Opinion Poll by We Think, 6–7 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 49.2% 47.3–51.2% 46.7–51.7% 46.2–52.2% 45.3–53.1%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.8% 20.3–23.5% 19.9–24.0% 19.5–24.4% 18.8–25.2%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.6%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.2% 6.3–8.3% 6.0–8.6% 5.8–8.9% 5.4–9.4%
Green Party 2.8% 4.2% 3.6–5.1% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.6% 2.9–6.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.4% 2.4–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 448 411–474 403–479 396–484 383–493
Conservative Party 365 84 58–122 53–132 48–139 37–151
Liberal Democrats 11 45 34–54 30–56 28–59 22–66
Brexit Party 0 7 4–18 4–19 3–20 3–20
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 48 36 26–47 25–51 22–53 19–57
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5 4–6 4–6 3–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.1% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.2% 99.3%  
387 0.1% 99.1%  
388 0.1% 99.0%  
389 0.2% 98.9%  
390 0.1% 98.7%  
391 0.1% 98.6%  
392 0.1% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.2% 98%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.1% 97%  
398 0.3% 97%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.3% 96%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.5% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.3% 95%  
405 0.8% 95%  
406 0.4% 94%  
407 0.4% 93%  
408 0.5% 93%  
409 0.4% 92%  
410 0.8% 92%  
411 1.2% 91%  
412 0.3% 90%  
413 0.6% 90%  
414 0.4% 89%  
415 0.5% 89%  
416 0.3% 88%  
417 0.5% 88%  
418 0.6% 87%  
419 0.8% 87%  
420 0.4% 86%  
421 1.1% 85%  
422 1.2% 84%  
423 0.6% 83%  
424 0.8% 82%  
425 0.6% 82%  
426 0.5% 81%  
427 0.8% 81%  
428 0.8% 80%  
429 0.9% 79%  
430 1.0% 78%  
431 2% 77%  
432 2% 75%  
433 1.1% 74%  
434 0.5% 73%  
435 2% 72%  
436 3% 70%  
437 2% 68%  
438 1.0% 66%  
439 0.9% 65%  
440 1.1% 64%  
441 2% 63%  
442 3% 60%  
443 2% 57%  
444 2% 56%  
445 1.0% 54%  
446 2% 53%  
447 1.5% 52%  
448 3% 50% Median
449 1.4% 47%  
450 2% 46%  
451 1.1% 44%  
452 1.0% 43%  
453 2% 42%  
454 2% 40%  
455 2% 38%  
456 1.3% 36%  
457 2% 35%  
458 0.8% 33%  
459 2% 32%  
460 2% 30%  
461 1.5% 28%  
462 2% 26%  
463 1.4% 25%  
464 2% 23%  
465 1.3% 21%  
466 0.9% 20%  
467 2% 19%  
468 0.9% 17%  
469 0.6% 16%  
470 2% 15%  
471 0.8% 14%  
472 1.2% 13%  
473 1.2% 12%  
474 0.6% 10%  
475 2% 10%  
476 0.7% 8%  
477 1.2% 7%  
478 0.3% 6%  
479 0.9% 6%  
480 0.7% 5%  
481 0.5% 4%  
482 0.5% 4%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.7% 3%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.3% 2%  
488 0.2% 1.4%  
489 0.3% 1.2%  
490 0.1% 0.9%  
491 0.1% 0.8%  
492 0.2% 0.7%  
493 0% 0.5%  
494 0.1% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0.1% 99.7%  
35 0.1% 99.7%  
36 0.1% 99.6%  
37 0.1% 99.5%  
38 0.1% 99.5%  
39 0.1% 99.4%  
40 0.2% 99.3%  
41 0.1% 99.1%  
42 0.1% 99.0%  
43 0.1% 98.9%  
44 0.2% 98.8%  
45 0.2% 98.5%  
46 0.1% 98%  
47 0.2% 98%  
48 0.4% 98%  
49 0.4% 97%  
50 0.4% 97%  
51 0.6% 97%  
52 0.5% 96%  
53 0.9% 96%  
54 0.8% 95%  
55 0.8% 94%  
56 1.3% 93%  
57 1.3% 92%  
58 0.9% 91%  
59 1.1% 90%  
60 0.9% 89%  
61 0.9% 88%  
62 2% 87%  
63 3% 85%  
64 1.4% 82%  
65 1.2% 80%  
66 1.0% 79%  
67 2% 78%  
68 2% 77%  
69 2% 75%  
70 2% 74%  
71 2% 72%  
72 2% 70%  
73 1.1% 67%  
74 2% 66%  
75 1.0% 65%  
76 2% 64%  
77 0.9% 62%  
78 3% 61%  
79 1.1% 58%  
80 0.7% 57%  
81 2% 56%  
82 2% 54%  
83 1.0% 52%  
84 2% 51% Median
85 0.6% 49%  
86 2% 48%  
87 0.8% 46%  
88 1.4% 45%  
89 3% 44%  
90 2% 41%  
91 0.9% 39%  
92 2% 38%  
93 2% 36%  
94 1.0% 34%  
95 1.4% 33%  
96 1.1% 31%  
97 1.2% 30%  
98 2% 29%  
99 1.5% 27%  
100 1.5% 26%  
101 2% 24%  
102 0.3% 22%  
103 0.6% 22%  
104 0.8% 21%  
105 0.7% 20%  
106 0.5% 20%  
107 1.1% 19%  
108 0.4% 18%  
109 0.5% 18%  
110 1.3% 17%  
111 0.5% 16%  
112 0.3% 15%  
113 0.8% 15%  
114 0.6% 14%  
115 0.5% 14%  
116 0.3% 13%  
117 0.8% 13%  
118 0.3% 12%  
119 0.3% 12%  
120 0.4% 12%  
121 1.0% 11%  
122 0.6% 10%  
123 0.7% 10%  
124 0.8% 9%  
125 0.2% 8%  
126 0.5% 8%  
127 0.7% 7%  
128 0.6% 7%  
129 0.5% 6%  
130 0.2% 6%  
131 0.3% 5%  
132 0.6% 5%  
133 0.6% 4%  
134 0.4% 4%  
135 0.2% 4%  
136 0.4% 3%  
137 0.1% 3%  
138 0.2% 3%  
139 0.2% 3%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.2% 2%  
142 0.2% 2%  
143 0.3% 2%  
144 0.1% 1.4%  
145 0.2% 1.3%  
146 0.1% 1.1%  
147 0.1% 1.0%  
148 0.1% 0.9%  
149 0.2% 0.8%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.2% 99.7%  
23 0.2% 99.5%  
24 0.1% 99.3%  
25 0.2% 99.2%  
26 0.2% 99.0%  
27 0.7% 98.8%  
28 1.0% 98%  
29 1.2% 97%  
30 1.4% 96%  
31 2% 95%  
32 1.4% 93%  
33 1.2% 92%  
34 1.5% 90%  
35 1.1% 89%  
36 2% 88%  
37 6% 86%  
38 8% 80%  
39 8% 73%  
40 6% 65%  
41 3% 59%  
42 2% 56%  
43 2% 54%  
44 2% 52%  
45 2% 50% Median
46 3% 48%  
47 2% 45%  
48 3% 43%  
49 9% 40%  
50 7% 31%  
51 8% 24%  
52 2% 16%  
53 1.1% 14%  
54 3% 13%  
55 1.4% 9%  
56 3% 8%  
57 1.4% 5%  
58 0.4% 4%  
59 0.8% 3%  
60 0.5% 2%  
61 0.4% 2%  
62 0.4% 2%  
63 0.2% 1.2%  
64 0.2% 1.0%  
65 0.2% 0.8%  
66 0.2% 0.6%  
67 0% 0.4%  
68 0.1% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 4% 100%  
4 25% 95%  
5 11% 70%  
6 7% 59%  
7 5% 52% Median
8 2% 47%  
9 0.4% 45%  
10 3% 45%  
11 4% 42%  
12 8% 39%  
13 8% 31%  
14 6% 23%  
15 0.2% 17%  
16 4% 17%  
17 2% 13%  
18 4% 11%  
19 4% 7%  
20 2% 3%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 96% 100% Last Result, Median
2 4% 4%  
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.1% 99.8%  
18 0.1% 99.7%  
19 0.2% 99.6%  
20 0.5% 99.4%  
21 0.7% 98.9%  
22 1.1% 98%  
23 0.3% 97%  
24 1.5% 97%  
25 4% 95%  
26 1.1% 91%  
27 2% 90%  
28 0.7% 87%  
29 4% 87%  
30 2% 82%  
31 0.1% 80%  
32 6% 80%  
33 0.1% 74%  
34 15% 74%  
35 0.6% 59%  
36 12% 59% Median
37 0.9% 47%  
38 7% 46%  
39 3% 39%  
40 4% 35%  
41 6% 32%  
42 2% 26%  
43 4% 23%  
44 4% 19%  
45 2% 15%  
46 2% 13%  
47 1.1% 11%  
48 1.5% 10% Last Result
49 1.2% 8%  
50 1.0% 7%  
51 1.4% 6%  
52 1.5% 5%  
53 1.1% 3%  
54 0.8% 2%  
55 0.7% 2%  
56 0.3% 0.9%  
57 0.4% 0.5%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 1.2% 99.9%  
4 7% 98.8% Last Result
5 83% 92% Median
6 7% 9%  
7 1.3% 1.4%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 534 100% 496–562 488–569 480–573 465–585
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 533 100% 495–561 487–568 479–572 464–584
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 528 100% 490–556 482–563 474–567 460–579
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 497 100% 456–527 448–534 437–540 421–552
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 492 100% 451–523 442–529 432–535 416–547
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 489 100% 456–513 448–518 442–521 429–530
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 484 100% 451–508 443–513 437–516 424–526
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 453 100% 416–479 408–484 401–489 388–498
Labour Party 202 448 100% 411–474 403–479 396–484 383–493
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 126 0% 97–166 91–175 85–184 74–200
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 121 0% 92–161 86–170 81–179 69–194
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 129 0% 107–161 104–169 100–175 92–184
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 89 0% 63–127 58–137 54–144 42–156
Conservative Party 365 84 0% 58–122 53–132 48–139 37–151

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.8%  
460 0% 99.8%  
461 0.1% 99.8%  
462 0% 99.7%  
463 0.1% 99.7%  
464 0% 99.6%  
465 0.1% 99.6%  
466 0% 99.5%  
467 0.1% 99.5%  
468 0% 99.4%  
469 0.1% 99.3%  
470 0.2% 99.2%  
471 0.1% 99.0%  
472 0.1% 98.9%  
473 0.2% 98.8%  
474 0.2% 98.6%  
475 0.1% 98%  
476 0.2% 98%  
477 0.1% 98%  
478 0.2% 98%  
479 0.2% 98%  
480 0.2% 98%  
481 0.2% 97%  
482 0.4% 97%  
483 0.6% 97%  
484 0.3% 96%  
485 0.2% 96%  
486 0.4% 96%  
487 0.3% 95%  
488 0.2% 95%  
489 0.5% 95%  
490 0.7% 94%  
491 0.7% 94%  
492 0.9% 93%  
493 0.4% 92%  
494 0.3% 92%  
495 0.7% 91%  
496 0.6% 91%  
497 0.5% 90%  
498 0.5% 89%  
499 0.5% 89%  
500 0.5% 88%  
501 0.7% 88%  
502 0.4% 87%  
503 0.7% 87%  
504 0.4% 86%  
505 0.3% 86%  
506 1.5% 85%  
507 0.5% 84%  
508 0.4% 83%  
509 0.4% 83%  
510 0.7% 83%  
511 0.5% 82%  
512 0.9% 81%  
513 0.9% 81%  
514 0.8% 80%  
515 0.9% 79%  
516 2% 78%  
517 0.5% 76%  
518 2% 76%  
519 2% 74%  
520 0.9% 73%  
521 0.8% 72%  
522 3% 71%  
523 2% 68%  
524 1.0% 67%  
525 2% 66%  
526 1.4% 64%  
527 0.7% 62%  
528 1.2% 61%  
529 1.4% 60%  
530 2% 59%  
531 2% 57%  
532 1.0% 55%  
533 3% 54%  
534 1.3% 51%  
535 0.8% 49% Median
536 0.7% 49%  
537 1.0% 48%  
538 2% 47%  
539 2% 45%  
540 2% 43%  
541 2% 41%  
542 1.3% 40%  
543 2% 38%  
544 2% 36%  
545 1.3% 35%  
546 1.2% 33%  
547 0.9% 32%  
548 1.1% 31%  
549 2% 30%  
550 1.1% 28%  
551 2% 27%  
552 2% 26%  
553 1.1% 23%  
554 2% 22%  
555 3% 20%  
556 1.1% 18%  
557 0.9% 17%  
558 1.4% 16%  
559 1.0% 14%  
560 1.0% 13%  
561 1.3% 12%  
562 1.3% 11%  
563 0.9% 10%  
564 0.8% 9%  
565 0.7% 8%  
566 0.7% 7%  
567 1.3% 7%  
568 0.4% 5%  
569 1.0% 5%  
570 0.5% 4%  
571 0.5% 4%  
572 0.5% 3%  
573 0.3% 3%  
574 0.2% 2%  
575 0.2% 2%  
576 0.2% 2%  
577 0.1% 2%  
578 0.1% 1.4%  
579 0.2% 1.3%  
580 0.1% 1.1%  
581 0.1% 0.9%  
582 0.1% 0.8%  
583 0.1% 0.7%  
584 0.1% 0.6%  
585 0.1% 0.5%  
586 0.1% 0.4%  
587 0% 0.4%  
588 0.1% 0.3%  
589 0.1% 0.3%  
590 0% 0.2%  
591 0% 0.2%  
592 0% 0.2%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0.1%  
597 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.9%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.8%  
459 0% 99.8%  
460 0.1% 99.8%  
461 0% 99.7%  
462 0.1% 99.7%  
463 0% 99.6%  
464 0.1% 99.6%  
465 0% 99.5%  
466 0.1% 99.5%  
467 0% 99.4%  
468 0.1% 99.3%  
469 0.2% 99.2%  
470 0.1% 99.0%  
471 0.1% 98.9%  
472 0.2% 98.8%  
473 0.2% 98.6%  
474 0.1% 98%  
475 0.2% 98%  
476 0.1% 98%  
477 0.2% 98%  
478 0.2% 98%  
479 0.2% 98%  
480 0.2% 97%  
481 0.4% 97%  
482 0.6% 97%  
483 0.3% 96%  
484 0.2% 96%  
485 0.4% 96%  
486 0.2% 95%  
487 0.2% 95%  
488 0.5% 95%  
489 0.7% 94%  
490 0.7% 94%  
491 0.9% 93%  
492 0.4% 92%  
493 0.3% 92%  
494 0.7% 91%  
495 0.6% 91%  
496 0.6% 90%  
497 0.4% 89%  
498 0.5% 89%  
499 0.5% 88%  
500 0.7% 88%  
501 0.4% 87%  
502 0.7% 87%  
503 0.4% 86%  
504 0.3% 86%  
505 1.5% 85%  
506 0.5% 84%  
507 0.4% 83%  
508 0.4% 83%  
509 0.7% 83%  
510 0.5% 82%  
511 1.0% 81%  
512 0.8% 80%  
513 0.8% 80%  
514 1.0% 79%  
515 1.5% 78%  
516 0.5% 76%  
517 2% 76%  
518 2% 74%  
519 1.0% 73%  
520 0.8% 72%  
521 3% 71%  
522 2% 68%  
523 0.9% 67%  
524 2% 66%  
525 1.3% 63%  
526 0.5% 62%  
527 1.2% 61%  
528 2% 60%  
529 2% 59%  
530 2% 57%  
531 1.0% 55%  
532 3% 54%  
533 1.4% 51%  
534 0.8% 49% Median
535 0.7% 48%  
536 1.0% 48%  
537 2% 47%  
538 2% 45%  
539 2% 43%  
540 2% 41%  
541 1.4% 40%  
542 2% 38%  
543 2% 36%  
544 1.2% 34%  
545 1.2% 33%  
546 1.0% 32%  
547 1.1% 31%  
548 2% 30%  
549 1.0% 28%  
550 2% 27%  
551 2% 26%  
552 1.2% 23%  
553 2% 22%  
554 3% 20%  
555 1.1% 18%  
556 1.0% 17%  
557 1.4% 16%  
558 0.9% 14%  
559 1.0% 13%  
560 1.4% 12%  
561 1.2% 11%  
562 0.9% 10%  
563 0.8% 9%  
564 0.6% 8%  
565 0.7% 7%  
566 1.2% 7%  
567 0.4% 5%  
568 1.0% 5%  
569 0.6% 4%  
570 0.5% 3%  
571 0.5% 3%  
572 0.3% 3%  
573 0.2% 2%  
574 0.3% 2%  
575 0.2% 2%  
576 0.1% 2%  
577 0.1% 1.4%  
578 0.2% 1.3%  
579 0.1% 1.0%  
580 0.1% 0.9%  
581 0.1% 0.8%  
582 0.1% 0.7%  
583 0.1% 0.6%  
584 0.1% 0.5%  
585 0.1% 0.4%  
586 0% 0.4%  
587 0.1% 0.3%  
588 0.1% 0.3%  
589 0% 0.2%  
590 0% 0.2%  
591 0% 0.2%  
592 0% 0.1%  
593 0% 0.1%  
594 0% 0.1%  
595 0% 0.1%  
596 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.8%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.7%  
457 0.1% 99.7%  
458 0.1% 99.6%  
459 0.1% 99.6%  
460 0.1% 99.5%  
461 0.1% 99.4%  
462 0% 99.4%  
463 0.1% 99.3%  
464 0.2% 99.2%  
465 0.1% 99.0%  
466 0.1% 98.9%  
467 0.2% 98.8%  
468 0.1% 98.5%  
469 0.1% 98%  
470 0.2% 98%  
471 0.1% 98%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 0.2% 98%  
474 0.2% 98%  
475 0.2% 97%  
476 0.5% 97%  
477 0.6% 97%  
478 0.4% 96%  
479 0.2% 96%  
480 0.4% 96%  
481 0.3% 95%  
482 0.3% 95%  
483 0.5% 95%  
484 0.5% 94%  
485 0.8% 94%  
486 0.9% 93%  
487 0.4% 92%  
488 0.2% 92%  
489 0.7% 91%  
490 0.7% 91%  
491 0.6% 90%  
492 0.4% 89%  
493 0.6% 89%  
494 0.5% 88%  
495 0.7% 88%  
496 0.4% 87%  
497 0.7% 87%  
498 0.4% 86%  
499 0.3% 86%  
500 1.5% 85%  
501 0.5% 84%  
502 0.5% 83%  
503 0.4% 83%  
504 0.7% 83%  
505 0.4% 82%  
506 1.1% 81%  
507 0.9% 80%  
508 0.8% 80%  
509 0.7% 79%  
510 2% 78%  
511 0.5% 76%  
512 2% 76%  
513 1.4% 74%  
514 1.0% 73%  
515 0.8% 72%  
516 3% 71%  
517 2% 68%  
518 0.7% 67%  
519 3% 66%  
520 1.4% 63%  
521 0.7% 62%  
522 1.0% 61%  
523 1.4% 60%  
524 2% 59%  
525 2% 57%  
526 1.1% 55%  
527 3% 54%  
528 1.3% 51%  
529 0.8% 49% Median
530 0.9% 49%  
531 0.9% 48%  
532 1.5% 47%  
533 2% 45%  
534 2% 43%  
535 1.3% 41%  
536 1.2% 40%  
537 2% 39%  
538 2% 36%  
539 1.3% 34%  
540 1.0% 33%  
541 1.2% 32%  
542 1.1% 31%  
543 2% 30%  
544 1.2% 28%  
545 1.5% 27%  
546 2% 26%  
547 1.2% 23%  
548 2% 22%  
549 2% 20%  
550 1.3% 18%  
551 1.0% 17%  
552 1.1% 16%  
553 1.0% 15%  
554 1.3% 13%  
555 1.3% 12%  
556 1.0% 11%  
557 1.1% 10%  
558 0.8% 9%  
559 0.6% 8%  
560 0.7% 7%  
561 1.2% 7%  
562 0.4% 5%  
563 1.0% 5%  
564 0.6% 4%  
565 0.4% 4%  
566 0.5% 3%  
567 0.4% 3%  
568 0.2% 2%  
569 0.2% 2%  
570 0.2% 2%  
571 0.2% 2%  
572 0.1% 1.4%  
573 0.2% 1.3%  
574 0.1% 1.1%  
575 0.1% 0.9%  
576 0.1% 0.8%  
577 0.1% 0.7%  
578 0.2% 0.7%  
579 0.1% 0.5%  
580 0.1% 0.4%  
581 0% 0.4%  
582 0% 0.3%  
583 0.1% 0.3%  
584 0% 0.2%  
585 0% 0.2%  
586 0% 0.2%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.8%  
415 0% 99.8%  
416 0.1% 99.8%  
417 0% 99.7%  
418 0% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.7%  
420 0.1% 99.6%  
421 0% 99.5%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.1% 99.4%  
424 0% 99.3%  
425 0.1% 99.3%  
426 0.1% 99.2%  
427 0.1% 99.1%  
428 0.1% 99.0%  
429 0.1% 98.9%  
430 0.1% 98.8%  
431 0.1% 98.7%  
432 0.1% 98.6%  
433 0.1% 98%  
434 0.1% 98%  
435 0.1% 98%  
436 0.4% 98%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.3% 97%  
439 0.3% 97%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.1% 97%  
442 0.3% 97%  
443 0.2% 96%  
444 0.2% 96%  
445 0.4% 96%  
446 0.2% 95%  
447 0.3% 95%  
448 0.2% 95%  
449 0.6% 95%  
450 0.5% 94%  
451 0.7% 94%  
452 0.4% 93%  
453 0.6% 93%  
454 0.8% 92%  
455 0.9% 91%  
456 0.8% 90%  
457 0.2% 90%  
458 1.0% 89%  
459 0.4% 88%  
460 0.4% 88%  
461 0.5% 88%  
462 0.6% 87%  
463 0.7% 86%  
464 0.9% 86%  
465 0.6% 85%  
466 0.3% 84%  
467 0.6% 84%  
468 0.6% 83%  
469 0.3% 83%  
470 0.4% 82%  
471 0.5% 82%  
472 0.4% 82%  
473 0.8% 81%  
474 1.1% 80%  
475 0.9% 79%  
476 1.0% 78%  
477 0.7% 77%  
478 2% 77%  
479 1.4% 75%  
480 1.1% 74%  
481 3% 73%  
482 0.9% 70%  
483 1.0% 69%  
484 1.2% 68%  
485 2% 67%  
486 2% 65%  
487 0.6% 63%  
488 1.3% 63%  
489 1.0% 61%  
490 1.1% 60%  
491 2% 59%  
492 2% 57%  
493 1.2% 56%  
494 1.2% 55%  
495 2% 53%  
496 0.7% 52%  
497 2% 51%  
498 2% 49% Median
499 2% 47%  
500 1.1% 46%  
501 0.8% 45%  
502 2% 44%  
503 2% 42%  
504 0.8% 40%  
505 2% 39%  
506 0.7% 37%  
507 0.9% 37%  
508 2% 36%  
509 1.4% 33%  
510 1.2% 32%  
511 1.0% 31%  
512 1.2% 30%  
513 1.2% 29%  
514 1.1% 27%  
515 2% 26%  
516 1.5% 24%  
517 1.5% 22%  
518 2% 21%  
519 1.1% 19%  
520 1.0% 18%  
521 2% 17%  
522 0.5% 15%  
523 1.0% 14%  
524 0.8% 13%  
525 1.1% 12%  
526 0.8% 11%  
527 0.7% 11%  
528 1.4% 10%  
529 0.8% 9%  
530 0.4% 8%  
531 0.4% 7%  
532 0.6% 7%  
533 0.7% 6%  
534 0.9% 6%  
535 0.3% 5%  
536 0.7% 4%  
537 0.3% 4%  
538 0.2% 3%  
539 0.3% 3%  
540 0.5% 3%  
541 0.3% 2%  
542 0.1% 2%  
543 0.3% 2%  
544 0.2% 2%  
545 0.3% 1.4%  
546 0.1% 1.1%  
547 0.1% 1.0%  
548 0.1% 0.9%  
549 0.1% 0.8%  
550 0.1% 0.7%  
551 0.1% 0.6%  
552 0.1% 0.6%  
553 0.1% 0.5%  
554 0% 0.4%  
555 0% 0.4%  
556 0.1% 0.3%  
557 0% 0.2%  
558 0% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.2%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0.1% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.7%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.5%  
418 0% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.3%  
420 0.1% 99.3%  
421 0.1% 99.2%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.1% 99.0%  
424 0.1% 98.9%  
425 0.1% 98.8%  
426 0.1% 98.7%  
427 0.2% 98.6%  
428 0.1% 98%  
429 0.1% 98%  
430 0.1% 98%  
431 0.4% 98%  
432 0.3% 98%  
433 0.2% 97%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.2% 97%  
436 0.1% 97%  
437 0.3% 97%  
438 0.2% 96%  
439 0.2% 96%  
440 0.4% 96%  
441 0.2% 96%  
442 0.3% 95%  
443 0.2% 95%  
444 0.7% 95%  
445 0.5% 94%  
446 0.6% 94%  
447 0.4% 93%  
448 0.6% 93%  
449 0.7% 92%  
450 0.9% 91%  
451 0.8% 90%  
452 0.2% 90%  
453 0.9% 89%  
454 0.4% 88%  
455 0.6% 88%  
456 0.4% 87%  
457 0.7% 87%  
458 0.7% 86%  
459 0.9% 86%  
460 0.5% 85%  
461 0.4% 84%  
462 0.6% 84%  
463 0.6% 83%  
464 0.4% 83%  
465 0.3% 82%  
466 0.6% 82%  
467 0.3% 82%  
468 1.0% 81%  
469 1.1% 80%  
470 0.7% 79%  
471 1.0% 78%  
472 0.7% 77%  
473 2% 77%  
474 1.2% 75%  
475 1.2% 74%  
476 3% 73%  
477 0.8% 70%  
478 0.9% 69%  
479 1.2% 68%  
480 2% 67%  
481 2% 65%  
482 0.8% 63%  
483 1.0% 62%  
484 1.0% 61%  
485 1.2% 60%  
486 2% 59%  
487 2% 57%  
488 1.1% 56%  
489 1.2% 55%  
490 1.0% 53%  
491 1.0% 52%  
492 2% 51%  
493 2% 49% Median
494 2% 47%  
495 1.1% 46%  
496 0.7% 45%  
497 2% 44%  
498 2% 42%  
499 0.8% 40%  
500 2% 39%  
501 0.4% 37%  
502 1.0% 37%  
503 2% 36%  
504 1.3% 33%  
505 1.2% 32%  
506 0.9% 31%  
507 1.3% 30%  
508 1.0% 29%  
509 1.1% 28%  
510 2% 26%  
511 2% 25%  
512 2% 23%  
513 2% 21%  
514 1.3% 19%  
515 0.8% 17%  
516 2% 17%  
517 0.6% 15%  
518 1.0% 14%  
519 0.8% 13%  
520 1.1% 13%  
521 0.6% 11%  
522 0.7% 11%  
523 1.5% 10%  
524 0.8% 9%  
525 0.5% 8%  
526 0.4% 7%  
527 0.6% 7%  
528 0.8% 6%  
529 0.9% 6%  
530 0.3% 5%  
531 0.6% 4%  
532 0.3% 4%  
533 0.3% 3%  
534 0.3% 3%  
535 0.5% 3%  
536 0.2% 2%  
537 0.2% 2%  
538 0.3% 2%  
539 0.2% 2%  
540 0.3% 1.4%  
541 0.2% 1.2%  
542 0.1% 1.0%  
543 0.1% 0.9%  
544 0.1% 0.8%  
545 0.1% 0.7%  
546 0.1% 0.6%  
547 0.1% 0.6%  
548 0.1% 0.5%  
549 0% 0.4%  
550 0% 0.4%  
551 0.1% 0.3%  
552 0% 0.3%  
553 0.1% 0.2%  
554 0% 0.2%  
555 0% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.8%  
426 0% 99.8%  
427 0.1% 99.8%  
428 0.1% 99.7%  
429 0.2% 99.6%  
430 0.1% 99.5%  
431 0.1% 99.4%  
432 0.1% 99.3%  
433 0.1% 99.2%  
434 0.2% 99.1%  
435 0.2% 99.0%  
436 0.2% 98.8%  
437 0.1% 98.6%  
438 0.2% 98%  
439 0.3% 98%  
440 0.1% 98%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.4% 98%  
443 0.2% 97%  
444 0.4% 97%  
445 0.4% 97%  
446 0.7% 96%  
447 0.4% 96%  
448 0.3% 95%  
449 0.2% 95%  
450 2% 95%  
451 0.6% 93%  
452 0.5% 92%  
453 0.5% 92%  
454 0.4% 91%  
455 0.6% 91%  
456 0.6% 91%  
457 0.7% 90%  
458 0.3% 89%  
459 0.5% 89%  
460 0.7% 88%  
461 0.4% 88%  
462 0.7% 87%  
463 0.9% 87%  
464 0.6% 86%  
465 0.4% 85%  
466 0.4% 85%  
467 1.4% 84%  
468 1.2% 83%  
469 0.5% 82%  
470 1.3% 81%  
471 0.5% 80%  
472 2% 79%  
473 1.0% 78%  
474 1.0% 77%  
475 2% 76%  
476 2% 74%  
477 1.1% 73%  
478 1.3% 71%  
479 2% 70%  
480 0.9% 68%  
481 2% 67%  
482 2% 65%  
483 3% 63%  
484 2% 60%  
485 2% 59%  
486 1.4% 57%  
487 1.4% 55%  
488 2% 54%  
489 2% 52% Median
490 2% 50%  
491 3% 48%  
492 2% 45%  
493 2% 43%  
494 2% 42%  
495 0.9% 40%  
496 2% 39%  
497 2% 36%  
498 0.8% 35%  
499 2% 34%  
500 2% 32%  
501 3% 30%  
502 1.2% 28%  
503 2% 27%  
504 1.0% 25%  
505 2% 24%  
506 1.3% 21%  
507 2% 20%  
508 1.1% 18%  
509 2% 17%  
510 1.5% 15%  
511 2% 14%  
512 2% 12%  
513 0.7% 11%  
514 1.4% 10%  
515 1.4% 9%  
516 2% 7%  
517 0.6% 6%  
518 0.9% 5%  
519 1.1% 4%  
520 0.4% 3%  
521 0.4% 3%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.4% 2%  
524 0.1% 1.5%  
525 0.2% 1.4%  
526 0.2% 1.2%  
527 0.1% 0.9%  
528 0.1% 0.9%  
529 0.1% 0.7%  
530 0.2% 0.6%  
531 0.1% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.3%  
533 0% 0.3%  
534 0.1% 0.3%  
535 0% 0.2%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.8%  
420 0% 99.8%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0.1% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.5%  
426 0.1% 99.4%  
427 0.1% 99.3%  
428 0.1% 99.2%  
429 0.2% 99.1%  
430 0.2% 98.9%  
431 0.2% 98.8%  
432 0.1% 98.6%  
433 0.2% 98%  
434 0.2% 98%  
435 0.1% 98%  
436 0.3% 98%  
437 0.4% 98%  
438 0.3% 97%  
439 0.3% 97%  
440 0.4% 97%  
441 0.7% 96%  
442 0.4% 96%  
443 0.2% 95%  
444 0.3% 95%  
445 2% 95%  
446 0.5% 93%  
447 0.5% 92%  
448 0.5% 92%  
449 0.3% 91%  
450 0.6% 91%  
451 0.6% 91%  
452 0.7% 90%  
453 0.3% 89%  
454 0.6% 89%  
455 0.6% 88%  
456 0.4% 88%  
457 0.7% 87%  
458 0.9% 87%  
459 0.6% 86%  
460 0.3% 85%  
461 0.4% 85%  
462 1.5% 84%  
463 1.3% 83%  
464 0.3% 82%  
465 1.3% 81%  
466 0.6% 80%  
467 2% 79%  
468 1.0% 78%  
469 1.1% 77%  
470 2% 76%  
471 1.2% 74%  
472 1.4% 73%  
473 1.2% 71%  
474 2% 70%  
475 0.9% 68%  
476 2% 67%  
477 1.5% 65%  
478 3% 63%  
479 2% 60%  
480 2% 59%  
481 1.4% 57%  
482 1.5% 55%  
483 2% 54%  
484 3% 52% Median
485 2% 50%  
486 3% 48%  
487 2% 45%  
488 2% 43%  
489 2% 42%  
490 1.1% 40%  
491 2% 39%  
492 2% 37%  
493 0.7% 35%  
494 2% 34%  
495 2% 32%  
496 3% 31%  
497 1.4% 28%  
498 2% 26%  
499 0.9% 25%  
500 2% 24%  
501 1.4% 21%  
502 2% 20%  
503 1.3% 18%  
504 2% 17%  
505 2% 15%  
506 2% 14%  
507 1.5% 12%  
508 0.7% 11%  
509 1.3% 10%  
510 1.4% 9%  
511 2% 7%  
512 0.6% 6%  
513 0.8% 5%  
514 1.1% 4%  
515 0.5% 3%  
516 0.4% 3%  
517 0.4% 2%  
518 0.4% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.2% 1.4%  
521 0.2% 1.2%  
522 0.1% 1.0%  
523 0.1% 0.9%  
524 0.1% 0.8%  
525 0.2% 0.7%  
526 0.2% 0.5%  
527 0% 0.3%  
528 0% 0.3%  
529 0.1% 0.3%  
530 0% 0.2%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.1% 99.4%  
391 0.2% 99.3%  
392 0.1% 99.2%  
393 0.1% 99.0%  
394 0.2% 98.9%  
395 0.1% 98.7%  
396 0.1% 98.6%  
397 0.1% 98%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.3% 98%  
401 0.3% 98%  
402 0.1% 97%  
403 0.3% 97%  
404 0.5% 97%  
405 0.3% 96%  
406 0.5% 96%  
407 0.4% 96%  
408 0.5% 95%  
409 0.2% 95%  
410 0.9% 95%  
411 0.4% 94%  
412 0.4% 93%  
413 0.5% 93%  
414 0.4% 92%  
415 0.9% 92%  
416 1.2% 91%  
417 0.3% 90%  
418 0.5% 90%  
419 0.5% 89%  
420 0.5% 89%  
421 0.3% 88%  
422 0.5% 88%  
423 0.5% 87%  
424 0.8% 87%  
425 0.5% 86%  
426 1.2% 86%  
427 1.2% 84%  
428 0.5% 83%  
429 0.8% 83%  
430 0.6% 82%  
431 0.5% 81%  
432 0.8% 81%  
433 0.8% 80%  
434 0.8% 79%  
435 1.0% 78%  
436 2% 77%  
437 1.5% 75%  
438 1.2% 74%  
439 0.4% 73%  
440 2% 72%  
441 3% 70%  
442 2% 68%  
443 1.0% 66%  
444 1.0% 65%  
445 1.2% 64%  
446 2% 62%  
447 3% 60%  
448 2% 57%  
449 0.9% 55%  
450 1.1% 55%  
451 2% 54%  
452 1.5% 52%  
453 3% 50% Median
454 1.5% 47%  
455 2% 46%  
456 1.1% 44%  
457 1.2% 43%  
458 2% 42%  
459 2% 40%  
460 2% 38%  
461 1.1% 36%  
462 2% 35%  
463 0.9% 33%  
464 2% 32%  
465 2% 30%  
466 1.2% 28%  
467 2% 26%  
468 1.4% 24%  
469 2% 23%  
470 1.2% 21%  
471 1.1% 20%  
472 2% 19%  
473 0.6% 17%  
474 1.1% 16%  
475 1.5% 15%  
476 0.8% 14%  
477 1.4% 13%  
478 1.2% 12%  
479 0.6% 10%  
480 2% 10%  
481 0.6% 8%  
482 1.2% 7%  
483 0.4% 6%  
484 0.9% 5%  
485 0.6% 5%  
486 0.5% 4%  
487 0.5% 3%  
488 0.2% 3%  
489 0.6% 3%  
490 0.3% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.3% 1.4%  
494 0.2% 1.1%  
495 0.1% 0.9%  
496 0.1% 0.8%  
497 0.2% 0.7%  
498 0.1% 0.5%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0.1% 0.4%  
501 0% 0.3%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.2%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0.1% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.8%  
379 0% 99.7%  
380 0% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.1% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.2% 99.3%  
387 0.1% 99.1%  
388 0.1% 99.0%  
389 0.2% 98.9%  
390 0.1% 98.7%  
391 0.1% 98.6%  
392 0.1% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.2% 98%  
396 0.3% 98%  
397 0.1% 97%  
398 0.3% 97%  
399 0.5% 97%  
400 0.3% 96%  
401 0.4% 96%  
402 0.5% 96%  
403 0.4% 95%  
404 0.3% 95%  
405 0.8% 95%  
406 0.4% 94%  
407 0.4% 93%  
408 0.5% 93%  
409 0.4% 92%  
410 0.8% 92%  
411 1.2% 91%  
412 0.3% 90%  
413 0.6% 90%  
414 0.4% 89%  
415 0.5% 89%  
416 0.3% 88%  
417 0.5% 88%  
418 0.6% 87%  
419 0.8% 87%  
420 0.4% 86%  
421 1.1% 85%  
422 1.2% 84%  
423 0.6% 83%  
424 0.8% 82%  
425 0.6% 82%  
426 0.5% 81%  
427 0.8% 81%  
428 0.8% 80%  
429 0.9% 79%  
430 1.0% 78%  
431 2% 77%  
432 2% 75%  
433 1.1% 74%  
434 0.5% 73%  
435 2% 72%  
436 3% 70%  
437 2% 68%  
438 1.0% 66%  
439 0.9% 65%  
440 1.1% 64%  
441 2% 63%  
442 3% 60%  
443 2% 57%  
444 2% 56%  
445 1.0% 54%  
446 2% 53%  
447 1.5% 52%  
448 3% 50% Median
449 1.4% 47%  
450 2% 46%  
451 1.1% 44%  
452 1.0% 43%  
453 2% 42%  
454 2% 40%  
455 2% 38%  
456 1.3% 36%  
457 2% 35%  
458 0.8% 33%  
459 2% 32%  
460 2% 30%  
461 1.5% 28%  
462 2% 26%  
463 1.4% 25%  
464 2% 23%  
465 1.3% 21%  
466 0.9% 20%  
467 2% 19%  
468 0.9% 17%  
469 0.6% 16%  
470 2% 15%  
471 0.8% 14%  
472 1.2% 13%  
473 1.2% 12%  
474 0.6% 10%  
475 2% 10%  
476 0.7% 8%  
477 1.2% 7%  
478 0.3% 6%  
479 0.9% 6%  
480 0.7% 5%  
481 0.5% 4%  
482 0.5% 4%  
483 0.2% 3%  
484 0.7% 3%  
485 0.3% 2%  
486 0.2% 2%  
487 0.3% 2%  
488 0.2% 1.4%  
489 0.3% 1.2%  
490 0.1% 0.9%  
491 0.1% 0.8%  
492 0.2% 0.7%  
493 0% 0.5%  
494 0.1% 0.5%  
495 0.1% 0.4%  
496 0% 0.3%  
497 0% 0.3%  
498 0% 0.2%  
499 0% 0.2%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0% 99.8%  
68 0% 99.8%  
69 0.1% 99.8%  
70 0% 99.7%  
71 0% 99.7%  
72 0.1% 99.7%  
73 0% 99.6%  
74 0.1% 99.5%  
75 0.1% 99.4%  
76 0.1% 99.4%  
77 0.1% 99.3%  
78 0.1% 99.1%  
79 0.1% 99.1%  
80 0.2% 98.9%  
81 0.2% 98.8%  
82 0.3% 98.6%  
83 0.4% 98%  
84 0.2% 98%  
85 0.3% 98%  
86 0.2% 97%  
87 0.3% 97%  
88 0.8% 97%  
89 0.7% 96%  
90 0.3% 95%  
91 0.3% 95%  
92 0.5% 95%  
93 0.8% 94%  
94 1.3% 94%  
95 0.8% 92%  
96 0.7% 91%  
97 0.9% 91%  
98 0.4% 90%  
99 0.9% 89%  
100 1.4% 89%  
101 1.4% 87%  
102 1.2% 86%  
103 1.2% 85%  
104 2% 83%  
105 0.8% 81%  
106 0.9% 80%  
107 2% 80%  
108 2% 78%  
109 2% 76%  
110 2% 74%  
111 1.1% 73%  
112 1.1% 72%  
113 3% 71%  
114 2% 68%  
115 1.1% 66%  
116 1.1% 65%  
117 2% 64%  
118 1.1% 62%  
119 1.1% 61%  
120 2% 60%  
121 2% 58%  
122 2% 56%  
123 0.5% 55%  
124 1.3% 54%  
125 2% 53% Median
126 1.4% 50%  
127 2% 49%  
128 2% 47%  
129 0.9% 45%  
130 0.9% 44%  
131 1.5% 43%  
132 0.8% 42%  
133 1.2% 41%  
134 2% 40%  
135 0.8% 38%  
136 1.0% 37%  
137 1.2% 36%  
138 2% 35%  
139 3% 33%  
140 2% 30%  
141 1.2% 29%  
142 2% 27%  
143 1.3% 26%  
144 0.6% 24%  
145 1.3% 24%  
146 0.8% 22%  
147 2% 22%  
148 0.4% 20%  
149 0.4% 19%  
150 0.3% 19%  
151 0.4% 19%  
152 0.9% 18%  
153 0.5% 17%  
154 0.3% 17%  
155 0.4% 17%  
156 0.7% 16%  
157 0.2% 15%  
158 0.9% 15%  
159 0.6% 14%  
160 0.8% 14%  
161 0.5% 13%  
162 0.4% 12%  
163 0.6% 12%  
164 0.2% 11%  
165 0.6% 11%  
166 1.3% 11%  
167 0.6% 9%  
168 0.6% 9%  
169 0.2% 8%  
170 0.4% 8%  
171 0.8% 7%  
172 0.7% 7%  
173 0.5% 6%  
174 0.3% 5%  
175 0.2% 5%  
176 0.5% 5%  
177 0.2% 4%  
178 0.3% 4%  
179 0.2% 4%  
180 0.1% 4%  
181 0.3% 4%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.4% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.1% 2%  
186 0.1% 2%  
187 0.3% 2%  
188 0.2% 2%  
189 0.2% 2%  
190 0.2% 1.5%  
191 0.1% 1.3%  
192 0.1% 1.2%  
193 0.1% 1.1%  
194 0.1% 1.0%  
195 0.1% 0.9%  
196 0.1% 0.9%  
197 0.1% 0.7%  
198 0.1% 0.7%  
199 0.1% 0.6%  
200 0% 0.5%  
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0.1% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.8%  
63 0% 99.8%  
64 0% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.1% 99.4%  
71 0.1% 99.4%  
72 0.1% 99.3%  
73 0.1% 99.1%  
74 0.1% 99.1%  
75 0.1% 99.0%  
76 0.2% 98.8%  
77 0.3% 98.7%  
78 0.4% 98%  
79 0.2% 98%  
80 0.2% 98%  
81 0.3% 98%  
82 0.3% 97%  
83 0.8% 97%  
84 0.8% 96%  
85 0.3% 95%  
86 0.2% 95%  
87 0.6% 95%  
88 0.7% 94%  
89 1.4% 94%  
90 0.8% 92%  
91 0.7% 91%  
92 0.8% 91%  
93 0.3% 90%  
94 1.0% 90%  
95 1.5% 89%  
96 1.3% 87%  
97 1.2% 86%  
98 1.1% 85%  
99 2% 83%  
100 0.9% 81%  
101 0.9% 81%  
102 2% 80%  
103 2% 78%  
104 2% 76%  
105 1.3% 74%  
106 1.2% 73%  
107 1.1% 72%  
108 3% 71%  
109 2% 68%  
110 1.4% 66%  
111 1.1% 65%  
112 2% 64%  
113 1.0% 62%  
114 1.2% 61%  
115 2% 60%  
116 2% 58%  
117 2% 56%  
118 0.7% 55%  
119 0.8% 54%  
120 3% 53% Median
121 1.4% 50%  
122 2% 49%  
123 2% 47%  
124 0.9% 45%  
125 1.0% 44%  
126 1.2% 43%  
127 1.0% 42%  
128 1.1% 41%  
129 2% 40%  
130 0.8% 38%  
131 1.0% 37%  
132 1.3% 36%  
133 2% 35%  
134 3% 33%  
135 1.4% 30%  
136 1.1% 29%  
137 2% 28%  
138 1.2% 26%  
139 1.0% 24%  
140 1.0% 23%  
141 0.8% 22%  
142 2% 22%  
143 0.3% 20%  
144 0.5% 19%  
145 0.4% 19%  
146 0.4% 19%  
147 0.8% 18%  
148 0.7% 17%  
149 0.2% 17%  
150 0.5% 17%  
151 0.6% 16%  
152 0.3% 15%  
153 0.8% 15%  
154 0.5% 14%  
155 0.9% 14%  
156 0.5% 13%  
157 0.4% 12%  
158 0.8% 12%  
159 0.3% 11%  
160 0.4% 11%  
161 1.3% 11%  
162 0.6% 9%  
163 0.5% 9%  
164 0.3% 8%  
165 0.4% 8%  
166 0.8% 7%  
167 0.7% 7%  
168 0.6% 6%  
169 0.3% 5%  
170 0.2% 5%  
171 0.4% 5%  
172 0.3% 4%  
173 0.3% 4%  
174 0.2% 4%  
175 0.1% 4%  
176 0.2% 3%  
177 0.2% 3%  
178 0.5% 3%  
179 0.2% 3%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.1% 2%  
182 0.3% 2%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.1% 1.4%  
186 0.1% 1.3%  
187 0.1% 1.2%  
188 0.1% 1.1%  
189 0.1% 1.0%  
190 0.1% 0.9%  
191 0.1% 0.8%  
192 0.1% 0.7%  
193 0.1% 0.7%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.5%  
197 0.1% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.8%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.7%  
90 0% 99.6%  
91 0.1% 99.6%  
92 0.2% 99.5%  
93 0.2% 99.4%  
94 0.2% 99.2%  
95 0.2% 99.0%  
96 0.1% 98.8%  
97 0.2% 98.7%  
98 0.3% 98.5%  
99 0.3% 98%  
100 0.5% 98%  
101 0.5% 97%  
102 0.9% 97%  
103 0.5% 96%  
104 1.3% 96%  
105 1.4% 94%  
106 2% 93%  
107 1.3% 91%  
108 2% 90%  
109 1.0% 87%  
110 2% 86%  
111 2% 84%  
112 4% 82%  
113 2% 78%  
114 2% 77%  
115 1.2% 75%  
116 2% 74%  
117 2% 72%  
118 1.5% 71%  
119 1.1% 69%  
120 3% 68%  
121 2% 65%  
122 2% 63%  
123 2% 61%  
124 1.1% 59%  
125 1.0% 58%  
126 1.2% 57%  
127 2% 55%  
128 2% 54%  
129 3% 52% Median
130 2% 48%  
131 1.1% 46%  
132 3% 45%  
133 4% 42%  
134 0.5% 38%  
135 0.9% 37%  
136 1.1% 36%  
137 3% 35%  
138 3% 33%  
139 3% 30%  
140 2% 27%  
141 0.9% 25%  
142 2% 24%  
143 0.9% 23%  
144 0.8% 22%  
145 1.3% 21%  
146 0.8% 20%  
147 0.9% 19%  
148 1.4% 18%  
149 0.5% 17%  
150 0.2% 16%  
151 0.6% 16%  
152 0.7% 15%  
153 0.3% 15%  
154 0.2% 14%  
155 0.5% 14%  
156 0.5% 14%  
157 0.8% 13%  
158 0.3% 12%  
159 0.6% 12%  
160 0.8% 11%  
161 0.8% 10%  
162 0.7% 10%  
163 0.4% 9%  
164 0.6% 9%  
165 0.9% 8%  
166 0.7% 7%  
167 0.6% 6%  
168 0.5% 6%  
169 0.5% 5%  
170 0.4% 5%  
171 0.3% 4%  
172 0.8% 4%  
173 0.3% 3%  
174 0.2% 3%  
175 0.3% 3%  
176 0.3% 2%  
177 0.2% 2%  
178 0.2% 2%  
179 0.2% 2%  
180 0.2% 1.5%  
181 0.4% 1.2%  
182 0.2% 0.9%  
183 0.1% 0.6%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0.1% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.4%  
187 0.1% 0.3%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.2%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.7%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 0.1% 99.6%  
43 0.1% 99.5%  
44 0.1% 99.4%  
45 0.2% 99.3%  
46 0.1% 99.1%  
47 0.1% 99.0%  
48 0.2% 98.9%  
49 0.2% 98.7%  
50 0.2% 98.5%  
51 0.2% 98%  
52 0.3% 98%  
53 0.4% 98%  
54 0.4% 98%  
55 0.5% 97%  
56 0.6% 97%  
57 0.7% 96%  
58 0.7% 95%  
59 0.8% 95%  
60 0.9% 94%  
61 1.3% 93%  
62 1.2% 92%  
63 1.0% 91%  
64 1.0% 90%  
65 1.0% 89%  
66 1.1% 88%  
67 2% 86%  
68 3% 85%  
69 1.3% 82%  
70 1.2% 80%  
71 1.0% 79%  
72 2% 78%  
73 2% 77%  
74 1.3% 75%  
75 2% 74%  
76 2% 72%  
77 2% 70%  
78 1.0% 67%  
79 2% 66%  
80 1.1% 65%  
81 2% 63%  
82 1.0% 62%  
83 2% 60%  
84 1.0% 58%  
85 0.9% 57%  
86 2% 56%  
87 2% 54%  
88 0.8% 52%  
89 3% 51% Median
90 0.9% 49%  
91 2% 48%  
92 0.8% 46%  
93 1.5% 45%  
94 3% 44%  
95 2% 41%  
96 1.0% 39%  
97 2% 38%  
98 3% 36%  
99 0.9% 34%  
100 2% 33%  
101 0.9% 31%  
102 1.3% 30%  
103 2% 29%  
104 1.3% 27%  
105 1.5% 26%  
106 2% 24%  
107 0.3% 22%  
108 0.5% 22%  
109 1.0% 21%  
110 0.6% 20%  
111 0.6% 20%  
112 0.9% 19%  
113 0.4% 18%  
114 0.5% 18%  
115 1.2% 17%  
116 0.6% 16%  
117 0.3% 15%  
118 0.8% 15%  
119 0.5% 14%  
120 0.5% 14%  
121 0.4% 13%  
122 0.7% 13%  
123 0.3% 12%  
124 0.4% 12%  
125 0.5% 12%  
126 0.8% 11%  
127 0.7% 10%  
128 0.7% 10%  
129 0.7% 9%  
130 0.3% 8%  
131 0.4% 8%  
132 0.8% 7%  
133 0.6% 7%  
134 0.4% 6%  
135 0.3% 6%  
136 0.4% 5%  
137 0.5% 5%  
138 0.6% 4%  
139 0.4% 4%  
140 0.2% 4%  
141 0.4% 3%  
142 0.1% 3%  
143 0.2% 3%  
144 0.2% 3%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.2% 2%  
147 0.2% 2%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.2% 1.5%  
150 0.2% 1.3%  
151 0.1% 1.1%  
152 0.1% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.9%  
154 0.2% 0.8%  
155 0.1% 0.6%  
156 0% 0.5%  
157 0% 0.5%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0.1% 0.3%  
160 0% 0.3%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.2%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 99.9%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0% 99.9%  
31 0% 99.9%  
32 0% 99.8%  
33 0% 99.8%  
34 0.1% 99.7%  
35 0.1% 99.7%  
36 0.1% 99.6%  
37 0.1% 99.5%  
38 0.1% 99.5%  
39 0.1% 99.4%  
40 0.2% 99.3%  
41 0.1% 99.1%  
42 0.1% 99.0%  
43 0.1% 98.9%  
44 0.2% 98.8%  
45 0.2% 98.5%  
46 0.1% 98%  
47 0.2% 98%  
48 0.4% 98%  
49 0.4% 97%  
50 0.4% 97%  
51 0.6% 97%  
52 0.5% 96%  
53 0.9% 96%  
54 0.8% 95%  
55 0.8% 94%  
56 1.3% 93%  
57 1.3% 92%  
58 0.9% 91%  
59 1.1% 90%  
60 0.9% 89%  
61 0.9% 88%  
62 2% 87%  
63 3% 85%  
64 1.4% 82%  
65 1.2% 80%  
66 1.0% 79%  
67 2% 78%  
68 2% 77%  
69 2% 75%  
70 2% 74%  
71 2% 72%  
72 2% 70%  
73 1.1% 67%  
74 2% 66%  
75 1.0% 65%  
76 2% 64%  
77 0.9% 62%  
78 3% 61%  
79 1.1% 58%  
80 0.7% 57%  
81 2% 56%  
82 2% 54%  
83 1.0% 52%  
84 2% 51% Median
85 0.6% 49%  
86 2% 48%  
87 0.8% 46%  
88 1.4% 45%  
89 3% 44%  
90 2% 41%  
91 0.9% 39%  
92 2% 38%  
93 2% 36%  
94 1.0% 34%  
95 1.4% 33%  
96 1.1% 31%  
97 1.2% 30%  
98 2% 29%  
99 1.5% 27%  
100 1.5% 26%  
101 2% 24%  
102 0.3% 22%  
103 0.6% 22%  
104 0.8% 21%  
105 0.7% 20%  
106 0.5% 20%  
107 1.1% 19%  
108 0.4% 18%  
109 0.5% 18%  
110 1.3% 17%  
111 0.5% 16%  
112 0.3% 15%  
113 0.8% 15%  
114 0.6% 14%  
115 0.5% 14%  
116 0.3% 13%  
117 0.8% 13%  
118 0.3% 12%  
119 0.3% 12%  
120 0.4% 12%  
121 1.0% 11%  
122 0.6% 10%  
123 0.7% 10%  
124 0.8% 9%  
125 0.2% 8%  
126 0.5% 8%  
127 0.7% 7%  
128 0.6% 7%  
129 0.5% 6%  
130 0.2% 6%  
131 0.3% 5%  
132 0.6% 5%  
133 0.6% 4%  
134 0.4% 4%  
135 0.2% 4%  
136 0.4% 3%  
137 0.1% 3%  
138 0.2% 3%  
139 0.2% 3%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.2% 2%  
142 0.2% 2%  
143 0.3% 2%  
144 0.1% 1.4%  
145 0.2% 1.3%  
146 0.1% 1.1%  
147 0.1% 1.0%  
148 0.1% 0.9%  
149 0.2% 0.8%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.5%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0.1% 0.3%  
155 0% 0.3%  
156 0% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.2%  
158 0% 0.2%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

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Calculations