Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 19–20 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 41.8% 40.3–43.3% 39.9–43.7% 39.5–44.1% 38.8–44.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.5% 20.3–22.8% 19.9–23.1% 19.6–23.4% 19.1–24.1%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 14.7% 13.7–15.8% 13.4–16.1% 13.1–16.4% 12.7–16.9%
Brexit Party 2.0% 8.8% 8.0–9.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.6–10.2% 7.2–10.7%
Green Party 2.8% 5.3% 4.7–6.0% 4.5–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.1–6.8%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 380 360–409 354–416 348–422 338–431
Conservative Party 365 105 75–125 69–132 63–138 54–150
Liberal Democrats 11 72 63–77 60–78 58–79 53–84
Brexit Party 0 21 20–26 20–28 19–30 17–31
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 43 36–50 34–51 33–52 27–53
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.8%  
335 0.1% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.7%  
337 0.1% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.5%  
339 0.1% 99.4%  
340 0.1% 99.3%  
341 0.2% 99.2%  
342 0.1% 99.1%  
343 0.1% 99.0%  
344 0.4% 98.8%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.3% 98%  
349 0.2% 97%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.3% 97%  
352 0.4% 97%  
353 0.8% 96%  
354 0.7% 95%  
355 0.5% 95%  
356 0.4% 94%  
357 0.8% 94%  
358 0.8% 93%  
359 1.4% 92%  
360 1.0% 91%  
361 1.4% 90%  
362 0.8% 88%  
363 1.0% 88%  
364 1.4% 87%  
365 3% 85%  
366 0.9% 83%  
367 2% 82%  
368 1.0% 80%  
369 4% 79%  
370 0.8% 74%  
371 4% 74%  
372 2% 69%  
373 2% 68%  
374 2% 66%  
375 2% 64%  
376 2% 61%  
377 2% 59%  
378 3% 57%  
379 3% 54%  
380 3% 51% Median
381 2% 48%  
382 3% 46%  
383 2% 43%  
384 2% 41%  
385 1.3% 39%  
386 3% 38%  
387 2% 35%  
388 2% 33%  
389 0.8% 32%  
390 2% 31%  
391 2% 29%  
392 1.1% 27%  
393 2% 26%  
394 2% 24%  
395 1.3% 23%  
396 1.2% 21%  
397 1.5% 20%  
398 0.5% 19%  
399 0.5% 18%  
400 0.9% 18%  
401 0.9% 17%  
402 0.8% 16%  
403 0.7% 15%  
404 0.5% 14%  
405 0.7% 14%  
406 1.5% 13%  
407 0.5% 12%  
408 0.7% 11%  
409 1.0% 10%  
410 1.2% 9%  
411 0.5% 8%  
412 0.5% 8%  
413 0.5% 7%  
414 1.0% 7%  
415 0.4% 6%  
416 0.8% 5%  
417 0.7% 5%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.3% 4%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.3% 3%  
422 0.4% 3%  
423 0.3% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.3% 1.4%  
427 0.1% 1.1%  
428 0.1% 0.9%  
429 0.1% 0.8%  
430 0.2% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.6%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0.1% 0.4%  
434 0.1% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.2% 99.6%  
55 0% 99.4%  
56 0.1% 99.4%  
57 0.2% 99.3%  
58 0.2% 99.1%  
59 0.3% 98.9%  
60 0.3% 98.6%  
61 0.2% 98%  
62 0.3% 98%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 0.2% 97%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 0.4% 97%  
67 0.4% 96%  
68 0.8% 96%  
69 0.8% 95%  
70 0.4% 94%  
71 0.9% 94%  
72 0.9% 93%  
73 0.3% 92%  
74 1.0% 92%  
75 0.8% 91%  
76 0.6% 90%  
77 1.0% 89%  
78 2% 88%  
79 0.6% 87%  
80 0.1% 86%  
81 0.3% 86%  
82 1.3% 86%  
83 0.3% 84%  
84 0.7% 84%  
85 0.5% 83%  
86 1.0% 83%  
87 1.2% 82%  
88 0.4% 81%  
89 1.4% 80%  
90 2% 79%  
91 2% 76%  
92 1.5% 74%  
93 1.3% 73%  
94 1.2% 72%  
95 4% 71%  
96 1.1% 67%  
97 0.7% 66%  
98 2% 65%  
99 2% 63%  
100 1.1% 62%  
101 2% 61%  
102 2% 59%  
103 2% 57%  
104 2% 55%  
105 3% 52% Median
106 3% 49%  
107 3% 46%  
108 2% 43%  
109 3% 42%  
110 4% 39%  
111 1.4% 34%  
112 2% 33%  
113 3% 31%  
114 2% 28%  
115 2% 26%  
116 2% 25%  
117 2% 22%  
118 2% 20%  
119 1.0% 19%  
120 2% 18%  
121 1.2% 15%  
122 2% 14%  
123 2% 12%  
124 0.7% 11%  
125 1.1% 10%  
126 1.0% 9%  
127 0.6% 8%  
128 0.5% 7%  
129 1.1% 7%  
130 0.3% 6%  
131 0.3% 5%  
132 0.5% 5%  
133 0.4% 5%  
134 0.5% 4%  
135 0.3% 4%  
136 0.2% 3%  
137 0.3% 3%  
138 0.4% 3%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.2% 2%  
142 0.1% 2%  
143 0.2% 2%  
144 0.3% 2%  
145 0.1% 1.3%  
146 0.3% 1.2%  
147 0.2% 0.9%  
148 0.1% 0.8%  
149 0.1% 0.7%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 100%  
47 0% 100%  
48 0% 100%  
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.2% 99.6%  
54 0.2% 99.4%  
55 0.5% 99.1%  
56 0.2% 98.6%  
57 0.8% 98%  
58 0.3% 98%  
59 1.3% 97%  
60 1.1% 96%  
61 2% 95%  
62 3% 93%  
63 2% 90%  
64 3% 88%  
65 6% 84%  
66 0.8% 78%  
67 6% 77%  
68 4% 72%  
69 1.2% 67%  
70 7% 66%  
71 2% 59%  
72 23% 57% Median
73 6% 34%  
74 6% 28%  
75 6% 22%  
76 5% 17%  
77 4% 11%  
78 3% 7%  
79 2% 4%  
80 0.6% 2%  
81 0.3% 2%  
82 0.2% 1.3%  
83 0.6% 1.1%  
84 0.3% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.3%  
86 0% 0.2%  
87 0% 0.2%  
88 0% 0.1%  
89 0% 0.1%  
90 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0.1% 100%  
14 0.1% 99.9%  
15 0% 99.8%  
16 0.2% 99.7%  
17 0.2% 99.5%  
18 0.7% 99.4%  
19 4% 98.7%  
20 20% 95%  
21 26% 75% Median
22 4% 49%  
23 14% 45%  
24 5% 32%  
25 8% 27%  
26 11% 19%  
27 0.9% 8%  
28 3% 7%  
29 0.1% 3%  
30 0.9% 3%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0% 0.3%  
33 0% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.2%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 39% 100% Last Result
2 27% 61% Median
3 34% 34%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.8%  
24 0% 99.8%  
25 0.1% 99.7%  
26 0.1% 99.6%  
27 0.1% 99.5%  
28 0.2% 99.4%  
29 0.3% 99.2%  
30 0.3% 99.0%  
31 0.3% 98.7%  
32 0.4% 98%  
33 0.6% 98%  
34 4% 97%  
35 0.3% 93%  
36 4% 93%  
37 0.7% 88%  
38 9% 88%  
39 2% 79%  
40 6% 77%  
41 19% 71%  
42 0.7% 51%  
43 11% 50% Median
44 0.1% 40%  
45 5% 40%  
46 3% 35%  
47 2% 32%  
48 10% 29% Last Result
49 7% 19%  
50 6% 12%  
51 3% 7%  
52 4% 4%  
53 0.5% 0.7%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.1% 100% Last Result
5 84% 98.8% Median
6 13% 15%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 501 100% 480–530 473–538 466–543 455–553
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 498 100% 478–528 471–536 464–541 453–551
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 493 100% 473–523 466–531 458–536 448–546
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 456 100% 432–487 425–495 419–501 406–512
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 451 100% 427–482 420–490 413–496 401–507
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 428 100% 411–455 406–462 400–466 390–475
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 423 100% 406–450 400–457 394–461 385–470
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 385 100% 366–414 359–421 354–427 343–436
Labour Party 202 380 100% 360–409 354–416 348–422 338–431
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 176 0% 149–191 142–197 138–203 131–212
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 153 0% 123–175 115–182 109–189 98–202
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 148 0% 118–170 110–177 103–184 93–197
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 110 0% 81–130 74–137 68–144 59–155
Conservative Party 365 105 0% 75–125 69–132 63–138 54–150

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0% 99.9%  
449 0% 99.9%  
450 0% 99.8%  
451 0.1% 99.8%  
452 0.1% 99.7%  
453 0.1% 99.6%  
454 0% 99.6%  
455 0.1% 99.5%  
456 0.1% 99.5%  
457 0.3% 99.4%  
458 0.1% 99.1%  
459 0.1% 99.0%  
460 0.1% 98.9%  
461 0.2% 98.8%  
462 0.2% 98.7%  
463 0.4% 98%  
464 0.2% 98%  
465 0.2% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.2% 97%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.4% 97%  
470 0.3% 96%  
471 0.4% 96%  
472 0.4% 96%  
473 0.5% 95%  
474 0.4% 95%  
475 0.7% 94%  
476 1.3% 94%  
477 0.9% 92%  
478 0.5% 92%  
479 0.6% 91%  
480 0.7% 90%  
481 2% 90%  
482 1.2% 88%  
483 2% 87%  
484 1.3% 85%  
485 1.1% 84%  
486 1.4% 83%  
487 2% 81%  
488 0.9% 79%  
489 3% 78%  
490 2% 76%  
491 2% 74%  
492 2% 72%  
493 3% 70%  
494 2% 67%  
495 3% 65%  
496 2% 62%  
497 3% 60%  
498 2% 57%  
499 3% 54%  
500 1.4% 52%  
501 4% 50%  
502 2% 47% Median
503 3% 45%  
504 2% 42%  
505 1.4% 40%  
506 0.8% 39%  
507 1.4% 38%  
508 0.8% 36%  
509 2% 36%  
510 3% 33%  
511 1.3% 31%  
512 1.2% 29%  
513 2% 28%  
514 1.2% 26%  
515 1.4% 25%  
516 1.0% 23%  
517 2% 22%  
518 0.7% 20%  
519 1.2% 20%  
520 0.6% 18%  
521 0.9% 18%  
522 1.2% 17%  
523 0.2% 16%  
524 0.6% 16%  
525 1.0% 15%  
526 0.5% 14%  
527 0.4% 13%  
528 0.4% 13%  
529 2% 13%  
530 1.1% 11%  
531 0.5% 10%  
532 0.4% 9%  
533 1.1% 9%  
534 1.0% 8%  
535 0.5% 7%  
536 0.8% 7%  
537 0.4% 6%  
538 0.6% 5%  
539 0.5% 5%  
540 0.7% 4%  
541 0.3% 4%  
542 0.3% 3%  
543 0.6% 3%  
544 0.3% 2%  
545 0.2% 2%  
546 0.2% 2%  
547 0.2% 2%  
548 0.3% 1.5%  
549 0.2% 1.1%  
550 0.2% 1.0%  
551 0.1% 0.8%  
552 0.1% 0.6%  
553 0.1% 0.5%  
554 0.1% 0.5%  
555 0.1% 0.3%  
556 0.1% 0.3%  
557 0% 0.2%  
558 0% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0% 99.9%  
446 0% 99.9%  
447 0% 99.9%  
448 0.1% 99.8%  
449 0% 99.8%  
450 0.1% 99.7%  
451 0.1% 99.7%  
452 0% 99.6%  
453 0.1% 99.6%  
454 0.1% 99.5%  
455 0.1% 99.4%  
456 0.3% 99.3%  
457 0.1% 99.0%  
458 0.1% 98.9%  
459 0.1% 98.9%  
460 0.3% 98.8%  
461 0.3% 98%  
462 0.4% 98%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.3% 98%  
465 0.2% 97%  
466 0.4% 97%  
467 0.3% 97%  
468 0.3% 96%  
469 0.3% 96%  
470 0.5% 96%  
471 0.5% 95%  
472 0.6% 95%  
473 0.6% 94%  
474 0.6% 94%  
475 1.2% 93%  
476 1.0% 92%  
477 0.4% 91%  
478 0.8% 90%  
479 0.8% 90%  
480 2% 89%  
481 2% 87%  
482 1.3% 85%  
483 1.0% 84%  
484 2% 83%  
485 2% 81%  
486 2% 79%  
487 1.4% 78%  
488 2% 76%  
489 2% 74%  
490 2% 72%  
491 2% 70%  
492 4% 68%  
493 1.3% 64%  
494 3% 62%  
495 2% 59%  
496 3% 57%  
497 1.2% 54%  
498 4% 53%  
499 1.4% 49%  
500 3% 48% Median
501 3% 45%  
502 2% 42%  
503 1.2% 40%  
504 1.4% 39%  
505 0.7% 38%  
506 2% 37%  
507 1.0% 35%  
508 3% 34%  
509 2% 31%  
510 2% 29%  
511 2% 27%  
512 0.7% 25%  
513 1.4% 25%  
514 2% 23%  
515 0.7% 21%  
516 0.7% 20%  
517 0.7% 20%  
518 1.4% 19%  
519 0.7% 18%  
520 1.1% 17%  
521 0.3% 16%  
522 0.6% 15%  
523 0.5% 15%  
524 1.1% 14%  
525 0.2% 13%  
526 0.4% 13%  
527 2% 13%  
528 1.0% 11%  
529 0.5% 10%  
530 0.5% 9%  
531 0.8% 9%  
532 0.9% 8%  
533 0.5% 7%  
534 0.7% 7%  
535 0.7% 6%  
536 0.6% 5%  
537 0.5% 5%  
538 0.7% 4%  
539 0.3% 3%  
540 0.4% 3%  
541 0.5% 3%  
542 0.3% 2%  
543 0.3% 2%  
544 0.2% 2%  
545 0.2% 2%  
546 0.4% 1.5%  
547 0.2% 1.1%  
548 0.2% 0.9%  
549 0.1% 0.7%  
550 0.1% 0.6%  
551 0.1% 0.6%  
552 0.1% 0.5%  
553 0.1% 0.3%  
554 0.1% 0.3%  
555 0% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.2%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0.1% 99.8%  
445 0.1% 99.7%  
446 0.1% 99.7%  
447 0% 99.6%  
448 0.1% 99.5%  
449 0.1% 99.5%  
450 0.1% 99.4%  
451 0.3% 99.2%  
452 0.1% 99.0%  
453 0.1% 98.9%  
454 0.1% 98.8%  
455 0.3% 98.7%  
456 0.4% 98%  
457 0.3% 98%  
458 0.2% 98%  
459 0.2% 97%  
460 0.3% 97%  
461 0.4% 97%  
462 0.2% 97%  
463 0.3% 96%  
464 0.3% 96%  
465 0.5% 96%  
466 0.5% 95%  
467 0.6% 95%  
468 0.7% 94%  
469 0.7% 94%  
470 1.2% 93%  
471 0.8% 92%  
472 0.4% 91%  
473 1.0% 90%  
474 0.9% 89%  
475 2% 89%  
476 2% 87%  
477 1.3% 85%  
478 0.8% 84%  
479 2% 83%  
480 2% 81%  
481 1.3% 79%  
482 2% 78%  
483 2% 75%  
484 2% 74%  
485 2% 71%  
486 2% 70%  
487 4% 67%  
488 1.4% 64%  
489 3% 62%  
490 2% 59%  
491 3% 57%  
492 1.0% 53%  
493 4% 52%  
494 1.4% 49%  
495 3% 47% Median
496 3% 44%  
497 1.4% 41%  
498 1.1% 40%  
499 1.4% 39%  
500 0.9% 37%  
501 2% 37%  
502 0.9% 35%  
503 3% 34%  
504 2% 31%  
505 2% 29%  
506 1.4% 27%  
507 1.0% 25%  
508 1.1% 24%  
509 2% 23%  
510 0.8% 21%  
511 0.6% 20%  
512 0.7% 20%  
513 1.4% 19%  
514 0.7% 18%  
515 1.1% 17%  
516 0.4% 16%  
517 0.4% 15%  
518 0.5% 15%  
519 1.0% 14%  
520 0.2% 13%  
521 0.4% 13%  
522 2% 13%  
523 1.1% 11%  
524 0.5% 10%  
525 0.7% 9%  
526 0.7% 9%  
527 0.9% 8%  
528 0.5% 7%  
529 0.8% 7%  
530 0.6% 6%  
531 0.6% 5%  
532 0.6% 5%  
533 0.6% 4%  
534 0.3% 3%  
535 0.4% 3%  
536 0.4% 3%  
537 0.3% 2%  
538 0.3% 2%  
539 0.2% 2%  
540 0.2% 2%  
541 0.4% 1.5%  
542 0.2% 1.1%  
543 0.2% 0.9%  
544 0.1% 0.7%  
545 0.1% 0.6%  
546 0.1% 0.5%  
547 0.1% 0.5%  
548 0.1% 0.3%  
549 0.1% 0.3%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.8%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0.1% 99.8%  
404 0.1% 99.7%  
405 0% 99.6%  
406 0.1% 99.5%  
407 0% 99.4%  
408 0.1% 99.4%  
409 0.1% 99.3%  
410 0.1% 99.2%  
411 0.2% 99.1%  
412 0.1% 98.9%  
413 0.1% 98.8%  
414 0.2% 98.7%  
415 0.2% 98%  
416 0.3% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.2% 98%  
419 0.2% 98%  
420 0.3% 97%  
421 0.3% 97%  
422 0.2% 97%  
423 0.6% 97%  
424 0.4% 96%  
425 0.7% 96%  
426 0.4% 95%  
427 0.6% 94%  
428 0.4% 94%  
429 0.4% 93%  
430 0.8% 93%  
431 0.8% 92%  
432 2% 91%  
433 1.0% 90%  
434 0.6% 89%  
435 0.4% 88%  
436 1.3% 88%  
437 1.2% 86%  
438 1.3% 85%  
439 1.1% 84%  
440 2% 83%  
441 2% 81%  
442 2% 79%  
443 2% 78%  
444 2% 76%  
445 2% 74%  
446 2% 72%  
447 1.4% 69%  
448 3% 68%  
449 1.2% 64%  
450 1.4% 63%  
451 4% 62%  
452 2% 58%  
453 2% 56%  
454 2% 55%  
455 2% 53%  
456 2% 51%  
457 4% 48% Median
458 1.1% 45%  
459 2% 44%  
460 2% 42%  
461 1.2% 40%  
462 2% 39%  
463 1.4% 37%  
464 1.1% 35%  
465 3% 34%  
466 1.4% 31%  
467 0.6% 30%  
468 2% 29%  
469 1.2% 27%  
470 1.2% 26%  
471 1.1% 25%  
472 1.3% 24%  
473 2% 23%  
474 0.5% 21%  
475 0.8% 21%  
476 0.9% 20%  
477 1.4% 19%  
478 0.6% 18%  
479 0.9% 17%  
480 0.8% 16%  
481 0.5% 15%  
482 0.7% 15%  
483 2% 14%  
484 0.6% 13%  
485 0.8% 12%  
486 0.9% 11%  
487 1.0% 10%  
488 0.5% 9%  
489 0.3% 9%  
490 0.7% 8%  
491 0.6% 8%  
492 1.0% 7%  
493 0.5% 6%  
494 0.5% 6%  
495 0.5% 5%  
496 0.3% 5%  
497 0.5% 4%  
498 0.5% 4%  
499 0.3% 3%  
500 0.4% 3%  
501 0.2% 3%  
502 0.4% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.4% 2%  
506 0.1% 1.4%  
507 0.2% 1.2%  
508 0.2% 1.0%  
509 0.1% 0.9%  
510 0.1% 0.8%  
511 0.1% 0.7%  
512 0.1% 0.5%  
513 0.1% 0.5%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0.1% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.8%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0.1% 99.7%  
399 0.1% 99.7%  
400 0% 99.5%  
401 0.1% 99.5%  
402 0% 99.4%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.1% 99.3%  
405 0.1% 99.2%  
406 0.2% 99.1%  
407 0.1% 98.9%  
408 0.3% 98.8%  
409 0.1% 98.5%  
410 0.2% 98%  
411 0.2% 98%  
412 0.2% 98%  
413 0.3% 98%  
414 0.2% 97%  
415 0.3% 97%  
416 0.3% 97%  
417 0.2% 97%  
418 0.6% 97%  
419 0.4% 96%  
420 0.6% 95%  
421 0.5% 95%  
422 0.6% 94%  
423 0.3% 94%  
424 0.6% 93%  
425 0.7% 93%  
426 0.8% 92%  
427 2% 91%  
428 1.1% 90%  
429 0.4% 89%  
430 0.6% 88%  
431 1.2% 87%  
432 1.5% 86%  
433 1.2% 85%  
434 1.3% 84%  
435 2% 82%  
436 2% 81%  
437 2% 79%  
438 1.4% 77%  
439 2% 76%  
440 2% 73%  
441 3% 71%  
442 1.0% 69%  
443 3% 68%  
444 1.3% 64%  
445 1.5% 63%  
446 4% 62%  
447 1.4% 58%  
448 2% 56%  
449 2% 55%  
450 2% 52%  
451 2% 50%  
452 4% 48% Median
453 1.2% 44%  
454 1.2% 43%  
455 2% 42%  
456 1.3% 40%  
457 2% 38%  
458 1.4% 37%  
459 1.1% 35%  
460 3% 34%  
461 1.4% 31%  
462 0.8% 30%  
463 2% 29%  
464 1.2% 27%  
465 1.0% 26%  
466 1.0% 25%  
467 1.3% 24%  
468 2% 23%  
469 0.8% 21%  
470 0.5% 20%  
471 0.8% 20%  
472 1.4% 19%  
473 0.5% 17%  
474 1.0% 17%  
475 0.6% 16%  
476 0.4% 15%  
477 0.7% 15%  
478 1.5% 14%  
479 0.6% 13%  
480 0.8% 12%  
481 0.9% 11%  
482 1.0% 10%  
483 0.5% 9%  
484 0.4% 9%  
485 0.6% 8%  
486 0.8% 8%  
487 0.8% 7%  
488 0.6% 6%  
489 0.5% 6%  
490 0.4% 5%  
491 0.3% 5%  
492 0.5% 4%  
493 0.5% 4%  
494 0.3% 3%  
495 0.4% 3%  
496 0.3% 3%  
497 0.3% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.4% 2%  
501 0.2% 1.4%  
502 0.2% 1.2%  
503 0.1% 1.0%  
504 0.1% 0.9%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.7%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0.1% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.9%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.8%  
389 0.1% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.6%  
391 0.1% 99.5%  
392 0.1% 99.4%  
393 0.1% 99.3%  
394 0.2% 99.1%  
395 0.2% 99.0%  
396 0.3% 98.8%  
397 0.3% 98.5%  
398 0.4% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.4% 98%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.3% 97%  
403 0.5% 96%  
404 0.3% 96%  
405 0.6% 96%  
406 0.7% 95%  
407 0.6% 94%  
408 0.5% 94%  
409 0.8% 93%  
410 1.1% 92%  
411 1.4% 91%  
412 1.5% 90%  
413 2% 88%  
414 0.8% 87%  
415 3% 86%  
416 2% 83%  
417 2% 81%  
418 2% 79%  
419 2% 77%  
420 4% 75%  
421 2% 71%  
422 4% 69%  
423 3% 65%  
424 5% 63%  
425 3% 58%  
426 3% 55%  
427 1.4% 53%  
428 4% 51% Median
429 2% 47%  
430 2% 45%  
431 2% 43%  
432 2% 41%  
433 1.3% 39%  
434 5% 38%  
435 0.9% 33%  
436 2% 32%  
437 1.2% 30%  
438 2% 29%  
439 3% 27%  
440 2% 24%  
441 0.5% 23%  
442 2% 22%  
443 1.3% 20%  
444 2% 19%  
445 0.7% 17%  
446 0.6% 17%  
447 0.3% 16%  
448 0.3% 16%  
449 0.3% 15%  
450 0.3% 15%  
451 0.7% 15%  
452 1.1% 14%  
453 0.4% 13%  
454 0.7% 13%  
455 2% 12%  
456 1.0% 10%  
457 1.1% 9%  
458 0.7% 8%  
459 0.4% 7%  
460 0.7% 7%  
461 0.5% 6%  
462 0.5% 5%  
463 0.8% 5%  
464 0.6% 4%  
465 0.5% 3%  
466 0.5% 3%  
467 0.4% 2%  
468 0.3% 2%  
469 0.2% 2%  
470 0.2% 2%  
471 0.4% 1.4%  
472 0.2% 1.0%  
473 0.2% 0.7%  
474 0.1% 0.6%  
475 0.1% 0.5%  
476 0.1% 0.4%  
477 0.1% 0.3%  
478 0.1% 0.3%  
479 0.1% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.5%  
387 0.1% 99.3%  
388 0.1% 99.2%  
389 0.2% 99.1%  
390 0.2% 98.9%  
391 0.2% 98.7%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.5% 97%  
396 0.3% 97%  
397 0.3% 97%  
398 0.5% 96%  
399 0.4% 96%  
400 0.5% 95%  
401 0.8% 95%  
402 0.6% 94%  
403 0.5% 94%  
404 0.8% 93%  
405 1.2% 92%  
406 1.5% 91%  
407 2% 90%  
408 1.3% 88%  
409 0.8% 86%  
410 3% 86%  
411 2% 83%  
412 2% 81%  
413 2% 79%  
414 3% 77%  
415 3% 74%  
416 3% 71%  
417 4% 68%  
418 3% 65%  
419 4% 62%  
420 3% 58%  
421 3% 55%  
422 2% 52%  
423 4% 51% Median
424 2% 47%  
425 2% 44%  
426 2% 43%  
427 2% 41%  
428 1.5% 39%  
429 5% 38%  
430 1.1% 32%  
431 1.4% 31%  
432 1.4% 30%  
433 2% 29%  
434 2% 26%  
435 1.4% 24%  
436 0.5% 23%  
437 2% 22%  
438 1.5% 20%  
439 2% 19%  
440 0.6% 17%  
441 0.7% 16%  
442 0.3% 16%  
443 0.3% 16%  
444 0.4% 15%  
445 0.1% 15%  
446 0.7% 15%  
447 1.2% 14%  
448 0.4% 13%  
449 0.6% 12%  
450 2% 12%  
451 1.0% 10%  
452 1.2% 9%  
453 0.7% 8%  
454 0.5% 7%  
455 0.7% 7%  
456 0.5% 6%  
457 0.5% 5%  
458 0.8% 5%  
459 0.6% 4%  
460 0.6% 3%  
461 0.4% 3%  
462 0.4% 2%  
463 0.3% 2%  
464 0.2% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.4% 1.3%  
467 0.2% 0.9%  
468 0.2% 0.7%  
469 0.1% 0.6%  
470 0.1% 0.5%  
471 0.1% 0.4%  
472 0.1% 0.3%  
473 0.1% 0.3%  
474 0.1% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.1%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.8%  
341 0.1% 99.7%  
342 0.1% 99.7%  
343 0.1% 99.6%  
344 0.1% 99.5%  
345 0.1% 99.4%  
346 0.1% 99.2%  
347 0.1% 99.1%  
348 0.1% 99.0%  
349 0.2% 98.9%  
350 0.2% 98.6%  
351 0.4% 98%  
352 0.2% 98%  
353 0.2% 98%  
354 0.3% 98%  
355 0.3% 97%  
356 0.3% 97%  
357 0.3% 97%  
358 0.9% 96%  
359 0.7% 96%  
360 0.4% 95%  
361 0.4% 95%  
362 0.8% 94%  
363 0.8% 93%  
364 1.4% 93%  
365 0.9% 91%  
366 1.5% 90%  
367 0.8% 89%  
368 1.1% 88%  
369 1.3% 87%  
370 2% 86%  
371 1.1% 83%  
372 2% 82%  
373 0.9% 80%  
374 4% 79%  
375 2% 75%  
376 4% 74%  
377 1.4% 70%  
378 2% 68%  
379 2% 66%  
380 2% 64%  
381 2% 62%  
382 2% 60%  
383 3% 57%  
384 3% 55%  
385 3% 52% Median
386 2% 49%  
387 3% 46%  
388 2% 44%  
389 2% 42%  
390 1.3% 40%  
391 3% 38%  
392 2% 35%  
393 1.5% 33%  
394 0.9% 32%  
395 2% 31%  
396 2% 29%  
397 1.4% 28%  
398 2% 26%  
399 2% 24%  
400 1.4% 23%  
401 1.2% 21%  
402 1.2% 20%  
403 0.7% 19%  
404 0.5% 18%  
405 0.9% 18%  
406 0.9% 17%  
407 0.7% 16%  
408 0.7% 15%  
409 0.6% 14%  
410 0.6% 14%  
411 2% 13%  
412 0.5% 12%  
413 0.7% 11%  
414 0.9% 11%  
415 1.3% 10%  
416 0.5% 8%  
417 0.5% 8%  
418 0.5% 7%  
419 1.0% 7%  
420 0.4% 6%  
421 0.8% 5%  
422 0.7% 5%  
423 0.3% 4%  
424 0.3% 4%  
425 0.4% 3%  
426 0.2% 3%  
427 0.5% 3%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.3% 2%  
430 0.4% 2%  
431 0.3% 1.4%  
432 0.2% 1.1%  
433 0.1% 1.0%  
434 0.1% 0.8%  
435 0.2% 0.7%  
436 0.1% 0.6%  
437 0.1% 0.5%  
438 0.1% 0.4%  
439 0.1% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.3%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 99.9%  
330 0% 99.9%  
331 0% 99.9%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.8%  
334 0.1% 99.8%  
335 0.1% 99.8%  
336 0.1% 99.7%  
337 0.1% 99.6%  
338 0.1% 99.5%  
339 0.1% 99.4%  
340 0.1% 99.3%  
341 0.2% 99.2%  
342 0.1% 99.1%  
343 0.1% 99.0%  
344 0.4% 98.8%  
345 0.2% 98%  
346 0.4% 98%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.3% 98%  
349 0.2% 97%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.3% 97%  
352 0.4% 97%  
353 0.8% 96%  
354 0.7% 95%  
355 0.5% 95%  
356 0.4% 94%  
357 0.8% 94%  
358 0.8% 93%  
359 1.4% 92%  
360 1.0% 91%  
361 1.4% 90%  
362 0.8% 88%  
363 1.0% 88%  
364 1.4% 87%  
365 3% 85%  
366 0.9% 83%  
367 2% 82%  
368 1.0% 80%  
369 4% 79%  
370 0.8% 74%  
371 4% 74%  
372 2% 69%  
373 2% 68%  
374 2% 66%  
375 2% 64%  
376 2% 61%  
377 2% 59%  
378 3% 57%  
379 3% 54%  
380 3% 51% Median
381 2% 48%  
382 3% 46%  
383 2% 43%  
384 2% 41%  
385 1.3% 39%  
386 3% 38%  
387 2% 35%  
388 2% 33%  
389 0.8% 32%  
390 2% 31%  
391 2% 29%  
392 1.1% 27%  
393 2% 26%  
394 2% 24%  
395 1.3% 23%  
396 1.2% 21%  
397 1.5% 20%  
398 0.5% 19%  
399 0.5% 18%  
400 0.9% 18%  
401 0.9% 17%  
402 0.8% 16%  
403 0.7% 15%  
404 0.5% 14%  
405 0.7% 14%  
406 1.5% 13%  
407 0.5% 12%  
408 0.7% 11%  
409 1.0% 10%  
410 1.2% 9%  
411 0.5% 8%  
412 0.5% 8%  
413 0.5% 7%  
414 1.0% 7%  
415 0.4% 6%  
416 0.8% 5%  
417 0.7% 5%  
418 0.3% 4%  
419 0.3% 4%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.3% 3%  
422 0.4% 3%  
423 0.3% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.3% 1.4%  
427 0.1% 1.1%  
428 0.1% 0.9%  
429 0.1% 0.8%  
430 0.2% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.6%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0.1% 0.4%  
434 0.1% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.3%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
121 0% 100%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0.1% 99.9%  
128 0.1% 99.8%  
129 0.1% 99.7%  
130 0.1% 99.6%  
131 0.1% 99.5%  
132 0.2% 99.5%  
133 0.1% 99.3%  
134 0.4% 99.2%  
135 0.4% 98.8%  
136 0.1% 98%  
137 0.5% 98%  
138 0.3% 98%  
139 0.3% 97%  
140 0.5% 97%  
141 1.0% 97%  
142 0.8% 96%  
143 0.6% 95%  
144 0.8% 94%  
145 0.3% 93%  
146 0.7% 93%  
147 0.9% 92%  
148 1.0% 92%  
149 1.5% 91%  
150 2% 89%  
151 0.4% 87%  
152 0.4% 87%  
153 0.4% 86%  
154 1.1% 86%  
155 0.3% 85%  
156 0.4% 85%  
157 0.2% 84%  
158 0.1% 84%  
159 0.7% 84%  
160 1.0% 83%  
161 0.8% 82%  
162 3% 81%  
163 2% 78%  
164 1.3% 76%  
165 1.1% 75%  
166 2% 74%  
167 2% 71%  
168 1.4% 69%  
169 3% 67%  
170 1.1% 65%  
171 2% 64%  
172 2% 62%  
173 3% 59%  
174 3% 56%  
175 1.4% 53%  
176 2% 52%  
177 4% 49% Median
178 4% 45%  
179 2% 41%  
180 2% 39%  
181 3% 37%  
182 5% 34%  
183 4% 28%  
184 2% 24%  
185 3% 22%  
186 2% 19%  
187 3% 18%  
188 1.2% 15%  
189 2% 14%  
190 1.5% 12%  
191 2% 11%  
192 0.9% 8%  
193 0.8% 7%  
194 0.5% 7%  
195 0.4% 6%  
196 0.7% 6%  
197 0.3% 5%  
198 0.7% 5%  
199 0.5% 4%  
200 0.5% 4%  
201 0.2% 3%  
202 0.3% 3%  
203 0.2% 3%  
204 0.4% 2%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.2% 1.4%  
208 0.3% 1.2%  
209 0.2% 0.9%  
210 0.1% 0.8%  
211 0.1% 0.6%  
212 0.1% 0.5%  
213 0% 0.4%  
214 0.1% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0% 99.7%  
97 0.1% 99.7%  
98 0.1% 99.6%  
99 0.1% 99.5%  
100 0.1% 99.4%  
101 0.1% 99.3%  
102 0.2% 99.2%  
103 0.1% 98.9%  
104 0.2% 98.8%  
105 0.3% 98.6%  
106 0.4% 98%  
107 0.2% 98%  
108 0.3% 98%  
109 0.3% 98%  
110 0.2% 97%  
111 0.4% 97%  
112 0.8% 97%  
113 0.5% 96%  
114 0.2% 95%  
115 0.5% 95%  
116 0.7% 95%  
117 0.7% 94%  
118 0.7% 93%  
119 0.6% 93%  
120 0.7% 92%  
121 0.5% 91%  
122 0.6% 91%  
123 1.5% 90%  
124 0.7% 89%  
125 0.6% 88%  
126 0.2% 87%  
127 1.4% 87%  
128 1.0% 86%  
129 0.7% 85%  
130 1.3% 84%  
131 0.6% 83%  
132 0.5% 82%  
133 0.9% 82%  
134 1.0% 81%  
135 1.0% 80%  
136 0.9% 79%  
137 0.9% 78%  
138 2% 77%  
139 0.9% 74%  
140 1.2% 73%  
141 1.2% 72%  
142 1.1% 71%  
143 3% 70%  
144 1.3% 67%  
145 2% 66%  
146 2% 64%  
147 2% 62%  
148 0.9% 60%  
149 1.0% 59%  
150 3% 58%  
151 2% 55%  
152 2% 53%  
153 2% 51% Median
154 2% 50%  
155 3% 47%  
156 2% 45%  
157 3% 43%  
158 3% 40%  
159 3% 38%  
160 3% 35%  
161 2% 33%  
162 2% 31%  
163 2% 29%  
164 2% 27%  
165 1.4% 25%  
166 4% 24%  
167 2% 20%  
168 2% 18%  
169 0.9% 16%  
170 0.8% 15%  
171 1.0% 15%  
172 0.8% 14%  
173 1.3% 13%  
174 0.7% 12%  
175 1.0% 11%  
176 2% 10%  
177 0.4% 8%  
178 0.8% 8%  
179 0.8% 7%  
180 0.6% 6%  
181 0.5% 6%  
182 0.6% 5%  
183 0.3% 5%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.2% 4%  
186 0.4% 4%  
187 0.2% 3%  
188 0.3% 3%  
189 0.2% 3%  
190 0.2% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.3% 2%  
193 0.3% 2%  
194 0.2% 2%  
195 0.1% 1.3%  
196 0.2% 1.2%  
197 0.1% 1.0%  
198 0.2% 0.9%  
199 0.1% 0.8%  
200 0.1% 0.7%  
201 0.1% 0.6%  
202 0% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.5%  
204 0.1% 0.4%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0% 0.3%  
207 0.1% 0.2%  
208 0% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0.1%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0.1% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0% 99.7%  
92 0.1% 99.7%  
93 0.1% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.5%  
95 0.1% 99.4%  
96 0.1% 99.2%  
97 0.2% 99.2%  
98 0.1% 98.9%  
99 0.2% 98.8%  
100 0.3% 98.6%  
101 0.4% 98%  
102 0.2% 98%  
103 0.3% 98%  
104 0.3% 97%  
105 0.1% 97%  
106 0.4% 97%  
107 0.7% 97%  
108 0.5% 96%  
109 0.2% 95%  
110 0.5% 95%  
111 0.6% 95%  
112 0.8% 94%  
113 0.9% 93%  
114 0.4% 92%  
115 0.8% 92%  
116 0.5% 91%  
117 0.6% 91%  
118 2% 90%  
119 0.7% 89%  
120 0.5% 88%  
121 0.3% 87%  
122 1.3% 87%  
123 1.0% 86%  
124 0.9% 85%  
125 1.1% 84%  
126 0.7% 83%  
127 0.5% 82%  
128 0.8% 82%  
129 1.1% 81%  
130 1.3% 80%  
131 0.7% 78%  
132 0.8% 78%  
133 2% 77%  
134 0.9% 74%  
135 2% 73%  
136 1.2% 72%  
137 1.2% 71%  
138 3% 70%  
139 1.2% 67%  
140 2% 66%  
141 2% 64%  
142 2% 62%  
143 0.9% 60%  
144 0.9% 59%  
145 3% 58%  
146 3% 55%  
147 2% 53%  
148 2% 51% Median
149 2% 49%  
150 2% 47%  
151 2% 45%  
152 3% 43%  
153 3% 40%  
154 3% 38%  
155 2% 35%  
156 2% 32%  
157 3% 31%  
158 1.3% 28%  
159 2% 27%  
160 1.1% 25%  
161 4% 24%  
162 2% 20%  
163 2% 18%  
164 1.0% 16%  
165 0.8% 15%  
166 0.8% 14%  
167 0.9% 13%  
168 1.3% 13%  
169 0.7% 11%  
170 0.9% 11%  
171 2% 10%  
172 0.7% 8%  
173 0.6% 8%  
174 0.7% 7%  
175 0.7% 6%  
176 0.4% 6%  
177 0.6% 5%  
178 0.4% 5%  
179 0.4% 4%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.2% 3%  
183 0.3% 3%  
184 0.2% 3%  
185 0.2% 2%  
186 0.4% 2%  
187 0.1% 2%  
188 0.3% 2%  
189 0.2% 1.5%  
190 0.1% 1.3%  
191 0.2% 1.2%  
192 0.1% 1.0%  
193 0.2% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.7%  
195 0.1% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.5%  
197 0% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0.1% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.3%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0.1% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.8%  
56 0% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 99.8%  
58 0.1% 99.7%  
59 0.1% 99.6%  
60 0.1% 99.4%  
61 0.1% 99.4%  
62 0.1% 99.3%  
63 0.2% 99.1%  
64 0.3% 98.9%  
65 0.3% 98.6%  
66 0.2% 98%  
67 0.2% 98%  
68 0.4% 98%  
69 0.2% 97%  
70 0.6% 97%  
71 0.4% 97%  
72 0.5% 96%  
73 0.8% 96%  
74 0.7% 95%  
75 0.6% 94%  
76 0.8% 94%  
77 0.8% 93%  
78 0.5% 92%  
79 0.9% 92%  
80 0.8% 91%  
81 0.6% 90%  
82 1.1% 89%  
83 2% 88%  
84 0.5% 87%  
85 0.2% 86%  
86 0.3% 86%  
87 1.2% 86%  
88 0.4% 84%  
89 0.8% 84%  
90 0.5% 83%  
91 0.9% 83%  
92 1.3% 82%  
93 0.4% 81%  
94 1.3% 80%  
95 2% 79%  
96 2% 77%  
97 2% 75%  
98 1.1% 73%  
99 0.9% 72%  
100 4% 71%  
101 1.1% 67%  
102 0.8% 66%  
103 1.4% 65%  
104 2% 64%  
105 1.1% 62%  
106 2% 61%  
107 2% 59%  
108 2% 57%  
109 2% 55%  
110 3% 53% Median
111 3% 49%  
112 3% 46%  
113 1.0% 43%  
114 3% 42%  
115 4% 39%  
116 2% 35%  
117 2% 33%  
118 3% 32%  
119 2% 29%  
120 2% 27%  
121 2% 25%  
122 2% 23%  
123 2% 21%  
124 0.9% 19%  
125 2% 18%  
126 1.5% 16%  
127 2% 14%  
128 1.5% 13%  
129 0.9% 11%  
130 0.9% 10%  
131 1.2% 9%  
132 0.5% 8%  
133 0.5% 8%  
134 1.2% 7%  
135 0.3% 6%  
136 0.4% 6%  
137 0.5% 5%  
138 0.5% 5%  
139 0.4% 4%  
140 0.2% 4%  
141 0.3% 3%  
142 0.2% 3%  
143 0.3% 3%  
144 0.3% 3%  
145 0.2% 2%  
146 0.2% 2%  
147 0.1% 2%  
148 0.2% 2%  
149 0.3% 2%  
150 0.1% 1.3%  
151 0.3% 1.2%  
152 0.1% 1.0%  
153 0.1% 0.8%  
154 0.1% 0.7%  
155 0.1% 0.6%  
156 0.1% 0.5%  
157 0% 0.4%  
158 0.1% 0.4%  
159 0% 0.3%  
160 0.1% 0.2%  
161 0% 0.2%  
162 0% 0.2%  
163 0% 0.1%  
164 0% 0.1%  
165 0% 0.1%  
166 0% 0.1%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0% 99.8%  
51 0% 99.8%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.2% 99.7%  
54 0.2% 99.6%  
55 0% 99.4%  
56 0.1% 99.4%  
57 0.2% 99.3%  
58 0.2% 99.1%  
59 0.3% 98.9%  
60 0.3% 98.6%  
61 0.2% 98%  
62 0.3% 98%  
63 0.3% 98%  
64 0.2% 97%  
65 0.6% 97%  
66 0.4% 97%  
67 0.4% 96%  
68 0.8% 96%  
69 0.8% 95%  
70 0.4% 94%  
71 0.9% 94%  
72 0.9% 93%  
73 0.3% 92%  
74 1.0% 92%  
75 0.8% 91%  
76 0.6% 90%  
77 1.0% 89%  
78 2% 88%  
79 0.6% 87%  
80 0.1% 86%  
81 0.3% 86%  
82 1.3% 86%  
83 0.3% 84%  
84 0.7% 84%  
85 0.5% 83%  
86 1.0% 83%  
87 1.2% 82%  
88 0.4% 81%  
89 1.4% 80%  
90 2% 79%  
91 2% 76%  
92 1.5% 74%  
93 1.3% 73%  
94 1.2% 72%  
95 4% 71%  
96 1.1% 67%  
97 0.7% 66%  
98 2% 65%  
99 2% 63%  
100 1.1% 62%  
101 2% 61%  
102 2% 59%  
103 2% 57%  
104 2% 55%  
105 3% 52% Median
106 3% 49%  
107 3% 46%  
108 2% 43%  
109 3% 42%  
110 4% 39%  
111 1.4% 34%  
112 2% 33%  
113 3% 31%  
114 2% 28%  
115 2% 26%  
116 2% 25%  
117 2% 22%  
118 2% 20%  
119 1.0% 19%  
120 2% 18%  
121 1.2% 15%  
122 2% 14%  
123 2% 12%  
124 0.7% 11%  
125 1.1% 10%  
126 1.0% 9%  
127 0.6% 8%  
128 0.5% 7%  
129 1.1% 7%  
130 0.3% 6%  
131 0.3% 5%  
132 0.5% 5%  
133 0.4% 5%  
134 0.5% 4%  
135 0.3% 4%  
136 0.2% 3%  
137 0.3% 3%  
138 0.4% 3%  
139 0.2% 2%  
140 0.2% 2%  
141 0.2% 2%  
142 0.1% 2%  
143 0.2% 2%  
144 0.3% 2%  
145 0.1% 1.3%  
146 0.3% 1.2%  
147 0.2% 0.9%  
148 0.1% 0.8%  
149 0.1% 0.7%  
150 0.1% 0.6%  
151 0.1% 0.5%  
152 0.1% 0.4%  
153 0.1% 0.4%  
154 0% 0.3%  
155 0.1% 0.2%  
156 0% 0.2%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations