Opinion Poll by Whitestone Insight, 5–6 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 46.7% 45.2–48.2% 44.8–48.7% 44.4–49.0% 43.7–49.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.5% 23.2–25.8% 22.8–26.2% 22.5–26.5% 21.9–27.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.5% 8.3–12.0%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.7% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.2–9.5%
Green Party 2.8% 4.3% 3.8–5.0% 3.6–5.2% 3.5–5.4% 3.2–5.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 395 376–422 370–429 365–437 355–450
Conservative Party 365 146 120–165 110–171 103–177 91–185
Liberal Democrats 11 30 23–39 21–40 20–42 18–48
Brexit Party 0 16 7–20 5–21 4–22 4–23
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 39 32–49 28–52 24–53 21–56
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.1%  
360 0.2% 98.9%  
361 0.2% 98.7%  
362 0.3% 98.6%  
363 0.2% 98%  
364 0.4% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.5% 97%  
367 0.7% 97%  
368 0.4% 96%  
369 0.2% 96%  
370 0.6% 96%  
371 0.2% 95%  
372 0.5% 95%  
373 0.5% 94%  
374 0.9% 94%  
375 2% 93%  
376 2% 91%  
377 1.0% 89%  
378 0.8% 88%  
379 0.8% 87%  
380 0.9% 86%  
381 2% 86%  
382 3% 84%  
383 2% 81%  
384 1.4% 79%  
385 2% 78%  
386 3% 76%  
387 3% 74%  
388 3% 70%  
389 2% 68%  
390 1.4% 65%  
391 1.4% 64%  
392 3% 62%  
393 6% 59%  
394 4% 54%  
395 2% 50% Median
396 2% 48%  
397 1.1% 46%  
398 1.5% 45%  
399 2% 43%  
400 3% 41%  
401 1.0% 38%  
402 3% 37%  
403 3% 34%  
404 2% 32%  
405 1.1% 30%  
406 2% 29%  
407 1.1% 27%  
408 3% 26%  
409 2% 23%  
410 2% 21%  
411 1.2% 20%  
412 0.8% 18%  
413 1.4% 17%  
414 0.7% 16%  
415 1.3% 15%  
416 0.4% 14%  
417 0.9% 14%  
418 0.5% 13%  
419 0.6% 12%  
420 0.5% 12%  
421 0.6% 11%  
422 0.9% 11%  
423 0.6% 10%  
424 1.3% 9%  
425 0.6% 8%  
426 0.3% 7%  
427 2% 7%  
428 0.3% 5%  
429 0.2% 5%  
430 0.2% 5%  
431 0.5% 5%  
432 0.4% 4%  
433 0.2% 4%  
434 0.5% 4%  
435 0.2% 3%  
436 0.1% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.6% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.1% 1.4%  
443 0.1% 1.3%  
444 0.1% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0% 0.6%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.1% 99.7%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.1% 99.5%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0.1% 99.2%  
96 0.2% 99.1%  
97 0.2% 98.9%  
98 0.1% 98.8%  
99 0.2% 98.6%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.2% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 97%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.5% 97%  
107 0.3% 96%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.4% 96%  
110 0.3% 95%  
111 1.0% 95%  
112 0.4% 94%  
113 0.3% 93%  
114 0.3% 93%  
115 1.2% 93%  
116 0.4% 92%  
117 0.3% 91%  
118 0.2% 91%  
119 0.3% 91%  
120 0.6% 91%  
121 0.6% 90%  
122 0.6% 89%  
123 0.9% 89%  
124 1.0% 88%  
125 0.6% 87%  
126 1.0% 86%  
127 2% 85%  
128 0.8% 84%  
129 0.9% 83%  
130 2% 82%  
131 0.4% 80%  
132 1.1% 80%  
133 1.3% 79%  
134 2% 77%  
135 2% 75%  
136 2% 73%  
137 2% 72%  
138 1.0% 69%  
139 2% 68%  
140 3% 66%  
141 2% 64%  
142 3% 61%  
143 2% 59%  
144 2% 57%  
145 3% 55%  
146 2% 52% Median
147 2% 50%  
148 3% 48%  
149 3% 45%  
150 3% 42%  
151 2% 39%  
152 2% 37%  
153 5% 35%  
154 3% 30%  
155 2% 28%  
156 4% 26%  
157 2% 22%  
158 2% 20%  
159 0.8% 18%  
160 4% 18%  
161 0.4% 14%  
162 2% 14%  
163 0.8% 12%  
164 0.5% 11%  
165 2% 10%  
166 0.5% 9%  
167 0.4% 8%  
168 1.0% 8%  
169 0.9% 7%  
170 0.3% 6%  
171 0.9% 6%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 0.6% 4%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.2% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.1% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.4%  
182 0.2% 1.2%  
183 0.3% 0.9%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.2% 99.9%  
18 0.5% 99.7%  
19 0.8% 99.1%  
20 1.3% 98%  
21 2% 97%  
22 4% 95%  
23 4% 90%  
24 6% 86%  
25 5% 80%  
26 6% 75%  
27 6% 69%  
28 3% 63%  
29 6% 60%  
30 5% 54% Median
31 4% 49%  
32 5% 44%  
33 3% 39%  
34 3% 36%  
35 4% 34%  
36 5% 30%  
37 7% 24%  
38 6% 18%  
39 4% 12%  
40 4% 9%  
41 2% 5%  
42 1.0% 3%  
43 0.6% 2%  
44 0.2% 1.3%  
45 0.2% 1.1%  
46 0.3% 1.0%  
47 0.2% 0.7%  
48 0.1% 0.6%  
49 0.1% 0.5%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0.1% 0.1%  
52 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 3% 100%  
5 3% 97%  
6 3% 95%  
7 3% 92%  
8 2% 89%  
9 0.9% 87%  
10 1.2% 86%  
11 2% 85%  
12 7% 82%  
13 11% 76%  
14 9% 65%  
15 3% 56%  
16 7% 53% Median
17 6% 46%  
18 8% 40%  
19 14% 32%  
20 11% 18%  
21 4% 6%  
22 1.4% 3%  
23 0.9% 1.1%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.3% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.6% 0.7%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.8%  
20 0.1% 99.7%  
21 0.4% 99.7%  
22 0.9% 99.2%  
23 0.4% 98%  
24 0.5% 98%  
25 0.4% 97%  
26 0.5% 97%  
27 1.3% 96%  
28 0.6% 95%  
29 2% 94%  
30 2% 93%  
31 0.6% 91%  
32 3% 91%  
33 0.3% 88%  
34 12% 87%  
35 0.6% 76%  
36 9% 75%  
37 2% 66%  
38 10% 64%  
39 4% 54% Median
40 4% 50%  
41 6% 45%  
42 4% 39%  
43 8% 35%  
44 7% 27%  
45 2% 20%  
46 4% 18%  
47 2% 13%  
48 2% 12% Last Result
49 2% 10%  
50 0.8% 8%  
51 1.4% 7%  
52 2% 6%  
53 1.4% 3%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.6% 1.2%  
56 0.3% 0.6%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 18% 77%  
2 24% 59% Median
3 26% 34%  
4 7% 8% Last Result
5 1.0% 1.0%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 469 100% 448–496 442–504 436–513 427–525
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 468 100% 447–495 441–503 435–512 426–524
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 466 100% 446–494 439–500 433–510 424–523
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 437 100% 420–461 413–468 409–476 401–487
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 435 100% 418–460 412–467 406–474 399–485
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 428 100% 405–457 398–466 393–474 381–489
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 426 100% 403–456 396–465 390–473 379–487
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 396 100% 378–424 373–430 367–439 357–452
Labour Party 202 395 100% 376–422 370–429 365–437 355–450
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 187 0% 160–209 150–215 142–221 128–231
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 186 0% 158–206 148–213 140–219 126–230
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 177 0% 154–192 145–197 139–203 129–210
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 149 0% 122–166 112–173 105–179 92–187
Conservative Party 365 146 0% 120–165 110–171 103–177 91–185

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0.1% 99.9%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.2% 99.5%  
428 0.1% 99.4%  
429 0.1% 99.2%  
430 0.1% 99.1%  
431 0.3% 99.0%  
432 0.2% 98.7%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.3% 98%  
435 0.2% 98%  
436 0.4% 98%  
437 0.1% 97%  
438 0.4% 97%  
439 0.4% 97%  
440 0.7% 96%  
441 0.5% 96%  
442 1.2% 95%  
443 0.7% 94%  
444 0.5% 93%  
445 0.3% 93%  
446 0.6% 92%  
447 1.0% 92%  
448 0.9% 91%  
449 0.7% 90%  
450 1.5% 89%  
451 1.2% 88%  
452 2% 86%  
453 1.3% 85%  
454 2% 83%  
455 2% 82%  
456 2% 80%  
457 1.5% 78%  
458 2% 77%  
459 3% 74%  
460 2% 72%  
461 2% 70%  
462 2% 67%  
463 2% 65%  
464 4% 62%  
465 2% 59%  
466 1.3% 57%  
467 2% 56% Median
468 4% 54%  
469 2% 51%  
470 1.3% 49%  
471 2% 47%  
472 3% 45%  
473 2% 42%  
474 1.2% 40%  
475 2% 38%  
476 3% 37%  
477 3% 34%  
478 1.4% 31%  
479 1.5% 30%  
480 2% 28%  
481 2% 26%  
482 1.2% 24%  
483 1.5% 23%  
484 0.9% 21%  
485 1.4% 20%  
486 2% 19%  
487 1.1% 17%  
488 2% 16%  
489 0.7% 14%  
490 0.7% 14%  
491 0.7% 13%  
492 0.8% 12%  
493 0.5% 12%  
494 0.4% 11%  
495 0.4% 11%  
496 0.7% 10%  
497 0.4% 10%  
498 0.4% 9%  
499 0.3% 9%  
500 1.0% 8%  
501 1.3% 7%  
502 0.6% 6%  
503 0.3% 5%  
504 0.4% 5%  
505 0.4% 5%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.3% 4%  
508 0.2% 4%  
509 0.5% 4%  
510 0.3% 3%  
511 0.1% 3%  
512 0.2% 3%  
513 0.2% 3%  
514 0.4% 2%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.1% 2%  
517 0.1% 2%  
518 0.2% 1.5%  
519 0.2% 1.3%  
520 0.1% 1.1%  
521 0.1% 1.0%  
522 0.1% 0.9%  
523 0.1% 0.8%  
524 0.1% 0.6%  
525 0% 0.5%  
526 0% 0.5%  
527 0% 0.5%  
528 0.1% 0.4%  
529 0.1% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.3%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0.1% 99.9%  
423 0.1% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.7%  
426 0.2% 99.5%  
427 0.1% 99.4%  
428 0.1% 99.2%  
429 0.1% 99.1%  
430 0.3% 99.0%  
431 0.2% 98.7%  
432 0.3% 98%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.2% 98%  
435 0.4% 98%  
436 0.1% 97%  
437 0.4% 97%  
438 0.4% 97%  
439 0.7% 96%  
440 0.5% 96%  
441 1.2% 95%  
442 0.7% 94%  
443 0.5% 93%  
444 0.3% 93%  
445 0.6% 92%  
446 1.0% 92%  
447 0.9% 91%  
448 0.7% 90%  
449 1.5% 89%  
450 1.2% 88%  
451 2% 86%  
452 1.3% 85%  
453 2% 83%  
454 2% 82%  
455 2% 80%  
456 1.5% 78%  
457 2% 77%  
458 3% 74%  
459 2% 72%  
460 2% 70%  
461 3% 67%  
462 2% 65%  
463 4% 62%  
464 2% 59%  
465 1.3% 57%  
466 2% 56% Median
467 4% 54%  
468 2% 51%  
469 1.3% 49%  
470 2% 47%  
471 3% 45%  
472 2% 42%  
473 1.2% 40%  
474 2% 38%  
475 3% 37%  
476 3% 34%  
477 1.3% 31%  
478 1.5% 30%  
479 2% 28%  
480 2% 26%  
481 1.2% 24%  
482 1.5% 23%  
483 0.9% 21%  
484 1.4% 20%  
485 2% 19%  
486 1.1% 17%  
487 2% 16%  
488 0.7% 14%  
489 0.7% 14%  
490 0.7% 13%  
491 0.8% 12%  
492 0.5% 12%  
493 0.4% 11%  
494 0.4% 11%  
495 0.7% 10%  
496 0.4% 10%  
497 0.4% 9%  
498 0.3% 9%  
499 1.0% 8%  
500 1.3% 7%  
501 0.6% 6%  
502 0.3% 5%  
503 0.4% 5%  
504 0.4% 5%  
505 0.2% 4%  
506 0.3% 4%  
507 0.3% 4%  
508 0.5% 4%  
509 0.3% 3%  
510 0.1% 3%  
511 0.2% 3%  
512 0.2% 3%  
513 0.4% 2%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.1% 2%  
516 0.1% 2%  
517 0.2% 1.5%  
518 0.2% 1.3%  
519 0.1% 1.1%  
520 0.1% 1.0%  
521 0.1% 0.9%  
522 0.1% 0.8%  
523 0.1% 0.6%  
524 0% 0.5%  
525 0% 0.5%  
526 0% 0.5%  
527 0.1% 0.4%  
528 0.1% 0.3%  
529 0% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0.1% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0.1% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.4%  
426 0.2% 99.3%  
427 0.3% 99.1%  
428 0.3% 98.9%  
429 0.2% 98.6%  
430 0.1% 98%  
431 0.3% 98%  
432 0.4% 98%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.4% 97%  
436 0.3% 97%  
437 0.4% 96%  
438 0.7% 96%  
439 0.8% 95%  
440 1.0% 94%  
441 0.3% 93%  
442 0.8% 93%  
443 0.7% 92%  
444 0.5% 92%  
445 0.8% 91%  
446 0.9% 90%  
447 0.9% 89%  
448 1.4% 88%  
449 1.3% 87%  
450 2% 86%  
451 2% 84%  
452 1.3% 82%  
453 2% 81%  
454 2% 79%  
455 2% 77%  
456 2% 75%  
457 3% 73%  
458 2% 70%  
459 3% 67%  
460 2% 64%  
461 3% 62%  
462 2% 59%  
463 2% 57%  
464 3% 56% Median
465 1.3% 53%  
466 2% 52%  
467 2% 49%  
468 2% 47%  
469 2% 45%  
470 3% 43%  
471 2% 41%  
472 2% 39%  
473 2% 37%  
474 1.3% 35%  
475 3% 33%  
476 2% 30%  
477 2% 28%  
478 2% 26%  
479 1.0% 24%  
480 0.9% 23%  
481 1.0% 22%  
482 1.4% 21%  
483 2% 19%  
484 0.8% 17%  
485 2% 16%  
486 0.8% 15%  
487 0.8% 14%  
488 1.0% 13%  
489 0.4% 12%  
490 0.5% 12%  
491 0.7% 11%  
492 0.4% 11%  
493 0.2% 10%  
494 0.5% 10%  
495 0.8% 10%  
496 0.3% 9%  
497 0.4% 8%  
498 2% 8%  
499 0.3% 6%  
500 0.9% 6%  
501 0.2% 5%  
502 0.2% 5%  
503 0.4% 5%  
504 0.3% 4%  
505 0.2% 4%  
506 0.2% 4%  
507 0.5% 3%  
508 0.1% 3%  
509 0.3% 3%  
510 0.2% 3%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.4% 2%  
513 0.1% 2%  
514 0.2% 2%  
515 0.1% 1.5%  
516 0.2% 1.4%  
517 0.2% 1.2%  
518 0.1% 1.0%  
519 0.2% 0.9%  
520 0.1% 0.7%  
521 0% 0.6%  
522 0.1% 0.6%  
523 0.1% 0.5%  
524 0.1% 0.5%  
525 0% 0.4%  
526 0% 0.4%  
527 0.1% 0.3%  
528 0% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0.1% 99.9%  
398 0.1% 99.8%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.2% 99.6%  
402 0.2% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.2%  
404 0.4% 99.1%  
405 0.3% 98.8%  
406 0.4% 98%  
407 0.2% 98%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 0.4% 98%  
410 0.3% 97%  
411 0.4% 97%  
412 0.4% 96%  
413 1.2% 96%  
414 0.8% 95%  
415 0.5% 94%  
416 0.3% 93%  
417 1.0% 93%  
418 0.5% 92%  
419 1.0% 92%  
420 1.0% 91%  
421 1.2% 90%  
422 2% 88%  
423 1.2% 87%  
424 2% 85%  
425 2% 83%  
426 2% 81%  
427 2% 78%  
428 2% 76%  
429 2% 74%  
430 3% 72%  
431 2% 70%  
432 4% 67%  
433 2% 64%  
434 3% 62%  
435 5% 58%  
436 2% 53% Median
437 2% 50%  
438 3% 49%  
439 3% 45%  
440 2% 42%  
441 2% 40%  
442 2% 38%  
443 2% 36%  
444 1.0% 34%  
445 3% 33%  
446 3% 30%  
447 0.8% 26%  
448 2% 26%  
449 3% 24%  
450 2% 21%  
451 1.0% 19%  
452 1.1% 18%  
453 1.0% 17%  
454 0.8% 16%  
455 1.0% 15%  
456 0.5% 14%  
457 0.5% 13%  
458 1.2% 13%  
459 0.6% 12%  
460 0.7% 11%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.7% 10%  
463 1.1% 9%  
464 0.9% 8%  
465 0.6% 7%  
466 0.6% 6%  
467 0.3% 6%  
468 0.6% 6%  
469 0.5% 5%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.2% 4%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.6% 3%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.3% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.2% 1.4%  
482 0.1% 1.1%  
483 0.1% 1.0%  
484 0.2% 0.8%  
485 0.1% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.6%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.4%  
490 0.1% 0.3%  
491 0.1% 0.3%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0.2% 99.4%  
401 0.1% 99.2%  
402 0.3% 99.1%  
403 0.3% 98.8%  
404 0.2% 98.5%  
405 0.4% 98%  
406 0.4% 98%  
407 0.3% 97%  
408 0.4% 97%  
409 0.4% 97%  
410 0.3% 96%  
411 0.9% 96%  
412 0.7% 95%  
413 0.6% 94%  
414 1.0% 94%  
415 0.4% 93%  
416 0.9% 92%  
417 1.0% 92%  
418 0.9% 91%  
419 1.1% 90%  
420 1.3% 89%  
421 1.4% 87%  
422 2% 86%  
423 1.3% 84%  
424 3% 82%  
425 3% 80%  
426 2% 77%  
427 2% 75%  
428 3% 73%  
429 3% 70%  
430 2% 66%  
431 4% 64%  
432 3% 60%  
433 3% 58%  
434 4% 55% Median
435 2% 51%  
436 4% 49%  
437 2% 45%  
438 2% 43%  
439 2% 41%  
440 2% 39%  
441 2% 37%  
442 3% 35%  
443 3% 32%  
444 0.9% 30%  
445 3% 29%  
446 2% 26%  
447 3% 24%  
448 1.3% 21%  
449 0.8% 19%  
450 2% 19%  
451 0.9% 17%  
452 0.7% 16%  
453 0.9% 15%  
454 1.1% 14%  
455 0.5% 13%  
456 1.0% 13%  
457 0.7% 12%  
458 0.8% 11%  
459 0.3% 10%  
460 0.6% 10%  
461 2% 9%  
462 0.2% 8%  
463 1.2% 8%  
464 0.4% 7%  
465 0.5% 6%  
466 0.6% 6%  
467 0.3% 5%  
468 0.4% 5%  
469 0.3% 4%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.3% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.5% 3%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.1% 1.3%  
480 0.2% 1.2%  
481 0.2% 1.0%  
482 0.1% 0.8%  
483 0% 0.7%  
484 0.1% 0.7%  
485 0.2% 0.6%  
486 0.1% 0.4%  
487 0% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.8%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.5%  
383 0.1% 99.3%  
384 0.1% 99.2%  
385 0.1% 99.1%  
386 0.1% 99.0%  
387 0.2% 98.9%  
388 0.2% 98.7%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.4% 98%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.1% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.4% 97%  
395 0.5% 97%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.5% 96%  
398 0.9% 95%  
399 0.3% 95%  
400 0.3% 94%  
401 0.4% 94%  
402 0.7% 93%  
403 1.0% 93%  
404 1.2% 92%  
405 1.0% 91%  
406 1.1% 90%  
407 0.9% 89%  
408 1.1% 88%  
409 1.4% 87%  
410 0.6% 85%  
411 2% 85%  
412 0.8% 83%  
413 3% 82%  
414 2% 79%  
415 2% 77%  
416 1.0% 75%  
417 1.3% 74%  
418 3% 73%  
419 3% 70%  
420 2% 68%  
421 2% 65%  
422 2% 63%  
423 0.9% 61%  
424 2% 60%  
425 2% 58%  
426 2% 55%  
427 2% 54% Median
428 1.4% 51%  
429 2% 50%  
430 1.2% 48%  
431 3% 46%  
432 2% 44%  
433 1.4% 41%  
434 4% 40%  
435 1.3% 36%  
436 1.0% 35%  
437 2% 34%  
438 2% 32%  
439 0.9% 31%  
440 1.4% 30%  
441 2% 28%  
442 2% 26%  
443 1.5% 24%  
444 1.1% 23%  
445 0.9% 22%  
446 1.2% 21%  
447 2% 20%  
448 1.4% 18%  
449 0.8% 16%  
450 0.8% 16%  
451 0.7% 15%  
452 0.7% 14%  
453 1.2% 14%  
454 0.8% 12%  
455 0.4% 11%  
456 0.7% 11%  
457 0.5% 10%  
458 0.2% 10%  
459 0.7% 10%  
460 1.0% 9%  
461 0.6% 8%  
462 0.2% 7%  
463 0.2% 7%  
464 0.6% 7%  
465 0.2% 6%  
466 1.2% 6%  
467 0.4% 5%  
468 0.4% 4%  
469 0.2% 4%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.2% 4%  
472 0.4% 3%  
473 0.1% 3%  
474 0.4% 3%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.3% 2%  
480 0.2% 2%  
481 0.1% 1.4%  
482 0.1% 1.3%  
483 0.1% 1.2%  
484 0.1% 1.1%  
485 0.2% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.8%  
487 0.1% 0.7%  
488 0.1% 0.6%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.4%  
493 0% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0.1% 99.8%  
376 0% 99.7%  
377 0.1% 99.7%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.1% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.3%  
383 0.2% 99.2%  
384 0.1% 99.0%  
385 0.1% 98.8%  
386 0.2% 98.7%  
387 0.1% 98%  
388 0.4% 98%  
389 0.3% 98%  
390 0.3% 98%  
391 0.2% 97%  
392 0.3% 97%  
393 0.6% 97%  
394 0.5% 96%  
395 0.5% 96%  
396 0.6% 95%  
397 0.3% 95%  
398 0.3% 94%  
399 0.6% 94%  
400 0.6% 94%  
401 1.0% 93%  
402 0.9% 92%  
403 2% 91%  
404 0.7% 89%  
405 0.8% 89%  
406 0.9% 88%  
407 0.7% 87%  
408 1.5% 86%  
409 2% 85%  
410 1.1% 83%  
411 2% 82%  
412 2% 79%  
413 1.5% 78%  
414 1.1% 76%  
415 3% 75%  
416 3% 73%  
417 0.8% 70%  
418 3% 69%  
419 3% 66%  
420 2% 64%  
421 2% 62%  
422 2% 60%  
423 2% 58%  
424 2% 56%  
425 2% 53% Median
426 2% 52%  
427 1.3% 50%  
428 1.5% 48%  
429 2% 47%  
430 2% 45%  
431 4% 43%  
432 0.9% 39%  
433 2% 38%  
434 2% 36%  
435 1.4% 34%  
436 1.1% 32%  
437 1.1% 31%  
438 2% 30%  
439 2% 28%  
440 0.9% 26%  
441 0.9% 25%  
442 2% 24%  
443 1.4% 22%  
444 1.4% 21%  
445 2% 20%  
446 1.1% 18%  
447 0.9% 17%  
448 0.6% 16%  
449 1.0% 15%  
450 0.5% 14%  
451 1.5% 14%  
452 0.6% 12%  
453 0.6% 12%  
454 0.5% 11%  
455 0.4% 10%  
456 0.5% 10%  
457 0.6% 9%  
458 0.5% 9%  
459 0.9% 8%  
460 0.3% 8%  
461 0.5% 7%  
462 0.2% 7%  
463 0.1% 6%  
464 1.3% 6%  
465 0.3% 5%  
466 0.5% 5%  
467 0.2% 4%  
468 0.5% 4%  
469 0.2% 4%  
470 0.3% 3%  
471 0.2% 3%  
472 0.2% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.1% 2%  
475 0.2% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.1% 1.4%  
480 0.1% 1.3%  
481 0.1% 1.2%  
482 0.1% 1.1%  
483 0.3% 1.1%  
484 0.1% 0.8%  
485 0.1% 0.7%  
486 0.1% 0.6%  
487 0% 0.5%  
488 0% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0.1% 99.8%  
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0.1% 99.6%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.2% 99.3%  
360 0.2% 99.2%  
361 0.1% 99.0%  
362 0.1% 98.9%  
363 0.2% 98.8%  
364 0.3% 98.5%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.3% 98%  
368 0.6% 97%  
369 0.6% 97%  
370 0.5% 96%  
371 0.2% 96%  
372 0.4% 96%  
373 0.5% 95%  
374 0.4% 95%  
375 0.6% 94%  
376 1.5% 94%  
377 2% 92%  
378 1.2% 90%  
379 1.0% 89%  
380 1.2% 88%  
381 0.7% 87%  
382 0.9% 86%  
383 2% 85%  
384 2% 83%  
385 2% 81%  
386 1.5% 79%  
387 1.2% 78%  
388 4% 76%  
389 4% 73%  
390 2% 69%  
391 2% 67%  
392 1.0% 65%  
393 3% 64%  
394 3% 61%  
395 5% 58%  
396 3% 53%  
397 2% 50% Median
398 3% 48%  
399 3% 46%  
400 1.1% 43%  
401 1.0% 42%  
402 2% 41%  
403 3% 39%  
404 3% 36%  
405 2% 33%  
406 1.5% 32%  
407 1.4% 30%  
408 1.3% 29%  
409 2% 27%  
410 3% 25%  
411 1.4% 22%  
412 1.0% 21%  
413 2% 20%  
414 1.1% 18%  
415 2% 17%  
416 0.3% 15%  
417 0.6% 15%  
418 1.2% 14%  
419 0.5% 13%  
420 0.5% 13%  
421 0.5% 12%  
422 0.5% 12%  
423 0.8% 11%  
424 0.7% 10%  
425 1.5% 10%  
426 0.6% 8%  
427 0.6% 8%  
428 0.5% 7%  
429 1.3% 7%  
430 0.3% 5%  
431 0.2% 5%  
432 0.3% 5%  
433 0.4% 4%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.3% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.1% 3%  
439 0.1% 3%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.5% 2%  
442 0.2% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.1% 1.4%  
445 0.1% 1.2%  
446 0.1% 1.1%  
447 0.1% 1.0%  
448 0% 0.8%  
449 0.1% 0.8%  
450 0.1% 0.7%  
451 0.1% 0.6%  
452 0.1% 0.5%  
453 0.1% 0.4%  
454 0.1% 0.4%  
455 0.1% 0.3%  
456 0.1% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.8%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.7%  
355 0.1% 99.6%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.1%  
360 0.2% 98.9%  
361 0.2% 98.7%  
362 0.3% 98.6%  
363 0.2% 98%  
364 0.4% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.5% 97%  
367 0.7% 97%  
368 0.4% 96%  
369 0.2% 96%  
370 0.6% 96%  
371 0.2% 95%  
372 0.5% 95%  
373 0.5% 94%  
374 0.9% 94%  
375 2% 93%  
376 2% 91%  
377 1.0% 89%  
378 0.8% 88%  
379 0.8% 87%  
380 0.9% 86%  
381 2% 86%  
382 3% 84%  
383 2% 81%  
384 1.4% 79%  
385 2% 78%  
386 3% 76%  
387 3% 74%  
388 3% 70%  
389 2% 68%  
390 1.4% 65%  
391 1.4% 64%  
392 3% 62%  
393 6% 59%  
394 4% 54%  
395 2% 50% Median
396 2% 48%  
397 1.1% 46%  
398 1.5% 45%  
399 2% 43%  
400 3% 41%  
401 1.0% 38%  
402 3% 37%  
403 3% 34%  
404 2% 32%  
405 1.1% 30%  
406 2% 29%  
407 1.1% 27%  
408 3% 26%  
409 2% 23%  
410 2% 21%  
411 1.2% 20%  
412 0.8% 18%  
413 1.4% 17%  
414 0.7% 16%  
415 1.3% 15%  
416 0.4% 14%  
417 0.9% 14%  
418 0.5% 13%  
419 0.6% 12%  
420 0.5% 12%  
421 0.6% 11%  
422 0.9% 11%  
423 0.6% 10%  
424 1.3% 9%  
425 0.6% 8%  
426 0.3% 7%  
427 2% 7%  
428 0.3% 5%  
429 0.2% 5%  
430 0.2% 5%  
431 0.5% 5%  
432 0.4% 4%  
433 0.2% 4%  
434 0.5% 4%  
435 0.2% 3%  
436 0.1% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.6% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.1% 1.4%  
443 0.1% 1.3%  
444 0.1% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0.1% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0% 0.6%  
450 0.1% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.3%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0.1% 0.2%  
456 0% 0.2%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0.1%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
114 0% 100%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.8%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0% 99.7%  
126 0.1% 99.6%  
127 0.1% 99.6%  
128 0.1% 99.5%  
129 0.1% 99.5%  
130 0.1% 99.4%  
131 0.1% 99.3%  
132 0.1% 99.2%  
133 0.1% 99.1%  
134 0.1% 99.0%  
135 0.2% 98.9%  
136 0.3% 98.7%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 0.3% 98%  
139 0.1% 98%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.4% 98%  
142 0.3% 98%  
143 0.2% 97%  
144 0.5% 97%  
145 0.3% 97%  
146 0.3% 96%  
147 0.4% 96%  
148 0.3% 96%  
149 0.2% 95%  
150 0.5% 95%  
151 2% 95%  
152 0.4% 93%  
153 0.3% 93%  
154 0.4% 92%  
155 0.2% 92%  
156 0.2% 92%  
157 0.6% 91%  
158 0.4% 91%  
159 0.4% 90%  
160 0.7% 90%  
161 0.8% 89%  
162 0.4% 89%  
163 0.9% 88%  
164 0.5% 87%  
165 1.0% 87%  
166 1.4% 86%  
167 2% 84%  
168 1.1% 83%  
169 1.0% 82%  
170 0.6% 81%  
171 1.3% 80%  
172 1.4% 79%  
173 0.9% 77%  
174 1.3% 77%  
175 1.2% 75%  
176 2% 74%  
177 2% 72%  
178 2% 71%  
179 2% 68%  
180 1.2% 66%  
181 3% 65%  
182 2% 62%  
183 3% 61%  
184 1.3% 58%  
185 3% 57%  
186 2% 54%  
187 2% 52% Median
188 2% 50%  
189 2% 48%  
190 2% 45%  
191 3% 44%  
192 3% 41%  
193 2% 38%  
194 2% 36%  
195 0.8% 34%  
196 3% 33%  
197 2% 30%  
198 3% 28%  
199 1.1% 25%  
200 0.9% 23%  
201 3% 23%  
202 1.3% 19%  
203 1.1% 18%  
204 2% 17%  
205 2% 15%  
206 0.9% 13%  
207 2% 12%  
208 0.9% 11%  
209 1.1% 10%  
210 0.8% 9%  
211 0.5% 8%  
212 1.0% 8%  
213 0.5% 7%  
214 1.0% 6%  
215 0.4% 5%  
216 0.3% 5%  
217 0.6% 4%  
218 0.3% 4%  
219 0.4% 3%  
220 0.2% 3%  
221 0.7% 3%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.2% 2%  
226 0.2% 1.4%  
227 0.2% 1.2%  
228 0.1% 1.0%  
229 0.1% 0.9%  
230 0.1% 0.7%  
231 0.1% 0.6%  
232 0.1% 0.5%  
233 0.1% 0.4%  
234 0.1% 0.4%  
235 0.1% 0.3%  
236 0.1% 0.2%  
237 0% 0.2%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.8%  
123 0.1% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.7%  
125 0.1% 99.6%  
126 0.1% 99.5%  
127 0.1% 99.5%  
128 0% 99.4%  
129 0.1% 99.4%  
130 0.1% 99.3%  
131 0.1% 99.1%  
132 0.1% 99.0%  
133 0.1% 98.9%  
134 0.3% 98.8%  
135 0.1% 98.5%  
136 0.4% 98%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 0.1% 98%  
140 0.5% 98%  
141 0.2% 97%  
142 0.2% 97%  
143 0.4% 97%  
144 0.4% 96%  
145 0.4% 96%  
146 0.4% 96%  
147 0.3% 95%  
148 0.4% 95%  
149 1.3% 95%  
150 0.8% 93%  
151 0.3% 93%  
152 0.5% 92%  
153 0.2% 92%  
154 0.4% 92%  
155 0.2% 91%  
156 0.4% 91%  
157 0.6% 91%  
158 0.4% 90%  
159 0.4% 90%  
160 1.0% 89%  
161 0.7% 88%  
162 0.9% 88%  
163 0.9% 87%  
164 1.2% 86%  
165 2% 84%  
166 0.8% 83%  
167 1.1% 82%  
168 1.2% 81%  
169 0.6% 80%  
170 0.5% 79%  
171 2% 79%  
172 1.3% 77%  
173 2% 76%  
174 1.4% 74%  
175 2% 72%  
176 2% 71%  
177 2% 69%  
178 3% 67%  
179 2% 65%  
180 0.9% 63%  
181 3% 62%  
182 3% 59%  
183 2% 56%  
184 0.7% 54%  
185 2% 53% Median
186 4% 51%  
187 2% 47%  
188 2% 46%  
189 2% 44%  
190 2% 42%  
191 4% 40%  
192 1.5% 36%  
193 2% 34%  
194 1.1% 32%  
195 2% 31%  
196 4% 29%  
197 1.4% 25%  
198 1.3% 24%  
199 3% 23%  
200 2% 20%  
201 2% 18%  
202 2% 17%  
203 0.8% 15%  
204 2% 14%  
205 0.5% 12%  
206 2% 12%  
207 1.0% 10%  
208 0.5% 9%  
209 1.3% 8%  
210 0.4% 7%  
211 0.7% 7%  
212 0.6% 6%  
213 0.5% 5%  
214 0.6% 5%  
215 0.5% 4%  
216 0.4% 4%  
217 0.3% 3%  
218 0.6% 3%  
219 0.2% 3%  
220 0.3% 2%  
221 0.4% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.2% 1.4%  
225 0.2% 1.2%  
226 0.1% 1.0%  
227 0.1% 0.9%  
228 0.1% 0.8%  
229 0.1% 0.6%  
230 0.1% 0.5%  
231 0.1% 0.4%  
232 0.1% 0.3%  
233 0.1% 0.3%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
118 0% 100%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0.1% 99.8%  
127 0.1% 99.8%  
128 0.1% 99.7%  
129 0.2% 99.6%  
130 0.1% 99.4%  
131 0.1% 99.4%  
132 0.2% 99.3%  
133 0.1% 99.1%  
134 0.1% 99.0%  
135 0.4% 98.9%  
136 0.1% 98.5%  
137 0.3% 98%  
138 0.5% 98%  
139 0.6% 98%  
140 0.2% 97%  
141 0.3% 97%  
142 0.5% 97%  
143 0.3% 96%  
144 0.5% 96%  
145 0.3% 95%  
146 0.9% 95%  
147 0.8% 94%  
148 0.4% 93%  
149 0.6% 93%  
150 0.3% 92%  
151 0.3% 92%  
152 1.4% 92%  
153 0.1% 90%  
154 0.1% 90%  
155 0.3% 90%  
156 0.5% 90%  
157 0.7% 89%  
158 0.8% 88%  
159 0.9% 88%  
160 0.8% 87%  
161 1.4% 86%  
162 0.9% 84%  
163 1.5% 84%  
164 2% 82%  
165 2% 80%  
166 1.3% 78%  
167 0.7% 76%  
168 3% 76%  
169 2% 73%  
170 2% 71%  
171 3% 69%  
172 1.5% 66%  
173 2% 65%  
174 2% 62%  
175 3% 60%  
176 4% 57% Median
177 5% 53%  
178 5% 48%  
179 3% 44%  
180 3% 41%  
181 4% 37%  
182 4% 34%  
183 4% 30%  
184 3% 26%  
185 2% 23%  
186 4% 21%  
187 2% 17%  
188 0.9% 15%  
189 1.1% 14%  
190 2% 13%  
191 1.1% 11%  
192 1.1% 10%  
193 1.2% 9%  
194 0.7% 8%  
195 0.5% 7%  
196 1.3% 7%  
197 0.7% 6%  
198 0.5% 5%  
199 0.3% 4%  
200 0.7% 4%  
201 0.5% 3%  
202 0.4% 3%  
203 0.4% 3%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.3%  
207 0.1% 1.1%  
208 0.3% 1.0%  
209 0.2% 0.7%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
80 0% 100%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0% 99.7%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0.1% 99.6%  
93 0.1% 99.5%  
94 0.1% 99.4%  
95 0.1% 99.3%  
96 0.1% 99.3%  
97 0.1% 99.2%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0.1% 98.9%  
100 0.3% 98.8%  
101 0.3% 98.5%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.3% 98%  
106 0.2% 97%  
107 0.4% 97%  
108 0.5% 97%  
109 0.4% 96%  
110 0.3% 96%  
111 0.3% 95%  
112 1.0% 95%  
113 0.4% 94%  
114 0.3% 94%  
115 0.2% 93%  
116 0.3% 93%  
117 1.1% 93%  
118 0.4% 92%  
119 0.3% 91%  
120 0.4% 91%  
121 0.3% 91%  
122 0.6% 90%  
123 0.8% 90%  
124 0.4% 89%  
125 1.0% 88%  
126 0.5% 87%  
127 0.8% 87%  
128 0.6% 86%  
129 2% 85%  
130 1.1% 84%  
131 0.8% 83%  
132 2% 82%  
133 0.6% 80%  
134 1.3% 79%  
135 2% 78%  
136 1.1% 76%  
137 2% 75%  
138 1.2% 73%  
139 2% 71%  
140 2% 69%  
141 2% 68%  
142 2% 66%  
143 3% 63%  
144 3% 60%  
145 2% 58%  
146 2% 56%  
147 3% 54%  
148 2% 52% Median
149 3% 50%  
150 3% 47%  
151 2% 44%  
152 2% 42%  
153 3% 40%  
154 2% 37%  
155 4% 34%  
156 3% 30%  
157 3% 27%  
158 3% 25%  
159 2% 22%  
160 3% 20%  
161 1.2% 17%  
162 1.3% 16%  
163 2% 15%  
164 0.9% 13%  
165 1.0% 12%  
166 1.5% 11%  
167 0.6% 10%  
168 0.8% 9%  
169 0.4% 8%  
170 1.2% 8%  
171 0.5% 7%  
172 0.7% 6%  
173 0.9% 5%  
174 0.4% 5%  
175 0.5% 4%  
176 0.5% 4%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 3%  
179 0.3% 3%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0.4% 2%  
183 0.4% 1.4%  
184 0.1% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.9%  
186 0.2% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0.1% 0.3%  
190 0.1% 0.3%  
191 0.1% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0% 100%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.8%  
87 0.1% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.7%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0.1% 99.7%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.1% 99.5%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0.1% 99.2%  
96 0.2% 99.1%  
97 0.2% 98.9%  
98 0.1% 98.8%  
99 0.2% 98.6%  
100 0.4% 98%  
101 0.2% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 97%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.5% 97%  
107 0.3% 96%  
108 0.4% 96%  
109 0.4% 96%  
110 0.3% 95%  
111 1.0% 95%  
112 0.4% 94%  
113 0.3% 93%  
114 0.3% 93%  
115 1.2% 93%  
116 0.4% 92%  
117 0.3% 91%  
118 0.2% 91%  
119 0.3% 91%  
120 0.6% 91%  
121 0.6% 90%  
122 0.6% 89%  
123 0.9% 89%  
124 1.0% 88%  
125 0.6% 87%  
126 1.0% 86%  
127 2% 85%  
128 0.8% 84%  
129 0.9% 83%  
130 2% 82%  
131 0.4% 80%  
132 1.1% 80%  
133 1.3% 79%  
134 2% 77%  
135 2% 75%  
136 2% 73%  
137 2% 72%  
138 1.0% 69%  
139 2% 68%  
140 3% 66%  
141 2% 64%  
142 3% 61%  
143 2% 59%  
144 2% 57%  
145 3% 55%  
146 2% 52% Median
147 2% 50%  
148 3% 48%  
149 3% 45%  
150 3% 42%  
151 2% 39%  
152 2% 37%  
153 5% 35%  
154 3% 30%  
155 2% 28%  
156 4% 26%  
157 2% 22%  
158 2% 20%  
159 0.8% 18%  
160 4% 18%  
161 0.4% 14%  
162 2% 14%  
163 0.8% 12%  
164 0.5% 11%  
165 2% 10%  
166 0.5% 9%  
167 0.4% 8%  
168 1.0% 8%  
169 0.9% 7%  
170 0.3% 6%  
171 0.9% 6%  
172 0.5% 5%  
173 0.6% 4%  
174 0.5% 4%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.2% 3%  
177 0.4% 3%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.4% 2%  
180 0.1% 2%  
181 0.3% 1.4%  
182 0.2% 1.2%  
183 0.3% 0.9%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0.1% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0.1% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations