Opinion Poll by Whitestone Insight for Daily Express/Daily Mirror, 19–20 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.5% 43.0–46.0% 42.5–46.4% 42.2–46.8% 41.5–47.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.7% 20.5–23.0% 20.1–23.4% 19.8–23.7% 19.3–24.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 13.7% 12.7–14.8% 12.4–15.1% 12.2–15.4% 11.7–15.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 9.9% 9.1–10.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.6–11.4% 8.2–11.9%
Green Party 2.8% 5.4% 4.7–6.1% 4.5–6.3% 4.4–6.5% 4.1–6.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.4% 2.9–4.1% 2.8–4.2% 2.7–4.4% 2.5–4.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 399 374–427 369–432 364–437 353–446
Conservative Party 365 95 68–120 62–127 58–133 48–144
Liberal Democrats 11 63 54–72 52–73 51–75 47–77
Brexit Party 0 25 21–31 20–33 20–34 19–38
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 41 34–49 34–50 32–52 26–54
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–3 0–4 0–4 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0% 99.7%  
351 0% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.3%  
356 0.1% 99.2%  
357 0.1% 99.2%  
358 0.3% 99.0%  
359 0.1% 98.7%  
360 0.2% 98.6%  
361 0.1% 98%  
362 0.2% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.4% 97%  
367 0.5% 96%  
368 0.4% 96%  
369 0.6% 96%  
370 2% 95%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 1.1% 92%  
373 0.5% 91%  
374 2% 91%  
375 0.7% 89%  
376 1.0% 88%  
377 1.2% 87%  
378 2% 86%  
379 1.1% 84%  
380 1.1% 83%  
381 0.7% 82%  
382 1.0% 81%  
383 2% 80%  
384 1.4% 78%  
385 5% 77%  
386 2% 72%  
387 0.9% 71%  
388 4% 70%  
389 2% 66%  
390 2% 64%  
391 0.7% 62%  
392 2% 62%  
393 1.3% 60%  
394 2% 59%  
395 1.1% 57%  
396 1.4% 56%  
397 0.9% 54%  
398 1.2% 53%  
399 3% 52% Median
400 2% 49%  
401 0.4% 47%  
402 1.2% 47%  
403 0.8% 46%  
404 2% 45%  
405 2% 43%  
406 2% 41%  
407 2% 39%  
408 1.3% 37%  
409 0.5% 36%  
410 1.4% 35%  
411 3% 34%  
412 0.9% 31%  
413 1.1% 30%  
414 1.0% 29%  
415 2% 28%  
416 3% 26%  
417 1.2% 23%  
418 1.5% 22%  
419 1.2% 21%  
420 2% 19%  
421 0.6% 18%  
422 3% 17%  
423 1.0% 14%  
424 0.6% 14%  
425 1.0% 13%  
426 0.6% 12%  
427 3% 11%  
428 0.9% 8%  
429 0.6% 8%  
430 0.4% 7%  
431 1.0% 7%  
432 0.7% 6%  
433 0.7% 5%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.7% 4%  
436 0.5% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.4% 2%  
441 0.3% 1.4%  
442 0.1% 1.1%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.2% 0.8%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.4%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.1% 99.5%  
49 0.1% 99.4%  
50 0.1% 99.3%  
51 0.1% 99.2%  
52 0.1% 99.1%  
53 0.4% 99.0%  
54 0.5% 98.6%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.5% 98%  
59 0.4% 97%  
60 0.7% 97%  
61 0.9% 96%  
62 1.2% 95%  
63 0.5% 94%  
64 0.4% 93%  
65 1.4% 93%  
66 0.5% 92%  
67 1.0% 91%  
68 1.5% 90%  
69 2% 89%  
70 1.2% 87%  
71 1.2% 85%  
72 2% 84%  
73 0.9% 82%  
74 0.9% 81%  
75 1.1% 80%  
76 5% 79%  
77 2% 75%  
78 2% 72%  
79 1.4% 71%  
80 0.9% 69%  
81 1.0% 68%  
82 0.9% 67%  
83 0.9% 66%  
84 1.4% 66%  
85 0.8% 64%  
86 1.4% 63%  
87 1.4% 62%  
88 0.5% 60%  
89 1.5% 60%  
90 1.1% 59%  
91 0.5% 57%  
92 0.4% 57%  
93 1.2% 56%  
94 2% 55%  
95 5% 53% Median
96 1.2% 49%  
97 1.2% 48%  
98 0.7% 46%  
99 1.2% 46%  
100 1.2% 44%  
101 0.9% 43%  
102 2% 42%  
103 0.8% 41%  
104 2% 40%  
105 2% 38%  
106 2% 36%  
107 3% 34%  
108 6% 31%  
109 2% 26%  
110 0.9% 24%  
111 2% 23%  
112 1.0% 21%  
113 1.1% 20%  
114 0.8% 19%  
115 1.3% 18%  
116 1.2% 17%  
117 2% 16%  
118 2% 14%  
119 1.0% 12%  
120 1.3% 11%  
121 1.1% 10%  
122 0.7% 9%  
123 0.7% 8%  
124 0.8% 7%  
125 0.9% 7%  
126 0.5% 6%  
127 0.3% 5%  
128 0.3% 5%  
129 0.5% 5%  
130 0.5% 4%  
131 0.5% 4%  
132 0.5% 3%  
133 0.4% 3%  
134 0.2% 2%  
135 0.5% 2%  
136 0.2% 2%  
137 0.2% 1.3%  
138 0.1% 1.1%  
139 0.1% 1.0%  
140 0.1% 1.0%  
141 0.1% 0.9%  
142 0.1% 0.8%  
143 0.1% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0.1% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0% 99.7%  
47 0.2% 99.6%  
48 0.1% 99.5%  
49 0.3% 99.3%  
50 0.6% 99.0%  
51 2% 98%  
52 4% 97%  
53 1.1% 92%  
54 2% 91%  
55 5% 90%  
56 0.6% 85%  
57 4% 84%  
58 0.7% 81%  
59 7% 80%  
60 7% 73%  
61 3% 66%  
62 7% 63%  
63 8% 55% Median
64 1.4% 47%  
65 8% 46%  
66 6% 37%  
67 2% 32%  
68 4% 30%  
69 4% 26%  
70 8% 22%  
71 1.0% 14%  
72 7% 13%  
73 2% 7%  
74 1.3% 5%  
75 2% 3%  
76 0.7% 1.3%  
77 0.3% 0.6%  
78 0.1% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.8% 99.8%  
20 5% 99.0%  
21 10% 94%  
22 7% 85%  
23 14% 77%  
24 8% 63%  
25 9% 56% Median
26 15% 47%  
27 5% 32%  
28 10% 26%  
29 3% 17%  
30 1.4% 14%  
31 5% 12%  
32 0.8% 7%  
33 1.3% 6%  
34 4% 5%  
35 0.4% 1.3%  
36 0.2% 0.8%  
37 0.1% 0.7%  
38 0.4% 0.6%  
39 0.1% 0.2%  
40 0.1% 0.2%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 37% 100% Last Result
2 46% 63% Median
3 17% 17%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0.1% 99.8%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.1% 99.6%  
26 0.1% 99.5%  
27 0.3% 99.4%  
28 0.1% 99.1%  
29 0.8% 98.9%  
30 0.5% 98%  
31 0% 98%  
32 1.5% 98%  
33 0.1% 96%  
34 8% 96%  
35 0.3% 88%  
36 7% 88%  
37 1.0% 81%  
38 11% 80%  
39 2% 69%  
40 7% 67%  
41 20% 60% Median
42 0.8% 40%  
43 11% 39%  
44 0.1% 28%  
45 5% 28%  
46 1.4% 23%  
47 2% 21%  
48 7% 19% Last Result
49 4% 12%  
50 4% 8%  
51 1.0% 4%  
52 1.4% 3%  
53 0.4% 1.2%  
54 0.4% 0.8%  
55 0.3% 0.4%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 8% 59%  
2 13% 51% Median
3 28% 38%  
4 8% 10% Last Result
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 507 100% 481–536 474–542 467–547 458–557
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 505 100% 479–535 472–541 466–545 457–555
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 504 100% 478–533 470–539 465–543 455–554
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 464 100% 435–496 429–502 423–507 411–517
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 463 100% 433–494 428–500 422–506 409–516
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 441 100% 420–467 415–472 410–476 402–485
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 440 100% 418–465 413–470 409–474 399–484
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 401 100% 375–428 370–434 365–439 354–447
Labour Party 202 399 100% 374–427 369–432 364–437 353–446
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 160 0% 135–180 131–184 127–188 118–198
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 138 0% 109–166 102–172 97–178 88–190
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 136 0% 106–165 100–171 95–176 86–188
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 97 0% 69–122 63–129 58–135 49–145
Conservative Party 365 95 0% 68–120 62–127 58–133 48–144

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0% 99.8%  
454 0.1% 99.8%  
455 0.1% 99.7%  
456 0% 99.6%  
457 0% 99.6%  
458 0.1% 99.5%  
459 0.1% 99.5%  
460 0.1% 99.4%  
461 0.1% 99.4%  
462 0.2% 99.2%  
463 0.1% 99.1%  
464 0.1% 99.0%  
465 0.3% 98.9%  
466 0.7% 98.6%  
467 0.5% 98%  
468 0.5% 97%  
469 0.3% 97%  
470 0.3% 97%  
471 0.4% 96%  
472 0.3% 96%  
473 0.5% 96%  
474 0.5% 95%  
475 0.5% 95%  
476 1.1% 94%  
477 0.4% 93%  
478 0.4% 93%  
479 1.0% 92%  
480 1.2% 91%  
481 0.3% 90%  
482 0.8% 90%  
483 2% 89%  
484 0.7% 87%  
485 2% 86%  
486 0.9% 85%  
487 0.7% 84%  
488 0.8% 83%  
489 2% 82%  
490 1.3% 80%  
491 1.2% 79%  
492 4% 78%  
493 3% 73%  
494 2% 70%  
495 2% 69%  
496 2% 66%  
497 2% 64%  
498 2% 62%  
499 2% 61%  
500 2% 59%  
501 0.8% 57%  
502 1.0% 56%  
503 1.3% 55%  
504 0.4% 53%  
505 0.9% 53%  
506 0.5% 52%  
507 3% 52% Median
508 2% 49%  
509 3% 48%  
510 1.2% 44%  
511 0.6% 43%  
512 1.1% 43%  
513 1.3% 41%  
514 0.7% 40%  
515 0.7% 39%  
516 1.0% 39%  
517 0.5% 38%  
518 0.9% 37%  
519 0.4% 36%  
520 2% 36%  
521 2% 34%  
522 0.7% 32%  
523 1.0% 31%  
524 1.0% 30%  
525 0.9% 29%  
526 1.3% 28%  
527 2% 27%  
528 2% 25%  
529 2% 23%  
530 3% 21%  
531 0.6% 18%  
532 1.1% 18%  
533 0.8% 17%  
534 2% 16%  
535 3% 14%  
536 2% 11%  
537 0.7% 10%  
538 2% 9%  
539 0.4% 7%  
540 0.4% 7%  
541 0.7% 6%  
542 0.7% 5%  
543 0.4% 5%  
544 0.7% 4%  
545 0.4% 4%  
546 0.7% 3%  
547 0.3% 3%  
548 0.2% 2%  
549 0.2% 2%  
550 0.2% 2%  
551 0.2% 2%  
552 0.1% 2%  
553 0.2% 1.4%  
554 0.4% 1.2%  
555 0.2% 0.8%  
556 0.1% 0.6%  
557 0.1% 0.6%  
558 0.1% 0.4%  
559 0.1% 0.4%  
560 0.1% 0.3%  
561 0% 0.2%  
562 0.1% 0.2%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.8%  
452 0% 99.8%  
453 0.1% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.7%  
455 0.1% 99.6%  
456 0% 99.6%  
457 0.1% 99.5%  
458 0.1% 99.5%  
459 0.1% 99.4%  
460 0.1% 99.3%  
461 0.2% 99.2%  
462 0.1% 99.0%  
463 0.3% 98.9%  
464 0.3% 98.6%  
465 0.5% 98%  
466 0.5% 98%  
467 0.5% 97%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.3% 96%  
470 0.3% 96%  
471 0.3% 96%  
472 0.7% 95%  
473 0.8% 95%  
474 0.7% 94%  
475 0.6% 93%  
476 0.6% 93%  
477 0.8% 92%  
478 0.8% 91%  
479 0.8% 91%  
480 0.9% 90%  
481 0.4% 89%  
482 3% 89%  
483 0.9% 86%  
484 2% 85%  
485 0.5% 83%  
486 1.1% 83%  
487 1.0% 82%  
488 2% 81%  
489 1.0% 79%  
490 5% 78%  
491 2% 73%  
492 1.2% 71%  
493 3% 70%  
494 1.0% 66%  
495 3% 65%  
496 1.2% 63%  
497 3% 61%  
498 1.5% 58%  
499 1.2% 57%  
500 0.7% 56%  
501 1.2% 55%  
502 1.0% 54%  
503 0.4% 53%  
504 0.7% 53%  
505 3% 52% Median
506 2% 49%  
507 1.4% 48%  
508 3% 46%  
509 1.1% 44%  
510 0.9% 42%  
511 1.1% 42%  
512 0.7% 40%  
513 0.8% 40%  
514 0.8% 39%  
515 0.7% 38%  
516 0.9% 37%  
517 0.6% 37%  
518 1.4% 36%  
519 1.3% 35%  
520 2% 33%  
521 0.7% 31%  
522 1.2% 31%  
523 1.4% 30%  
524 0.5% 28%  
525 3% 28%  
526 2% 25%  
527 2% 23%  
528 3% 21%  
529 0.9% 18%  
530 0.9% 17%  
531 0.7% 17%  
532 1.0% 16%  
533 4% 15%  
534 1.1% 11%  
535 1.1% 10%  
536 1.3% 9%  
537 1.0% 8%  
538 0.4% 7%  
539 0.9% 6%  
540 0.3% 5%  
541 0.6% 5%  
542 0.8% 4%  
543 0.4% 4%  
544 0.3% 3%  
545 0.6% 3%  
546 0.2% 2%  
547 0.2% 2%  
548 0.1% 2%  
549 0.2% 2%  
550 0.1% 2%  
551 0.3% 1.4%  
552 0.2% 1.2%  
553 0.3% 1.0%  
554 0.1% 0.7%  
555 0.1% 0.6%  
556 0.1% 0.5%  
557 0.1% 0.4%  
558 0.1% 0.3%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0.1% 0.2%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0.1% 99.8%  
451 0% 99.7%  
452 0% 99.7%  
453 0% 99.7%  
454 0.1% 99.6%  
455 0.1% 99.6%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.1% 99.4%  
458 0.1% 99.3%  
459 0.1% 99.2%  
460 0.3% 99.1%  
461 0.2% 98.8%  
462 0.2% 98.6%  
463 0.3% 98%  
464 0.4% 98%  
465 0.4% 98%  
466 0.5% 97%  
467 0.4% 97%  
468 0.5% 96%  
469 0.5% 96%  
470 0.6% 95%  
471 0.2% 95%  
472 0.6% 94%  
473 0.9% 94%  
474 0.9% 93%  
475 0.8% 92%  
476 0.3% 91%  
477 0.7% 91%  
478 0.8% 90%  
479 0.9% 90%  
480 2% 89%  
481 1.3% 87%  
482 2% 86%  
483 0.9% 84%  
484 2% 83%  
485 1.1% 81%  
486 1.0% 80%  
487 2% 79%  
488 2% 78%  
489 1.1% 76%  
490 6% 75%  
491 2% 69%  
492 1.3% 66%  
493 2% 65%  
494 1.4% 63%  
495 2% 62%  
496 1.3% 60%  
497 3% 59%  
498 1.2% 56%  
499 0.6% 55%  
500 0.6% 54%  
501 1.0% 54%  
502 0.9% 53%  
503 0.9% 52% Median
504 2% 51%  
505 2% 49%  
506 3% 47%  
507 0.8% 44%  
508 2% 43%  
509 0.5% 41%  
510 0.9% 41%  
511 0.7% 40%  
512 0.8% 39%  
513 0.6% 38%  
514 0.6% 38%  
515 0.7% 37%  
516 1.0% 36%  
517 1.2% 35%  
518 1.2% 34%  
519 2% 33%  
520 1.3% 31%  
521 0.7% 30%  
522 2% 29%  
523 1.0% 27%  
524 1.5% 26%  
525 2% 25%  
526 4% 22%  
527 1.1% 19%  
528 0.5% 17%  
529 1.5% 17%  
530 0.7% 15%  
531 3% 15%  
532 0.8% 12%  
533 2% 11%  
534 2% 10%  
535 1.3% 8%  
536 0.9% 7%  
537 0.2% 6%  
538 0.4% 6%  
539 0.8% 5%  
540 0.3% 4%  
541 0.5% 4%  
542 0.7% 4%  
543 0.7% 3%  
544 0.2% 2%  
545 0.2% 2%  
546 0.1% 2%  
547 0.1% 2%  
548 0.1% 2%  
549 0.3% 2%  
550 0.2% 1.2%  
551 0.2% 1.0%  
552 0.2% 0.8%  
553 0.1% 0.6%  
554 0.1% 0.5%  
555 0.1% 0.4%  
556 0.1% 0.3%  
557 0.1% 0.3%  
558 0.1% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.7%  
408 0% 99.6%  
409 0.1% 99.6%  
410 0% 99.6%  
411 0% 99.5%  
412 0.1% 99.5%  
413 0.1% 99.4%  
414 0.1% 99.3%  
415 0.1% 99.2%  
416 0.3% 99.1%  
417 0.1% 98.8%  
418 0.2% 98.7%  
419 0.1% 98%  
420 0.2% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.4% 98%  
423 0.1% 98%  
424 0.8% 97%  
425 0.5% 97%  
426 0.1% 96%  
427 0.3% 96%  
428 0.2% 96%  
429 1.0% 96%  
430 0.7% 95%  
431 0.4% 94%  
432 0.8% 93%  
433 0.8% 93%  
434 1.2% 92%  
435 2% 91%  
436 0.7% 89%  
437 0.8% 88%  
438 1.0% 88%  
439 1.3% 87%  
440 0.9% 85%  
441 0.9% 84%  
442 0.7% 83%  
443 0.7% 83%  
444 0.6% 82%  
445 1.3% 81%  
446 1.4% 80%  
447 4% 79%  
448 2% 75%  
449 1.4% 73%  
450 1.0% 72%  
451 2% 71%  
452 2% 69%  
453 3% 67%  
454 2% 64%  
455 1.3% 62%  
456 2% 61%  
457 2% 59%  
458 2% 57%  
459 1.4% 55%  
460 0.6% 54%  
461 1.1% 53%  
462 0.2% 52%  
463 0.5% 52%  
464 2% 52% Median
465 1.1% 50%  
466 2% 49%  
467 0.9% 47%  
468 0.4% 46%  
469 2% 46%  
470 0.7% 44%  
471 0.8% 43%  
472 3% 42%  
473 2% 39%  
474 1.2% 38%  
475 2% 37%  
476 0.9% 35%  
477 2% 34%  
478 1.3% 32%  
479 0.4% 31%  
480 3% 30%  
481 0.9% 27%  
482 0.9% 26%  
483 0.8% 26%  
484 2% 25%  
485 0.9% 23%  
486 0.8% 22%  
487 2% 21%  
488 0.6% 19%  
489 0.4% 18%  
490 2% 18%  
491 1.1% 16%  
492 2% 15%  
493 1.0% 13%  
494 0.7% 12%  
495 1.5% 12%  
496 1.5% 10%  
497 0.5% 9%  
498 2% 8%  
499 0.2% 6%  
500 0.5% 6%  
501 0.4% 6%  
502 0.7% 5%  
503 0.3% 5%  
504 0.5% 4%  
505 0.2% 4%  
506 0.4% 4%  
507 0.7% 3%  
508 0.3% 2%  
509 0.3% 2%  
510 0.4% 2%  
511 0.2% 2%  
512 0.3% 1.4%  
513 0.1% 1.0%  
514 0.1% 0.9%  
515 0.1% 0.8%  
516 0.1% 0.7%  
517 0.1% 0.6%  
518 0.1% 0.5%  
519 0.1% 0.4%  
520 0% 0.3%  
521 0% 0.3%  
522 0.1% 0.3%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0.1% 0.2%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0.1% 99.8%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0% 99.6%  
408 0% 99.6%  
409 0% 99.5%  
410 0.1% 99.5%  
411 0% 99.4%  
412 0.1% 99.4%  
413 0.1% 99.2%  
414 0.1% 99.1%  
415 0.2% 99.1%  
416 0.2% 98.9%  
417 0.3% 98.7%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.1% 98%  
421 0.2% 98%  
422 0.3% 98%  
423 0.2% 97%  
424 0.8% 97%  
425 0.4% 96%  
426 0.3% 96%  
427 0.4% 95%  
428 0.4% 95%  
429 1.1% 95%  
430 0.8% 94%  
431 0.8% 93%  
432 1.2% 92%  
433 0.8% 91%  
434 1.2% 90%  
435 1.4% 89%  
436 0.5% 87%  
437 1.1% 87%  
438 0.9% 86%  
439 1.1% 85%  
440 1.0% 84%  
441 0.8% 83%  
442 1.2% 82%  
443 0.9% 81%  
444 1.0% 80%  
445 2% 79%  
446 1.3% 77%  
447 3% 76%  
448 0.7% 72%  
449 2% 72%  
450 3% 70%  
451 2% 66%  
452 1.4% 64%  
453 2% 63%  
454 1.3% 61%  
455 2% 60%  
456 1.1% 58%  
457 0.9% 57%  
458 2% 56%  
459 1.1% 54%  
460 0.5% 53%  
461 1.2% 53%  
462 0.5% 51% Median
463 2% 51%  
464 2% 49%  
465 0.6% 47%  
466 1.5% 47%  
467 0.8% 45%  
468 0.9% 45%  
469 1.2% 44%  
470 3% 43%  
471 1.5% 39%  
472 1.0% 38%  
473 0.6% 37%  
474 2% 36%  
475 2% 34%  
476 0.7% 33%  
477 1.0% 32%  
478 1.2% 31%  
479 1.1% 30%  
480 3% 29%  
481 2% 26%  
482 1.0% 24%  
483 0.6% 23%  
484 0.3% 23%  
485 3% 22%  
486 0.7% 19%  
487 0.5% 19%  
488 3% 18%  
489 0.2% 16%  
490 0.7% 15%  
491 2% 15%  
492 1.3% 13%  
493 1.3% 12%  
494 0.6% 10%  
495 2% 10%  
496 0.6% 8%  
497 1.2% 7%  
498 0.6% 6%  
499 0.4% 6%  
500 0.4% 5%  
501 0.3% 5%  
502 0.5% 5%  
503 0.4% 4%  
504 0.3% 4%  
505 0.7% 3%  
506 0.4% 3%  
507 0.4% 2%  
508 0.2% 2%  
509 0.3% 2%  
510 0.3% 1.4%  
511 0.2% 1.2%  
512 0.1% 1.0%  
513 0.2% 0.8%  
514 0.1% 0.7%  
515 0.1% 0.6%  
516 0.1% 0.5%  
517 0.1% 0.5%  
518 0.1% 0.4%  
519 0.1% 0.3%  
520 0.1% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0% 99.6%  
400 0% 99.6%  
401 0.1% 99.6%  
402 0.2% 99.5%  
403 0.1% 99.3%  
404 0.3% 99.2%  
405 0.4% 98.9%  
406 0.2% 98.6%  
407 0.3% 98%  
408 0.2% 98%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.4% 98%  
411 0.2% 97%  
412 0.6% 97%  
413 0.8% 96%  
414 0.4% 96%  
415 0.8% 95%  
416 0.7% 94%  
417 2% 94%  
418 0.6% 92%  
419 0.9% 92%  
420 1.2% 91%  
421 1.4% 89%  
422 2% 88%  
423 0.9% 86%  
424 2% 85%  
425 2% 84%  
426 2% 82%  
427 2% 79%  
428 4% 77%  
429 1.2% 74%  
430 2% 72%  
431 3% 71%  
432 2% 68%  
433 2% 66%  
434 1.2% 63%  
435 2% 62%  
436 2% 60%  
437 1.4% 57%  
438 2% 56%  
439 1.0% 55%  
440 3% 54%  
441 0.9% 50%  
442 1.3% 49% Median
443 2% 48%  
444 2% 46%  
445 0.5% 43%  
446 1.0% 43%  
447 0.7% 42%  
448 1.3% 41%  
449 0.8% 40%  
450 0.7% 39%  
451 1.0% 38%  
452 0.8% 37%  
453 1.3% 36%  
454 0.9% 35%  
455 1.0% 34%  
456 3% 33%  
457 2% 31%  
458 0.8% 29%  
459 4% 28%  
460 1.3% 24%  
461 3% 22%  
462 1.1% 19%  
463 1.3% 18%  
464 1.2% 17%  
465 2% 15%  
466 2% 13%  
467 2% 12%  
468 0.9% 10%  
469 1.3% 9%  
470 0.8% 7%  
471 1.4% 7%  
472 0.9% 5%  
473 0.9% 4%  
474 0.2% 3%  
475 0.5% 3%  
476 0.3% 3%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.3% 2%  
479 0.3% 2%  
480 0.1% 2%  
481 0.2% 1.4%  
482 0.2% 1.2%  
483 0.3% 1.0%  
484 0.1% 0.7%  
485 0.2% 0.6%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0.1% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.8%  
396 0% 99.7%  
397 0% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.6%  
400 0.1% 99.5%  
401 0.2% 99.4%  
402 0.2% 99.2%  
403 0.1% 99.0%  
404 0.3% 98.9%  
405 0.5% 98.7%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.1% 98%  
408 0.3% 98%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.5% 97%  
411 0.4% 97%  
412 0.9% 96%  
413 0.9% 95%  
414 0.8% 94%  
415 0.6% 94%  
416 0.7% 93%  
417 1.4% 92%  
418 1.2% 91%  
419 1.3% 90%  
420 2% 88%  
421 2% 87%  
422 1.4% 85%  
423 1.0% 83%  
424 0.7% 82%  
425 2% 81%  
426 3% 80%  
427 3% 77%  
428 5% 74%  
429 0.6% 69%  
430 3% 68%  
431 2% 66%  
432 3% 64%  
433 1.5% 61%  
434 1.0% 59%  
435 0.6% 58%  
436 2% 58%  
437 2% 56%  
438 1.1% 54%  
439 0.5% 53%  
440 4% 52% Median
441 3% 48%  
442 1.4% 45%  
443 1.0% 44%  
444 1.2% 43%  
445 1.3% 42%  
446 1.0% 40%  
447 0.8% 39%  
448 0.4% 39%  
449 0.6% 38%  
450 0.5% 38%  
451 1.0% 37%  
452 0.8% 36%  
453 1.5% 35%  
454 0.8% 34%  
455 2% 33%  
456 3% 31%  
457 4% 28%  
458 3% 24%  
459 2% 21%  
460 0.9% 19%  
461 1.3% 18%  
462 0.7% 17%  
463 1.4% 16%  
464 0.9% 15%  
465 4% 14%  
466 1.4% 10%  
467 0.9% 8%  
468 1.2% 7%  
469 0.8% 6%  
470 0.8% 5%  
471 0.6% 5%  
472 0.6% 4%  
473 0.9% 3%  
474 0.3% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.1% 2%  
477 0.1% 2%  
478 0.1% 2%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.2% 1.3%  
481 0.3% 1.2%  
482 0.2% 0.9%  
483 0.1% 0.6%  
484 0.1% 0.5%  
485 0.1% 0.4%  
486 0.1% 0.3%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.1%  
490 0.1% 0.1%  
491 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.8%  
350 0% 99.8%  
351 0% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.1% 99.6%  
355 0.1% 99.5%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.1% 99.1%  
360 0.2% 99.0%  
361 0.2% 98.8%  
362 0.2% 98.5%  
363 0.1% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.3% 97%  
367 0.4% 97%  
368 0.4% 97%  
369 0.5% 96%  
370 1.0% 96%  
371 0.4% 95%  
372 0.9% 94%  
373 1.1% 93%  
374 2% 92%  
375 1.2% 91%  
376 0.9% 90%  
377 1.1% 89%  
378 1.1% 88%  
379 0.9% 86%  
380 1.0% 86%  
381 1.0% 85%  
382 0.8% 84%  
383 2% 83%  
384 1.4% 81%  
385 4% 80%  
386 2% 76%  
387 0.9% 74%  
388 3% 73%  
389 2% 70%  
390 1.0% 68%  
391 3% 67%  
392 2% 64%  
393 1.4% 63%  
394 2% 61%  
395 2% 59%  
396 2% 58%  
397 2% 56%  
398 1.1% 54%  
399 2% 53%  
400 1.0% 51%  
401 0.6% 50% Median
402 1.4% 50%  
403 1.5% 48%  
404 1.4% 47%  
405 1.0% 45%  
406 2% 44%  
407 2% 42%  
408 0.9% 40%  
409 1.4% 39%  
410 2% 38%  
411 3% 36%  
412 2% 33%  
413 1.1% 31%  
414 0.8% 30%  
415 0.7% 30%  
416 1.1% 29%  
417 1.3% 28%  
418 4% 27%  
419 0.6% 22%  
420 1.3% 22%  
421 2% 20%  
422 1.0% 18%  
423 0.9% 17%  
424 2% 16%  
425 0.9% 14%  
426 0.7% 14%  
427 1.4% 13%  
428 2% 11%  
429 0.6% 9%  
430 1.2% 9%  
431 0.7% 7%  
432 0.7% 7%  
433 0.6% 6%  
434 0.6% 5%  
435 0.4% 5%  
436 0.6% 4%  
437 0.8% 4%  
438 0.3% 3%  
439 0.4% 3%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.4% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.3%  
444 0.2% 1.1%  
445 0.1% 0.9%  
446 0.2% 0.8%  
447 0.1% 0.6%  
448 0.1% 0.5%  
449 0.1% 0.4%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0.1% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.2%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0.1%  
459 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.9%  
345 0% 99.9%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0.1% 99.8%  
348 0% 99.8%  
349 0% 99.7%  
350 0% 99.7%  
351 0% 99.7%  
352 0% 99.6%  
353 0.1% 99.6%  
354 0.1% 99.5%  
355 0.1% 99.3%  
356 0.1% 99.2%  
357 0.1% 99.2%  
358 0.3% 99.0%  
359 0.1% 98.7%  
360 0.2% 98.6%  
361 0.1% 98%  
362 0.2% 98%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.5% 98%  
365 0.4% 97%  
366 0.4% 97%  
367 0.5% 96%  
368 0.4% 96%  
369 0.6% 96%  
370 2% 95%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 1.1% 92%  
373 0.5% 91%  
374 2% 91%  
375 0.7% 89%  
376 1.0% 88%  
377 1.2% 87%  
378 2% 86%  
379 1.1% 84%  
380 1.1% 83%  
381 0.7% 82%  
382 1.0% 81%  
383 2% 80%  
384 1.4% 78%  
385 5% 77%  
386 2% 72%  
387 0.9% 71%  
388 4% 70%  
389 2% 66%  
390 2% 64%  
391 0.7% 62%  
392 2% 62%  
393 1.3% 60%  
394 2% 59%  
395 1.1% 57%  
396 1.4% 56%  
397 0.9% 54%  
398 1.2% 53%  
399 3% 52% Median
400 2% 49%  
401 0.4% 47%  
402 1.2% 47%  
403 0.8% 46%  
404 2% 45%  
405 2% 43%  
406 2% 41%  
407 2% 39%  
408 1.3% 37%  
409 0.5% 36%  
410 1.4% 35%  
411 3% 34%  
412 0.9% 31%  
413 1.1% 30%  
414 1.0% 29%  
415 2% 28%  
416 3% 26%  
417 1.2% 23%  
418 1.5% 22%  
419 1.2% 21%  
420 2% 19%  
421 0.6% 18%  
422 3% 17%  
423 1.0% 14%  
424 0.6% 14%  
425 1.0% 13%  
426 0.6% 12%  
427 3% 11%  
428 0.9% 8%  
429 0.6% 8%  
430 0.4% 7%  
431 1.0% 7%  
432 0.7% 6%  
433 0.7% 5%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.7% 4%  
436 0.5% 3%  
437 0.2% 3%  
438 0.2% 2%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.4% 2%  
441 0.3% 1.4%  
442 0.1% 1.1%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.1% 0.8%  
445 0.2% 0.8%  
446 0.1% 0.6%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0% 0.4%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0.1% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0.1% 99.9%  
116 0.1% 99.8%  
117 0.2% 99.8%  
118 0.2% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.4%  
120 0.2% 99.3%  
121 0.1% 99.1%  
122 0.2% 99.0%  
123 0.2% 98.9%  
124 0.4% 98.6%  
125 0.3% 98%  
126 0.3% 98%  
127 0.4% 98%  
128 0.3% 97%  
129 0.3% 97%  
130 0.4% 97%  
131 1.2% 96%  
132 2% 95%  
133 1.0% 93%  
134 0.8% 92%  
135 4% 91%  
136 0.1% 88%  
137 0.8% 88%  
138 3% 87%  
139 3% 84%  
140 1.2% 81%  
141 2% 80%  
142 2% 78%  
143 1.1% 76%  
144 2% 74%  
145 3% 72%  
146 3% 69%  
147 2% 66%  
148 1.2% 65%  
149 2% 63%  
150 0.9% 62%  
151 1.1% 61%  
152 2% 60%  
153 0.2% 58%  
154 0.6% 58%  
155 0.3% 57%  
156 0.6% 57%  
157 1.1% 57%  
158 1.1% 55% Median
159 1.5% 54%  
160 5% 53%  
161 2% 48%  
162 1.2% 46%  
163 1.0% 45%  
164 2% 44%  
165 3% 42%  
166 3% 39%  
167 2% 36%  
168 0.7% 34%  
169 2% 33%  
170 6% 31%  
171 0.7% 25%  
172 2% 24%  
173 1.4% 22%  
174 2% 21%  
175 2% 19%  
176 2% 17%  
177 1.0% 15%  
178 2% 14%  
179 0.9% 11%  
180 2% 11%  
181 1.3% 9%  
182 1.4% 8%  
183 1.1% 6%  
184 0.7% 5%  
185 0.5% 4%  
186 0.3% 4%  
187 0.8% 4%  
188 0.4% 3%  
189 0.1% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.3% 1.2%  
194 0.1% 0.9%  
195 0% 0.8%  
196 0.1% 0.7%  
197 0% 0.6%  
198 0% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.5%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.3%  
203 0% 0.3%  
204 0.1% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0% 99.8%  
85 0.1% 99.7%  
86 0.1% 99.6%  
87 0.1% 99.6%  
88 0.2% 99.5%  
89 0.1% 99.3%  
90 0.2% 99.2%  
91 0.1% 99.1%  
92 0.3% 99.0%  
93 0.2% 98.7%  
94 0.4% 98.5%  
95 0.2% 98%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 0.3% 97%  
99 0.5% 97%  
100 0.4% 96%  
101 0.9% 96%  
102 0.5% 95%  
103 0.8% 95%  
104 0.5% 94%  
105 0.6% 93%  
106 0.7% 93%  
107 1.2% 92%  
108 0.5% 91%  
109 2% 90%  
110 1.0% 89%  
111 1.4% 88%  
112 1.2% 86%  
113 2% 85%  
114 0.9% 83%  
115 0.6% 83%  
116 1.3% 82%  
117 2% 81%  
118 0.4% 79%  
119 3% 78%  
120 1.1% 75%  
121 0.9% 74%  
122 4% 73%  
123 1.0% 69%  
124 0.6% 68%  
125 1.4% 68%  
126 0.6% 66%  
127 0.6% 66%  
128 1.5% 65%  
129 2% 64%  
130 1.3% 62%  
131 1.4% 61%  
132 0.9% 60%  
133 2% 59%  
134 2% 56%  
135 0.4% 54%  
136 3% 54%  
137 0.9% 51%  
138 2% 50% Median
139 1.0% 49%  
140 1.2% 48%  
141 1.2% 47%  
142 0.6% 45%  
143 2% 45%  
144 2% 43%  
145 2% 41%  
146 1.0% 39%  
147 1.3% 38%  
148 2% 37%  
149 2% 35%  
150 1.3% 34%  
151 5% 33%  
152 1.5% 27%  
153 1.0% 26%  
154 0.9% 25%  
155 2% 24%  
156 1.5% 22%  
157 0.7% 20%  
158 1.3% 20%  
159 1.1% 18%  
160 0.9% 17%  
161 1.3% 16%  
162 1.1% 15%  
163 1.2% 14%  
164 1.2% 13%  
165 0.6% 11%  
166 1.1% 11%  
167 0.6% 10%  
168 1.3% 9%  
169 0.6% 8%  
170 1.0% 7%  
171 0.5% 6%  
172 1.0% 6%  
173 0.4% 5%  
174 0.2% 4%  
175 0.5% 4%  
176 0.6% 4%  
177 0.3% 3%  
178 0.4% 3%  
179 0.2% 2%  
180 0.3% 2%  
181 0.2% 2%  
182 0.1% 2%  
183 0.2% 2%  
184 0.1% 1.3%  
185 0.1% 1.2%  
186 0.2% 1.0%  
187 0.1% 0.8%  
188 0.1% 0.7%  
189 0% 0.6%  
190 0.1% 0.5%  
191 0.1% 0.5%  
192 0% 0.4%  
193 0.1% 0.4%  
194 0% 0.3%  
195 0% 0.3%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
76 0% 100%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.9%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.8%  
82 0% 99.8%  
83 0.1% 99.8%  
84 0.1% 99.7%  
85 0.1% 99.6%  
86 0.1% 99.5%  
87 0.1% 99.5%  
88 0.2% 99.4%  
89 0.1% 99.2%  
90 0.1% 99.0%  
91 0.2% 98.9%  
92 0.4% 98.8%  
93 0.2% 98%  
94 0.5% 98%  
95 0.4% 98%  
96 0.3% 97%  
97 0.1% 97%  
98 0.4% 97%  
99 0.9% 96%  
100 0.5% 95%  
101 0.6% 95%  
102 0.9% 94%  
103 0.6% 93%  
104 0.5% 93%  
105 0.6% 92%  
106 2% 92%  
107 0.6% 90%  
108 0.6% 89%  
109 1.0% 89%  
110 3% 88%  
111 1.3% 85%  
112 0.8% 84%  
113 0.6% 83%  
114 0.9% 82%  
115 2% 81%  
116 1.0% 80%  
117 3% 79%  
118 0.8% 76%  
119 3% 75%  
120 1.0% 72%  
121 1.0% 71%  
122 2% 70%  
123 1.2% 68%  
124 1.3% 67%  
125 0.9% 66%  
126 1.1% 65%  
127 1.3% 64%  
128 2% 63%  
129 1.1% 61%  
130 1.0% 60%  
131 2% 59%  
132 1.1% 56%  
133 2% 55%  
134 0.6% 54%  
135 2% 53%  
136 3% 52% Median
137 1.0% 49%  
138 0.4% 48%  
139 0.4% 48%  
140 2% 47%  
141 1.5% 46%  
142 2% 44%  
143 2% 42%  
144 1.5% 41%  
145 1.4% 39%  
146 1.4% 38%  
147 2% 36%  
148 3% 34%  
149 0.7% 31%  
150 1.2% 30%  
151 4% 29%  
152 2% 25%  
153 1.0% 23%  
154 0.6% 22%  
155 1.4% 21%  
156 2% 20%  
157 0.6% 18%  
158 2% 18%  
159 1.2% 16%  
160 0.8% 15%  
161 1.5% 14%  
162 0.5% 12%  
163 0.8% 12%  
164 0.6% 11%  
165 2% 10%  
166 0.7% 9%  
167 0.5% 8%  
168 1.1% 7%  
169 0.5% 6%  
170 0.8% 6%  
171 0.2% 5%  
172 0.8% 5%  
173 0.3% 4%  
174 0.3% 4%  
175 0.5% 3%  
176 0.5% 3%  
177 0.2% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.1% 2%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.1% 2%  
182 0.1% 1.4%  
183 0.3% 1.3%  
184 0.1% 1.0%  
185 0.2% 0.8%  
186 0.1% 0.7%  
187 0.1% 0.6%  
188 0.1% 0.6%  
189 0% 0.5%  
190 0.1% 0.4%  
191 0% 0.4%  
192 0% 0.3%  
193 0.1% 0.3%  
194 0% 0.2%  
195 0% 0.2%  
196 0% 0.2%  
197 0% 0.2%  
198 0% 0.1%  
199 0% 0.1%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.1% 99.7%  
48 0.1% 99.7%  
49 0.1% 99.5%  
50 0.1% 99.5%  
51 0.1% 99.4%  
52 0.1% 99.3%  
53 0.2% 99.2%  
54 0.3% 99.0%  
55 0.1% 98.7%  
56 0.6% 98.5%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 0.4% 98%  
59 0.2% 97%  
60 0.4% 97%  
61 0.5% 97%  
62 0.9% 96%  
63 1.1% 95%  
64 0.5% 94%  
65 0.8% 94%  
66 0.3% 93%  
67 0.7% 93%  
68 1.5% 92%  
69 2% 91%  
70 0.8% 89%  
71 0.9% 88%  
72 2% 87%  
73 0.8% 85%  
74 2% 84%  
75 1.0% 82%  
76 0.7% 81%  
77 3% 80%  
78 4% 77%  
79 2% 74%  
80 0.5% 71%  
81 2% 71%  
82 0.8% 69%  
83 1.4% 68%  
84 1.0% 67%  
85 0.9% 66%  
86 1.4% 65%  
87 2% 63%  
88 0.6% 62%  
89 0.5% 61%  
90 0.7% 60%  
91 0.7% 60%  
92 1.2% 59%  
93 0.6% 58%  
94 0.9% 57%  
95 4% 56%  
96 2% 53%  
97 3% 51% Median
98 0.8% 48%  
99 1.1% 47%  
100 0.9% 46%  
101 1.3% 45%  
102 1.4% 44%  
103 1.0% 43%  
104 1.2% 42%  
105 2% 40%  
106 2% 38%  
107 1.0% 37%  
108 4% 36%  
109 2% 32%  
110 4% 29%  
111 2% 26%  
112 0.9% 24%  
113 0.5% 23%  
114 2% 22%  
115 1.4% 21%  
116 1.5% 19%  
117 1.3% 18%  
118 1.2% 16%  
119 1.2% 15%  
120 1.4% 14%  
121 2% 13%  
122 1.4% 11%  
123 1.1% 9%  
124 0.7% 8%  
125 0.8% 8%  
126 0.4% 7%  
127 0.6% 6%  
128 0.5% 6%  
129 0.5% 5%  
130 0.4% 5%  
131 0.4% 4%  
132 0.5% 4%  
133 0.5% 3%  
134 0.4% 3%  
135 0.6% 3%  
136 0.3% 2%  
137 0.1% 2%  
138 0.2% 2%  
139 0.2% 1.4%  
140 0.2% 1.2%  
141 0.1% 1.0%  
142 0.1% 0.9%  
143 0% 0.8%  
144 0.1% 0.8%  
145 0.2% 0.7%  
146 0.1% 0.5%  
147 0.1% 0.4%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.9%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.1% 99.5%  
49 0.1% 99.4%  
50 0.1% 99.3%  
51 0.1% 99.2%  
52 0.1% 99.1%  
53 0.4% 99.0%  
54 0.5% 98.6%  
55 0.1% 98%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 0.2% 98%  
58 0.5% 98%  
59 0.4% 97%  
60 0.7% 97%  
61 0.9% 96%  
62 1.2% 95%  
63 0.5% 94%  
64 0.4% 93%  
65 1.4% 93%  
66 0.5% 92%  
67 1.0% 91%  
68 1.5% 90%  
69 2% 89%  
70 1.2% 87%  
71 1.2% 85%  
72 2% 84%  
73 0.9% 82%  
74 0.9% 81%  
75 1.1% 80%  
76 5% 79%  
77 2% 75%  
78 2% 72%  
79 1.4% 71%  
80 0.9% 69%  
81 1.0% 68%  
82 0.9% 67%  
83 0.9% 66%  
84 1.4% 66%  
85 0.8% 64%  
86 1.4% 63%  
87 1.4% 62%  
88 0.5% 60%  
89 1.5% 60%  
90 1.1% 59%  
91 0.5% 57%  
92 0.4% 57%  
93 1.2% 56%  
94 2% 55%  
95 5% 53% Median
96 1.2% 49%  
97 1.2% 48%  
98 0.7% 46%  
99 1.2% 46%  
100 1.2% 44%  
101 0.9% 43%  
102 2% 42%  
103 0.8% 41%  
104 2% 40%  
105 2% 38%  
106 2% 36%  
107 3% 34%  
108 6% 31%  
109 2% 26%  
110 0.9% 24%  
111 2% 23%  
112 1.0% 21%  
113 1.1% 20%  
114 0.8% 19%  
115 1.3% 18%  
116 1.2% 17%  
117 2% 16%  
118 2% 14%  
119 1.0% 12%  
120 1.3% 11%  
121 1.1% 10%  
122 0.7% 9%  
123 0.7% 8%  
124 0.8% 7%  
125 0.9% 7%  
126 0.5% 6%  
127 0.3% 5%  
128 0.3% 5%  
129 0.5% 5%  
130 0.5% 4%  
131 0.5% 4%  
132 0.5% 3%  
133 0.4% 3%  
134 0.2% 2%  
135 0.5% 2%  
136 0.2% 2%  
137 0.2% 1.3%  
138 0.1% 1.1%  
139 0.1% 1.0%  
140 0.1% 1.0%  
141 0.1% 0.9%  
142 0.1% 0.8%  
143 0.1% 0.6%  
144 0.1% 0.6%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations