Opinion Poll by We Think, 20–21 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 47.2% 45.3–49.0% 44.7–49.6% 44.3–50.0% 43.4–50.9%
Conservative Party 43.6% 24.1% 22.5–25.8% 22.1–26.2% 21.7–26.6% 21.0–27.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 8.8% 7.8–10.0% 7.5–10.3% 7.3–10.6% 6.9–11.2%
Brexit Party 2.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.5% 5.0–7.8% 4.6–8.3%
Green Party 2.8% 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.3% 4.8–7.6% 4.5–8.1%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 2.7–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.4–4.5% 2.1–4.9%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.7–1.9% 0.5–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 408 385–441 377–449 371–457 358–471
Conservative Party 365 146 109–168 101–176 93–182 80–192
Liberal Democrats 11 23 17–33 15–36 14–38 8–42
Brexit Party 0 4 3–12 3–14 3–17 3–19
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 41 27–51 23–54 21–55 17–57
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 4–6 4–6 3–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0% 99.7%  
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0% 99.5%  
360 0.1% 99.5%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.1% 99.2%  
363 0.2% 99.1%  
364 0.1% 98.9%  
365 0.2% 98.8%  
366 0.1% 98.6%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.1% 98%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.3% 98%  
372 0.5% 97%  
373 0.7% 97%  
374 0.2% 96%  
375 0.3% 96%  
376 0.4% 96%  
377 0.5% 95%  
378 0.5% 95%  
379 0.5% 94%  
380 0.5% 94%  
381 0.7% 93%  
382 0.9% 92%  
383 0.6% 92%  
384 0.6% 91%  
385 2% 90%  
386 0.8% 89%  
387 0.6% 88%  
388 1.0% 87%  
389 1.2% 86%  
390 1.4% 85%  
391 1.1% 84%  
392 2% 82%  
393 0.6% 80%  
394 1.0% 80%  
395 4% 79%  
396 2% 75%  
397 2% 73%  
398 3% 72%  
399 2% 69%  
400 1.2% 67%  
401 2% 66%  
402 2% 64%  
403 2% 62%  
404 4% 61%  
405 2% 56%  
406 2% 54%  
407 2% 53%  
408 1.4% 51% Median
409 2% 50%  
410 2% 48%  
411 2% 46%  
412 0.9% 44%  
413 1.4% 43%  
414 2% 42%  
415 1.4% 40%  
416 0.8% 39%  
417 4% 38%  
418 2% 34%  
419 1.1% 32%  
420 1.4% 31%  
421 2% 29%  
422 1.0% 27%  
423 0.7% 26%  
424 0.8% 26%  
425 0.7% 25%  
426 0.9% 24%  
427 0.9% 23%  
428 0.5% 22%  
429 0.8% 22%  
430 2% 21%  
431 2% 19%  
432 0.8% 18%  
433 0.7% 17%  
434 0.8% 16%  
435 0.8% 15%  
436 0.5% 14%  
437 0.8% 14%  
438 0.5% 13%  
439 1.4% 13%  
440 0.6% 11%  
441 1.0% 11%  
442 0.5% 10%  
443 0.3% 9%  
444 0.4% 9%  
445 0.7% 8%  
446 0.7% 8%  
447 1.1% 7%  
448 0.5% 6%  
449 0.4% 5%  
450 0.5% 5%  
451 0.4% 4%  
452 0.3% 4%  
453 0.3% 4%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.2% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.2% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.3% 1.4%  
465 0.2% 1.1%  
466 0.2% 0.9%  
467 0% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.5%  
81 0.1% 99.4%  
82 0.1% 99.3%  
83 0.1% 99.2%  
84 0.1% 99.1%  
85 0.1% 99.1%  
86 0.1% 99.0%  
87 0.1% 98.9%  
88 0.1% 98.7%  
89 0.2% 98.6%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.2% 98%  
92 0.4% 98%  
93 0.2% 98%  
94 0.1% 97%  
95 0.3% 97%  
96 0.3% 97%  
97 0.2% 97%  
98 0.3% 97%  
99 0.4% 96%  
100 0.4% 96%  
101 1.0% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 0.4% 94%  
104 0.5% 94%  
105 0.6% 93%  
106 0.8% 93%  
107 0.3% 92%  
108 1.0% 91%  
109 0.6% 90%  
110 0.7% 90%  
111 0.8% 89%  
112 0.4% 88%  
113 1.3% 88%  
114 0.9% 87%  
115 0.6% 86%  
116 0.7% 85%  
117 0.8% 85%  
118 0.8% 84%  
119 0.6% 83%  
120 0.9% 82%  
121 1.1% 81%  
122 1.1% 80%  
123 0.5% 79%  
124 0.8% 79%  
125 0.6% 78%  
126 0.7% 77%  
127 1.0% 77%  
128 1.3% 76%  
129 0.6% 74%  
130 0.9% 74%  
131 0.7% 73%  
132 0.9% 72%  
133 1.3% 71%  
134 1.3% 70%  
135 1.4% 69%  
136 3% 67%  
137 1.5% 64%  
138 1.1% 63%  
139 1.0% 62%  
140 1.0% 61%  
141 2% 60%  
142 2% 58%  
143 1.3% 56%  
144 1.2% 54%  
145 2% 53%  
146 1.3% 51% Median
147 2% 50%  
148 3% 48%  
149 3% 45%  
150 1.4% 42%  
151 1.4% 41%  
152 3% 39%  
153 2% 36%  
154 3% 35%  
155 2% 32%  
156 2% 30%  
157 3% 27%  
158 2% 25%  
159 2% 23%  
160 1.1% 21%  
161 2% 20%  
162 2% 18%  
163 1.4% 16%  
164 1.0% 15%  
165 1.0% 14%  
166 2% 13%  
167 0.7% 11%  
168 0.8% 10%  
169 1.0% 9%  
170 0.6% 8%  
171 0.5% 8%  
172 0.3% 7%  
173 0.7% 7%  
174 0.6% 6%  
175 0.4% 6%  
176 0.4% 5%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.3% 4%  
179 0.5% 4%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.4% 3%  
182 0.6% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.2% 2%  
186 0.2% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.4%  
188 0.1% 1.1%  
189 0.1% 1.0%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.4% 100%  
8 0.1% 99.6%  
9 0.1% 99.5%  
10 1.0% 99.4%  
11 0.3% 98% Last Result
12 0.3% 98%  
13 0.1% 98%  
14 2% 98%  
15 2% 96%  
16 2% 94%  
17 4% 92%  
18 6% 88%  
19 6% 82%  
20 9% 76%  
21 7% 68%  
22 8% 61%  
23 10% 53% Median
24 5% 44%  
25 4% 39%  
26 5% 35%  
27 6% 30%  
28 3% 24%  
29 2% 21%  
30 3% 19%  
31 2% 16%  
32 1.3% 13%  
33 2% 12%  
34 1.2% 10%  
35 2% 9%  
36 2% 7%  
37 1.5% 5%  
38 0.8% 3%  
39 1.1% 2%  
40 0.3% 1.4%  
41 0.5% 1.0%  
42 0.2% 0.6%  
43 0.1% 0.4%  
44 0% 0.3%  
45 0% 0.3%  
46 0.1% 0.3%  
47 0% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.2%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.2% 100%  
3 20% 99.8%  
4 43% 80% Median
5 8% 37%  
6 7% 30%  
7 5% 23%  
8 1.2% 18%  
9 0.3% 17%  
10 1.2% 16%  
11 2% 15%  
12 4% 13%  
13 3% 9%  
14 2% 6%  
15 0.2% 4%  
16 0.9% 4%  
17 0.5% 3%  
18 0.9% 2%  
19 1.0% 1.3%  
20 0.3% 0.3%  
21 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 34% 100% Last Result
2 28% 66% Median
3 38% 38%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.1% 100%  
16 0.2% 99.9%  
17 0.3% 99.7%  
18 0.4% 99.5%  
19 0.4% 99.1%  
20 0.5% 98.7%  
21 1.1% 98%  
22 2% 97%  
23 1.2% 95%  
24 0.5% 94%  
25 1.3% 93%  
26 1.2% 92%  
27 2% 91%  
28 0.4% 89%  
29 2% 89%  
30 2% 87%  
31 1.0% 85%  
32 2% 84%  
33 0.8% 81%  
34 6% 81%  
35 1.0% 74%  
36 5% 73%  
37 5% 69%  
38 4% 64%  
39 5% 60%  
40 3% 55%  
41 8% 51% Median
42 4% 44%  
43 5% 40%  
44 6% 35%  
45 5% 29%  
46 5% 24%  
47 2% 19%  
48 3% 17% Last Result
49 0.8% 14%  
50 2% 13%  
51 1.2% 11%  
52 1.3% 9%  
53 3% 8%  
54 2% 5%  
55 1.4% 3%  
56 0.7% 2%  
57 1.0% 1.2%  
58 0.1% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.6% 100%  
4 6% 99.4% Last Result
5 83% 94% Median
6 9% 11%  
7 2% 2%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 478 100% 455–514 447–523 441–530 428–544
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 476 100% 453–512 445–521 438–528 426–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 471 100% 448–506 439–516 433–523 421–537
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 453 100% 432–485 424–492 419–498 407–512
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 448 100% 427–480 419–487 414–493 402–507
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 438 100% 410–475 402–484 393–493 381–508
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 433 100% 405–469 397–479 388–487 376–503
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 413 100% 390–446 382–454 376–462 364–476
Labour Party 202 408 100% 385–441 377–449 371–457 358–471
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 190 0% 152–216 142–224 134–231 119–243
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 184 0% 147–211 137–219 129–226 114–238
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 170 0% 137–188 130–197 124–202 111–210
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 151 0% 114–173 106–181 98–187 85–197
Conservative Party 365 146 0% 109–168 101–176 93–182 80–192

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.8%  
423 0% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.5%  
430 0.1% 99.4%  
431 0.1% 99.3%  
432 0.2% 99.2%  
433 0.1% 99.0%  
434 0.2% 99.0%  
435 0.2% 98.7%  
436 0.2% 98.6%  
437 0.2% 98%  
438 0.2% 98%  
439 0.2% 98%  
440 0.2% 98%  
441 0.5% 98%  
442 0.3% 97%  
443 0.4% 97%  
444 0.5% 96%  
445 0.4% 96%  
446 0.4% 96%  
447 0.6% 95%  
448 0.4% 95%  
449 0.5% 94%  
450 0.4% 94%  
451 0.7% 93%  
452 0.6% 92%  
453 0.7% 92%  
454 0.8% 91%  
455 1.1% 90%  
456 0.7% 89%  
457 1.1% 89%  
458 0.8% 88%  
459 2% 87%  
460 2% 85%  
461 0.8% 83%  
462 2% 83%  
463 1.4% 81%  
464 2% 80%  
465 3% 78%  
466 1.3% 75%  
467 0.7% 74%  
468 2% 73%  
469 3% 71%  
470 2% 68%  
471 2% 66%  
472 2% 64%  
473 2% 61%  
474 1.3% 60%  
475 2% 58%  
476 2% 56%  
477 3% 54%  
478 2% 51%  
479 1.3% 50% Median
480 2% 48%  
481 3% 46%  
482 1.1% 44%  
483 1.2% 42%  
484 2% 41%  
485 1.2% 39%  
486 2% 38%  
487 1.2% 36%  
488 0.9% 35%  
489 2% 34%  
490 1.2% 32%  
491 2% 31%  
492 1.4% 29%  
493 1.3% 28%  
494 1.1% 26%  
495 0.8% 25%  
496 0.8% 25%  
497 0.9% 24%  
498 0.7% 23%  
499 0.8% 22%  
500 0.5% 21%  
501 0.8% 21%  
502 0.6% 20%  
503 0.9% 19%  
504 2% 19%  
505 0.5% 17%  
506 0.6% 17%  
507 0.5% 16%  
508 1.4% 15%  
509 0.7% 14%  
510 0.8% 13%  
511 1.0% 13%  
512 0.8% 12%  
513 0.6% 11%  
514 0.4% 10%  
515 0.8% 10%  
516 0.4% 9%  
517 0.7% 9%  
518 0.9% 8%  
519 0.5% 7%  
520 0.5% 6%  
521 0.4% 6%  
522 0.2% 6%  
523 1.1% 5%  
524 0.3% 4%  
525 0.2% 4%  
526 0.3% 4%  
527 0.3% 3%  
528 0.3% 3%  
529 0.2% 3%  
530 0.3% 3%  
531 0.1% 2%  
532 0.4% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.1% 1.5%  
536 0.2% 1.4%  
537 0.1% 1.2%  
538 0.1% 1.1%  
539 0.1% 1.0%  
540 0.1% 0.9%  
541 0.1% 0.8%  
542 0.1% 0.8%  
543 0.1% 0.7%  
544 0.1% 0.6%  
545 0.1% 0.5%  
546 0% 0.4%  
547 0.1% 0.3%  
548 0% 0.3%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.2%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0% 99.8%  
423 0.1% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.6%  
426 0.1% 99.6%  
427 0.1% 99.5%  
428 0.1% 99.4%  
429 0.2% 99.3%  
430 0.1% 99.2%  
431 0.1% 99.1%  
432 0.1% 98.9%  
433 0.2% 98.8%  
434 0.2% 98.6%  
435 0.2% 98%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.2% 98%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.2% 97%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.6% 97%  
442 0.4% 96%  
443 0.3% 96%  
444 0.6% 96%  
445 0.4% 95%  
446 0.5% 95%  
447 0.3% 94%  
448 0.7% 94%  
449 0.5% 93%  
450 0.6% 93%  
451 0.7% 92%  
452 0.9% 91%  
453 0.8% 90%  
454 1.2% 90%  
455 0.7% 88%  
456 1.1% 88%  
457 1.0% 87%  
458 1.4% 86%  
459 2% 84%  
460 1.3% 83%  
461 2% 81%  
462 0.9% 79%  
463 2% 78%  
464 2% 77%  
465 1.3% 74%  
466 3% 73%  
467 2% 71%  
468 3% 68%  
469 2% 65%  
470 1.4% 63%  
471 2% 62%  
472 2% 60%  
473 1.3% 57%  
474 2% 56%  
475 3% 54%  
476 1.2% 51%  
477 2% 50% Median
478 2% 48%  
479 3% 46%  
480 1.3% 44%  
481 1.4% 42%  
482 1.4% 41%  
483 2% 40%  
484 2% 38%  
485 2% 36%  
486 2% 34%  
487 0.5% 33%  
488 1.3% 32%  
489 1.2% 31%  
490 2% 30%  
491 0.9% 27%  
492 1.2% 27%  
493 1.0% 25%  
494 0.9% 24%  
495 0.8% 23%  
496 0.7% 23%  
497 0.4% 22%  
498 0.9% 22%  
499 0.7% 21%  
500 0.6% 20%  
501 0.9% 19%  
502 0.8% 18%  
503 1.1% 18%  
504 0.6% 17%  
505 0.8% 16%  
506 0.8% 15%  
507 1.2% 14%  
508 0.9% 13%  
509 0.8% 12%  
510 1.1% 11%  
511 0.4% 10%  
512 0.4% 10%  
513 0.7% 10%  
514 0.3% 9%  
515 1.2% 9%  
516 0.6% 7%  
517 0.4% 7%  
518 0.4% 6%  
519 0.4% 6%  
520 0.3% 6%  
521 1.1% 5%  
522 0.3% 4%  
523 0.3% 4%  
524 0.4% 4%  
525 0.3% 3%  
526 0.3% 3%  
527 0.2% 3%  
528 0.3% 3%  
529 0.2% 2%  
530 0.4% 2%  
531 0.2% 2%  
532 0.1% 2%  
533 0.2% 2%  
534 0.2% 1.4%  
535 0.1% 1.2%  
536 0.1% 1.1%  
537 0% 1.0%  
538 0.1% 0.9%  
539 0.1% 0.8%  
540 0.1% 0.7%  
541 0.1% 0.7%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.4%  
545 0% 0.3%  
546 0.1% 0.3%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0% 99.8%  
418 0.1% 99.7%  
419 0% 99.7%  
420 0.1% 99.6%  
421 0.1% 99.6%  
422 0.1% 99.5%  
423 0.1% 99.4%  
424 0.2% 99.3%  
425 0.1% 99.1%  
426 0.1% 99.0%  
427 0.2% 98.9%  
428 0.2% 98.8%  
429 0.2% 98.6%  
430 0.2% 98%  
431 0.2% 98%  
432 0.2% 98%  
433 0.4% 98%  
434 0.2% 97%  
435 0.3% 97%  
436 0.6% 97%  
437 0.4% 96%  
438 0.4% 96%  
439 0.6% 96%  
440 0.4% 95%  
441 0.4% 95%  
442 0.4% 94%  
443 0.8% 94%  
444 0.4% 93%  
445 0.6% 93%  
446 0.6% 92%  
447 1.2% 91%  
448 0.8% 90%  
449 1.3% 89%  
450 0.5% 88%  
451 1.1% 88%  
452 1.2% 86%  
453 1.3% 85%  
454 2% 84%  
455 1.4% 82%  
456 2% 81%  
457 0.7% 79%  
458 2% 78%  
459 2% 76%  
460 1.4% 74%  
461 3% 73%  
462 2% 70%  
463 3% 68%  
464 2% 65%  
465 1.3% 63%  
466 2% 62%  
467 2% 59%  
468 1.5% 57%  
469 2% 56%  
470 3% 54%  
471 1.0% 51%  
472 1.4% 50% Median
473 2% 48%  
474 3% 46%  
475 1.1% 43%  
476 1.4% 42%  
477 1.4% 41%  
478 2% 39%  
479 2% 38%  
480 2% 36%  
481 2% 34%  
482 0.4% 32%  
483 1.3% 32%  
484 2% 31%  
485 1.5% 29%  
486 1.3% 28%  
487 1.1% 26%  
488 1.0% 25%  
489 0.7% 24%  
490 0.8% 24%  
491 0.8% 23%  
492 0.6% 22%  
493 0.8% 21%  
494 0.6% 21%  
495 0.7% 20%  
496 0.8% 19%  
497 0.9% 18%  
498 1.0% 18%  
499 0.8% 17%  
500 0.6% 16%  
501 0.9% 15%  
502 1.0% 14%  
503 1.1% 13%  
504 0.7% 12%  
505 1.1% 12%  
506 0.4% 10%  
507 0.4% 10%  
508 0.7% 10%  
509 0.4% 9%  
510 1.1% 9%  
511 0.6% 7%  
512 0.4% 7%  
513 0.4% 6%  
514 0.4% 6%  
515 0.3% 6%  
516 1.0% 5%  
517 0.3% 4%  
518 0.3% 4%  
519 0.4% 4%  
520 0.2% 3%  
521 0.3% 3%  
522 0.1% 3%  
523 0.3% 3%  
524 0.1% 2%  
525 0.4% 2%  
526 0.2% 2%  
527 0.1% 2%  
528 0.2% 2%  
529 0.1% 1.4%  
530 0.1% 1.2%  
531 0.1% 1.1%  
532 0.1% 1.0%  
533 0.1% 0.9%  
534 0.1% 0.8%  
535 0.1% 0.8%  
536 0.1% 0.7%  
537 0.1% 0.6%  
538 0.1% 0.5%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0% 0.3%  
541 0.1% 0.3%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.8%  
403 0% 99.8%  
404 0% 99.8%  
405 0% 99.7%  
406 0.1% 99.7%  
407 0.2% 99.6%  
408 0.1% 99.5%  
409 0.1% 99.3%  
410 0.1% 99.3%  
411 0.1% 99.2%  
412 0.1% 99.0%  
413 0.2% 99.0%  
414 0.2% 98.7%  
415 0.1% 98.5%  
416 0.2% 98%  
417 0.2% 98%  
418 0.4% 98%  
419 0.4% 98%  
420 0.4% 97%  
421 0.6% 97%  
422 0.4% 96%  
423 0.6% 96%  
424 0.4% 95%  
425 0.8% 95%  
426 0.3% 94%  
427 0.5% 94%  
428 0.7% 93%  
429 0.8% 93%  
430 0.7% 92%  
431 0.5% 91%  
432 1.1% 91%  
433 0.9% 89%  
434 1.2% 89%  
435 2% 87%  
436 1.1% 86%  
437 0.9% 85%  
438 2% 84%  
439 1.4% 82%  
440 2% 81%  
441 1.2% 78%  
442 2% 77%  
443 2% 75%  
444 3% 72%  
445 3% 69%  
446 2% 66%  
447 2% 64%  
448 2% 61%  
449 2% 60%  
450 3% 57%  
451 2% 54%  
452 2% 52%  
453 1.5% 51%  
454 3% 49% Median
455 1.3% 46%  
456 3% 45%  
457 2% 42%  
458 1.2% 40%  
459 2% 38%  
460 2% 37%  
461 2% 35%  
462 1.4% 34%  
463 2% 32%  
464 2% 30%  
465 0.7% 29%  
466 2% 28%  
467 0.8% 26%  
468 1.1% 25%  
469 1.1% 24%  
470 0.8% 23%  
471 0.5% 22%  
472 2% 22%  
473 0.5% 20%  
474 0.3% 20%  
475 1.1% 20%  
476 1.2% 18%  
477 0.9% 17%  
478 0.6% 16%  
479 1.0% 16%  
480 0.8% 15%  
481 1.2% 14%  
482 1.1% 13%  
483 1.1% 12%  
484 0.4% 11%  
485 1.4% 10%  
486 0.5% 9%  
487 0.6% 8%  
488 0.9% 8%  
489 0.8% 7%  
490 0.6% 6%  
491 0.5% 6%  
492 0.4% 5%  
493 0.5% 5%  
494 0.3% 4%  
495 0.8% 4%  
496 0.4% 3%  
497 0.3% 3%  
498 0.3% 3%  
499 0.2% 2%  
500 0.2% 2%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.1% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.1% 1.4%  
505 0.1% 1.3%  
506 0.1% 1.3%  
507 0.2% 1.1%  
508 0.1% 0.9%  
509 0.1% 0.8%  
510 0.1% 0.7%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.5%  
513 0.1% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0.1% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0% 99.9%  
395 0% 99.9%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.8%  
398 0% 99.8%  
399 0% 99.8%  
400 0.1% 99.7%  
401 0.1% 99.7%  
402 0.2% 99.6%  
403 0.1% 99.4%  
404 0.1% 99.3%  
405 0.1% 99.3%  
406 0.2% 99.2%  
407 0.1% 99.0%  
408 0.2% 99.0%  
409 0.2% 98.7%  
410 0.1% 98.5%  
411 0.2% 98%  
412 0.2% 98%  
413 0.4% 98%  
414 0.4% 98%  
415 0.4% 97%  
416 0.6% 97%  
417 0.4% 96%  
418 0.7% 96%  
419 0.3% 95%  
420 0.8% 95%  
421 0.3% 94%  
422 0.5% 94%  
423 0.7% 93%  
424 0.6% 92%  
425 0.7% 92%  
426 0.6% 91%  
427 1.0% 90%  
428 1.0% 89%  
429 1.3% 88%  
430 2% 87%  
431 1.0% 86%  
432 0.9% 85%  
433 2% 84%  
434 2% 82%  
435 2% 80%  
436 1.4% 78%  
437 2% 77%  
438 3% 75%  
439 4% 72%  
440 3% 69%  
441 2% 66%  
442 3% 64%  
443 2% 61%  
444 2% 59%  
445 3% 57%  
446 2% 54%  
447 2% 52%  
448 2% 51%  
449 3% 49% Median
450 1.3% 46%  
451 3% 45%  
452 2% 42%  
453 1.3% 39%  
454 1.4% 38%  
455 2% 37%  
456 2% 35%  
457 1.2% 33%  
458 2% 32%  
459 2% 30%  
460 0.8% 29%  
461 1.4% 28%  
462 1.2% 26%  
463 1.0% 25%  
464 1.0% 24%  
465 0.8% 23%  
466 0.5% 22%  
467 1.4% 22%  
468 0.6% 20%  
469 0.5% 20%  
470 0.9% 19%  
471 1.2% 18%  
472 0.8% 17%  
473 0.7% 16%  
474 0.9% 16%  
475 0.7% 15%  
476 1.3% 14%  
477 1.0% 13%  
478 1.0% 12%  
479 0.4% 11%  
480 2% 10%  
481 0.4% 9%  
482 0.6% 8%  
483 0.8% 8%  
484 0.8% 7%  
485 0.5% 6%  
486 0.6% 6%  
487 0.4% 5%  
488 0.5% 5%  
489 0.3% 4%  
490 0.7% 4%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.3% 3%  
493 0.3% 3%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.2% 2%  
496 0.1% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.1% 2%  
499 0.1% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.3%  
501 0.1% 1.2%  
502 0.2% 1.1%  
503 0.1% 0.9%  
504 0.1% 0.9%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0.1% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0.1% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.9%  
373 0% 99.9%  
374 0% 99.8%  
375 0% 99.8%  
376 0.1% 99.8%  
377 0% 99.7%  
378 0% 99.7%  
379 0.1% 99.7%  
380 0.1% 99.6%  
381 0% 99.5%  
382 0.1% 99.5%  
383 0.1% 99.4%  
384 0.1% 99.3%  
385 0.1% 99.2%  
386 0.1% 99.1%  
387 0.1% 99.0%  
388 0.2% 98.9%  
389 0.2% 98.7%  
390 0.1% 98%  
391 0.3% 98%  
392 0.2% 98%  
393 0.4% 98%  
394 0.2% 97%  
395 0.1% 97%  
396 0.2% 97%  
397 0.2% 97%  
398 0.4% 97%  
399 0.3% 96%  
400 0.5% 96%  
401 0.2% 95%  
402 0.5% 95%  
403 0.6% 95%  
404 0.5% 94%  
405 0.8% 94%  
406 0.5% 93%  
407 0.4% 92%  
408 0.7% 92%  
409 0.7% 91%  
410 0.7% 91%  
411 0.5% 90%  
412 0.6% 89%  
413 2% 89%  
414 2% 87%  
415 0.5% 85%  
416 0.9% 85%  
417 1.3% 84%  
418 2% 83%  
419 2% 81%  
420 2% 79%  
421 0.9% 77%  
422 2% 76%  
423 1.3% 75%  
424 3% 73%  
425 2% 71%  
426 0.5% 69%  
427 1.0% 68%  
428 2% 67%  
429 0.8% 65%  
430 3% 65%  
431 2% 61%  
432 2% 59%  
433 2% 57%  
434 2% 55%  
435 1.0% 53%  
436 1.3% 52% Median
437 1.0% 51%  
438 0.6% 50%  
439 2% 50%  
440 1.3% 48%  
441 2% 47%  
442 3% 45%  
443 0.7% 42%  
444 1.5% 41%  
445 3% 40%  
446 1.1% 36%  
447 2% 35%  
448 2% 33%  
449 1.0% 32%  
450 0.6% 31%  
451 0.9% 30%  
452 1.3% 29%  
453 1.2% 28%  
454 0.9% 27%  
455 0.5% 26%  
456 1.1% 25%  
457 1.0% 24%  
458 0.8% 23%  
459 1.2% 23%  
460 0.7% 21%  
461 0.6% 21%  
462 2% 20%  
463 0.6% 18%  
464 1.1% 18%  
465 0.7% 17%  
466 0.6% 16%  
467 0.9% 15%  
468 0.6% 14%  
469 0.7% 14%  
470 0.4% 13%  
471 0.3% 13%  
472 0.7% 12%  
473 0.7% 12%  
474 0.9% 11%  
475 0.5% 10%  
476 1.2% 9%  
477 1.0% 8%  
478 0.2% 7%  
479 0.4% 7%  
480 0.5% 7%  
481 0.6% 6%  
482 0.1% 6%  
483 0.3% 5%  
484 0.3% 5%  
485 0.3% 5%  
486 0.4% 5%  
487 0.7% 4%  
488 0.3% 4%  
489 0.2% 3%  
490 0.1% 3%  
491 0.2% 3%  
492 0.2% 3%  
493 0.2% 3%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.3% 2%  
497 0.1% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.2% 1.4%  
500 0.1% 1.2%  
501 0.2% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 0.9%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.8%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0% 0.7%  
507 0.1% 0.6%  
508 0.1% 0.5%  
509 0.1% 0.5%  
510 0% 0.4%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.3%  
513 0% 0.3%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.2%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.8%  
371 0% 99.8%  
372 0% 99.7%  
373 0% 99.7%  
374 0.1% 99.7%  
375 0.1% 99.6%  
376 0% 99.5%  
377 0.1% 99.5%  
378 0.1% 99.4%  
379 0.1% 99.3%  
380 0.1% 99.2%  
381 0.2% 99.1%  
382 0.1% 98.9%  
383 0.2% 98.8%  
384 0.2% 98.6%  
385 0.1% 98%  
386 0.3% 98%  
387 0.2% 98%  
388 0.4% 98%  
389 0.2% 97%  
390 0.1% 97%  
391 0.2% 97%  
392 0.3% 97%  
393 0.3% 97%  
394 0.3% 96%  
395 0.5% 96%  
396 0.2% 95%  
397 0.5% 95%  
398 0.5% 95%  
399 0.5% 94%  
400 0.8% 94%  
401 0.6% 93%  
402 0.4% 92%  
403 0.8% 92%  
404 0.6% 91%  
405 0.6% 90%  
406 0.6% 90%  
407 0.6% 89%  
408 2% 89%  
409 2% 87%  
410 0.5% 85%  
411 1.3% 85%  
412 1.1% 83%  
413 2% 82%  
414 2% 81%  
415 2% 79%  
416 0.9% 77%  
417 2% 76%  
418 1.2% 75%  
419 2% 73%  
420 2% 71%  
421 0.7% 69%  
422 1.2% 68%  
423 2% 67%  
424 0.8% 65%  
425 3% 64%  
426 2% 61%  
427 2% 59%  
428 2% 57%  
429 2% 55%  
430 1.2% 54%  
431 1.3% 52% Median
432 1.0% 51%  
433 0.6% 50%  
434 2% 49%  
435 1.4% 48%  
436 2% 46%  
437 3% 44%  
438 0.8% 42%  
439 1.5% 41%  
440 3% 40%  
441 2% 37%  
442 2% 35%  
443 2% 33%  
444 1.2% 32%  
445 0.6% 31%  
446 1.0% 30%  
447 1.5% 29%  
448 0.9% 28%  
449 0.6% 27%  
450 1.1% 26%  
451 0.7% 25%  
452 1.0% 24%  
453 0.9% 23%  
454 1.0% 22%  
455 0.8% 21%  
456 0.6% 21%  
457 2% 20%  
458 0.6% 18%  
459 1.2% 18%  
460 0.8% 17%  
461 0.4% 16%  
462 0.9% 15%  
463 0.6% 14%  
464 0.7% 14%  
465 0.4% 13%  
466 0.3% 13%  
467 0.7% 12%  
468 0.6% 12%  
469 1.2% 11%  
470 0.4% 10%  
471 1.1% 9%  
472 1.0% 8%  
473 0.2% 7%  
474 0.3% 7%  
475 0.6% 7%  
476 0.6% 6%  
477 0.1% 6%  
478 0.4% 5%  
479 0.2% 5%  
480 0.3% 5%  
481 0.4% 5%  
482 0.7% 4%  
483 0.4% 4%  
484 0.1% 3%  
485 0.2% 3%  
486 0.2% 3%  
487 0.2% 3%  
488 0.2% 2%  
489 0.3% 2%  
490 0.1% 2%  
491 0.2% 2%  
492 0.1% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 1.5%  
495 0.1% 1.2%  
496 0.2% 1.1%  
497 0.1% 0.9%  
498 0.1% 0.8%  
499 0.1% 0.8%  
500 0.1% 0.7%  
501 0% 0.7%  
502 0% 0.6%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.4%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.2%  
511 0% 0.2%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0.1%  
515 0% 0.1%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.8%  
358 0% 99.8%  
359 0% 99.8%  
360 0% 99.7%  
361 0.1% 99.7%  
362 0% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0% 99.5%  
365 0.1% 99.5%  
366 0.1% 99.3%  
367 0.1% 99.2%  
368 0.2% 99.1%  
369 0.1% 98.9%  
370 0.2% 98.8%  
371 0.1% 98.6%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.2% 98%  
374 0.1% 98%  
375 0.3% 98%  
376 0.2% 98%  
377 0.6% 97%  
378 0.6% 97%  
379 0.3% 96%  
380 0.3% 96%  
381 0.3% 96%  
382 0.5% 95%  
383 0.5% 95%  
384 0.4% 94%  
385 0.6% 94%  
386 0.7% 93%  
387 0.9% 93%  
388 0.5% 92%  
389 0.6% 91%  
390 1.4% 90%  
391 0.9% 89%  
392 0.8% 88%  
393 0.9% 87%  
394 1.2% 86%  
395 1.5% 85%  
396 1.1% 84%  
397 2% 83%  
398 0.6% 80%  
399 1.0% 80%  
400 4% 79%  
401 1.5% 75%  
402 2% 74%  
403 3% 72%  
404 2% 69%  
405 1.2% 67%  
406 2% 66%  
407 2% 64%  
408 2% 62%  
409 4% 61%  
410 2% 56%  
411 2% 55%  
412 2% 53%  
413 1.4% 51% Median
414 2% 50%  
415 1.2% 48%  
416 2% 47%  
417 0.9% 44%  
418 2% 43%  
419 2% 42%  
420 1.2% 40%  
421 0.8% 39%  
422 4% 38%  
423 2% 34%  
424 0.9% 32%  
425 2% 31%  
426 2% 29%  
427 1.4% 28%  
428 0.8% 26%  
429 0.8% 26%  
430 0.9% 25%  
431 0.7% 24%  
432 1.0% 23%  
433 0.4% 22%  
434 1.0% 22%  
435 1.4% 21%  
436 2% 19%  
437 0.9% 18%  
438 0.7% 17%  
439 0.8% 16%  
440 0.8% 15%  
441 0.5% 14%  
442 0.8% 14%  
443 0.7% 13%  
444 1.2% 12%  
445 0.5% 11%  
446 1.2% 11%  
447 0.5% 10%  
448 0.3% 9%  
449 0.5% 9%  
450 0.6% 8%  
451 0.7% 8%  
452 1.1% 7%  
453 0.5% 6%  
454 0.4% 5%  
455 0.6% 5%  
456 0.4% 4%  
457 0.2% 4%  
458 0.3% 4%  
459 0.5% 4%  
460 0.2% 3%  
461 0.3% 3%  
462 0.3% 3%  
463 0.1% 2%  
464 0.1% 2%  
465 0.2% 2%  
466 0.2% 2%  
467 0.1% 2%  
468 0.2% 2%  
469 0.3% 1.4%  
470 0.1% 1.1%  
471 0.2% 1.0%  
472 0.1% 0.8%  
473 0.1% 0.7%  
474 0% 0.7%  
475 0.1% 0.6%  
476 0.1% 0.6%  
477 0% 0.5%  
478 0.1% 0.4%  
479 0.1% 0.3%  
480 0% 0.3%  
481 0% 0.3%  
482 0% 0.2%  
483 0% 0.2%  
484 0% 0.2%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 99.9%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.8%  
353 0% 99.8%  
354 0% 99.8%  
355 0% 99.7%  
356 0.1% 99.7%  
357 0% 99.7%  
358 0.1% 99.6%  
359 0% 99.5%  
360 0.1% 99.5%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.1% 99.2%  
363 0.2% 99.1%  
364 0.1% 98.9%  
365 0.2% 98.8%  
366 0.1% 98.6%  
367 0.2% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.1% 98%  
370 0.3% 98%  
371 0.3% 98%  
372 0.5% 97%  
373 0.7% 97%  
374 0.2% 96%  
375 0.3% 96%  
376 0.4% 96%  
377 0.5% 95%  
378 0.5% 95%  
379 0.5% 94%  
380 0.5% 94%  
381 0.7% 93%  
382 0.9% 92%  
383 0.6% 92%  
384 0.6% 91%  
385 2% 90%  
386 0.8% 89%  
387 0.6% 88%  
388 1.0% 87%  
389 1.2% 86%  
390 1.4% 85%  
391 1.1% 84%  
392 2% 82%  
393 0.6% 80%  
394 1.0% 80%  
395 4% 79%  
396 2% 75%  
397 2% 73%  
398 3% 72%  
399 2% 69%  
400 1.2% 67%  
401 2% 66%  
402 2% 64%  
403 2% 62%  
404 4% 61%  
405 2% 56%  
406 2% 54%  
407 2% 53%  
408 1.4% 51% Median
409 2% 50%  
410 2% 48%  
411 2% 46%  
412 0.9% 44%  
413 1.4% 43%  
414 2% 42%  
415 1.4% 40%  
416 0.8% 39%  
417 4% 38%  
418 2% 34%  
419 1.1% 32%  
420 1.4% 31%  
421 2% 29%  
422 1.0% 27%  
423 0.7% 26%  
424 0.8% 26%  
425 0.7% 25%  
426 0.9% 24%  
427 0.9% 23%  
428 0.5% 22%  
429 0.8% 22%  
430 2% 21%  
431 2% 19%  
432 0.8% 18%  
433 0.7% 17%  
434 0.8% 16%  
435 0.8% 15%  
436 0.5% 14%  
437 0.8% 14%  
438 0.5% 13%  
439 1.4% 13%  
440 0.6% 11%  
441 1.0% 11%  
442 0.5% 10%  
443 0.3% 9%  
444 0.4% 9%  
445 0.7% 8%  
446 0.7% 8%  
447 1.1% 7%  
448 0.5% 6%  
449 0.4% 5%  
450 0.5% 5%  
451 0.4% 4%  
452 0.3% 4%  
453 0.3% 4%  
454 0.4% 3%  
455 0.2% 3%  
456 0.2% 3%  
457 0.4% 3%  
458 0.1% 2%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.2% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.1% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.3% 1.4%  
465 0.2% 1.1%  
466 0.2% 0.9%  
467 0% 0.8%  
468 0.1% 0.7%  
469 0% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0.1% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
105 0% 100%  
106 0% 99.9%  
107 0% 99.9%  
108 0% 99.9%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.8%  
112 0.1% 99.8%  
113 0% 99.8%  
114 0% 99.8%  
115 0% 99.7%  
116 0% 99.7%  
117 0% 99.6%  
118 0.1% 99.6%  
119 0.1% 99.5%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.3%  
123 0% 99.3%  
124 0.1% 99.2%  
125 0.1% 99.1%  
126 0.2% 99.0%  
127 0.1% 98.8%  
128 0.1% 98.7%  
129 0.2% 98.6%  
130 0.2% 98%  
131 0.3% 98%  
132 0.1% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.2% 98%  
135 0.3% 97%  
136 0.1% 97%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.1% 97%  
139 0.4% 97%  
140 0.6% 96%  
141 0.5% 96%  
142 0.2% 95%  
143 0.3% 95%  
144 0.2% 95%  
145 0.5% 94%  
146 0.3% 94%  
147 0.9% 94%  
148 0.4% 93%  
149 1.0% 92%  
150 0.3% 91%  
151 0.8% 91%  
152 0.6% 90%  
153 0.7% 90%  
154 1.4% 89%  
155 0.5% 88%  
156 0.4% 87%  
157 0.2% 87%  
158 0.8% 87%  
159 0.5% 86%  
160 0.8% 85%  
161 0.6% 84%  
162 0.9% 84%  
163 1.0% 83%  
164 1.0% 82%  
165 0.8% 81%  
166 0.8% 80%  
167 1.1% 79%  
168 0.9% 78%  
169 0.7% 77%  
170 2% 77%  
171 0.5% 75%  
172 0.4% 75%  
173 1.0% 74%  
174 0.9% 73%  
175 1.2% 72%  
176 1.1% 71%  
177 1.1% 70%  
178 1.0% 69%  
179 1.4% 68%  
180 1.3% 66%  
181 2% 65%  
182 3% 64%  
183 2% 60%  
184 1.3% 59%  
185 1.2% 57%  
186 2% 56%  
187 2% 54%  
188 1.1% 52%  
189 1.2% 51%  
190 2% 50%  
191 2% 48%  
192 0.9% 46% Median
193 2% 45%  
194 0.8% 43%  
195 1.3% 42%  
196 0.9% 41%  
197 3% 40%  
198 1.3% 37%  
199 3% 36%  
200 2% 33%  
201 2% 32%  
202 2% 29%  
203 2% 28%  
204 0.7% 26%  
205 0.7% 25%  
206 3% 24%  
207 0.7% 22%  
208 2% 21%  
209 1.1% 19%  
210 2% 18%  
211 0.9% 16%  
212 1.4% 15%  
213 1.1% 13%  
214 0.9% 12%  
215 1.0% 11%  
216 1.0% 10%  
217 0.8% 9%  
218 0.9% 9%  
219 0.4% 8%  
220 0.3% 7%  
221 0.9% 7%  
222 0.5% 6%  
223 0.5% 6%  
224 0.3% 5%  
225 0.6% 5%  
226 0.3% 4%  
227 0.5% 4%  
228 0.3% 4%  
229 0.3% 3%  
230 0.3% 3%  
231 0.2% 3%  
232 0.2% 2%  
233 0.1% 2%  
234 0.2% 2%  
235 0.5% 2%  
236 0.1% 1.5%  
237 0.2% 1.3%  
238 0.1% 1.2%  
239 0.1% 1.0%  
240 0.1% 0.9%  
241 0.1% 0.8%  
242 0.1% 0.7%  
243 0.1% 0.6%  
244 0.1% 0.5%  
245 0.1% 0.4%  
246 0% 0.3%  
247 0% 0.3%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
99 0% 100%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.9%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0% 99.9%  
106 0% 99.8%  
107 0.1% 99.8%  
108 0% 99.8%  
109 0% 99.8%  
110 0% 99.7%  
111 0% 99.7%  
112 0% 99.6%  
113 0.1% 99.6%  
114 0.1% 99.5%  
115 0.1% 99.5%  
116 0.1% 99.4%  
117 0.1% 99.3%  
118 0% 99.3%  
119 0.1% 99.2%  
120 0.1% 99.1%  
121 0.2% 99.0%  
122 0.1% 98.9%  
123 0.1% 98.7%  
124 0.3% 98.7%  
125 0.2% 98%  
126 0.3% 98%  
127 0.1% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.3% 98%  
130 0.3% 97%  
131 0.1% 97%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.1% 97%  
134 0.4% 97%  
135 0.6% 96%  
136 0.4% 96%  
137 0.3% 95%  
138 0.3% 95%  
139 0.2% 95%  
140 0.6% 94%  
141 0.2% 94%  
142 0.9% 94%  
143 0.3% 93%  
144 1.1% 92%  
145 0.4% 91%  
146 0.7% 91%  
147 0.6% 90%  
148 0.6% 90%  
149 1.4% 89%  
150 0.4% 88%  
151 0.5% 87%  
152 0.2% 87%  
153 0.7% 87%  
154 0.5% 86%  
155 0.8% 85%  
156 0.6% 84%  
157 0.8% 84%  
158 1.0% 83%  
159 1.2% 82%  
160 0.6% 81%  
161 0.8% 80%  
162 1.1% 79%  
163 0.9% 78%  
164 0.7% 77%  
165 2% 77%  
166 0.6% 75%  
167 0.5% 75%  
168 1.0% 74%  
169 0.9% 73%  
170 1.0% 72%  
171 1.4% 71%  
172 1.0% 70%  
173 1.2% 69%  
174 1.1% 68%  
175 2% 66%  
176 1.5% 65%  
177 3% 64%  
178 1.2% 60%  
179 2% 59%  
180 1.4% 57%  
181 2% 56%  
182 2% 54%  
183 1.0% 52%  
184 1.3% 51%  
185 2% 50%  
186 2% 48%  
187 0.9% 46% Median
188 2% 45%  
189 0.7% 43%  
190 1.4% 42%  
191 1.0% 41%  
192 3% 40%  
193 1.3% 37%  
194 3% 36%  
195 2% 33%  
196 2% 32%  
197 1.4% 29%  
198 2% 28%  
199 0.7% 26%  
200 0.9% 25%  
201 2% 24%  
202 0.8% 22%  
203 2% 21%  
204 1.3% 19%  
205 2% 17%  
206 1.0% 16%  
207 1.3% 15%  
208 1.1% 13%  
209 1.1% 12%  
210 0.8% 11%  
211 1.0% 10%  
212 0.8% 9%  
213 0.9% 9%  
214 0.4% 8%  
215 0.3% 7%  
216 0.9% 7%  
217 0.4% 6%  
218 0.4% 6%  
219 0.4% 5%  
220 0.5% 5%  
221 0.4% 4%  
222 0.4% 4%  
223 0.3% 4%  
224 0.3% 3%  
225 0.3% 3%  
226 0.2% 3%  
227 0.2% 2%  
228 0.1% 2%  
229 0.2% 2%  
230 0.5% 2%  
231 0.1% 1.4%  
232 0.1% 1.3%  
233 0.2% 1.1%  
234 0.1% 1.0%  
235 0.2% 0.9%  
236 0.1% 0.7%  
237 0.1% 0.7%  
238 0.1% 0.6%  
239 0.1% 0.5%  
240 0.1% 0.4%  
241 0% 0.3%  
242 0% 0.3%  
243 0% 0.2%  
244 0% 0.2%  
245 0% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.1%  
247 0% 0.1%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
102 0% 100%  
103 0% 99.9%  
104 0% 99.9%  
105 0.1% 99.9%  
106 0.1% 99.8%  
107 0% 99.7%  
108 0.1% 99.7%  
109 0.1% 99.6%  
110 0% 99.6%  
111 0.1% 99.5%  
112 0.1% 99.4%  
113 0.1% 99.3%  
114 0.2% 99.2%  
115 0.1% 99.0%  
116 0.2% 98.9%  
117 0.1% 98.7%  
118 0.1% 98.6%  
119 0.2% 98.6%  
120 0.1% 98%  
121 0.1% 98%  
122 0.3% 98%  
123 0.3% 98%  
124 0.2% 98%  
125 0.3% 97%  
126 0.5% 97%  
127 0.5% 97%  
128 0.7% 96%  
129 0.4% 95%  
130 0.2% 95%  
131 0.8% 95%  
132 0.9% 94%  
133 0.7% 93%  
134 0.7% 93%  
135 0.7% 92%  
136 0.7% 91%  
137 1.3% 90%  
138 0.9% 89%  
139 1.0% 88%  
140 1.0% 87%  
141 0.6% 86%  
142 2% 86%  
143 0.4% 84%  
144 0.9% 84%  
145 0.6% 83%  
146 0.8% 82%  
147 1.0% 81%  
148 1.0% 80%  
149 0.9% 79%  
150 0.9% 78%  
151 0.4% 77%  
152 0.5% 77%  
153 0.8% 77%  
154 0.7% 76%  
155 1.0% 75%  
156 1.4% 74%  
157 1.4% 73%  
158 1.0% 71%  
159 3% 70%  
160 1.4% 67%  
161 2% 66%  
162 2% 65%  
163 1.1% 62%  
164 1.1% 61%  
165 2% 60%  
166 1.3% 58%  
167 2% 56%  
168 2% 55%  
169 1.2% 53% Median
170 3% 51%  
171 2% 48%  
172 1.3% 46%  
173 2% 45%  
174 3% 42%  
175 3% 40%  
176 3% 37%  
177 3% 34%  
178 4% 31%  
179 3% 28%  
180 2% 25%  
181 3% 23%  
182 1.4% 20%  
183 3% 18%  
184 0.9% 16%  
185 2% 15%  
186 1.2% 13%  
187 1.2% 12%  
188 0.6% 11%  
189 0.6% 10%  
190 0.7% 9%  
191 0.8% 9%  
192 0.8% 8%  
193 0.5% 7%  
194 0.4% 7%  
195 0.7% 6%  
196 0.3% 6%  
197 0.4% 5%  
198 0.6% 5%  
199 0.5% 4%  
200 0.6% 4%  
201 0.6% 3%  
202 0.4% 3%  
203 0.4% 2%  
204 0.3% 2%  
205 0.3% 1.5%  
206 0.2% 1.2%  
207 0.2% 1.0%  
208 0.1% 0.8%  
209 0.1% 0.7%  
210 0.2% 0.6%  
211 0% 0.4%  
212 0.1% 0.4%  
213 0% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.3%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.2%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0.1%  
222 0% 0.1%  
223 0% 0.1%  
224 0% 0.1%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0% 100%  
74 0% 99.9%  
75 0% 99.9%  
76 0% 99.9%  
77 0% 99.9%  
78 0% 99.8%  
79 0% 99.8%  
80 0% 99.8%  
81 0.1% 99.7%  
82 0% 99.7%  
83 0.1% 99.7%  
84 0.1% 99.6%  
85 0.1% 99.5%  
86 0.1% 99.4%  
87 0.1% 99.3%  
88 0.1% 99.2%  
89 0.1% 99.1%  
90 0.1% 99.1%  
91 0.1% 99.0%  
92 0.1% 98.8%  
93 0.1% 98.8%  
94 0.3% 98.6%  
95 0.2% 98%  
96 0.2% 98%  
97 0.4% 98%  
98 0.2% 98%  
99 0.2% 97%  
100 0.2% 97%  
101 0.4% 97%  
102 0.1% 97%  
103 0.3% 97%  
104 0.5% 96%  
105 0.4% 96%  
106 1.0% 95%  
107 0.5% 94%  
108 0.4% 94%  
109 0.5% 94%  
110 0.6% 93%  
111 0.8% 93%  
112 0.3% 92%  
113 1.0% 91%  
114 0.6% 90%  
115 0.7% 90%  
116 0.8% 89%  
117 0.5% 88%  
118 1.2% 88%  
119 0.9% 87%  
120 0.5% 86%  
121 1.1% 85%  
122 0.6% 84%  
123 0.8% 84%  
124 0.6% 83%  
125 0.8% 82%  
126 1.0% 81%  
127 1.2% 80%  
128 0.4% 79%  
129 0.8% 79%  
130 0.6% 78%  
131 0.7% 77%  
132 1.2% 77%  
133 1.1% 76%  
134 0.5% 74%  
135 1.0% 74%  
136 0.6% 73%  
137 1.1% 72%  
138 1.0% 71%  
139 1.2% 70%  
140 2% 69%  
141 3% 67%  
142 1.5% 65%  
143 1.2% 63%  
144 1.0% 62%  
145 1.1% 61%  
146 2% 60%  
147 2% 58%  
148 2% 56%  
149 1.1% 54%  
150 2% 53%  
151 1.3% 51% Median
152 1.4% 50%  
153 3% 48%  
154 3% 45%  
155 1.3% 42%  
156 2% 41%  
157 3% 39%  
158 2% 37%  
159 3% 35%  
160 2% 32%  
161 2% 30%  
162 2% 28%  
163 2% 25%  
164 2% 23%  
165 1.0% 21%  
166 2% 20%  
167 2% 18%  
168 1.1% 16%  
169 1.3% 15%  
170 1.0% 14%  
171 1.4% 13%  
172 0.9% 11%  
173 0.8% 10%  
174 1.1% 10%  
175 0.4% 9%  
176 0.7% 8%  
177 0.3% 7%  
178 0.7% 7%  
179 0.6% 6%  
180 0.4% 6%  
181 0.3% 5%  
182 0.6% 5%  
183 0.3% 4%  
184 0.5% 4%  
185 0.4% 4%  
186 0.3% 3%  
187 0.6% 3%  
188 0.4% 2%  
189 0.2% 2%  
190 0.2% 2%  
191 0.2% 2%  
192 0.2% 1.4%  
193 0.2% 1.2%  
194 0.1% 1.0%  
195 0.2% 0.9%  
196 0.1% 0.7%  
197 0.1% 0.6%  
198 0.1% 0.5%  
199 0% 0.4%  
200 0.1% 0.4%  
201 0% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.3%  
203 0.1% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.2%  
205 0% 0.2%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0.1%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0% 99.9%  
70 0% 99.9%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0% 99.9%  
73 0% 99.8%  
74 0% 99.8%  
75 0% 99.8%  
76 0.1% 99.8%  
77 0% 99.7%  
78 0.1% 99.7%  
79 0.1% 99.6%  
80 0.1% 99.5%  
81 0.1% 99.4%  
82 0.1% 99.3%  
83 0.1% 99.2%  
84 0.1% 99.1%  
85 0.1% 99.1%  
86 0.1% 99.0%  
87 0.1% 98.9%  
88 0.1% 98.7%  
89 0.2% 98.6%  
90 0.2% 98%  
91 0.2% 98%  
92 0.4% 98%  
93 0.2% 98%  
94 0.1% 97%  
95 0.3% 97%  
96 0.3% 97%  
97 0.2% 97%  
98 0.3% 97%  
99 0.4% 96%  
100 0.4% 96%  
101 1.0% 95%  
102 0.3% 94%  
103 0.4% 94%  
104 0.5% 94%  
105 0.6% 93%  
106 0.8% 93%  
107 0.3% 92%  
108 1.0% 91%  
109 0.6% 90%  
110 0.7% 90%  
111 0.8% 89%  
112 0.4% 88%  
113 1.3% 88%  
114 0.9% 87%  
115 0.6% 86%  
116 0.7% 85%  
117 0.8% 85%  
118 0.8% 84%  
119 0.6% 83%  
120 0.9% 82%  
121 1.1% 81%  
122 1.1% 80%  
123 0.5% 79%  
124 0.8% 79%  
125 0.6% 78%  
126 0.7% 77%  
127 1.0% 77%  
128 1.3% 76%  
129 0.6% 74%  
130 0.9% 74%  
131 0.7% 73%  
132 0.9% 72%  
133 1.3% 71%  
134 1.3% 70%  
135 1.4% 69%  
136 3% 67%  
137 1.5% 64%  
138 1.1% 63%  
139 1.0% 62%  
140 1.0% 61%  
141 2% 60%  
142 2% 58%  
143 1.3% 56%  
144 1.2% 54%  
145 2% 53%  
146 1.3% 51% Median
147 2% 50%  
148 3% 48%  
149 3% 45%  
150 1.4% 42%  
151 1.4% 41%  
152 3% 39%  
153 2% 36%  
154 3% 35%  
155 2% 32%  
156 2% 30%  
157 3% 27%  
158 2% 25%  
159 2% 23%  
160 1.1% 21%  
161 2% 20%  
162 2% 18%  
163 1.4% 16%  
164 1.0% 15%  
165 1.0% 14%  
166 2% 13%  
167 0.7% 11%  
168 0.8% 10%  
169 1.0% 9%  
170 0.6% 8%  
171 0.5% 8%  
172 0.3% 7%  
173 0.7% 7%  
174 0.6% 6%  
175 0.4% 6%  
176 0.4% 5%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.3% 4%  
179 0.5% 4%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.4% 3%  
182 0.6% 3%  
183 0.3% 2%  
184 0.2% 2%  
185 0.2% 2%  
186 0.2% 2%  
187 0.2% 1.4%  
188 0.1% 1.1%  
189 0.1% 1.0%  
190 0.2% 0.9%  
191 0.1% 0.7%  
192 0.1% 0.5%  
193 0.1% 0.5%  
194 0% 0.4%  
195 0.1% 0.4%  
196 0% 0.3%  
197 0% 0.3%  
198 0.1% 0.2%  
199 0% 0.2%  
200 0% 0.1%  
201 0% 0.1%  
202 0% 0.1%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations