Opinion Poll by We Think, 12–13 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.4% 45.5–49.3% 45.0–49.8% 44.6–50.3% 43.7–51.2%
Conservative Party 43.6% 22.0% 20.5–23.6% 20.1–24.1% 19.7–24.5% 19.0–25.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 12.1% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.8% 10.4–14.1% 9.9–14.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 6.7% 5.9–7.7% 5.6–8.0% 5.4–8.3% 5.0–8.8%
Green Party 2.8% 5.2% 4.4–6.1% 4.2–6.4% 4.1–6.6% 3.7–7.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.5–3.2% 1.3–3.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 447 413–474 406–480 400–483 388–492
Conservative Party 365 92 63–130 57–139 53–146 42–158
Liberal Democrats 11 52 42–62 40–66 38–69 35–73
Brexit Party 0 5 4–16 3–18 3–19 3–20
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 21 13–32 9–34 6–36 3–41
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 3–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.2% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.1% 99.1%  
393 0.1% 99.1%  
394 0.2% 99.0%  
395 0.2% 98.8%  
396 0.3% 98.6%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.2% 97%  
403 0.4% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.4% 96%  
406 0.5% 95%  
407 0.5% 95%  
408 0.5% 94%  
409 0.8% 94%  
410 1.3% 93%  
411 0.6% 92%  
412 0.8% 91%  
413 0.7% 90%  
414 0.7% 90%  
415 0.6% 89%  
416 0.4% 88%  
417 1.0% 88%  
418 1.0% 87%  
419 0.8% 86%  
420 2% 85%  
421 1.0% 83%  
422 0.5% 82%  
423 0.6% 82%  
424 2% 81%  
425 1.1% 79%  
426 1.0% 78%  
427 1.0% 77%  
428 2% 76%  
429 2% 75%  
430 1.0% 73%  
431 1.3% 72%  
432 0.8% 71%  
433 1.4% 70%  
434 2% 68%  
435 0.7% 66%  
436 0.9% 66%  
437 2% 65%  
438 0.8% 62%  
439 0.8% 62%  
440 0.5% 61%  
441 1.4% 60%  
442 1.0% 59%  
443 1.5% 58%  
444 0.8% 56%  
445 3% 56%  
446 3% 53%  
447 2% 51% Median
448 1.4% 49%  
449 1.0% 48%  
450 1.0% 46%  
451 2% 45%  
452 2% 43%  
453 2% 41%  
454 4% 39%  
455 0.6% 36%  
456 2% 35%  
457 2% 33%  
458 1.5% 31%  
459 2% 29%  
460 2% 28%  
461 2% 26%  
462 2% 24%  
463 1.4% 22%  
464 0.5% 21%  
465 2% 20%  
466 1.4% 18%  
467 1.3% 16%  
468 0.7% 15%  
469 0.9% 14%  
470 1.1% 13%  
471 0.5% 12%  
472 0.9% 12%  
473 0.8% 11%  
474 0.6% 10%  
475 1.0% 10%  
476 1.2% 8%  
477 0.4% 7%  
478 0.4% 7%  
479 1.1% 6%  
480 0.9% 5%  
481 1.3% 5%  
482 0.6% 3%  
483 0.4% 3%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.4% 2%  
486 0.4% 2%  
487 0.2% 1.3%  
488 0.1% 1.1%  
489 0.2% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0.1% 0.6%  
492 0.2% 0.5%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 0.1% 99.5%  
43 0.1% 99.4%  
44 0.1% 99.3%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 0.1% 99.1%  
47 0.2% 99.0%  
48 0.2% 98.8%  
49 0.3% 98.6%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 0.2% 98%  
53 0.7% 98%  
54 0.6% 97%  
55 0.4% 96%  
56 0.8% 96%  
57 0.7% 95%  
58 0.8% 94%  
59 0.8% 94%  
60 0.8% 93%  
61 0.9% 92%  
62 0.9% 91%  
63 0.9% 90%  
64 0.8% 89%  
65 0.6% 88%  
66 2% 88%  
67 1.3% 86%  
68 0.7% 85%  
69 1.0% 84%  
70 0.8% 83%  
71 0.8% 83%  
72 2% 82%  
73 2% 80%  
74 1.1% 78%  
75 1.5% 77%  
76 1.3% 76%  
77 1.0% 75%  
78 1.1% 74%  
79 2% 72%  
80 1.4% 71%  
81 2% 69%  
82 1.3% 68%  
83 2% 66%  
84 0.9% 65%  
85 1.4% 64%  
86 2% 62%  
87 3% 60%  
88 2% 58%  
89 1.5% 56%  
90 1.4% 54%  
91 0.7% 53%  
92 3% 52% Median
93 1.5% 49%  
94 2% 47%  
95 1.1% 46%  
96 2% 45%  
97 0.8% 43%  
98 1.1% 42%  
99 1.0% 41%  
100 1.3% 40%  
101 2% 39%  
102 0.4% 36%  
103 1.0% 36%  
104 0.8% 35%  
105 2% 34%  
106 0.6% 32%  
107 0.7% 32%  
108 2% 31%  
109 0.8% 29%  
110 0.9% 28%  
111 0.7% 27%  
112 1.2% 27%  
113 0.5% 26%  
114 0.5% 25%  
115 1.4% 25%  
116 2% 23%  
117 1.0% 21%  
118 1.5% 20%  
119 0.6% 19%  
120 0.7% 18%  
121 0.5% 17%  
122 0.9% 17%  
123 1.0% 16%  
124 0.7% 15%  
125 0.7% 14%  
126 0.8% 14%  
127 0.7% 13%  
128 0.6% 12%  
129 1.1% 11%  
130 0.7% 10%  
131 0.3% 10%  
132 0.4% 9%  
133 0.7% 9%  
134 1.0% 8%  
135 0.7% 7%  
136 0.4% 7%  
137 0.4% 6%  
138 0.6% 6%  
139 0.3% 5%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.4% 5%  
142 0.2% 4%  
143 0.8% 4%  
144 0.2% 3%  
145 0.4% 3%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.5%  
151 0.2% 1.3%  
152 0.1% 1.1%  
153 0.1% 1.0%  
154 0.1% 0.9%  
155 0.1% 0.7%  
156 0.1% 0.7%  
157 0% 0.6%  
158 0.1% 0.5%  
159 0% 0.4%  
160 0% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 99.9%  
30 0.1% 99.9%  
31 0.1% 99.9%  
32 0.1% 99.8%  
33 0.1% 99.7%  
34 0% 99.7%  
35 0.2% 99.6%  
36 0.5% 99.5%  
37 1.3% 99.0%  
38 1.0% 98%  
39 0.9% 97%  
40 2% 96%  
41 3% 94%  
42 4% 91%  
43 1.3% 87%  
44 0.7% 85%  
45 0.8% 85%  
46 1.5% 84%  
47 1.2% 82%  
48 0.8% 81%  
49 3% 80%  
50 16% 78%  
51 11% 62%  
52 8% 51% Median
53 5% 44%  
54 4% 39%  
55 4% 35%  
56 3% 31%  
57 2% 28%  
58 2% 26%  
59 4% 24%  
60 5% 20%  
61 3% 15%  
62 3% 12%  
63 2% 9%  
64 1.2% 7%  
65 0.7% 6%  
66 1.2% 6%  
67 1.1% 4%  
68 0.7% 3%  
69 0.5% 3%  
70 0.5% 2%  
71 0.6% 2%  
72 0.4% 1.0%  
73 0.3% 0.5%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 7% 100%  
4 33% 93%  
5 11% 60% Median
6 7% 50%  
7 4% 43%  
8 2% 38%  
9 0.9% 36%  
10 2% 36%  
11 4% 34%  
12 8% 30%  
13 6% 22%  
14 5% 16%  
15 0.5% 11%  
16 3% 11%  
17 1.1% 8%  
18 2% 7%  
19 3% 4%  
20 1.3% 1.5%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 60% 100% Last Result, Median
2 33% 40%  
3 7% 7%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.9%  
2 0.2% 99.7%  
3 0.5% 99.5%  
4 0.3% 99.1%  
5 0.6% 98.8%  
6 2% 98%  
7 0.4% 96%  
8 0.5% 96%  
9 0.5% 95%  
10 1.1% 95%  
11 1.2% 94%  
12 2% 92%  
13 1.3% 90%  
14 3% 89%  
15 7% 86%  
16 4% 79%  
17 3% 75%  
18 5% 72%  
19 6% 67%  
20 7% 62%  
21 10% 55% Median
22 6% 45%  
23 4% 40%  
24 3% 36%  
25 8% 33%  
26 2% 25%  
27 4% 23%  
28 0.4% 19%  
29 5% 19%  
30 1.4% 14%  
31 0.2% 13%  
32 3% 12%  
33 0.2% 10%  
34 5% 9%  
35 0.1% 4%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.2% 2%  
38 1.0% 2%  
39 0.1% 1.1%  
40 0.3% 0.9%  
41 0.4% 0.6%  
42 0% 0.2%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.1%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0% Last Result

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.8% 100%  
4 6% 99.1% Last Result
5 83% 93% Median
6 9% 10%  
7 1.4% 2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 528 100% 490–559 481–566 474–570 461–581
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 526 100% 488–557 479–564 472–569 460–580
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 521 100% 483–552 474–559 467–564 454–575
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 504 100% 466–536 457–542 450–547 437–558
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 499 100% 461–531 452–537 445–542 432–553
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 474 100% 440–500 432–507 427–510 416–517
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 469 100% 435–495 427–502 422–505 410–512
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 452 100% 418–479 411–485 405–488 393–496
Labour Party 202 447 100% 413–474 406–480 400–483 388–492
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 144 0% 120–178 115–186 112–189 105–200
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 119 0% 89–156 84–166 79–173 68–185
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 114 0% 84–151 79–161 74–167 63–180
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 97 0% 68–135 62–144 58–151 47–163
Conservative Party 365 92 0% 63–130 57–139 53–146 42–158

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.9%  
451 0% 99.9%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.8%  
455 0% 99.8%  
456 0% 99.8%  
457 0.1% 99.7%  
458 0.1% 99.7%  
459 0% 99.6%  
460 0% 99.6%  
461 0.1% 99.5%  
462 0% 99.5%  
463 0.1% 99.4%  
464 0.1% 99.3%  
465 0.3% 99.2%  
466 0% 98.9%  
467 0.1% 98.9%  
468 0.1% 98.8%  
469 0.2% 98.7%  
470 0.2% 98.5%  
471 0.2% 98%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 0.2% 98%  
474 0.2% 98%  
475 0.2% 97%  
476 0.4% 97%  
477 0.4% 97%  
478 0.4% 96%  
479 0.6% 96%  
480 0.3% 95%  
481 0.4% 95%  
482 0.4% 95%  
483 1.1% 94%  
484 0.5% 93%  
485 0.6% 93%  
486 0.5% 92%  
487 0.5% 92%  
488 0.3% 91%  
489 0.6% 91%  
490 0.8% 90%  
491 0.6% 89%  
492 0.7% 89%  
493 0.7% 88%  
494 0.9% 87%  
495 1.0% 86%  
496 0.8% 85%  
497 0.5% 85%  
498 2% 84%  
499 0.4% 82%  
500 2% 82%  
501 0.5% 80%  
502 1.3% 80%  
503 0.7% 78%  
504 0.2% 78%  
505 0.9% 78%  
506 2% 77%  
507 2% 75%  
508 0.9% 73%  
509 0.6% 72%  
510 0.6% 72%  
511 2% 71%  
512 1.1% 69%  
513 1.3% 68%  
514 0.5% 67%  
515 1.1% 66%  
516 1.2% 65%  
517 2% 64%  
518 0.5% 62%  
519 0.3% 62%  
520 2% 62%  
521 1.3% 60%  
522 1.3% 59%  
523 2% 57%  
524 0.7% 55%  
525 0.8% 55%  
526 0.9% 54% Median
527 1.4% 53%  
528 2% 51%  
529 1.3% 49%  
530 1.0% 48%  
531 2% 47%  
532 2% 45%  
533 1.2% 42%  
534 1.0% 41%  
535 2% 40%  
536 2% 38%  
537 1.4% 36%  
538 2% 35%  
539 2% 33%  
540 1.2% 31%  
541 1.4% 30%  
542 1.4% 29%  
543 2% 27%  
544 1.1% 26%  
545 1.0% 25%  
546 0.7% 24%  
547 2% 23%  
548 0.9% 21%  
549 1.3% 20%  
550 0.8% 19%  
551 2% 18%  
552 0.7% 16%  
553 0.9% 16%  
554 0.9% 15%  
555 0.8% 14%  
556 1.2% 13%  
557 1.2% 12%  
558 0.7% 11%  
559 0.5% 10%  
560 0.9% 10%  
561 0.8% 9%  
562 1.0% 8%  
563 0.7% 7%  
564 0.4% 6%  
565 0.4% 6%  
566 0.9% 5%  
567 0.7% 4%  
568 0.6% 4%  
569 0.4% 3%  
570 0.4% 3%  
571 0.3% 2%  
572 0.3% 2%  
573 0.2% 2%  
574 0.2% 2%  
575 0.2% 1.4%  
576 0.2% 1.1%  
577 0.1% 0.9%  
578 0.1% 0.8%  
579 0.1% 0.7%  
580 0.1% 0.6%  
581 0.1% 0.5%  
582 0.1% 0.5%  
583 0.1% 0.4%  
584 0.1% 0.3%  
585 0.1% 0.2%  
586 0% 0.2%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0.1%  
592 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0% 99.8%  
455 0% 99.7%  
456 0% 99.7%  
457 0% 99.7%  
458 0% 99.6%  
459 0% 99.6%  
460 0.1% 99.5%  
461 0.1% 99.4%  
462 0.1% 99.4%  
463 0.1% 99.3%  
464 0.3% 99.2%  
465 0.1% 98.9%  
466 0.1% 98.8%  
467 0.1% 98.7%  
468 0.2% 98.6%  
469 0.2% 98%  
470 0.3% 98%  
471 0.2% 98%  
472 0.2% 98%  
473 0.3% 97%  
474 0.2% 97%  
475 0.3% 97%  
476 0.4% 97%  
477 0.4% 96%  
478 0.7% 96%  
479 0.3% 95%  
480 0.4% 95%  
481 0.4% 95%  
482 1.0% 94%  
483 0.6% 93%  
484 0.5% 92%  
485 0.7% 92%  
486 0.4% 91%  
487 0.5% 91%  
488 0.5% 90%  
489 0.7% 90%  
490 0.7% 89%  
491 1.0% 89%  
492 0.8% 88%  
493 0.7% 87%  
494 1.0% 86%  
495 0.7% 85%  
496 0.5% 84%  
497 2% 84%  
498 0.4% 82%  
499 2% 82%  
500 0.6% 80%  
501 1.3% 79%  
502 0.5% 78%  
503 0.3% 78%  
504 0.9% 77%  
505 2% 76%  
506 2% 74%  
507 0.7% 73%  
508 0.6% 72%  
509 0.6% 71%  
510 3% 71%  
511 0.8% 68%  
512 0.7% 67%  
513 0.8% 67%  
514 1.5% 66%  
515 0.6% 64%  
516 2% 64%  
517 0.3% 62%  
518 0.7% 62%  
519 1.5% 61%  
520 1.3% 59%  
521 1.1% 58%  
522 2% 57%  
523 0.9% 55%  
524 0.7% 54%  
525 0.9% 53% Median
526 2% 52%  
527 2% 50%  
528 1.1% 48%  
529 1.2% 47%  
530 3% 46%  
531 0.9% 43%  
532 1.3% 42%  
533 2% 41%  
534 2% 38%  
535 1.4% 37%  
536 2% 35%  
537 2% 34%  
538 2% 32%  
539 1.5% 30%  
540 0.7% 29%  
541 2% 28%  
542 0.8% 26%  
543 1.1% 25%  
544 1.0% 24%  
545 1.1% 23%  
546 1.3% 22%  
547 2% 21%  
548 0.4% 19%  
549 2% 19%  
550 1.0% 17%  
551 0.9% 16%  
552 0.9% 15%  
553 0.8% 14%  
554 1.3% 14%  
555 1.1% 12%  
556 0.9% 11%  
557 0.5% 10%  
558 0.6% 10%  
559 1.1% 9%  
560 1.0% 8%  
561 0.6% 7%  
562 0.5% 7%  
563 0.4% 6%  
564 0.9% 6%  
565 0.7% 5%  
566 0.5% 4%  
567 0.6% 3%  
568 0.3% 3%  
569 0.4% 3%  
570 0.3% 2%  
571 0.3% 2%  
572 0.3% 2%  
573 0.1% 1.4%  
574 0.3% 1.3%  
575 0.1% 1.0%  
576 0.2% 0.9%  
577 0.1% 0.7%  
578 0.1% 0.6%  
579 0% 0.6%  
580 0.1% 0.5%  
581 0.1% 0.5%  
582 0.1% 0.3%  
583 0.1% 0.3%  
584 0.1% 0.2%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0.1%  
587 0% 0.1%  
588 0% 0.1%  
589 0% 0.1%  
590 0% 0.1%  
591 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.8%  
446 0% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.8%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.7%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0.1% 99.6%  
453 0% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.1% 99.5%  
456 0.1% 99.4%  
457 0.1% 99.3%  
458 0.1% 99.3%  
459 0.2% 99.1%  
460 0.1% 98.9%  
461 0.1% 98.8%  
462 0.2% 98.7%  
463 0.2% 98.6%  
464 0.2% 98%  
465 0.3% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.2% 98%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.2% 97%  
470 0.3% 97%  
471 0.5% 97%  
472 0.4% 96%  
473 0.7% 96%  
474 0.2% 95%  
475 0.4% 95%  
476 0.4% 94%  
477 1.0% 94%  
478 0.5% 93%  
479 0.7% 93%  
480 0.6% 92%  
481 0.4% 91%  
482 0.4% 91%  
483 0.6% 90%  
484 0.8% 90%  
485 0.5% 89%  
486 1.1% 89%  
487 0.6% 87%  
488 0.8% 87%  
489 0.8% 86%  
490 0.9% 85%  
491 0.5% 84%  
492 2% 84%  
493 0.5% 82%  
494 1.5% 82%  
495 1.0% 80%  
496 1.2% 79%  
497 0.5% 78%  
498 0.4% 78%  
499 0.9% 77%  
500 2% 76%  
501 2% 74%  
502 0.7% 73%  
503 0.5% 72%  
504 0.6% 71%  
505 3% 71%  
506 0.8% 68%  
507 0.6% 67%  
508 0.8% 67%  
509 1.3% 66%  
510 1.1% 65%  
511 2% 63%  
512 0.3% 62%  
513 0.6% 62%  
514 2% 61%  
515 1.1% 59%  
516 1.2% 58%  
517 2% 57%  
518 1.0% 55%  
519 0.7% 54%  
520 1.0% 53% Median
521 3% 52%  
522 1.3% 50%  
523 1.1% 48%  
524 2% 47%  
525 3% 46%  
526 0.9% 43%  
527 1.3% 42%  
528 2% 40%  
529 2% 38%  
530 1.5% 37%  
531 1.5% 35%  
532 1.4% 34%  
533 2% 32%  
534 2% 31%  
535 0.9% 29%  
536 2% 28%  
537 0.9% 26%  
538 1.3% 25%  
539 0.9% 24%  
540 0.9% 23%  
541 2% 22%  
542 1.5% 21%  
543 0.5% 19%  
544 1.5% 19%  
545 1.0% 17%  
546 0.9% 16%  
547 0.9% 15%  
548 0.8% 14%  
549 1.4% 14%  
550 1.1% 12%  
551 0.9% 11%  
552 0.5% 10%  
553 0.4% 10%  
554 1.4% 9%  
555 0.9% 8%  
556 0.6% 7%  
557 0.5% 7%  
558 0.4% 6%  
559 0.9% 6%  
560 0.7% 5%  
561 0.5% 4%  
562 0.6% 3%  
563 0.3% 3%  
564 0.4% 3%  
565 0.3% 2%  
566 0.3% 2%  
567 0.3% 2%  
568 0.1% 1.4%  
569 0.2% 1.3%  
570 0.1% 1.1%  
571 0.2% 0.9%  
572 0.1% 0.7%  
573 0.1% 0.7%  
574 0% 0.6%  
575 0.1% 0.5%  
576 0.1% 0.5%  
577 0.1% 0.4%  
578 0.1% 0.3%  
579 0.1% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0.1%  
586 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.9%  
425 0% 99.9%  
426 0% 99.9%  
427 0% 99.9%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.8%  
430 0% 99.8%  
431 0% 99.8%  
432 0% 99.8%  
433 0% 99.7%  
434 0% 99.7%  
435 0% 99.7%  
436 0.1% 99.6%  
437 0.1% 99.5%  
438 0.1% 99.5%  
439 0% 99.4%  
440 0.1% 99.4%  
441 0.2% 99.3%  
442 0.1% 99.0%  
443 0.2% 98.9%  
444 0.1% 98.7%  
445 0.2% 98.6%  
446 0.3% 98%  
447 0.2% 98%  
448 0.2% 98%  
449 0.2% 98%  
450 0.3% 98%  
451 0.2% 97%  
452 0.3% 97%  
453 0.2% 97%  
454 0.5% 97%  
455 0.3% 96%  
456 0.5% 96%  
457 0.6% 95%  
458 0.5% 95%  
459 0.2% 94%  
460 0.6% 94%  
461 0.4% 93%  
462 0.5% 93%  
463 0.4% 93%  
464 0.6% 92%  
465 1.1% 92%  
466 0.6% 90%  
467 0.5% 90%  
468 0.6% 89%  
469 0.4% 89%  
470 1.1% 88%  
471 0.5% 87%  
472 0.7% 87%  
473 0.8% 86%  
474 0.5% 85%  
475 1.0% 85%  
476 1.3% 84%  
477 1.4% 82%  
478 1.3% 81%  
479 0.9% 80%  
480 0.8% 79%  
481 0.9% 78%  
482 0.4% 77%  
483 1.0% 77%  
484 2% 76%  
485 1.0% 74%  
486 1.1% 73%  
487 0.6% 72%  
488 1.4% 71%  
489 2% 70%  
490 0.9% 68%  
491 0.6% 67%  
492 2% 66%  
493 0.7% 64%  
494 0.8% 64%  
495 0.7% 63%  
496 1.0% 62%  
497 0.9% 61%  
498 0.7% 60%  
499 0.7% 60%  
500 0.6% 59%  
501 4% 58%  
502 2% 54%  
503 1.1% 52%  
504 1.3% 51% Median
505 0.7% 50%  
506 2% 49%  
507 0.9% 47%  
508 1.3% 47%  
509 4% 45%  
510 1.5% 41%  
511 1.1% 40%  
512 1.5% 39%  
513 1.1% 37%  
514 2% 36%  
515 2% 35%  
516 0.9% 33%  
517 1.4% 32%  
518 1.2% 30%  
519 2% 29%  
520 1.2% 27%  
521 1.1% 26%  
522 2% 25%  
523 2% 23%  
524 1.0% 22%  
525 2% 21%  
526 0.8% 19%  
527 0.6% 18%  
528 0.9% 18%  
529 1.4% 17%  
530 0.7% 15%  
531 1.3% 15%  
532 0.7% 13%  
533 0.5% 13%  
534 0.9% 12%  
535 1.0% 11%  
536 1.3% 10%  
537 0.6% 9%  
538 0.7% 8%  
539 0.7% 8%  
540 0.9% 7%  
541 0.7% 6%  
542 1.0% 5%  
543 0.4% 4%  
544 0.4% 4%  
545 0.6% 4%  
546 0.4% 3%  
547 0.3% 3%  
548 0.3% 2%  
549 0.2% 2%  
550 0.3% 2%  
551 0.2% 2%  
552 0.1% 1.4%  
553 0.2% 1.3%  
554 0.1% 1.1%  
555 0.2% 0.9%  
556 0.1% 0.8%  
557 0.1% 0.7%  
558 0.2% 0.6%  
559 0.1% 0.4%  
560 0.1% 0.4%  
561 0% 0.3%  
562 0% 0.3%  
563 0.1% 0.2%  
564 0% 0.2%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0.1%  
567 0% 0.1%  
568 0% 0.1%  
569 0% 0.1%  
570 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0% 99.9%  
424 0% 99.8%  
425 0% 99.8%  
426 0% 99.8%  
427 0% 99.8%  
428 0% 99.7%  
429 0% 99.7%  
430 0% 99.7%  
431 0.1% 99.6%  
432 0.1% 99.5%  
433 0% 99.4%  
434 0.1% 99.4%  
435 0.1% 99.3%  
436 0.3% 99.3%  
437 0.1% 99.0%  
438 0.2% 98.9%  
439 0.1% 98.7%  
440 0.2% 98.6%  
441 0.3% 98%  
442 0.2% 98%  
443 0.2% 98%  
444 0.2% 98%  
445 0.3% 98%  
446 0.2% 97%  
447 0.3% 97%  
448 0.2% 97%  
449 0.5% 97%  
450 0.3% 96%  
451 0.6% 96%  
452 0.6% 95%  
453 0.4% 95%  
454 0.2% 94%  
455 0.6% 94%  
456 0.4% 93%  
457 0.6% 93%  
458 0.4% 92%  
459 0.5% 92%  
460 1.0% 92%  
461 0.7% 91%  
462 0.5% 90%  
463 0.5% 89%  
464 0.5% 89%  
465 1.0% 88%  
466 0.6% 87%  
467 0.9% 87%  
468 0.7% 86%  
469 0.5% 85%  
470 0.9% 85%  
471 1.3% 84%  
472 1.3% 82%  
473 1.0% 81%  
474 1.3% 80%  
475 0.8% 79%  
476 0.8% 78%  
477 0.6% 77%  
478 0.9% 77%  
479 2% 76%  
480 1.0% 74%  
481 1.1% 73%  
482 0.6% 72%  
483 1.5% 71%  
484 2% 70%  
485 0.9% 68%  
486 0.7% 67%  
487 2% 66%  
488 0.7% 64%  
489 0.6% 64%  
490 0.7% 63%  
491 1.0% 62%  
492 1.0% 61%  
493 0.6% 60%  
494 0.7% 60%  
495 1.2% 59%  
496 4% 58%  
497 2% 54%  
498 1.3% 52%  
499 1.2% 51% Median
500 0.8% 50%  
501 2% 49%  
502 1.1% 47%  
503 1.0% 46%  
504 4% 45%  
505 2% 41%  
506 0.8% 40%  
507 2% 39%  
508 1.0% 37%  
509 2% 36%  
510 2% 35%  
511 0.9% 33%  
512 1.4% 32%  
513 1.1% 30%  
514 2% 29%  
515 0.8% 27%  
516 1.0% 26%  
517 2% 25%  
518 1.5% 23%  
519 1.0% 22%  
520 2% 21%  
521 0.8% 19%  
522 0.6% 18%  
523 0.9% 18%  
524 1.4% 17%  
525 0.6% 15%  
526 1.4% 15%  
527 0.6% 13%  
528 0.5% 13%  
529 0.9% 12%  
530 1.2% 11%  
531 1.3% 10%  
532 0.6% 9%  
533 0.6% 8%  
534 0.6% 8%  
535 1.0% 7%  
536 0.7% 6%  
537 0.9% 5%  
538 0.3% 4%  
539 0.4% 4%  
540 0.6% 4%  
541 0.4% 3%  
542 0.2% 3%  
543 0.4% 2%  
544 0.2% 2%  
545 0.2% 2%  
546 0.2% 2%  
547 0.1% 1.4%  
548 0.2% 1.3%  
549 0.1% 1.1%  
550 0.2% 1.0%  
551 0.1% 0.8%  
552 0.1% 0.7%  
553 0.2% 0.6%  
554 0.1% 0.5%  
555 0.1% 0.4%  
556 0% 0.3%  
557 0% 0.3%  
558 0% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.7%  
413 0.1% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.6%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.4%  
418 0.1% 99.4%  
419 0.1% 99.3%  
420 0.2% 99.2%  
421 0.2% 99.0%  
422 0.1% 98.9%  
423 0.3% 98.8%  
424 0.2% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.3% 98%  
427 0.3% 98%  
428 0.3% 97%  
429 0.5% 97%  
430 0.4% 97%  
431 0.8% 96%  
432 0.4% 95%  
433 0.4% 95%  
434 0.7% 95%  
435 0.7% 94%  
436 0.5% 93%  
437 0.8% 93%  
438 0.5% 92%  
439 1.0% 91%  
440 1.0% 90%  
441 0.5% 89%  
442 0.4% 89%  
443 0.7% 88%  
444 1.4% 88%  
445 1.4% 86%  
446 1.1% 85%  
447 0.8% 84%  
448 0.9% 83%  
449 2% 82%  
450 0.7% 80%  
451 0.7% 79%  
452 0.9% 79%  
453 1.2% 78%  
454 2% 77%  
455 0.5% 74%  
456 2% 74%  
457 1.1% 72%  
458 0.9% 71%  
459 1.2% 70%  
460 2% 69%  
461 0.8% 67%  
462 0.9% 66%  
463 0.8% 65%  
464 1.5% 64%  
465 2% 63%  
466 1.2% 61%  
467 0.8% 60%  
468 0.9% 59%  
469 2% 58%  
470 2% 57%  
471 1.0% 55%  
472 1.4% 54%  
473 1.1% 52% Median
474 1.4% 51%  
475 1.3% 50%  
476 4% 48%  
477 0.9% 45%  
478 1.2% 44%  
479 1.1% 43%  
480 3% 42%  
481 3% 38%  
482 1.3% 36%  
483 3% 34%  
484 1.1% 32%  
485 2% 31%  
486 1.5% 29%  
487 2% 27%  
488 2% 25%  
489 2% 23%  
490 0.9% 21%  
491 2% 20%  
492 1.3% 18%  
493 0.7% 17%  
494 1.2% 16%  
495 1.0% 15%  
496 0.8% 14%  
497 0.8% 13%  
498 0.7% 12%  
499 0.8% 12%  
500 1.2% 11%  
501 0.5% 10%  
502 1.1% 9%  
503 0.7% 8%  
504 0.7% 7%  
505 0.7% 7%  
506 1.0% 6%  
507 0.8% 5%  
508 0.5% 4%  
509 0.7% 4%  
510 1.0% 3%  
511 0.6% 2%  
512 0.4% 1.5%  
513 0.1% 1.1%  
514 0.1% 1.0%  
515 0.2% 0.9%  
516 0.1% 0.7%  
517 0.1% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.5%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.8%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0.1% 99.7%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0.1% 99.6%  
411 0.1% 99.5%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.3%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.2% 99.2%  
416 0.2% 99.0%  
417 0.1% 98.9%  
418 0.3% 98.8%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.4% 98%  
422 0.4% 98%  
423 0.3% 97%  
424 0.5% 97%  
425 0.5% 97%  
426 0.7% 96%  
427 0.4% 95%  
428 0.6% 95%  
429 0.5% 94%  
430 0.6% 94%  
431 0.4% 93%  
432 1.0% 93%  
433 0.4% 92%  
434 1.0% 91%  
435 1.0% 90%  
436 0.5% 89%  
437 0.5% 89%  
438 0.7% 88%  
439 1.2% 88%  
440 2% 86%  
441 1.0% 85%  
442 0.8% 84%  
443 1.1% 83%  
444 2% 82%  
445 1.0% 80%  
446 0.7% 79%  
447 0.9% 79%  
448 1.1% 78%  
449 2% 77%  
450 0.7% 74%  
451 2% 74%  
452 1.2% 72%  
453 0.8% 71%  
454 1.2% 70%  
455 2% 69%  
456 0.7% 67%  
457 1.1% 66%  
458 0.9% 65%  
459 1.2% 64%  
460 2% 63%  
461 1.1% 61%  
462 0.9% 60%  
463 0.8% 59%  
464 2% 58%  
465 2% 57%  
466 0.8% 54%  
467 2% 54%  
468 1.0% 52% Median
469 1.3% 51%  
470 1.5% 50%  
471 3% 48%  
472 0.8% 45%  
473 2% 44%  
474 0.9% 43%  
475 3% 42%  
476 2% 38%  
477 2% 36%  
478 3% 34%  
479 1.5% 32%  
480 1.4% 30%  
481 2% 29%  
482 2% 27%  
483 2% 25%  
484 2% 23%  
485 1.1% 21%  
486 2% 20%  
487 1.4% 18%  
488 0.6% 17%  
489 1.1% 16%  
490 1.1% 15%  
491 0.8% 14%  
492 0.8% 13%  
493 0.7% 12%  
494 0.6% 12%  
495 1.5% 11%  
496 0.4% 10%  
497 1.0% 9%  
498 0.6% 8%  
499 0.8% 8%  
500 0.8% 7%  
501 0.9% 6%  
502 0.9% 5%  
503 0.5% 4%  
504 0.7% 4%  
505 1.0% 3%  
506 0.6% 2%  
507 0.3% 1.5%  
508 0.1% 1.1%  
509 0.2% 1.0%  
510 0.2% 0.9%  
511 0.1% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.6%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.8%  
389 0% 99.8%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.7%  
392 0.1% 99.6%  
393 0.1% 99.6%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.1% 99.2%  
397 0.1% 99.2%  
398 0.1% 99.1%  
399 0.1% 99.0%  
400 0.3% 98.9%  
401 0.2% 98.6%  
402 0.2% 98%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.4% 98%  
406 0.3% 97%  
407 0.2% 97%  
408 0.4% 97%  
409 0.6% 96%  
410 0.4% 96%  
411 0.4% 95%  
412 0.6% 95%  
413 0.5% 94%  
414 0.7% 94%  
415 1.4% 93%  
416 0.6% 92%  
417 0.9% 91%  
418 0.6% 90%  
419 0.7% 90%  
420 0.7% 89%  
421 0.4% 88%  
422 0.9% 88%  
423 1.0% 87%  
424 0.8% 86%  
425 2% 85%  
426 0.8% 83%  
427 0.7% 82%  
428 1.1% 82%  
429 0.9% 81%  
430 1.2% 80%  
431 0.9% 78%  
432 1.2% 78%  
433 2% 76%  
434 2% 75%  
435 0.8% 73%  
436 1.3% 72%  
437 0.9% 71%  
438 1.3% 70%  
439 2% 69%  
440 0.7% 66%  
441 1.0% 66%  
442 2% 65%  
443 1.0% 63%  
444 0.8% 62%  
445 0.3% 61%  
446 1.5% 60%  
447 1.0% 59%  
448 1.1% 58%  
449 0.9% 57%  
450 3% 56%  
451 3% 53%  
452 1.4% 50% Median
453 1.4% 49%  
454 1.1% 48%  
455 1.1% 46%  
456 2% 45%  
457 2% 43%  
458 2% 41%  
459 4% 40%  
460 1.3% 36%  
461 2% 35%  
462 2% 33%  
463 1.2% 31%  
464 2% 29%  
465 2% 27%  
466 2% 26%  
467 2% 24%  
468 1.3% 22%  
469 0.7% 21%  
470 2% 20%  
471 1.4% 18%  
472 1.4% 16%  
473 0.6% 15%  
474 1.0% 14%  
475 1.2% 13%  
476 0.5% 12%  
477 0.9% 12%  
478 0.8% 11%  
479 0.6% 10%  
480 0.9% 9%  
481 1.2% 9%  
482 0.4% 7%  
483 0.4% 7%  
484 1.1% 7%  
485 0.9% 5%  
486 1.3% 5%  
487 0.7% 3%  
488 0.3% 3%  
489 0.2% 2%  
490 0.4% 2%  
491 0.4% 2%  
492 0.2% 1.3%  
493 0.2% 1.1%  
494 0.2% 0.9%  
495 0.2% 0.7%  
496 0.1% 0.6%  
497 0.2% 0.5%  
498 0.1% 0.3%  
499 0.1% 0.3%  
500 0% 0.2%  
501 0% 0.2%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0.1%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.7%  
386 0.1% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.6%  
388 0.1% 99.5%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.2% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.2%  
392 0.1% 99.1%  
393 0.1% 99.1%  
394 0.2% 99.0%  
395 0.2% 98.8%  
396 0.3% 98.6%  
397 0.2% 98%  
398 0.2% 98%  
399 0.2% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.2% 97%  
403 0.4% 97%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.4% 96%  
406 0.5% 95%  
407 0.5% 95%  
408 0.5% 94%  
409 0.8% 94%  
410 1.3% 93%  
411 0.6% 92%  
412 0.8% 91%  
413 0.7% 90%  
414 0.7% 90%  
415 0.6% 89%  
416 0.4% 88%  
417 1.0% 88%  
418 1.0% 87%  
419 0.8% 86%  
420 2% 85%  
421 1.0% 83%  
422 0.5% 82%  
423 0.6% 82%  
424 2% 81%  
425 1.1% 79%  
426 1.0% 78%  
427 1.0% 77%  
428 2% 76%  
429 2% 75%  
430 1.0% 73%  
431 1.3% 72%  
432 0.8% 71%  
433 1.4% 70%  
434 2% 68%  
435 0.7% 66%  
436 0.9% 66%  
437 2% 65%  
438 0.8% 62%  
439 0.8% 62%  
440 0.5% 61%  
441 1.4% 60%  
442 1.0% 59%  
443 1.5% 58%  
444 0.8% 56%  
445 3% 56%  
446 3% 53%  
447 2% 51% Median
448 1.4% 49%  
449 1.0% 48%  
450 1.0% 46%  
451 2% 45%  
452 2% 43%  
453 2% 41%  
454 4% 39%  
455 0.6% 36%  
456 2% 35%  
457 2% 33%  
458 1.5% 31%  
459 2% 29%  
460 2% 28%  
461 2% 26%  
462 2% 24%  
463 1.4% 22%  
464 0.5% 21%  
465 2% 20%  
466 1.4% 18%  
467 1.3% 16%  
468 0.7% 15%  
469 0.9% 14%  
470 1.1% 13%  
471 0.5% 12%  
472 0.9% 12%  
473 0.8% 11%  
474 0.6% 10%  
475 1.0% 10%  
476 1.2% 8%  
477 0.4% 7%  
478 0.4% 7%  
479 1.1% 6%  
480 0.9% 5%  
481 1.3% 5%  
482 0.6% 3%  
483 0.4% 3%  
484 0.2% 2%  
485 0.4% 2%  
486 0.4% 2%  
487 0.2% 1.3%  
488 0.1% 1.1%  
489 0.2% 0.9%  
490 0.1% 0.7%  
491 0.1% 0.6%  
492 0.2% 0.5%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
95 0% 100%  
96 0% 99.9%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.2% 99.6%  
106 0.2% 99.4%  
107 0.1% 99.2%  
108 0.2% 99.0%  
109 0.3% 98.9%  
110 0.3% 98.6%  
111 0.4% 98%  
112 1.4% 98%  
113 1.1% 97%  
114 0.4% 95%  
115 1.2% 95%  
116 1.1% 94%  
117 0.5% 93%  
118 0.8% 92%  
119 0.6% 91%  
120 0.9% 91%  
121 1.2% 90%  
122 2% 89%  
123 0.9% 87%  
124 0.9% 86%  
125 2% 85%  
126 1.0% 84%  
127 0.6% 83%  
128 0.8% 82%  
129 2% 81%  
130 2% 80%  
131 1.3% 78%  
132 2% 77%  
133 3% 75%  
134 2% 72%  
135 2% 70%  
136 2% 68%  
137 0.7% 66%  
138 3% 65%  
139 2% 62%  
140 2% 60%  
141 2% 58%  
142 4% 56%  
143 1.3% 52%  
144 2% 51% Median
145 2% 50%  
146 2% 48%  
147 2% 46%  
148 1.0% 44%  
149 0.8% 43%  
150 2% 42%  
151 0.9% 41%  
152 3% 40%  
153 2% 37%  
154 0.4% 35%  
155 1.5% 35%  
156 0.5% 33%  
157 0.6% 33%  
158 0.8% 32%  
159 2% 32%  
160 1.3% 30%  
161 0.8% 29%  
162 0.9% 28%  
163 0.9% 27%  
164 1.1% 26%  
165 0.9% 25%  
166 2% 24%  
167 2% 22%  
168 0.9% 20%  
169 0.6% 19%  
170 2% 18%  
171 0.6% 17%  
172 1.0% 16%  
173 0.8% 15%  
174 0.3% 14%  
175 2% 14%  
176 1.0% 12%  
177 0.9% 11%  
178 0.7% 10%  
179 1.1% 10%  
180 0.8% 9%  
181 0.5% 8%  
182 0.9% 7%  
183 0.3% 7%  
184 0.9% 6%  
185 0.3% 5%  
186 0.8% 5%  
187 0.7% 4%  
188 0.6% 4%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.2% 2%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.4% 2%  
194 0.2% 1.3%  
195 0.2% 1.2%  
196 0.2% 1.0%  
197 0.1% 0.9%  
198 0% 0.8%  
199 0.1% 0.7%  
200 0.1% 0.6%  
201 0.1% 0.5%  
202 0.1% 0.4%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0.1%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.1% 99.5%  
70 0.1% 99.3%  
71 0.1% 99.2%  
72 0.1% 99.1%  
73 0.2% 99.0%  
74 0.2% 98.8%  
75 0.2% 98.6%  
76 0.2% 98%  
77 0.3% 98%  
78 0.3% 98%  
79 0.4% 98%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 0.3% 97%  
82 0.6% 97%  
83 0.9% 96%  
84 0.6% 95%  
85 0.6% 94%  
86 1.1% 94%  
87 0.9% 93%  
88 1.2% 92%  
89 0.7% 91%  
90 0.6% 90%  
91 1.1% 89%  
92 1.2% 88%  
93 1.2% 87%  
94 0.7% 86%  
95 1.0% 85%  
96 2% 84%  
97 1.0% 82%  
98 0.7% 81%  
99 0.8% 80%  
100 1.2% 80%  
101 1.2% 79%  
102 2% 77%  
103 2% 76%  
104 1.2% 74%  
105 1.0% 73%  
106 2% 72%  
107 0.9% 70%  
108 2% 69%  
109 1.5% 67%  
110 1.1% 65%  
111 1.2% 64%  
112 2% 63%  
113 1.4% 61%  
114 1.2% 59%  
115 2% 58%  
116 2% 57%  
117 1.4% 55%  
118 3% 54% Median
119 2% 51%  
120 2% 49%  
121 2% 47%  
122 1.2% 45%  
123 0.8% 44%  
124 2% 43%  
125 1.2% 41%  
126 2% 40%  
127 0.9% 38%  
128 0.6% 37%  
129 0.3% 36%  
130 0.7% 36%  
131 2% 35%  
132 0.3% 34%  
133 0.5% 33%  
134 2% 33%  
135 2% 31%  
136 0.8% 28%  
137 0.5% 27%  
138 1.1% 27%  
139 1.2% 26%  
140 1.1% 25%  
141 0.5% 24%  
142 0.9% 23%  
143 2% 22%  
144 0.3% 20%  
145 0.8% 20%  
146 2% 19%  
147 0.7% 18%  
148 0.8% 17%  
149 0.8% 16%  
150 0.6% 15%  
151 0.9% 15%  
152 0.4% 14%  
153 1.1% 13%  
154 1.4% 12%  
155 0.6% 11%  
156 0.5% 10%  
157 0.3% 10%  
158 1.0% 9%  
159 0.3% 8%  
160 0.4% 8%  
161 0.4% 8%  
162 0.5% 7%  
163 0.3% 7%  
164 1.0% 7%  
165 0.5% 6%  
166 0.4% 5%  
167 0.3% 5%  
168 0.5% 4%  
169 0.3% 4%  
170 0.7% 4%  
171 0.4% 3%  
172 0.2% 3%  
173 0.2% 3%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.3% 2%  
176 0.1% 2%  
177 0.3% 2%  
178 0.1% 1.3%  
179 0.1% 1.2%  
180 0.1% 1.1%  
181 0.2% 1.0%  
182 0.1% 0.8%  
183 0.1% 0.7%  
184 0.1% 0.6%  
185 0% 0.5%  
186 0.1% 0.5%  
187 0.1% 0.4%  
188 0% 0.3%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.3%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.2%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.1% 99.8%  
61 0% 99.7%  
62 0.1% 99.6%  
63 0.1% 99.6%  
64 0.1% 99.5%  
65 0.1% 99.3%  
66 0.1% 99.2%  
67 0.1% 99.1%  
68 0.1% 99.0%  
69 0.3% 98.9%  
70 0.2% 98.6%  
71 0.2% 98%  
72 0.2% 98%  
73 0.3% 98%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.3% 97%  
76 0.4% 97%  
77 0.6% 97%  
78 0.9% 96%  
79 0.7% 95%  
80 0.6% 94%  
81 1.1% 94%  
82 0.9% 93%  
83 1.2% 92%  
84 0.6% 91%  
85 0.6% 90%  
86 1.2% 89%  
87 1.3% 88%  
88 1.0% 87%  
89 0.8% 86%  
90 1.0% 85%  
91 2% 84%  
92 0.9% 82%  
93 0.8% 81%  
94 0.8% 80%  
95 1.3% 80%  
96 1.1% 78%  
97 2% 77%  
98 1.5% 76%  
99 1.1% 74%  
100 0.8% 73%  
101 2% 72%  
102 1.2% 70%  
103 2% 69%  
104 1.4% 67%  
105 1.4% 65%  
106 1.4% 64%  
107 1.5% 63%  
108 2% 61%  
109 1.0% 59%  
110 2% 58%  
111 2% 57%  
112 1.2% 55%  
113 3% 53% Median
114 2% 50%  
115 2% 49%  
116 2% 47%  
117 1.1% 45%  
118 0.7% 44%  
119 2% 43%  
120 1.2% 41%  
121 2% 40%  
122 0.9% 38%  
123 0.6% 37%  
124 0.4% 36%  
125 0.6% 36%  
126 2% 35%  
127 0.5% 34%  
128 0.5% 33%  
129 2% 33%  
130 3% 31%  
131 0.8% 28%  
132 0.5% 27%  
133 1.1% 27%  
134 1.2% 26%  
135 0.9% 24%  
136 0.6% 24%  
137 0.5% 23%  
138 2% 22%  
139 0.3% 20%  
140 0.9% 20%  
141 1.4% 19%  
142 0.6% 18%  
143 1.0% 17%  
144 0.7% 16%  
145 0.6% 15%  
146 0.8% 15%  
147 0.6% 14%  
148 1.4% 13%  
149 1.0% 12%  
150 0.5% 11%  
151 0.6% 10%  
152 0.5% 10%  
153 0.8% 9%  
154 0.2% 8%  
155 0.4% 8%  
156 0.4% 8%  
157 0.6% 7%  
158 0.2% 7%  
159 1.0% 7%  
160 0.5% 6%  
161 0.4% 5%  
162 0.3% 5%  
163 0.5% 4%  
164 0.3% 4%  
165 0.6% 4%  
166 0.3% 3%  
167 0.3% 3%  
168 0.2% 2%  
169 0.3% 2%  
170 0.3% 2%  
171 0.1% 2%  
172 0.3% 2%  
173 0.1% 1.3%  
174 0.1% 1.2%  
175 0.1% 1.0%  
176 0.1% 1.0%  
177 0.2% 0.8%  
178 0.1% 0.6%  
179 0.1% 0.6%  
180 0% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0% 0.3%  
184 0% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.3%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.2%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0% 99.8%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.1% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.6%  
47 0.1% 99.5%  
48 0.1% 99.4%  
49 0.1% 99.3%  
50 0.1% 99.2%  
51 0.1% 99.2%  
52 0.2% 99.0%  
53 0.2% 98.8%  
54 0.2% 98.5%  
55 0.2% 98%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.6% 98%  
59 0.7% 97%  
60 0.3% 96%  
61 0.8% 96%  
62 0.7% 95%  
63 0.8% 94%  
64 0.7% 94%  
65 0.8% 93%  
66 1.0% 92%  
67 0.8% 91%  
68 1.0% 90%  
69 0.9% 89%  
70 0.5% 88%  
71 2% 88%  
72 1.2% 86%  
73 0.7% 85%  
74 1.1% 84%  
75 0.7% 83%  
76 0.9% 83%  
77 2% 82%  
78 2% 80%  
79 1.1% 78%  
80 2% 77%  
81 1.2% 76%  
82 1.1% 75%  
83 1.0% 74%  
84 2% 73%  
85 1.4% 71%  
86 2% 69%  
87 1.0% 68%  
88 2% 66%  
89 1.0% 65%  
90 0.7% 64%  
91 3% 63%  
92 2% 60%  
93 2% 58%  
94 1.4% 56%  
95 2% 55%  
96 0.7% 53%  
97 3% 52% Median
98 2% 49%  
99 2% 48%  
100 1.0% 46%  
101 2% 45%  
102 0.9% 43%  
103 0.8% 42%  
104 1.2% 41%  
105 1.0% 40%  
106 2% 39%  
107 0.5% 36%  
108 0.8% 36%  
109 0.9% 35%  
110 2% 34%  
111 0.6% 33%  
112 0.7% 32%  
113 2% 31%  
114 1.0% 29%  
115 0.6% 28%  
116 0.9% 28%  
117 1.2% 27%  
118 0.4% 26%  
119 0.5% 25%  
120 1.4% 25%  
121 2% 23%  
122 0.6% 21%  
123 1.5% 20%  
124 0.7% 19%  
125 0.7% 18%  
126 0.6% 17%  
127 0.7% 17%  
128 1.0% 16%  
129 0.8% 15%  
130 0.6% 14%  
131 0.9% 14%  
132 0.7% 13%  
133 0.7% 12%  
134 1.0% 11%  
135 0.6% 10%  
136 0.3% 10%  
137 0.6% 9%  
138 0.6% 9%  
139 1.2% 8%  
140 0.5% 7%  
141 0.4% 7%  
142 0.3% 6%  
143 0.6% 6%  
144 0.3% 5%  
145 0.4% 5%  
146 0.3% 5%  
147 0.2% 4%  
148 0.8% 4%  
149 0.2% 3%  
150 0.4% 3%  
151 0.1% 3%  
152 0.4% 2%  
153 0.3% 2%  
154 0.2% 2%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.2% 1.3%  
157 0.1% 1.1%  
158 0.1% 1.0%  
159 0.1% 0.9%  
160 0.1% 0.8%  
161 0.1% 0.7%  
162 0% 0.6%  
163 0.1% 0.6%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0% 0.4%  
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0% 0.3%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.2%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 99.9%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0% 99.9%  
35 0% 99.9%  
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.8%  
38 0% 99.8%  
39 0.1% 99.8%  
40 0.1% 99.7%  
41 0.1% 99.6%  
42 0.1% 99.5%  
43 0.1% 99.4%  
44 0.1% 99.3%  
45 0.1% 99.2%  
46 0.1% 99.1%  
47 0.2% 99.0%  
48 0.2% 98.8%  
49 0.3% 98.6%  
50 0.2% 98%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 0.2% 98%  
53 0.7% 98%  
54 0.6% 97%  
55 0.4% 96%  
56 0.8% 96%  
57 0.7% 95%  
58 0.8% 94%  
59 0.8% 94%  
60 0.8% 93%  
61 0.9% 92%  
62 0.9% 91%  
63 0.9% 90%  
64 0.8% 89%  
65 0.6% 88%  
66 2% 88%  
67 1.3% 86%  
68 0.7% 85%  
69 1.0% 84%  
70 0.8% 83%  
71 0.8% 83%  
72 2% 82%  
73 2% 80%  
74 1.1% 78%  
75 1.5% 77%  
76 1.3% 76%  
77 1.0% 75%  
78 1.1% 74%  
79 2% 72%  
80 1.4% 71%  
81 2% 69%  
82 1.3% 68%  
83 2% 66%  
84 0.9% 65%  
85 1.4% 64%  
86 2% 62%  
87 3% 60%  
88 2% 58%  
89 1.5% 56%  
90 1.4% 54%  
91 0.7% 53%  
92 3% 52% Median
93 1.5% 49%  
94 2% 47%  
95 1.1% 46%  
96 2% 45%  
97 0.8% 43%  
98 1.1% 42%  
99 1.0% 41%  
100 1.3% 40%  
101 2% 39%  
102 0.4% 36%  
103 1.0% 36%  
104 0.8% 35%  
105 2% 34%  
106 0.6% 32%  
107 0.7% 32%  
108 2% 31%  
109 0.8% 29%  
110 0.9% 28%  
111 0.7% 27%  
112 1.2% 27%  
113 0.5% 26%  
114 0.5% 25%  
115 1.4% 25%  
116 2% 23%  
117 1.0% 21%  
118 1.5% 20%  
119 0.6% 19%  
120 0.7% 18%  
121 0.5% 17%  
122 0.9% 17%  
123 1.0% 16%  
124 0.7% 15%  
125 0.7% 14%  
126 0.8% 14%  
127 0.7% 13%  
128 0.6% 12%  
129 1.1% 11%  
130 0.7% 10%  
131 0.3% 10%  
132 0.4% 9%  
133 0.7% 9%  
134 1.0% 8%  
135 0.7% 7%  
136 0.4% 7%  
137 0.4% 6%  
138 0.6% 6%  
139 0.3% 5%  
140 0.3% 5%  
141 0.4% 5%  
142 0.2% 4%  
143 0.8% 4%  
144 0.2% 3%  
145 0.4% 3%  
146 0.2% 3%  
147 0.4% 2%  
148 0.3% 2%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.2% 1.5%  
151 0.2% 1.3%  
152 0.1% 1.1%  
153 0.1% 1.0%  
154 0.1% 0.9%  
155 0.1% 0.7%  
156 0.1% 0.7%  
157 0% 0.6%  
158 0.1% 0.5%  
159 0% 0.4%  
160 0% 0.4%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.3%  
163 0% 0.3%  
164 0% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.2%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0.1%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

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