Opinion Poll by We Think, 30–31 May 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 50.4% 48.5–52.2% 48.0–52.7% 47.6–53.2% 46.7–54.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 23.0% 21.5–24.6% 21.1–25.1% 20.7–25.5% 20.0–26.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 8.7% 7.8–9.9% 7.5–10.2% 7.3–10.5% 6.8–11.0%
Brexit Party 2.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.7% 4.6–8.2%
Green Party 2.8% 5.2% 4.5–6.1% 4.3–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.7–7.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.2–4.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 451 418–477 410–484 404–488 393–496
Conservative Party 365 107 80–144 74–150 70–156 61–165
Liberal Democrats 11 24 18–35 17–37 15–39 10–45
Brexit Party 0 4 3–6 3–10 3–13 2–17
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 38 26–47 23–51 21–53 19–55
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.3%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.2% 99.1%  
398 0.2% 99.0%  
399 0.2% 98.8%  
400 0.3% 98.6%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.3% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.3% 97%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.4% 97%  
408 0.3% 96%  
409 0.5% 96%  
410 0.6% 95%  
411 0.6% 95%  
412 0.4% 94%  
413 0.3% 94%  
414 0.9% 94%  
415 0.7% 93%  
416 0.9% 92%  
417 0.5% 91%  
418 0.7% 91%  
419 2% 90%  
420 0.7% 88%  
421 0.9% 88%  
422 0.7% 87%  
423 2% 86%  
424 0.8% 84%  
425 0.5% 84%  
426 2% 83%  
427 0.7% 81%  
428 0.4% 81%  
429 1.5% 80%  
430 0.7% 79%  
431 2% 78%  
432 1.2% 76%  
433 2% 75%  
434 0.8% 73%  
435 0.6% 72%  
436 0.9% 72%  
437 0.7% 71%  
438 1.0% 70%  
439 2% 69%  
440 1.1% 67%  
441 2% 66%  
442 2% 64%  
443 0.9% 62%  
444 2% 61%  
445 0.6% 59%  
446 1.2% 58%  
447 2% 57%  
448 2% 56%  
449 1.5% 54%  
450 1.1% 53%  
451 2% 52% Median
452 2% 50%  
453 3% 48%  
454 1.4% 45%  
455 1.2% 44%  
456 2% 43%  
457 1.2% 41%  
458 3% 40%  
459 2% 37%  
460 2% 35%  
461 2% 33%  
462 0.6% 31%  
463 2% 31%  
464 1.2% 28%  
465 1.4% 27%  
466 2% 26%  
467 1.3% 24%  
468 2% 23%  
469 1.4% 21%  
470 1.4% 20%  
471 2% 18%  
472 2% 17%  
473 0.6% 15%  
474 1.2% 14%  
475 0.8% 13%  
476 1.4% 12%  
477 1.2% 11%  
478 0.5% 10%  
479 0.4% 9%  
480 1.1% 9%  
481 0.8% 8%  
482 1.3% 7%  
483 0.5% 6%  
484 0.4% 5%  
485 0.9% 5%  
486 0.4% 4%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.6% 3%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.5% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.4%  
492 0.3% 1.2%  
493 0.1% 0.9%  
494 0.1% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.4%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.8%  
56 0% 99.8%  
57 0% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.5%  
62 0.1% 99.5%  
63 0.2% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.2%  
65 0.2% 99.0%  
66 0.3% 98.9%  
67 0.3% 98.6%  
68 0.3% 98%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.6% 97%  
72 0.8% 97%  
73 0.7% 96%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 0.7% 95%  
76 0.6% 94%  
77 1.1% 93%  
78 1.3% 92%  
79 0.4% 91%  
80 0.9% 91%  
81 1.0% 90%  
82 1.2% 89%  
83 2% 87%  
84 1.4% 86%  
85 1.0% 84%  
86 0.9% 83%  
87 0.6% 82%  
88 0.7% 82%  
89 1.3% 81%  
90 2% 80%  
91 2% 78%  
92 0.9% 75%  
93 2% 74%  
94 0.8% 73%  
95 1.2% 72%  
96 1.0% 71%  
97 2% 70%  
98 1.2% 68%  
99 1.1% 67%  
100 2% 66%  
101 2% 64%  
102 2% 62%  
103 3% 60%  
104 2% 57%  
105 3% 55%  
106 2% 53%  
107 1.5% 51% Median
108 0.8% 49%  
109 0.7% 49%  
110 2% 48%  
111 0.9% 46%  
112 2% 45%  
113 0.7% 43%  
114 3% 43%  
115 2% 40%  
116 2% 38%  
117 1.4% 36%  
118 1.3% 35%  
119 1.0% 33%  
120 0.9% 32%  
121 1.1% 31%  
122 1.1% 30%  
123 0.8% 29%  
124 2% 28%  
125 1.0% 26%  
126 0.4% 25%  
127 0.5% 25%  
128 1.0% 24%  
129 0.2% 23%  
130 0.6% 23%  
131 0.7% 23%  
132 2% 22%  
133 1.4% 20%  
134 0.8% 19%  
135 0.6% 18%  
136 0.7% 18%  
137 1.2% 17%  
138 1.3% 16%  
139 0.8% 14%  
140 0.5% 14%  
141 0.7% 13%  
142 2% 12%  
143 0.4% 11%  
144 0.8% 10%  
145 1.4% 9%  
146 0.7% 8%  
147 0.6% 7%  
148 0.9% 7%  
149 0.7% 6%  
150 0.5% 5%  
151 0.2% 5%  
152 0.1% 5%  
153 0.8% 4%  
154 0.5% 4%  
155 0.5% 3%  
156 0.4% 3%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.1% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.5%  
161 0.3% 1.1%  
162 0.1% 0.9%  
163 0.1% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.6%  
166 0.1% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0.4% 99.8%  
11 0.2% 99.4% Last Result
12 0.1% 99.2%  
13 0% 99.0%  
14 0.9% 99.0%  
15 2% 98%  
16 1.1% 96%  
17 3% 95%  
18 5% 93%  
19 7% 88%  
20 8% 81%  
21 9% 73%  
22 5% 64%  
23 6% 59%  
24 4% 53% Median
25 5% 49%  
26 6% 45%  
27 7% 39%  
28 4% 32%  
29 4% 28%  
30 4% 25%  
31 4% 21%  
32 3% 17%  
33 1.3% 14%  
34 2% 13%  
35 2% 11%  
36 2% 9%  
37 3% 7%  
38 1.2% 5%  
39 1.5% 3%  
40 0.5% 2%  
41 0.5% 1.5%  
42 0.2% 0.9%  
43 0.1% 0.7%  
44 0.1% 0.6%  
45 0.1% 0.6%  
46 0.1% 0.5%  
47 0.1% 0.4%  
48 0.1% 0.3%  
49 0.1% 0.3%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 99.9%  
3 38% 99.1%  
4 44% 61% Median
5 6% 18%  
6 3% 12%  
7 2% 8%  
8 0.7% 6%  
9 0.2% 5%  
10 0.3% 5%  
11 0.6% 5%  
12 2% 4%  
13 1.1% 3%  
14 0.6% 2%  
15 0.2% 0.9%  
16 0.2% 0.7%  
17 0.1% 0.5%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.1% 0.2%  
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 72% 100% Last Result, Median
2 26% 28%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.2% 99.9%  
18 0.1% 99.6%  
19 0.2% 99.5%  
20 0.6% 99.3%  
21 1.4% 98.8%  
22 1.4% 97%  
23 1.3% 96%  
24 1.3% 95%  
25 3% 93%  
26 2% 90%  
27 3% 88%  
28 2% 84%  
29 4% 83%  
30 2% 79%  
31 0.8% 77%  
32 3% 76%  
33 1.1% 73%  
34 4% 72%  
35 4% 68%  
36 5% 63%  
37 7% 59%  
38 4% 52% Median
39 5% 48%  
40 6% 44%  
41 6% 38%  
42 4% 31%  
43 4% 27%  
44 4% 23%  
45 4% 19%  
46 5% 15%  
47 2% 11%  
48 2% 9% Last Result
49 0.2% 7%  
50 1.5% 7%  
51 0.8% 5%  
52 0.6% 4%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.5% 1.0%  
56 0.2% 0.5%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 27% 100%  
1 28% 73% Median
2 18% 45%  
3 19% 27%  
4 6% 8% Last Result
5 1.4% 1.4%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 517 100% 481–544 474–550 469–554 458–563
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 515 100% 480–543 473–549 467–553 457–562
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 514 100% 479–541 471–547 466–551 455–560
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 489 100% 459–515 452–519 447–523 437–530
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 488 100% 457–513 450–518 445–522 435–529
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 478 100% 442–508 433–514 425–521 414–531
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 476 100% 440–507 431–513 423–520 411–529
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 453 100% 420–479 412–485 406–489 395–497
Labour Party 202 451 100% 418–477 410–484 404–488 393–496
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 147 0% 117–184 111–193 103–200 94–212
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 145 0% 115–183 109–191 102–198 92–210
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 134 0% 108–166 104–172 100–177 93–184
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 109 0% 81–145 75–152 71–158 62–167
Conservative Party 365 107 0% 80–144 74–150 70–156 61–165

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.8%  
455 0% 99.7%  
456 0.1% 99.7%  
457 0.1% 99.6%  
458 0.1% 99.5%  
459 0.1% 99.5%  
460 0.1% 99.4%  
461 0.1% 99.3%  
462 0.2% 99.2%  
463 0.2% 99.0%  
464 0.2% 98.8%  
465 0.2% 98.6%  
466 0.3% 98%  
467 0.2% 98%  
468 0.5% 98%  
469 0.4% 98%  
470 0.4% 97%  
471 0.5% 97%  
472 0.4% 96%  
473 0.5% 96%  
474 0.4% 95%  
475 0.3% 95%  
476 0.4% 95%  
477 0.5% 94%  
478 1.1% 94%  
479 0.5% 93%  
480 0.8% 92%  
481 1.3% 91%  
482 0.7% 90%  
483 0.6% 89%  
484 1.3% 89%  
485 0.8% 87%  
486 0.9% 87%  
487 0.8% 86%  
488 0.9% 85%  
489 2% 84%  
490 0.6% 82%  
491 0.6% 82%  
492 0.6% 81%  
493 1.4% 81%  
494 0.9% 79%  
495 1.5% 78%  
496 0.4% 77%  
497 0.6% 76%  
498 1.0% 76%  
499 0.4% 75%  
500 0.6% 74%  
501 1.0% 74%  
502 1.1% 73%  
503 2% 72%  
504 1.3% 70%  
505 1.4% 68%  
506 1.0% 67%  
507 0.9% 66%  
508 2% 65%  
509 2% 63%  
510 2% 61%  
511 1.4% 59%  
512 1.5% 57%  
513 2% 56%  
514 1.2% 54%  
515 0.8% 53% Median
516 0.9% 52%  
517 2% 51%  
518 2% 49%  
519 2% 47%  
520 2% 45%  
521 2% 43%  
522 3% 41%  
523 0.8% 37%  
524 2% 37%  
525 1.4% 34%  
526 1.3% 33%  
527 0.9% 32%  
528 2% 31%  
529 0.8% 29%  
530 1.3% 28%  
531 1.4% 27%  
532 1.0% 25%  
533 1.1% 24%  
534 2% 23%  
535 2% 21%  
536 1.1% 19%  
537 0.8% 18%  
538 0.8% 18%  
539 1.1% 17%  
540 0.7% 16%  
541 2% 15%  
542 2% 13%  
543 0.4% 11%  
544 1.0% 11%  
545 0.9% 10%  
546 1.1% 9%  
547 0.6% 8%  
548 1.0% 7%  
549 0.7% 6%  
550 0.7% 5%  
551 0.5% 5%  
552 0.8% 4%  
553 0.6% 3%  
554 0.3% 3%  
555 0.4% 2%  
556 0.2% 2%  
557 0.3% 2%  
558 0.3% 1.5%  
559 0.2% 1.2%  
560 0.1% 1.0%  
561 0.1% 0.8%  
562 0.2% 0.7%  
563 0.1% 0.6%  
564 0% 0.5%  
565 0.1% 0.4%  
566 0.1% 0.3%  
567 0% 0.3%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.2%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.7%  
456 0.1% 99.6%  
457 0.1% 99.5%  
458 0.1% 99.5%  
459 0.1% 99.4%  
460 0.1% 99.3%  
461 0.1% 99.1%  
462 0.2% 99.0%  
463 0.2% 98.8%  
464 0.2% 98.6%  
465 0.3% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.4% 98%  
468 0.4% 97%  
469 0.4% 97%  
470 0.4% 97%  
471 0.4% 96%  
472 0.5% 96%  
473 0.4% 95%  
474 0.3% 95%  
475 0.4% 94%  
476 0.6% 94%  
477 1.1% 94%  
478 0.5% 92%  
479 0.8% 92%  
480 1.3% 91%  
481 0.8% 90%  
482 0.5% 89%  
483 1.4% 89%  
484 0.7% 87%  
485 0.8% 86%  
486 0.7% 86%  
487 1.0% 85%  
488 2% 84%  
489 0.4% 82%  
490 0.9% 82%  
491 0.3% 81%  
492 2% 80%  
493 0.5% 79%  
494 1.4% 78%  
495 0.4% 77%  
496 0.7% 76%  
497 1.0% 76%  
498 0.5% 75%  
499 0.7% 74%  
500 1.0% 73%  
501 1.0% 72%  
502 2% 71%  
503 1.3% 69%  
504 2% 68%  
505 0.6% 66%  
506 2% 66%  
507 2% 64%  
508 2% 62%  
509 1.2% 60%  
510 1.3% 58%  
511 1.2% 57%  
512 3% 56%  
513 0.7% 53%  
514 1.0% 52% Median
515 1.4% 51%  
516 2% 50%  
517 2% 48%  
518 2% 46%  
519 2% 44%  
520 3% 42%  
521 2% 39%  
522 0.9% 37%  
523 2% 36%  
524 2% 34%  
525 1.1% 32%  
526 2% 31%  
527 1.0% 30%  
528 0.8% 29%  
529 1.3% 28%  
530 1.2% 26%  
531 0.9% 25%  
532 1.3% 24%  
533 2% 23%  
534 2% 21%  
535 1.2% 19%  
536 0.7% 18%  
537 0.6% 17%  
538 1.1% 17%  
539 1.4% 16%  
540 2% 14%  
541 0.7% 12%  
542 0.8% 11%  
543 0.8% 10%  
544 0.8% 10%  
545 1.0% 9%  
546 0.8% 8%  
547 0.9% 7%  
548 0.7% 6%  
549 0.7% 5%  
550 0.6% 5%  
551 0.6% 4%  
552 0.6% 3%  
553 0.3% 3%  
554 0.4% 2%  
555 0.3% 2%  
556 0.3% 2%  
557 0.3% 1.4%  
558 0.2% 1.2%  
559 0.1% 1.0%  
560 0.1% 0.8%  
561 0.1% 0.7%  
562 0.1% 0.5%  
563 0% 0.5%  
564 0.1% 0.4%  
565 0.1% 0.3%  
566 0% 0.3%  
567 0% 0.2%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.7%  
453 0% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.6%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.1% 99.4%  
458 0.2% 99.3%  
459 0.1% 99.1%  
460 0.1% 99.0%  
461 0.1% 98.9%  
462 0.4% 98.8%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.3% 98%  
465 0.3% 98%  
466 0.4% 98%  
467 0.5% 97%  
468 0.4% 97%  
469 0.6% 96%  
470 0.5% 96%  
471 0.3% 95%  
472 0.5% 95%  
473 0.4% 94%  
474 0.5% 94%  
475 0.5% 94%  
476 1.0% 93%  
477 0.4% 92%  
478 0.3% 92%  
479 2% 91%  
480 0.7% 89%  
481 0.9% 89%  
482 1.2% 88%  
483 0.7% 86%  
484 1.2% 86%  
485 0.6% 85%  
486 0.8% 84%  
487 2% 83%  
488 0.4% 81%  
489 0.4% 81%  
490 1.2% 81%  
491 0.4% 79%  
492 1.4% 79%  
493 1.3% 78%  
494 0.5% 76%  
495 0.9% 76%  
496 0.5% 75%  
497 1.0% 75%  
498 0.6% 74%  
499 1.3% 73%  
500 1.5% 72%  
501 2% 70%  
502 1.1% 68%  
503 1.4% 67%  
504 0.7% 66%  
505 2% 65%  
506 3% 63%  
507 2% 60%  
508 1.1% 58%  
509 1.0% 57%  
510 1.1% 56%  
511 2% 55%  
512 2% 53%  
513 1.3% 51% Median
514 0.9% 50%  
515 2% 49%  
516 2% 47%  
517 2% 46%  
518 2% 44%  
519 4% 42%  
520 2% 38%  
521 2% 36%  
522 1.1% 34%  
523 0.9% 33%  
524 2% 32%  
525 1.0% 30%  
526 1.4% 29%  
527 0.7% 28%  
528 0.7% 27%  
529 1.5% 26%  
530 2% 25%  
531 1.1% 23%  
532 1.0% 22%  
533 2% 21%  
534 0.9% 19%  
535 1.4% 18%  
536 0.8% 16%  
537 1.2% 16%  
538 1.4% 14%  
539 1.3% 13%  
540 1.5% 12%  
541 0.4% 10%  
542 1.2% 10%  
543 0.7% 9%  
544 1.1% 8%  
545 0.5% 7%  
546 0.7% 6%  
547 0.8% 6%  
548 0.8% 5%  
549 0.5% 4%  
550 0.6% 4%  
551 0.6% 3%  
552 0.3% 2%  
553 0.3% 2%  
554 0.2% 2%  
555 0.3% 2%  
556 0.3% 1.4%  
557 0.3% 1.1%  
558 0.1% 0.9%  
559 0.1% 0.7%  
560 0.1% 0.6%  
561 0% 0.5%  
562 0.1% 0.5%  
563 0.1% 0.4%  
564 0.1% 0.3%  
565 0% 0.2%  
566 0% 0.2%  
567 0% 0.2%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.1%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.8%  
434 0% 99.7%  
435 0.1% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.6%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0.1% 99.4%  
440 0.2% 99.3%  
441 0.1% 99.1%  
442 0.3% 99.0%  
443 0.2% 98.7%  
444 0.2% 98.6%  
445 0.5% 98%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.3% 98%  
448 0.8% 97%  
449 0.4% 96%  
450 0.5% 96%  
451 0.5% 96%  
452 0.3% 95%  
453 1.2% 95%  
454 0.3% 94%  
455 2% 93%  
456 0.5% 92%  
457 0.5% 91%  
458 0.6% 91%  
459 1.2% 90%  
460 0.7% 89%  
461 0.8% 88%  
462 0.7% 87%  
463 2% 87%  
464 2% 85%  
465 0.6% 83%  
466 0.9% 82%  
467 2% 81%  
468 0.8% 80%  
469 1.0% 79%  
470 0.6% 78%  
471 0.5% 77%  
472 0.4% 77%  
473 2% 77%  
474 0.7% 75%  
475 0.6% 74%  
476 1.1% 73%  
477 1.2% 72%  
478 0.9% 71%  
479 1.4% 70%  
480 1.4% 69%  
481 3% 67%  
482 0.6% 64%  
483 2% 63%  
484 2% 62%  
485 2% 60%  
486 2% 58%  
487 1.1% 56%  
488 3% 55%  
489 2% 52%  
490 2% 50% Median
491 3% 48%  
492 2% 45%  
493 0.8% 43%  
494 1.4% 42%  
495 2% 41%  
496 2% 39%  
497 1.5% 37%  
498 3% 36%  
499 2% 33%  
500 2% 31%  
501 2% 29%  
502 2% 27%  
503 2% 25%  
504 0.6% 24%  
505 0.7% 23%  
506 1.4% 22%  
507 0.8% 21%  
508 2% 20%  
509 0.8% 18%  
510 1.0% 18%  
511 1.0% 17%  
512 2% 15%  
513 1.4% 13%  
514 0.8% 12%  
515 1.2% 11%  
516 1.2% 10%  
517 1.0% 9%  
518 1.2% 8%  
519 2% 6%  
520 0.9% 5%  
521 0.7% 4%  
522 0.5% 3%  
523 0.3% 3%  
524 0.4% 2%  
525 0.4% 2%  
526 0.2% 2%  
527 0.4% 1.3%  
528 0.1% 0.8%  
529 0.1% 0.7%  
530 0.2% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0.1% 0.3%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.8%  
433 0% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.6%  
435 0.1% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.5%  
437 0.1% 99.4%  
438 0.1% 99.3%  
439 0.2% 99.2%  
440 0.2% 99.0%  
441 0.3% 98.8%  
442 0.2% 98.5%  
443 0.2% 98%  
444 0.4% 98%  
445 0.6% 98%  
446 0.3% 97%  
447 0.8% 97%  
448 0.4% 96%  
449 0.3% 96%  
450 0.5% 95%  
451 0.6% 95%  
452 0.8% 94%  
453 0.7% 93%  
454 1.3% 93%  
455 0.6% 91%  
456 0.6% 91%  
457 1.3% 90%  
458 0.4% 89%  
459 0.8% 88%  
460 0.6% 88%  
461 1.4% 87%  
462 1.3% 86%  
463 2% 84%  
464 0.8% 82%  
465 0.9% 82%  
466 2% 81%  
467 0.4% 79%  
468 0.8% 78%  
469 0.7% 78%  
470 0.3% 77%  
471 0.7% 77%  
472 0.7% 76%  
473 2% 75%  
474 0.5% 73%  
475 1.2% 73%  
476 0.5% 72%  
477 2% 71%  
478 2% 69%  
479 1.3% 67%  
480 3% 66%  
481 1.1% 63%  
482 1.4% 62%  
483 2% 61%  
484 1.2% 59%  
485 2% 58%  
486 3% 56%  
487 1.5% 53%  
488 3% 52%  
489 3% 49% Median
490 3% 46%  
491 1.2% 43%  
492 2% 42%  
493 1.0% 41%  
494 1.3% 40%  
495 1.2% 38%  
496 3% 37%  
497 1.0% 35%  
498 4% 34%  
499 3% 30%  
500 2% 27%  
501 0.8% 26%  
502 2% 25%  
503 1.3% 23%  
504 0.6% 21%  
505 0.5% 21%  
506 1.2% 20%  
507 1.2% 19%  
508 1.0% 18%  
509 0.9% 17%  
510 2% 16%  
511 1.3% 14%  
512 2% 13%  
513 1.4% 11%  
514 1.0% 10%  
515 1.0% 9%  
516 1.3% 8%  
517 1.0% 7%  
518 1.1% 6%  
519 1.1% 5%  
520 0.4% 4%  
521 0.5% 3%  
522 0.5% 3%  
523 0.5% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.4% 1.5%  
526 0.1% 1.0%  
527 0.2% 0.9%  
528 0.1% 0.6%  
529 0.1% 0.5%  
530 0.1% 0.5%  
531 0.1% 0.3%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.7%  
412 0.1% 99.6%  
413 0.1% 99.6%  
414 0.1% 99.5%  
415 0.2% 99.4%  
416 0% 99.2%  
417 0.1% 99.2%  
418 0.1% 99.1%  
419 0.2% 99.0%  
420 0.2% 98.7%  
421 0.2% 98.6%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.1% 98%  
424 0.4% 98%  
425 0.4% 98%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.3% 97%  
429 0.2% 97%  
430 0.2% 96%  
431 0.5% 96%  
432 0.4% 96%  
433 0.4% 95%  
434 0.4% 95%  
435 0.8% 94%  
436 0.3% 94%  
437 0.8% 93%  
438 0.4% 92%  
439 0.8% 92%  
440 0.5% 91%  
441 0.6% 91%  
442 0.6% 90%  
443 1.3% 89%  
444 0.2% 88%  
445 1.2% 88%  
446 1.0% 87%  
447 0.5% 86%  
448 0.5% 85%  
449 1.0% 85%  
450 1.0% 84%  
451 0.8% 83%  
452 3% 82%  
453 0.5% 79%  
454 0.7% 79%  
455 0.6% 78%  
456 1.0% 77%  
457 0.7% 76%  
458 0.4% 76%  
459 2% 75%  
460 1.1% 73%  
461 0.6% 72%  
462 0.6% 71%  
463 2% 71%  
464 1.0% 69%  
465 2% 68%  
466 2% 66%  
467 0.7% 64%  
468 0.7% 63%  
469 2% 63%  
470 0.8% 60%  
471 1.0% 59%  
472 1.0% 58%  
473 1.1% 57%  
474 0.9% 56%  
475 2% 55%  
476 1.0% 53% Median
477 1.3% 52%  
478 3% 51%  
479 0.7% 48%  
480 0.9% 47%  
481 3% 46%  
482 1.5% 43%  
483 1.4% 41%  
484 0.9% 40%  
485 0.7% 39%  
486 0.9% 38%  
487 3% 37%  
488 2% 35%  
489 0.9% 33%  
490 1.3% 32%  
491 0.9% 31%  
492 0.6% 30%  
493 3% 29%  
494 1.3% 26%  
495 2% 25%  
496 0.9% 23%  
497 1.3% 22%  
498 1.4% 21%  
499 2% 20%  
500 1.0% 18%  
501 0.6% 17%  
502 1.0% 17%  
503 2% 16%  
504 0.7% 14%  
505 0.4% 13%  
506 0.9% 13%  
507 1.0% 12%  
508 2% 11%  
509 0.6% 9%  
510 1.2% 9%  
511 0.9% 7%  
512 0.3% 7%  
513 1.0% 6%  
514 0.4% 5%  
515 0.7% 5%  
516 0.3% 4%  
517 0.5% 4%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.4% 3%  
522 0.5% 2%  
523 0.3% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.2% 1.4%  
526 0.2% 1.2%  
527 0.1% 1.0%  
528 0.1% 0.9%  
529 0.1% 0.8%  
530 0.1% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.5%  
532 0.1% 0.4%  
533 0.1% 0.4%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.1% 99.4%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 99.2%  
416 0.1% 99.1%  
417 0.1% 99.0%  
418 0.2% 98.9%  
419 0.1% 98.7%  
420 0.3% 98.5%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.4% 98%  
423 0.2% 98%  
424 0.3% 97%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.1% 97%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.3% 96%  
429 0.3% 96%  
430 0.5% 96%  
431 0.4% 95%  
432 0.4% 95%  
433 0.6% 94%  
434 0.3% 94%  
435 0.9% 94%  
436 0.4% 93%  
437 0.9% 92%  
438 0.7% 91%  
439 0.3% 91%  
440 0.7% 90%  
441 0.6% 90%  
442 1.2% 89%  
443 0.3% 88%  
444 2% 88%  
445 0.8% 86%  
446 0.7% 85%  
447 0.3% 84%  
448 0.7% 84%  
449 1.0% 83%  
450 1.1% 82%  
451 2% 81%  
452 2% 79%  
453 0.5% 78%  
454 0.3% 77%  
455 1.2% 77%  
456 1.4% 76%  
457 0.6% 75%  
458 2% 74%  
459 1.3% 72%  
460 0.6% 71%  
461 0.5% 70%  
462 2% 70%  
463 1.4% 68%  
464 2% 67%  
465 1.3% 65%  
466 1.2% 64%  
467 0.9% 62%  
468 0.8% 61%  
469 2% 61%  
470 1.1% 59%  
471 0.9% 57%  
472 0.8% 56%  
473 1.2% 56%  
474 2% 55%  
475 1.4% 53% Median
476 2% 51%  
477 2% 50%  
478 2% 48%  
479 2% 46%  
480 1.3% 44%  
481 2% 43%  
482 1.1% 41%  
483 1.3% 40%  
484 1.2% 39%  
485 2% 37%  
486 1.2% 36%  
487 2% 34%  
488 1.4% 33%  
489 1.0% 31%  
490 1.4% 30%  
491 0.7% 29%  
492 2% 28%  
493 3% 26%  
494 0.9% 24%  
495 1.5% 23%  
496 1.1% 21%  
497 0.8% 20%  
498 1.2% 20%  
499 1.5% 18%  
500 1.2% 17%  
501 1.1% 16%  
502 0.4% 15%  
503 1.1% 14%  
504 1.2% 13%  
505 0.8% 12%  
506 0.4% 11%  
507 2% 11%  
508 0.6% 9%  
509 0.8% 8%  
510 0.9% 7%  
511 0.6% 6%  
512 0.6% 6%  
513 0.5% 5%  
514 0.4% 5%  
515 0.4% 4%  
516 0.3% 4%  
517 0.3% 3%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.3% 3%  
520 0.3% 3%  
521 0.4% 2%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.3% 1.5%  
524 0.1% 1.2%  
525 0.2% 1.1%  
526 0.2% 0.9%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.7%  
529 0.1% 0.6%  
530 0.1% 0.5%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.2%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0.1% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.7%  
394 0.1% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.6%  
396 0.1% 99.5%  
397 0.1% 99.4%  
398 0.2% 99.2%  
399 0.1% 99.1%  
400 0.1% 98.9%  
401 0.2% 98.8%  
402 0.3% 98.6%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.3% 97%  
408 0.5% 97%  
409 0.2% 96%  
410 0.5% 96%  
411 0.5% 96%  
412 0.4% 95%  
413 0.5% 95%  
414 0.6% 94%  
415 0.7% 94%  
416 1.0% 93%  
417 0.7% 92%  
418 0.4% 92%  
419 1.0% 91%  
420 1.1% 90%  
421 0.9% 89%  
422 0.9% 88%  
423 0.7% 87%  
424 1.3% 87%  
425 0.8% 85%  
426 0.8% 84%  
427 1.5% 84%  
428 0.4% 82%  
429 1.1% 82%  
430 0.7% 81%  
431 1.3% 80%  
432 2% 79%  
433 2% 77%  
434 0.6% 75%  
435 0.8% 74%  
436 0.9% 73%  
437 1.1% 72%  
438 0.8% 71%  
439 0.8% 71%  
440 2% 70%  
441 1.2% 68%  
442 2% 67%  
443 1.4% 65%  
444 1.4% 64%  
445 1.2% 62%  
446 2% 61%  
447 0.8% 59%  
448 1.4% 58%  
449 2% 57%  
450 1.3% 55%  
451 1.2% 53%  
452 1.3% 52% Median
453 2% 51%  
454 3% 49%  
455 2% 46%  
456 2% 45%  
457 0.8% 43%  
458 2% 42%  
459 1.3% 40%  
460 4% 39%  
461 1.0% 35%  
462 1.4% 34%  
463 1.0% 33%  
464 3% 32%  
465 0.7% 28%  
466 1.1% 28%  
467 1.2% 26%  
468 2% 25%  
469 2% 23%  
470 1.0% 22%  
471 2% 21%  
472 2% 19%  
473 2% 17%  
474 0.8% 16%  
475 1.1% 15%  
476 1.0% 14%  
477 2% 13%  
478 0.5% 11%  
479 1.0% 11%  
480 0.7% 10%  
481 1.2% 9%  
482 0.7% 8%  
483 1.4% 7%  
484 0.6% 6%  
485 0.3% 5%  
486 0.3% 5%  
487 0.9% 5%  
488 0.8% 4%  
489 0.4% 3%  
490 0.6% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.4% 2%  
493 0.2% 1.2%  
494 0.2% 1.0%  
495 0.1% 0.8%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.6%  
498 0.1% 0.5%  
499 0% 0.4%  
500 0.1% 0.3%  
501 0.1% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.2%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.8%  
391 0.1% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.3%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.2% 99.1%  
398 0.2% 99.0%  
399 0.2% 98.8%  
400 0.3% 98.6%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.3% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.3% 97%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.4% 97%  
408 0.3% 96%  
409 0.5% 96%  
410 0.6% 95%  
411 0.6% 95%  
412 0.4% 94%  
413 0.3% 94%  
414 0.9% 94%  
415 0.7% 93%  
416 0.9% 92%  
417 0.5% 91%  
418 0.7% 91%  
419 2% 90%  
420 0.7% 88%  
421 0.9% 88%  
422 0.7% 87%  
423 2% 86%  
424 0.8% 84%  
425 0.5% 84%  
426 2% 83%  
427 0.7% 81%  
428 0.4% 81%  
429 1.5% 80%  
430 0.7% 79%  
431 2% 78%  
432 1.2% 76%  
433 2% 75%  
434 0.8% 73%  
435 0.6% 72%  
436 0.9% 72%  
437 0.7% 71%  
438 1.0% 70%  
439 2% 69%  
440 1.1% 67%  
441 2% 66%  
442 2% 64%  
443 0.9% 62%  
444 2% 61%  
445 0.6% 59%  
446 1.2% 58%  
447 2% 57%  
448 2% 56%  
449 1.5% 54%  
450 1.1% 53%  
451 2% 52% Median
452 2% 50%  
453 3% 48%  
454 1.4% 45%  
455 1.2% 44%  
456 2% 43%  
457 1.2% 41%  
458 3% 40%  
459 2% 37%  
460 2% 35%  
461 2% 33%  
462 0.6% 31%  
463 2% 31%  
464 1.2% 28%  
465 1.4% 27%  
466 2% 26%  
467 1.3% 24%  
468 2% 23%  
469 1.4% 21%  
470 1.4% 20%  
471 2% 18%  
472 2% 17%  
473 0.6% 15%  
474 1.2% 14%  
475 0.8% 13%  
476 1.4% 12%  
477 1.2% 11%  
478 0.5% 10%  
479 0.4% 9%  
480 1.1% 9%  
481 0.8% 8%  
482 1.3% 7%  
483 0.5% 6%  
484 0.4% 5%  
485 0.9% 5%  
486 0.4% 4%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.6% 3%  
489 0.4% 2%  
490 0.5% 2%  
491 0.2% 1.4%  
492 0.3% 1.2%  
493 0.1% 0.9%  
494 0.1% 0.8%  
495 0.1% 0.6%  
496 0.1% 0.5%  
497 0.1% 0.4%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0% 100%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.5%  
95 0.2% 99.4%  
96 0.1% 99.3%  
97 0.1% 99.2%  
98 0.2% 99.1%  
99 0.1% 98.9%  
100 0.3% 98.8%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.4% 98%  
103 0.3% 98%  
104 0.3% 97%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.3% 97%  
107 0.2% 96%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.3% 96%  
110 0.5% 96%  
111 0.8% 95%  
112 0.3% 94%  
113 1.0% 94%  
114 1.1% 93%  
115 0.6% 92%  
116 0.9% 91%  
117 2% 90%  
118 0.7% 89%  
119 1.2% 88%  
120 0.8% 87%  
121 0.8% 86%  
122 2% 85%  
123 1.1% 83%  
124 1.0% 82%  
125 1.2% 81%  
126 0.7% 80%  
127 1.4% 79%  
128 1.2% 78%  
129 1.4% 77%  
130 2% 75%  
131 2% 73%  
132 0.7% 71%  
133 0.9% 71%  
134 1.3% 70%  
135 1.5% 68%  
136 1.2% 67%  
137 1.5% 66%  
138 2% 64%  
139 2% 63%  
140 2% 61%  
141 0.4% 59%  
142 2% 59%  
143 1.4% 57%  
144 1.0% 55%  
145 3% 54%  
146 1.2% 51% Median
147 1.4% 50%  
148 1.4% 49%  
149 2% 47%  
150 2% 46%  
151 0.7% 44%  
152 1.4% 43%  
153 0.9% 42%  
154 0.5% 41%  
155 1.4% 41%  
156 1.3% 39%  
157 2% 38%  
158 1.3% 36%  
159 1.5% 35%  
160 1.1% 33%  
161 0.5% 32%  
162 1.0% 32%  
163 1.1% 31%  
164 2% 30%  
165 1.5% 28%  
166 0.5% 26%  
167 1.2% 26%  
168 1.4% 25%  
169 0.6% 23%  
170 0.8% 23%  
171 0.4% 22%  
172 0.5% 21%  
173 1.3% 21%  
174 2% 20%  
175 0.9% 18%  
176 1.2% 17%  
177 0.6% 16%  
178 0.4% 15%  
179 0.8% 15%  
180 0.5% 14%  
181 1.5% 13%  
182 0.5% 12%  
183 1.0% 11%  
184 0.8% 10%  
185 0.3% 10%  
186 0.6% 9%  
187 0.8% 9%  
188 0.8% 8%  
189 0.3% 7%  
190 0.8% 7%  
191 0.5% 6%  
192 0.4% 5%  
193 0.6% 5%  
194 0.2% 4%  
195 0.4% 4%  
196 0.3% 4%  
197 0.6% 4%  
198 0.2% 3%  
199 0.2% 3%  
200 0.2% 3%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.2% 1.4%  
206 0.1% 1.2%  
207 0.2% 1.1%  
208 0.1% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.8%  
210 0.1% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.7%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.1% 99.6%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0.1% 99.4%  
95 0.1% 99.3%  
96 0.1% 99.1%  
97 0.1% 99.0%  
98 0.2% 98.9%  
99 0.3% 98.7%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.4% 98%  
103 0.2% 97%  
104 0.3% 97%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.3% 96%  
107 0.4% 96%  
108 0.5% 96%  
109 0.4% 95%  
110 0.8% 95%  
111 0.6% 94%  
112 0.8% 93%  
113 1.1% 93%  
114 0.9% 91%  
115 0.7% 90%  
116 2% 90%  
117 1.3% 88%  
118 0.5% 87%  
119 0.5% 86%  
120 2% 86%  
121 1.1% 84%  
122 0.5% 83%  
123 1.2% 82%  
124 1.0% 81%  
125 2% 80%  
126 1.2% 78%  
127 0.9% 77%  
128 1.0% 76%  
129 3% 75%  
130 0.7% 72%  
131 2% 72%  
132 1.1% 70%  
133 0.9% 69%  
134 1.0% 68%  
135 2% 67%  
136 0.7% 64%  
137 2% 64%  
138 2% 62%  
139 1.4% 60%  
140 1.3% 59%  
141 1.0% 58%  
142 2% 56%  
143 2% 54%  
144 1.3% 52%  
145 2% 51% Median
146 2% 50%  
147 1.2% 48%  
148 1.2% 47%  
149 2% 46%  
150 2% 44%  
151 1.4% 42%  
152 0.6% 41%  
153 0.7% 40%  
154 0.7% 40%  
155 2% 39%  
156 0.9% 37%  
157 2% 36%  
158 0.9% 34%  
159 1.0% 33%  
160 0.6% 32%  
161 1.3% 31%  
162 1.1% 30%  
163 2% 29%  
164 0.6% 27%  
165 0.7% 26%  
166 1.3% 25%  
167 1.3% 24%  
168 0.4% 23%  
169 0.7% 22%  
170 0.7% 22%  
171 0.5% 21%  
172 0.6% 20%  
173 2% 20%  
174 2% 17%  
175 0.6% 16%  
176 0.6% 15%  
177 0.7% 15%  
178 0.7% 14%  
179 0.9% 13%  
180 0.9% 12%  
181 0.4% 11%  
182 1.0% 11%  
183 0.7% 10%  
184 0.6% 9%  
185 0.6% 9%  
186 0.7% 8%  
187 0.6% 7%  
188 0.8% 7%  
189 0.3% 6%  
190 0.6% 6%  
191 0.3% 5%  
192 0.7% 5%  
193 0.2% 4%  
194 0.5% 4%  
195 0.4% 4%  
196 0.2% 3%  
197 0.2% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.1% 2%  
200 0.4% 2%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.5%  
204 0.2% 1.3%  
205 0.1% 1.1%  
206 0.2% 1.0%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.1% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.2% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0.2% 99.5%  
95 0.1% 99.3%  
96 0.4% 99.2%  
97 0.2% 98.8%  
98 0.5% 98.6%  
99 0.5% 98%  
100 0.3% 98%  
101 0.3% 97%  
102 0.6% 97%  
103 1.1% 96%  
104 1.5% 95%  
105 2% 94%  
106 1.0% 92%  
107 1.0% 91%  
108 1.0% 90%  
109 1.3% 89%  
110 1.1% 88%  
111 2% 87%  
112 2% 85%  
113 0.7% 83%  
114 0.9% 82%  
115 1.1% 81%  
116 1.1% 80%  
117 1.4% 79%  
118 0.6% 77%  
119 0.7% 77%  
120 1.5% 76%  
121 2% 75%  
122 1.1% 73%  
123 2% 72%  
124 2% 69%  
125 3% 67%  
126 2% 64%  
127 2% 62%  
128 2% 60%  
129 1.4% 58%  
130 1.1% 57%  
131 2% 55% Median
132 2% 54%  
133 2% 52%  
134 2% 50%  
135 3% 49%  
136 1.3% 45%  
137 2% 44%  
138 2% 42%  
139 1.2% 40%  
140 2% 39%  
141 1.3% 37%  
142 1.4% 36%  
143 2% 34%  
144 0.5% 32%  
145 2% 31%  
146 0.6% 29%  
147 1.1% 28%  
148 2% 27%  
149 0.3% 26%  
150 0.5% 25%  
151 0.6% 25%  
152 2% 24%  
153 0.4% 23%  
154 0.7% 22%  
155 0.4% 22%  
156 1.0% 21%  
157 0.8% 20%  
158 0.5% 19%  
159 2% 19%  
160 1.3% 17%  
161 2% 16%  
162 2% 14%  
163 0.6% 12%  
164 0.8% 12%  
165 0.5% 11%  
166 1.1% 10%  
167 0.8% 9%  
168 0.4% 8%  
169 0.6% 8%  
170 1.4% 7%  
171 0.7% 6%  
172 1.1% 5%  
173 0.3% 4%  
174 0.2% 4%  
175 0.4% 4%  
176 0.6% 3%  
177 0.5% 3%  
178 0.7% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.1% 1.3%  
181 0.3% 1.2%  
182 0.1% 0.9%  
183 0.2% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.8%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 0% 99.5%  
63 0.1% 99.5%  
64 0.1% 99.4%  
65 0.2% 99.3%  
66 0.2% 99.1%  
67 0.3% 98.9%  
68 0.2% 98.7%  
69 0.4% 98%  
70 0.3% 98%  
71 0.3% 98%  
72 0.5% 97%  
73 0.6% 97%  
74 0.7% 96%  
75 0.9% 96%  
76 0.5% 95%  
77 0.7% 94%  
78 1.0% 94%  
79 0.5% 93%  
80 1.0% 92%  
81 1.1% 91%  
82 1.0% 90%  
83 1.0% 89%  
84 1.1% 88%  
85 2% 87%  
86 0.8% 85%  
87 1.1% 84%  
88 0.6% 83%  
89 1.4% 82%  
90 0.6% 81%  
91 2% 80%  
92 1.3% 78%  
93 3% 77%  
94 1.0% 74%  
95 0.7% 73%  
96 1.0% 72%  
97 2% 71%  
98 1.2% 70%  
99 1.0% 69%  
100 0.7% 68%  
101 1.0% 67%  
102 2% 66%  
103 4% 64%  
104 2% 60%  
105 3% 58%  
106 2% 55%  
107 2% 53%  
108 1.0% 51% Median
109 0.7% 50%  
110 2% 50%  
111 0.8% 48%  
112 0.9% 47%  
113 1.2% 46%  
114 2% 45%  
115 2% 43%  
116 1.4% 41%  
117 4% 40%  
118 0.6% 36%  
119 2% 36%  
120 0.5% 34%  
121 2% 34%  
122 0.6% 32%  
123 1.3% 31%  
124 1.1% 30%  
125 2% 29%  
126 0.9% 27%  
127 0.9% 26%  
128 0.9% 25%  
129 0.5% 24%  
130 0.4% 24%  
131 0.7% 23%  
132 0.2% 23%  
133 2% 23%  
134 0.8% 20%  
135 0.8% 19%  
136 0.8% 19%  
137 0.6% 18%  
138 1.2% 17%  
139 0.8% 16%  
140 0.8% 15%  
141 1.1% 15%  
142 0.6% 13%  
143 1.1% 13%  
144 1.0% 12%  
145 0.8% 11%  
146 2% 10%  
147 0.5% 8%  
148 0.4% 8%  
149 1.0% 7%  
150 0.7% 6%  
151 0.3% 6%  
152 0.4% 5%  
153 0.5% 5%  
154 0.4% 4%  
155 0.2% 4%  
156 0.7% 4%  
157 0.4% 3%  
158 0.5% 3%  
159 0.3% 2%  
160 0.2% 2%  
161 0.3% 2%  
162 0.2% 1.3%  
163 0.2% 1.1%  
164 0.1% 0.9%  
165 0.1% 0.8%  
166 0.1% 0.7%  
167 0.1% 0.6%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.3%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.8%  
56 0% 99.8%  
57 0% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.7%  
60 0.1% 99.6%  
61 0.1% 99.5%  
62 0.1% 99.5%  
63 0.2% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.2%  
65 0.2% 99.0%  
66 0.3% 98.9%  
67 0.3% 98.6%  
68 0.3% 98%  
69 0.5% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.6% 97%  
72 0.8% 97%  
73 0.7% 96%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 0.7% 95%  
76 0.6% 94%  
77 1.1% 93%  
78 1.3% 92%  
79 0.4% 91%  
80 0.9% 91%  
81 1.0% 90%  
82 1.2% 89%  
83 2% 87%  
84 1.4% 86%  
85 1.0% 84%  
86 0.9% 83%  
87 0.6% 82%  
88 0.7% 82%  
89 1.3% 81%  
90 2% 80%  
91 2% 78%  
92 0.9% 75%  
93 2% 74%  
94 0.8% 73%  
95 1.2% 72%  
96 1.0% 71%  
97 2% 70%  
98 1.2% 68%  
99 1.1% 67%  
100 2% 66%  
101 2% 64%  
102 2% 62%  
103 3% 60%  
104 2% 57%  
105 3% 55%  
106 2% 53%  
107 1.5% 51% Median
108 0.8% 49%  
109 0.7% 49%  
110 2% 48%  
111 0.9% 46%  
112 2% 45%  
113 0.7% 43%  
114 3% 43%  
115 2% 40%  
116 2% 38%  
117 1.4% 36%  
118 1.3% 35%  
119 1.0% 33%  
120 0.9% 32%  
121 1.1% 31%  
122 1.1% 30%  
123 0.8% 29%  
124 2% 28%  
125 1.0% 26%  
126 0.4% 25%  
127 0.5% 25%  
128 1.0% 24%  
129 0.2% 23%  
130 0.6% 23%  
131 0.7% 23%  
132 2% 22%  
133 1.4% 20%  
134 0.8% 19%  
135 0.6% 18%  
136 0.7% 18%  
137 1.2% 17%  
138 1.3% 16%  
139 0.8% 14%  
140 0.5% 14%  
141 0.7% 13%  
142 2% 12%  
143 0.4% 11%  
144 0.8% 10%  
145 1.4% 9%  
146 0.7% 8%  
147 0.6% 7%  
148 0.9% 7%  
149 0.7% 6%  
150 0.5% 5%  
151 0.2% 5%  
152 0.1% 5%  
153 0.8% 4%  
154 0.5% 4%  
155 0.5% 3%  
156 0.4% 3%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.5% 2%  
159 0.1% 2%  
160 0.3% 1.5%  
161 0.3% 1.1%  
162 0.1% 0.9%  
163 0.1% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.7%  
165 0.1% 0.6%  
166 0.1% 0.5%  
167 0.1% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations