Opinion Poll by Lord Ashcroft, 20–24 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 44.6% 43.6–45.5% 43.4–45.8% 43.1–46.0% 42.7–46.5%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.2% 20.4–22.0% 20.2–22.2% 20.0–22.4% 19.6–22.8%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 11.1% 10.6–11.8% 10.4–11.9% 10.3–12.1% 10.0–12.4%
Brexit Party 2.0% 8.3% 7.8–8.8% 7.6–9.0% 7.5–9.1% 7.3–9.4%
Green Party 2.8% 7.8% 7.3–8.4% 7.2–8.5% 7.1–8.7% 6.9–8.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.3% 3.0–3.7% 2.9–3.8% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.4% 0.2–0.5% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 420 397–432 392–435 389–439 384–447
Conservative Party 365 95 82–118 79–123 75–128 67–134
Liberal Democrats 11 50 42–53 41–54 39–56 37–59
Brexit Party 0 20 18–21 17–22 16–23 13–23
Green Party 1 3 3 3 3–4 3–4
Scottish National Party 48 40 36–45 34–48 34–50 32–52
Plaid Cymru 4 2 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.5%  
385 0.3% 99.4%  
386 0.3% 99.1%  
387 0.4% 98.8%  
388 0.5% 98%  
389 0.5% 98%  
390 0.5% 97%  
391 0.8% 97%  
392 1.2% 96%  
393 0.9% 95%  
394 0.9% 94%  
395 1.3% 93%  
396 1.5% 92%  
397 1.0% 90%  
398 2% 89%  
399 0.7% 87%  
400 1.1% 86%  
401 2% 85%  
402 3% 83%  
403 2% 80%  
404 2% 79%  
405 2% 77%  
406 1.2% 75%  
407 1.3% 73%  
408 0.9% 72%  
409 2% 71%  
410 2% 70%  
411 1.4% 68%  
412 1.4% 67%  
413 2% 65%  
414 2% 63%  
415 2% 62%  
416 3% 60%  
417 2% 57%  
418 3% 55%  
419 0.8% 52%  
420 6% 51% Median
421 5% 45%  
422 3% 40%  
423 2% 37%  
424 3% 35%  
425 4% 31%  
426 4% 28%  
427 3% 24%  
428 2% 21%  
429 4% 20%  
430 2% 16%  
431 3% 14%  
432 2% 11%  
433 2% 9%  
434 1.0% 7%  
435 0.8% 6%  
436 1.1% 5%  
437 0.7% 4%  
438 0.7% 3%  
439 0.3% 3%  
440 0.5% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.3%  
444 0.2% 1.1%  
445 0.2% 0.9%  
446 0.2% 0.7%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0.1% 0.4%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0.1% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 99.5%  
69 0.1% 99.3%  
70 0.3% 99.2%  
71 0.3% 98.9%  
72 0.2% 98.6%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.5% 98%  
76 0.6% 97%  
77 0.4% 97%  
78 1.1% 96%  
79 1.4% 95%  
80 0.7% 94%  
81 2% 93%  
82 6% 91%  
83 2% 85%  
84 2% 83%  
85 1.4% 82%  
86 0.9% 80%  
87 3% 79%  
88 3% 77%  
89 4% 73%  
90 3% 70%  
91 3% 66%  
92 1.2% 63%  
93 3% 62%  
94 3% 59%  
95 7% 57% Median
96 3% 50%  
97 3% 47%  
98 3% 44%  
99 1.0% 41%  
100 3% 40%  
101 1.3% 37%  
102 0.5% 36%  
103 0.4% 35%  
104 0.4% 35%  
105 1.3% 34%  
106 1.2% 33%  
107 2% 32%  
108 2% 30%  
109 3% 28%  
110 2% 25%  
111 1.0% 22%  
112 1.2% 21%  
113 3% 20%  
114 1.0% 17%  
115 1.5% 16%  
116 2% 14%  
117 1.0% 12%  
118 2% 11%  
119 1.1% 9%  
120 0.7% 8%  
121 0.5% 8%  
122 1.2% 7%  
123 0.9% 6%  
124 0.5% 5%  
125 0.7% 5%  
126 0.6% 4%  
127 0.6% 3%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 0.3% 2%  
130 0.3% 2%  
131 0.5% 1.5%  
132 0.3% 1.0%  
133 0.1% 0.7%  
134 0.1% 0.6%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.4%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.3% 99.7%  
38 0.7% 99.3%  
39 1.3% 98.7%  
40 2% 97%  
41 3% 96%  
42 4% 93%  
43 3% 88%  
44 2% 85%  
45 2% 84%  
46 6% 82%  
47 5% 76%  
48 4% 71%  
49 5% 66%  
50 24% 61% Median
51 22% 37%  
52 5% 15%  
53 2% 11%  
54 4% 8%  
55 2% 4%  
56 0.6% 3%  
57 0.6% 2%  
58 0.4% 2%  
59 0.8% 1.2%  
60 0.1% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.1% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.9%  
14 1.2% 99.5%  
15 0.3% 98%  
16 2% 98%  
17 1.4% 96%  
18 6% 95%  
19 27% 88%  
20 38% 62% Median
21 14% 24%  
22 6% 10%  
23 4% 4%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.2%  
26 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 97% 100% Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.2% 100%  
30 0.1% 99.8%  
31 0% 99.7%  
32 0.5% 99.7%  
33 0% 99.1%  
34 7% 99.1%  
35 0.3% 92%  
36 10% 92%  
37 2% 83%  
38 19% 81%  
39 3% 61%  
40 13% 58% Median
41 25% 46%  
42 2% 20%  
43 6% 19%  
44 2% 13%  
45 3% 11%  
46 1.0% 7%  
47 1.1% 6%  
48 1.3% 5% Last Result
49 0.9% 4%  
50 1.3% 3%  
51 0.8% 2%  
52 0.6% 0.8%  
53 0.2% 0.2%  
54 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100%  
1 16% 77%  
2 38% 61% Median
3 22% 23%  
4 1.2% 1.2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 513 100% 490–527 484–530 480–534 473–542
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 510 100% 487–524 481–527 477–530 470–539
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 508 100% 485–523 479–526 475–529 469–537
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 470 100% 445–485 440–489 434–492 427–501
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 469 100% 444–484 438–487 433–491 425–500
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 460 100% 440–473 436–476 433–478 427–486
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 458 100% 439–471 434–474 431–477 426–485
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 421 100% 398–433 394–437 391–440 385–448
Labour Party 202 420 100% 397–432 392–435 389–439 384–447
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 145 0% 133–165 130–168 128–172 120–178
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 136 0% 122–161 118–167 115–172 106–179
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 135 0% 121–159 117–165 113–170 105–178
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 97 0% 83–120 80–125 76–129 69–136
Conservative Party 365 95 0% 82–118 79–123 75–128 67–134

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 100%  
464 0% 100%  
465 0% 100%  
466 0% 100%  
467 0% 100%  
468 0% 99.9%  
469 0.1% 99.9%  
470 0% 99.8%  
471 0.1% 99.8%  
472 0.1% 99.7%  
473 0.1% 99.6%  
474 0.1% 99.5%  
475 0.2% 99.3%  
476 0.3% 99.2%  
477 0.6% 98.9%  
478 0.2% 98%  
479 0.4% 98%  
480 0.3% 98%  
481 0.7% 97%  
482 0.7% 97%  
483 0.7% 96%  
484 1.1% 95%  
485 0.4% 94%  
486 1.1% 94%  
487 0.7% 93%  
488 1.2% 92%  
489 1.0% 91%  
490 1.4% 90%  
491 1.0% 89%  
492 2% 88%  
493 2% 86%  
494 2% 84%  
495 2% 82%  
496 1.5% 80%  
497 2% 79%  
498 2% 77%  
499 2% 75%  
500 2% 73%  
501 2% 71%  
502 1.3% 69%  
503 2% 68%  
504 0.7% 66%  
505 0.8% 66%  
506 0.8% 65%  
507 1.2% 64%  
508 3% 63%  
509 2% 60%  
510 2% 58%  
511 2% 56%  
512 2% 53%  
513 4% 51%  
514 5% 47%  
515 3% 42% Median
516 2% 39%  
517 2% 36%  
518 4% 35%  
519 3% 31%  
520 3% 28%  
521 2% 25%  
522 2% 23%  
523 2% 21%  
524 2% 19%  
525 1.5% 17%  
526 4% 16%  
527 3% 12%  
528 2% 9%  
529 1.2% 7%  
530 0.9% 6%  
531 0.9% 5%  
532 0.8% 4%  
533 0.5% 3%  
534 0.3% 3%  
535 0.3% 2%  
536 0.3% 2%  
537 0.2% 2%  
538 0.2% 1.3%  
539 0.2% 1.1%  
540 0.1% 0.9%  
541 0.2% 0.8%  
542 0.1% 0.6%  
543 0.1% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.4%  
545 0.1% 0.3%  
546 0% 0.2%  
547 0% 0.2%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0.1%  
550 0% 0.1%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 100%  
464 0% 100%  
465 0% 99.9%  
466 0.1% 99.9%  
467 0% 99.8%  
468 0.1% 99.8%  
469 0.1% 99.7%  
470 0.1% 99.6%  
471 0.1% 99.5%  
472 0.2% 99.3%  
473 0.3% 99.2%  
474 0.6% 98.9%  
475 0.2% 98%  
476 0.4% 98%  
477 0.3% 98%  
478 0.7% 97%  
479 0.7% 97%  
480 0.7% 96%  
481 1.1% 95%  
482 0.4% 94%  
483 1.1% 94%  
484 0.7% 93%  
485 1.2% 92%  
486 1.0% 91%  
487 1.4% 90%  
488 1.0% 89%  
489 2% 88%  
490 2% 86%  
491 2% 84%  
492 2% 82%  
493 1.5% 80%  
494 2% 79%  
495 2% 77%  
496 2% 75%  
497 2% 73%  
498 2% 71%  
499 1.2% 69%  
500 2% 68%  
501 0.8% 66%  
502 0.8% 66%  
503 0.9% 65%  
504 1.2% 64%  
505 3% 63%  
506 2% 60%  
507 2% 58%  
508 2% 56%  
509 2% 53%  
510 4% 51%  
511 5% 47%  
512 3% 42% Median
513 2% 39%  
514 2% 36%  
515 4% 35%  
516 3% 31%  
517 3% 28%  
518 2% 25%  
519 2% 23%  
520 2% 21%  
521 2% 19%  
522 1.4% 17%  
523 4% 16%  
524 3% 12%  
525 2% 9%  
526 1.3% 7%  
527 0.9% 6%  
528 0.8% 5%  
529 0.8% 4%  
530 0.6% 3%  
531 0.4% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.3% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.2% 1.3%  
536 0.2% 1.1%  
537 0.2% 0.9%  
538 0.1% 0.7%  
539 0.1% 0.6%  
540 0.1% 0.5%  
541 0.1% 0.4%  
542 0.1% 0.3%  
543 0% 0.2%  
544 0% 0.2%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0.1%  
548 0% 0.1%  
549 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 100%  
457 0% 100%  
458 0% 100%  
459 0% 100%  
460 0% 100%  
461 0% 100%  
462 0% 100%  
463 0% 100%  
464 0.1% 99.9%  
465 0.1% 99.8%  
466 0.1% 99.8%  
467 0.1% 99.7%  
468 0.1% 99.6%  
469 0.1% 99.5%  
470 0.2% 99.4%  
471 0.4% 99.2%  
472 0.2% 98.8%  
473 0.4% 98.7%  
474 0.4% 98%  
475 0.3% 98%  
476 0.7% 97%  
477 0.6% 97%  
478 0.6% 96%  
479 0.9% 96%  
480 0.6% 95%  
481 1.0% 94%  
482 0.6% 93%  
483 1.1% 93%  
484 0.9% 91%  
485 0.9% 91%  
486 2% 90%  
487 2% 88%  
488 1.2% 86%  
489 2% 85%  
490 2% 83%  
491 2% 81%  
492 1.0% 79%  
493 2% 78%  
494 3% 76%  
495 2% 73%  
496 2% 71%  
497 2% 70%  
498 2% 68%  
499 0.7% 67%  
500 0.8% 66%  
501 1.2% 65%  
502 0.8% 64%  
503 3% 63%  
504 1.3% 60%  
505 1.3% 59%  
506 3% 58%  
507 3% 54%  
508 5% 51%  
509 2% 47%  
510 5% 45% Median
511 2% 40%  
512 2% 38%  
513 3% 35%  
514 3% 32%  
515 4% 30%  
516 2% 25%  
517 3% 24%  
518 1.1% 21%  
519 2% 20%  
520 1.1% 17%  
521 3% 16%  
522 3% 13%  
523 2% 10%  
524 2% 8%  
525 1.0% 6%  
526 0.7% 5%  
527 1.0% 4%  
528 0.6% 3%  
529 0.3% 3%  
530 0.4% 2%  
531 0.3% 2%  
532 0.2% 2%  
533 0.2% 1.4%  
534 0.2% 1.2%  
535 0.2% 1.0%  
536 0.2% 0.8%  
537 0.2% 0.6%  
538 0.1% 0.5%  
539 0.1% 0.4%  
540 0.1% 0.3%  
541 0.1% 0.2%  
542 0% 0.2%  
543 0% 0.1%  
544 0% 0.1%  
545 0% 0.1%  
546 0% 0.1%  
547 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.9%  
423 0.1% 99.9%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0.1% 99.8%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.6%  
428 0.2% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.3%  
430 0.3% 99.2%  
431 0.1% 98.9%  
432 0.3% 98.8%  
433 0.7% 98%  
434 0.4% 98%  
435 0.3% 97%  
436 0.3% 97%  
437 0.3% 97%  
438 0.5% 96%  
439 0.5% 96%  
440 1.4% 95%  
441 0.9% 94%  
442 0.9% 93%  
443 0.5% 92%  
444 1.2% 92%  
445 0.7% 90%  
446 0.8% 90%  
447 1.1% 89%  
448 1.4% 88%  
449 2% 86%  
450 1.4% 84%  
451 2% 83%  
452 2% 81%  
453 1.1% 79%  
454 1.0% 78%  
455 3% 77%  
456 2% 74%  
457 2% 72%  
458 2% 71%  
459 0.6% 69%  
460 0.8% 68%  
461 2% 67%  
462 2% 66%  
463 1.4% 64%  
464 2% 63%  
465 3% 61%  
466 2% 58%  
467 1.4% 56%  
468 2% 55%  
469 1.2% 53%  
470 2% 51%  
471 6% 50%  
472 4% 44% Median
473 2% 41%  
474 4% 39%  
475 2% 34%  
476 3% 32%  
477 3% 29%  
478 1.1% 26%  
479 2% 25%  
480 2% 22%  
481 2% 21%  
482 3% 19%  
483 3% 16%  
484 2% 13%  
485 2% 11%  
486 2% 9%  
487 1.3% 7%  
488 0.8% 6%  
489 0.9% 5%  
490 0.6% 4%  
491 0.5% 4%  
492 0.6% 3%  
493 0.4% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.2% 1.5%  
497 0.2% 1.3%  
498 0.2% 1.1%  
499 0.1% 0.9%  
500 0.1% 0.7%  
501 0.2% 0.6%  
502 0.1% 0.4%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0% 0.3%  
505 0.1% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0.1% 99.8%  
423 0.1% 99.8%  
424 0.1% 99.7%  
425 0.1% 99.6%  
426 0.1% 99.5%  
427 0.2% 99.4%  
428 0.2% 99.2%  
429 0.2% 99.0%  
430 0.4% 98.9%  
431 0.4% 98%  
432 0.5% 98%  
433 0.4% 98%  
434 0.4% 97%  
435 0.1% 97%  
436 0.4% 97%  
437 0.4% 96%  
438 1.1% 96%  
439 1.0% 95%  
440 1.3% 94%  
441 1.2% 92%  
442 0.7% 91%  
443 0.3% 90%  
444 0.5% 90%  
445 0.9% 90%  
446 2% 89%  
447 0.7% 87%  
448 3% 86%  
449 3% 83%  
450 0.4% 80%  
451 0.9% 80%  
452 2% 79%  
453 2% 77%  
454 1.4% 75%  
455 2% 74%  
456 1.0% 71%  
457 2% 70%  
458 0.9% 68%  
459 0.9% 68%  
460 2% 67%  
461 1.2% 65%  
462 3% 64%  
463 3% 61%  
464 1.4% 58%  
465 2% 57%  
466 1.0% 55%  
467 1.3% 54%  
468 2% 52%  
469 2% 50%  
470 6% 48% Median
471 4% 43%  
472 3% 39%  
473 3% 36%  
474 2% 32%  
475 2% 31%  
476 3% 29%  
477 3% 25%  
478 2% 23%  
479 2% 21%  
480 2% 19%  
481 2% 17%  
482 3% 14%  
483 2% 12%  
484 3% 10%  
485 1.1% 7%  
486 0.8% 6%  
487 0.7% 5%  
488 0.6% 5%  
489 0.9% 4%  
490 0.5% 3%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.2% 2%  
493 0.3% 2%  
494 0.3% 2%  
495 0.2% 1.4%  
496 0.1% 1.1%  
497 0.2% 1.0%  
498 0.2% 0.8%  
499 0.1% 0.7%  
500 0.1% 0.5%  
501 0.1% 0.4%  
502 0% 0.3%  
503 0.1% 0.3%  
504 0% 0.2%  
505 0% 0.2%  
506 0% 0.1%  
507 0% 0.1%  
508 0% 0.1%  
509 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0.1% 99.9%  
425 0.1% 99.9%  
426 0.1% 99.8%  
427 0.2% 99.7%  
428 0.2% 99.5%  
429 0.1% 99.3%  
430 0.3% 99.1%  
431 0.4% 98.8%  
432 0.8% 98%  
433 0.8% 98%  
434 0.9% 97%  
435 0.7% 96%  
436 0.9% 95%  
437 0.8% 94%  
438 1.0% 94%  
439 2% 93%  
440 1.2% 91%  
441 1.4% 90%  
442 2% 89%  
443 1.1% 87%  
444 2% 86%  
445 4% 84%  
446 4% 79%  
447 3% 75%  
448 1.4% 72%  
449 0.7% 71%  
450 0.8% 70%  
451 0.5% 69%  
452 0.5% 69%  
453 0.5% 68%  
454 0.7% 68%  
455 2% 67%  
456 2% 65%  
457 3% 63%  
458 5% 60%  
459 2% 55%  
460 4% 53%  
461 6% 49%  
462 2% 43% Median
463 2% 41%  
464 4% 39%  
465 2% 35%  
466 4% 33%  
467 5% 29%  
468 4% 24%  
469 2% 21%  
470 0.9% 18%  
471 1.2% 18%  
472 5% 16%  
473 4% 12%  
474 1.2% 7%  
475 0.9% 6%  
476 1.2% 5%  
477 0.9% 4%  
478 1.0% 3%  
479 0.2% 2%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.3% 1.4%  
483 0.1% 1.1%  
484 0.2% 0.9%  
485 0.2% 0.8%  
486 0.2% 0.6%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0.1% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0.1% 99.9%  
424 0.1% 99.8%  
425 0.2% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.5%  
427 0.2% 99.4%  
428 0.4% 99.2%  
429 0.5% 98.8%  
430 0.6% 98%  
431 0.6% 98%  
432 0.7% 97%  
433 1.0% 96%  
434 0.6% 96%  
435 0.9% 95%  
436 2% 94%  
437 0.9% 92%  
438 1.1% 92%  
439 1.5% 90%  
440 1.1% 89%  
441 1.2% 88%  
442 3% 87%  
443 4% 84%  
444 3% 80%  
445 4% 77%  
446 3% 74%  
447 0.9% 71%  
448 0.5% 70%  
449 0.6% 69%  
450 0.2% 69%  
451 0.6% 69%  
452 1.0% 68%  
453 0.7% 67%  
454 2% 66%  
455 3% 65%  
456 5% 62%  
457 3% 56%  
458 5% 53%  
459 2% 48%  
460 4% 46% Median
461 2% 42%  
462 3% 40%  
463 3% 38%  
464 4% 34%  
465 5% 30%  
466 3% 25%  
467 3% 22%  
468 1.0% 19%  
469 1.4% 18%  
470 3% 17%  
471 4% 14%  
472 3% 10%  
473 1.0% 6%  
474 1.3% 5%  
475 0.6% 4%  
476 0.9% 3%  
477 0.6% 3%  
478 0.4% 2%  
479 0.1% 2%  
480 0.2% 1.4%  
481 0.2% 1.2%  
482 0.2% 1.1%  
483 0.1% 0.9%  
484 0.2% 0.7%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.4%  
487 0.1% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.2%  
489 0% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0.1% 99.9%  
382 0.1% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0.1% 99.7%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.2% 99.5%  
387 0.3% 99.3%  
388 0.4% 99.0%  
389 0.4% 98.6%  
390 0.5% 98%  
391 0.5% 98%  
392 0.8% 97%  
393 0.9% 96%  
394 1.2% 96%  
395 0.7% 94%  
396 0.6% 94%  
397 1.4% 93%  
398 2% 92%  
399 1.0% 90%  
400 2% 89%  
401 1.1% 87%  
402 1.3% 86%  
403 2% 85%  
404 2% 83%  
405 2% 81%  
406 2% 78%  
407 2% 76%  
408 0.9% 74%  
409 2% 73%  
410 0.9% 71%  
411 1.0% 70%  
412 2% 69%  
413 1.0% 67%  
414 2% 66%  
415 1.5% 64%  
416 2% 63%  
417 2% 61%  
418 3% 59%  
419 2% 56%  
420 3% 54%  
421 4% 51%  
422 4% 47% Median
423 3% 43%  
424 4% 40%  
425 3% 36%  
426 3% 33%  
427 3% 30%  
428 3% 26%  
429 2% 23%  
430 1.4% 21%  
431 4% 19%  
432 2% 15%  
433 4% 13%  
434 0.9% 9%  
435 2% 8%  
436 0.9% 6%  
437 0.9% 5%  
438 1.2% 4%  
439 0.5% 3%  
440 0.5% 3%  
441 0.4% 2%  
442 0.4% 2%  
443 0.2% 2%  
444 0.3% 1.4%  
445 0.2% 1.1%  
446 0.2% 1.0%  
447 0.1% 0.8%  
448 0.2% 0.6%  
449 0.1% 0.5%  
450 0.1% 0.4%  
451 0.1% 0.3%  
452 0.1% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.2%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.8%  
382 0.1% 99.7%  
383 0.1% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.5%  
385 0.3% 99.4%  
386 0.3% 99.1%  
387 0.4% 98.8%  
388 0.5% 98%  
389 0.5% 98%  
390 0.5% 97%  
391 0.8% 97%  
392 1.2% 96%  
393 0.9% 95%  
394 0.9% 94%  
395 1.3% 93%  
396 1.5% 92%  
397 1.0% 90%  
398 2% 89%  
399 0.7% 87%  
400 1.1% 86%  
401 2% 85%  
402 3% 83%  
403 2% 80%  
404 2% 79%  
405 2% 77%  
406 1.2% 75%  
407 1.3% 73%  
408 0.9% 72%  
409 2% 71%  
410 2% 70%  
411 1.4% 68%  
412 1.4% 67%  
413 2% 65%  
414 2% 63%  
415 2% 62%  
416 3% 60%  
417 2% 57%  
418 3% 55%  
419 0.8% 52%  
420 6% 51% Median
421 5% 45%  
422 3% 40%  
423 2% 37%  
424 3% 35%  
425 4% 31%  
426 4% 28%  
427 3% 24%  
428 2% 21%  
429 4% 20%  
430 2% 16%  
431 3% 14%  
432 2% 11%  
433 2% 9%  
434 1.0% 7%  
435 0.8% 6%  
436 1.1% 5%  
437 0.7% 4%  
438 0.7% 3%  
439 0.3% 3%  
440 0.5% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.3% 2%  
443 0.2% 1.3%  
444 0.2% 1.1%  
445 0.2% 0.9%  
446 0.2% 0.7%  
447 0.1% 0.5%  
448 0.1% 0.4%  
449 0% 0.3%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0.1% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0.1% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0.1% 99.8%  
119 0.2% 99.7%  
120 0.2% 99.6%  
121 0.3% 99.4%  
122 0.1% 99.2%  
123 0.1% 99.1%  
124 0.2% 98.9%  
125 0.2% 98.7%  
126 0.3% 98.6%  
127 0.5% 98%  
128 0.5% 98%  
129 2% 97%  
130 1.0% 96%  
131 0.6% 95%  
132 1.1% 94%  
133 10% 93%  
134 0.6% 83%  
135 0.4% 83%  
136 0.5% 82%  
137 2% 82%  
138 7% 80%  
139 7% 74%  
140 3% 67%  
141 4% 64%  
142 0.5% 60%  
143 1.1% 59%  
144 1.3% 58%  
145 9% 57% Median
146 3% 48%  
147 7% 45%  
148 2% 38%  
149 3% 36%  
150 1.1% 33%  
151 0.4% 32%  
152 0.1% 32%  
153 0% 32%  
154 0.3% 32%  
155 0.2% 31%  
156 0.9% 31%  
157 0.9% 30%  
158 2% 29%  
159 8% 27%  
160 6% 20%  
161 1.0% 14%  
162 1.0% 13%  
163 0.9% 12%  
164 1.3% 11%  
165 0.9% 10%  
166 2% 9%  
167 0.8% 7%  
168 1.3% 6%  
169 1.2% 5%  
170 0.5% 4%  
171 0.2% 3%  
172 0.8% 3%  
173 0.9% 2%  
174 0.6% 1.5%  
175 0.2% 0.8%  
176 0% 0.6%  
177 0.1% 0.6%  
178 0.2% 0.5%  
179 0.2% 0.3%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
98 0% 100%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.9%  
102 0% 99.8%  
103 0.1% 99.8%  
104 0% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.7%  
106 0.1% 99.6%  
107 0.1% 99.5%  
108 0.1% 99.4%  
109 0.1% 99.2%  
110 0.3% 99.1%  
111 0.2% 98.8%  
112 0.4% 98.6%  
113 0.2% 98%  
114 0.4% 98%  
115 0.6% 98%  
116 0.7% 97%  
117 0.8% 96%  
118 0.5% 96%  
119 0.7% 95%  
120 1.0% 94%  
121 0.9% 93%  
122 4% 92%  
123 1.0% 89%  
124 3% 88%  
125 2% 84%  
126 2% 82%  
127 2% 80%  
128 3% 78%  
129 2% 75%  
130 2% 73%  
131 3% 71%  
132 3% 68%  
133 2% 65%  
134 4% 63%  
135 4% 58%  
136 4% 54%  
137 2% 50% Median
138 1.4% 48%  
139 2% 47%  
140 1.4% 45%  
141 1.1% 43%  
142 3% 42%  
143 2% 39%  
144 2% 37%  
145 1.3% 35%  
146 1.2% 34%  
147 1.3% 33%  
148 2% 31%  
149 2% 30%  
150 1.0% 28%  
151 2% 27%  
152 2% 26%  
153 2% 24%  
154 2% 21%  
155 0.6% 20%  
156 3% 19%  
157 2% 17%  
158 2% 15%  
159 2% 13%  
160 1.2% 11%  
161 0.4% 10%  
162 0.6% 10%  
163 0.6% 9%  
164 2% 9%  
165 0.9% 7%  
166 1.1% 6%  
167 0.6% 5%  
168 0.7% 4%  
169 0.5% 4%  
170 0.2% 3%  
171 0.3% 3%  
172 0.4% 3%  
173 0.5% 2%  
174 0.4% 2%  
175 0.4% 1.5%  
176 0.1% 1.1%  
177 0.2% 1.0%  
178 0.2% 0.8%  
179 0.1% 0.6%  
180 0.1% 0.5%  
181 0.1% 0.4%  
182 0.1% 0.2%  
183 0.1% 0.2%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0.1%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
96 0% 100%  
97 0% 99.9%  
98 0% 99.9%  
99 0% 99.9%  
100 0% 99.9%  
101 0% 99.8%  
102 0.1% 99.8%  
103 0% 99.7%  
104 0.1% 99.7%  
105 0.1% 99.5%  
106 0.2% 99.4%  
107 0.1% 99.3%  
108 0.2% 99.2%  
109 0.3% 99.0%  
110 0.3% 98.7%  
111 0.2% 98%  
112 0.4% 98%  
113 0.5% 98%  
114 0.8% 97%  
115 0.4% 97%  
116 0.7% 96%  
117 0.8% 95%  
118 0.9% 95%  
119 1.1% 94%  
120 2% 93%  
121 2% 90%  
122 3% 88%  
123 3% 85%  
124 2% 82%  
125 1.5% 80%  
126 2% 79%  
127 2% 76%  
128 3% 75%  
129 2% 72%  
130 3% 70%  
131 3% 67%  
132 4% 64%  
133 3% 59%  
134 3% 56%  
135 4% 52% Median
136 2% 48%  
137 1.2% 47%  
138 2% 46%  
139 2% 44%  
140 3% 42%  
141 2% 39%  
142 1.1% 37%  
143 2% 36%  
144 1.0% 34%  
145 0.8% 33%  
146 1.0% 33%  
147 2% 31%  
148 1.4% 29%  
149 3% 28%  
150 1.5% 25%  
151 2% 24%  
152 1.1% 22%  
153 2% 21%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 1.3% 15%  
157 1.4% 14%  
158 2% 12%  
159 0.6% 11%  
160 0.5% 10%  
161 1.1% 9%  
162 0.6% 8%  
163 1.1% 8%  
164 1.5% 7%  
165 0.8% 5%  
166 0.7% 4%  
167 0.3% 4%  
168 0.2% 4%  
169 0.5% 3%  
170 0.4% 3%  
171 0.4% 2%  
172 0.5% 2%  
173 0.4% 1.5%  
174 0.1% 1.1%  
175 0.2% 1.0%  
176 0.1% 0.8%  
177 0.1% 0.7%  
178 0.2% 0.5%  
179 0.1% 0.4%  
180 0.1% 0.3%  
181 0.1% 0.2%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0.1%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 0.1% 99.8%  
67 0.1% 99.7%  
68 0.1% 99.6%  
69 0.2% 99.5%  
70 0.1% 99.4%  
71 0.3% 99.2%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 0.2% 98.7%  
74 0.3% 98.6%  
75 0.3% 98%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 0.4% 97%  
78 0.7% 97%  
79 0.9% 96%  
80 0.8% 95%  
81 2% 95%  
82 2% 93%  
83 1.0% 91%  
84 5% 90%  
85 1.1% 85%  
86 2% 84%  
87 1.3% 81%  
88 2% 80%  
89 3% 78%  
90 4% 75%  
91 3% 71%  
92 3% 68%  
93 2% 65%  
94 1.4% 63%  
95 2% 61%  
96 6% 60%  
97 5% 54% Median
98 4% 49%  
99 2% 45%  
100 2% 43%  
101 1.4% 41%  
102 3% 39%  
103 1.0% 37%  
104 0.7% 36%  
105 0.6% 35%  
106 1.1% 35%  
107 1.1% 33%  
108 1.4% 32%  
109 3% 31%  
110 1.1% 28%  
111 2% 27%  
112 3% 25%  
113 2% 22%  
114 1.3% 20%  
115 2% 19%  
116 0.8% 16%  
117 1.5% 16%  
118 2% 14%  
119 2% 12%  
120 1.1% 10%  
121 0.6% 9%  
122 1.1% 8%  
123 0.6% 7%  
124 1.0% 7%  
125 0.7% 6%  
126 0.5% 5%  
127 0.8% 4%  
128 0.7% 4%  
129 0.6% 3%  
130 0.5% 2%  
131 0.4% 2%  
132 0.4% 2%  
133 0.2% 1.2%  
134 0.4% 1.1%  
135 0.1% 0.7%  
136 0.2% 0.6%  
137 0.1% 0.4%  
138 0.1% 0.3%  
139 0.1% 0.3%  
140 0.1% 0.2%  
141 0% 0.1%  
142 0% 0.1%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.9%  
63 0.1% 99.8%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.7%  
67 0.1% 99.6%  
68 0.2% 99.5%  
69 0.1% 99.3%  
70 0.3% 99.2%  
71 0.3% 98.9%  
72 0.2% 98.6%  
73 0.2% 98%  
74 0.5% 98%  
75 0.5% 98%  
76 0.6% 97%  
77 0.4% 97%  
78 1.1% 96%  
79 1.4% 95%  
80 0.7% 94%  
81 2% 93%  
82 6% 91%  
83 2% 85%  
84 2% 83%  
85 1.4% 82%  
86 0.9% 80%  
87 3% 79%  
88 3% 77%  
89 4% 73%  
90 3% 70%  
91 3% 66%  
92 1.2% 63%  
93 3% 62%  
94 3% 59%  
95 7% 57% Median
96 3% 50%  
97 3% 47%  
98 3% 44%  
99 1.0% 41%  
100 3% 40%  
101 1.3% 37%  
102 0.5% 36%  
103 0.4% 35%  
104 0.4% 35%  
105 1.3% 34%  
106 1.2% 33%  
107 2% 32%  
108 2% 30%  
109 3% 28%  
110 2% 25%  
111 1.0% 22%  
112 1.2% 21%  
113 3% 20%  
114 1.0% 17%  
115 1.5% 16%  
116 2% 14%  
117 1.0% 12%  
118 2% 11%  
119 1.1% 9%  
120 0.7% 8%  
121 0.5% 8%  
122 1.2% 7%  
123 0.9% 6%  
124 0.5% 5%  
125 0.7% 5%  
126 0.6% 4%  
127 0.6% 3%  
128 0.6% 3%  
129 0.3% 2%  
130 0.3% 2%  
131 0.5% 1.5%  
132 0.3% 1.0%  
133 0.1% 0.7%  
134 0.1% 0.6%  
135 0.1% 0.4%  
136 0.1% 0.4%  
137 0.1% 0.3%  
138 0.1% 0.2%  
139 0.1% 0.1%  
140 0% 0.1%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0%  
144 0% 0%  
145 0% 0%  
146 0% 0%  
147 0% 0%  
148 0% 0%  
149 0% 0%  
150 0% 0%  
151 0% 0%  
152 0% 0%  
153 0% 0%  
154 0% 0%  
155 0% 0%  
156 0% 0%  
157 0% 0%  
158 0% 0%  
159 0% 0%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

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Calculations