Opinion Poll by Verian, 7–10 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 45.6% 43.7–47.5% 43.2–48.0% 42.8–48.5% 41.9–49.4%
Conservative Party 43.6% 22.2% 20.7–23.8% 20.3–24.3% 19.9–24.7% 19.2–25.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 12.2% 11.1–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.5–14.2% 9.9–14.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.3% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.7% 5.9–9.0% 5.5–9.5%
Green Party 2.8% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.6–8.6% 5.2–9.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.4% 2.8–4.1% 2.6–4.4% 2.5–4.6% 2.2–5.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
UK Independence Party 0.1% 0.1% 0.0–0.3% 0.0–0.4% 0.0–0.5% 0.0–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 411 381–444 374–450 370–458 356–469
Conservative Party 365 107 69–134 63–141 56–147 47–161
Liberal Democrats 11 51 41–63 39–65 36–69 32–73
Brexit Party 0 14 5–20 4–20 4–21 3–23
Green Party 1 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
Scottish National Party 48 40 32–51 26–51 24–54 21–57
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 4–6 4–7 3–7
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0% 99.6%  
355 0% 99.6%  
356 0% 99.5%  
357 0% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.1% 99.4%  
360 0% 99.3%  
361 0.2% 99.3%  
362 0.1% 99.1%  
363 0.1% 99.0%  
364 0.3% 98.9%  
365 0.1% 98.7%  
366 0.2% 98.5%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.5% 98%  
369 0.2% 98%  
370 0.1% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.3% 97%  
373 1.4% 96%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.3% 95%  
376 0.7% 94%  
377 0.4% 94%  
378 2% 93%  
379 1.3% 92%  
380 0.2% 90%  
381 0.4% 90%  
382 0.7% 90%  
383 0.9% 89%  
384 2% 88%  
385 0.6% 87%  
386 0.9% 86%  
387 0.4% 85%  
388 2% 85%  
389 0.9% 82%  
390 0.8% 81%  
391 2% 80%  
392 1.5% 78%  
393 1.0% 77%  
394 1.4% 76%  
395 2% 74%  
396 2% 73%  
397 2% 71%  
398 0.6% 69%  
399 0.3% 69%  
400 4% 68%  
401 0.4% 64%  
402 0.7% 64%  
403 2% 63%  
404 3% 61%  
405 0.2% 58%  
406 0.4% 57%  
407 0.8% 57%  
408 0.8% 56%  
409 2% 56%  
410 1.3% 53%  
411 3% 52% Median
412 0.6% 49%  
413 0.5% 49%  
414 3% 48%  
415 3% 45%  
416 0.7% 42%  
417 4% 42%  
418 0.2% 38%  
419 2% 38%  
420 1.2% 36%  
421 3% 34%  
422 1.0% 31%  
423 0.3% 30%  
424 0.4% 30%  
425 0.3% 30%  
426 1.0% 29%  
427 1.4% 28%  
428 2% 27%  
429 0.4% 26%  
430 0.7% 25%  
431 2% 24%  
432 1.4% 23%  
433 0.4% 21%  
434 0.2% 21%  
435 2% 21%  
436 2% 18%  
437 0.8% 17%  
438 0.3% 16%  
439 0.2% 16%  
440 0.6% 15%  
441 0.7% 15%  
442 3% 14%  
443 0.9% 11%  
444 0.4% 10%  
445 0.4% 10%  
446 0.9% 9%  
447 2% 9%  
448 0.4% 7%  
449 0.7% 6%  
450 0.9% 6%  
451 0.3% 5%  
452 0.9% 4%  
453 0.2% 4%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.1% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.5% 3%  
458 0.5% 3%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.1% 1.4%  
465 0.1% 1.3%  
466 0% 1.3%  
467 0.1% 1.2%  
468 0.4% 1.1%  
469 0.3% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.3%  
475 0.1% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.2% 99.4%  
49 0.5% 99.2%  
50 0% 98.7%  
51 0.1% 98.7%  
52 0% 98.6%  
53 0.2% 98.5%  
54 0.3% 98%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.6% 98%  
57 0.1% 97%  
58 0.2% 97%  
59 0.3% 97%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 0.4% 96%  
62 0.6% 96%  
63 0.6% 95%  
64 0.4% 95%  
65 0.3% 94%  
66 0.3% 94%  
67 0.3% 94%  
68 3% 94%  
69 2% 91%  
70 0.3% 89%  
71 0.4% 89%  
72 1.0% 89%  
73 0.2% 88%  
74 0.3% 87%  
75 0.7% 87%  
76 3% 86%  
77 1.4% 84%  
78 0.6% 82%  
79 4% 82%  
80 0.3% 78%  
81 0.2% 78%  
82 2% 77%  
83 1.1% 76%  
84 0.3% 75%  
85 2% 74%  
86 2% 72%  
87 0.8% 70%  
88 0.5% 69%  
89 0.3% 69%  
90 0.2% 69%  
91 0.6% 68%  
92 0.7% 68%  
93 5% 67%  
94 1.2% 62%  
95 1.0% 61%  
96 0.3% 60%  
97 0.7% 60%  
98 1.3% 59%  
99 0.1% 58%  
100 2% 58%  
101 1.1% 55%  
102 0.6% 54%  
103 0.4% 53%  
104 0.3% 53%  
105 2% 53%  
106 0.5% 51%  
107 0.4% 50% Median
108 2% 50%  
109 1.2% 48%  
110 1.3% 47%  
111 2% 45%  
112 0.3% 44%  
113 2% 44%  
114 2% 41%  
115 2% 39%  
116 1.0% 37%  
117 3% 36%  
118 1.2% 32%  
119 0.3% 31%  
120 2% 31%  
121 0.3% 29%  
122 2% 29%  
123 1.3% 27%  
124 6% 26%  
125 0.5% 20%  
126 0.4% 19%  
127 0.5% 19%  
128 0.4% 18%  
129 1.0% 18%  
130 5% 17%  
131 0.9% 12%  
132 0.4% 11%  
133 0.7% 11%  
134 0.8% 10%  
135 0.6% 9%  
136 0.4% 9%  
137 0.5% 8%  
138 2% 8%  
139 0.2% 6%  
140 0.8% 6%  
141 0.3% 5%  
142 0.3% 5%  
143 0.2% 4%  
144 0.5% 4%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.2% 3%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.1% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.1% 1.4%  
154 0.1% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 1.2%  
156 0.1% 1.0%  
157 0.1% 0.9%  
158 0.1% 0.9%  
159 0.1% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0% 0.5%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 99.9%  
28 0.1% 99.8%  
29 0.1% 99.8%  
30 0% 99.6%  
31 0% 99.6%  
32 0.3% 99.6%  
33 0.2% 99.3%  
34 0.4% 99.1%  
35 0.5% 98.7%  
36 0.8% 98%  
37 1.0% 97%  
38 1.1% 97%  
39 3% 95%  
40 2% 93%  
41 1.3% 91%  
42 2% 90%  
43 2% 88%  
44 3% 85%  
45 0.6% 82%  
46 5% 82%  
47 5% 77%  
48 3% 72%  
49 2% 69%  
50 10% 67%  
51 12% 57% Median
52 5% 45%  
53 2% 40%  
54 5% 38%  
55 3% 33%  
56 2% 30%  
57 5% 28%  
58 0.6% 24%  
59 5% 23%  
60 5% 18%  
61 1.2% 13%  
62 2% 12%  
63 4% 10%  
64 0.2% 6%  
65 1.3% 6%  
66 0.7% 5%  
67 1.0% 4%  
68 0.5% 3%  
69 0.2% 3%  
70 0.9% 2%  
71 0.2% 1.5%  
72 0.7% 1.3%  
73 0.2% 0.5%  
74 0% 0.3%  
75 0.3% 0.3%  
76 0% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.6% 100%  
4 8% 99.4%  
5 5% 92%  
6 4% 86%  
7 5% 82%  
8 2% 77%  
9 0.4% 75%  
10 3% 75%  
11 3% 72%  
12 8% 69%  
13 10% 61%  
14 6% 51% Median
15 2% 44%  
16 6% 42%  
17 3% 36%  
18 9% 34%  
19 12% 25%  
20 10% 13%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.2% 0.7%  
23 0.3% 0.5%  
24 0% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100% Last Result
2 12% 98%  
3 84% 86% Median
4 1.3% 1.4%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 99.9%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.8%  
20 0.1% 99.7%  
21 0.2% 99.6%  
22 0.9% 99.4%  
23 0.5% 98.5%  
24 0.9% 98%  
25 2% 97%  
26 0.4% 95%  
27 2% 95%  
28 0.1% 93%  
29 0.6% 93%  
30 0.5% 92%  
31 0.2% 92%  
32 4% 92%  
33 0.1% 88%  
34 10% 88%  
35 0.3% 78%  
36 15% 78%  
37 0.1% 63%  
38 12% 63%  
39 0.8% 51%  
40 10% 50% Median
41 10% 40%  
42 0.2% 31%  
43 6% 31%  
44 0.7% 25%  
45 3% 24%  
46 2% 21%  
47 0.6% 19%  
48 0.6% 18% Last Result
49 3% 17%  
50 4% 15%  
51 6% 11%  
52 1.5% 5%  
53 0.9% 3%  
54 1.0% 3%  
55 0.4% 2%  
56 0.4% 1.2%  
57 0.7% 0.8%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 5% 99.4% Last Result
5 81% 95% Median
6 11% 14%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0.2%  
9 0% 0.2%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 509 100% 479–547 473–553 467–561 452–572
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 506 100% 476–544 470–550 464–558 450–570
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 501 100% 471–539 465–545 460–553 444–565
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 469 100% 433–504 425–514 420–522 407–534
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 464 100% 428–499 420–509 415–518 402–529
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 455 100% 429–487 424–493 418–498 404–509
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 450 100% 424–482 419–488 412–493 398–504
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 416 100% 386–449 379–455 376–463 361–474
Labour Party 202 411 100% 381–444 374–450 370–458 356–469
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 150 0% 113–183 105–191 96–196 86–209
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 159 0% 127–181 122–186 116–190 110–206
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 145 0% 108–177 100–185 91–190 81–203
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 112 0% 74–139 68–146 61–152 52–167
Conservative Party 365 107 0% 69–134 63–141 56–147 47–161

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0.1% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.7%  
448 0% 99.6%  
449 0% 99.6%  
450 0% 99.6%  
451 0% 99.6%  
452 0% 99.5%  
453 0.2% 99.5%  
454 0.1% 99.3%  
455 0.1% 99.2%  
456 0% 99.1%  
457 0.1% 99.1%  
458 0.1% 99.0%  
459 0.1% 99.0%  
460 0.1% 98.8%  
461 0.2% 98.7%  
462 0.1% 98%  
463 0.1% 98%  
464 0.3% 98%  
465 0.3% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.1% 98%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.4% 97%  
470 0.4% 97%  
471 0.4% 96%  
472 0.5% 96%  
473 0.8% 96%  
474 0.2% 95%  
475 0.6% 95%  
476 1.5% 94%  
477 1.0% 92%  
478 0.8% 92%  
479 1.0% 91%  
480 0.8% 90%  
481 2% 89%  
482 0.5% 87%  
483 0.7% 87%  
484 0.9% 86%  
485 0.7% 85%  
486 2% 84%  
487 0.4% 83%  
488 0.5% 82%  
489 0.4% 82%  
490 2% 81%  
491 0.7% 79%  
492 4% 78%  
493 3% 74%  
494 3% 71%  
495 0.3% 68%  
496 0.2% 68%  
497 2% 68%  
498 0.5% 66%  
499 2% 65%  
500 2% 63%  
501 4% 61%  
502 0.2% 57%  
503 0.6% 56%  
504 0.9% 56%  
505 0.3% 55%  
506 0.8% 55%  
507 0.5% 54%  
508 3% 53%  
509 4% 51%  
510 0.3% 47% Median
511 0.9% 47%  
512 2% 46%  
513 0.6% 44%  
514 0.4% 44%  
515 1.2% 43%  
516 2% 42%  
517 0.3% 40%  
518 1.3% 40%  
519 0.2% 38%  
520 0.7% 38%  
521 1.2% 38%  
522 2% 36%  
523 2% 35%  
524 0.3% 33%  
525 0.4% 33%  
526 2% 32%  
527 2% 30%  
528 0.3% 28%  
529 1.0% 28%  
530 0.2% 27%  
531 2% 27%  
532 2% 25%  
533 2% 23%  
534 1.2% 21%  
535 0.8% 20%  
536 0.5% 19%  
537 0.2% 19%  
538 2% 18%  
539 0.7% 17%  
540 0.5% 16%  
541 0.6% 15%  
542 2% 15%  
543 0.2% 13%  
544 1.4% 13%  
545 0.2% 12%  
546 0.6% 12%  
547 3% 11%  
548 0.5% 8%  
549 0.3% 8%  
550 0.3% 8%  
551 0.3% 7%  
552 0.5% 7%  
553 2% 6%  
554 0.1% 5%  
555 0.8% 5%  
556 0.1% 4%  
557 0.3% 4%  
558 0.2% 4%  
559 0.3% 3%  
560 0.2% 3%  
561 0.6% 3%  
562 0.3% 2%  
563 0.2% 2%  
564 0.1% 2%  
565 0.1% 2%  
566 0.1% 2%  
567 0.1% 1.5%  
568 0.4% 1.4%  
569 0% 1.0%  
570 0% 0.9%  
571 0.2% 0.9%  
572 0.4% 0.7%  
573 0% 0.3%  
574 0% 0.3%  
575 0% 0.2%  
576 0% 0.2%  
577 0% 0.2%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0.1%  
580 0% 0.1%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0.1% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.8%  
443 0.1% 99.8%  
444 0% 99.7%  
445 0% 99.6%  
446 0% 99.6%  
447 0% 99.6%  
448 0% 99.6%  
449 0% 99.5%  
450 0.2% 99.5%  
451 0.1% 99.3%  
452 0.1% 99.2%  
453 0% 99.1%  
454 0% 99.1%  
455 0% 99.0%  
456 0.1% 99.0%  
457 0.2% 98.9%  
458 0.2% 98.7%  
459 0.1% 98.5%  
460 0.1% 98%  
461 0.3% 98%  
462 0.2% 98%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.2% 98%  
465 0.2% 97%  
466 0.4% 97%  
467 0.5% 97%  
468 0.4% 96%  
469 0.5% 96%  
470 0.8% 96%  
471 0.2% 95%  
472 0.6% 95%  
473 1.5% 94%  
474 0.8% 92%  
475 0.7% 92%  
476 1.2% 91%  
477 1.0% 90%  
478 2% 89%  
479 0.5% 87%  
480 0.5% 87%  
481 0.9% 86%  
482 0.8% 85%  
483 2% 84%  
484 0.6% 83%  
485 0.5% 82%  
486 0.5% 82%  
487 2% 81%  
488 0.8% 79%  
489 1.2% 78%  
490 6% 77%  
491 3% 71%  
492 0.3% 68%  
493 0.3% 68%  
494 2% 68%  
495 0.4% 66%  
496 3% 66%  
497 2% 63%  
498 4% 61%  
499 0.2% 57%  
500 0.3% 56%  
501 0.7% 56%  
502 0.8% 55%  
503 0.5% 55%  
504 0.7% 54%  
505 3% 53%  
506 3% 51%  
507 0.5% 48% Median
508 1.1% 47%  
509 2% 46%  
510 0.6% 44%  
511 0.4% 44%  
512 1.3% 43%  
513 2% 42%  
514 0.1% 40%  
515 1.4% 40%  
516 0.2% 38%  
517 0.3% 38%  
518 2% 38%  
519 1.4% 36%  
520 1.1% 35%  
521 1.3% 34%  
522 0.2% 33%  
523 2% 32%  
524 1.5% 30%  
525 0.5% 29%  
526 0.2% 28%  
527 1.1% 28%  
528 2% 27%  
529 2% 25%  
530 2% 23%  
531 1.2% 21%  
532 0.8% 20%  
533 0.5% 19%  
534 0.3% 19%  
535 2% 18%  
536 0.8% 17%  
537 0.4% 16%  
538 0.7% 16%  
539 2% 15%  
540 0.1% 13%  
541 1.4% 13%  
542 0.2% 12%  
543 0.6% 12%  
544 3% 11%  
545 0.5% 8%  
546 0.4% 8%  
547 0.2% 7%  
548 0.2% 7%  
549 0.4% 7%  
550 2% 7%  
551 0.2% 5%  
552 0.7% 5%  
553 0.1% 4%  
554 0.2% 4%  
555 0.1% 4%  
556 0.5% 4%  
557 0.1% 3%  
558 0.8% 3%  
559 0.1% 2%  
560 0.3% 2%  
561 0.2% 2%  
562 0% 2%  
563 0.1% 2%  
564 0% 1.5%  
565 0.4% 1.4%  
566 0.1% 1.0%  
567 0% 0.9%  
568 0.2% 0.9%  
569 0.1% 0.7%  
570 0.4% 0.7%  
571 0% 0.3%  
572 0% 0.2%  
573 0% 0.2%  
574 0% 0.2%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0.1%  
578 0% 0.1%  
579 0% 0.1%  
580 0% 0.1%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0.1% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0% 99.6%  
440 0% 99.6%  
441 0% 99.6%  
442 0% 99.6%  
443 0% 99.5%  
444 0% 99.5%  
445 0.2% 99.5%  
446 0.1% 99.3%  
447 0.1% 99.2%  
448 0.1% 99.1%  
449 0.1% 99.1%  
450 0.1% 99.0%  
451 0.1% 98.9%  
452 0.1% 98.8%  
453 0.2% 98.7%  
454 0.1% 98%  
455 0.1% 98%  
456 0.4% 98%  
457 0.1% 98%  
458 0.1% 98%  
459 0.1% 98%  
460 0.6% 98%  
461 0.2% 97%  
462 0.5% 97%  
463 0.5% 96%  
464 0.5% 96%  
465 0.6% 95%  
466 0.2% 95%  
467 0.7% 95%  
468 2% 94%  
469 0.6% 92%  
470 0.6% 92%  
471 2% 91%  
472 0.5% 89%  
473 2% 89%  
474 0.7% 87%  
475 1.0% 87%  
476 0.5% 86%  
477 0.7% 85%  
478 2% 84%  
479 1.0% 83%  
480 0.2% 82%  
481 0.5% 82%  
482 2% 81%  
483 0.7% 79%  
484 3% 78%  
485 5% 76%  
486 3% 71%  
487 0.3% 68%  
488 0.2% 68%  
489 2% 68%  
490 0.3% 66%  
491 3% 65%  
492 2% 63%  
493 4% 61%  
494 0.3% 57%  
495 0.3% 56%  
496 0.5% 56%  
497 0.9% 55%  
498 0.5% 54%  
499 0.8% 54%  
500 2% 53%  
501 3% 51%  
502 0.5% 48% Median
503 1.2% 47%  
504 2% 46%  
505 0.6% 44%  
506 0.4% 44%  
507 1.4% 43%  
508 0.4% 42%  
509 2% 41%  
510 1.1% 40%  
511 0.2% 38%  
512 1.3% 38%  
513 0.7% 37%  
514 1.3% 36%  
515 1.2% 35%  
516 1.3% 34%  
517 0.4% 33%  
518 2% 32%  
519 2% 30%  
520 0.2% 28%  
521 0.3% 28%  
522 1.3% 28%  
523 2% 27%  
524 2% 25%  
525 2% 23%  
526 1.2% 21%  
527 0.7% 20%  
528 0.4% 19%  
529 0.6% 19%  
530 1.5% 18%  
531 0.7% 17%  
532 0.5% 16%  
533 0.6% 16%  
534 2% 15%  
535 0.1% 13%  
536 1.4% 13%  
537 0.5% 12%  
538 0.2% 11%  
539 3% 11%  
540 0.3% 8%  
541 0.4% 8%  
542 0.3% 7%  
543 0.1% 7%  
544 0.3% 7%  
545 2% 7%  
546 0.2% 5%  
547 0.7% 5%  
548 0.1% 4%  
549 0.3% 4%  
550 0.1% 4%  
551 0.4% 3%  
552 0.1% 3%  
553 0.8% 3%  
554 0.2% 2%  
555 0.2% 2%  
556 0.2% 2%  
557 0% 2%  
558 0.1% 2%  
559 0.1% 1.5%  
560 0.4% 1.4%  
561 0.1% 1.0%  
562 0% 0.9%  
563 0.2% 0.9%  
564 0.1% 0.7%  
565 0.4% 0.6%  
566 0% 0.3%  
567 0% 0.2%  
568 0% 0.2%  
569 0% 0.2%  
570 0% 0.1%  
571 0% 0.1%  
572 0% 0.1%  
573 0% 0.1%  
574 0% 0.1%  
575 0% 0.1%  
576 0% 0.1%  
577 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.7%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0% 99.7%  
404 0% 99.6%  
405 0% 99.6%  
406 0% 99.5%  
407 0.2% 99.5%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.1% 99.3%  
410 0.2% 99.2%  
411 0.1% 99.0%  
412 0.2% 98.9%  
413 0.1% 98.7%  
414 0.1% 98.6%  
415 0.1% 98.5%  
416 0.1% 98%  
417 0.3% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.1% 97%  
422 2% 97%  
423 0.4% 96%  
424 0.1% 95%  
425 0.6% 95%  
426 1.1% 95%  
427 0.4% 93%  
428 0.2% 93%  
429 0.2% 93%  
430 0.5% 93%  
431 0.5% 92%  
432 1.2% 92%  
433 0.4% 90%  
434 0.7% 90%  
435 0.3% 89%  
436 0.5% 89%  
437 2% 88%  
438 0.5% 86%  
439 1.2% 85%  
440 1.2% 84%  
441 0.6% 83%  
442 2% 82%  
443 0.2% 81%  
444 0.3% 81%  
445 0.5% 80%  
446 0.7% 80%  
447 0.7% 79%  
448 1.0% 78%  
449 2% 77%  
450 2% 75%  
451 0.4% 74%  
452 3% 73%  
453 2% 70%  
454 0.6% 68%  
455 1.0% 67%  
456 2% 66%  
457 0.7% 64%  
458 1.3% 63%  
459 0.2% 62%  
460 3% 62%  
461 0.8% 59%  
462 2% 58%  
463 0.4% 56%  
464 0.7% 56%  
465 1.1% 55%  
466 1.4% 54%  
467 0.8% 52% Median
468 0.8% 52%  
469 4% 51%  
470 3% 46%  
471 0.5% 44%  
472 0.2% 43%  
473 0.8% 43%  
474 1.1% 42%  
475 3% 41%  
476 2% 38%  
477 0.4% 37%  
478 0.3% 36%  
479 0.3% 36%  
480 0.4% 36%  
481 0.2% 35%  
482 0.7% 35%  
483 3% 34%  
484 2% 31%  
485 2% 30%  
486 0.6% 28%  
487 2% 27%  
488 3% 25%  
489 0.4% 23%  
490 0.4% 22%  
491 0.2% 22%  
492 0.6% 22%  
493 0.6% 21%  
494 2% 20%  
495 0.9% 18%  
496 0.1% 17%  
497 0.2% 17%  
498 0.9% 17%  
499 0.3% 16%  
500 1.2% 16%  
501 0.5% 15%  
502 0.6% 14%  
503 2% 14%  
504 3% 12%  
505 0.3% 9%  
506 0.1% 9%  
507 0.5% 9%  
508 0.3% 8%  
509 0.5% 8%  
510 0.2% 8%  
511 0.6% 7%  
512 0.2% 7%  
513 0.5% 7%  
514 1.3% 6%  
515 0.4% 5%  
516 0.5% 4%  
517 0.1% 4%  
518 0.7% 4%  
519 0.2% 3%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.1% 3%  
522 0.2% 3%  
523 0% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0% 2%  
528 0.1% 2%  
529 0.1% 2%  
530 0.7% 2%  
531 0.1% 1.1%  
532 0.1% 1.0%  
533 0.4% 1.0%  
534 0.1% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0.2% 0.4%  
537 0% 0.2%  
538 0% 0.2%  
539 0% 0.2%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0.1%  
542 0% 0.1%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.9%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.7%  
397 0% 99.7%  
398 0% 99.6%  
399 0% 99.6%  
400 0% 99.6%  
401 0% 99.5%  
402 0.2% 99.5%  
403 0% 99.3%  
404 0.1% 99.3%  
405 0.2% 99.2%  
406 0.1% 99.0%  
407 0.2% 98.9%  
408 0.1% 98.7%  
409 0.1% 98.6%  
410 0.2% 98.5%  
411 0% 98%  
412 0.3% 98%  
413 0.2% 98%  
414 0.1% 98%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.1% 97%  
417 2% 97%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.1% 95%  
420 0.8% 95%  
421 1.3% 94%  
422 0.2% 93%  
423 0.2% 93%  
424 0.5% 93%  
425 0.3% 92%  
426 0.3% 92%  
427 1.4% 92%  
428 0.3% 90%  
429 0.5% 90%  
430 0.5% 89%  
431 0.9% 89%  
432 2% 88%  
433 1.0% 86%  
434 1.2% 85%  
435 1.0% 84%  
436 0.2% 83%  
437 2% 82%  
438 0.4% 81%  
439 0.2% 80%  
440 0.5% 80%  
441 0.5% 80%  
442 0.7% 79%  
443 1.1% 78%  
444 3% 77%  
445 0.7% 74%  
446 0.2% 73%  
447 4% 73%  
448 2% 69%  
449 0.5% 67%  
450 0.9% 67%  
451 2% 66%  
452 1.2% 64%  
453 1.3% 63%  
454 0.2% 62%  
455 3% 61%  
456 0.8% 59%  
457 2% 58%  
458 0.5% 56%  
459 0.4% 55%  
460 1.2% 55%  
461 1.5% 54%  
462 0.7% 52% Median
463 0.8% 51%  
464 5% 51%  
465 3% 46%  
466 0.6% 44%  
467 0.4% 43%  
468 0.6% 43%  
469 2% 42%  
470 0.6% 40%  
471 3% 39%  
472 0.3% 37%  
473 0.4% 36%  
474 0.3% 36%  
475 0.3% 36%  
476 0.3% 35%  
477 0.7% 35%  
478 3% 34%  
479 2% 31%  
480 2% 30%  
481 0.6% 28%  
482 2% 27%  
483 3% 25%  
484 0.2% 22%  
485 0.4% 22%  
486 0.2% 22%  
487 0.7% 22%  
488 0.5% 21%  
489 2% 20%  
490 0.5% 18%  
491 0.3% 18%  
492 0.2% 17%  
493 0.7% 17%  
494 0.9% 16%  
495 0.8% 15%  
496 0.4% 15%  
497 0.6% 14%  
498 2% 14%  
499 3% 12%  
500 0.3% 9%  
501 0.1% 9%  
502 0.5% 9%  
503 0.4% 8%  
504 0.4% 8%  
505 0.1% 8%  
506 0.5% 7%  
507 0.2% 7%  
508 0.5% 7%  
509 1.3% 6%  
510 0.4% 5%  
511 0.5% 4%  
512 0.1% 4%  
513 0.7% 4%  
514 0.2% 3%  
515 0.2% 3%  
516 0.1% 3%  
517 0.2% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.8% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.1%  
527 0.1% 1.0%  
528 0.4% 1.0%  
529 0.1% 0.5%  
530 0% 0.5%  
531 0.3% 0.4%  
532 0% 0.2%  
533 0% 0.2%  
534 0% 0.2%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0.1%  
538 0% 0.1%  
539 0% 0.1%  
540 0% 0.1%  
541 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0.2% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0% 99.4%  
406 0% 99.4%  
407 0.1% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.3%  
409 0.1% 99.2%  
410 0.1% 99.1%  
411 0.2% 99.0%  
412 0% 98.8%  
413 0.1% 98.8%  
414 0.1% 98.7%  
415 0.2% 98.5%  
416 0.1% 98%  
417 0.5% 98%  
418 0.3% 98%  
419 0.3% 97%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.5% 97%  
422 0.5% 96%  
423 0.6% 96%  
424 0.5% 95%  
425 0.8% 95%  
426 0.5% 94%  
427 0.5% 93%  
428 1.3% 93%  
429 2% 91%  
430 1.1% 90%  
431 0.3% 89%  
432 2% 89%  
433 1.3% 87%  
434 1.1% 85%  
435 2% 84%  
436 1.1% 82%  
437 0.7% 81%  
438 2% 81%  
439 1.2% 78%  
440 3% 77%  
441 0.8% 74%  
442 2% 74%  
443 6% 72%  
444 1.2% 66%  
445 0.8% 65%  
446 2% 64%  
447 2% 63%  
448 2% 61%  
449 2% 58%  
450 3% 56%  
451 0.3% 53%  
452 0.3% 53%  
453 0.2% 53%  
454 0.5% 52%  
455 3% 52%  
456 3% 49% Median
457 1.0% 47%  
458 2% 46%  
459 3% 44%  
460 1.0% 41%  
461 0.6% 40%  
462 0.5% 40%  
463 1.0% 39%  
464 2% 38%  
465 2% 36%  
466 0.3% 34%  
467 1.5% 34%  
468 1.1% 32%  
469 2% 31%  
470 0.6% 29%  
471 1.1% 28%  
472 0.9% 27%  
473 1.3% 26%  
474 1.3% 25%  
475 1.2% 24%  
476 2% 22%  
477 0.4% 20%  
478 0.4% 20%  
479 0.8% 19%  
480 1.1% 18%  
481 1.0% 17%  
482 1.4% 16%  
483 0.6% 15%  
484 0.9% 14%  
485 0.4% 13%  
486 0.4% 13%  
487 4% 13%  
488 2% 8%  
489 0.4% 6%  
490 0.2% 6%  
491 0.1% 6%  
492 0.5% 6%  
493 0.4% 5%  
494 0.2% 5%  
495 0.6% 5%  
496 0.3% 4%  
497 0.5% 4%  
498 0.8% 3%  
499 0.1% 2%  
500 0.1% 2%  
501 0.3% 2%  
502 0.2% 2%  
503 0.5% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.2%  
505 0.2% 1.1%  
506 0.1% 0.9%  
507 0.1% 0.9%  
508 0% 0.8%  
509 0.4% 0.7%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0.1% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.8%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0% 99.4%  
401 0% 99.4%  
402 0.1% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.3%  
404 0.2% 99.2%  
405 0.1% 99.0%  
406 0.1% 98.9%  
407 0.1% 98.8%  
408 0.1% 98.7%  
409 0.1% 98.6%  
410 0.2% 98.5%  
411 0.3% 98%  
412 0.6% 98%  
413 0.1% 97%  
414 0.2% 97%  
415 0.3% 97%  
416 0.6% 97%  
417 0.7% 96%  
418 0.4% 96%  
419 0.6% 95%  
420 0.7% 94%  
421 0.8% 94%  
422 0.5% 93%  
423 1.0% 92%  
424 2% 91%  
425 0.5% 89%  
426 0.2% 89%  
427 2% 89%  
428 1.3% 87%  
429 1.2% 85%  
430 2% 84%  
431 2% 82%  
432 2% 81%  
433 1.0% 79%  
434 1.2% 78%  
435 2% 77%  
436 2% 75%  
437 1.3% 73%  
438 6% 72%  
439 1.1% 66%  
440 0.7% 65%  
441 2% 64%  
442 2% 62%  
443 2% 61%  
444 2% 58%  
445 3% 56%  
446 0.5% 53%  
447 0.2% 53%  
448 0.3% 53%  
449 0.6% 52%  
450 2% 52%  
451 3% 49% Median
452 0.9% 46%  
453 3% 46%  
454 0.6% 43%  
455 2% 42%  
456 0.8% 40%  
457 0.4% 39%  
458 1.0% 39%  
459 2% 38%  
460 2% 36%  
461 0.4% 34%  
462 1.3% 33%  
463 1.2% 32%  
464 2% 31%  
465 0.7% 29%  
466 1.1% 28%  
467 1.0% 27%  
468 1.2% 26%  
469 1.2% 25%  
470 1.2% 24%  
471 2% 22%  
472 0.6% 20%  
473 0.5% 19%  
474 0.8% 19%  
475 0.9% 18%  
476 1.5% 17%  
477 0.9% 16%  
478 0.4% 15%  
479 1.1% 15%  
480 0.5% 13%  
481 0.4% 13%  
482 4% 13%  
483 2% 8%  
484 0.3% 6%  
485 0.3% 6%  
486 0.1% 6%  
487 0.6% 6%  
488 0.1% 5%  
489 0.2% 5%  
490 0.6% 5%  
491 0.4% 4%  
492 0.5% 4%  
493 0.8% 3%  
494 0.1% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0.5% 2%  
499 0.1% 1.2%  
500 0.2% 1.1%  
501 0.1% 0.9%  
502 0.1% 0.9%  
503 0% 0.7%  
504 0.4% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0.1% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0.1% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.8%  
356 0.1% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.7%  
359 0% 99.6%  
360 0% 99.6%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0% 99.5%  
363 0% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.4%  
365 0.1% 99.4%  
366 0.1% 99.3%  
367 0.2% 99.2%  
368 0.1% 99.0%  
369 0.3% 98.9%  
370 0.1% 98.6%  
371 0.2% 98.6%  
372 0.2% 98%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.1% 98%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.6% 98%  
377 0.5% 97%  
378 1.3% 96%  
379 0.3% 95%  
380 0.4% 95%  
381 0.4% 94%  
382 0.7% 94%  
383 2% 93%  
384 1.2% 92%  
385 0.2% 91%  
386 0.4% 90%  
387 0.4% 90%  
388 0.7% 89%  
389 2% 89%  
390 0.4% 87%  
391 1.1% 86%  
392 0.5% 85%  
393 2% 85%  
394 0.8% 82%  
395 0.7% 81%  
396 2% 81%  
397 0.8% 79%  
398 2% 78%  
399 2% 76%  
400 1.2% 74%  
401 2% 73%  
402 2% 71%  
403 0.5% 69%  
404 0.4% 69%  
405 4% 68%  
406 0.8% 64%  
407 0.7% 64%  
408 2% 63%  
409 3% 61%  
410 0.2% 58%  
411 0.4% 58%  
412 0.9% 57%  
413 0.5% 56%  
414 2% 56%  
415 0.4% 53%  
416 4% 53% Median
417 0.3% 49%  
418 0.6% 49%  
419 3% 48%  
420 3% 46%  
421 2% 42%  
422 3% 41%  
423 0.3% 38%  
424 2% 38%  
425 0.7% 35%  
426 3% 35%  
427 1.0% 31%  
428 0.2% 30%  
429 0.5% 30%  
430 0.2% 30%  
431 1.2% 30%  
432 1.5% 28%  
433 1.4% 27%  
434 0.3% 26%  
435 0.9% 25%  
436 1.4% 24%  
437 2% 23%  
438 0.5% 22%  
439 0.5% 21%  
440 2% 21%  
441 1.4% 18%  
442 1.1% 17%  
443 0.4% 16%  
444 0.2% 16%  
445 0.9% 15%  
446 0.4% 14%  
447 3% 14%  
448 0.9% 11%  
449 0.4% 10%  
450 0.4% 10%  
451 0.9% 10%  
452 2% 9%  
453 0.4% 7%  
454 0.6% 6%  
455 0.9% 6%  
456 0.5% 5%  
457 0.8% 4%  
458 0.1% 4%  
459 0.1% 3%  
460 0.1% 3%  
461 0.2% 3%  
462 0.5% 3%  
463 0.5% 3%  
464 0.3% 2%  
465 0% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.1% 2%  
469 0.1% 1.4%  
470 0.1% 1.3%  
471 0% 1.3%  
472 0.1% 1.2%  
473 0.4% 1.1%  
474 0.3% 0.7%  
475 0.1% 0.4%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.3%  
478 0% 0.3%  
479 0% 0.3%  
480 0.1% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0.1% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0.1% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0% 99.6%  
355 0% 99.6%  
356 0% 99.5%  
357 0% 99.5%  
358 0.1% 99.5%  
359 0.1% 99.4%  
360 0% 99.3%  
361 0.2% 99.3%  
362 0.1% 99.1%  
363 0.1% 99.0%  
364 0.3% 98.9%  
365 0.1% 98.7%  
366 0.2% 98.5%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.5% 98%  
369 0.2% 98%  
370 0.1% 98%  
371 0.6% 97%  
372 0.3% 97%  
373 1.4% 96%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.3% 95%  
376 0.7% 94%  
377 0.4% 94%  
378 2% 93%  
379 1.3% 92%  
380 0.2% 90%  
381 0.4% 90%  
382 0.7% 90%  
383 0.9% 89%  
384 2% 88%  
385 0.6% 87%  
386 0.9% 86%  
387 0.4% 85%  
388 2% 85%  
389 0.9% 82%  
390 0.8% 81%  
391 2% 80%  
392 1.5% 78%  
393 1.0% 77%  
394 1.4% 76%  
395 2% 74%  
396 2% 73%  
397 2% 71%  
398 0.6% 69%  
399 0.3% 69%  
400 4% 68%  
401 0.4% 64%  
402 0.7% 64%  
403 2% 63%  
404 3% 61%  
405 0.2% 58%  
406 0.4% 57%  
407 0.8% 57%  
408 0.8% 56%  
409 2% 56%  
410 1.3% 53%  
411 3% 52% Median
412 0.6% 49%  
413 0.5% 49%  
414 3% 48%  
415 3% 45%  
416 0.7% 42%  
417 4% 42%  
418 0.2% 38%  
419 2% 38%  
420 1.2% 36%  
421 3% 34%  
422 1.0% 31%  
423 0.3% 30%  
424 0.4% 30%  
425 0.3% 30%  
426 1.0% 29%  
427 1.4% 28%  
428 2% 27%  
429 0.4% 26%  
430 0.7% 25%  
431 2% 24%  
432 1.4% 23%  
433 0.4% 21%  
434 0.2% 21%  
435 2% 21%  
436 2% 18%  
437 0.8% 17%  
438 0.3% 16%  
439 0.2% 16%  
440 0.6% 15%  
441 0.7% 15%  
442 3% 14%  
443 0.9% 11%  
444 0.4% 10%  
445 0.4% 10%  
446 0.9% 9%  
447 2% 9%  
448 0.4% 7%  
449 0.7% 6%  
450 0.9% 6%  
451 0.3% 5%  
452 0.9% 4%  
453 0.2% 4%  
454 0.1% 3%  
455 0.1% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.5% 3%  
458 0.5% 3%  
459 0.3% 2%  
460 0% 2%  
461 0.1% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.1% 1.4%  
465 0.1% 1.3%  
466 0% 1.3%  
467 0.1% 1.2%  
468 0.4% 1.1%  
469 0.3% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.4%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.3%  
473 0% 0.3%  
474 0% 0.3%  
475 0.1% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0.2% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0.1% 99.4%  
88 0% 99.3%  
89 0% 99.3%  
90 0.2% 99.3%  
91 0.1% 99.1%  
92 0% 99.0%  
93 0.4% 98.9%  
94 0.5% 98%  
95 0.1% 98%  
96 0.5% 98%  
97 0.2% 97%  
98 0.1% 97%  
99 0.2% 97%  
100 0.4% 97%  
101 0.1% 97%  
102 0.3% 97%  
103 0.4% 96%  
104 0.7% 96%  
105 0.5% 95%  
106 1.1% 95%  
107 0.2% 93%  
108 0.2% 93%  
109 0.2% 93%  
110 0.6% 93%  
111 0.8% 92%  
112 0.5% 92%  
113 3% 91%  
114 0.1% 88%  
115 0.3% 88%  
116 0.8% 88%  
117 2% 87%  
118 0.3% 85%  
119 0.4% 85%  
120 2% 85%  
121 0.5% 83%  
122 0.2% 83%  
123 1.0% 82%  
124 3% 81%  
125 0.5% 79%  
126 1.0% 78%  
127 3% 77%  
128 0.5% 74%  
129 0.3% 74%  
130 0.7% 74%  
131 0.9% 73%  
132 1.4% 72%  
133 2% 71%  
134 0.4% 69%  
135 4% 69%  
136 0.4% 65%  
137 0.3% 64%  
138 0.3% 64%  
139 2% 64%  
140 0.4% 62%  
141 1.5% 62%  
142 1.3% 60%  
143 2% 59%  
144 0.3% 57%  
145 1.0% 57%  
146 2% 56%  
147 1.1% 54%  
148 0.3% 53%  
149 1.2% 52%  
150 2% 51%  
151 0.5% 49%  
152 2% 49% Median
153 1.1% 46%  
154 0.8% 45%  
155 3% 44%  
156 0.7% 41%  
157 2% 41%  
158 0.8% 39%  
159 0.9% 38%  
160 2% 37%  
161 2% 35%  
162 0.5% 33%  
163 2% 33%  
164 0.5% 31%  
165 0.6% 31%  
166 1.0% 30%  
167 4% 29%  
168 1.0% 26%  
169 2% 25%  
170 0.3% 23%  
171 2% 23%  
172 0.5% 20%  
173 2% 20%  
174 1.1% 18%  
175 0.5% 17%  
176 0.2% 16%  
177 0.5% 16%  
178 0.6% 15%  
179 3% 15%  
180 0.2% 12%  
181 0.9% 11%  
182 0.5% 11%  
183 0.4% 10%  
184 0.9% 10%  
185 0.9% 9%  
186 0.8% 8%  
187 0.2% 7%  
188 0.6% 7%  
189 0.4% 6%  
190 0.6% 6%  
191 0.3% 5%  
192 0.1% 5%  
193 0.3% 5%  
194 1.3% 4%  
195 0.4% 3%  
196 0.2% 3%  
197 0.3% 2%  
198 0.2% 2%  
199 0% 2%  
200 0.2% 2%  
201 0.1% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.2% 1.4%  
204 0.1% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 1.1%  
206 0.3% 1.1%  
207 0.2% 0.8%  
208 0% 0.5%  
209 0% 0.5%  
210 0% 0.5%  
211 0% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.4%  
213 0% 0.4%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.3%  
216 0% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
101 0% 100%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.9%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.7%  
110 0.2% 99.6%  
111 0.2% 99.4%  
112 0.6% 99.1%  
113 0.3% 98.6%  
114 0.2% 98%  
115 0.5% 98%  
116 0.5% 98%  
117 0.5% 97%  
118 0.6% 97%  
119 0.3% 96%  
120 0.1% 96%  
121 0.2% 96%  
122 0.7% 95%  
123 0.6% 95%  
124 0.1% 94%  
125 3% 94%  
126 0.2% 91%  
127 1.3% 91%  
128 0.2% 90%  
129 1.2% 90%  
130 4% 88%  
131 0.4% 84%  
132 2% 84%  
133 1.1% 82%  
134 0.5% 81%  
135 1.0% 80%  
136 0.4% 79%  
137 1.3% 79%  
138 2% 78%  
139 3% 76%  
140 0.6% 73%  
141 2% 72%  
142 1.4% 70%  
143 0.6% 69%  
144 0.7% 68%  
145 2% 67%  
146 2% 65%  
147 2% 64%  
148 2% 62%  
149 1.5% 60%  
150 0.9% 59%  
151 0.2% 58%  
152 1.2% 57%  
153 0.1% 56%  
154 0.1% 56%  
155 2% 56%  
156 0.5% 54%  
157 0.5% 53%  
158 2% 53% Median
159 3% 51%  
160 2% 48%  
161 0.7% 46%  
162 0.8% 45%  
163 0.8% 44%  
164 4% 43%  
165 3% 39%  
166 0.6% 36%  
167 0.6% 36%  
168 3% 35%  
169 2% 32%  
170 2% 30%  
171 5% 28%  
172 1.2% 23%  
173 1.5% 22%  
174 2% 21%  
175 0.7% 19%  
176 2% 18%  
177 2% 17%  
178 0.7% 15%  
179 0.9% 14%  
180 1.2% 13%  
181 3% 12%  
182 2% 9%  
183 1.1% 8%  
184 0.2% 7%  
185 0.8% 6%  
186 1.0% 6%  
187 0.4% 5%  
188 0.5% 4%  
189 0.3% 4%  
190 0.9% 3%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.4% 2%  
193 0.1% 2%  
194 0.1% 2%  
195 0% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.2% 2%  
198 0.1% 1.3%  
199 0.2% 1.2%  
200 0% 1.0%  
201 0.1% 1.0%  
202 0.1% 0.9%  
203 0.2% 0.8%  
204 0.1% 0.7%  
205 0.1% 0.6%  
206 0.2% 0.5%  
207 0% 0.3%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.2%  
210 0% 0.2%  
211 0.1% 0.2%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0.1% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.7%  
80 0.1% 99.6%  
81 0.1% 99.6%  
82 0.1% 99.4%  
83 0% 99.3%  
84 0.1% 99.3%  
85 0.2% 99.3%  
86 0.1% 99.1%  
87 0% 99.0%  
88 0.4% 98.9%  
89 0.4% 98%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.5% 98%  
92 0.2% 97%  
93 0.1% 97%  
94 0.3% 97%  
95 0.3% 97%  
96 0.1% 97%  
97 0.4% 96%  
98 0.2% 96%  
99 0.7% 96%  
100 0.6% 95%  
101 1.1% 95%  
102 0.2% 93%  
103 0.3% 93%  
104 0.2% 93%  
105 0.5% 93%  
106 0.7% 92%  
107 0.5% 91%  
108 3% 91%  
109 0.2% 88%  
110 0.4% 88%  
111 0.7% 88%  
112 2% 87%  
113 0.3% 85%  
114 0.4% 85%  
115 1.5% 84%  
116 0.3% 83%  
117 0.4% 83%  
118 1.2% 82%  
119 3% 81%  
120 0.7% 78%  
121 0.5% 78%  
122 3% 77%  
123 0.7% 75%  
124 0.2% 74%  
125 0.7% 74%  
126 1.2% 73%  
127 1.0% 72%  
128 2% 71%  
129 0.6% 69%  
130 3% 68%  
131 2% 66%  
132 0.6% 64%  
133 0.2% 64%  
134 2% 63%  
135 0.4% 62%  
136 2% 62%  
137 0.4% 59%  
138 2% 59%  
139 0.8% 57%  
140 0.5% 56%  
141 2% 56%  
142 1.1% 54%  
143 0.4% 52%  
144 1.1% 52%  
145 2% 51%  
146 0.5% 49%  
147 2% 49% Median
148 0.6% 46%  
149 1.5% 46%  
150 3% 44%  
151 0.8% 41%  
152 2% 41%  
153 1.3% 39%  
154 0.5% 37%  
155 2% 37%  
156 2% 35%  
157 1.3% 33%  
158 0.6% 32%  
159 0.4% 31%  
160 0.7% 31%  
161 0.9% 30%  
162 4% 29%  
163 1.1% 25%  
164 2% 24%  
165 0.7% 23%  
166 2% 22%  
167 0.8% 20%  
168 2% 19%  
169 0.8% 17%  
170 0.4% 17%  
171 0.2% 16%  
172 0.7% 16%  
173 0.5% 15%  
174 3% 15%  
175 0.5% 12%  
176 0.8% 11%  
177 0.3% 10%  
178 0.4% 10%  
179 0.7% 10%  
180 1.4% 9%  
181 0.7% 7%  
182 0.2% 7%  
183 0.4% 7%  
184 0.4% 6%  
185 0.8% 6%  
186 0.2% 5%  
187 0.1% 5%  
188 0.3% 5%  
189 1.3% 4%  
190 0.7% 3%  
191 0.1% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.1% 2%  
194 0.1% 2%  
195 0.3% 2%  
196 0.1% 2%  
197 0.1% 2%  
198 0.2% 1.4%  
199 0.1% 1.2%  
200 0.1% 1.1%  
201 0.3% 1.0%  
202 0.2% 0.7%  
203 0% 0.5%  
204 0% 0.5%  
205 0.1% 0.5%  
206 0% 0.4%  
207 0% 0.4%  
208 0% 0.3%  
209 0% 0.3%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.2%  
213 0% 0.2%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0% 99.9%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.8%  
49 0% 99.8%  
50 0.2% 99.8%  
51 0.1% 99.6%  
52 0.1% 99.6%  
53 0.2% 99.4%  
54 0.5% 99.2%  
55 0% 98.7%  
56 0.1% 98.7%  
57 0% 98.6%  
58 0.2% 98.5%  
59 0.3% 98%  
60 0.1% 98%  
61 0.6% 98%  
62 0.2% 97%  
63 0.2% 97%  
64 0.3% 97%  
65 0.4% 97%  
66 0.4% 96%  
67 0.7% 96%  
68 0.5% 95%  
69 0.5% 95%  
70 0.2% 94%  
71 0.3% 94%  
72 0.3% 94%  
73 2% 94%  
74 1.3% 91%  
75 0.6% 90%  
76 0.4% 89%  
77 1.0% 89%  
78 0.2% 88%  
79 0.3% 87%  
80 0.7% 87%  
81 3% 86%  
82 1.0% 84%  
83 1.0% 83%  
84 4% 82%  
85 0.4% 78%  
86 0.2% 78%  
87 2% 77%  
88 0.9% 76%  
89 0.4% 75%  
90 2% 75%  
91 2% 72%  
92 1.1% 70%  
93 0.5% 69%  
94 0.3% 69%  
95 0.2% 69%  
96 0.6% 68%  
97 2% 68%  
98 3% 66%  
99 2% 63%  
100 1.0% 61%  
101 0.3% 60%  
102 0.7% 60%  
103 1.4% 59%  
104 0.2% 58%  
105 2% 58%  
106 1.2% 56%  
107 0.7% 54%  
108 0.5% 54%  
109 0.2% 53%  
110 2% 53%  
111 0.5% 51%  
112 1.0% 50% Median
113 0.5% 49%  
114 2% 49%  
115 1.4% 47%  
116 2% 46%  
117 0.4% 44%  
118 2% 44%  
119 2% 41%  
120 2% 39%  
121 1.2% 37%  
122 2% 36%  
123 2% 34%  
124 0.3% 31%  
125 1.5% 31%  
126 0.3% 29%  
127 2% 29%  
128 1.5% 27%  
129 5% 26%  
130 1.3% 21%  
131 0.4% 19%  
132 0.5% 19%  
133 0.2% 18%  
134 1.1% 18%  
135 5% 17%  
136 0.7% 12%  
137 0.6% 12%  
138 0.6% 11%  
139 0.5% 10%  
140 0.9% 10%  
141 0.5% 9%  
142 0.4% 8%  
143 2% 8%  
144 0.2% 6%  
145 0.9% 6%  
146 0.5% 5%  
147 0.3% 5%  
148 0.3% 4%  
149 0.3% 4%  
150 0.9% 4%  
151 0.3% 3%  
152 0.3% 3%  
153 0.2% 2%  
154 0.2% 2%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.1% 2%  
157 0.2% 2%  
158 0.2% 1.5%  
159 0.1% 1.3%  
160 0.2% 1.2%  
161 0.1% 1.0%  
162 0.1% 1.0%  
163 0.1% 0.9%  
164 0.1% 0.8%  
165 0.1% 0.7%  
166 0.1% 0.6%  
167 0% 0.5%  
168 0% 0.5%  
169 0% 0.5%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0.1% 0.3%  
172 0.1% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.2% 99.4%  
49 0.5% 99.2%  
50 0% 98.7%  
51 0.1% 98.7%  
52 0% 98.6%  
53 0.2% 98.5%  
54 0.3% 98%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.6% 98%  
57 0.1% 97%  
58 0.2% 97%  
59 0.3% 97%  
60 0.3% 97%  
61 0.4% 96%  
62 0.6% 96%  
63 0.6% 95%  
64 0.4% 95%  
65 0.3% 94%  
66 0.3% 94%  
67 0.3% 94%  
68 3% 94%  
69 2% 91%  
70 0.3% 89%  
71 0.4% 89%  
72 1.0% 89%  
73 0.2% 88%  
74 0.3% 87%  
75 0.7% 87%  
76 3% 86%  
77 1.4% 84%  
78 0.6% 82%  
79 4% 82%  
80 0.3% 78%  
81 0.2% 78%  
82 2% 77%  
83 1.1% 76%  
84 0.3% 75%  
85 2% 74%  
86 2% 72%  
87 0.8% 70%  
88 0.5% 69%  
89 0.3% 69%  
90 0.2% 69%  
91 0.6% 68%  
92 0.7% 68%  
93 5% 67%  
94 1.2% 62%  
95 1.0% 61%  
96 0.3% 60%  
97 0.7% 60%  
98 1.3% 59%  
99 0.1% 58%  
100 2% 58%  
101 1.1% 55%  
102 0.6% 54%  
103 0.4% 53%  
104 0.3% 53%  
105 2% 53%  
106 0.5% 51%  
107 0.4% 50% Median
108 2% 50%  
109 1.2% 48%  
110 1.3% 47%  
111 2% 45%  
112 0.3% 44%  
113 2% 44%  
114 2% 41%  
115 2% 39%  
116 1.0% 37%  
117 3% 36%  
118 1.2% 32%  
119 0.3% 31%  
120 2% 31%  
121 0.3% 29%  
122 2% 29%  
123 1.3% 27%  
124 6% 26%  
125 0.5% 20%  
126 0.4% 19%  
127 0.5% 19%  
128 0.4% 18%  
129 1.0% 18%  
130 5% 17%  
131 0.9% 12%  
132 0.4% 11%  
133 0.7% 11%  
134 0.8% 10%  
135 0.6% 9%  
136 0.4% 9%  
137 0.5% 8%  
138 2% 8%  
139 0.2% 6%  
140 0.8% 6%  
141 0.3% 5%  
142 0.3% 5%  
143 0.2% 4%  
144 0.5% 4%  
145 0.9% 4%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.2% 3%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.3% 2%  
151 0.1% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.1% 1.4%  
154 0.1% 1.3%  
155 0.2% 1.2%  
156 0.1% 1.0%  
157 0.1% 0.9%  
158 0.1% 0.9%  
159 0.1% 0.8%  
160 0.2% 0.7%  
161 0% 0.5%  
162 0% 0.5%  
163 0% 0.5%  
164 0% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.3%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.2%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations