Opinion Poll by Survation for Good Morning Britain, 5–11 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.6% 42.6–46.6% 42.0–47.2% 41.5–47.7% 40.6–48.7%
Conservative Party 43.6% 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
Brexit Party 2.0% 5.7% 4.8–6.7% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Green Party 2.8% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.2% 2.6–4.1% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–5.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 390 364–417 355–427 348–435 336–451
Conservative Party 365 154 126–184 115–192 104–198 89–209
Liberal Democrats 11 37 26–47 23–51 22–52 18–58
Brexit Party 0 4 3–12 3–14 3–16 2–20
Green Party 1 1 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 40 27–52 22–54 20–56 16–57
Plaid Cymru 4 3 0–4 0–5 0–5 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0% 99.7%  
333 0% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0% 99.5%  
337 0.1% 99.5%  
338 0.1% 99.4%  
339 0.2% 99.3%  
340 0.1% 99.1%  
341 0.1% 99.0%  
342 0.1% 98.8%  
343 0.3% 98.7%  
344 0.2% 98%  
345 0.1% 98%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.3% 98%  
349 0.2% 97%  
350 0.3% 97%  
351 0.4% 97%  
352 0.3% 96%  
353 0.4% 96%  
354 0.5% 96%  
355 0.3% 95%  
356 0.6% 95%  
357 0.6% 94%  
358 0.6% 94%  
359 0.3% 93%  
360 0.9% 93%  
361 0.7% 92%  
362 0.3% 91%  
363 0.8% 91%  
364 0.9% 90%  
365 0.3% 89%  
366 1.1% 89%  
367 1.2% 88%  
368 1.3% 87%  
369 0.9% 85%  
370 0.9% 84%  
371 0.5% 84%  
372 0.8% 83%  
373 2% 82%  
374 2% 80%  
375 1.2% 78%  
376 1.4% 77%  
377 1.4% 76%  
378 2% 74%  
379 1.1% 72%  
380 2% 71%  
381 0.8% 69%  
382 3% 68%  
383 2% 65%  
384 2% 64%  
385 2% 62%  
386 2% 60%  
387 3% 58%  
388 2% 55%  
389 1.1% 53%  
390 3% 52% Median
391 2% 49%  
392 2% 47%  
393 2% 45%  
394 0.9% 44%  
395 2% 43%  
396 3% 41%  
397 2% 38%  
398 2% 35%  
399 2% 33%  
400 0.6% 31%  
401 3% 30%  
402 2% 27%  
403 0.8% 25%  
404 1.2% 25%  
405 2% 23%  
406 1.3% 22%  
407 1.4% 20%  
408 2% 19%  
409 0.7% 17%  
410 1.0% 17%  
411 0.4% 16%  
412 0.8% 15%  
413 2% 14%  
414 1.4% 13%  
415 0.7% 11%  
416 0.6% 11%  
417 1.0% 10%  
418 0.4% 9%  
419 0.6% 9%  
420 0.5% 8%  
421 0.4% 8%  
422 0.3% 7%  
423 0.4% 7%  
424 0.7% 7%  
425 0.5% 6%  
426 0.1% 5%  
427 0.7% 5%  
428 0.3% 5%  
429 0.4% 4%  
430 0.2% 4%  
431 0.2% 4%  
432 0.1% 4%  
433 0.3% 3%  
434 0.4% 3%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.3% 2%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 1.4%  
443 0.1% 1.2%  
444 0.1% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0% 0.9%  
447 0.2% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0% 0.6%  
450 0% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.4%  
91 0% 99.3%  
92 0% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 99.1%  
96 0.4% 99.0%  
97 0.1% 98.5%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.1% 98%  
103 0.1% 98%  
104 0.1% 98%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.3% 97%  
107 0.3% 97%  
108 0.2% 97%  
109 0.2% 96%  
110 0.1% 96%  
111 0.2% 96%  
112 0.1% 96%  
113 0.4% 96%  
114 0.3% 95%  
115 0.2% 95%  
116 0.2% 95%  
117 0.6% 95%  
118 0.4% 94%  
119 0.3% 94%  
120 0.6% 93%  
121 0.6% 93%  
122 0.3% 92%  
123 0.6% 92%  
124 0.6% 91%  
125 0.5% 91%  
126 0.4% 90%  
127 0.7% 90%  
128 0.8% 89%  
129 0.6% 88%  
130 0.8% 88%  
131 0.4% 87%  
132 0.8% 87%  
133 0.7% 86%  
134 0.7% 85%  
135 0.8% 84%  
136 2% 84%  
137 0.8% 81%  
138 0.9% 81%  
139 2% 80%  
140 1.0% 78%  
141 0.7% 77%  
142 1.2% 77%  
143 2% 75%  
144 3% 73%  
145 2% 71%  
146 2% 69%  
147 2% 67%  
148 3% 65%  
149 1.3% 63%  
150 3% 61%  
151 2% 58%  
152 2% 57%  
153 3% 55%  
154 2% 52% Median
155 2% 49%  
156 0.7% 47%  
157 1.1% 47%  
158 1.2% 46%  
159 3% 44%  
160 2% 41%  
161 2% 39%  
162 2% 38%  
163 2% 36%  
164 1.4% 33%  
165 1.5% 32%  
166 1.2% 30%  
167 1.2% 29%  
168 1.1% 28%  
169 2% 27%  
170 2% 25%  
171 0.9% 23%  
172 2% 22%  
173 0.5% 20%  
174 0.9% 20%  
175 0.9% 19%  
176 2% 18%  
177 0.8% 16%  
178 1.3% 15%  
179 0.6% 14%  
180 0.5% 13%  
181 0.5% 13%  
182 1.1% 12%  
183 0.8% 11%  
184 0.6% 10%  
185 2% 10%  
186 0.7% 8%  
187 0.7% 7%  
188 0.5% 7%  
189 0.5% 6%  
190 0.3% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.3% 5%  
193 0.4% 5%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 0.4% 4%  
196 0.5% 4%  
197 0.7% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.1% 2%  
200 0.2% 2%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 1.0%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.1% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.1% 99.8%  
18 0.3% 99.7%  
19 0.2% 99.4%  
20 0.7% 99.1%  
21 0.9% 98%  
22 1.5% 98%  
23 2% 96%  
24 2% 94%  
25 2% 92%  
26 4% 90%  
27 3% 86%  
28 3% 84%  
29 3% 81%  
30 3% 78%  
31 3% 76%  
32 5% 72%  
33 2% 67%  
34 3% 65%  
35 4% 62%  
36 6% 58%  
37 5% 53% Median
38 9% 48%  
39 6% 39%  
40 9% 33%  
41 4% 24%  
42 3% 20%  
43 2% 17%  
44 1.2% 15%  
45 0.7% 13%  
46 0.9% 13%  
47 2% 12%  
48 0.8% 10%  
49 0.8% 9%  
50 2% 8%  
51 3% 6%  
52 2% 3%  
53 0.3% 2%  
54 0.2% 1.4%  
55 0.3% 1.1%  
56 0.1% 0.8%  
57 0.2% 0.7%  
58 0% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.5%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.2%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 0.8% 99.8%  
3 28% 99.0%  
4 42% 71% Median
5 8% 29%  
6 3% 21%  
7 4% 18%  
8 0.7% 14%  
9 0.1% 14%  
10 2% 13%  
11 2% 12%  
12 3% 10%  
13 2% 7%  
14 2% 5%  
15 0.4% 4%  
16 1.0% 3%  
17 0.4% 2%  
18 0.6% 2%  
19 0.8% 1.3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 80% 100% Last Result, Median
2 8% 20%  
3 13% 13%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 99.9%  
11 0% 99.9%  
12 0% 99.9%  
13 0% 99.9%  
14 0.1% 99.8%  
15 0.2% 99.8%  
16 0.2% 99.6%  
17 0.4% 99.4%  
18 0.7% 98.9%  
19 0.7% 98%  
20 0.4% 98%  
21 0.9% 97%  
22 1.3% 96%  
23 1.1% 95%  
24 1.4% 94%  
25 0.6% 92%  
26 2% 92%  
27 1.3% 90%  
28 0.4% 89%  
29 1.4% 89%  
30 1.2% 87%  
31 2% 86%  
32 4% 84%  
33 0.8% 80%  
34 8% 80%  
35 0.4% 71%  
36 7% 71%  
37 0.4% 64%  
38 11% 64%  
39 2% 53%  
40 6% 51% Median
41 8% 45%  
42 2% 37%  
43 5% 34%  
44 3% 29%  
45 4% 27%  
46 3% 23%  
47 1.2% 20%  
48 2% 19% Last Result
49 1.2% 17%  
50 3% 16%  
51 3% 13%  
52 2% 10%  
53 2% 8%  
54 2% 6%  
55 2% 4%  
56 0.9% 3%  
57 1.1% 2%  
58 0.5% 0.5%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 14% 100%  
1 16% 86%  
2 20% 70%  
3 27% 51% Median
4 15% 24% Last Result
5 9% 9%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 470 100% 440–499 431–509 425–519 412–536
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 469 100% 439–498 430–507 424–518 411–534
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 466 100% 437–495 428–505 421–516 408–532
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 429 100% 398–460 388–472 380–483 366–499
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 426 100% 395–458 385–469 377–480 363–497
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 433 100% 407–456 400–464 394–475 382–486
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 431 100% 405–454 398–462 392–473 380–485
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 393 99.9% 366–419 357–429 351–437 338–453
Labour Party 202 390 99.9% 364–417 355–427 348–435 336–451
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 197 0% 165–226 154–237 143–244 125–258
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 194 0% 163–225 150–234 141–241 124–255
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 190 0% 167–215 158–222 147–228 137–237
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 157 0% 128–186 117–194 107–200 89–212
Conservative Party 365 154 0% 126–184 115–192 104–198 89–209

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0% 99.7%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.6%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.1% 99.4%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 99.3%  
416 0.1% 99.2%  
417 0.1% 99.1%  
418 0.2% 98.9%  
419 0.2% 98.8%  
420 0.1% 98.6%  
421 0.2% 98.5%  
422 0.2% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.3% 98%  
425 0.3% 98%  
426 0.3% 97%  
427 0.2% 97%  
428 0.3% 97%  
429 0.6% 96%  
430 0.6% 96%  
431 0.4% 95%  
432 0.4% 95%  
433 0.3% 94%  
434 0.4% 94%  
435 0.6% 94%  
436 0.6% 93%  
437 0.4% 93%  
438 0.8% 92%  
439 0.6% 91%  
440 1.2% 91%  
441 0.9% 90%  
442 1.1% 89%  
443 0.6% 88%  
444 0.7% 87%  
445 1.0% 86%  
446 0.4% 85%  
447 0.4% 85%  
448 1.4% 85%  
449 2% 83%  
450 1.1% 81%  
451 1.0% 80%  
452 1.0% 79%  
453 1.2% 78%  
454 0.8% 77%  
455 2% 76%  
456 2% 75%  
457 2% 73%  
458 1.2% 71%  
459 1.2% 70%  
460 1.4% 68%  
461 1.2% 67%  
462 2% 66%  
463 2% 64%  
464 2% 62%  
465 2% 60%  
466 1.1% 58%  
467 3% 57%  
468 2% 54%  
469 0.9% 52%  
470 1.4% 51%  
471 1.2% 50% Median
472 2% 49%  
473 3% 47%  
474 3% 44%  
475 2% 41%  
476 3% 39%  
477 2% 37%  
478 2% 35%  
479 1.2% 33%  
480 2% 32%  
481 3% 30%  
482 2% 27%  
483 1.2% 25%  
484 1.4% 24%  
485 0.7% 22%  
486 1.0% 22%  
487 2% 21%  
488 0.8% 19%  
489 0.6% 18%  
490 1.2% 18%  
491 2% 16%  
492 0.8% 15%  
493 0.9% 14%  
494 0.3% 13%  
495 0.7% 13%  
496 0.6% 12%  
497 1.0% 12%  
498 0.3% 11%  
499 0.9% 10%  
500 0.6% 9%  
501 0.7% 9%  
502 0.5% 8%  
503 0.5% 8%  
504 0.3% 7%  
505 0.5% 7%  
506 0.5% 6%  
507 0.6% 6%  
508 0.1% 5%  
509 0.3% 5%  
510 0.2% 5%  
511 0.5% 5%  
512 0.2% 4%  
513 0.1% 4%  
514 0.1% 4%  
515 0.2% 4%  
516 0.2% 4%  
517 0.3% 3%  
518 0.3% 3%  
519 0.3% 3%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.1% 2%  
522 0.2% 2%  
523 0.2% 2%  
524 0.2% 2%  
525 0.1% 2%  
526 0.1% 2%  
527 0.1% 1.5%  
528 0.3% 1.4%  
529 0.2% 1.1%  
530 0.1% 0.9%  
531 0.1% 0.8%  
532 0% 0.7%  
533 0% 0.7%  
534 0.1% 0.6%  
535 0.1% 0.6%  
536 0.1% 0.5%  
537 0% 0.4%  
538 0.1% 0.4%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.3%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.2%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0.1% 99.7%  
408 0% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.5%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.3%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 99.2%  
416 0.1% 99.1%  
417 0.2% 98.9%  
418 0.2% 98.8%  
419 0.1% 98.6%  
420 0.2% 98.5%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.4% 98%  
423 0.3% 98%  
424 0.3% 98%  
425 0.2% 97%  
426 0.2% 97%  
427 0.3% 97%  
428 0.6% 96%  
429 0.7% 96%  
430 0.4% 95%  
431 0.4% 95%  
432 0.4% 94%  
433 0.5% 94%  
434 0.6% 94%  
435 0.4% 93%  
436 0.4% 93%  
437 0.8% 92%  
438 0.8% 91%  
439 1.2% 90%  
440 0.8% 89%  
441 1.1% 89%  
442 0.6% 87%  
443 0.9% 87%  
444 0.8% 86%  
445 0.3% 85%  
446 0.4% 85%  
447 2% 84%  
448 2% 83%  
449 0.8% 81%  
450 1.1% 80%  
451 1.0% 79%  
452 1.2% 78%  
453 1.0% 77%  
454 1.5% 76%  
455 2% 74%  
456 2% 72%  
457 0.9% 70%  
458 1.2% 69%  
459 1.4% 68%  
460 2% 67%  
461 2% 64%  
462 1.3% 63%  
463 2% 61%  
464 2% 59%  
465 1.4% 58%  
466 3% 56%  
467 2% 53%  
468 1.0% 52%  
469 2% 51%  
470 1.2% 49% Median
471 2% 48%  
472 3% 46%  
473 2% 43%  
474 2% 40%  
475 3% 39%  
476 1.4% 36%  
477 2% 34%  
478 2% 32%  
479 2% 31%  
480 2% 29%  
481 2% 27%  
482 2% 25%  
483 1.1% 23%  
484 1.1% 22%  
485 1.0% 21%  
486 1.2% 20%  
487 0.7% 19%  
488 0.7% 18%  
489 1.4% 17%  
490 1.4% 16%  
491 0.7% 14%  
492 0.9% 14%  
493 0.3% 13%  
494 1.0% 13%  
495 0.5% 12%  
496 0.6% 11%  
497 0.4% 10%  
498 0.9% 10%  
499 0.6% 9%  
500 0.8% 9%  
501 0.6% 8%  
502 0.1% 7%  
503 0.2% 7%  
504 0.6% 7%  
505 0.6% 6%  
506 0.4% 6%  
507 0.2% 5%  
508 0.3% 5%  
509 0.3% 5%  
510 0.3% 4%  
511 0.1% 4%  
512 0.1% 4%  
513 0.1% 4%  
514 0.2% 4%  
515 0.3% 3%  
516 0.2% 3%  
517 0.4% 3%  
518 0.1% 3%  
519 0.1% 2%  
520 0.1% 2%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.4% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0% 2%  
526 0.1% 1.5%  
527 0.4% 1.3%  
528 0.1% 0.9%  
529 0.1% 0.9%  
530 0.1% 0.7%  
531 0% 0.7%  
532 0.1% 0.7%  
533 0.1% 0.6%  
534 0.1% 0.5%  
535 0% 0.5%  
536 0.1% 0.4%  
537 0% 0.4%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.3%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.7%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.1% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.4%  
410 0.1% 99.3%  
411 0% 99.2%  
412 0.1% 99.2%  
413 0.2% 99.1%  
414 0.1% 98.9%  
415 0.2% 98.8%  
416 0.2% 98.7%  
417 0.1% 98%  
418 0.1% 98%  
419 0.3% 98%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.4% 97%  
423 0.2% 97%  
424 0.2% 97%  
425 0.4% 97%  
426 0.6% 96%  
427 0.4% 96%  
428 0.7% 95%  
429 0.2% 94%  
430 0.4% 94%  
431 0.6% 94%  
432 0.4% 93%  
433 0.6% 93%  
434 0.6% 92%  
435 0.8% 92%  
436 0.6% 91%  
437 1.1% 90%  
438 1.0% 89%  
439 0.7% 88%  
440 1.1% 87%  
441 0.7% 86%  
442 0.3% 86%  
443 0.9% 85%  
444 0.6% 84%  
445 2% 84%  
446 1.3% 81%  
447 0.6% 80%  
448 1.0% 79%  
449 1.3% 78%  
450 0.9% 77%  
451 1.1% 76%  
452 3% 75%  
453 1.0% 72%  
454 0.9% 71%  
455 2% 70%  
456 1.3% 68%  
457 1.0% 67%  
458 2% 66%  
459 2% 64%  
460 1.3% 62%  
461 2% 61%  
462 2% 59%  
463 1.3% 57%  
464 2% 56%  
465 2% 53%  
466 2% 51%  
467 1.2% 49% Median
468 0.8% 48%  
469 2% 47%  
470 3% 45%  
471 1.3% 42%  
472 4% 41%  
473 2% 37%  
474 2% 35%  
475 2% 33%  
476 2% 31%  
477 0.8% 30%  
478 2% 29%  
479 1.4% 27%  
480 2% 26%  
481 2% 24%  
482 1.2% 22%  
483 0.9% 21%  
484 1.1% 20%  
485 0.8% 19%  
486 0.6% 18%  
487 2% 17%  
488 0.5% 16%  
489 2% 15%  
490 0.6% 13%  
491 1.1% 13%  
492 0.5% 12%  
493 0.6% 11%  
494 0.2% 11%  
495 0.7% 10%  
496 0.9% 10%  
497 0.7% 9%  
498 0.4% 8%  
499 0.4% 8%  
500 0.3% 7%  
501 0.4% 7%  
502 0.8% 7%  
503 0.2% 6%  
504 0.5% 6%  
505 0.2% 5%  
506 0.4% 5%  
507 0.1% 5%  
508 0.2% 4%  
509 0.4% 4%  
510 0.1% 4%  
511 0.2% 4%  
512 0.2% 4%  
513 0.3% 3%  
514 0.3% 3%  
515 0.3% 3%  
516 0.1% 3%  
517 0.1% 2%  
518 0.2% 2%  
519 0.1% 2%  
520 0.2% 2%  
521 0.2% 2%  
522 0.1% 2%  
523 0.1% 2%  
524 0.4% 1.4%  
525 0.1% 1.0%  
526 0.1% 0.9%  
527 0.1% 0.8%  
528 0% 0.7%  
529 0% 0.7%  
530 0% 0.6%  
531 0% 0.6%  
532 0.1% 0.6%  
533 0% 0.5%  
534 0.1% 0.5%  
535 0.1% 0.4%  
536 0.1% 0.3%  
537 0% 0.3%  
538 0% 0.3%  
539 0% 0.2%  
540 0% 0.2%  
541 0% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.8%  
361 0% 99.7%  
362 0% 99.7%  
363 0% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.7%  
365 0% 99.6%  
366 0.1% 99.5%  
367 0% 99.4%  
368 0.1% 99.4%  
369 0.1% 99.3%  
370 0.1% 99.2%  
371 0.1% 99.1%  
372 0.1% 99.0%  
373 0.1% 98.9%  
374 0.2% 98.8%  
375 0.2% 98.6%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.1% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.4% 98%  
380 0.2% 98%  
381 0.2% 97%  
382 0.2% 97%  
383 0.3% 97%  
384 0.3% 97%  
385 0.6% 96%  
386 0.2% 96%  
387 0.4% 96%  
388 0.4% 95%  
389 0.4% 95%  
390 0.3% 94%  
391 0.4% 94%  
392 0.6% 94%  
393 0.6% 93%  
394 0.3% 92%  
395 0.4% 92%  
396 0.5% 92%  
397 1.1% 91%  
398 0.4% 90%  
399 0.8% 90%  
400 0.7% 89%  
401 2% 88%  
402 0.4% 86%  
403 0.8% 86%  
404 0.6% 85%  
405 0.7% 85%  
406 1.5% 84%  
407 1.3% 82%  
408 1.2% 81%  
409 0.9% 80%  
410 0.9% 79%  
411 0.8% 78%  
412 2% 77%  
413 1.0% 75%  
414 2% 74%  
415 2% 72%  
416 2% 71%  
417 2% 69%  
418 1.0% 67%  
419 0.8% 66%  
420 1.4% 66%  
421 1.0% 64%  
422 3% 63%  
423 1.4% 60%  
424 2% 59%  
425 2% 57%  
426 1.4% 55%  
427 2% 54%  
428 1.3% 52%  
429 2% 51%  
430 2% 49% Median
431 1.0% 48%  
432 3% 47%  
433 2% 44%  
434 1.5% 41%  
435 2% 40%  
436 2% 38%  
437 1.4% 36%  
438 0.8% 35%  
439 0.8% 34%  
440 2% 33%  
441 2% 31%  
442 0.7% 30%  
443 2% 29%  
444 1.4% 26%  
445 2% 25%  
446 0.5% 23%  
447 1.4% 22%  
448 0.8% 21%  
449 0.5% 20%  
450 2% 20%  
451 0.6% 18%  
452 0.9% 17%  
453 0.9% 16%  
454 2% 16%  
455 0.6% 14%  
456 0.5% 13%  
457 1.5% 13%  
458 0.3% 11%  
459 0.5% 11%  
460 0.7% 11%  
461 0.5% 10%  
462 0.3% 9%  
463 0.9% 9%  
464 0.6% 8%  
465 0.6% 8%  
466 0.4% 7%  
467 0.4% 7%  
468 0.5% 6%  
469 0.2% 6%  
470 0.2% 6%  
471 0.3% 5%  
472 0.3% 5%  
473 0.5% 5%  
474 0.3% 4%  
475 0.4% 4%  
476 0.3% 4%  
477 0.3% 3%  
478 0.2% 3%  
479 0.1% 3%  
480 0.1% 3%  
481 0.2% 3%  
482 0% 3%  
483 0.4% 3%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.1% 2%  
487 0.2% 2%  
488 0.1% 2%  
489 0.1% 1.4%  
490 0.1% 1.3%  
491 0.1% 1.2%  
492 0.1% 1.1%  
493 0.2% 1.1%  
494 0.1% 0.9%  
495 0% 0.8%  
496 0.1% 0.8%  
497 0% 0.7%  
498 0.2% 0.7%  
499 0.1% 0.5%  
500 0% 0.5%  
501 0% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0.1% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0% 99.6%  
363 0.1% 99.5%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.1% 99.4%  
366 0.1% 99.3%  
367 0.1% 99.2%  
368 0.1% 99.1%  
369 0.1% 99.0%  
370 0.1% 98.9%  
371 0.1% 98.8%  
372 0.2% 98.7%  
373 0.1% 98.5%  
374 0.3% 98%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.2% 98%  
378 0.3% 97%  
379 0.2% 97%  
380 0.2% 97%  
381 0.3% 97%  
382 0.3% 96%  
383 0.3% 96%  
384 0.3% 96%  
385 0.6% 95%  
386 0.3% 95%  
387 0.4% 95%  
388 0.3% 94%  
389 0.4% 94%  
390 0.4% 93%  
391 0.5% 93%  
392 0.7% 92%  
393 0.7% 92%  
394 0.8% 91%  
395 0.3% 90%  
396 0.6% 90%  
397 0.8% 89%  
398 0.6% 88%  
399 1.5% 88%  
400 0.7% 86%  
401 0.8% 86%  
402 0.4% 85%  
403 2% 84%  
404 0.6% 83%  
405 1.3% 82%  
406 1.4% 81%  
407 0.8% 79%  
408 0.9% 79%  
409 2% 78%  
410 1.2% 76%  
411 1.3% 75%  
412 2% 74%  
413 2% 72%  
414 2% 70%  
415 0.7% 68%  
416 1.1% 67%  
417 2% 66%  
418 1.0% 64%  
419 0.8% 63%  
420 2% 62%  
421 3% 61%  
422 2% 58%  
423 2% 56%  
424 2% 55%  
425 1.4% 53%  
426 2% 51%  
427 2% 50% Median
428 0.8% 48%  
429 1.3% 47%  
430 3% 46%  
431 2% 43%  
432 1.4% 41%  
433 2% 39%  
434 2% 38%  
435 0.8% 36%  
436 1.4% 35%  
437 1.4% 33%  
438 1.2% 32%  
439 0.9% 31%  
440 3% 30%  
441 0.7% 27%  
442 1.2% 26%  
443 0.3% 25%  
444 1.1% 24%  
445 2% 23%  
446 1.3% 21%  
447 0.7% 20%  
448 0.5% 19%  
449 2% 19%  
450 0.8% 17%  
451 1.1% 16%  
452 0.2% 15%  
453 2% 15%  
454 0.7% 13%  
455 1.2% 12%  
456 0.4% 11%  
457 0.2% 11%  
458 0.8% 11%  
459 0.5% 10%  
460 0.4% 9%  
461 0.4% 9%  
462 0.5% 8%  
463 0.9% 8%  
464 0.5% 7%  
465 0.3% 7%  
466 0.5% 6%  
467 0.1% 6%  
468 0.2% 6%  
469 0.4% 5%  
470 0.4% 5%  
471 0.2% 5%  
472 0.3% 4%  
473 0.4% 4%  
474 0.2% 4%  
475 0.3% 4%  
476 0.2% 3%  
477 0.2% 3%  
478 0.1% 3%  
479 0.1% 3%  
480 0.3% 3%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.1% 2%  
483 0.2% 2%  
484 0.3% 2%  
485 0.2% 2%  
486 0.1% 1.4%  
487 0% 1.4%  
488 0.1% 1.3%  
489 0.1% 1.2%  
490 0.1% 1.1%  
491 0.1% 1.0%  
492 0% 0.9%  
493 0.1% 0.9%  
494 0% 0.7%  
495 0.1% 0.7%  
496 0.1% 0.6%  
497 0% 0.5%  
498 0.1% 0.5%  
499 0% 0.4%  
500 0% 0.4%  
501 0% 0.4%  
502 0.1% 0.3%  
503 0% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.8%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.7%  
381 0.1% 99.6%  
382 0% 99.5%  
383 0.1% 99.5%  
384 0.1% 99.4%  
385 0.1% 99.3%  
386 0.1% 99.2%  
387 0.2% 99.1%  
388 0.1% 98.9%  
389 0.2% 98.8%  
390 0.2% 98.6%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.3% 98%  
393 0.2% 98%  
394 0.4% 98%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 0.4% 97%  
397 0.6% 96%  
398 0.4% 96%  
399 0.2% 95%  
400 0.5% 95%  
401 0.8% 95%  
402 0.7% 94%  
403 0.7% 93%  
404 0.3% 92%  
405 0.7% 92%  
406 0.8% 91%  
407 1.1% 91%  
408 0.6% 90%  
409 0.8% 89%  
410 1.2% 88%  
411 0.8% 87%  
412 1.1% 86%  
413 1.3% 85%  
414 0.6% 84%  
415 1.4% 83%  
416 2% 82%  
417 1.4% 80%  
418 1.4% 79%  
419 1.0% 77%  
420 3% 76%  
421 1.2% 74%  
422 1.4% 72%  
423 2% 71%  
424 2% 69%  
425 1.2% 67%  
426 1.3% 66%  
427 2% 64%  
428 2% 62%  
429 1.3% 60%  
430 2% 58%  
431 1.4% 56%  
432 3% 55%  
433 2% 52% Median
434 2% 50%  
435 3% 48%  
436 4% 45%  
437 4% 41%  
438 2% 37%  
439 2% 35%  
440 4% 33%  
441 2% 29%  
442 2% 26%  
443 1.5% 25%  
444 2% 23%  
445 1.2% 21%  
446 1.0% 20%  
447 0.8% 19%  
448 2% 18%  
449 0.6% 16%  
450 1.5% 16%  
451 1.4% 14%  
452 0.6% 13%  
453 0.4% 12%  
454 0.6% 12%  
455 1.0% 11%  
456 0.7% 10%  
457 0.5% 10%  
458 0.6% 9%  
459 0.6% 8%  
460 0.4% 8%  
461 0.5% 7%  
462 0.6% 7%  
463 0.7% 6%  
464 0.7% 6%  
465 0.1% 5%  
466 0.3% 5%  
467 0.3% 4%  
468 0.3% 4%  
469 0.2% 4%  
470 0.2% 4%  
471 0.1% 3%  
472 0.1% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.2% 3%  
475 0.2% 3%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.1% 1.3%  
482 0.3% 1.1%  
483 0.1% 0.9%  
484 0.2% 0.8%  
485 0.1% 0.6%  
486 0.1% 0.6%  
487 0.1% 0.5%  
488 0% 0.4%  
489 0% 0.4%  
490 0% 0.4%  
491 0% 0.3%  
492 0.1% 0.3%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.8%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.7%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.6%  
379 0.1% 99.6%  
380 0.1% 99.5%  
381 0.2% 99.4%  
382 0.1% 99.2%  
383 0.1% 99.2%  
384 0.1% 99.0%  
385 0.1% 98.9%  
386 0.1% 98.8%  
387 0.3% 98.7%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.1% 98%  
390 0.2% 98%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.5% 98%  
393 0.6% 97%  
394 0.5% 96%  
395 0.4% 96%  
396 0.2% 96%  
397 0.3% 95%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 0.6% 94%  
400 0.8% 94%  
401 0.6% 93%  
402 0.7% 92%  
403 0.5% 92%  
404 0.5% 91%  
405 1.2% 91%  
406 0.6% 89%  
407 1.2% 89%  
408 0.7% 88%  
409 0.9% 87%  
410 2% 86%  
411 1.1% 84%  
412 1.2% 83%  
413 2% 82%  
414 2% 80%  
415 0.9% 79%  
416 2% 78%  
417 1.0% 76%  
418 2% 75%  
419 1.4% 73%  
420 2% 72%  
421 2% 70%  
422 2% 67%  
423 1.2% 66%  
424 2% 65%  
425 1.4% 63%  
426 3% 62%  
427 3% 59%  
428 2% 56%  
429 1.2% 54%  
430 2% 53% Median
431 2% 51%  
432 3% 48%  
433 2% 46%  
434 2% 44%  
435 5% 42%  
436 2% 36%  
437 3% 34%  
438 2% 32%  
439 2% 30%  
440 2% 27%  
441 2% 25%  
442 2% 23%  
443 1.4% 21%  
444 1.3% 20%  
445 0.7% 18%  
446 1.2% 18%  
447 1.3% 16%  
448 1.2% 15%  
449 2% 14%  
450 0.4% 12%  
451 0.3% 12%  
452 0.7% 12%  
453 0.6% 11%  
454 0.9% 10%  
455 0.4% 9%  
456 0.9% 9%  
457 0.6% 8%  
458 0.4% 7%  
459 0.4% 7%  
460 0.7% 7%  
461 0.7% 6%  
462 0.5% 5%  
463 0.3% 5%  
464 0.2% 5%  
465 0.4% 4%  
466 0.2% 4%  
467 0.2% 4%  
468 0.1% 4%  
469 0.2% 3%  
470 0.2% 3%  
471 0.2% 3%  
472 0.4% 3%  
473 0.2% 3%  
474 0.4% 2%  
475 0.1% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.2% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.2% 1.4%  
480 0.2% 1.1%  
481 0.2% 0.9%  
482 0.1% 0.7%  
483 0.1% 0.7%  
484 0% 0.6%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.2%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.8%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0% 99.8%  
335 0% 99.7%  
336 0% 99.7%  
337 0.1% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.6%  
339 0% 99.5%  
340 0.1% 99.5%  
341 0.1% 99.3%  
342 0.2% 99.2%  
343 0.1% 99.1%  
344 0.1% 99.0%  
345 0.2% 98.8%  
346 0.2% 98.6%  
347 0.1% 98%  
348 0.2% 98%  
349 0.2% 98%  
350 0.3% 98%  
351 0.3% 98%  
352 0.2% 97%  
353 0.2% 97%  
354 0.5% 97%  
355 0.4% 96%  
356 0.4% 96%  
357 0.7% 95%  
358 0.3% 95%  
359 0.3% 95%  
360 0.7% 94%  
361 0.8% 94%  
362 0.4% 93%  
363 0.7% 92%  
364 0.6% 92%  
365 0.7% 91%  
366 0.7% 90%  
367 0.5% 90%  
368 0.7% 89%  
369 2% 88%  
370 0.8% 87%  
371 0.7% 86%  
372 1.1% 85%  
373 0.8% 84%  
374 1.0% 83%  
375 1.0% 82%  
376 2% 81%  
377 2% 80%  
378 1.1% 77%  
379 0.8% 76%  
380 1.3% 75%  
381 2% 74%  
382 2% 72%  
383 2% 70%  
384 1.2% 68%  
385 1.1% 67%  
386 3% 66%  
387 2% 62%  
388 2% 60%  
389 1.5% 59%  
390 3% 57%  
391 1.5% 54%  
392 3% 53%  
393 2% 50% Median
394 2% 48%  
395 1.4% 46%  
396 2% 45%  
397 2% 43%  
398 3% 41%  
399 3% 38%  
400 1.5% 35%  
401 2% 34%  
402 2% 32%  
403 2% 30%  
404 2% 28%  
405 2% 26%  
406 1.3% 24%  
407 1.4% 23%  
408 0.8% 21%  
409 1.2% 21%  
410 1.3% 19%  
411 1.1% 18%  
412 0.8% 17%  
413 1.2% 16%  
414 1.2% 15%  
415 1.3% 14%  
416 0.5% 13%  
417 0.6% 12%  
418 0.8% 11%  
419 1.3% 11%  
420 0.5% 9%  
421 0.3% 9%  
422 0.3% 9%  
423 0.8% 8%  
424 0.9% 8%  
425 0.2% 7%  
426 0.2% 6%  
427 0.7% 6%  
428 0.3% 6%  
429 0.5% 5%  
430 0.5% 5%  
431 0.2% 4%  
432 0.2% 4%  
433 0.2% 4%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.2% 3%  
436 0.2% 3%  
437 0.4% 3%  
438 0.1% 2%  
439 0.2% 2%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.1% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.1% 2%  
444 0.2% 1.4%  
445 0.1% 1.2%  
446 0.1% 1.1%  
447 0% 1.0%  
448 0.1% 1.0%  
449 0% 0.9%  
450 0.1% 0.8%  
451 0.1% 0.7%  
452 0.1% 0.6%  
453 0.1% 0.5%  
454 0% 0.4%  
455 0% 0.4%  
456 0.1% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.3%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.2%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0.1%  
470 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 99.9%  
324 0% 99.9%  
325 0% 99.9%  
326 0% 99.9% Majority
327 0% 99.9%  
328 0% 99.9%  
329 0% 99.8%  
330 0% 99.8%  
331 0.1% 99.8%  
332 0% 99.7%  
333 0% 99.7%  
334 0.1% 99.6%  
335 0.1% 99.6%  
336 0% 99.5%  
337 0.1% 99.5%  
338 0.1% 99.4%  
339 0.2% 99.3%  
340 0.1% 99.1%  
341 0.1% 99.0%  
342 0.1% 98.8%  
343 0.3% 98.7%  
344 0.2% 98%  
345 0.1% 98%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.4% 98%  
348 0.3% 98%  
349 0.2% 97%  
350 0.3% 97%  
351 0.4% 97%  
352 0.3% 96%  
353 0.4% 96%  
354 0.5% 96%  
355 0.3% 95%  
356 0.6% 95%  
357 0.6% 94%  
358 0.6% 94%  
359 0.3% 93%  
360 0.9% 93%  
361 0.7% 92%  
362 0.3% 91%  
363 0.8% 91%  
364 0.9% 90%  
365 0.3% 89%  
366 1.1% 89%  
367 1.2% 88%  
368 1.3% 87%  
369 0.9% 85%  
370 0.9% 84%  
371 0.5% 84%  
372 0.8% 83%  
373 2% 82%  
374 2% 80%  
375 1.2% 78%  
376 1.4% 77%  
377 1.4% 76%  
378 2% 74%  
379 1.1% 72%  
380 2% 71%  
381 0.8% 69%  
382 3% 68%  
383 2% 65%  
384 2% 64%  
385 2% 62%  
386 2% 60%  
387 3% 58%  
388 2% 55%  
389 1.1% 53%  
390 3% 52% Median
391 2% 49%  
392 2% 47%  
393 2% 45%  
394 0.9% 44%  
395 2% 43%  
396 3% 41%  
397 2% 38%  
398 2% 35%  
399 2% 33%  
400 0.6% 31%  
401 3% 30%  
402 2% 27%  
403 0.8% 25%  
404 1.2% 25%  
405 2% 23%  
406 1.3% 22%  
407 1.4% 20%  
408 2% 19%  
409 0.7% 17%  
410 1.0% 17%  
411 0.4% 16%  
412 0.8% 15%  
413 2% 14%  
414 1.4% 13%  
415 0.7% 11%  
416 0.6% 11%  
417 1.0% 10%  
418 0.4% 9%  
419 0.6% 9%  
420 0.5% 8%  
421 0.4% 8%  
422 0.3% 7%  
423 0.4% 7%  
424 0.7% 7%  
425 0.5% 6%  
426 0.1% 5%  
427 0.7% 5%  
428 0.3% 5%  
429 0.4% 4%  
430 0.2% 4%  
431 0.2% 4%  
432 0.1% 4%  
433 0.3% 3%  
434 0.4% 3%  
435 0.3% 3%  
436 0.2% 2%  
437 0.1% 2%  
438 0.3% 2%  
439 0.1% 2%  
440 0.1% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.2% 1.4%  
443 0.1% 1.2%  
444 0.1% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 1.0%  
446 0% 0.9%  
447 0.2% 0.9%  
448 0.1% 0.7%  
449 0% 0.6%  
450 0% 0.6%  
451 0.1% 0.5%  
452 0.1% 0.4%  
453 0% 0.4%  
454 0% 0.3%  
455 0% 0.3%  
456 0% 0.3%  
457 0% 0.2%  
458 0% 0.2%  
459 0% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0.1%  
465 0% 0.1%  
466 0% 0.1%  
467 0% 0.1%  
468 0% 0.1%  
469 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
106 0% 100%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.6%  
124 0% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0% 99.5%  
127 0% 99.4%  
128 0.1% 99.4%  
129 0.1% 99.2%  
130 0.1% 99.2%  
131 0.1% 99.1%  
132 0.1% 99.0%  
133 0.2% 98.9%  
134 0.1% 98.8%  
135 0% 98.7%  
136 0.1% 98.7%  
137 0.1% 98.6%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 0.3% 98%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.1% 98%  
142 0.2% 98%  
143 0.2% 98%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0.1% 97%  
146 0.1% 97%  
147 0.1% 97%  
148 0.4% 97%  
149 0.2% 96%  
150 0.6% 96%  
151 0.4% 96%  
152 0.1% 95%  
153 0.2% 95%  
154 0.5% 95%  
155 0.2% 95%  
156 0.3% 94%  
157 0.3% 94%  
158 0.3% 94%  
159 0.4% 94%  
160 0.7% 93%  
161 0.7% 92%  
162 0.3% 92%  
163 0.6% 91%  
164 0.3% 91%  
165 0.5% 90%  
166 0.4% 90%  
167 0.3% 89%  
168 0.9% 89%  
169 0.7% 88%  
170 1.3% 87%  
171 0.3% 86%  
172 1.2% 86%  
173 0.7% 85%  
174 1.0% 84%  
175 1.0% 83%  
176 1.3% 82%  
177 2% 81%  
178 0.6% 79%  
179 0.8% 79%  
180 2% 78%  
181 1.0% 75%  
182 2% 74%  
183 0.7% 73%  
184 1.5% 72%  
185 2% 70%  
186 1.2% 68%  
187 1.3% 67%  
188 1.1% 66%  
189 1.4% 65%  
190 2% 63%  
191 1.3% 62%  
192 3% 60%  
193 0.9% 57%  
194 2% 56%  
195 3% 54%  
196 0.9% 51%  
197 0.9% 50% Median
198 3% 50%  
199 1.1% 47%  
200 0.7% 45%  
201 2% 45%  
202 2% 43%  
203 1.5% 41%  
204 2% 39%  
205 2% 37%  
206 1.1% 35%  
207 1.0% 34%  
208 2% 33%  
209 0.7% 31%  
210 2% 30%  
211 1.4% 29%  
212 2% 27%  
213 2% 25%  
214 1.0% 24%  
215 2% 23%  
216 0.7% 21%  
217 0.8% 20%  
218 1.0% 19%  
219 0.8% 18%  
220 0.9% 17%  
221 1.0% 16%  
222 0.8% 15%  
223 1.4% 15%  
224 0.8% 13%  
225 0.6% 12%  
226 2% 12%  
227 0.5% 10%  
228 0.4% 9%  
229 0.5% 9%  
230 0.5% 9%  
231 0.8% 8%  
232 0.6% 7%  
233 0.4% 7%  
234 0.2% 6%  
235 0.5% 6%  
236 0.4% 6%  
237 0.6% 5%  
238 0.5% 5%  
239 0.4% 4%  
240 0.3% 4%  
241 0.1% 3%  
242 0.3% 3%  
243 0.3% 3%  
244 0.3% 3%  
245 0.2% 2%  
246 0.3% 2%  
247 0.1% 2%  
248 0.3% 2%  
249 0.2% 2%  
250 0.2% 1.5%  
251 0.2% 1.3%  
252 0% 1.0%  
253 0.1% 1.0%  
254 0.1% 0.9%  
255 0.1% 0.8%  
256 0.1% 0.7%  
257 0.1% 0.6%  
258 0.1% 0.5%  
259 0.1% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.3%  
263 0% 0.3%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.2%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0.1%  
271 0% 0.1%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
103 0% 100%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0% 99.7%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0% 99.6%  
122 0.1% 99.6%  
123 0% 99.5%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.1% 99.4%  
126 0% 99.3%  
127 0% 99.2%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0% 99.1%  
130 0.2% 99.1%  
131 0.1% 98.9%  
132 0% 98.8%  
133 0.1% 98.7%  
134 0.2% 98.6%  
135 0.1% 98%  
136 0.3% 98%  
137 0.1% 98%  
138 0.1% 98%  
139 0.2% 98%  
140 0.1% 98%  
141 0.4% 98%  
142 0.1% 97%  
143 0.1% 97%  
144 0.1% 97%  
145 0.1% 97%  
146 0.2% 97%  
147 0.4% 97%  
148 0.3% 96%  
149 0.4% 96%  
150 0.5% 95%  
151 0.1% 95%  
152 0.2% 95%  
153 0.3% 95%  
154 0.4% 94%  
155 0.5% 94%  
156 0.2% 93%  
157 0.3% 93%  
158 0.4% 93%  
159 0.7% 93%  
160 0.8% 92%  
161 0.5% 91%  
162 0.4% 90%  
163 0.2% 90%  
164 0.7% 90%  
165 0.5% 89%  
166 1.0% 89%  
167 0.3% 88%  
168 1.2% 87%  
169 0.8% 86%  
170 0.6% 85%  
171 1.5% 85%  
172 0.7% 83%  
173 1.2% 83%  
174 0.8% 82%  
175 1.1% 81%  
176 2% 80%  
177 0.6% 78%  
178 1.0% 77%  
179 1.4% 76%  
180 2% 75%  
181 1.4% 73%  
182 3% 72%  
183 1.1% 68%  
184 1.1% 67%  
185 0.9% 66%  
186 2% 65%  
187 1.0% 63%  
188 1.5% 62%  
189 1.2% 61%  
190 1.3% 60%  
191 2% 58%  
192 3% 56%  
193 3% 54%  
194 0.7% 51% Median
195 3% 50%  
196 0.8% 47%  
197 1.3% 46%  
198 1.3% 45%  
199 2% 44%  
200 3% 42%  
201 0.7% 39%  
202 2% 38%  
203 2% 37%  
204 2% 35%  
205 2% 33%  
206 0.8% 31%  
207 0.7% 31%  
208 1.4% 30%  
209 1.5% 28%  
210 3% 27%  
211 0.8% 24%  
212 2% 23%  
213 0.9% 21%  
214 0.9% 20%  
215 0.9% 19%  
216 1.2% 19%  
217 0.8% 17%  
218 0.8% 17%  
219 0.5% 16%  
220 1.4% 15%  
221 1.0% 14%  
222 0.5% 13%  
223 0.8% 12%  
224 2% 12%  
225 0.5% 10%  
226 1.1% 10%  
227 0.2% 8%  
228 0.9% 8%  
229 0.6% 7%  
230 0.3% 7%  
231 0.3% 6%  
232 0.3% 6%  
233 0.4% 6%  
234 0.5% 5%  
235 0.6% 5%  
236 0.3% 4%  
237 0.6% 4%  
238 0.1% 3%  
239 0.3% 3%  
240 0.3% 3%  
241 0.2% 3%  
242 0.2% 2%  
243 0.2% 2%  
244 0.2% 2%  
245 0.2% 2%  
246 0.1% 2%  
247 0.1% 2%  
248 0.1% 1.4%  
249 0.3% 1.3%  
250 0.1% 1.0%  
251 0.1% 0.9%  
252 0% 0.8%  
253 0.1% 0.7%  
254 0.1% 0.6%  
255 0.1% 0.6%  
256 0.1% 0.5%  
257 0.1% 0.4%  
258 0% 0.3%  
259 0% 0.3%  
260 0% 0.3%  
261 0.1% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.1%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
119 0% 100%  
120 0% 99.9%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0% 99.8%  
131 0% 99.8%  
132 0.1% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.6%  
136 0% 99.5%  
137 0.1% 99.5%  
138 0.1% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.3%  
140 0.2% 99.1%  
141 0.2% 98.9%  
142 0.1% 98.8%  
143 0.3% 98.6%  
144 0.1% 98%  
145 0.2% 98%  
146 0.4% 98%  
147 0.2% 98%  
148 0.2% 97%  
149 0.3% 97%  
150 0.2% 97%  
151 0.1% 97%  
152 0.3% 97%  
153 0.1% 96%  
154 0.1% 96%  
155 0.3% 96%  
156 0.3% 96%  
157 0.4% 95%  
158 0.2% 95%  
159 0.5% 95%  
160 1.0% 94%  
161 0.3% 93%  
162 0.4% 93%  
163 0.5% 93%  
164 0.6% 92%  
165 0.7% 92%  
166 0.4% 91%  
167 0.6% 91%  
168 0.6% 90%  
169 0.4% 89%  
170 0.7% 89%  
171 1.1% 88%  
172 0.6% 87%  
173 0.6% 87%  
174 1.5% 86%  
175 1.4% 85%  
176 0.7% 83%  
177 1.0% 82%  
178 2% 81%  
179 2% 80%  
180 1.1% 78%  
181 2% 77%  
182 2% 75%  
183 2% 73%  
184 3% 71%  
185 3% 68%  
186 3% 64%  
187 3% 62%  
188 5% 59%  
189 2% 55%  
190 4% 52%  
191 2% 48% Median
192 2% 47%  
193 3% 45%  
194 2% 42%  
195 2% 40%  
196 2% 38%  
197 3% 36%  
198 1.3% 34%  
199 1.3% 32%  
200 0.9% 31%  
201 3% 30%  
202 2% 27%  
203 1.1% 26%  
204 2% 24%  
205 1.3% 23%  
206 1.1% 21%  
207 2% 20%  
208 1.4% 18%  
209 2% 17%  
210 1.0% 15%  
211 0.7% 14%  
212 1.4% 14%  
213 0.7% 12%  
214 0.6% 12%  
215 2% 11%  
216 0.6% 9%  
217 1.4% 9%  
218 0.4% 7%  
219 0.5% 7%  
220 0.3% 6%  
221 0.7% 6%  
222 0.6% 5%  
223 0.5% 5%  
224 0.7% 4%  
225 0.3% 4%  
226 0.2% 3%  
227 0.5% 3%  
228 0.4% 3%  
229 0.3% 2%  
230 0.2% 2%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.2% 1.4%  
233 0.2% 1.2%  
234 0.3% 1.0%  
235 0.1% 0.8%  
236 0.1% 0.7%  
237 0.1% 0.6%  
238 0.1% 0.5%  
239 0% 0.4%  
240 0% 0.4%  
241 0.1% 0.3%  
242 0% 0.3%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0% 99.8%  
86 0% 99.7%  
87 0.1% 99.7%  
88 0% 99.6%  
89 0.1% 99.6%  
90 0% 99.5%  
91 0.1% 99.5%  
92 0% 99.4%  
93 0.1% 99.4%  
94 0.1% 99.3%  
95 0.1% 99.2%  
96 0.1% 99.2%  
97 0.1% 99.1%  
98 0.1% 99.0%  
99 0.4% 98.9%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.1% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.2% 98%  
105 0.2% 98%  
106 0% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.2% 97%  
109 0.3% 97%  
110 0.3% 97%  
111 0.3% 97%  
112 0.1% 96%  
113 0.2% 96%  
114 0.4% 96%  
115 0.2% 96%  
116 0.1% 95%  
117 0.4% 95%  
118 0.4% 95%  
119 0.1% 95%  
120 0.5% 94%  
121 0.6% 94%  
122 0.4% 93%  
123 0.4% 93%  
124 0.4% 93%  
125 0.4% 92%  
126 0.6% 92%  
127 0.7% 91%  
128 0.6% 90%  
129 0.6% 90%  
130 0.9% 89%  
131 0.2% 88%  
132 0.9% 88%  
133 0.7% 87%  
134 0.7% 87%  
135 0.7% 86%  
136 0.7% 85%  
137 1.5% 85%  
138 1.2% 83%  
139 1.1% 82%  
140 0.9% 81%  
141 1.4% 80%  
142 0.8% 79%  
143 0.8% 78%  
144 3% 77%  
145 2% 74%  
146 3% 73%  
147 0.9% 70%  
148 2% 69%  
149 1.3% 68%  
150 2% 66%  
151 2% 64%  
152 3% 62%  
153 2% 59%  
154 3% 57%  
155 3% 55%  
156 1.1% 52%  
157 2% 51% Median
158 1.3% 49%  
159 1.3% 48%  
160 2% 46%  
161 2% 44%  
162 0.8% 42%  
163 3% 41%  
164 3% 38%  
165 1.0% 35%  
166 1.4% 34%  
167 2% 33%  
168 2% 31%  
169 0.8% 30%  
170 1.4% 29%  
171 1.1% 28%  
172 1.4% 26%  
173 3% 25%  
174 2% 22%  
175 0.4% 21%  
176 0.8% 20%  
177 1.2% 19%  
178 0.4% 18%  
179 2% 18%  
180 2% 16%  
181 0.6% 14%  
182 0.4% 14%  
183 1.0% 13%  
184 1.1% 12%  
185 1.0% 11%  
186 0.8% 10%  
187 1.2% 10%  
188 0.8% 8%  
189 0.4% 8%  
190 0.8% 7%  
191 0.2% 6%  
192 0.3% 6%  
193 0.7% 6%  
194 0.3% 5%  
195 0.3% 5%  
196 0.3% 5%  
197 0.3% 4%  
198 0.7% 4%  
199 0.4% 3%  
200 0.4% 3%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.3% 2%  
203 0.2% 2%  
204 0.1% 2%  
205 0.2% 2%  
206 0.2% 1.5%  
207 0.1% 1.2%  
208 0.1% 1.1%  
209 0.3% 1.0%  
210 0.1% 0.7%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.6%  
213 0.1% 0.5%  
214 0.1% 0.4%  
215 0.1% 0.4%  
216 0.1% 0.3%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.2%  
220 0% 0.2%  
221 0% 0.2%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.9%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0% 99.7%  
84 0% 99.7%  
85 0% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0% 99.6%  
88 0% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.5%  
90 0.1% 99.4%  
91 0% 99.3%  
92 0% 99.3%  
93 0.1% 99.2%  
94 0.1% 99.2%  
95 0.1% 99.1%  
96 0.4% 99.0%  
97 0.1% 98.5%  
98 0.1% 98%  
99 0.1% 98%  
100 0.1% 98%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.1% 98%  
103 0.1% 98%  
104 0.1% 98%  
105 0.3% 97%  
106 0.3% 97%  
107 0.3% 97%  
108 0.2% 97%  
109 0.2% 96%  
110 0.1% 96%  
111 0.2% 96%  
112 0.1% 96%  
113 0.4% 96%  
114 0.3% 95%  
115 0.2% 95%  
116 0.2% 95%  
117 0.6% 95%  
118 0.4% 94%  
119 0.3% 94%  
120 0.6% 93%  
121 0.6% 93%  
122 0.3% 92%  
123 0.6% 92%  
124 0.6% 91%  
125 0.5% 91%  
126 0.4% 90%  
127 0.7% 90%  
128 0.8% 89%  
129 0.6% 88%  
130 0.8% 88%  
131 0.4% 87%  
132 0.8% 87%  
133 0.7% 86%  
134 0.7% 85%  
135 0.8% 84%  
136 2% 84%  
137 0.8% 81%  
138 0.9% 81%  
139 2% 80%  
140 1.0% 78%  
141 0.7% 77%  
142 1.2% 77%  
143 2% 75%  
144 3% 73%  
145 2% 71%  
146 2% 69%  
147 2% 67%  
148 3% 65%  
149 1.3% 63%  
150 3% 61%  
151 2% 58%  
152 2% 57%  
153 3% 55%  
154 2% 52% Median
155 2% 49%  
156 0.7% 47%  
157 1.1% 47%  
158 1.2% 46%  
159 3% 44%  
160 2% 41%  
161 2% 39%  
162 2% 38%  
163 2% 36%  
164 1.4% 33%  
165 1.5% 32%  
166 1.2% 30%  
167 1.2% 29%  
168 1.1% 28%  
169 2% 27%  
170 2% 25%  
171 0.9% 23%  
172 2% 22%  
173 0.5% 20%  
174 0.9% 20%  
175 0.9% 19%  
176 2% 18%  
177 0.8% 16%  
178 1.3% 15%  
179 0.6% 14%  
180 0.5% 13%  
181 0.5% 13%  
182 1.1% 12%  
183 0.8% 11%  
184 0.6% 10%  
185 2% 10%  
186 0.7% 8%  
187 0.7% 7%  
188 0.5% 7%  
189 0.5% 6%  
190 0.3% 6%  
191 0.4% 5%  
192 0.3% 5%  
193 0.4% 5%  
194 0.3% 4%  
195 0.4% 4%  
196 0.5% 4%  
197 0.7% 3%  
198 0.3% 3%  
199 0.1% 2%  
200 0.2% 2%  
201 0.2% 2%  
202 0.1% 2%  
203 0.3% 2%  
204 0.2% 1.2%  
205 0.1% 1.0%  
206 0.2% 0.9%  
207 0.1% 0.8%  
208 0.1% 0.7%  
209 0.1% 0.6%  
210 0.1% 0.5%  
211 0.1% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.2%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations