Opinion Poll by Deltapoll for Mail on Sunday, 23–25 May 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 48.4% 46.7–50.1% 46.2–50.6% 45.8–51.0% 45.0–51.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.7% 23.3–26.3% 22.9–26.7% 22.5–27.1% 21.9–27.8%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.7% 8.8–10.8% 8.5–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 7.8–11.9%
Green Party 2.8% 5.0% 4.4–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.3% 3.7–6.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.5% 3.8–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.3% 2.2–4.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 412 392–446 385–451 381–455 373–466
Conservative Party 365 144 109–163 100–171 95–177 83–185
Liberal Democrats 11 27 21–37 19–39 18–41 15–47
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Brexit Party 0 3 2–3 1–3 0–4 0–4
Scottish National Party 48 37 27–47 22–51 21–53 18–56
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–5 4–6 3–6

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.1% 99.4%  
375 0.1% 99.3%  
376 0.2% 99.2%  
377 0.1% 99.0%  
378 0.4% 98.8%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.4% 97%  
383 0.7% 97%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 0.6% 96%  
386 0.4% 95%  
387 0.7% 95%  
388 0.9% 94%  
389 0.9% 93%  
390 0.6% 92%  
391 1.3% 91%  
392 0.5% 90%  
393 0.6% 90%  
394 0.9% 89%  
395 1.1% 88%  
396 1.4% 87%  
397 0.7% 86%  
398 0.8% 85%  
399 1.1% 84%  
400 0.9% 83%  
401 1.5% 82%  
402 1.4% 81%  
403 2% 79%  
404 2% 77%  
405 3% 75%  
406 3% 72%  
407 3% 69%  
408 4% 66%  
409 3% 62%  
410 2% 59%  
411 4% 57%  
412 5% 53% Median
413 4% 48%  
414 3% 44%  
415 2% 41%  
416 3% 39%  
417 3% 37%  
418 3% 34%  
419 2% 32%  
420 2% 30%  
421 0.6% 28%  
422 2% 27%  
423 0.5% 25%  
424 1.1% 25%  
425 0.9% 24%  
426 0.6% 23%  
427 0.4% 22%  
428 0.5% 22%  
429 0.3% 21%  
430 0.4% 21%  
431 0.6% 21%  
432 0.5% 20%  
433 0.5% 20%  
434 0.5% 19%  
435 0.4% 18%  
436 0.5% 18%  
437 0.6% 18%  
438 0.6% 17%  
439 0.9% 16%  
440 1.3% 15%  
441 0.3% 14%  
442 0.8% 14%  
443 0.7% 13%  
444 0.6% 12%  
445 1.4% 12%  
446 1.4% 10%  
447 0.4% 9%  
448 2% 9%  
449 0.7% 7%  
450 0.6% 6%  
451 0.6% 5%  
452 0.9% 5%  
453 0.5% 4%  
454 0.8% 3%  
455 0.4% 3%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.4% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.3%  
460 0.2% 1.1%  
461 0.1% 1.0%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.1% 0.8%  
464 0.1% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.6%  
466 0% 0.5%  
467 0% 0.5%  
468 0% 0.4%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.4%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.1% 99.5%  
84 0.1% 99.4%  
85 0.1% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.1%  
89 0.2% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 98.9%  
91 0.3% 98.6%  
92 0.2% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.3% 98%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 0.6% 97%  
97 0.3% 96%  
98 0.2% 96%  
99 0.3% 96%  
100 0.5% 95%  
101 0.6% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 1.0% 94%  
104 0.6% 93%  
105 0.6% 92%  
106 0.2% 92%  
107 0.5% 91%  
108 0.5% 91%  
109 1.2% 91%  
110 0.4% 89%  
111 1.2% 89%  
112 0.4% 88%  
113 0.5% 87%  
114 0.3% 87%  
115 0.9% 87%  
116 1.4% 86%  
117 0.3% 84%  
118 0.3% 84%  
119 0.8% 84%  
120 0.4% 83%  
121 0.9% 83%  
122 1.2% 82%  
123 1.1% 80%  
124 0.5% 79%  
125 0.4% 79%  
126 0.6% 78%  
127 0.9% 78%  
128 0.7% 77%  
129 1.2% 76%  
130 1.4% 75%  
131 0.7% 74%  
132 1.2% 73%  
133 0.7% 72%  
134 2% 71%  
135 2% 69%  
136 1.4% 67%  
137 2% 66%  
138 1.4% 64%  
139 4% 62%  
140 2% 58%  
141 0.8% 56%  
142 1.4% 55%  
143 3% 54%  
144 3% 51% Median
145 3% 49%  
146 2% 46%  
147 4% 44%  
148 2% 40%  
149 2% 38%  
150 4% 36%  
151 3% 32%  
152 2% 29%  
153 2% 28%  
154 3% 26%  
155 2% 23%  
156 3% 21%  
157 2% 18%  
158 1.4% 17%  
159 2% 15%  
160 1.1% 14%  
161 0.7% 13%  
162 1.4% 12%  
163 1.2% 11%  
164 0.5% 9%  
165 0.5% 9%  
166 0.7% 8%  
167 0.8% 8%  
168 0.5% 7%  
169 0.6% 6%  
170 0.4% 6%  
171 0.4% 5%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 0.5% 4%  
174 0.6% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.3% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.3%  
182 0.3% 1.2%  
183 0.2% 0.9%  
184 0.1% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 0% 99.9% Last Result
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.8%  
14 0.1% 99.8%  
15 0.4% 99.7%  
16 0.4% 99.3%  
17 0.9% 98.9%  
18 2% 98%  
19 3% 96%  
20 3% 94%  
21 4% 90%  
22 4% 87%  
23 6% 82%  
24 8% 76%  
25 4% 68%  
26 9% 64%  
27 6% 55% Median
28 4% 48%  
29 3% 45%  
30 6% 41%  
31 3% 35%  
32 5% 32%  
33 4% 27%  
34 2% 22%  
35 3% 20%  
36 4% 18%  
37 4% 14%  
38 3% 10%  
39 2% 7%  
40 2% 5%  
41 0.9% 3%  
42 0.5% 2%  
43 0.3% 1.3%  
44 0.1% 1.1%  
45 0.2% 0.9%  
46 0.2% 0.8%  
47 0.1% 0.5%  
48 0% 0.5%  
49 0.1% 0.4%  
50 0.2% 0.3%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 90% 100% Last Result, Median
2 8% 10%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 96%  
2 35% 94%  
3 56% 60% Median
4 4% 4%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.2% 99.7%  
18 0.4% 99.5%  
19 0.3% 99.1%  
20 0.7% 98.8%  
21 1.0% 98%  
22 3% 97%  
23 1.0% 95%  
24 1.4% 94%  
25 1.0% 92%  
26 1.0% 91%  
27 2% 90%  
28 1.0% 88%  
29 4% 87%  
30 2% 83%  
31 0.5% 81%  
32 5% 81%  
33 0.9% 76%  
34 13% 75%  
35 2% 61%  
36 7% 60%  
37 3% 53% Median
38 6% 50%  
39 4% 44%  
40 3% 39%  
41 7% 37%  
42 3% 30%  
43 5% 27%  
44 6% 22%  
45 3% 16%  
46 3% 13%  
47 1.0% 10%  
48 1.4% 9% Last Result
49 1.4% 8%  
50 0.8% 6%  
51 1.0% 6%  
52 1.2% 5%  
53 1.5% 3%  
54 0.9% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.1%  
56 0.3% 0.5%  
57 0.2% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.9% 100%  
4 7% 99.0% Last Result
5 87% 92% Median
6 4% 5%  
7 0.4% 0.4%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 483 100% 464–518 456–526 450–531 442–543
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 482 100% 463–517 455–524 449–530 441–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 477 100% 458–512 450–519 444–525 436–537
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 454 100% 438–485 431–491 426–496 418–506
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 445 100% 422–483 415–490 408–496 399–508
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 449 100% 433–480 426–486 421–491 413–501
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 440 100% 417–478 409–485 403–491 394–503
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 417 100% 397–451 391–456 386–460 378–471
Labour Party 202 412 100% 392–446 385–451 381–455 373–466
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 186 0% 148–209 140–217 134–223 121–232
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 181 0% 143–204 136–212 129–218 116–227
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 172 0% 140–188 134–195 129–200 119–208
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 149 0% 114–168 105–176 100–182 88–190
Conservative Party 365 144 0% 109–163 100–171 95–177 83–185

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.8%  
438 0% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.8%  
440 0.1% 99.7%  
441 0.1% 99.6%  
442 0.1% 99.5%  
443 0.1% 99.4%  
444 0.2% 99.3%  
445 0.2% 99.1%  
446 0.2% 98.9%  
447 0.2% 98.6%  
448 0.4% 98%  
449 0.2% 98%  
450 0.3% 98%  
451 0.4% 97%  
452 0.3% 97%  
453 0.6% 97%  
454 0.3% 96%  
455 0.5% 96%  
456 0.7% 95%  
457 0.3% 95%  
458 0.4% 94%  
459 0.7% 94%  
460 0.6% 93%  
461 0.9% 93%  
462 0.6% 92%  
463 0.5% 91%  
464 0.8% 91%  
465 1.3% 90%  
466 1.0% 89%  
467 0.8% 87%  
468 1.4% 87%  
469 2% 85%  
470 1.4% 84%  
471 3% 82%  
472 2% 80%  
473 2% 78%  
474 2% 75%  
475 2% 73%  
476 3% 71%  
477 2% 68%  
478 4% 66%  
479 2% 63%  
480 3% 60%  
481 2% 58%  
482 2% 56% Median
483 4% 54%  
484 2% 50%  
485 2% 47%  
486 2% 46%  
487 2% 44%  
488 2% 42%  
489 3% 40%  
490 3% 38%  
491 2% 35%  
492 1.3% 33%  
493 2% 32%  
494 1.0% 30%  
495 1.1% 29%  
496 1.2% 28%  
497 0.5% 27%  
498 2% 26%  
499 0.8% 24%  
500 0.7% 23%  
501 1.0% 23%  
502 0.4% 22%  
503 0.5% 21%  
504 0.9% 21%  
505 1.4% 20%  
506 0.7% 18%  
507 0.5% 18%  
508 0.3% 17%  
509 0.7% 17%  
510 0.6% 16%  
511 1.3% 16%  
512 0.7% 14%  
513 0.7% 14%  
514 0.4% 13%  
515 0.7% 12%  
516 0.4% 12%  
517 1.2% 11%  
518 0.6% 10%  
519 1.0% 10%  
520 0.3% 9%  
521 0.5% 8%  
522 0.8% 8%  
523 0.4% 7%  
524 0.8% 7%  
525 0.6% 6%  
526 0.5% 5%  
527 0.4% 5%  
528 0.2% 4%  
529 0.4% 4%  
530 0.7% 4%  
531 0.5% 3%  
532 0.4% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0.3% 2%  
536 0.3% 1.3%  
537 0.1% 1.0%  
538 0.1% 0.9%  
539 0.1% 0.8%  
540 0.1% 0.8%  
541 0.1% 0.7%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.6%  
544 0.1% 0.5%  
545 0% 0.4%  
546 0.1% 0.4%  
547 0% 0.3%  
548 0% 0.3%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.2%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.8%  
437 0% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.7%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.1% 99.5%  
442 0.1% 99.4%  
443 0.2% 99.3%  
444 0.2% 99.1%  
445 0.2% 98.9%  
446 0.2% 98.6%  
447 0.4% 98%  
448 0.2% 98%  
449 0.3% 98%  
450 0.4% 97%  
451 0.3% 97%  
452 0.6% 97%  
453 0.3% 96%  
454 0.5% 96%  
455 0.7% 95%  
456 0.2% 95%  
457 0.4% 94%  
458 0.7% 94%  
459 0.6% 93%  
460 1.0% 93%  
461 0.6% 92%  
462 0.5% 91%  
463 0.9% 91%  
464 1.3% 90%  
465 1.1% 88%  
466 0.8% 87%  
467 1.4% 87%  
468 2% 85%  
469 1.5% 84%  
470 3% 82%  
471 2% 79%  
472 2% 78%  
473 3% 75%  
474 2% 73%  
475 3% 71%  
476 2% 68%  
477 4% 66%  
478 2% 63%  
479 3% 60%  
480 2% 57%  
481 2% 55% Median
482 4% 53%  
483 2% 50%  
484 2% 47%  
485 2% 45%  
486 2% 44%  
487 2% 42%  
488 3% 40%  
489 3% 37%  
490 2% 35%  
491 1.3% 33%  
492 2% 32%  
493 1.1% 30%  
494 1.1% 28%  
495 1.1% 27%  
496 0.4% 26%  
497 2% 26%  
498 0.7% 24%  
499 0.8% 23%  
500 1.0% 22%  
501 0.3% 21%  
502 0.5% 21%  
503 0.9% 21%  
504 1.4% 20%  
505 0.6% 18%  
506 0.5% 18%  
507 0.3% 17%  
508 0.8% 17%  
509 0.6% 16%  
510 1.1% 15%  
511 0.8% 14%  
512 0.7% 13%  
513 0.5% 13%  
514 0.5% 12%  
515 0.4% 12%  
516 1.2% 11%  
517 0.6% 10%  
518 0.9% 9%  
519 0.3% 9%  
520 0.7% 8%  
521 0.7% 8%  
522 0.5% 7%  
523 1.0% 6%  
524 0.5% 5%  
525 0.5% 5%  
526 0.2% 4%  
527 0.4% 4%  
528 0.3% 4%  
529 0.6% 4%  
530 0.6% 3%  
531 0.3% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.3% 2%  
534 0.3% 2%  
535 0.3% 1.2%  
536 0.1% 1.0%  
537 0.1% 0.9%  
538 0% 0.8%  
539 0.1% 0.8%  
540 0% 0.7%  
541 0.1% 0.6%  
542 0.1% 0.5%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.4%  
545 0.1% 0.4%  
546 0% 0.3%  
547 0% 0.3%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0.1% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.5%  
437 0.1% 99.4%  
438 0.2% 99.3%  
439 0.2% 99.1%  
440 0.2% 98.9%  
441 0.3% 98.6%  
442 0.4% 98%  
443 0.2% 98%  
444 0.3% 98%  
445 0.4% 97%  
446 0.3% 97%  
447 0.7% 97%  
448 0.3% 96%  
449 0.6% 96%  
450 0.7% 95%  
451 0.2% 95%  
452 0.4% 94%  
453 0.7% 94%  
454 0.6% 93%  
455 1.0% 93%  
456 0.6% 92%  
457 0.4% 91%  
458 0.9% 91%  
459 1.4% 90%  
460 1.0% 88%  
461 0.8% 87%  
462 1.3% 87%  
463 2% 85%  
464 1.5% 84%  
465 3% 82%  
466 2% 79%  
467 2% 78%  
468 2% 76%  
469 2% 73%  
470 3% 71%  
471 2% 68%  
472 4% 66%  
473 2% 63%  
474 3% 60%  
475 2% 57%  
476 2% 56% Median
477 4% 53%  
478 3% 50%  
479 2% 47%  
480 2% 45%  
481 1.5% 44%  
482 2% 42%  
483 3% 40%  
484 3% 37%  
485 2% 34%  
486 1.3% 33%  
487 2% 31%  
488 1.4% 30%  
489 0.9% 28%  
490 1.3% 28%  
491 0.4% 26%  
492 2% 26%  
493 0.6% 24%  
494 1.0% 23%  
495 0.8% 22%  
496 0.4% 21%  
497 0.5% 21%  
498 0.5% 20%  
499 2% 20%  
500 0.6% 18%  
501 0.4% 18%  
502 0.3% 17%  
503 0.9% 17%  
504 0.7% 16%  
505 1.1% 15%  
506 0.5% 14%  
507 1.1% 14%  
508 0.5% 13%  
509 0.6% 12%  
510 0.4% 12%  
511 1.2% 11%  
512 0.5% 10%  
513 1.0% 10%  
514 0.3% 9%  
515 0.7% 8%  
516 0.7% 8%  
517 0.5% 7%  
518 0.7% 6%  
519 0.7% 6%  
520 0.5% 5%  
521 0.2% 5%  
522 0.3% 4%  
523 0.4% 4%  
524 0.7% 4%  
525 0.6% 3%  
526 0.2% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.3% 2%  
529 0.3% 2%  
530 0.2% 1.2%  
531 0.1% 1.0%  
532 0.1% 0.9%  
533 0% 0.8%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.7%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0.1% 0.6%  
538 0.1% 0.5%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.3%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0.2% 99.5%  
419 0.1% 99.4%  
420 0.3% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 98.9%  
422 0.2% 98.7%  
423 0.4% 98.6%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.2% 98%  
427 0.8% 97%  
428 0.4% 97%  
429 0.4% 96%  
430 0.6% 96%  
431 0.5% 95%  
432 0.5% 95%  
433 0.7% 94%  
434 0.8% 93%  
435 0.8% 93%  
436 0.6% 92%  
437 0.8% 91%  
438 1.1% 91%  
439 1.2% 89%  
440 1.2% 88%  
441 1.1% 87%  
442 1.5% 86%  
443 2% 84%  
444 1.2% 82%  
445 3% 81%  
446 3% 78%  
447 2% 75%  
448 3% 73%  
449 4% 70%  
450 3% 66%  
451 4% 63%  
452 5% 59%  
453 3% 54%  
454 2% 51% Median
455 2% 49%  
456 3% 47%  
457 5% 44%  
458 1.4% 39%  
459 2% 37%  
460 2% 36%  
461 2% 33%  
462 2% 31%  
463 1.1% 30%  
464 2% 29%  
465 1.4% 26%  
466 1.3% 25%  
467 1.2% 24%  
468 0.6% 22%  
469 0.5% 22%  
470 0.7% 21%  
471 0.5% 21%  
472 0.3% 20%  
473 0.8% 20%  
474 0.8% 19%  
475 0.3% 18%  
476 0.2% 18%  
477 0.5% 18%  
478 0.6% 17%  
479 1.2% 17%  
480 1.3% 16%  
481 0.6% 14%  
482 0.7% 14%  
483 0.7% 13%  
484 2% 12%  
485 0.4% 10%  
486 1.3% 10%  
487 1.1% 9%  
488 1.1% 8%  
489 0.6% 6%  
490 0.6% 6%  
491 0.6% 5%  
492 0.5% 5%  
493 0.7% 4%  
494 0.4% 3%  
495 0.5% 3%  
496 0.7% 3%  
497 0.3% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.3% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.1%  
501 0.2% 0.9%  
502 0.1% 0.8%  
503 0.1% 0.7%  
504 0.1% 0.6%  
505 0% 0.6%  
506 0% 0.5%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.7%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0.1% 99.4%  
401 0.1% 99.3%  
402 0.1% 99.1%  
403 0.1% 99.0%  
404 0.2% 98.9%  
405 0.4% 98.7%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.4% 98%  
408 0.5% 98%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.2% 97%  
411 0.2% 97%  
412 0.8% 97%  
413 0.3% 96%  
414 0.4% 95%  
415 0.4% 95%  
416 0.8% 95%  
417 0.2% 94%  
418 0.5% 94%  
419 1.0% 93%  
420 0.7% 92%  
421 0.7% 91%  
422 0.8% 91%  
423 0.7% 90%  
424 1.3% 89%  
425 2% 88%  
426 0.8% 86%  
427 0.6% 85%  
428 0.9% 85%  
429 1.0% 84%  
430 2% 83%  
431 1.4% 81%  
432 2% 80%  
433 2% 78%  
434 2% 77%  
435 1.0% 74%  
436 2% 73%  
437 2% 71%  
438 2% 69%  
439 2% 67%  
440 2% 65%  
441 2% 63%  
442 2% 62%  
443 4% 60%  
444 3% 56% Median
445 3% 53%  
446 2% 50%  
447 1.0% 48%  
448 4% 47%  
449 2% 43%  
450 3% 41%  
451 1.5% 38%  
452 2% 36%  
453 1.5% 35%  
454 1.2% 33%  
455 2% 32%  
456 1.3% 30%  
457 2% 29%  
458 1.2% 28%  
459 1.0% 26%  
460 0.8% 25%  
461 0.9% 25%  
462 0.7% 24%  
463 0.9% 23%  
464 0.5% 22%  
465 0.4% 22%  
466 1.0% 21%  
467 0.4% 20%  
468 0.9% 20%  
469 0.7% 19%  
470 0.7% 18%  
471 0.7% 17%  
472 0.5% 17%  
473 0.5% 16%  
474 0.8% 16%  
475 0.6% 15%  
476 0.5% 14%  
477 0.9% 14%  
478 0.4% 13%  
479 0.8% 12%  
480 0.4% 12%  
481 0.6% 11%  
482 0.6% 11%  
483 0.5% 10%  
484 0.6% 9%  
485 0.4% 9%  
486 1.2% 8%  
487 0.8% 7%  
488 0.6% 7%  
489 0.9% 6%  
490 0.3% 5%  
491 0.5% 5%  
492 0.5% 4%  
493 0.5% 4%  
494 0.2% 3%  
495 0.5% 3%  
496 0.5% 3%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.3% 2%  
500 0.2% 1.5%  
501 0.1% 1.2%  
502 0.1% 1.1%  
503 0.1% 1.0%  
504 0.1% 0.9%  
505 0.1% 0.8%  
506 0% 0.7%  
507 0.1% 0.7%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.2% 99.5%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.3% 99.2%  
416 0.2% 98.9%  
417 0.1% 98.7%  
418 0.4% 98.6%  
419 0.4% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.8% 97%  
423 0.4% 97%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.7% 96%  
426 0.5% 95%  
427 0.6% 95%  
428 0.7% 94%  
429 0.8% 93%  
430 0.8% 93%  
431 0.7% 92%  
432 0.7% 91%  
433 1.0% 90%  
434 1.0% 89%  
435 1.4% 88%  
436 1.2% 87%  
437 1.1% 86%  
438 2% 85%  
439 2% 83%  
440 3% 81%  
441 4% 78%  
442 2% 75%  
443 3% 73%  
444 4% 70%  
445 3% 67%  
446 4% 63%  
447 5% 59%  
448 3% 55%  
449 2% 52% Median
450 2% 49%  
451 3% 47%  
452 5% 44%  
453 1.4% 39%  
454 2% 37%  
455 3% 36%  
456 2% 33%  
457 2% 31%  
458 1.0% 30%  
459 2% 29%  
460 1.0% 26%  
461 2% 25%  
462 1.1% 24%  
463 0.7% 22%  
464 0.4% 22%  
465 0.6% 21%  
466 0.6% 21%  
467 0.3% 20%  
468 0.5% 20%  
469 1.1% 19%  
470 0.3% 18%  
471 0.2% 18%  
472 0.4% 18%  
473 0.6% 17%  
474 0.9% 17%  
475 2% 16%  
476 0.6% 14%  
477 0.6% 14%  
478 0.7% 13%  
479 2% 12%  
480 0.5% 10%  
481 1.3% 10%  
482 1.0% 9%  
483 1.1% 8%  
484 0.7% 7%  
485 0.6% 6%  
486 0.7% 5%  
487 0.5% 5%  
488 0.7% 4%  
489 0.4% 3%  
490 0.5% 3%  
491 0.6% 3%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.3% 1.4%  
495 0.1% 1.1%  
496 0.2% 0.9%  
497 0.1% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.6%  
500 0% 0.6%  
501 0% 0.5%  
502 0% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0% 0.4%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.7%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.3%  
397 0.1% 99.1%  
398 0.1% 99.0%  
399 0.2% 98.9%  
400 0.4% 98.7%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.4% 98%  
403 0.4% 98%  
404 0.3% 97%  
405 0.2% 97%  
406 0.2% 97%  
407 0.8% 97%  
408 0.4% 96%  
409 0.4% 95%  
410 0.5% 95%  
411 0.8% 95%  
412 0.3% 94%  
413 0.5% 93%  
414 1.0% 93%  
415 0.7% 92%  
416 0.8% 91%  
417 0.7% 90%  
418 0.8% 90%  
419 1.2% 89%  
420 2% 88%  
421 0.8% 86%  
422 0.7% 85%  
423 0.9% 85%  
424 0.7% 84%  
425 2% 83%  
426 2% 81%  
427 1.3% 80%  
428 2% 78%  
429 2% 77%  
430 1.0% 75%  
431 2% 74%  
432 2% 71%  
433 2% 69%  
434 2% 67%  
435 2% 65%  
436 2% 63%  
437 1.4% 62%  
438 4% 60%  
439 3% 56% Median
440 3% 53%  
441 2% 50%  
442 1.1% 48%  
443 4% 47%  
444 2% 43%  
445 4% 42%  
446 1.4% 38%  
447 2% 36%  
448 1.3% 35%  
449 1.2% 33%  
450 2% 32%  
451 1.2% 30%  
452 2% 29%  
453 1.1% 28%  
454 1.1% 26%  
455 0.8% 25%  
456 1.0% 25%  
457 0.5% 24%  
458 1.1% 23%  
459 0.5% 22%  
460 0.3% 22%  
461 0.9% 21%  
462 0.6% 20%  
463 0.9% 20%  
464 0.8% 19%  
465 0.6% 18%  
466 0.8% 18%  
467 0.5% 17%  
468 0.5% 16%  
469 0.5% 16%  
470 0.9% 15%  
471 0.5% 14%  
472 0.9% 14%  
473 0.5% 13%  
474 0.7% 12%  
475 0.5% 12%  
476 0.6% 11%  
477 0.6% 11%  
478 0.5% 10%  
479 0.4% 10%  
480 0.7% 9%  
481 1.2% 9%  
482 0.8% 7%  
483 0.6% 7%  
484 0.9% 6%  
485 0.2% 5%  
486 0.4% 5%  
487 0.7% 4%  
488 0.5% 4%  
489 0.2% 3%  
490 0.5% 3%  
491 0.4% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.1% 1.2%  
497 0.1% 1.1%  
498 0.1% 1.0%  
499 0.1% 0.9%  
500 0.1% 0.8%  
501 0.1% 0.7%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0% 0.5%  
505 0% 0.4%  
506 0.1% 0.4%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.2% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.4%  
380 0.1% 99.3%  
381 0.2% 99.2%  
382 0.1% 98.9%  
383 0.4% 98.8%  
384 0.4% 98%  
385 0.2% 98%  
386 0.4% 98%  
387 0.4% 97%  
388 0.7% 97%  
389 0.7% 96%  
390 0.6% 96%  
391 0.4% 95%  
392 0.7% 95%  
393 0.9% 94%  
394 0.9% 93%  
395 0.6% 92%  
396 1.2% 92%  
397 0.5% 90%  
398 0.5% 90%  
399 0.9% 89%  
400 1.1% 88%  
401 1.3% 87%  
402 0.8% 86%  
403 1.0% 85%  
404 1.0% 84%  
405 1.0% 83%  
406 1.5% 82%  
407 1.3% 81%  
408 2% 79%  
409 2% 77%  
410 3% 75%  
411 3% 71%  
412 2% 69%  
413 4% 66%  
414 3% 62%  
415 2% 59%  
416 5% 57%  
417 4% 52% Median
418 4% 48%  
419 3% 44%  
420 2% 41%  
421 2% 39%  
422 3% 37%  
423 2% 34%  
424 2% 32%  
425 2% 30%  
426 0.7% 28%  
427 2% 27%  
428 0.4% 25%  
429 1.3% 25%  
430 0.6% 24%  
431 0.8% 23%  
432 0.4% 22%  
433 0.4% 22%  
434 0.4% 21%  
435 0.5% 21%  
436 0.5% 21%  
437 0.6% 20%  
438 0.5% 19%  
439 0.5% 19%  
440 0.3% 18%  
441 0.7% 18%  
442 0.5% 17%  
443 0.6% 17%  
444 1.3% 16%  
445 0.9% 15%  
446 0.4% 14%  
447 0.6% 14%  
448 0.9% 13%  
449 0.5% 12%  
450 1.4% 12%  
451 1.3% 10%  
452 0.9% 9%  
453 2% 8%  
454 0.6% 7%  
455 0.6% 6%  
456 0.7% 5%  
457 0.8% 5%  
458 0.5% 4%  
459 0.8% 3%  
460 0.4% 3%  
461 0.3% 2%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.2% 1.3%  
465 0.1% 1.1%  
466 0.1% 1.0%  
467 0.1% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.4%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0.1% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.1% 99.4%  
375 0.1% 99.3%  
376 0.2% 99.2%  
377 0.1% 99.0%  
378 0.4% 98.8%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.4% 98%  
382 0.4% 97%  
383 0.7% 97%  
384 0.7% 96%  
385 0.6% 96%  
386 0.4% 95%  
387 0.7% 95%  
388 0.9% 94%  
389 0.9% 93%  
390 0.6% 92%  
391 1.3% 91%  
392 0.5% 90%  
393 0.6% 90%  
394 0.9% 89%  
395 1.1% 88%  
396 1.4% 87%  
397 0.7% 86%  
398 0.8% 85%  
399 1.1% 84%  
400 0.9% 83%  
401 1.5% 82%  
402 1.4% 81%  
403 2% 79%  
404 2% 77%  
405 3% 75%  
406 3% 72%  
407 3% 69%  
408 4% 66%  
409 3% 62%  
410 2% 59%  
411 4% 57%  
412 5% 53% Median
413 4% 48%  
414 3% 44%  
415 2% 41%  
416 3% 39%  
417 3% 37%  
418 3% 34%  
419 2% 32%  
420 2% 30%  
421 0.6% 28%  
422 2% 27%  
423 0.5% 25%  
424 1.1% 25%  
425 0.9% 24%  
426 0.6% 23%  
427 0.4% 22%  
428 0.5% 22%  
429 0.3% 21%  
430 0.4% 21%  
431 0.6% 21%  
432 0.5% 20%  
433 0.5% 20%  
434 0.5% 19%  
435 0.4% 18%  
436 0.5% 18%  
437 0.6% 18%  
438 0.6% 17%  
439 0.9% 16%  
440 1.3% 15%  
441 0.3% 14%  
442 0.8% 14%  
443 0.7% 13%  
444 0.6% 12%  
445 1.4% 12%  
446 1.4% 10%  
447 0.4% 9%  
448 2% 9%  
449 0.7% 7%  
450 0.6% 6%  
451 0.6% 5%  
452 0.9% 5%  
453 0.5% 4%  
454 0.8% 3%  
455 0.4% 3%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.4% 2%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.3%  
460 0.2% 1.1%  
461 0.1% 1.0%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.1% 0.8%  
464 0.1% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.6%  
466 0% 0.5%  
467 0% 0.5%  
468 0% 0.4%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.4%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
104 0% 100%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0% 99.6%  
121 0% 99.5%  
122 0.1% 99.5%  
123 0.1% 99.4%  
124 0.1% 99.3%  
125 0.1% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.1%  
127 0.1% 99.0%  
128 0.1% 98.9%  
129 0.1% 98.8%  
130 0.3% 98.7%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.4% 98%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 0.5% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.4% 97%  
138 0.7% 96%  
139 0.3% 95%  
140 0.2% 95%  
141 0.8% 95%  
142 0.9% 94%  
143 0.6% 93%  
144 0.8% 93%  
145 0.2% 92%  
146 1.1% 92%  
147 0.4% 91%  
148 0.4% 90%  
149 0.5% 90%  
150 1.0% 89%  
151 0.3% 88%  
152 0.4% 88%  
153 0.6% 88%  
154 1.3% 87%  
155 0.4% 86%  
156 0.7% 85%  
157 0.2% 85%  
158 0.6% 84%  
159 0.6% 84%  
160 0.6% 83%  
161 0.7% 82%  
162 0.7% 82%  
163 1.0% 81%  
164 0.6% 80%  
165 0.5% 79%  
166 0.5% 79%  
167 0.4% 78%  
168 0.6% 78%  
169 1.1% 77%  
170 0.8% 76%  
171 1.0% 75%  
172 1.1% 75%  
173 0.4% 73%  
174 1.2% 73%  
175 2% 72%  
176 0.8% 70%  
177 2% 69%  
178 1.3% 67%  
179 2% 66%  
180 1.5% 64%  
181 3% 63%  
182 3% 60%  
183 3% 57%  
184 3% 55%  
185 0.9% 52%  
186 3% 51% Median
187 4% 48%  
188 3% 44%  
189 3% 41%  
190 0.6% 38%  
191 1.3% 37%  
192 2% 36%  
193 3% 34%  
194 2% 32%  
195 3% 29%  
196 0.9% 27%  
197 1.3% 26%  
198 2% 24%  
199 2% 22%  
200 1.4% 21%  
201 2% 19%  
202 1.0% 17%  
203 1.0% 16%  
204 0.8% 15%  
205 0.9% 15%  
206 1.4% 14%  
207 1.3% 12%  
208 0.7% 11%  
209 0.6% 10%  
210 0.8% 10%  
211 0.8% 9%  
212 1.0% 8%  
213 0.7% 7%  
214 0.2% 6%  
215 0.6% 6%  
216 0.5% 6%  
217 0.4% 5%  
218 0.5% 5%  
219 0.5% 4%  
220 0.5% 4%  
221 0.2% 3%  
222 0.2% 3%  
223 0.4% 3%  
224 0.4% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.4% 2%  
227 0.2% 1.4%  
228 0.2% 1.2%  
229 0.1% 1.0%  
230 0.2% 0.9%  
231 0.1% 0.7%  
232 0.1% 0.6%  
233 0.1% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0% 0.3%  
236 0% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0% 99.7%  
114 0.1% 99.6%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0.1% 99.4%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0.1% 99.2%  
121 0.1% 99.1%  
122 0.1% 99.0%  
123 0.1% 98.9%  
124 0.1% 98.8%  
125 0.3% 98.7%  
126 0.2% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.4% 98%  
129 0.5% 98%  
130 0.5% 97%  
131 0.2% 97%  
132 0.4% 97%  
133 0.6% 96%  
134 0.4% 96%  
135 0.2% 95%  
136 0.8% 95%  
137 0.9% 94%  
138 0.6% 93%  
139 0.9% 93%  
140 0.2% 92%  
141 0.6% 92%  
142 0.7% 91%  
143 0.5% 90%  
144 0.5% 90%  
145 1.1% 89%  
146 0.2% 88%  
147 0.4% 88%  
148 0.6% 88%  
149 1.3% 87%  
150 0.4% 86%  
151 0.5% 85%  
152 0.4% 85%  
153 0.6% 84%  
154 0.7% 84%  
155 0.7% 83%  
156 0.6% 82%  
157 0.8% 82%  
158 0.9% 81%  
159 0.7% 80%  
160 0.4% 79%  
161 0.7% 79%  
162 0.4% 78%  
163 0.6% 78%  
164 1.0% 77%  
165 1.0% 76%  
166 1.0% 75%  
167 1.0% 74%  
168 0.4% 73%  
169 1.3% 73%  
170 2% 72%  
171 0.7% 70%  
172 2% 69%  
173 1.3% 67%  
174 2% 66%  
175 2% 64%  
176 2% 63%  
177 3% 60%  
178 3% 57%  
179 3% 55%  
180 0.9% 52%  
181 3% 51% Median
182 3% 48%  
183 4% 45%  
184 3% 41%  
185 0.7% 38%  
186 1.4% 37%  
187 1.4% 36%  
188 3% 35%  
189 2% 32%  
190 3% 29%  
191 0.9% 27%  
192 1.4% 26%  
193 2% 24%  
194 2% 23%  
195 1.3% 21%  
196 1.4% 19%  
197 1.3% 18%  
198 1.1% 16%  
199 0.7% 15%  
200 0.8% 15%  
201 1.4% 14%  
202 1.3% 13%  
203 0.8% 11%  
204 0.5% 10%  
205 0.9% 10%  
206 0.8% 9%  
207 1.0% 8%  
208 0.7% 7%  
209 0.2% 6%  
210 0.6% 6%  
211 0.5% 6%  
212 0.4% 5%  
213 0.5% 5%  
214 0.5% 4%  
215 0.5% 4%  
216 0.2% 3%  
217 0.2% 3%  
218 0.5% 3%  
219 0.4% 2%  
220 0.1% 2%  
221 0.4% 2%  
222 0.2% 1.4%  
223 0.2% 1.2%  
224 0.1% 1.0%  
225 0.2% 0.9%  
226 0.1% 0.7%  
227 0.1% 0.6%  
228 0.1% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.4%  
230 0% 0.3%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0.1% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.5%  
119 0% 99.5%  
120 0% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.4%  
123 0.1% 99.3%  
124 0.2% 99.2%  
125 0.2% 99.0%  
126 0.4% 98.9%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.4% 98%  
129 0.8% 98%  
130 0.3% 97%  
131 0.3% 97%  
132 0.9% 96%  
133 0.2% 96%  
134 0.6% 95%  
135 0.4% 95%  
136 0.7% 94%  
137 1.5% 94%  
138 0.5% 92%  
139 1.5% 92%  
140 0.7% 90%  
141 0.5% 90%  
142 1.3% 89%  
143 0.8% 88%  
144 0.5% 87%  
145 0.8% 86%  
146 1.1% 86%  
147 1.3% 85%  
148 0.5% 83%  
149 0.7% 83%  
150 0.2% 82%  
151 0.2% 82%  
152 0.7% 82%  
153 0.8% 81%  
154 0.1% 80%  
155 0.5% 80%  
156 0.6% 80%  
157 0.7% 79%  
158 0.6% 78%  
159 0.7% 78%  
160 1.5% 77%  
161 1.4% 75%  
162 1.0% 74%  
163 3% 73%  
164 0.6% 70%  
165 2% 70%  
166 2% 68%  
167 2% 65%  
168 2% 63%  
169 4% 62%  
170 3% 58%  
171 4% 55% Median
172 2% 52%  
173 3% 49%  
174 4% 46%  
175 5% 43%  
176 3% 38%  
177 5% 35%  
178 3% 30%  
179 2% 28%  
180 4% 26%  
181 3% 22%  
182 1.2% 19%  
183 2% 18%  
184 2% 16%  
185 0.8% 14%  
186 1.3% 13%  
187 1.1% 12%  
188 1.0% 11%  
189 0.9% 10%  
190 0.9% 9%  
191 0.5% 8%  
192 1.0% 8%  
193 0.6% 7%  
194 0.7% 6%  
195 0.3% 5%  
196 0.8% 5%  
197 0.4% 4%  
198 0.3% 4%  
199 0.7% 3%  
200 0.3% 3%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.4%  
205 0.3% 1.2%  
206 0.2% 1.0%  
207 0.1% 0.8%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0.1% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0% 99.6%  
87 0.1% 99.6%  
88 0.1% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.4%  
90 0% 99.3%  
91 0.1% 99.3%  
92 0.1% 99.2%  
93 0.1% 99.1%  
94 0.2% 99.0%  
95 0.2% 98.8%  
96 0.3% 98.6%  
97 0.3% 98%  
98 0.3% 98%  
99 0.3% 98%  
100 0.7% 98%  
101 0.7% 97%  
102 0.3% 96%  
103 0.2% 96%  
104 0.3% 96%  
105 0.6% 95%  
106 0.6% 95%  
107 0.2% 94%  
108 1.1% 94%  
109 0.6% 93%  
110 0.6% 92%  
111 0.2% 92%  
112 0.5% 91%  
113 0.4% 91%  
114 1.2% 91%  
115 0.4% 89%  
116 1.2% 89%  
117 0.4% 88%  
118 0.5% 87%  
119 0.6% 87%  
120 0.5% 86%  
121 2% 86%  
122 0.2% 84%  
123 0.3% 84%  
124 0.8% 84%  
125 0.3% 83%  
126 0.9% 83%  
127 2% 82%  
128 0.8% 80%  
129 0.4% 79%  
130 0.4% 79%  
131 0.6% 78%  
132 0.8% 78%  
133 0.8% 77%  
134 1.1% 76%  
135 2% 75%  
136 0.6% 74%  
137 1.4% 73%  
138 0.7% 72%  
139 2% 71%  
140 2% 69%  
141 1.4% 67%  
142 2% 66%  
143 2% 64%  
144 4% 62%  
145 2% 58%  
146 0.9% 56%  
147 1.3% 55%  
148 3% 54%  
149 3% 51% Median
150 3% 49%  
151 2% 46%  
152 4% 44%  
153 2% 40%  
154 2% 38%  
155 4% 36%  
156 3% 32%  
157 2% 29%  
158 2% 27%  
159 2% 25%  
160 2% 23%  
161 3% 21%  
162 1.5% 18%  
163 1.5% 17%  
164 1.4% 15%  
165 1.1% 14%  
166 0.6% 13%  
167 1.3% 12%  
168 1.2% 11%  
169 0.5% 9%  
170 0.5% 9%  
171 0.6% 8%  
172 0.9% 8%  
173 0.6% 7%  
174 0.6% 6%  
175 0.4% 6%  
176 0.4% 5%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.6% 4%  
179 0.6% 4%  
180 0.3% 3%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.4% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.3% 2%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.2% 1.3%  
187 0.2% 1.1%  
188 0.2% 0.9%  
189 0.1% 0.7%  
190 0.1% 0.6%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0.1% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.7%  
81 0% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.1% 99.5%  
84 0.1% 99.4%  
85 0.1% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0.1% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.1%  
89 0.2% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 98.9%  
91 0.3% 98.6%  
92 0.2% 98%  
93 0.3% 98%  
94 0.3% 98%  
95 0.7% 98%  
96 0.6% 97%  
97 0.3% 96%  
98 0.2% 96%  
99 0.3% 96%  
100 0.5% 95%  
101 0.6% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 1.0% 94%  
104 0.6% 93%  
105 0.6% 92%  
106 0.2% 92%  
107 0.5% 91%  
108 0.5% 91%  
109 1.2% 91%  
110 0.4% 89%  
111 1.2% 89%  
112 0.4% 88%  
113 0.5% 87%  
114 0.3% 87%  
115 0.9% 87%  
116 1.4% 86%  
117 0.3% 84%  
118 0.3% 84%  
119 0.8% 84%  
120 0.4% 83%  
121 0.9% 83%  
122 1.2% 82%  
123 1.1% 80%  
124 0.5% 79%  
125 0.4% 79%  
126 0.6% 78%  
127 0.9% 78%  
128 0.7% 77%  
129 1.2% 76%  
130 1.4% 75%  
131 0.7% 74%  
132 1.2% 73%  
133 0.7% 72%  
134 2% 71%  
135 2% 69%  
136 1.4% 67%  
137 2% 66%  
138 1.4% 64%  
139 4% 62%  
140 2% 58%  
141 0.8% 56%  
142 1.4% 55%  
143 3% 54%  
144 3% 51% Median
145 3% 49%  
146 2% 46%  
147 4% 44%  
148 2% 40%  
149 2% 38%  
150 4% 36%  
151 3% 32%  
152 2% 29%  
153 2% 28%  
154 3% 26%  
155 2% 23%  
156 3% 21%  
157 2% 18%  
158 1.4% 17%  
159 2% 15%  
160 1.1% 14%  
161 0.7% 13%  
162 1.4% 12%  
163 1.2% 11%  
164 0.5% 9%  
165 0.5% 9%  
166 0.7% 8%  
167 0.8% 8%  
168 0.5% 7%  
169 0.6% 6%  
170 0.4% 6%  
171 0.4% 5%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 0.5% 4%  
174 0.6% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.3% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.3%  
182 0.3% 1.2%  
183 0.2% 0.9%  
184 0.1% 0.7%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations