
54 0.2% 98%  
55 0.2% 98%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 0.4% 98%  
59 0.2% 97%  
60 0.4% 97%  
61 0.4% 97%  
62 0.2% 96%  
63 0.4% 96%  
64 0.5% 96%  
65 0.7% 95%  
66 0.5% 94%  
67 0.2% 94%  
68 0.7% 94%  
69 0.6% 93%  
70 0.8% 92%  
71 0.6% 92%  
72 0.6% 91%  
73 0.7% 90%  
74 0.5% 90%  
75 0.8% 89%  
76 0.8% 88%  
77 1.0% 88%  
78 1.1% 87%  
79 1.4% 86%  
80 0.6% 84%  
81 2% 84%  
82 1.4% 82%  
83 2% 80%  
84 0.8% 79%  
85 0.9% 78%  
86 2% 77%  
87 1.0% 75%  
88 1.0% 74%  
89 1.2% 73%  
90 1.0% 72%  
91 2% 71%  
92 1.2% 69%  
93 0.8% 68%  
94 0.5% 67%  
95 2% 67%  
96 1.1% 65%  
97 0.7% 64%  
98 0.6% 63%  
99 1.3% 62%  
100 0.6% 61%  
101 0.8% 60%  
102 2% 60%  
103 0.5% 58%  
104 0.5% 57%  
105 0.6% 57%  
106 0.4% 56%  
107 0.6% 56%  
108 0.9% 55%  
109 2% 54%  
110 0.7% 52%  
111 0.6% 52%  
112 0.7% 51%  
113 2% 50% Median
114 0.8% 49%  
115 1.1% 48%  
116 1.0% 47%  
117 4% 46%  
118 0.6% 42%  
119 1.4% 42%  
120 0.6% 40%  
121 1.0% 40%  
122 1.4% 39%  
123 1.5% 37%  
124 1.2% 36%  
125 2% 35%  
126 2% 32%  
127 2% 30%  
128 1.4% 29%  
129 1.1% 27%  
130 3% 26%  
131 1.3% 24%  
132 2% 22%  
133 2% 21%  
134 0.7% 19%  
135 0.8% 18%  
136 1.4% 17%  
137 0.7% 16%  
138 0.7% 15%  
139 2% 15%  
140 0.7% 13%  
141 2% 12%  
142 0.4% 10%  
143 0.3% 10%  
144 0.6% 10%  
145 0.4% 9%  
146 0.8% 9%  
147 0.7% 8%  
148 0.5% 7%  
149 0.3% 7%  
150 0.4% 6%  
151 0.5% 6%  
152 0.3% 6%  
153 0.3% 5%  
154 0.4% 5%  
155 0.3% 5%  
156 0.4% 4%  
157 0.3% 4%  
158 0.1% 4%  
159 0.4% 4%  
160 0.2% 3%  
161 0.3% 3%  
162 0.2% 3%  
163 0.1% 2%  
164 0.2% 2%  
165 0.2% 2%  
166 0.4% 2%  
167 0.1% 1.5%  
168 0.2% 1.3%  
169 0.1% 1.2%  
170 0.1% 1.0%  
171 0.2% 0.9%  
172 0.1% 0.7%  
173 0% 0.7%  
174 0.1% 0.6%  
175 0.1% 0.5%  
176 0.1% 0.4%  
177 0.1% 0.3%  
178 0% 0.3%  
179 0% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.2%  
181 0% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.2%  
183 0% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 0.1% 99.5%  
43 0.1% 99.4%  
44 0.1% 99.3%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 0.2% 99.1%  
47 0.3% 98.9%  
48 0.2% 98.5%  
49 0.2% 98%  
50 0.1% 98%  
51 0.3% 98%  
52 0.1% 98%  
53 0.4% 98%  
54 0.2% 97%  
55 0.3% 97%  
56 0.4% 97%  
57 0.3% 96%  
58 0.4% 96%  
59 0.5% 96%  
60 0.7% 95%  
61 0.4% 94%  
62 0.3% 94%  
63 0.7% 94%  
64 0.6% 93%  
65 0.8% 92%  
66 0.4% 91%  
67 0.6% 91%  
68 0.7% 90%  
69 0.6% 90%  
70 0.7% 89%  
71 0.8% 88%  
72 1.0% 88%  
73 1.1% 87%  
74 2% 86%  
75 1.0% 84%  
76 1.4% 83%  
77 1.5% 82%  
78 2% 80%  
79 0.7% 78%  
80 0.9% 78%  
81 2% 77%  
82 1.0% 75%  
83 1.2% 74%  
84 2% 73%  
85 0.7% 72%  
86 2% 71%  
87 1.4% 69%  
88 0.7% 68%  
89 0.7% 67%  
90 2% 67%  
91 1.2% 65%  
92 0.9% 64%  
93 0.8% 63%  
94 0.5% 62%  
95 1.0% 61%  
96 0.8% 60%  
97 2% 60%  
98 0.5% 58%  
99 0.6% 57%  
100 0.7% 57%  
101 0.5% 56%  
102 0.4% 55%  
103 1.2% 55%  
104 2% 54%  
105 0.8% 52%  
106 0.4% 51%  
107 0.7% 51%  
108 2% 50% Median
109 0.5% 48%  
110 0.9% 48%  
111 1.0% 47%  
112 4% 46%  
113 1.0% 42%  
114 1.1% 41%  
115 0.7% 40%  
116 1.4% 39%  
117 1.1% 38%  
118 1.3% 37%  
119 1.2% 36%  
120 3% 34%  
121 1.2% 31%  
122 2% 30%  
123 1.2% 28%  
124 1.1% 27%  
125 2% 26%  
126 1.5% 24%  
127 2% 22%  
128 1.3% 20%  
129 0.9% 19%  
130 0.7% 18%  
131 1.2% 17%  
132 0.8% 16%  
133 0.9% 15%  
134 1.5% 14%  
135 1.1% 13%  
136 1.3% 12%  
137 0.3% 10%  
138 0.3% 10%  
139 0.7% 10%  
140 0.4% 9%  
141 0.6% 9%  
142 0.8% 8%  
143 0.5% 7%  
144 0.3% 7%  
145 0.4% 6%  
146 0.5% 6%  
147 0.4% 6%  
148 0.2% 5%  
149 0.6% 5%  
150 0.2% 4%  
151 0.3% 4%  
152 0.3% 4%  
153 0.2% 4%  
154 0.4% 3%  
155 0.3% 3%  
156 0.3% 3%  
157 0.2% 3%  
158 0.1% 2%  
159 0.2% 2%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.2% 1.4%  
163 0.2% 1.3%  
164 0.1% 1.1%  
165 0.1% 1.0%  
166 0.2% 0.9%  
167 0.1% 0.7%  
168 0.1% 0.6%  
169 0.1% 0.6%  
170 0.1% 0.5%  
171 0.1% 0.4%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.3%  
174 0% 0.3%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.2%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations