Opinion Poll by Survation, 5–6 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.4% 45.4–49.5% 44.8–50.1% 44.3–50.6% 43.3–51.6%
Conservative Party 43.6% 25.3% 23.6–27.2% 23.1–27.7% 22.7–28.2% 21.9–29.1%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 9.9% 8.8–11.3% 8.5–11.7% 8.2–12.0% 7.7–12.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.1% 5.3–9.6%
Green Party 2.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.5–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 395 366–425 362–430 355–454 341–461
Conservative Party 365 153 118–179 106–186 97–191 81–205
Liberal Democrats 11 27 20–39 18–41 16–43 12–51
Brexit Party 0 12 4–19 4–20 3–21 3–23
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 40 26–52 22–54 20–56 16–57
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.2% 99.5%  
342 0.2% 99.4%  
343 0.2% 99.2%  
344 0.3% 99.0%  
345 0.3% 98.8%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.2% 98%  
350 0.1% 98%  
351 0.1% 98%  
352 0% 98%  
353 0.1% 98%  
354 0.1% 98%  
355 0.1% 98%  
356 0.1% 97%  
357 0% 97%  
358 0.2% 97%  
359 0.4% 97%  
360 0.9% 97%  
361 0.5% 96%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 0.8% 95%  
364 1.0% 94%  
365 1.2% 93%  
366 2% 92%  
367 2% 89%  
368 2% 87%  
369 1.0% 85%  
370 1.2% 84%  
371 1.2% 83%  
372 1.3% 82%  
373 1.3% 81%  
374 0.8% 79%  
375 0.7% 79%  
376 0.3% 78%  
377 0.8% 78%  
378 0.2% 77%  
379 0.4% 77%  
380 0.1% 76%  
381 0.1% 76%  
382 0.2% 76%  
383 1.0% 76%  
384 0.6% 75%  
385 0.7% 74%  
386 0.8% 73%  
387 1.1% 73%  
388 1.2% 72%  
389 3% 70%  
390 3% 67%  
391 2% 64%  
392 3% 62%  
393 4% 59%  
394 3% 55%  
395 3% 51% Median
396 2% 48%  
397 2% 47%  
398 3% 45%  
399 3% 41%  
400 3% 38%  
401 2% 35%  
402 0.4% 33%  
403 1.5% 33%  
404 0.6% 31%  
405 0.4% 31%  
406 0.8% 30%  
407 0.5% 30%  
408 0.2% 29%  
409 0.3% 29%  
410 0.2% 29%  
411 0.1% 28%  
412 0.3% 28%  
413 0.6% 28%  
414 0.4% 27%  
415 1.1% 27%  
416 0.5% 26%  
417 0.6% 25%  
418 1.1% 25%  
419 2% 24%  
420 2% 21%  
421 2% 20%  
422 3% 17%  
423 2% 15%  
424 2% 13%  
425 1.3% 11%  
426 2% 10%  
427 1.2% 8%  
428 0.4% 7%  
429 0.5% 6%  
430 0.9% 6%  
431 0.3% 5%  
432 0.6% 5%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0% 3%  
436 0% 3%  
437 0% 3%  
438 0% 3%  
439 0% 3%  
440 0% 3%  
441 0% 3%  
442 0% 3%  
443 0% 3%  
444 0% 3%  
445 0% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0% 3%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.1% 3%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.1% 3%  
453 0.1% 3%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.2% 1.4%  
458 0.2% 1.3%  
459 0.2% 1.0%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0.2% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0.1% 0.3%  
465 0.1% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.1% 99.5%  
83 0.1% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.4%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 99.1%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0.2% 98.7%  
93 0.2% 98.6%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.3% 98%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 0.1% 97%  
99 0.3% 97%  
100 0.1% 97%  
101 0.3% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.2% 96%  
104 0.4% 96%  
105 0.6% 96%  
106 0.5% 95%  
107 0.2% 95%  
108 0.5% 94%  
109 0.2% 94%  
110 0.5% 94%  
111 0.6% 93%  
112 0.3% 93%  
113 0.3% 92%  
114 0.5% 92%  
115 0.4% 91%  
116 0.3% 91%  
117 0.1% 91%  
118 0.7% 91%  
119 0.2% 90%  
120 0.4% 90%  
121 0.3% 89%  
122 0.5% 89%  
123 0.4% 88%  
124 0.4% 88%  
125 0.5% 88%  
126 0.6% 87%  
127 0.8% 86%  
128 0.3% 86%  
129 0.4% 85%  
130 1.0% 85%  
131 0.9% 84%  
132 1.1% 83%  
133 0.3% 82%  
134 1.4% 82%  
135 0.6% 80%  
136 1.0% 80%  
137 1.0% 79%  
138 1.1% 78%  
139 1.3% 76%  
140 2% 75%  
141 4% 74%  
142 2% 70%  
143 1.3% 68%  
144 2% 67%  
145 2% 65%  
146 3% 63%  
147 0.6% 60%  
148 1.5% 60%  
149 3% 58%  
150 2% 56%  
151 2% 54%  
152 1.3% 52%  
153 2% 50% Median
154 4% 49%  
155 2% 45%  
156 2% 43%  
157 1.4% 41%  
158 2% 40%  
159 3% 37%  
160 0.8% 34%  
161 1.4% 34%  
162 2% 32%  
163 2% 30%  
164 1.3% 27%  
165 1.4% 26%  
166 0.7% 25%  
167 2% 24%  
168 1.4% 22%  
169 1.3% 21%  
170 0.8% 19%  
171 0.9% 19%  
172 1.4% 18%  
173 1.3% 16%  
174 0.7% 15%  
175 1.2% 14%  
176 1.0% 13%  
177 1.0% 12%  
178 0.7% 11%  
179 1.0% 11%  
180 0.8% 10%  
181 0.6% 9%  
182 0.7% 8%  
183 0.4% 7%  
184 0.8% 7%  
185 0.9% 6%  
186 0.6% 5%  
187 0.5% 5%  
188 0.7% 4%  
189 0.4% 4%  
190 0.3% 3%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.2% 2%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.2% 1.4%  
198 0.1% 1.2%  
199 0.1% 1.1%  
200 0.1% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.8%  
202 0.1% 0.8%  
203 0.1% 0.7%  
204 0.1% 0.6%  
205 0% 0.5%  
206 0% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.5%  
208 0% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 0% 99.9%  
9 0% 99.9%  
10 0.2% 99.8%  
11 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
12 0.2% 99.5%  
13 0.1% 99.3%  
14 0.4% 99.3%  
15 0.6% 98.8%  
16 0.8% 98%  
17 1.4% 97%  
18 3% 96%  
19 2% 94%  
20 5% 91%  
21 3% 86%  
22 6% 83%  
23 7% 77%  
24 5% 70%  
25 6% 66%  
26 4% 60%  
27 7% 55% Median
28 3% 49%  
29 5% 45%  
30 4% 40%  
31 3% 36%  
32 4% 33%  
33 2% 29%  
34 1.4% 27%  
35 4% 25%  
36 3% 21%  
37 3% 18%  
38 4% 15%  
39 2% 11%  
40 4% 9%  
41 2% 6%  
42 0.9% 4%  
43 0.8% 3%  
44 0.2% 2%  
45 0.2% 2%  
46 0.2% 2%  
47 0.4% 2%  
48 0.2% 1.4%  
49 0.2% 1.2%  
50 0.4% 1.0%  
51 0.3% 0.6%  
52 0.1% 0.3%  
53 0% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 3% 100%  
4 17% 97%  
5 8% 80%  
6 5% 71%  
7 5% 66%  
8 1.1% 61%  
9 1.0% 60%  
10 2% 59%  
11 2% 57%  
12 9% 55% Median
13 8% 46%  
14 8% 38%  
15 1.2% 30%  
16 4% 29%  
17 3% 25%  
18 4% 22%  
19 8% 17%  
20 6% 9%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.4% 1.3%  
23 0.6% 0.9%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 98% 100% Last Result, Median
2 1.3% 2%  
3 0.6% 0.6%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0.2% 99.9%  
16 0.3% 99.6%  
17 0.6% 99.4%  
18 0.7% 98.8%  
19 0.4% 98%  
20 0.7% 98%  
21 2% 97%  
22 2% 95%  
23 0.3% 93%  
24 1.3% 93%  
25 0.7% 91%  
26 1.1% 91%  
27 0.5% 90%  
28 0.2% 89%  
29 4% 89%  
30 3% 85%  
31 2% 82%  
32 2% 80%  
33 1.1% 78%  
34 9% 77%  
35 0.6% 68%  
36 6% 67%  
37 2% 61%  
38 5% 59%  
39 4% 54%  
40 4% 50% Median
41 6% 46%  
42 2% 40%  
43 5% 38%  
44 5% 33%  
45 3% 28%  
46 3% 24%  
47 1.0% 21%  
48 3% 20% Last Result
49 1.3% 17%  
50 2% 16%  
51 1.5% 14%  
52 3% 12%  
53 2% 10%  
54 3% 7%  
55 1.3% 5%  
56 1.3% 3%  
57 2% 2%  
58 0.4% 0.4%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 16% 100%  
1 16% 84%  
2 18% 68% Median
3 28% 50%  
4 14% 21% Last Result
5 8% 8%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 466 100% 437–500 432–512 424–522 410–539
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 465 100% 436–499 431–511 423–521 409–538
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 463 100% 434–497 428–508 420–519 406–535
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 437 100% 411–466 405–476 400–487 386–499
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 427 100% 393–462 385–471 379–486 364–503
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 435 100% 409–463 403–473 397–484 384–497
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 425 100% 390–459 382–470 377–484 360–502
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 397 100% 368–428 365–433 358–456 344–463
Labour Party 202 395 99.9% 366–425 362–430 355–454 341–461
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 194 0% 159–225 147–230 135–238 119–252
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 191 0% 156–222 144–228 134–235 117–249
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 180 0% 149–204 141–210 135–214 118–227
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 155 0% 121–181 107–188 100–194 83–208
Conservative Party 365 153 0% 118–179 106–186 97–191 81–205

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.3%  
413 0.2% 99.3%  
414 0.1% 99.1%  
415 0.1% 99.0%  
416 0.1% 98.9%  
417 0.2% 98.8%  
418 0.1% 98.6%  
419 0.1% 98.6%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.2% 98%  
424 0.3% 98%  
425 0.3% 97%  
426 0.1% 97%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.6% 97%  
429 0.4% 96%  
430 0.2% 96%  
431 0.3% 95%  
432 1.3% 95%  
433 0.7% 94%  
434 0.8% 93%  
435 0.5% 92%  
436 1.3% 92%  
437 1.1% 90%  
438 0.4% 89%  
439 1.0% 89%  
440 2% 88%  
441 0.9% 86%  
442 2% 85%  
443 0.8% 84%  
444 0.8% 83%  
445 0.7% 82%  
446 1.3% 81%  
447 0.9% 80%  
448 0.5% 79%  
449 0.5% 79%  
450 0.7% 78%  
451 0.5% 77%  
452 2% 77%  
453 1.0% 75%  
454 0.9% 74%  
455 0.8% 74%  
456 2% 73%  
457 3% 70%  
458 4% 68%  
459 0.9% 64%  
460 2% 63%  
461 1.2% 61%  
462 2% 60%  
463 3% 58%  
464 2% 55%  
465 1.1% 53% Median
466 3% 52%  
467 2% 49%  
468 2% 47%  
469 1.3% 44%  
470 0.9% 43%  
471 1.3% 42%  
472 2% 41%  
473 1.1% 39%  
474 1.4% 38%  
475 1.3% 36%  
476 2% 35%  
477 2% 33%  
478 1.2% 31%  
479 1.3% 29%  
480 2% 28%  
481 0.9% 26%  
482 1.4% 25%  
483 0.7% 24%  
484 1.1% 23%  
485 1.3% 22%  
486 0.7% 21%  
487 1.2% 20%  
488 0.4% 19%  
489 0.6% 19%  
490 1.2% 18%  
491 0.8% 17%  
492 1.4% 16%  
493 0.4% 15%  
494 1.0% 14%  
495 0.8% 13%  
496 0.3% 12%  
497 0.3% 12%  
498 0.6% 12%  
499 0.8% 11%  
500 0.7% 10%  
501 0.7% 10%  
502 0.3% 9%  
503 0.2% 9%  
504 0.3% 8%  
505 0.6% 8%  
506 0.5% 7%  
507 0.3% 7%  
508 0.2% 7%  
509 0.9% 6%  
510 0.3% 6%  
511 0.2% 5%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.3% 5%  
514 0.3% 4%  
515 0.2% 4%  
516 0.1% 4%  
517 0.5% 4%  
518 0.2% 3%  
519 0.1% 3%  
520 0.1% 3%  
521 0.2% 3%  
522 0.1% 3%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.3% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.2% 2%  
529 0.1% 1.3%  
530 0% 1.2%  
531 0.1% 1.1%  
532 0.1% 1.0%  
533 0.1% 0.9%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.7%  
536 0.1% 0.6%  
537 0% 0.6%  
538 0% 0.5%  
539 0% 0.5%  
540 0.1% 0.5%  
541 0% 0.4%  
542 0.1% 0.4%  
543 0.1% 0.3%  
544 0% 0.3%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.4%  
411 0.1% 99.3%  
412 0.2% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.1%  
414 0.1% 99.0%  
415 0.1% 98.9%  
416 0.2% 98.8%  
417 0.1% 98.6%  
418 0.1% 98.6%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.3% 97%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.6% 97%  
428 0.4% 96%  
429 0.2% 96%  
430 0.3% 95%  
431 1.3% 95%  
432 0.7% 94%  
433 0.8% 93%  
434 0.5% 92%  
435 1.3% 92%  
436 1.1% 90%  
437 0.4% 89%  
438 1.0% 89%  
439 2% 88%  
440 0.9% 86%  
441 2% 85%  
442 0.8% 84%  
443 0.8% 83%  
444 0.7% 82%  
445 1.3% 81%  
446 0.9% 80%  
447 0.5% 79%  
448 0.5% 79%  
449 0.7% 78%  
450 0.5% 77%  
451 1.5% 77%  
452 1.0% 75%  
453 0.9% 74%  
454 0.8% 74%  
455 2% 73%  
456 3% 70%  
457 4% 68%  
458 0.9% 64%  
459 2% 63%  
460 1.2% 61%  
461 2% 60%  
462 3% 58%  
463 2% 55%  
464 1.1% 53% Median
465 3% 52%  
466 2% 49%  
467 2% 47%  
468 1.2% 44%  
469 0.9% 43%  
470 1.2% 42%  
471 2% 41%  
472 1.1% 39%  
473 1.4% 37%  
474 1.3% 36%  
475 2% 35%  
476 2% 33%  
477 1.2% 31%  
478 1.3% 29%  
479 2% 28%  
480 0.9% 26%  
481 1.4% 25%  
482 0.7% 24%  
483 1.1% 23%  
484 1.4% 22%  
485 0.7% 21%  
486 1.2% 20%  
487 0.5% 19%  
488 0.7% 19%  
489 1.1% 18%  
490 0.9% 17%  
491 1.4% 16%  
492 0.4% 15%  
493 1.1% 14%  
494 0.7% 13%  
495 0.3% 12%  
496 0.3% 12%  
497 0.6% 12%  
498 0.8% 11%  
499 0.7% 10%  
500 0.8% 10%  
501 0.3% 9%  
502 0.2% 9%  
503 0.4% 8%  
504 0.6% 8%  
505 0.5% 7%  
506 0.3% 7%  
507 0.2% 7%  
508 0.9% 6%  
509 0.4% 6%  
510 0.1% 5%  
511 0.3% 5%  
512 0.3% 5%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.2% 4%  
515 0.1% 4%  
516 0.5% 4%  
517 0.2% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.1% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.1% 3%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.3% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.2% 2%  
527 0.2% 2%  
528 0.1% 1.3%  
529 0% 1.2%  
530 0.1% 1.1%  
531 0.1% 1.0%  
532 0.1% 0.8%  
533 0.1% 0.8%  
534 0.1% 0.7%  
535 0.1% 0.6%  
536 0% 0.6%  
537 0% 0.5%  
538 0% 0.5%  
539 0.1% 0.5%  
540 0% 0.4%  
541 0.1% 0.4%  
542 0.1% 0.3%  
543 0% 0.3%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.7%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0.1% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.5%  
407 0.1% 99.5%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.1% 99.3%  
410 0.1% 99.1%  
411 0.1% 99.0%  
412 0.1% 98.9%  
413 0.1% 98.8%  
414 0.1% 98.7%  
415 0.1% 98.6%  
416 0.1% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.4% 98%  
421 0.2% 97%  
422 0.2% 97%  
423 0.4% 97%  
424 0.6% 97%  
425 0.2% 96%  
426 0.3% 96%  
427 0.3% 95%  
428 0.9% 95%  
429 0.4% 94%  
430 0.9% 94%  
431 1.4% 93%  
432 0.7% 92%  
433 0.5% 91%  
434 1.2% 90%  
435 1.2% 89%  
436 2% 88%  
437 0.4% 86%  
438 1.0% 86%  
439 0.9% 85%  
440 1.4% 84%  
441 0.9% 82%  
442 0.6% 81%  
443 0.8% 81%  
444 1.2% 80%  
445 0.4% 79%  
446 0.5% 78%  
447 0.6% 78%  
448 1.2% 77%  
449 0.7% 76%  
450 2% 75%  
451 1.1% 74%  
452 2% 73%  
453 2% 71%  
454 3% 69%  
455 0.9% 66%  
456 3% 66%  
457 2% 63%  
458 2% 61%  
459 4% 59%  
460 2% 56%  
461 1.0% 54%  
462 2% 53% Median
463 1.4% 51%  
464 2% 49%  
465 3% 47%  
466 1.0% 44%  
467 2% 43%  
468 1.2% 41%  
469 1.3% 40%  
470 1.3% 39%  
471 1.2% 37%  
472 3% 36%  
473 2% 33%  
474 2% 32%  
475 0.6% 30%  
476 1.2% 29%  
477 1.1% 28%  
478 2% 27%  
479 1.0% 25%  
480 1.0% 24%  
481 0.4% 23%  
482 1.2% 23%  
483 2% 22%  
484 1.0% 20%  
485 0.6% 19%  
486 1.0% 18%  
487 0.6% 17%  
488 0.4% 17%  
489 1.3% 16%  
490 1.2% 15%  
491 0.9% 14%  
492 0.4% 13%  
493 0.7% 12%  
494 0.5% 12%  
495 0.3% 11%  
496 0.7% 11%  
497 0.9% 10%  
498 0.4% 9%  
499 0.5% 9%  
500 0.1% 8%  
501 0.7% 8%  
502 0.3% 8%  
503 0.6% 7%  
504 0.2% 7%  
505 0.5% 6%  
506 0.1% 6%  
507 0.2% 6%  
508 0.7% 6%  
509 0.4% 5%  
510 0.2% 5%  
511 0.1% 4%  
512 0.1% 4%  
513 0.3% 4%  
514 0.4% 4%  
515 0.3% 3%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.1% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.1% 3%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.1% 1.5%  
526 0% 1.4%  
527 0.3% 1.3%  
528 0.2% 1.1%  
529 0% 0.9%  
530 0.1% 0.8%  
531 0% 0.8%  
532 0.1% 0.7%  
533 0.1% 0.7%  
534 0% 0.6%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0% 0.5%  
537 0% 0.4%  
538 0% 0.4%  
539 0% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.4%  
541 0.1% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.2% 99.3%  
390 0.1% 99.1%  
391 0.1% 99.0%  
392 0.2% 98.9%  
393 0.1% 98.7%  
394 0.2% 98.6%  
395 0.1% 98%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.3% 98%  
401 0.2% 97%  
402 0.4% 97%  
403 0.5% 97%  
404 0.5% 96%  
405 0.7% 96%  
406 0.3% 95%  
407 0.6% 95%  
408 0.7% 94%  
409 1.4% 93%  
410 0.7% 92%  
411 2% 91%  
412 1.3% 89%  
413 0.8% 88%  
414 1.3% 87%  
415 0.9% 86%  
416 2% 85%  
417 0.7% 83%  
418 1.4% 82%  
419 2% 81%  
420 0.6% 78%  
421 0.8% 78%  
422 0.5% 77%  
423 0.5% 77%  
424 0.9% 76%  
425 0.5% 75%  
426 1.1% 75%  
427 1.3% 73%  
428 1.3% 72%  
429 2% 71%  
430 1.1% 69%  
431 2% 68%  
432 2% 66%  
433 3% 64%  
434 4% 61%  
435 4% 58%  
436 2% 53%  
437 2% 51% Median
438 3% 49%  
439 5% 46%  
440 3% 42%  
441 1.0% 38%  
442 1.5% 37%  
443 1.2% 36%  
444 2% 35%  
445 2% 32%  
446 0.8% 31%  
447 0.7% 30%  
448 1.0% 29%  
449 1.0% 28%  
450 0.5% 27%  
451 0.6% 27%  
452 0.6% 26%  
453 0.9% 26%  
454 2% 25%  
455 2% 22%  
456 1.1% 21%  
457 2% 20%  
458 1.0% 18%  
459 0.8% 17%  
460 0.6% 16%  
461 1.2% 15%  
462 2% 14%  
463 0.5% 12%  
464 1.3% 12%  
465 0.5% 11%  
466 0.5% 10%  
467 0.5% 10%  
468 1.0% 9%  
469 0.5% 8%  
470 0.5% 8%  
471 0.5% 7%  
472 0.2% 7%  
473 0.4% 6%  
474 0.7% 6%  
475 0.2% 5%  
476 0.5% 5%  
477 0.4% 5%  
478 0.4% 4%  
479 0.1% 4%  
480 0.2% 4%  
481 0.2% 4%  
482 0.2% 3%  
483 0.1% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.3% 3%  
487 0.3% 3%  
488 0.1% 2%  
489 0.1% 2%  
490 0.2% 2%  
491 0.3% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.5%  
493 0.1% 1.3%  
494 0.2% 1.2%  
495 0.1% 1.0%  
496 0.1% 0.9%  
497 0.2% 0.8%  
498 0.1% 0.6%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0% 0.5%  
501 0% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0.1% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.7%  
361 0% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.6%  
363 0% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.1% 99.4%  
366 0.1% 99.3%  
367 0.1% 99.2%  
368 0.1% 99.1%  
369 0.2% 99.0%  
370 0.1% 98.8%  
371 0.1% 98.8%  
372 0.2% 98.6%  
373 0.1% 98%  
374 0.1% 98%  
375 0.1% 98%  
376 0.2% 98%  
377 0.1% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.2% 98%  
380 0.2% 97%  
381 0.2% 97%  
382 0.5% 97%  
383 0.2% 96%  
384 0.4% 96%  
385 1.0% 96%  
386 0.5% 95%  
387 0.2% 94%  
388 0.7% 94%  
389 1.4% 93%  
390 0.2% 92%  
391 0.7% 92%  
392 0.4% 91%  
393 2% 91%  
394 0.8% 89%  
395 0.6% 88%  
396 0.8% 88%  
397 0.9% 87%  
398 0.4% 86%  
399 1.0% 86%  
400 1.1% 84%  
401 0.8% 83%  
402 0.9% 83%  
403 1.0% 82%  
404 1.1% 81%  
405 0.6% 80%  
406 0.9% 79%  
407 0.8% 78%  
408 0.9% 77%  
409 0.8% 76%  
410 0.6% 76%  
411 0.4% 75%  
412 0.8% 75%  
413 2% 74%  
414 2% 72%  
415 1.3% 71%  
416 1.3% 70%  
417 3% 68%  
418 2% 65%  
419 2% 64%  
420 2% 62%  
421 2% 60%  
422 1.2% 58%  
423 0.9% 56%  
424 1.3% 55% Median
425 1.5% 54%  
426 2% 53%  
427 4% 51%  
428 1.4% 47%  
429 1.1% 46%  
430 2% 44%  
431 1.2% 43%  
432 3% 42%  
433 1.3% 39%  
434 0.8% 37%  
435 1.1% 37%  
436 0.8% 36%  
437 2% 35%  
438 1.5% 32%  
439 0.8% 31%  
440 1.1% 30%  
441 0.5% 29%  
442 0.8% 28%  
443 0.9% 28%  
444 0.7% 27%  
445 1.0% 26%  
446 1.3% 25%  
447 0.4% 24%  
448 1.0% 23%  
449 1.0% 22%  
450 2% 21%  
451 1.4% 19%  
452 0.7% 18%  
453 1.2% 17%  
454 0.7% 16%  
455 0.4% 15%  
456 0.9% 15%  
457 0.9% 14%  
458 0.3% 13%  
459 0.2% 13%  
460 2% 13%  
461 0.6% 11%  
462 0.9% 10%  
463 0.4% 9%  
464 0.4% 9%  
465 0.6% 9%  
466 0.3% 8%  
467 0.3% 8%  
468 0.1% 7%  
469 0.4% 7%  
470 1.1% 7%  
471 0.9% 6%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.1% 5%  
474 0.4% 4%  
475 0.1% 4%  
476 0.2% 4%  
477 0.2% 4%  
478 0.1% 4%  
479 0.1% 3%  
480 0.1% 3%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0.1% 3%  
483 0.1% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.1% 3%  
486 0.1% 3%  
487 0.2% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.1% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 1.5%  
495 0.1% 1.3%  
496 0.1% 1.2%  
497 0.1% 1.0%  
498 0.1% 0.9%  
499 0% 0.8%  
500 0.1% 0.8%  
501 0% 0.7%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.4%  
506 0% 0.4%  
507 0.1% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.3%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0% 99.7%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.5%  
385 0.1% 99.5%  
386 0.2% 99.4%  
387 0.1% 99.2%  
388 0.1% 99.1%  
389 0.2% 99.0%  
390 0.1% 98.8%  
391 0.2% 98.7%  
392 0.1% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.1% 98%  
395 0.1% 98%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.4% 98%  
398 0.3% 97%  
399 0.3% 97%  
400 0.4% 97%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.4% 96%  
403 0.5% 96%  
404 0.9% 95%  
405 0.8% 94%  
406 0.8% 93%  
407 0.8% 92%  
408 1.3% 92%  
409 2% 90%  
410 0.9% 88%  
411 0.7% 87%  
412 2% 87%  
413 1.1% 85%  
414 1.3% 84%  
415 0.7% 82%  
416 2% 82%  
417 1.3% 80%  
418 1.4% 79%  
419 0.8% 77%  
420 0.5% 77%  
421 0.6% 76%  
422 0.8% 76%  
423 0.6% 75%  
424 0.7% 74%  
425 1.2% 74%  
426 2% 72%  
427 3% 70%  
428 1.2% 67%  
429 1.2% 66%  
430 2% 65%  
431 3% 63%  
432 5% 60%  
433 2% 55%  
434 3% 53%  
435 3% 50% Median
436 2% 48%  
437 3% 45%  
438 3% 42%  
439 2% 39%  
440 2% 38%  
441 2% 35%  
442 1.0% 33%  
443 1.0% 32%  
444 2% 31%  
445 0.9% 30%  
446 0.9% 29%  
447 1.0% 28%  
448 0.8% 27%  
449 0.5% 26%  
450 0.4% 26%  
451 1.1% 25%  
452 0.8% 24%  
453 2% 23%  
454 2% 22%  
455 1.3% 19%  
456 1.1% 18%  
457 0.8% 17%  
458 0.9% 16%  
459 0.9% 15%  
460 2% 14%  
461 1.2% 12%  
462 0.8% 11%  
463 0.3% 10%  
464 0.5% 10%  
465 0.3% 9%  
466 0.7% 9%  
467 0.8% 8%  
468 0.7% 8%  
469 0.3% 7%  
470 0.6% 7%  
471 0.5% 6%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.2% 5%  
474 0.1% 5%  
475 0.6% 5%  
476 0.2% 4%  
477 0.2% 4%  
478 0.3% 4%  
479 0.2% 4%  
480 0.1% 3%  
481 0.1% 3%  
482 0.1% 3%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.3% 3%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.1% 2%  
487 0.1% 2%  
488 0.3% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.2% 1.5%  
491 0.1% 1.3%  
492 0.1% 1.1%  
493 0.2% 1.1%  
494 0.1% 0.9%  
495 0.1% 0.8%  
496 0.1% 0.7%  
497 0.1% 0.6%  
498 0.1% 0.5%  
499 0.1% 0.4%  
500 0% 0.3%  
501 0% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0.1% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8%  
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.7%  
358 0% 99.7%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.1% 99.5%  
362 0.1% 99.3%  
363 0.1% 99.3%  
364 0% 99.2%  
365 0.1% 99.2%  
366 0.2% 99.1%  
367 0.1% 98.9%  
368 0.1% 98.8%  
369 0.2% 98.7%  
370 0.1% 98.5%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.2% 98%  
373 0.1% 98%  
374 0.2% 98%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.2% 98%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.2% 97%  
379 0.3% 97%  
380 0.3% 97%  
381 0.5% 96%  
382 1.0% 96%  
383 0.3% 95%  
384 0.4% 95%  
385 0.5% 94%  
386 1.0% 94%  
387 0.5% 93%  
388 0.7% 92%  
389 0.9% 92%  
390 1.2% 91%  
391 1.1% 90%  
392 0.6% 88%  
393 0.6% 88%  
394 0.6% 87%  
395 0.7% 87%  
396 0.8% 86%  
397 1.3% 85%  
398 0.9% 84%  
399 0.9% 83%  
400 1.5% 82%  
401 0.5% 81%  
402 0.9% 80%  
403 1.1% 79%  
404 0.8% 78%  
405 0.8% 77%  
406 0.6% 77%  
407 0.9% 76%  
408 0.3% 75%  
409 0.6% 75%  
410 0.7% 74%  
411 1.2% 73%  
412 1.3% 72%  
413 2% 71%  
414 1.2% 69%  
415 3% 68%  
416 2% 64%  
417 2% 62%  
418 0.7% 60%  
419 0.7% 59%  
420 2% 58%  
421 2% 57%  
422 0.9% 55% Median
423 2% 54%  
424 1.5% 52%  
425 2% 50%  
426 4% 48%  
427 1.2% 44%  
428 1.0% 43%  
429 1.3% 42%  
430 2% 41%  
431 2% 39%  
432 0.7% 37%  
433 1.2% 36%  
434 2% 35%  
435 2% 34%  
436 1.1% 32%  
437 1.1% 31%  
438 1.0% 30%  
439 0.6% 29%  
440 0.5% 28%  
441 0.5% 27%  
442 1.4% 27%  
443 0.7% 26%  
444 0.7% 25%  
445 1.2% 24%  
446 0.7% 23%  
447 0.7% 22%  
448 1.5% 22%  
449 2% 20%  
450 2% 18%  
451 0.6% 16%  
452 0.5% 16%  
453 1.0% 15%  
454 0.3% 14%  
455 0.4% 14%  
456 0.8% 14%  
457 1.1% 13%  
458 0.5% 12%  
459 1.4% 11%  
460 0.6% 10%  
461 0.4% 9%  
462 0.3% 9%  
463 0.4% 8%  
464 0.4% 8%  
465 0.4% 8%  
466 0.3% 7%  
467 0.7% 7%  
468 0.3% 6%  
469 0.7% 6%  
470 0.8% 5%  
471 0.2% 5%  
472 0.1% 4%  
473 0.3% 4%  
474 0.2% 4%  
475 0.1% 4%  
476 0.1% 4%  
477 0.1% 3%  
478 0.2% 3%  
479 0.1% 3%  
480 0.2% 3%  
481 0.1% 3%  
482 0.1% 3%  
483 0.1% 3%  
484 0.2% 3%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.1% 2%  
487 0% 2%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.2% 2%  
491 0.1% 2%  
492 0.1% 1.5%  
493 0.3% 1.4%  
494 0.1% 1.1%  
495 0% 1.0%  
496 0.1% 0.9%  
497 0.1% 0.9%  
498 0.1% 0.8%  
499 0.1% 0.7%  
500 0.1% 0.6%  
501 0% 0.5%  
502 0% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.5%  
504 0.1% 0.4%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0.1% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 0.2% 99.5%  
345 0.2% 99.3%  
346 0.2% 99.1%  
347 0.3% 98.9%  
348 0.2% 98.6%  
349 0.2% 98%  
350 0.1% 98%  
351 0.1% 98%  
352 0.1% 98%  
353 0.1% 98%  
354 0.1% 98%  
355 0% 98%  
356 0% 98%  
357 0% 98%  
358 0% 98%  
359 0.1% 97%  
360 0.3% 97%  
361 0.3% 97%  
362 0.3% 97%  
363 0.7% 97%  
364 0.9% 96%  
365 0.8% 95%  
366 1.0% 94%  
367 1.2% 93%  
368 2% 92%  
369 1.5% 90%  
370 2% 88%  
371 1.3% 87%  
372 2% 86%  
373 1.0% 83%  
374 1.1% 82%  
375 1.5% 81%  
376 0.9% 80%  
377 0.9% 79%  
378 0.5% 78%  
379 0.3% 77%  
380 0.3% 77%  
381 0.3% 77%  
382 0.3% 76%  
383 0.1% 76%  
384 0.2% 76%  
385 0.3% 76%  
386 0.7% 75%  
387 0.8% 75%  
388 0.7% 74%  
389 2% 73%  
390 1.0% 72%  
391 2% 71%  
392 3% 69%  
393 3% 66%  
394 4% 63%  
395 4% 60%  
396 2% 56%  
397 4% 54% Median
398 3% 50%  
399 2% 47%  
400 5% 45%  
401 2% 40%  
402 3% 38%  
403 1.4% 35%  
404 1.0% 34%  
405 0.9% 33%  
406 0.5% 32%  
407 1.1% 31%  
408 0.6% 30%  
409 0.3% 29%  
410 0.2% 29%  
411 0.2% 29%  
412 0.3% 29%  
413 0.2% 28%  
414 0.3% 28%  
415 0.4% 28%  
416 0.6% 28%  
417 0.8% 27%  
418 0.7% 26%  
419 0.7% 25%  
420 2% 25%  
421 1.4% 23%  
422 3% 22%  
423 2% 19%  
424 1.3% 17%  
425 3% 16%  
426 1.4% 13%  
427 0.9% 12%  
428 2% 11%  
429 1.1% 9%  
430 1.2% 8%  
431 0.6% 6%  
432 0.5% 6%  
433 0.2% 5%  
434 1.0% 5%  
435 0.4% 4%  
436 0.1% 4%  
437 0.1% 3%  
438 0% 3%  
439 0% 3%  
440 0% 3%  
441 0% 3%  
442 0% 3%  
443 0% 3%  
444 0% 3%  
445 0% 3%  
446 0% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0% 3%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.1% 3%  
451 0.1% 3%  
452 0.1% 3%  
453 0.2% 3%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.1% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.5% 2%  
458 0.4% 2%  
459 0.2% 1.4%  
460 0.2% 1.2%  
461 0.3% 1.0%  
462 0.1% 0.8%  
463 0.1% 0.6%  
464 0% 0.5%  
465 0.2% 0.5%  
466 0.1% 0.3%  
467 0% 0.2%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.2% 99.5%  
342 0.2% 99.4%  
343 0.2% 99.2%  
344 0.3% 99.0%  
345 0.3% 98.8%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.2% 98%  
350 0.1% 98%  
351 0.1% 98%  
352 0% 98%  
353 0.1% 98%  
354 0.1% 98%  
355 0.1% 98%  
356 0.1% 97%  
357 0% 97%  
358 0.2% 97%  
359 0.4% 97%  
360 0.9% 97%  
361 0.5% 96%  
362 0.8% 95%  
363 0.8% 95%  
364 1.0% 94%  
365 1.2% 93%  
366 2% 92%  
367 2% 89%  
368 2% 87%  
369 1.0% 85%  
370 1.2% 84%  
371 1.2% 83%  
372 1.3% 82%  
373 1.3% 81%  
374 0.8% 79%  
375 0.7% 79%  
376 0.3% 78%  
377 0.8% 78%  
378 0.2% 77%  
379 0.4% 77%  
380 0.1% 76%  
381 0.1% 76%  
382 0.2% 76%  
383 1.0% 76%  
384 0.6% 75%  
385 0.7% 74%  
386 0.8% 73%  
387 1.1% 73%  
388 1.2% 72%  
389 3% 70%  
390 3% 67%  
391 2% 64%  
392 3% 62%  
393 4% 59%  
394 3% 55%  
395 3% 51% Median
396 2% 48%  
397 2% 47%  
398 3% 45%  
399 3% 41%  
400 3% 38%  
401 2% 35%  
402 0.4% 33%  
403 1.5% 33%  
404 0.6% 31%  
405 0.4% 31%  
406 0.8% 30%  
407 0.5% 30%  
408 0.2% 29%  
409 0.3% 29%  
410 0.2% 29%  
411 0.1% 28%  
412 0.3% 28%  
413 0.6% 28%  
414 0.4% 27%  
415 1.1% 27%  
416 0.5% 26%  
417 0.6% 25%  
418 1.1% 25%  
419 2% 24%  
420 2% 21%  
421 2% 20%  
422 3% 17%  
423 2% 15%  
424 2% 13%  
425 1.3% 11%  
426 2% 10%  
427 1.2% 8%  
428 0.4% 7%  
429 0.5% 6%  
430 0.9% 6%  
431 0.3% 5%  
432 0.6% 5%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.3% 4%  
435 0% 3%  
436 0% 3%  
437 0% 3%  
438 0% 3%  
439 0% 3%  
440 0% 3%  
441 0% 3%  
442 0% 3%  
443 0% 3%  
444 0% 3%  
445 0% 3%  
446 0.1% 3%  
447 0.1% 3%  
448 0% 3%  
449 0.1% 3%  
450 0.1% 3%  
451 0.2% 3%  
452 0.1% 3%  
453 0.1% 3%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.3% 2%  
457 0.2% 1.4%  
458 0.2% 1.3%  
459 0.2% 1.0%  
460 0.2% 0.8%  
461 0.2% 0.6%  
462 0.1% 0.5%  
463 0.1% 0.4%  
464 0.1% 0.3%  
465 0.1% 0.2%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0.1%  
471 0% 0.1%  
472 0% 0.1%  
473 0% 0.1%  
474 0% 0.1%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0% 99.6%  
119 0.2% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0% 99.3%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0.2% 99.2%  
124 0% 99.0%  
125 0.2% 99.0%  
126 0.1% 98.8%  
127 0.1% 98.8%  
128 0.1% 98.7%  
129 0.1% 98.6%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.3% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.1% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.2% 97%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.1% 96%  
142 0.2% 96%  
143 0.6% 96%  
144 0.1% 96%  
145 0.2% 95%  
146 0.2% 95%  
147 0.3% 95%  
148 0.5% 95%  
149 0.5% 94%  
150 0.1% 94%  
151 0.1% 94%  
152 0.2% 94%  
153 0.4% 93%  
154 0.6% 93%  
155 0.3% 92%  
156 0.9% 92%  
157 0.5% 91%  
158 0.4% 91%  
159 0.7% 90%  
160 0.6% 90%  
161 0.9% 89%  
162 0.9% 88%  
163 0.5% 87%  
164 0.5% 87%  
165 0.5% 86%  
166 1.2% 86%  
167 0.6% 84%  
168 0.6% 84%  
169 0.6% 83%  
170 0.7% 83%  
171 0.4% 82%  
172 0.6% 82%  
173 0.7% 81%  
174 0.6% 80%  
175 2% 80%  
176 3% 78%  
177 0.8% 75%  
178 0.6% 74%  
179 1.1% 73%  
180 1.0% 72%  
181 1.3% 71%  
182 3% 70%  
183 1.0% 67%  
184 1.1% 66%  
185 1.0% 65%  
186 2% 64%  
187 2% 62%  
188 2% 60%  
189 2% 58%  
190 2% 56%  
191 1.1% 54%  
192 1.3% 53%  
193 1.5% 52%  
194 1.4% 50%  
195 0.9% 49% Median
196 2% 48%  
197 1.0% 46%  
198 2% 45%  
199 3% 43%  
200 3% 40%  
201 2% 37%  
202 2% 35%  
203 1.2% 32%  
204 1.0% 31%  
205 1.3% 30%  
206 0.6% 29%  
207 0.9% 28%  
208 1.2% 27%  
209 1.2% 26%  
210 1.4% 25%  
211 2% 23%  
212 1.0% 22%  
213 1.4% 21%  
214 0.9% 20%  
215 1.4% 19%  
216 0.9% 17%  
217 0.6% 16%  
218 0.9% 16%  
219 0.6% 15%  
220 0.7% 14%  
221 0.4% 14%  
222 0.3% 13%  
223 0.9% 13%  
224 1.0% 12%  
225 1.1% 11%  
226 2% 10%  
227 0.7% 8%  
228 0.9% 7%  
229 0.8% 6%  
230 0.7% 6%  
231 0.2% 5%  
232 0.3% 5%  
233 0.2% 5%  
234 0.5% 4%  
235 0.4% 4%  
236 0.4% 3%  
237 0.5% 3%  
238 0.3% 3%  
239 0.3% 2%  
240 0.1% 2%  
241 0.2% 2%  
242 0.1% 2%  
243 0.1% 2%  
244 0.1% 1.4%  
245 0% 1.3%  
246 0.1% 1.3%  
247 0.2% 1.2%  
248 0.1% 1.0%  
249 0.1% 0.9%  
250 0.1% 0.7%  
251 0.1% 0.6%  
252 0.1% 0.5%  
253 0.1% 0.4%  
254 0% 0.3%  
255 0% 0.3%  
256 0% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.3%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.8%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0% 99.7%  
113 0.1% 99.7%  
114 0% 99.7%  
115 0% 99.6%  
116 0.1% 99.6%  
117 0.1% 99.5%  
118 0.1% 99.5%  
119 0.2% 99.4%  
120 0% 99.2%  
121 0% 99.2%  
122 0.2% 99.1%  
123 0.1% 99.0%  
124 0.1% 98.9%  
125 0.1% 98.8%  
126 0.1% 98.6%  
127 0.1% 98.5%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.2% 97%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.2% 97%  
139 0.2% 96%  
140 0.1% 96%  
141 0.3% 96%  
142 0.2% 96%  
143 0.6% 96%  
144 0.2% 95%  
145 0.5% 95%  
146 0.2% 94%  
147 0.3% 94%  
148 0.1% 94%  
149 0.4% 94%  
150 0.2% 93%  
151 0.2% 93%  
152 0.3% 93%  
153 0.3% 92%  
154 1.0% 92%  
155 0.4% 91%  
156 0.8% 91%  
157 0.3% 90%  
158 0.7% 90%  
159 1.1% 89%  
160 0.7% 88%  
161 0.4% 87%  
162 0.9% 87%  
163 0.7% 86%  
164 0.3% 85%  
165 1.0% 85%  
166 0.6% 84%  
167 0.8% 83%  
168 0.8% 82%  
169 0.3% 82%  
170 0.5% 81%  
171 0.6% 81%  
172 2% 80%  
173 1.1% 79%  
174 2% 78%  
175 2% 76%  
176 0.9% 74%  
177 1.0% 73%  
178 1.2% 72%  
179 2% 71%  
180 2% 69%  
181 2% 67%  
182 1.1% 65%  
183 2% 64%  
184 1.0% 63%  
185 2% 62%  
186 1.2% 59%  
187 1.3% 58%  
188 2% 57%  
189 2% 55%  
190 2% 53%  
191 2% 51%  
192 0.5% 49%  
193 2% 49% Median
194 1.3% 47%  
195 1.2% 46%  
196 3% 45%  
197 3% 42%  
198 3% 39%  
199 2% 36%  
200 2% 34%  
201 0.8% 32%  
202 2% 32%  
203 0.9% 29%  
204 1.0% 28%  
205 1.1% 27%  
206 0.5% 26%  
207 2% 26%  
208 1.1% 24%  
209 2% 23%  
210 1.1% 21%  
211 1.3% 20%  
212 0.6% 19%  
213 0.9% 18%  
214 0.6% 17%  
215 1.0% 17%  
216 1.0% 16%  
217 0.7% 15%  
218 0.4% 14%  
219 0.4% 13%  
220 0.5% 13%  
221 0.6% 12%  
222 2% 12%  
223 0.4% 10%  
224 1.4% 9%  
225 1.0% 8%  
226 0.7% 7%  
227 0.5% 6%  
228 0.5% 5%  
229 0.2% 5%  
230 0.3% 5%  
231 0.4% 4%  
232 0.3% 4%  
233 0.5% 4%  
234 0.4% 3%  
235 0.4% 3%  
236 0.3% 2%  
237 0.3% 2%  
238 0.1% 2%  
239 0.1% 2%  
240 0.1% 2%  
241 0.1% 1.5%  
242 0.1% 1.4%  
243 0.1% 1.3%  
244 0.2% 1.2%  
245 0.1% 1.0%  
246 0.1% 0.9%  
247 0.2% 0.8%  
248 0.1% 0.6%  
249 0.1% 0.5%  
250 0.1% 0.4%  
251 0% 0.4%  
252 0% 0.3%  
253 0% 0.3%  
254 0% 0.3%  
255 0% 0.2%  
256 0% 0.2%  
257 0% 0.2%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.1%  
260 0% 0.1%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0.1% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0.1% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0.1% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.4%  
121 0% 99.4%  
122 0% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.2%  
126 0.1% 99.1%  
127 0.1% 99.0%  
128 0.1% 98.9%  
129 0.2% 98.7%  
130 0.2% 98.5%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.4% 98%  
133 0.1% 98%  
134 0.1% 98%  
135 0.3% 98%  
136 0.2% 97%  
137 0.3% 97%  
138 0.4% 97%  
139 0.8% 96%  
140 0.4% 96%  
141 0.7% 95%  
142 0.5% 95%  
143 0.6% 94%  
144 0.6% 93%  
145 1.0% 93%  
146 0.5% 92%  
147 0.6% 91%  
148 0.7% 91%  
149 0.2% 90%  
150 0.3% 90%  
151 0.5% 90%  
152 0.1% 89%  
153 0.3% 89%  
154 0.1% 89%  
155 0.6% 88%  
156 0.3% 88%  
157 0.2% 88%  
158 0.5% 87%  
159 0.5% 87%  
160 0.4% 86%  
161 1.2% 86%  
162 0.4% 85%  
163 2% 84%  
164 0.8% 83%  
165 1.1% 82%  
166 1.1% 81%  
167 0.7% 80%  
168 2% 79%  
169 2% 77%  
170 1.3% 75%  
171 1.4% 74%  
172 2% 72%  
173 2% 70%  
174 2% 68%  
175 2% 67%  
176 3% 65%  
177 4% 62%  
178 5% 58%  
179 1.3% 53%  
180 2% 52% Median
181 4% 50%  
182 2% 46%  
183 3% 43%  
184 2% 40%  
185 2% 38%  
186 1.4% 36%  
187 0.7% 34%  
188 3% 33%  
189 2% 31%  
190 0.8% 28%  
191 3% 28%  
192 0.6% 25%  
193 0.9% 24%  
194 2% 23%  
195 1.2% 21%  
196 1.2% 20%  
197 1.4% 19%  
198 2% 17%  
199 2% 16%  
200 1.0% 14%  
201 0.8% 13%  
202 0.8% 12%  
203 1.2% 11%  
204 0.9% 10%  
205 0.5% 9%  
206 0.7% 9%  
207 0.9% 8%  
208 1.2% 7%  
209 0.6% 6%  
210 0.5% 5%  
211 0.7% 5%  
212 0.5% 4%  
213 0.8% 4%  
214 0.4% 3%  
215 0.2% 2%  
216 0.3% 2%  
217 0.2% 2%  
218 0.2% 2%  
219 0.2% 1.5%  
220 0.2% 1.3%  
221 0.2% 1.1%  
222 0.1% 0.9%  
223 0.1% 0.9%  
224 0.1% 0.8%  
225 0.1% 0.7%  
226 0.1% 0.6%  
227 0.1% 0.5%  
228 0% 0.5%  
229 0% 0.5%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.3%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.8%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.7%  
80 0% 99.7%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0.1% 99.6%  
83 0.1% 99.6%  
84 0% 99.5%  
85 0% 99.4%  
86 0.1% 99.4%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0% 99.3%  
89 0% 99.2%  
90 0.1% 99.2%  
91 0.1% 99.1%  
92 0.1% 99.0%  
93 0.1% 98.9%  
94 0.3% 98.8%  
95 0.1% 98.5%  
96 0.3% 98%  
97 0.1% 98%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.2% 98%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.2% 97%  
102 0.1% 97%  
103 0.4% 97%  
104 0.1% 97%  
105 0.7% 96%  
106 0.5% 96%  
107 0.3% 95%  
108 0.3% 95%  
109 0.3% 95%  
110 0.3% 94%  
111 0.2% 94%  
112 0.3% 94%  
113 0.8% 94%  
114 0.5% 93%  
115 0.4% 92%  
116 0.3% 92%  
117 0.2% 92%  
118 0.2% 91%  
119 0.4% 91%  
120 0.3% 91%  
121 0.7% 90%  
122 0.4% 90%  
123 0.3% 89%  
124 0.3% 89%  
125 0.4% 89%  
126 0.8% 88%  
127 0.3% 87%  
128 0.8% 87%  
129 0.4% 86%  
130 0.4% 86%  
131 0.4% 86%  
132 0.7% 85%  
133 1.1% 84%  
134 1.4% 83%  
135 0.5% 82%  
136 1.1% 81%  
137 0.8% 80%  
138 0.8% 80%  
139 1.0% 79%  
140 1.1% 78%  
141 1.3% 77%  
142 2% 75%  
143 2% 73%  
144 3% 71%  
145 1.2% 69%  
146 3% 68%  
147 2% 65%  
148 2% 63%  
149 1.2% 61%  
150 2% 60%  
151 2% 58%  
152 1.4% 56%  
153 3% 55%  
154 1.2% 52%  
155 1.3% 51% Median
156 3% 49%  
157 3% 47%  
158 2% 44%  
159 3% 42%  
160 2% 39%  
161 1.5% 37%  
162 2% 36%  
163 2% 34%  
164 1.2% 32%  
165 2% 30%  
166 2% 28%  
167 1.1% 26%  
168 1.2% 25%  
169 1.5% 24%  
170 2% 23%  
171 0.3% 21%  
172 1.3% 21%  
173 1.0% 19%  
174 2% 18%  
175 1.0% 16%  
176 0.4% 15%  
177 0.8% 15%  
178 0.6% 14%  
179 2% 14%  
180 1.2% 12%  
181 0.7% 11%  
182 0.7% 10%  
183 0.7% 9%  
184 0.9% 9%  
185 0.5% 8%  
186 0.4% 7%  
187 1.0% 7%  
188 0.9% 6%  
189 0.2% 5%  
190 0.4% 5%  
191 0.7% 4%  
192 0.5% 4%  
193 0.4% 3%  
194 0.3% 3%  
195 0.4% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0.1% 1.4%  
200 0.1% 1.3%  
201 0.2% 1.2%  
202 0.1% 1.1%  
203 0.1% 0.9%  
204 0.1% 0.8%  
205 0.1% 0.8%  
206 0.1% 0.7%  
207 0.1% 0.6%  
208 0.1% 0.5%  
209 0.1% 0.5%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0% 100%  
68 0% 99.9%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.5%  
82 0.1% 99.5%  
83 0.1% 99.4%  
84 0% 99.4%  
85 0% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.3%  
87 0% 99.2%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.2% 99.1%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0.2% 98.7%  
93 0.2% 98.6%  
94 0.2% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.3% 98%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 0.1% 97%  
99 0.3% 97%  
100 0.1% 97%  
101 0.3% 97%  
102 0.4% 97%  
103 0.2% 96%  
104 0.4% 96%  
105 0.6% 96%  
106 0.5% 95%  
107 0.2% 95%  
108 0.5% 94%  
109 0.2% 94%  
110 0.5% 94%  
111 0.6% 93%  
112 0.3% 93%  
113 0.3% 92%  
114 0.5% 92%  
115 0.4% 91%  
116 0.3% 91%  
117 0.1% 91%  
118 0.7% 91%  
119 0.2% 90%  
120 0.4% 90%  
121 0.3% 89%  
122 0.5% 89%  
123 0.4% 88%  
124 0.4% 88%  
125 0.5% 88%  
126 0.6% 87%  
127 0.8% 86%  
128 0.3% 86%  
129 0.4% 85%  
130 1.0% 85%  
131 0.9% 84%  
132 1.1% 83%  
133 0.3% 82%  
134 1.4% 82%  
135 0.6% 80%  
136 1.0% 80%  
137 1.0% 79%  
138 1.1% 78%  
139 1.3% 76%  
140 2% 75%  
141 4% 74%  
142 2% 70%  
143 1.3% 68%  
144 2% 67%  
145 2% 65%  
146 3% 63%  
147 0.6% 60%  
148 1.5% 60%  
149 3% 58%  
150 2% 56%  
151 2% 54%  
152 1.3% 52%  
153 2% 50% Median
154 4% 49%  
155 2% 45%  
156 2% 43%  
157 1.4% 41%  
158 2% 40%  
159 3% 37%  
160 0.8% 34%  
161 1.4% 34%  
162 2% 32%  
163 2% 30%  
164 1.3% 27%  
165 1.4% 26%  
166 0.7% 25%  
167 2% 24%  
168 1.4% 22%  
169 1.3% 21%  
170 0.8% 19%  
171 0.9% 19%  
172 1.4% 18%  
173 1.3% 16%  
174 0.7% 15%  
175 1.2% 14%  
176 1.0% 13%  
177 1.0% 12%  
178 0.7% 11%  
179 1.0% 11%  
180 0.8% 10%  
181 0.6% 9%  
182 0.7% 8%  
183 0.4% 7%  
184 0.8% 7%  
185 0.9% 6%  
186 0.6% 5%  
187 0.5% 5%  
188 0.7% 4%  
189 0.4% 4%  
190 0.3% 3%  
191 0.5% 3%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.2% 2%  
194 0.2% 2%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 0.2% 2%  
197 0.2% 1.4%  
198 0.1% 1.2%  
199 0.1% 1.1%  
200 0.1% 0.9%  
201 0.1% 0.8%  
202 0.1% 0.8%  
203 0.1% 0.7%  
204 0.1% 0.6%  
205 0% 0.5%  
206 0% 0.5%  
207 0.1% 0.5%  
208 0% 0.4%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0.1% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations