Opinion Poll by Opinium for The Observer, 5–7 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 45.8% 44.1–47.6% 43.6–48.1% 43.2–48.5% 42.3–49.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 26.2% 24.7–27.8% 24.2–28.2% 23.9–28.6% 23.2–29.4%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.9% 9.9–12.1% 9.6–12.4% 9.3–12.7% 8.9–13.3%
Green Party 2.8% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.6% 4.8–6.9% 4.6–7.1% 4.3–7.5%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.2% 2.4–4.4% 2.2–4.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.7–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 384 362–406 356–413 351–417 339–432
Conservative Party 365 163 140–186 134–191 128–201 110–208
Liberal Democrats 11 32 24–41 22–43 20–47 18–52
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Brexit Party 0 4 3–6 3–11 3–13 2–17
Scottish National Party 48 38 27–49 22–52 21–53 17–56
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 5–6 4–6 3–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0% 99.8%  
335 0.1% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.7%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.1% 99.5%  
341 0.1% 99.4%  
342 0.1% 99.3%  
343 0.1% 99.2%  
344 0.1% 99.1%  
345 0.1% 99.0%  
346 0.2% 98.8%  
347 0.2% 98.6%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.2% 98%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.3% 97%  
353 0.4% 97%  
354 0.7% 97%  
355 0.5% 96%  
356 0.6% 95%  
357 0.4% 95%  
358 0.5% 94%  
359 0.9% 94%  
360 0.8% 93%  
361 1.2% 92%  
362 1.1% 91%  
363 0.6% 90%  
364 1.1% 89%  
365 0.9% 88%  
366 1.3% 87%  
367 1.2% 86%  
368 2% 85%  
369 2% 83%  
370 1.1% 81%  
371 1.4% 80%  
372 1.5% 78%  
373 3% 77%  
374 2% 74%  
375 2% 71%  
376 2% 69%  
377 2% 68%  
378 2% 66%  
379 2% 64%  
380 3% 62%  
381 2% 59%  
382 2% 56%  
383 1.3% 54%  
384 3% 53% Median
385 2% 50%  
386 1.5% 48%  
387 4% 46%  
388 1.5% 42%  
389 1.3% 40%  
390 2% 39%  
391 2% 38%  
392 0.9% 35%  
393 2% 34%  
394 3% 32%  
395 2% 29%  
396 2% 27%  
397 1.1% 26%  
398 3% 25%  
399 2% 22%  
400 2% 20%  
401 1.0% 18%  
402 2% 17%  
403 1.5% 15%  
404 1.0% 14%  
405 2% 13%  
406 0.9% 10%  
407 0.6% 9%  
408 1.0% 9%  
409 0.4% 8%  
410 0.8% 7%  
411 0.5% 7%  
412 0.6% 6%  
413 0.8% 5%  
414 0.9% 5%  
415 0.3% 4%  
416 0.7% 3%  
417 0.3% 3%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.2% 2%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.1% 1.4%  
424 0.1% 1.3%  
425 0.2% 1.2%  
426 0.1% 1.0%  
427 0.1% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0.1% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.6%  
432 0% 0.5%  
433 0% 0.5%  
434 0% 0.4%  
435 0% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.4%  
437 0% 0.4%  
438 0% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.2% 99.1%  
117 0.1% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98.8%  
120 0.2% 98.7%  
121 0.1% 98.6%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.3% 98%  
129 0.2% 97%  
130 0.5% 97%  
131 0.3% 97%  
132 0.8% 96%  
133 0.5% 96%  
134 0.3% 95%  
135 0.9% 95%  
136 1.0% 94%  
137 0.6% 93%  
138 0.9% 92%  
139 0.9% 91%  
140 1.2% 90%  
141 1.3% 89%  
142 1.1% 88%  
143 2% 87%  
144 1.1% 85%  
145 1.0% 84%  
146 2% 83%  
147 0.6% 82%  
148 2% 81%  
149 2% 79%  
150 2% 76%  
151 3% 74%  
152 1.3% 71%  
153 4% 70%  
154 1.2% 66%  
155 3% 65%  
156 0.9% 62%  
157 1.3% 61%  
158 4% 60%  
159 0.8% 56%  
160 0.7% 55%  
161 1.3% 55%  
162 0.9% 53%  
163 3% 52% Median
164 0.8% 50%  
165 2% 49%  
166 0.9% 47%  
167 2% 46%  
168 2% 45%  
169 2% 42%  
170 1.2% 41%  
171 5% 39%  
172 3% 34%  
173 3% 32%  
174 4% 29%  
175 1.2% 25%  
176 2% 24%  
177 2% 22%  
178 0.7% 21%  
179 2% 20%  
180 0.8% 18%  
181 2% 18%  
182 0.9% 16%  
183 0.5% 15%  
184 2% 14%  
185 1.0% 13%  
186 2% 12%  
187 1.3% 10%  
188 0.8% 8%  
189 2% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.9% 5%  
192 0.4% 4%  
193 0.2% 4%  
194 0.2% 4%  
195 0.2% 3%  
196 0.2% 3%  
197 0.1% 3%  
198 0.1% 3%  
199 0.2% 3%  
200 0.1% 3%  
201 0.2% 3%  
202 0.5% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.2%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 99.9%  
17 0.2% 99.9%  
18 0.3% 99.7%  
19 0.7% 99.4%  
20 1.3% 98.7%  
21 1.1% 97%  
22 2% 96%  
23 3% 94%  
24 3% 91%  
25 3% 89%  
26 5% 85%  
27 9% 80%  
28 3% 71%  
29 2% 69%  
30 4% 67%  
31 7% 63%  
32 6% 56% Median
33 4% 50%  
34 2% 46%  
35 3% 44%  
36 5% 41%  
37 6% 35%  
38 8% 30%  
39 5% 22%  
40 5% 17%  
41 4% 13%  
42 3% 9%  
43 1.2% 6%  
44 0.7% 5%  
45 0.4% 4%  
46 0.4% 4%  
47 0.7% 3%  
48 0.3% 2%  
49 0.3% 2%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.8% 1.4%  
52 0.4% 0.6%  
53 0.1% 0.2%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 48% 100% Last Result
2 13% 52% Median
3 39% 39%  
4 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.6% 99.9%  
3 34% 99.4%  
4 45% 65% Median
5 6% 20%  
6 4% 14%  
7 2% 10%  
8 0.5% 7%  
9 0.4% 7%  
10 0.7% 6%  
11 1.0% 6%  
12 2% 5%  
13 1.1% 3%  
14 0.7% 2%  
15 0.1% 1.0%  
16 0.4% 0.9%  
17 0.1% 0.5%  
18 0.2% 0.4%  
19 0.2% 0.2%  
20 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0% 99.9%  
15 0.1% 99.9%  
16 0.2% 99.8%  
17 0.6% 99.6%  
18 0.6% 99.0%  
19 0.6% 98%  
20 0.2% 98%  
21 1.2% 98%  
22 1.5% 96%  
23 0.3% 95%  
24 1.1% 95%  
25 0.8% 93%  
26 3% 93%  
27 1.4% 90%  
28 0.7% 89%  
29 2% 88%  
30 0.7% 86%  
31 4% 85%  
32 5% 82%  
33 0.8% 76%  
34 8% 76%  
35 0.9% 68%  
36 9% 67%  
37 1.3% 57%  
38 11% 56% Median
39 2% 45%  
40 5% 43%  
41 9% 38%  
42 3% 29%  
43 4% 26%  
44 3% 22%  
45 3% 19%  
46 2% 16%  
47 1.0% 14%  
48 2% 13% Last Result
49 1.3% 11%  
50 0.9% 9%  
51 3% 9%  
52 2% 6%  
53 2% 4%  
54 0.7% 2%  
55 0.6% 2%  
56 0.6% 1.1%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 4% 99.5% Last Result
5 84% 95% Median
6 10% 12%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 461 100% 439–486 434–492 424–498 416–515
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 460 100% 437–485 432–490 423–496 414–513
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 454 100% 432–479 427–485 418–491 409–509
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 423 100% 397–449 390–456 383–462 370–478
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 427 100% 409–447 403–452 397–458 386–474
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 418 100% 392–444 385–451 378–457 365–473
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 422 100% 404–441 398–447 391–453 381–469
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 389 100% 368–411 362–418 356–422 344–437
Labour Party 202 384 100% 362–406 356–413 351–417 339–432
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 206 0% 181–231 173–239 166–245 151–257
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 201 0% 176–226 168–234 161–240 146–251
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 197 0% 178–214 172–219 167–226 149–234
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 168 0% 145–191 139–196 133–206 115–213
Conservative Party 365 163 0% 140–186 134–191 128–201 110–208

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0.1% 99.7%  
411 0.1% 99.7%  
412 0% 99.6%  
413 0% 99.6%  
414 0% 99.6%  
415 0% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.4%  
418 0.2% 99.4%  
419 0.2% 99.2%  
420 0.3% 99.0%  
421 0.2% 98.8%  
422 0.3% 98.6%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.6% 98%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.2% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.3% 97%  
429 0.2% 96%  
430 0.1% 96%  
431 0.3% 96%  
432 0.4% 96%  
433 0.3% 95%  
434 0.5% 95%  
435 0.8% 95%  
436 0.8% 94%  
437 1.2% 93%  
438 1.4% 92%  
439 0.8% 91%  
440 2% 90%  
441 1.3% 87%  
442 1.0% 86%  
443 1.1% 85%  
444 1.5% 84%  
445 2% 83%  
446 1.3% 81%  
447 1.5% 80%  
448 1.1% 78%  
449 1.4% 77%  
450 1.0% 76%  
451 1.3% 75%  
452 4% 73%  
453 2% 70%  
454 3% 68%  
455 3% 65%  
456 3% 61%  
457 1.1% 58%  
458 2% 57%  
459 1.2% 55%  
460 2% 54%  
461 2% 52% Median
462 1.2% 50%  
463 2% 49%  
464 1.4% 47%  
465 1.3% 46%  
466 0.8% 44%  
467 1.3% 44%  
468 2% 42%  
469 2% 40%  
470 1.1% 38%  
471 3% 37%  
472 1.3% 35%  
473 3% 33%  
474 2% 31%  
475 2% 28%  
476 2% 26%  
477 2% 24%  
478 3% 22%  
479 1.2% 19%  
480 1.3% 18%  
481 1.4% 17%  
482 1.0% 15%  
483 1.1% 14%  
484 1.5% 13%  
485 1.0% 12%  
486 1.0% 11%  
487 1.0% 10%  
488 0.6% 9%  
489 1.1% 8%  
490 0.6% 7%  
491 1.2% 6%  
492 0.3% 5%  
493 0.4% 5%  
494 0.6% 5%  
495 0.7% 4%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.4% 3%  
498 0.1% 3%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.1% 2%  
504 0.1% 2%  
505 0.2% 2%  
506 0.1% 1.3%  
507 0% 1.2%  
508 0.1% 1.2%  
509 0.1% 1.0%  
510 0% 0.9%  
511 0.2% 0.8%  
512 0.1% 0.7%  
513 0% 0.6%  
514 0% 0.6%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0% 0.4%  
518 0% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.4%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.3%  
522 0% 0.3%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.2%  
526 0% 0.2%  
527 0% 0.2%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0.1% 99.7%  
410 0% 99.7%  
411 0% 99.6%  
412 0% 99.6%  
413 0% 99.6%  
414 0% 99.5%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.4%  
417 0.2% 99.3%  
418 0.1% 99.1%  
419 0.3% 99.0%  
420 0.2% 98.7%  
421 0.3% 98%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.6% 98%  
424 0.3% 97%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.2% 96%  
429 0.1% 96%  
430 0.2% 96%  
431 0.4% 96%  
432 0.5% 95%  
433 0.4% 95%  
434 0.9% 94%  
435 0.9% 93%  
436 1.1% 93%  
437 2% 92%  
438 1.3% 90%  
439 2% 89%  
440 1.1% 86%  
441 1.4% 85%  
442 1.1% 84%  
443 2% 83%  
444 1.3% 81%  
445 1.0% 80%  
446 1.2% 79%  
447 0.9% 77%  
448 1.4% 76%  
449 3% 75%  
450 2% 72%  
451 2% 70%  
452 3% 68%  
453 3% 65%  
454 3% 62%  
455 3% 59%  
456 1.2% 56%  
457 2% 55%  
458 2% 53%  
459 1.0% 51% Median
460 2% 50%  
461 2% 48%  
462 1.4% 47%  
463 0.5% 45%  
464 1.3% 45%  
465 0.7% 44%  
466 2% 43%  
467 2% 41%  
468 1.4% 39%  
469 1.4% 37%  
470 3% 36%  
471 2% 33%  
472 2% 31%  
473 2% 28%  
474 2% 26%  
475 4% 24%  
476 1.3% 20%  
477 1.3% 19%  
478 1.4% 18%  
479 0.9% 16%  
480 0.7% 15%  
481 2% 15%  
482 0.9% 13%  
483 1.1% 12%  
484 1.0% 11%  
485 1.0% 10%  
486 0.9% 9%  
487 0.9% 8%  
488 1.3% 7%  
489 0.6% 6%  
490 0.4% 5%  
491 0.6% 5%  
492 0.5% 4%  
493 0.5% 4%  
494 0.4% 3%  
495 0.3% 3%  
496 0.2% 3%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.1% 2%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.4%  
505 0.1% 1.3%  
506 0.1% 1.1%  
507 0.2% 1.1%  
508 0.1% 0.9%  
509 0.1% 0.8%  
510 0.1% 0.7%  
511 0% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.6%  
514 0.1% 0.5%  
515 0% 0.4%  
516 0.1% 0.4%  
517 0% 0.3%  
518 0% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0% 99.6%  
406 0% 99.6%  
407 0% 99.6%  
408 0% 99.6%  
409 0% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0.1% 99.4%  
412 0.2% 99.3%  
413 0.1% 99.1%  
414 0.3% 99.0%  
415 0.2% 98.6%  
416 0.3% 98%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.6% 98%  
419 0.2% 97%  
420 0.2% 97%  
421 0.3% 97%  
422 0.2% 97%  
423 0.3% 96%  
424 0.1% 96%  
425 0.2% 96%  
426 0.4% 96%  
427 0.5% 95%  
428 0.4% 95%  
429 1.0% 94%  
430 0.8% 93%  
431 1.0% 92%  
432 2% 91%  
433 1.2% 90%  
434 2% 89%  
435 1.0% 86%  
436 1.5% 85%  
437 1.1% 84%  
438 2% 83%  
439 1.4% 81%  
440 1.2% 80%  
441 1.0% 78%  
442 0.8% 77%  
443 2% 76%  
444 3% 75%  
445 2% 72%  
446 3% 70%  
447 3% 68%  
448 4% 65%  
449 2% 61%  
450 3% 59%  
451 1.1% 56%  
452 2% 55%  
453 2% 53%  
454 1.2% 51% Median
455 2% 50%  
456 2% 48%  
457 1.2% 47%  
458 0.4% 45%  
459 1.5% 45%  
460 0.7% 44%  
461 2% 43%  
462 2% 41%  
463 1.1% 38%  
464 1.5% 37%  
465 3% 36%  
466 2% 33%  
467 3% 31%  
468 2% 28%  
469 2% 26%  
470 4% 24%  
471 1.2% 20%  
472 1.3% 19%  
473 1.4% 18%  
474 0.8% 16%  
475 0.8% 15%  
476 1.5% 15%  
477 1.2% 13%  
478 0.9% 12%  
479 1.1% 11%  
480 0.9% 10%  
481 0.9% 9%  
482 0.8% 8%  
483 1.3% 7%  
484 0.6% 6%  
485 0.4% 5%  
486 0.6% 5%  
487 0.5% 4%  
488 0.5% 4%  
489 0.4% 3%  
490 0.3% 3%  
491 0.2% 3%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.2% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.1% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.3%  
501 0% 1.1%  
502 0.2% 1.1%  
503 0.1% 0.9%  
504 0.1% 0.8%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.6%  
508 0% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0.1% 0.4%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.3%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.8%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.7%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.1% 99.6%  
371 0.1% 99.5%  
372 0.1% 99.4%  
373 0.1% 99.3%  
374 0.1% 99.3%  
375 0.2% 99.2%  
376 0.1% 99.0%  
377 0.1% 98.9%  
378 0.2% 98.7%  
379 0.1% 98.6%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.2% 98%  
382 0.2% 98%  
383 0.3% 98%  
384 0.4% 97%  
385 0.1% 97%  
386 0.7% 97%  
387 0.4% 96%  
388 0.4% 96%  
389 0.3% 95%  
390 0.5% 95%  
391 0.6% 95%  
392 0.8% 94%  
393 0.6% 93%  
394 0.8% 93%  
395 0.6% 92%  
396 0.9% 91%  
397 0.8% 90%  
398 1.2% 90%  
399 1.0% 88%  
400 1.0% 87%  
401 2% 86%  
402 0.5% 85%  
403 2% 84%  
404 1.2% 82%  
405 2% 81%  
406 1.1% 80%  
407 0.7% 79%  
408 2% 78%  
409 1.2% 76%  
410 2% 75%  
411 2% 73%  
412 2% 71%  
413 3% 69%  
414 1.0% 66%  
415 2% 65%  
416 3% 63%  
417 2% 60%  
418 1.3% 58%  
419 2% 57%  
420 2% 54%  
421 1.2% 53% Median
422 2% 52%  
423 2% 50%  
424 2% 49%  
425 1.4% 47%  
426 2% 45%  
427 2% 43%  
428 2% 41%  
429 2% 39%  
430 1.0% 37%  
431 1.4% 36%  
432 2% 35%  
433 2% 33%  
434 2% 31%  
435 3% 30%  
436 2% 27%  
437 1.3% 25%  
438 2% 24%  
439 1.4% 22%  
440 1.1% 21%  
441 2% 20%  
442 1.1% 18%  
443 1.3% 17%  
444 0.8% 15%  
445 0.8% 15%  
446 2% 14%  
447 1.1% 12%  
448 0.4% 10%  
449 0.8% 10%  
450 1.4% 9%  
451 0.4% 8%  
452 0.6% 7%  
453 0.6% 7%  
454 0.7% 6%  
455 0.4% 6%  
456 0.5% 5%  
457 0.4% 5%  
458 0.7% 4%  
459 0.2% 4%  
460 0.3% 3%  
461 0.2% 3%  
462 0.4% 3%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.1% 2%  
467 0.2% 2%  
468 0.1% 1.4%  
469 0.1% 1.3%  
470 0.1% 1.2%  
471 0.1% 1.1%  
472 0.1% 1.0%  
473 0.1% 0.8%  
474 0.1% 0.7%  
475 0% 0.6%  
476 0% 0.6%  
477 0% 0.6%  
478 0.1% 0.5%  
479 0% 0.5%  
480 0% 0.4%  
481 0% 0.4%  
482 0% 0.4%  
483 0% 0.3%  
484 0% 0.3%  
485 0% 0.3%  
486 0% 0.3%  
487 0% 0.3%  
488 0% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.5%  
388 0.1% 99.4%  
389 0.1% 99.3%  
390 0.1% 99.2%  
391 0.2% 99.1%  
392 0.1% 98.9%  
393 0.2% 98.8%  
394 0.4% 98.6%  
395 0.3% 98%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.2% 97%  
399 0.7% 97%  
400 0.4% 96%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.4% 96%  
403 0.5% 95%  
404 0.4% 95%  
405 0.9% 94%  
406 0.7% 93%  
407 0.9% 93%  
408 0.8% 92%  
409 1.3% 91%  
410 2% 90%  
411 2% 88%  
412 3% 85%  
413 2% 83%  
414 2% 81%  
415 2% 79%  
416 1.4% 78%  
417 3% 76%  
418 2% 73%  
419 1.3% 71%  
420 2% 70%  
421 4% 68%  
422 3% 64%  
423 2% 61%  
424 4% 59%  
425 2% 55%  
426 2% 53%  
427 2% 51% Median
428 3% 49%  
429 2% 46%  
430 2% 45%  
431 1.2% 43%  
432 2% 42%  
433 1.5% 40%  
434 3% 38%  
435 0.9% 36%  
436 2% 35%  
437 3% 33%  
438 3% 30%  
439 2% 28%  
440 3% 25%  
441 3% 22%  
442 1.3% 20%  
443 3% 19%  
444 3% 15%  
445 0.9% 13%  
446 2% 12%  
447 2% 10%  
448 0.6% 8%  
449 0.7% 8%  
450 1.0% 7%  
451 0.7% 6%  
452 0.7% 5%  
453 0.5% 5%  
454 0.4% 4%  
455 0.5% 4%  
456 0.4% 3%  
457 0.2% 3%  
458 0.4% 3%  
459 0.4% 2%  
460 0.3% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 1.4%  
463 0.2% 1.2%  
464 0.2% 1.0%  
465 0.1% 0.9%  
466 0.1% 0.8%  
467 0.1% 0.7%  
468 0% 0.7%  
469 0% 0.6%  
470 0% 0.6%  
471 0% 0.6%  
472 0% 0.6%  
473 0% 0.5%  
474 0% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.5%  
477 0.1% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.2%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0% 99.7%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.5%  
367 0.1% 99.4%  
368 0.1% 99.3%  
369 0.1% 99.2%  
370 0.2% 99.1%  
371 0.1% 99.0%  
372 0.1% 98.8%  
373 0.1% 98.7%  
374 0.2% 98.6%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.2% 98%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.5% 98%  
379 0.3% 97%  
380 0.2% 97%  
381 0.6% 97%  
382 0.4% 96%  
383 0.4% 96%  
384 0.3% 95%  
385 0.5% 95%  
386 0.7% 95%  
387 0.7% 94%  
388 0.6% 93%  
389 0.8% 93%  
390 0.6% 92%  
391 0.8% 91%  
392 0.9% 90%  
393 1.2% 90%  
394 0.9% 88%  
395 1.2% 87%  
396 2% 86%  
397 0.5% 85%  
398 2% 84%  
399 1.4% 82%  
400 1.5% 81%  
401 0.9% 79%  
402 1.0% 78%  
403 2% 77%  
404 1.1% 76%  
405 2% 75%  
406 1.1% 72%  
407 3% 71%  
408 3% 69%  
409 1.0% 65%  
410 1.5% 64%  
411 3% 63%  
412 2% 60%  
413 1.0% 58%  
414 3% 57%  
415 2% 54%  
416 1.1% 53% Median
417 1.5% 52%  
418 2% 50%  
419 2% 48%  
420 2% 47%  
421 2% 45%  
422 2% 43%  
423 2% 41%  
424 2% 39%  
425 1.2% 37%  
426 1.4% 36%  
427 2% 34%  
428 2% 33%  
429 2% 31%  
430 3% 29%  
431 1.4% 27%  
432 1.3% 25%  
433 2% 24%  
434 1.5% 22%  
435 1.4% 21%  
436 2% 19%  
437 1.2% 18%  
438 1.3% 16%  
439 0.8% 15%  
440 0.7% 14%  
441 2% 14%  
442 1.0% 11%  
443 0.4% 10%  
444 0.8% 10%  
445 1.4% 9%  
446 0.4% 8%  
447 0.4% 7%  
448 0.8% 7%  
449 0.7% 6%  
450 0.4% 6%  
451 0.5% 5%  
452 0.4% 5%  
453 0.7% 4%  
454 0.2% 4%  
455 0.3% 3%  
456 0.3% 3%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.2% 2%  
459 0.2% 2%  
460 0.2% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.1% 1.4%  
464 0.1% 1.3%  
465 0.1% 1.2%  
466 0.1% 1.1%  
467 0.1% 1.0%  
468 0.1% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0% 0.6%  
471 0% 0.6%  
472 0% 0.6%  
473 0.1% 0.5%  
474 0% 0.5%  
475 0% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.4%  
477 0% 0.4%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.3%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.2%  
486 0% 0.2%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0.1% 99.7%  
379 0% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0.1% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.5%  
383 0.1% 99.4%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0.1% 99.2%  
386 0.2% 99.1%  
387 0.1% 98.9%  
388 0.2% 98.8%  
389 0.4% 98.6%  
390 0.3% 98%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.3% 97%  
393 0.3% 97%  
394 0.6% 97%  
395 0.5% 96%  
396 0.4% 96%  
397 0.4% 95%  
398 0.6% 95%  
399 0.4% 94%  
400 1.1% 94%  
401 0.5% 93%  
402 1.0% 93%  
403 0.6% 91%  
404 2% 91%  
405 1.4% 89%  
406 3% 88%  
407 3% 85%  
408 2% 83%  
409 2% 81%  
410 2% 79%  
411 2% 77%  
412 2% 76%  
413 2% 73%  
414 1.2% 71%  
415 2% 70%  
416 4% 68%  
417 3% 64%  
418 2% 61%  
419 4% 59%  
420 2% 55%  
421 2% 53%  
422 2% 51% Median
423 3% 49%  
424 2% 46%  
425 2% 44%  
426 1.4% 43%  
427 2% 41%  
428 2% 40%  
429 3% 38%  
430 1.0% 35%  
431 2% 34%  
432 3% 33%  
433 3% 30%  
434 2% 27%  
435 2% 25%  
436 3% 23%  
437 1.4% 20%  
438 3% 18%  
439 3% 15%  
440 0.9% 13%  
441 2% 12%  
442 2% 10%  
443 0.6% 8%  
444 0.8% 8%  
445 0.9% 7%  
446 0.7% 6%  
447 0.8% 5%  
448 0.5% 5%  
449 0.5% 4%  
450 0.5% 4%  
451 0.4% 3%  
452 0.2% 3%  
453 0.3% 3%  
454 0.4% 2%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.2% 1.4%  
458 0.2% 1.2%  
459 0.2% 1.0%  
460 0.1% 0.8%  
461 0.1% 0.8%  
462 0.1% 0.7%  
463 0% 0.7%  
464 0% 0.6%  
465 0% 0.6%  
466 0% 0.6%  
467 0% 0.6%  
468 0% 0.5%  
469 0% 0.5%  
470 0% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.5%  
472 0% 0.4%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.3%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.2%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0% 99.8%  
341 0% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 0% 99.5%  
345 0.1% 99.5%  
346 0.1% 99.4%  
347 0.1% 99.3%  
348 0.1% 99.2%  
349 0.1% 99.1%  
350 0.1% 99.0%  
351 0.2% 98.8%  
352 0.2% 98.6%  
353 0.2% 98%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.3% 98%  
356 0.2% 98%  
357 0.3% 97%  
358 0.4% 97%  
359 0.7% 97%  
360 0.4% 96%  
361 0.5% 96%  
362 0.6% 95%  
363 0.5% 95%  
364 0.8% 94%  
365 0.8% 93%  
366 1.1% 92%  
367 1.1% 91%  
368 0.7% 90%  
369 1.0% 89%  
370 1.0% 88%  
371 1.5% 88%  
372 1.2% 86%  
373 2% 85%  
374 2% 83%  
375 1.3% 81%  
376 1.3% 80%  
377 2% 78%  
378 3% 77%  
379 2% 74%  
380 2% 72%  
381 1.5% 69%  
382 2% 68%  
383 2% 66%  
384 2% 64%  
385 3% 62%  
386 2% 59%  
387 2% 57%  
388 1.4% 55%  
389 3% 53% Median
390 2% 50%  
391 2% 48%  
392 4% 46%  
393 1.4% 42%  
394 2% 41%  
395 2% 39%  
396 2% 38%  
397 0.9% 35%  
398 2% 34%  
399 3% 33%  
400 2% 30%  
401 1.1% 27%  
402 2% 26%  
403 3% 25%  
404 2% 22%  
405 2% 20%  
406 1.4% 18%  
407 2% 17%  
408 1.4% 15%  
409 1.0% 14%  
410 2% 13%  
411 1.0% 10%  
412 0.7% 9%  
413 1.0% 9%  
414 0.6% 8%  
415 0.7% 7%  
416 0.6% 7%  
417 0.5% 6%  
418 0.9% 5%  
419 0.8% 5%  
420 0.4% 4%  
421 0.7% 3%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.1% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.2% 2%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.1% 2%  
428 0.2% 1.4%  
429 0.1% 1.3%  
430 0.2% 1.2%  
431 0.1% 1.0%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.1% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.7%  
435 0.1% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0% 0.5%  
438 0% 0.5%  
439 0% 0.4%  
440 0% 0.4%  
441 0% 0.4%  
442 0% 0.4%  
443 0.1% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.2%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0% 99.8%  
335 0.1% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.7%  
337 0.1% 99.7%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0.1% 99.5%  
340 0.1% 99.5%  
341 0.1% 99.4%  
342 0.1% 99.3%  
343 0.1% 99.2%  
344 0.1% 99.1%  
345 0.1% 99.0%  
346 0.2% 98.8%  
347 0.2% 98.6%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.4% 98%  
350 0.2% 98%  
351 0.2% 98%  
352 0.3% 97%  
353 0.4% 97%  
354 0.7% 97%  
355 0.5% 96%  
356 0.6% 95%  
357 0.4% 95%  
358 0.5% 94%  
359 0.9% 94%  
360 0.8% 93%  
361 1.2% 92%  
362 1.1% 91%  
363 0.6% 90%  
364 1.1% 89%  
365 0.9% 88%  
366 1.3% 87%  
367 1.2% 86%  
368 2% 85%  
369 2% 83%  
370 1.1% 81%  
371 1.4% 80%  
372 1.5% 78%  
373 3% 77%  
374 2% 74%  
375 2% 71%  
376 2% 69%  
377 2% 68%  
378 2% 66%  
379 2% 64%  
380 3% 62%  
381 2% 59%  
382 2% 56%  
383 1.3% 54%  
384 3% 53% Median
385 2% 50%  
386 1.5% 48%  
387 4% 46%  
388 1.5% 42%  
389 1.3% 40%  
390 2% 39%  
391 2% 38%  
392 0.9% 35%  
393 2% 34%  
394 3% 32%  
395 2% 29%  
396 2% 27%  
397 1.1% 26%  
398 3% 25%  
399 2% 22%  
400 2% 20%  
401 1.0% 18%  
402 2% 17%  
403 1.5% 15%  
404 1.0% 14%  
405 2% 13%  
406 0.9% 10%  
407 0.6% 9%  
408 1.0% 9%  
409 0.4% 8%  
410 0.8% 7%  
411 0.5% 7%  
412 0.6% 6%  
413 0.8% 5%  
414 0.9% 5%  
415 0.3% 4%  
416 0.7% 3%  
417 0.3% 3%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.2% 2%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.1% 1.4%  
424 0.1% 1.3%  
425 0.2% 1.2%  
426 0.1% 1.0%  
427 0.1% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0.1% 0.7%  
430 0.1% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.6%  
432 0% 0.5%  
433 0% 0.5%  
434 0% 0.4%  
435 0% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.4%  
437 0% 0.4%  
438 0% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.2%  
444 0% 0.2%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
129 0% 100%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.9%  
134 0% 99.9%  
135 0% 99.9%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.8%  
138 0% 99.8%  
139 0% 99.8%  
140 0% 99.8%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.7%  
143 0% 99.7%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0% 99.6%  
148 0% 99.6%  
149 0% 99.6%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5%  
152 0% 99.5%  
153 0.1% 99.4%  
154 0.1% 99.4%  
155 0.1% 99.3%  
156 0.1% 99.2%  
157 0.1% 99.1%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 98.9%  
160 0.1% 98.8%  
161 0.2% 98.7%  
162 0.2% 98%  
163 0.1% 98%  
164 0.1% 98%  
165 0.3% 98%  
166 0.4% 98%  
167 0.2% 97%  
168 0.2% 97%  
169 0.2% 97%  
170 0.3% 97%  
171 0.5% 96%  
172 0.6% 96%  
173 0.5% 95%  
174 0.7% 95%  
175 0.7% 94%  
176 0.8% 94%  
177 0.3% 93%  
178 0.3% 92%  
179 1.2% 92%  
180 0.8% 91%  
181 1.0% 90%  
182 2% 89%  
183 0.5% 88%  
184 2% 87%  
185 0.9% 86%  
186 0.9% 85%  
187 2% 84%  
188 2% 82%  
189 1.0% 80%  
190 1.2% 79%  
191 2% 78%  
192 1.2% 75%  
193 2% 74%  
194 2% 73%  
195 2% 71%  
196 3% 69%  
197 0.9% 66%  
198 1.2% 65%  
199 1.4% 64%  
200 2% 63%  
201 2% 60%  
202 1.0% 58%  
203 3% 57%  
204 2% 55%  
205 2% 53%  
206 2% 51% Median
207 1.4% 49%  
208 2% 48%  
209 2% 46%  
210 1.5% 44%  
211 2% 42%  
212 1.3% 41%  
213 2% 39%  
214 3% 37%  
215 2% 34%  
216 0.9% 32%  
217 3% 31%  
218 2% 29%  
219 2% 27%  
220 2% 25%  
221 1.3% 23%  
222 1.4% 22%  
223 1.3% 21%  
224 1.1% 19%  
225 1.0% 18%  
226 2% 17%  
227 1.2% 15%  
228 1.0% 14%  
229 2% 13%  
230 0.6% 12%  
231 1.0% 11%  
232 1.1% 10%  
233 1.1% 9%  
234 0.5% 8%  
235 0.3% 7%  
236 0.5% 7%  
237 0.9% 6%  
238 0.4% 6%  
239 0.6% 5%  
240 0.6% 5%  
241 0.4% 4%  
242 0.5% 4%  
243 0.4% 3%  
244 0.3% 3%  
245 0.2% 3%  
246 0.3% 2%  
247 0.3% 2%  
248 0.2% 2%  
249 0.2% 2%  
250 0.2% 1.4%  
251 0.2% 1.2%  
252 0.1% 1.1%  
253 0.1% 0.9%  
254 0.1% 0.8%  
255 0.1% 0.7%  
256 0.1% 0.6%  
257 0.1% 0.5%  
258 0% 0.4%  
259 0% 0.4%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0.1% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
124 0% 100%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.8%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0% 99.8%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.7%  
140 0% 99.7%  
141 0% 99.7%  
142 0% 99.6%  
143 0% 99.6%  
144 0% 99.6%  
145 0% 99.6%  
146 0% 99.5%  
147 0% 99.5%  
148 0.1% 99.4%  
149 0.1% 99.4%  
150 0.1% 99.3%  
151 0.1% 99.2%  
152 0.1% 99.1%  
153 0.1% 99.0%  
154 0.1% 98.9%  
155 0.1% 98.8%  
156 0.2% 98.7%  
157 0.2% 98%  
158 0.1% 98%  
159 0.1% 98%  
160 0.2% 98%  
161 0.4% 98%  
162 0.2% 97%  
163 0.1% 97%  
164 0.3% 97%  
165 0.3% 97%  
166 0.5% 96%  
167 0.6% 96%  
168 0.4% 95%  
169 0.7% 95%  
170 0.7% 94%  
171 0.7% 94%  
172 0.5% 93%  
173 0.3% 92%  
174 1.2% 92%  
175 0.9% 91%  
176 0.9% 90%  
177 2% 89%  
178 0.5% 88%  
179 2% 87%  
180 0.8% 86%  
181 1.2% 85%  
182 1.4% 84%  
183 2% 82%  
184 1.0% 80%  
185 1.2% 79%  
186 2% 78%  
187 1.4% 76%  
188 2% 74%  
189 2% 73%  
190 2% 71%  
191 2% 68%  
192 1.1% 66%  
193 1.2% 65%  
194 2% 64%  
195 2% 62%  
196 2% 60%  
197 0.9% 58%  
198 2% 57%  
199 2% 55%  
200 2% 53%  
201 2% 51% Median
202 1.0% 49%  
203 2% 48%  
204 2% 46%  
205 1.4% 44%  
206 2% 42%  
207 1.1% 41%  
208 2% 39%  
209 3% 37%  
210 2% 34%  
211 1.3% 32%  
212 2% 31%  
213 2% 28%  
214 2% 27%  
215 2% 25%  
216 1.4% 23%  
217 1.2% 22%  
218 2% 20%  
219 1.0% 19%  
220 1.0% 18%  
221 1.5% 17%  
222 1.2% 15%  
223 1.1% 14%  
224 2% 13%  
225 0.7% 12%  
226 1.1% 11%  
227 0.9% 10%  
228 1.1% 9%  
229 0.5% 8%  
230 0.4% 7%  
231 0.5% 7%  
232 0.8% 6%  
233 0.5% 6%  
234 0.5% 5%  
235 0.6% 5%  
236 0.3% 4%  
237 0.5% 4%  
238 0.4% 3%  
239 0.3% 3%  
240 0.2% 3%  
241 0.2% 2%  
242 0.3% 2%  
243 0.2% 2%  
244 0.2% 2%  
245 0.1% 1.4%  
246 0.2% 1.2%  
247 0.1% 1.1%  
248 0.1% 0.9%  
249 0.1% 0.8%  
250 0.1% 0.7%  
251 0.1% 0.6%  
252 0.1% 0.5%  
253 0% 0.4%  
254 0% 0.4%  
255 0.1% 0.4%  
256 0.1% 0.3%  
257 0% 0.2%  
258 0% 0.2%  
259 0% 0.2%  
260 0% 0.2%  
261 0% 0.1%  
262 0% 0.1%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
136 0% 100%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0% 99.9%  
140 0% 99.9%  
141 0% 99.8%  
142 0% 99.8%  
143 0% 99.8%  
144 0% 99.7%  
145 0% 99.7%  
146 0% 99.6%  
147 0.1% 99.6%  
148 0% 99.5%  
149 0% 99.5%  
150 0% 99.5%  
151 0% 99.5%  
152 0% 99.4%  
153 0% 99.4%  
154 0% 99.4%  
155 0% 99.4%  
156 0% 99.4%  
157 0.1% 99.3%  
158 0.1% 99.3%  
159 0.1% 99.2%  
160 0.1% 99.1%  
161 0.2% 99.0%  
162 0.2% 98.8%  
163 0.1% 98.7%  
164 0.4% 98.5%  
165 0.3% 98%  
166 0.2% 98%  
167 0.5% 98%  
168 0.3% 97%  
169 0.7% 97%  
170 0.4% 96%  
171 0.6% 96%  
172 0.6% 95%  
173 0.7% 95%  
174 0.6% 94%  
175 0.9% 93%  
176 0.7% 92%  
177 1.0% 92%  
178 1.3% 91%  
179 2% 89%  
180 3% 88%  
181 2% 85%  
182 3% 83%  
183 2% 80%  
184 4% 77%  
185 2% 74%  
186 2% 71%  
187 2% 69%  
188 2% 67%  
189 2% 65%  
190 2% 63%  
191 1.1% 61%  
192 2% 60%  
193 2% 58%  
194 1.1% 57%  
195 2% 56% Median
196 2% 53%  
197 2% 51%  
198 3% 49%  
199 2% 46%  
200 4% 44%  
201 3% 40%  
202 3% 37%  
203 3% 34%  
204 1.1% 31%  
205 2% 30%  
206 2% 28%  
207 2% 25%  
208 2% 23%  
209 2% 21%  
210 2% 19%  
211 2% 17%  
212 2% 15%  
213 2% 14%  
214 3% 12%  
215 1.3% 9%  
216 0.8% 8%  
217 0.9% 7%  
218 0.6% 6%  
219 0.5% 5%  
220 0.4% 5%  
221 0.2% 5%  
222 0.4% 4%  
223 0.3% 4%  
224 0.3% 4%  
225 0.5% 3%  
226 0.4% 3%  
227 0.3% 2%  
228 0.2% 2%  
229 0.4% 2%  
230 0.1% 2%  
231 0.5% 1.4%  
232 0.1% 1.0%  
233 0.2% 0.8%  
234 0.1% 0.6%  
235 0.1% 0.5%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0% 0.4%  
238 0% 0.3%  
239 0% 0.3%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.2%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
94 0% 100%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.8%  
105 0% 99.8%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.7%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0.1% 99.7%  
112 0.1% 99.6%  
113 0% 99.6%  
114 0% 99.6%  
115 0% 99.5%  
116 0% 99.5%  
117 0% 99.4%  
118 0.1% 99.4%  
119 0.1% 99.3%  
120 0.1% 99.2%  
121 0.2% 99.1%  
122 0.1% 99.0%  
123 0.1% 98.9%  
124 0.1% 98.8%  
125 0.2% 98.8%  
126 0.1% 98.6%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.1% 98%  
129 0.1% 98%  
130 0.1% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.3% 98%  
134 0.2% 97%  
135 0.4% 97%  
136 0.3% 97%  
137 0.8% 96%  
138 0.5% 96%  
139 0.3% 95%  
140 0.9% 95%  
141 1.1% 94%  
142 0.6% 93%  
143 0.8% 92%  
144 0.7% 91%  
145 1.3% 91%  
146 1.1% 89%  
147 1.4% 88%  
148 2% 87%  
149 1.0% 85%  
150 1.1% 84%  
151 2% 83%  
152 0.7% 82%  
153 2% 81%  
154 2% 79%  
155 2% 76%  
156 3% 75%  
157 2% 72%  
158 4% 70%  
159 1.3% 66%  
160 3% 65%  
161 0.9% 62%  
162 1.3% 61%  
163 3% 60%  
164 1.2% 57%  
165 0.8% 55%  
166 1.3% 55%  
167 0.9% 53%  
168 3% 52% Median
169 0.7% 50%  
170 2% 49%  
171 1.2% 47%  
172 1.4% 46%  
173 2% 45%  
174 2% 42%  
175 1.2% 41%  
176 5% 40%  
177 3% 35%  
178 3% 32%  
179 4% 29%  
180 1.3% 25%  
181 2% 24%  
182 1.4% 22%  
183 0.9% 21%  
184 1.5% 20%  
185 0.7% 19%  
186 2% 18%  
187 1.0% 16%  
188 0.4% 15%  
189 2% 14%  
190 1.1% 13%  
191 2% 12%  
192 1.4% 10%  
193 0.7% 8%  
194 2% 8%  
195 0.7% 6%  
196 0.9% 5%  
197 0.4% 4%  
198 0.2% 4%  
199 0.3% 4%  
200 0.1% 3%  
201 0.2% 3%  
202 0.1% 3%  
203 0.1% 3%  
204 0.2% 3%  
205 0.1% 3%  
206 0.2% 3%  
207 0.5% 2%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.4% 2%  
210 0.3% 1.2%  
211 0.2% 0.9%  
212 0.1% 0.7%  
213 0.2% 0.6%  
214 0.1% 0.5%  
215 0% 0.4%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.3%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.9%  
94 0% 99.9%  
95 0% 99.9%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.8%  
100 0% 99.8%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0% 99.7%  
106 0% 99.7%  
107 0.1% 99.6%  
108 0% 99.6%  
109 0% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.5%  
111 0% 99.5%  
112 0% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.4%  
114 0.1% 99.3%  
115 0.1% 99.2%  
116 0.2% 99.1%  
117 0.1% 99.0%  
118 0.1% 98.9%  
119 0.1% 98.8%  
120 0.2% 98.7%  
121 0.1% 98.6%  
122 0.1% 98%  
123 0.1% 98%  
124 0.1% 98%  
125 0.1% 98%  
126 0.1% 98%  
127 0.3% 98%  
128 0.3% 98%  
129 0.2% 97%  
130 0.5% 97%  
131 0.3% 97%  
132 0.8% 96%  
133 0.5% 96%  
134 0.3% 95%  
135 0.9% 95%  
136 1.0% 94%  
137 0.6% 93%  
138 0.9% 92%  
139 0.9% 91%  
140 1.2% 90%  
141 1.3% 89%  
142 1.1% 88%  
143 2% 87%  
144 1.1% 85%  
145 1.0% 84%  
146 2% 83%  
147 0.6% 82%  
148 2% 81%  
149 2% 79%  
150 2% 76%  
151 3% 74%  
152 1.3% 71%  
153 4% 70%  
154 1.2% 66%  
155 3% 65%  
156 0.9% 62%  
157 1.3% 61%  
158 4% 60%  
159 0.8% 56%  
160 0.7% 55%  
161 1.3% 55%  
162 0.9% 53%  
163 3% 52% Median
164 0.8% 50%  
165 2% 49%  
166 0.9% 47%  
167 2% 46%  
168 2% 45%  
169 2% 42%  
170 1.2% 41%  
171 5% 39%  
172 3% 34%  
173 3% 32%  
174 4% 29%  
175 1.2% 25%  
176 2% 24%  
177 2% 22%  
178 0.7% 21%  
179 2% 20%  
180 0.8% 18%  
181 2% 18%  
182 0.9% 16%  
183 0.5% 15%  
184 2% 14%  
185 1.0% 13%  
186 2% 12%  
187 1.3% 10%  
188 0.8% 8%  
189 2% 7%  
190 0.7% 6%  
191 0.9% 5%  
192 0.4% 4%  
193 0.2% 4%  
194 0.2% 4%  
195 0.2% 3%  
196 0.2% 3%  
197 0.1% 3%  
198 0.1% 3%  
199 0.2% 3%  
200 0.1% 3%  
201 0.2% 3%  
202 0.5% 2%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.2%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.7%  
208 0.2% 0.6%  
209 0.1% 0.4%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

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