Opinion Poll by Norstat, 4–5 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.3% 47.2–51.4% 46.6–52.0% 46.0–52.5% 45.0–53.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.2% 22.4–26.0% 21.9–26.6% 21.5–27.0% 20.7–28.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.9% 9.7–12.4% 9.4–12.8% 9.1–13.1% 8.5–13.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.4–8.2% 5.2–8.5% 4.8–9.1%
Green Party 2.8% 4.3% 3.5–5.3% 3.3–5.5% 3.1–5.8% 2.8–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.6–4.2% 2.5–4.4% 2.3–4.6% 2.0–5.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 423 394–460 386–469 379–476 364–486
Conservative Party 365 125 80–152 72–161 66–169 57–182
Liberal Democrats 11 38 26–50 23–51 22–54 18–60
Brexit Party 0 4 3–14 3–17 3–19 3–20
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 36 24–48 21–52 20–54 16–57
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.4%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0.1% 99.2%  
369 0.1% 99.2%  
370 0.1% 99.0%  
371 0.1% 98.9%  
372 0.1% 98.8%  
373 0.2% 98.7%  
374 0.2% 98.6%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.1% 98%  
377 0.1% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.3% 98%  
380 0.3% 97%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 0.5% 97%  
384 0.5% 96%  
385 0.4% 96%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.6% 94%  
388 0.9% 94%  
389 0.4% 93%  
390 0.3% 93%  
391 0.5% 92%  
392 0.8% 92%  
393 0.8% 91%  
394 1.2% 90%  
395 1.1% 89%  
396 0.6% 88%  
397 1.3% 87%  
398 1.1% 86%  
399 1.0% 85%  
400 0.8% 84%  
401 2% 83%  
402 1.0% 81%  
403 2% 80%  
404 1.4% 78%  
405 0.5% 77%  
406 1.4% 77%  
407 3% 75%  
408 0.5% 72%  
409 0.8% 72%  
410 0.9% 71%  
411 3% 70%  
412 1.0% 67%  
413 0.8% 66%  
414 4% 65%  
415 1.5% 61%  
416 0.8% 60%  
417 2% 59%  
418 1.5% 57%  
419 0.4% 56%  
420 2% 55%  
421 0.6% 54%  
422 2% 53%  
423 2% 50% Median
424 0.9% 48%  
425 1.2% 47%  
426 1.2% 46%  
427 0.6% 45%  
428 3% 44%  
429 0.7% 41%  
430 1.4% 40%  
431 0.9% 39%  
432 1.2% 38%  
433 2% 37%  
434 0.7% 35%  
435 0.6% 34%  
436 1.2% 34%  
437 2% 33%  
438 0.5% 31%  
439 2% 30%  
440 0.4% 28%  
441 0.9% 28%  
442 0.6% 27%  
443 2% 26%  
444 1.1% 25%  
445 1.2% 24%  
446 0.8% 22%  
447 1.0% 22%  
448 0.4% 21%  
449 1.3% 20%  
450 0.8% 19%  
451 1.1% 18%  
452 0.9% 17%  
453 0.7% 16%  
454 1.0% 15%  
455 1.2% 14%  
456 1.2% 13%  
457 0.5% 12%  
458 0.6% 11%  
459 0.5% 11%  
460 0.8% 10%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.7% 9%  
463 0.5% 8%  
464 0.6% 8%  
465 0.5% 7%  
466 0.5% 7%  
467 0.7% 6%  
468 0.2% 6%  
469 0.5% 5%  
470 0.3% 5%  
471 0.8% 5%  
472 0.4% 4%  
473 0.4% 3%  
474 0.1% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.6% 3%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.5% 2%  
480 0.1% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.1%  
482 0.1% 1.0%  
483 0.2% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.7%  
485 0.2% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.2% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 0% 99.6%  
57 0.1% 99.5%  
58 0.1% 99.4%  
59 0.1% 99.3%  
60 0.2% 99.2%  
61 0.1% 99.0%  
62 0.4% 98.9%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 0.7% 98%  
66 0.2% 98%  
67 0.4% 97%  
68 0.3% 97%  
69 0.3% 97%  
70 0.8% 96%  
71 0.2% 96%  
72 0.8% 95%  
73 0.7% 95%  
74 0.4% 94%  
75 0.4% 93%  
76 0.4% 93%  
77 0.2% 93%  
78 0.9% 92%  
79 1.0% 92%  
80 0.7% 91%  
81 0.9% 90%  
82 0.7% 89%  
83 0.6% 88%  
84 0.7% 88%  
85 0.2% 87%  
86 0.6% 87%  
87 0.5% 86%  
88 1.0% 86%  
89 0.6% 85%  
90 0.9% 84%  
91 1.2% 83%  
92 0.7% 82%  
93 0.5% 81%  
94 0.5% 81%  
95 0.9% 80%  
96 0.5% 79%  
97 0.8% 79%  
98 1.5% 78%  
99 0.4% 77%  
100 2% 76%  
101 0.7% 75%  
102 0.5% 74%  
103 0.9% 73%  
104 0.5% 73%  
105 0.8% 72%  
106 2% 71%  
107 1.1% 69%  
108 0.7% 68%  
109 0.5% 67%  
110 1.2% 67%  
111 1.2% 66%  
112 1.2% 65%  
113 0.5% 63%  
114 1.3% 63%  
115 0.6% 62%  
116 0.6% 61%  
117 0.7% 60%  
118 0.6% 60%  
119 0.8% 59%  
120 0.7% 58%  
121 2% 57%  
122 0.9% 55%  
123 2% 54%  
124 0.5% 53%  
125 4% 52% Median
126 0.7% 48%  
127 0.5% 47%  
128 3% 47%  
129 2% 44%  
130 1.3% 43%  
131 2% 41%  
132 1.2% 40%  
133 2% 38%  
134 3% 36%  
135 1.4% 33%  
136 2% 32%  
137 2% 30%  
138 2% 28%  
139 2% 26%  
140 2% 24%  
141 0.6% 22%  
142 2% 21%  
143 1.0% 20%  
144 2% 19%  
145 1.2% 16%  
146 0.5% 15%  
147 1.2% 15%  
148 0.7% 14%  
149 0.6% 13%  
150 0.7% 12%  
151 0.6% 11%  
152 1.0% 11%  
153 0.9% 10%  
154 0.5% 9%  
155 0.6% 8%  
156 0.6% 8%  
157 0.7% 7%  
158 0.4% 7%  
159 0.6% 6%  
160 0.4% 6%  
161 0.5% 5%  
162 0.4% 5%  
163 0.2% 4%  
164 0.3% 4%  
165 0.3% 4%  
166 0.3% 4%  
167 0.2% 3%  
168 0.1% 3%  
169 0.6% 3%  
170 0.2% 2%  
171 0.2% 2%  
172 0.1% 2%  
173 0.1% 2%  
174 0.1% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.4%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.9%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.1% 99.9%  
18 0.3% 99.8%  
19 0.3% 99.5%  
20 0.6% 99.2%  
21 0.8% 98.6%  
22 1.2% 98%  
23 2% 97%  
24 2% 95%  
25 2% 93%  
26 2% 91%  
27 4% 89%  
28 1.3% 86%  
29 1.2% 84%  
30 2% 83%  
31 3% 81%  
32 2% 78%  
33 4% 76%  
34 2% 72%  
35 4% 70%  
36 6% 66%  
37 8% 60%  
38 4% 52% Median
39 8% 48%  
40 7% 40%  
41 8% 33%  
42 3% 25%  
43 2% 22%  
44 0.7% 20%  
45 1.4% 20%  
46 1.2% 18%  
47 0.8% 17%  
48 2% 16%  
49 2% 14%  
50 4% 13%  
51 4% 9%  
52 1.0% 5%  
53 0.7% 4%  
54 1.1% 3%  
55 0.7% 2%  
56 0.2% 1.2%  
57 0.3% 1.1%  
58 0.1% 0.8%  
59 0.2% 0.7%  
60 0.2% 0.5%  
61 0% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0% 0.2%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0.1%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 17% 99.8%  
4 37% 83% Median
5 9% 46%  
6 8% 37%  
7 4% 29%  
8 2% 25%  
9 0.7% 24%  
10 1.1% 23%  
11 2% 22%  
12 5% 20%  
13 3% 15%  
14 3% 12%  
15 0.7% 9%  
16 2% 8%  
17 1.3% 6%  
18 1.3% 5%  
19 2% 4%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.3% 0.4%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0.2% 99.8%  
16 0.8% 99.6%  
17 0.7% 98.9%  
18 0.2% 98%  
19 0.3% 98%  
20 0.8% 98%  
21 4% 97%  
22 3% 93%  
23 0.6% 91%  
24 0.6% 90%  
25 2% 89%  
26 1.1% 88%  
27 2% 87%  
28 0.5% 84%  
29 4% 84%  
30 3% 80%  
31 0.2% 77%  
32 4% 77%  
33 0.6% 73%  
34 14% 72%  
35 2% 58%  
36 9% 56% Median
37 2% 47%  
38 8% 45%  
39 2% 37%  
40 5% 35%  
41 5% 30%  
42 2% 25%  
43 3% 23%  
44 4% 20%  
45 3% 17%  
46 2% 14%  
47 1.0% 12%  
48 0.9% 11% Last Result
49 1.0% 10%  
50 0.9% 9%  
51 2% 8%  
52 1.4% 6%  
53 1.4% 5%  
54 1.5% 3%  
55 0.9% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.0%  
57 0.5% 0.7%  
58 0.2% 0.2%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 15% 100%  
1 16% 85%  
2 22% 70% Median
3 25% 48%  
4 15% 22% Last Result
5 8% 8%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 499 100% 469–542 460–551 451–557 438–566
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 498 100% 468–541 459–550 450–556 437–565
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 495 100% 466–540 457–548 449–554 434–563
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 462 100% 427–508 419–516 411–522 395–535
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 460 100% 425–505 417–514 408–520 393–532
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 459 100% 436–496 428–505 420–511 407–517
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 458 100% 433–494 425–503 418–509 405–515
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 425 100% 396–462 388–472 381–477 367–488
Labour Party 202 423 100% 394–460 386–469 379–476 364–486
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 163 0% 116–196 109–206 103–211 89–224
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 161 0% 113–193 106–204 101–209 86–221
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 162 0% 125–184 117–192 111–199 105–210
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 127 0% 83–155 74–163 68–171 58–185
Conservative Party 365 125 0% 80–152 72–161 66–169 57–182

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.8%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0.1% 99.7%  
435 0% 99.6%  
436 0% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.6%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0% 99.4%  
440 0.1% 99.4%  
441 0.1% 99.3%  
442 0.1% 99.2%  
443 0.2% 99.1%  
444 0.1% 98.9%  
445 0.1% 98.8%  
446 0.1% 98.8%  
447 0.1% 98.6%  
448 0.3% 98.5%  
449 0.3% 98%  
450 0.3% 98%  
451 0.1% 98%  
452 0.1% 97%  
453 0.2% 97%  
454 0.1% 97%  
455 0.4% 97%  
456 0.3% 97%  
457 0.6% 96%  
458 0.3% 96%  
459 0.3% 96%  
460 0.5% 95%  
461 0.4% 95%  
462 0.4% 94%  
463 0.4% 94%  
464 0.5% 94%  
465 0.6% 93%  
466 1.0% 93%  
467 0.4% 92%  
468 0.6% 91%  
469 0.7% 91%  
470 0.3% 90%  
471 0.8% 90%  
472 0.7% 89%  
473 1.2% 88%  
474 1.4% 87%  
475 1.2% 85%  
476 1.4% 84%  
477 0.7% 83%  
478 0.6% 82%  
479 2% 81%  
480 0.7% 80%  
481 0.9% 79%  
482 1.4% 78%  
483 1.3% 77%  
484 1.1% 75%  
485 2% 74%  
486 1.2% 72%  
487 1.4% 71%  
488 1.1% 70%  
489 2% 68%  
490 3% 67%  
491 1.3% 63%  
492 3% 62%  
493 0.8% 59%  
494 1.4% 58%  
495 1.2% 57%  
496 2% 56%  
497 0.7% 54%  
498 2% 53%  
499 0.6% 50%  
500 0.5% 50% Median
501 4% 49%  
502 0.3% 45%  
503 2% 45%  
504 1.2% 43%  
505 2% 42%  
506 1.3% 40%  
507 0.7% 39%  
508 0.6% 38%  
509 0.5% 38%  
510 0.5% 37%  
511 0.7% 37%  
512 2% 36%  
513 0.6% 34%  
514 2% 34%  
515 1.3% 32%  
516 0.6% 30%  
517 0.8% 30%  
518 0.3% 29%  
519 3% 29%  
520 0.9% 26%  
521 0.5% 25%  
522 0.4% 25%  
523 0.6% 24%  
524 0.9% 24%  
525 1.1% 23%  
526 1.0% 22%  
527 1.0% 21%  
528 0.8% 20%  
529 0.7% 19%  
530 0.9% 18%  
531 0.7% 17%  
532 0.6% 17%  
533 0.9% 16%  
534 0.9% 15%  
535 0.4% 14%  
536 0.8% 14%  
537 0.8% 13%  
538 0.6% 12%  
539 0.2% 12%  
540 0.4% 12%  
541 0.5% 11%  
542 0.7% 11%  
543 0.4% 10%  
544 1.0% 9%  
545 0.3% 8%  
546 0.9% 8%  
547 0.5% 7%  
548 0.2% 7%  
549 0.6% 6%  
550 0.4% 6%  
551 0.5% 5%  
552 0.5% 5%  
553 0.3% 4%  
554 0.6% 4%  
555 0.3% 3%  
556 0.3% 3%  
557 0.4% 3%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0.7% 2%  
560 0.1% 2%  
561 0.1% 1.4%  
562 0.4% 1.3%  
563 0.1% 1.0%  
564 0.2% 0.9%  
565 0.1% 0.7%  
566 0.1% 0.6%  
567 0.1% 0.5%  
568 0% 0.4%  
569 0.1% 0.4%  
570 0.1% 0.3%  
571 0% 0.2%  
572 0% 0.2%  
573 0% 0.2%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0.1%  
580 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0.1% 99.8%  
432 0.1% 99.7%  
433 0.1% 99.7%  
434 0% 99.6%  
435 0% 99.6%  
436 0.1% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.5%  
438 0% 99.4%  
439 0.1% 99.4%  
440 0.1% 99.3%  
441 0.1% 99.2%  
442 0.2% 99.1%  
443 0.1% 98.9%  
444 0.1% 98.8%  
445 0.1% 98.8%  
446 0.1% 98.6%  
447 0.3% 98.5%  
448 0.3% 98%  
449 0.3% 98%  
450 0.1% 98%  
451 0.1% 97%  
452 0.2% 97%  
453 0.1% 97%  
454 0.4% 97%  
455 0.3% 97%  
456 0.6% 96%  
457 0.3% 96%  
458 0.3% 96%  
459 0.5% 95%  
460 0.4% 95%  
461 0.4% 94%  
462 0.4% 94%  
463 0.5% 94%  
464 0.6% 93%  
465 1.1% 93%  
466 0.4% 92%  
467 0.6% 91%  
468 0.7% 90%  
469 0.3% 90%  
470 0.8% 89%  
471 0.7% 89%  
472 1.2% 88%  
473 1.4% 87%  
474 1.2% 85%  
475 1.4% 84%  
476 0.7% 83%  
477 0.6% 82%  
478 2% 81%  
479 0.7% 80%  
480 0.9% 79%  
481 1.4% 78%  
482 1.3% 77%  
483 1.1% 75%  
484 2% 74%  
485 1.2% 72%  
486 1.4% 71%  
487 1.2% 70%  
488 2% 68%  
489 3% 67%  
490 1.3% 63%  
491 3% 62%  
492 0.8% 59%  
493 1.4% 58%  
494 1.2% 57%  
495 2% 56%  
496 0.6% 53%  
497 2% 53%  
498 0.7% 50%  
499 0.5% 50% Median
500 4% 49%  
501 0.3% 45%  
502 2% 45%  
503 1.2% 43%  
504 2% 42%  
505 1.3% 40%  
506 0.6% 39%  
507 0.6% 38%  
508 0.5% 38%  
509 0.5% 37%  
510 0.7% 37%  
511 2% 36%  
512 0.6% 34%  
513 2% 34%  
514 1.1% 32%  
515 0.7% 30%  
516 0.8% 30%  
517 0.3% 29%  
518 3% 29%  
519 0.9% 26%  
520 0.5% 25%  
521 0.4% 25%  
522 0.6% 24%  
523 0.8% 24%  
524 1.2% 23%  
525 1.0% 22%  
526 1.0% 21%  
527 0.9% 20%  
528 0.7% 19%  
529 0.8% 18%  
530 0.8% 17%  
531 0.5% 17%  
532 0.9% 16%  
533 0.9% 15%  
534 0.4% 14%  
535 0.8% 14%  
536 0.8% 13%  
537 0.5% 12%  
538 0.3% 12%  
539 0.4% 11%  
540 0.5% 11%  
541 0.7% 11%  
542 0.4% 10%  
543 1.0% 9%  
544 0.3% 8%  
545 0.9% 8%  
546 0.5% 7%  
547 0.2% 7%  
548 0.6% 6%  
549 0.4% 6%  
550 0.5% 5%  
551 0.5% 5%  
552 0.3% 4%  
553 0.6% 4%  
554 0.3% 3%  
555 0.3% 3%  
556 0.4% 3%  
557 0.1% 2%  
558 0.7% 2%  
559 0.1% 2%  
560 0.1% 1.4%  
561 0.4% 1.3%  
562 0.1% 1.0%  
563 0.2% 0.9%  
564 0.1% 0.7%  
565 0.1% 0.6%  
566 0.1% 0.5%  
567 0% 0.4%  
568 0.1% 0.4%  
569 0.1% 0.3%  
570 0% 0.2%  
571 0% 0.2%  
572 0% 0.2%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.8%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0.1% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.7%  
432 0% 99.6%  
433 0% 99.6%  
434 0% 99.5%  
435 0.1% 99.5%  
436 0.1% 99.4%  
437 0.1% 99.3%  
438 0.1% 99.2%  
439 0.1% 99.1%  
440 0.1% 99.0%  
441 0.1% 98.9%  
442 0.1% 98.8%  
443 0.1% 98.7%  
444 0.1% 98.5%  
445 0.4% 98%  
446 0.4% 98%  
447 0.1% 98%  
448 0.1% 98%  
449 0.3% 98%  
450 0.2% 97%  
451 0.1% 97%  
452 0.3% 97%  
453 0.2% 97%  
454 0.3% 96%  
455 0.8% 96%  
456 0.3% 95%  
457 0.4% 95%  
458 0.4% 95%  
459 0.4% 94%  
460 0.3% 94%  
461 0.7% 94%  
462 1.0% 93%  
463 0.5% 92%  
464 0.7% 91%  
465 0.6% 91%  
466 0.5% 90%  
467 0.6% 90%  
468 0.6% 89%  
469 1.4% 88%  
470 1.4% 87%  
471 0.9% 86%  
472 2% 85%  
473 0.8% 83%  
474 1.3% 82%  
475 0.7% 81%  
476 1.0% 81%  
477 1.0% 80%  
478 2% 79%  
479 0.6% 77%  
480 2% 76%  
481 0.8% 75%  
482 1.2% 74%  
483 2% 73%  
484 1.3% 70%  
485 1.2% 69%  
486 2% 68%  
487 5% 66%  
488 2% 61%  
489 0.8% 60%  
490 1.4% 59%  
491 1.2% 58%  
492 1.2% 56%  
493 0.5% 55%  
494 2% 55%  
495 3% 53%  
496 0.6% 50%  
497 0.3% 49% Median
498 3% 49%  
499 3% 46%  
500 0.7% 44%  
501 2% 43%  
502 1.3% 41%  
503 1.0% 40%  
504 0.4% 39%  
505 0.5% 38%  
506 0.9% 38%  
507 0.5% 37%  
508 0.8% 36%  
509 0.9% 36%  
510 2% 35%  
511 1.3% 33%  
512 1.4% 32%  
513 0.8% 30%  
514 0.6% 30%  
515 1.4% 29%  
516 1.4% 28%  
517 1.1% 26%  
518 0.7% 25%  
519 0.9% 24%  
520 0.3% 23%  
521 0.6% 23%  
522 1.0% 23%  
523 1.1% 22%  
524 0.8% 20%  
525 1.2% 20%  
526 0.5% 18%  
527 0.8% 18%  
528 1.1% 17%  
529 0.6% 16%  
530 0.8% 15%  
531 0.7% 15%  
532 0.6% 14%  
533 0.6% 13%  
534 0.8% 13%  
535 0.4% 12%  
536 0.3% 11%  
537 0.2% 11%  
538 0.4% 11%  
539 0.4% 11%  
540 1.0% 10%  
541 1.0% 9%  
542 0.5% 8%  
543 0.5% 8%  
544 0.3% 7%  
545 0.9% 7%  
546 0.4% 6%  
547 0.5% 6%  
548 0.4% 5%  
549 0.2% 5%  
550 0.3% 4%  
551 0.7% 4%  
552 0.1% 3%  
553 0.4% 3%  
554 0.4% 3%  
555 0.3% 2%  
556 0.7% 2%  
557 0.1% 1.4%  
558 0.1% 1.3%  
559 0.1% 1.2%  
560 0.2% 1.1%  
561 0.2% 0.9%  
562 0.2% 0.8%  
563 0.1% 0.5%  
564 0.1% 0.5%  
565 0.1% 0.4%  
566 0.1% 0.3%  
567 0.1% 0.3%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0.1% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.7%  
392 0% 99.7%  
393 0% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.6%  
395 0.1% 99.5%  
396 0.1% 99.4%  
397 0% 99.4%  
398 0.1% 99.4%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.2%  
401 0.1% 99.1%  
402 0.1% 99.0%  
403 0.1% 99.0%  
404 0.2% 98.8%  
405 0% 98.7%  
406 0.2% 98.6%  
407 0.1% 98%  
408 0.2% 98%  
409 0.2% 98%  
410 0.3% 98%  
411 0.2% 98%  
412 0.2% 97%  
413 0.3% 97%  
414 0.4% 97%  
415 0.2% 96%  
416 0.3% 96%  
417 0.3% 96%  
418 0.5% 96%  
419 0.4% 95%  
420 0.5% 95%  
421 0.7% 94%  
422 0.5% 93%  
423 0.5% 93%  
424 0.9% 92%  
425 0.5% 92%  
426 0.7% 91%  
427 0.5% 90%  
428 0.3% 90%  
429 1.0% 90%  
430 0.9% 89%  
431 0.3% 88%  
432 0.8% 87%  
433 0.6% 87%  
434 0.3% 86%  
435 0.9% 86%  
436 0.8% 85%  
437 0.8% 84%  
438 0.5% 83%  
439 2% 83%  
440 0.6% 81%  
441 0.3% 80%  
442 1.3% 80%  
443 0.9% 79%  
444 1.3% 78%  
445 0.7% 77%  
446 1.3% 76%  
447 1.4% 75%  
448 2% 73%  
449 0.8% 72%  
450 1.0% 71%  
451 2% 70%  
452 0.9% 67%  
453 3% 67%  
454 2% 64%  
455 1.1% 61%  
456 0.6% 60%  
457 4% 60%  
458 0.6% 55%  
459 2% 55%  
460 1.0% 53%  
461 1.4% 52%  
462 2% 51%  
463 0.6% 49% Median
464 2% 49%  
465 2% 47%  
466 3% 45%  
467 0.9% 42%  
468 0.8% 41%  
469 0.8% 40%  
470 0.8% 39%  
471 1.3% 38%  
472 1.2% 37%  
473 1.2% 36%  
474 1.1% 35%  
475 0.4% 34%  
476 0.7% 33%  
477 2% 33%  
478 0.9% 31%  
479 1.5% 30%  
480 0.6% 29%  
481 0.5% 28%  
482 2% 27%  
483 0.8% 26%  
484 0.7% 25%  
485 0.4% 24%  
486 0.7% 24%  
487 0.8% 23%  
488 0.7% 22%  
489 0.5% 22%  
490 0.3% 21%  
491 0.5% 21%  
492 0.3% 20%  
493 0.8% 20%  
494 0.8% 19%  
495 0.5% 19%  
496 0.3% 18%  
497 1.3% 18%  
498 0.7% 16%  
499 1.0% 16%  
500 0.4% 15%  
501 0.8% 14%  
502 0.7% 14%  
503 0.7% 13%  
504 0.4% 12%  
505 0.4% 12%  
506 0.3% 11%  
507 1.0% 11%  
508 0.5% 10%  
509 0.6% 10%  
510 0.9% 9%  
511 1.0% 8%  
512 0.6% 7%  
513 0.2% 6%  
514 0.2% 6%  
515 0.8% 6%  
516 0.3% 5%  
517 0.7% 5%  
518 0.4% 4%  
519 0.1% 4%  
520 0.5% 4%  
521 0.6% 3%  
522 0.6% 3%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.4% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.2%  
527 0.2% 1.2%  
528 0% 0.9%  
529 0.1% 0.9%  
530 0% 0.7%  
531 0.1% 0.7%  
532 0.1% 0.6%  
533 0% 0.6%  
534 0% 0.6%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0% 0.5%  
537 0.1% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0% 0.4%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.3%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.6%  
391 0% 99.6%  
392 0% 99.5%  
393 0.1% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.4%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.3%  
397 0.1% 99.3%  
398 0.1% 99.1%  
399 0.1% 99.0%  
400 0.2% 99.0%  
401 0.1% 98.8%  
402 0.1% 98.7%  
403 0.1% 98.7%  
404 0.2% 98.6%  
405 0.1% 98%  
406 0.3% 98%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.4% 98%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.1% 97%  
411 0.3% 97%  
412 0.3% 97%  
413 0.2% 96%  
414 0.4% 96%  
415 0.4% 96%  
416 0.3% 95%  
417 0.8% 95%  
418 0.3% 94%  
419 0.6% 94%  
420 0.7% 93%  
421 0.3% 93%  
422 0.8% 92%  
423 0.6% 92%  
424 0.9% 91%  
425 0.4% 90%  
426 0.5% 90%  
427 0.7% 89%  
428 0.8% 89%  
429 0.7% 88%  
430 0.5% 87%  
431 0.6% 87%  
432 0.9% 86%  
433 0.9% 85%  
434 0.4% 84%  
435 0.7% 84%  
436 1.3% 83%  
437 0.7% 82%  
438 0.8% 81%  
439 1.2% 80%  
440 1.3% 79%  
441 0.6% 78%  
442 1.0% 77%  
443 0.5% 76%  
444 0.9% 75%  
445 2% 75%  
446 1.3% 73%  
447 3% 72%  
448 0.9% 69%  
449 0.6% 68%  
450 0.8% 68%  
451 4% 67%  
452 2% 63%  
453 2% 61%  
454 2% 59%  
455 3% 58%  
456 0.5% 55%  
457 0.9% 54%  
458 1.2% 53%  
459 2% 52%  
460 0.8% 51%  
461 2% 50% Median
462 0.9% 48%  
463 0.9% 47%  
464 5% 46%  
465 0.8% 41%  
466 0.7% 40%  
467 0.6% 39%  
468 1.5% 39%  
469 0.7% 37%  
470 1.4% 37%  
471 0.4% 35%  
472 1.3% 35%  
473 0.5% 34%  
474 0.8% 33%  
475 1.1% 32%  
476 1.3% 31%  
477 0.5% 30%  
478 2% 29%  
479 1.0% 28%  
480 1.2% 27%  
481 0.6% 26%  
482 0.5% 25%  
483 1.1% 25%  
484 1.0% 24%  
485 0.2% 22%  
486 0.2% 22%  
487 0.7% 22%  
488 0.4% 21%  
489 0.6% 21%  
490 0.7% 20%  
491 0.5% 20%  
492 0.5% 19%  
493 0.6% 19%  
494 0.9% 18%  
495 0.8% 17%  
496 1.1% 16%  
497 0.6% 15%  
498 0.7% 14%  
499 0.6% 14%  
500 0.5% 13%  
501 0.5% 13%  
502 0.7% 12%  
503 0.4% 11%  
504 0.5% 11%  
505 0.6% 11%  
506 0.2% 10%  
507 1.3% 10%  
508 1.1% 8%  
509 0.2% 7%  
510 0.6% 7%  
511 0.6% 6%  
512 0.3% 6%  
513 0.4% 6%  
514 0.4% 5%  
515 0.7% 5%  
516 0.1% 4%  
517 0.6% 4%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.7% 3%  
520 0.6% 3%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.3% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.3% 1.4%  
525 0.1% 1.1%  
526 0.2% 1.0%  
527 0% 0.8%  
528 0.1% 0.8%  
529 0.1% 0.7%  
530 0% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.6%  
532 0% 0.5%  
533 0% 0.5%  
534 0% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.4%  
536 0% 0.4%  
537 0.1% 0.4%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0.1% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.7%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0% 99.6%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.4%  
410 0.1% 99.3%  
411 0.1% 99.3%  
412 0.2% 99.1%  
413 0.1% 99.0%  
414 0.1% 98.9%  
415 0.2% 98.7%  
416 0.3% 98.5%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.1% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.3% 98%  
421 0.3% 97%  
422 0.5% 97%  
423 0.2% 97%  
424 0.2% 97%  
425 0.3% 96%  
426 0.3% 96%  
427 0.6% 96%  
428 0.4% 95%  
429 0.9% 95%  
430 0.3% 94%  
431 0.2% 93%  
432 0.4% 93%  
433 1.1% 93%  
434 0.8% 92%  
435 0.9% 91%  
436 1.1% 90%  
437 1.1% 89%  
438 1.2% 88%  
439 1.1% 87%  
440 0.8% 86%  
441 1.4% 85%  
442 0.8% 83%  
443 1.4% 83%  
444 2% 81%  
445 3% 79%  
446 2% 77%  
447 1.0% 75%  
448 0.9% 74%  
449 3% 73%  
450 1.4% 70%  
451 2% 68%  
452 4% 66%  
453 1.2% 62%  
454 0.7% 61%  
455 2% 60%  
456 2% 58%  
457 1.0% 56%  
458 3% 55%  
459 3% 52%  
460 0.9% 49%  
461 0.6% 49% Median
462 0.5% 48%  
463 2% 47%  
464 3% 46%  
465 1.1% 42%  
466 0.6% 41%  
467 2% 41%  
468 1.2% 39%  
469 0.8% 38%  
470 0.5% 37%  
471 0.8% 37%  
472 0.3% 36%  
473 0.6% 36%  
474 2% 35%  
475 1.0% 33%  
476 0.9% 32%  
477 1.3% 31%  
478 2% 30%  
479 0.6% 28%  
480 0.9% 27%  
481 2% 26%  
482 0.7% 25%  
483 1.5% 24%  
484 0.6% 22%  
485 2% 22%  
486 0.8% 20%  
487 0.9% 19%  
488 1.3% 19%  
489 0.7% 17%  
490 0.9% 17%  
491 1.2% 16%  
492 0.5% 14%  
493 1.0% 14%  
494 0.5% 13%  
495 1.3% 13%  
496 1.4% 11%  
497 0.9% 10%  
498 0.6% 9%  
499 0.3% 8%  
500 0.3% 8%  
501 0.4% 8%  
502 0.5% 7%  
503 0.6% 7%  
504 1.1% 6%  
505 0.3% 5%  
506 0.3% 5%  
507 0.3% 5%  
508 0.3% 4%  
509 0.6% 4%  
510 0.6% 3%  
511 0.4% 3%  
512 0.6% 2%  
513 0.7% 2%  
514 0.2% 1.1%  
515 0.1% 0.9%  
516 0.2% 0.8%  
517 0.2% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.5%  
519 0.1% 0.4%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0.1% 0.3%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0% 99.7%  
403 0% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.6%  
405 0.1% 99.5%  
406 0% 99.4%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.2%  
409 0.1% 99.2%  
410 0.1% 99.1%  
411 0.1% 98.9%  
412 0.3% 98.8%  
413 0.1% 98.6%  
414 0.2% 98%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.3% 97%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.3% 97%  
422 0.1% 96%  
423 0.4% 96%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.5% 95%  
426 0.8% 95%  
427 0.3% 94%  
428 0.5% 94%  
429 0.7% 93%  
430 0.6% 93%  
431 0.5% 92%  
432 1.1% 92%  
433 0.9% 90%  
434 2% 90%  
435 0.7% 88%  
436 0.8% 87%  
437 0.8% 86%  
438 2% 86%  
439 1.4% 84%  
440 1.2% 82%  
441 2% 81%  
442 1.3% 79%  
443 0.7% 78%  
444 2% 77%  
445 2% 75%  
446 1.3% 73%  
447 3% 71%  
448 0.9% 69%  
449 2% 68%  
450 3% 66%  
451 2% 63%  
452 2% 61%  
453 1.3% 59%  
454 3% 58%  
455 1.2% 55%  
456 1.2% 54%  
457 0.8% 53%  
458 3% 52%  
459 0.9% 48% Median
460 1.4% 47%  
461 0.6% 46%  
462 3% 45%  
463 0.9% 42%  
464 1.4% 42%  
465 0.9% 40%  
466 1.4% 39%  
467 1.0% 38%  
468 0.4% 37%  
469 0.8% 37%  
470 0.7% 36%  
471 1.0% 35%  
472 1.2% 34%  
473 2% 33%  
474 0.9% 31%  
475 0.6% 30%  
476 1.5% 30%  
477 2% 28%  
478 0.6% 27%  
479 2% 26%  
480 1.1% 24%  
481 1.4% 23%  
482 1.0% 22%  
483 1.0% 21%  
484 0.9% 20%  
485 1.0% 19%  
486 1.1% 18%  
487 0.4% 17%  
488 1.4% 16%  
489 0.9% 15%  
490 0.3% 14%  
491 1.0% 14%  
492 0.8% 13%  
493 1.3% 12%  
494 1.2% 11%  
495 0.5% 10%  
496 0.6% 9%  
497 0.7% 8%  
498 0.2% 8%  
499 0.7% 8%  
500 0.2% 7%  
501 0.8% 7%  
502 0.6% 6%  
503 0.2% 5%  
504 0.5% 5%  
505 0.4% 4%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.8% 4%  
508 0.4% 3%  
509 0.3% 3%  
510 0.7% 2%  
511 0.4% 2%  
512 0.4% 1.4%  
513 0.2% 1.0%  
514 0.2% 0.8%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0.1% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0% 99.8%  
363 0% 99.7%  
364 0% 99.7%  
365 0.1% 99.7%  
366 0.1% 99.6%  
367 0.1% 99.5%  
368 0% 99.4%  
369 0% 99.4%  
370 0.1% 99.3%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.1% 99.1%  
373 0.1% 99.0%  
374 0.2% 98.9%  
375 0.1% 98.8%  
376 0.2% 98.7%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.1% 98%  
379 0.2% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.3% 97%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 0.3% 97%  
385 0.4% 97%  
386 0.6% 96%  
387 0.2% 96%  
388 0.5% 95%  
389 0.8% 95%  
390 0.3% 94%  
391 0.7% 94%  
392 0.8% 93%  
393 0.3% 92%  
394 0.9% 92%  
395 0.8% 91%  
396 0.7% 90%  
397 1.0% 90%  
398 1.2% 89%  
399 1.0% 87%  
400 0.8% 86%  
401 2% 86%  
402 1.3% 84%  
403 0.5% 83%  
404 0.8% 82%  
405 3% 82%  
406 1.4% 79%  
407 2% 78%  
408 0.7% 76%  
409 2% 75%  
410 1.0% 74%  
411 2% 73%  
412 1.2% 71%  
413 2% 70%  
414 1.4% 68%  
415 0.9% 67%  
416 5% 66%  
417 1.3% 61%  
418 0.5% 60%  
419 0.8% 59%  
420 2% 58%  
421 1.1% 57%  
422 2% 56%  
423 1.0% 54%  
424 3% 53%  
425 2% 50% Median
426 1.3% 48%  
427 0.8% 47%  
428 1.0% 46%  
429 0.8% 45%  
430 3% 45%  
431 1.0% 42%  
432 2% 41%  
433 0.9% 39%  
434 0.6% 38%  
435 1.1% 37%  
436 1.0% 36%  
437 1.0% 35%  
438 0.8% 34%  
439 1.2% 33%  
440 2% 32%  
441 0.8% 30%  
442 0.8% 29%  
443 0.7% 28%  
444 1.4% 27%  
445 0.5% 26%  
446 1.0% 25%  
447 1.3% 24%  
448 1.0% 23%  
449 0.8% 22%  
450 1.0% 21%  
451 1.4% 20%  
452 0.9% 19%  
453 0.7% 18%  
454 1.2% 17%  
455 0.6% 16%  
456 1.2% 16%  
457 0.8% 14%  
458 0.6% 14%  
459 1.3% 13%  
460 0.5% 12%  
461 0.6% 11%  
462 1.0% 11%  
463 0.6% 10%  
464 0.7% 9%  
465 0.3% 8%  
466 0.3% 8%  
467 0.5% 8%  
468 0.9% 7%  
469 0.2% 6%  
470 0.7% 6%  
471 0.3% 5%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.8% 5%  
474 0.5% 4%  
475 0.3% 3%  
476 0.4% 3%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.4% 2%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.1% 1.3%  
483 0.1% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.1%  
485 0.1% 1.0%  
486 0.2% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.3% 0.6%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0.1% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.4%  
367 0.1% 99.3%  
368 0.1% 99.2%  
369 0.1% 99.2%  
370 0.1% 99.0%  
371 0.1% 98.9%  
372 0.1% 98.8%  
373 0.2% 98.7%  
374 0.2% 98.6%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.1% 98%  
377 0.1% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.3% 98%  
380 0.3% 97%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.1% 97%  
383 0.5% 97%  
384 0.5% 96%  
385 0.4% 96%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.6% 94%  
388 0.9% 94%  
389 0.4% 93%  
390 0.3% 93%  
391 0.5% 92%  
392 0.8% 92%  
393 0.8% 91%  
394 1.2% 90%  
395 1.1% 89%  
396 0.6% 88%  
397 1.3% 87%  
398 1.1% 86%  
399 1.0% 85%  
400 0.8% 84%  
401 2% 83%  
402 1.0% 81%  
403 2% 80%  
404 1.4% 78%  
405 0.5% 77%  
406 1.4% 77%  
407 3% 75%  
408 0.5% 72%  
409 0.8% 72%  
410 0.9% 71%  
411 3% 70%  
412 1.0% 67%  
413 0.8% 66%  
414 4% 65%  
415 1.5% 61%  
416 0.8% 60%  
417 2% 59%  
418 1.5% 57%  
419 0.4% 56%  
420 2% 55%  
421 0.6% 54%  
422 2% 53%  
423 2% 50% Median
424 0.9% 48%  
425 1.2% 47%  
426 1.2% 46%  
427 0.6% 45%  
428 3% 44%  
429 0.7% 41%  
430 1.4% 40%  
431 0.9% 39%  
432 1.2% 38%  
433 2% 37%  
434 0.7% 35%  
435 0.6% 34%  
436 1.2% 34%  
437 2% 33%  
438 0.5% 31%  
439 2% 30%  
440 0.4% 28%  
441 0.9% 28%  
442 0.6% 27%  
443 2% 26%  
444 1.1% 25%  
445 1.2% 24%  
446 0.8% 22%  
447 1.0% 22%  
448 0.4% 21%  
449 1.3% 20%  
450 0.8% 19%  
451 1.1% 18%  
452 0.9% 17%  
453 0.7% 16%  
454 1.0% 15%  
455 1.2% 14%  
456 1.2% 13%  
457 0.5% 12%  
458 0.6% 11%  
459 0.5% 11%  
460 0.8% 10%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.7% 9%  
463 0.5% 8%  
464 0.6% 8%  
465 0.5% 7%  
466 0.5% 7%  
467 0.7% 6%  
468 0.2% 6%  
469 0.5% 5%  
470 0.3% 5%  
471 0.8% 5%  
472 0.4% 4%  
473 0.4% 3%  
474 0.1% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.6% 3%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.5% 2%  
480 0.1% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.1%  
482 0.1% 1.0%  
483 0.2% 0.9%  
484 0.1% 0.7%  
485 0.2% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.2% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0% 100%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0.1% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0% 99.6%  
89 0.1% 99.5%  
90 0% 99.4%  
91 0% 99.4%  
92 0% 99.4%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0% 99.2%  
96 0.1% 99.2%  
97 0.1% 99.1%  
98 0.1% 99.0%  
99 0.2% 98.8%  
100 0.3% 98.6%  
101 0.2% 98%  
102 0.3% 98%  
103 0.6% 98%  
104 0.4% 97%  
105 0.4% 97%  
106 0.5% 96%  
107 0.4% 96%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.6% 95%  
110 0.6% 95%  
111 0.2% 94%  
112 0.7% 94%  
113 0.9% 93%  
114 0.9% 92%  
115 0.3% 91%  
116 0.9% 91%  
117 0.8% 90%  
118 0.8% 89%  
119 0.7% 88%  
120 0.8% 88%  
121 0.3% 87%  
122 0.5% 87%  
123 0.9% 86%  
124 0.8% 85%  
125 0.7% 84%  
126 0.7% 84%  
127 0.8% 83%  
128 0.6% 82%  
129 0.9% 81%  
130 0.4% 81%  
131 0.7% 80%  
132 0.9% 79%  
133 0.3% 79%  
134 0.4% 78%  
135 0.9% 78%  
136 0.4% 77%  
137 0.6% 77%  
138 0.6% 76%  
139 0.4% 75%  
140 0.6% 75%  
141 0.6% 74%  
142 0.7% 74%  
143 0.6% 73%  
144 1.1% 72%  
145 1.0% 71%  
146 0.6% 70%  
147 0.9% 70%  
148 1.1% 69%  
149 2% 68%  
150 0.8% 66%  
151 0.9% 65%  
152 0.5% 64%  
153 1.2% 64%  
154 2% 63%  
155 0.9% 61%  
156 0.5% 60%  
157 1.2% 60%  
158 0.3% 58%  
159 0.9% 58%  
160 0.7% 57%  
161 5% 56%  
162 0.9% 51%  
163 1.0% 51% Median
164 1.4% 50%  
165 0.9% 48%  
166 2% 47%  
167 0.9% 45%  
168 0.6% 44%  
169 2% 44%  
170 3% 42%  
171 1.0% 38%  
172 4% 37%  
173 1.4% 33%  
174 2% 32%  
175 1.3% 30%  
176 2% 29%  
177 2% 27%  
178 1.4% 26%  
179 2% 24%  
180 1.3% 22%  
181 1.3% 21%  
182 0.8% 19%  
183 1.3% 18%  
184 1.0% 17%  
185 0.7% 16%  
186 1.0% 15%  
187 0.5% 14%  
188 0.7% 14%  
189 0.7% 13%  
190 0.5% 13%  
191 0.4% 12%  
192 0.3% 12%  
193 0.6% 11%  
194 0.4% 11%  
195 0.3% 10%  
196 0.4% 10%  
197 0.6% 10%  
198 0.4% 9%  
199 0.6% 9%  
200 0.5% 8%  
201 0.5% 8%  
202 0.5% 7%  
203 0.6% 7%  
204 0.5% 6%  
205 0.4% 6%  
206 0.6% 5%  
207 0.4% 5%  
208 0.6% 4%  
209 0.2% 4%  
210 0.5% 3%  
211 0.4% 3%  
212 0.1% 2%  
213 0.2% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.1% 2%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.2% 2%  
218 0.3% 1.3%  
219 0.1% 1.0%  
220 0.1% 0.9%  
221 0.1% 0.8%  
222 0.1% 0.7%  
223 0.1% 0.6%  
224 0.1% 0.5%  
225 0% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.5%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0% 0.3%  
229 0% 0.3%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.2%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0.1% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.7%  
82 0% 99.7%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.6%  
85 0% 99.6%  
86 0% 99.5%  
87 0% 99.5%  
88 0% 99.4%  
89 0% 99.4%  
90 0% 99.3%  
91 0% 99.3%  
92 0.1% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0% 99.2%  
95 0.2% 99.1%  
96 0.1% 99.0%  
97 0.2% 98.8%  
98 0.3% 98.7%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.2% 98%  
101 0.7% 98%  
102 0.5% 97%  
103 0.4% 97%  
104 0.5% 96%  
105 0.1% 96%  
106 1.0% 96%  
107 0.4% 95%  
108 0.5% 94%  
109 0.5% 94%  
110 0.8% 93%  
111 0.6% 93%  
112 0.9% 92%  
113 1.2% 91%  
114 0.4% 90%  
115 1.0% 90%  
116 0.4% 89%  
117 0.5% 88%  
118 1.0% 88%  
119 0.7% 87%  
120 0.9% 86%  
121 0.4% 85%  
122 1.0% 85%  
123 0.7% 84%  
124 1.0% 83%  
125 0.4% 82%  
126 0.5% 82%  
127 0.6% 81%  
128 1.1% 81%  
129 0.6% 80%  
130 0.4% 79%  
131 0.3% 79%  
132 0.9% 78%  
133 0.5% 77%  
134 0.6% 77%  
135 0.3% 76%  
136 0.6% 76%  
137 1.0% 75%  
138 0.6% 74%  
139 0.4% 74%  
140 0.5% 73%  
141 0.6% 73%  
142 1.1% 72%  
143 1.0% 71%  
144 0.9% 70%  
145 0.5% 69%  
146 2% 69%  
147 0.7% 67%  
148 2% 67%  
149 0.7% 65%  
150 0.7% 64%  
151 2% 63%  
152 1.2% 62%  
153 0.7% 61%  
154 1.0% 60%  
155 1.0% 59%  
156 0.6% 58%  
157 0.6% 57%  
158 0.6% 57%  
159 3% 56%  
160 2% 53%  
161 1.4% 51% Median
162 1.2% 49%  
163 2% 48%  
164 0.8% 46%  
165 1.0% 46%  
166 2% 45%  
167 2% 42%  
168 2% 40%  
169 1.4% 38%  
170 4% 37%  
171 2% 33%  
172 0.6% 31%  
173 3% 31%  
174 1.5% 28%  
175 1.5% 26%  
176 2% 25%  
177 2% 23%  
178 1.2% 21%  
179 2% 20%  
180 1.2% 18%  
181 0.7% 17%  
182 1.2% 16%  
183 0.9% 15%  
184 0.4% 14%  
185 0.8% 14%  
186 0.6% 13%  
187 0.4% 13%  
188 0.3% 12%  
189 0.5% 12%  
190 0.4% 11%  
191 0.2% 11%  
192 0.3% 11%  
193 0.5% 10%  
194 0.3% 10%  
195 0.4% 10%  
196 0.4% 9%  
197 0.6% 9%  
198 0.4% 8%  
199 0.7% 8%  
200 0.4% 7%  
201 0.8% 7%  
202 0.4% 6%  
203 0.4% 6%  
204 0.8% 5%  
205 0.5% 4%  
206 0.3% 4%  
207 0.5% 4%  
208 0.4% 3%  
209 0.3% 3%  
210 0.2% 2%  
211 0.1% 2%  
212 0.2% 2%  
213 0.3% 2%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.1% 1.3%  
216 0.2% 1.2%  
217 0.2% 1.0%  
218 0.1% 0.8%  
219 0.1% 0.7%  
220 0% 0.6%  
221 0.1% 0.6%  
222 0% 0.5%  
223 0.1% 0.4%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.3%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.2%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.6%  
106 0.1% 99.4%  
107 0.2% 99.3%  
108 0.1% 99.1%  
109 0.2% 98.9%  
110 0.9% 98.7%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 0.3% 97%  
113 0.7% 97%  
114 0.7% 96%  
115 0.2% 96%  
116 0.2% 95%  
117 0.5% 95%  
118 0.6% 95%  
119 0.7% 94%  
120 0.6% 93%  
121 0.6% 93%  
122 0.5% 92%  
123 0.5% 92%  
124 1.0% 91%  
125 0.3% 90%  
126 0.5% 90%  
127 0.4% 89%  
128 1.3% 89%  
129 2% 88%  
130 1.0% 86%  
131 0.3% 85%  
132 1.1% 84%  
133 2% 83%  
134 1.2% 81%  
135 0.4% 80%  
136 0.8% 80%  
137 1.2% 79%  
138 1.2% 78%  
139 2% 77%  
140 0.8% 75%  
141 1.1% 74%  
142 1.3% 73%  
143 1.5% 72%  
144 1.0% 71%  
145 0.8% 70%  
146 0.7% 69%  
147 2% 68%  
148 1.0% 66%  
149 0.9% 65%  
150 0.9% 65%  
151 2% 64%  
152 0.7% 62%  
153 0.9% 61%  
154 0.2% 60%  
155 0.3% 60%  
156 2% 60%  
157 0.6% 58%  
158 0.9% 58%  
159 0.6% 57%  
160 1.1% 56%  
161 4% 55%  
162 2% 52%  
163 1.0% 50% Median
164 1.1% 49%  
165 2% 48%  
166 3% 46%  
167 2% 43%  
168 0.6% 41%  
169 3% 40%  
170 2% 37%  
171 3% 36%  
172 1.0% 33%  
173 2% 32%  
174 2% 29%  
175 2% 27%  
176 2% 25%  
177 2% 23%  
178 3% 21%  
179 1.0% 18%  
180 2% 17%  
181 2% 15%  
182 2% 13%  
183 0.7% 11%  
184 1.2% 10%  
185 0.8% 9%  
186 0.9% 8%  
187 0.4% 7%  
188 0.5% 7%  
189 0.6% 6%  
190 0.4% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.5% 5%  
193 0.3% 5%  
194 0.2% 4%  
195 0.3% 4%  
196 0.4% 4%  
197 0.2% 3%  
198 0.4% 3%  
199 0.2% 3%  
200 0.2% 2%  
201 0.3% 2%  
202 0.2% 2%  
203 0.1% 2%  
204 0.2% 2%  
205 0.1% 1.4%  
206 0.1% 1.3%  
207 0.3% 1.2%  
208 0.2% 0.9%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.6%  
211 0.1% 0.5%  
212 0% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0.1% 99.8%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0% 99.7%  
57 0.1% 99.7%  
58 0.1% 99.6%  
59 0% 99.5%  
60 0.1% 99.5%  
61 0.3% 99.4%  
62 0.2% 99.1%  
63 0.2% 98.9%  
64 0.1% 98.7%  
65 0.2% 98.6%  
66 0.1% 98%  
67 0.7% 98%  
68 0.3% 98%  
69 0.4% 97%  
70 0.5% 97%  
71 0.2% 96%  
72 0.5% 96%  
73 0.2% 96%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 0.2% 95%  
76 0.7% 94%  
77 0.4% 94%  
78 0.6% 93%  
79 0.7% 93%  
80 0.8% 92%  
81 0.4% 91%  
82 0.5% 91%  
83 0.6% 90%  
84 1.0% 90%  
85 0.6% 89%  
86 0.5% 88%  
87 0.9% 88%  
88 0.3% 87%  
89 0.6% 87%  
90 0.7% 86%  
91 0.8% 85%  
92 1.1% 85%  
93 1.0% 83%  
94 0.4% 82%  
95 0.8% 82%  
96 0.8% 81%  
97 1.1% 80%  
98 0.5% 79%  
99 0.6% 79%  
100 1.4% 78%  
101 0.8% 77%  
102 0.9% 76%  
103 1.0% 75%  
104 1.0% 74%  
105 0.6% 73%  
106 0.5% 73%  
107 0.6% 72%  
108 2% 72%  
109 1.4% 70%  
110 0.9% 68%  
111 0.5% 68%  
112 0.4% 67%  
113 2% 67%  
114 1.2% 65%  
115 2% 64%  
116 0.5% 62%  
117 0.6% 62%  
118 0.9% 61%  
119 0.6% 60%  
120 0.4% 59%  
121 0.4% 59%  
122 1.2% 59%  
123 1.4% 58%  
124 2% 56%  
125 0.2% 54%  
126 3% 54%  
127 3% 51% Median
128 0.5% 48%  
129 1.0% 48%  
130 3% 47%  
131 0.9% 44%  
132 1.4% 43%  
133 1.4% 41%  
134 0.6% 40%  
135 0.8% 39%  
136 5% 39%  
137 1.3% 34%  
138 3% 32%  
139 2% 29%  
140 0.9% 27%  
141 1.0% 26%  
142 1.1% 25%  
143 2% 24%  
144 1.4% 22%  
145 2% 21%  
146 1.0% 19%  
147 1.1% 18%  
148 2% 17%  
149 0.6% 15%  
150 1.0% 14%  
151 0.3% 13%  
152 0.9% 13%  
153 0.7% 12%  
154 0.9% 11%  
155 0.7% 10%  
156 1.2% 10%  
157 0.3% 8%  
158 0.6% 8%  
159 0.6% 7%  
160 0.3% 7%  
161 0.6% 6%  
162 0.4% 6%  
163 0.6% 5%  
164 0.3% 5%  
165 0.2% 5%  
166 0.3% 4%  
167 0.3% 4%  
168 0.3% 4%  
169 0.2% 3%  
170 0.5% 3%  
171 0.2% 3%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.1% 2%  
175 0.1% 2%  
176 0.1% 2%  
177 0.1% 2%  
178 0.4% 2%  
179 0.2% 1.2%  
180 0.1% 0.9%  
181 0.1% 0.8%  
182 0% 0.7%  
183 0.1% 0.7%  
184 0% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.9%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0% 99.8%  
53 0.1% 99.8%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.1% 99.6%  
56 0% 99.6%  
57 0.1% 99.5%  
58 0.1% 99.4%  
59 0.1% 99.3%  
60 0.2% 99.2%  
61 0.1% 99.0%  
62 0.4% 98.9%  
63 0.1% 98%  
64 0.1% 98%  
65 0.7% 98%  
66 0.2% 98%  
67 0.4% 97%  
68 0.3% 97%  
69 0.3% 97%  
70 0.8% 96%  
71 0.2% 96%  
72 0.8% 95%  
73 0.7% 95%  
74 0.4% 94%  
75 0.4% 93%  
76 0.4% 93%  
77 0.2% 93%  
78 0.9% 92%  
79 1.0% 92%  
80 0.7% 91%  
81 0.9% 90%  
82 0.7% 89%  
83 0.6% 88%  
84 0.7% 88%  
85 0.2% 87%  
86 0.6% 87%  
87 0.5% 86%  
88 1.0% 86%  
89 0.6% 85%  
90 0.9% 84%  
91 1.2% 83%  
92 0.7% 82%  
93 0.5% 81%  
94 0.5% 81%  
95 0.9% 80%  
96 0.5% 79%  
97 0.8% 79%  
98 1.5% 78%  
99 0.4% 77%  
100 2% 76%  
101 0.7% 75%  
102 0.5% 74%  
103 0.9% 73%  
104 0.5% 73%  
105 0.8% 72%  
106 2% 71%  
107 1.1% 69%  
108 0.7% 68%  
109 0.5% 67%  
110 1.2% 67%  
111 1.2% 66%  
112 1.2% 65%  
113 0.5% 63%  
114 1.3% 63%  
115 0.6% 62%  
116 0.6% 61%  
117 0.7% 60%  
118 0.6% 60%  
119 0.8% 59%  
120 0.7% 58%  
121 2% 57%  
122 0.9% 55%  
123 2% 54%  
124 0.5% 53%  
125 4% 52% Median
126 0.7% 48%  
127 0.5% 47%  
128 3% 47%  
129 2% 44%  
130 1.3% 43%  
131 2% 41%  
132 1.2% 40%  
133 2% 38%  
134 3% 36%  
135 1.4% 33%  
136 2% 32%  
137 2% 30%  
138 2% 28%  
139 2% 26%  
140 2% 24%  
141 0.6% 22%  
142 2% 21%  
143 1.0% 20%  
144 2% 19%  
145 1.2% 16%  
146 0.5% 15%  
147 1.2% 15%  
148 0.7% 14%  
149 0.6% 13%  
150 0.7% 12%  
151 0.6% 11%  
152 1.0% 11%  
153 0.9% 10%  
154 0.5% 9%  
155 0.6% 8%  
156 0.6% 8%  
157 0.7% 7%  
158 0.4% 7%  
159 0.6% 6%  
160 0.4% 6%  
161 0.5% 5%  
162 0.4% 5%  
163 0.2% 4%  
164 0.3% 4%  
165 0.3% 4%  
166 0.3% 4%  
167 0.2% 3%  
168 0.1% 3%  
169 0.6% 3%  
170 0.2% 2%  
171 0.2% 2%  
172 0.1% 2%  
173 0.1% 2%  
174 0.1% 2%  
175 0.2% 2%  
176 0.3% 1.4%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.9%  
179 0.1% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.7%  
181 0.2% 0.7%  
182 0.1% 0.5%  
183 0.1% 0.5%  
184 0.1% 0.4%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0.1% 0.3%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations