Opinion Poll by Survation for Good Morning Britain, 21–25 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 45.1% 43.0–47.2% 42.4–47.8% 41.9–48.3% 40.9–49.3%
Conservative Party 43.6% 19.8% 18.2–21.6% 17.7–22.0% 17.3–22.5% 16.6–23.3%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 13.2% 11.9–14.8% 11.5–15.2% 11.2–15.6% 10.6–16.3%
Brexit Party 2.0% 6.7% 5.7–7.8% 5.5–8.2% 5.2–8.5% 4.8–9.1%
Green Party 2.8% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.2–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 2.2% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 458 422–482 413–487 404–491 390–502
Conservative Party 365 66 41–104 36–116 32–126 23–139
Liberal Democrats 11 68 54–76 52–78 51–81 43–86
Brexit Party 0 8 4–19 3–20 3–21 3–21
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 23 13–34 9–38 6–40 2–43
Plaid Cymru 4 3 0–5 0–5 0–5 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.7%  
387 0% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0% 99.5%  
391 0% 99.5%  
392 0.1% 99.4%  
393 0.1% 99.3%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.1% 99.0%  
396 0.1% 99.0%  
397 0.1% 98.9%  
398 0.1% 98.7%  
399 0.3% 98.6%  
400 0.1% 98%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.2% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.2% 97%  
406 0.2% 97%  
407 0.2% 97%  
408 0.2% 97%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.4% 96%  
411 0.1% 96%  
412 0.5% 96%  
413 0.4% 95%  
414 0.4% 95%  
415 0.8% 94%  
416 1.0% 94%  
417 0.3% 93%  
418 0.5% 92%  
419 0.8% 92%  
420 0.5% 91%  
421 0.5% 91%  
422 0.6% 90%  
423 0.1% 89%  
424 0.3% 89%  
425 0.2% 89%  
426 0.3% 89%  
427 0.4% 89%  
428 0.6% 88%  
429 0.3% 88%  
430 1.0% 87%  
431 0.8% 86%  
432 0.5% 86%  
433 0.8% 85%  
434 2% 84%  
435 0.7% 83%  
436 2% 82%  
437 0.7% 80%  
438 0.9% 79%  
439 1.5% 78%  
440 0.6% 77%  
441 1.2% 76%  
442 1.0% 75%  
443 1.5% 74%  
444 0.8% 72%  
445 0.8% 72%  
446 0.8% 71%  
447 1.4% 70%  
448 0.6% 69%  
449 2% 68%  
450 2% 66%  
451 2% 64%  
452 2% 63%  
453 0.9% 60%  
454 2% 59%  
455 2% 57%  
456 2% 55%  
457 2% 53%  
458 1.4% 51% Median
459 1.4% 50%  
460 3% 48%  
461 1.4% 45%  
462 1.4% 43%  
463 2% 42%  
464 2% 40%  
465 1.4% 38%  
466 2% 36%  
467 3% 35%  
468 2% 31%  
469 1.3% 29%  
470 0.9% 28%  
471 3% 27%  
472 2% 24%  
473 1.4% 23%  
474 0.7% 21%  
475 2% 21%  
476 1.0% 19%  
477 0.8% 18%  
478 1.5% 17%  
479 1.1% 16%  
480 2% 14%  
481 1.4% 12%  
482 0.8% 11%  
483 1.1% 10%  
484 0.8% 9%  
485 1.3% 8%  
486 0.9% 7%  
487 0.8% 6%  
488 0.3% 5%  
489 1.1% 5%  
490 0.6% 4%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.3%  
498 0.1% 1.1%  
499 0.2% 1.0%  
500 0.2% 0.8%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0.1% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.8%  
20 0.1% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0.1% 99.7%  
23 0.1% 99.6%  
24 0.1% 99.4%  
25 0.2% 99.3%  
26 0.1% 99.1%  
27 0.2% 98.9%  
28 0.3% 98.8%  
29 0.2% 98%  
30 0.3% 98%  
31 0.3% 98%  
32 0.5% 98%  
33 0.4% 97%  
34 0.3% 97%  
35 1.0% 96%  
36 0.7% 95%  
37 0.7% 95%  
38 0.8% 94%  
39 2% 93%  
40 1.2% 91%  
41 0.8% 90%  
42 1.1% 89%  
43 0.7% 88%  
44 2% 87%  
45 2% 86%  
46 0.9% 84%  
47 2% 83%  
48 3% 81%  
49 2% 78%  
50 2% 76%  
51 2% 75%  
52 0.6% 73%  
53 1.1% 73%  
54 2% 71%  
55 0.6% 69%  
56 1.3% 69%  
57 2% 67%  
58 1.3% 65%  
59 3% 64%  
60 1.0% 61%  
61 2% 60%  
62 2% 58%  
63 1.4% 56%  
64 1.1% 54%  
65 2% 53%  
66 2% 52% Median
67 0.8% 49%  
68 1.3% 49%  
69 3% 47%  
70 0.9% 45%  
71 2% 44%  
72 5% 42%  
73 2% 38%  
74 1.2% 35%  
75 0.7% 34%  
76 2% 34%  
77 1.2% 32%  
78 1.4% 31%  
79 0.7% 29%  
80 1.4% 28%  
81 0.7% 27%  
82 0.8% 26%  
83 1.5% 25%  
84 0.7% 24%  
85 1.1% 23%  
86 0.8% 22%  
87 2% 21%  
88 0.5% 20%  
89 0.3% 19%  
90 1.0% 19%  
91 1.5% 18%  
92 0.6% 16%  
93 0.7% 16%  
94 0.6% 15%  
95 0.7% 14%  
96 0.5% 14%  
97 0.6% 13%  
98 0.6% 13%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 0.2% 12%  
101 0.4% 12%  
102 0.4% 11%  
103 0.5% 11%  
104 0.3% 10%  
105 0.5% 10%  
106 0.5% 10%  
107 0.8% 9%  
108 0.5% 8%  
109 0.3% 8%  
110 0.3% 7%  
111 0.3% 7%  
112 0.6% 7%  
113 0.3% 6%  
114 0.6% 6%  
115 0.3% 5%  
116 0.4% 5%  
117 0.3% 5%  
118 0.3% 5%  
119 0.1% 4%  
120 0.1% 4%  
121 0.2% 4%  
122 0.2% 4%  
123 0.2% 4%  
124 0.4% 3%  
125 0.3% 3%  
126 0.3% 3%  
127 0.3% 2%  
128 0.3% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.1% 1.5%  
131 0.1% 1.4%  
132 0.1% 1.3%  
133 0.3% 1.2%  
134 0.1% 1.0%  
135 0.1% 0.9%  
136 0.1% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.6%  
138 0% 0.6%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.7%  
43 0.1% 99.6%  
44 0% 99.4%  
45 0% 99.4%  
46 0.1% 99.4%  
47 0.2% 99.3%  
48 0.2% 99.1%  
49 0.3% 98.9%  
50 0.6% 98.6%  
51 2% 98%  
52 1.3% 96%  
53 0.8% 94%  
54 4% 94%  
55 2% 90%  
56 2% 88%  
57 2% 86%  
58 1.1% 84%  
59 4% 83%  
60 3% 79%  
61 2% 76%  
62 3% 74%  
63 6% 71%  
64 4% 65%  
65 2% 61%  
66 2% 59%  
67 6% 57%  
68 3% 51% Median
69 5% 48%  
70 6% 43%  
71 6% 37%  
72 2% 32%  
73 7% 29%  
74 7% 22%  
75 4% 15%  
76 3% 11%  
77 2% 8%  
78 2% 6%  
79 0.8% 4%  
80 0.5% 3%  
81 0.5% 3%  
82 1.0% 2%  
83 0.4% 1.5%  
84 0.3% 1.1%  
85 0.2% 0.8%  
86 0.2% 0.7%  
87 0.2% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.2%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0.1% 0.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 5% 100%  
4 24% 95%  
5 6% 71%  
6 9% 65%  
7 5% 56%  
8 3% 51% Median
9 0.9% 49%  
10 0.9% 48%  
11 3% 47%  
12 5% 44%  
13 11% 39%  
14 6% 28%  
15 1.4% 23%  
16 3% 22%  
17 1.3% 18%  
18 5% 17%  
19 5% 12%  
20 5% 7%  
21 2% 3%  
22 0.1% 0.5%  
23 0.2% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 82% 100% Last Result, Median
2 16% 18%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.2% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.8%  
2 0.2% 99.7%  
3 0.6% 99.5%  
4 0.6% 98.9%  
5 0.2% 98%  
6 1.1% 98%  
7 0.8% 97%  
8 0.9% 96%  
9 0.7% 95%  
10 1.3% 95%  
11 1.2% 93%  
12 2% 92%  
13 1.4% 90%  
14 0.9% 89%  
15 3% 88%  
16 5% 85%  
17 2% 80%  
18 4% 78%  
19 8% 74%  
20 5% 66%  
21 6% 61%  
22 4% 55%  
23 4% 51% Median
24 6% 47%  
25 7% 41%  
26 3% 34%  
27 4% 31%  
28 0.7% 27%  
29 5% 26%  
30 2% 21%  
31 0.3% 19%  
32 4% 19%  
33 0.3% 16%  
34 7% 15%  
35 0.1% 8%  
36 2% 8%  
37 0.1% 6%  
38 3% 6%  
39 0.3% 3%  
40 0.7% 3%  
41 1.3% 2%  
42 0.1% 0.8%  
43 0.2% 0.7%  
44 0% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.5%  
46 0% 0.4%  
47 0% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
49 0.1% 0.1%  
50 0% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 15% 87%  
2 16% 72%  
3 29% 56% Median
4 17% 27% Last Result
5 10% 10%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 552 100% 513–578 499–585 490–589 475–599
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 551 100% 511–577 498–584 489–588 474–598
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 548 100% 508–575 495–581 487–586 471–596
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 528 100% 487–555 476–561 466–566 449–576
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 525 100% 485–553 473–558 463–564 447–574
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 484 100% 449–506 438–513 431–516 418–527
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 481 100% 447–504 435–510 428–514 415–524
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 461 100% 425–484 416–490 407–494 393–504
Labour Party 202 458 100% 422–482 413–487 404–491 390–502
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 134 0% 112–167 108–177 105–183 95–194
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 92 0% 67–130 61–142 56–152 47–167
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 90 0% 64–127 58–139 54–148 45–164
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 69 0% 43–107 39–119 34–128 25–142
Conservative Party 365 66 0% 41–104 36–116 32–126 23–139

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 100%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.9%  
465 0% 99.8%  
466 0% 99.8%  
467 0% 99.8%  
468 0% 99.8%  
469 0% 99.8%  
470 0% 99.7%  
471 0% 99.7%  
472 0% 99.7%  
473 0.1% 99.7%  
474 0% 99.6%  
475 0.1% 99.5%  
476 0.1% 99.5%  
477 0.1% 99.4%  
478 0% 99.3%  
479 0.1% 99.3%  
480 0.1% 99.2%  
481 0.1% 99.1%  
482 0.2% 99.0%  
483 0.3% 98.9%  
484 0.1% 98.6%  
485 0.1% 98%  
486 0.3% 98%  
487 0.1% 98%  
488 0.3% 98%  
489 0.2% 98%  
490 0.2% 98%  
491 0.2% 97%  
492 0.1% 97%  
493 0.2% 97%  
494 0.3% 97%  
495 0.3% 97%  
496 0.6% 96%  
497 0.2% 96%  
498 0.3% 96%  
499 0.4% 95%  
500 0.3% 95%  
501 0.2% 95%  
502 0.3% 94%  
503 0.7% 94%  
504 0.4% 93%  
505 0.4% 93%  
506 0.3% 93%  
507 0.3% 92%  
508 0.3% 92%  
509 0.3% 92%  
510 0.6% 91%  
511 0.3% 91%  
512 0.5% 91%  
513 0.5% 90%  
514 0.4% 90%  
515 0.6% 89%  
516 0.6% 89%  
517 0.3% 88%  
518 0.8% 88%  
519 0.5% 87%  
520 0.5% 86%  
521 0.4% 86%  
522 0.5% 85%  
523 0.2% 85%  
524 1.0% 85%  
525 0.7% 84%  
526 0.5% 83%  
527 0.9% 82%  
528 0.6% 81%  
529 0.9% 81%  
530 0.5% 80%  
531 1.3% 79%  
532 0.7% 78%  
533 1.1% 77%  
534 1.1% 76%  
535 2% 75%  
536 0.7% 73%  
537 1.4% 73%  
538 1.1% 71%  
539 1.3% 70%  
540 0.8% 69%  
541 1.0% 68%  
542 2% 67%  
543 2% 65%  
544 1.2% 63%  
545 2% 62%  
546 2% 60%  
547 1.4% 58%  
548 0.9% 57%  
549 1.2% 56%  
550 1.3% 55%  
551 2% 54%  
552 3% 52%  
553 2% 49% Median
554 0.8% 47%  
555 3% 46%  
556 0.7% 43%  
557 1.1% 42%  
558 1.3% 41%  
559 2% 40%  
560 2% 38%  
561 0.9% 36%  
562 2% 35%  
563 2% 34%  
564 1.1% 31%  
565 3% 30%  
566 1.0% 28%  
567 1.3% 27%  
568 0.7% 25%  
569 2% 25%  
570 2% 23%  
571 0.8% 21%  
572 1.3% 20%  
573 1.5% 19%  
574 2% 17%  
575 2% 15%  
576 2% 14%  
577 0.7% 12%  
578 0.9% 11%  
579 0.9% 10%  
580 0.7% 9%  
581 1.2% 8%  
582 0.8% 7%  
583 0.8% 6%  
584 0.3% 6%  
585 0.6% 5%  
586 1.1% 5%  
587 0.5% 4%  
588 0.5% 3%  
589 0.2% 3%  
590 0.2% 2%  
591 0.4% 2%  
592 0.3% 2%  
593 0.3% 2%  
594 0.2% 1.3%  
595 0.1% 1.1%  
596 0.2% 1.0%  
597 0.1% 0.8%  
598 0.1% 0.7%  
599 0.2% 0.6%  
600 0.1% 0.5%  
601 0.1% 0.4%  
602 0.1% 0.3%  
603 0% 0.2%  
604 0% 0.2%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0.1%  
607 0% 0.1%  
608 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 100%  
454 0% 100%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.9%  
463 0% 99.9%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0% 99.8%  
466 0% 99.8%  
467 0% 99.8%  
468 0% 99.8%  
469 0% 99.7%  
470 0% 99.7%  
471 0% 99.7%  
472 0.1% 99.7%  
473 0% 99.6%  
474 0.1% 99.5%  
475 0.1% 99.4%  
476 0.1% 99.4%  
477 0% 99.3%  
478 0.1% 99.3%  
479 0.1% 99.2%  
480 0.1% 99.1%  
481 0.1% 99.0%  
482 0.3% 98.9%  
483 0.1% 98.5%  
484 0.1% 98%  
485 0.3% 98%  
486 0.1% 98%  
487 0.2% 98%  
488 0.2% 98%  
489 0.2% 98%  
490 0.2% 97%  
491 0.1% 97%  
492 0.2% 97%  
493 0.3% 97%  
494 0.3% 97%  
495 0.6% 96%  
496 0.1% 96%  
497 0.3% 96%  
498 0.3% 95%  
499 0.3% 95%  
500 0.2% 95%  
501 0.3% 94%  
502 0.7% 94%  
503 0.4% 93%  
504 0.3% 93%  
505 0.3% 93%  
506 0.4% 92%  
507 0.3% 92%  
508 0.3% 92%  
509 0.6% 91%  
510 0.4% 91%  
511 0.6% 90%  
512 0.4% 90%  
513 0.5% 89%  
514 0.6% 89%  
515 0.4% 88%  
516 0.3% 88%  
517 0.8% 88%  
518 0.6% 87%  
519 0.5% 86%  
520 0.4% 86%  
521 0.5% 85%  
522 0.2% 85%  
523 1.0% 85%  
524 0.7% 83%  
525 0.7% 83%  
526 0.8% 82%  
527 0.8% 81%  
528 0.7% 80%  
529 0.8% 80%  
530 1.1% 79%  
531 1.1% 78%  
532 0.8% 77%  
533 1.4% 76%  
534 2% 75%  
535 0.6% 73%  
536 1.4% 72%  
537 1.1% 71%  
538 1.4% 70%  
539 0.7% 69%  
540 1.2% 68%  
541 2% 67%  
542 2% 65%  
543 1.1% 63%  
544 2% 62%  
545 2% 60%  
546 1.1% 58%  
547 0.8% 57%  
548 1.1% 56%  
549 1.4% 55%  
550 2% 53%  
551 3% 51%  
552 2% 48% Median
553 1.2% 46%  
554 2% 45%  
555 1.1% 43%  
556 0.9% 42%  
557 1.2% 41%  
558 2% 40%  
559 1.3% 37%  
560 1.2% 36%  
561 2% 35%  
562 2% 33%  
563 1.0% 31%  
564 2% 30%  
565 1.1% 28%  
566 1.3% 26%  
567 1.4% 25%  
568 1.3% 24%  
569 2% 22%  
570 1.0% 21%  
571 1.0% 20%  
572 1.5% 19%  
573 2% 17%  
574 1.5% 15%  
575 2% 13%  
576 0.8% 11%  
577 0.8% 11%  
578 0.8% 10%  
579 0.8% 9%  
580 1.4% 8%  
581 0.4% 7%  
582 0.7% 6%  
583 0.4% 6%  
584 0.6% 5%  
585 1.1% 5%  
586 0.5% 4%  
587 0.4% 3%  
588 0.3% 3%  
589 0.3% 2%  
590 0.3% 2%  
591 0.3% 2%  
592 0.2% 2%  
593 0.2% 1.3%  
594 0.1% 1.1%  
595 0.3% 1.0%  
596 0.1% 0.7%  
597 0.1% 0.7%  
598 0.2% 0.6%  
599 0.1% 0.4%  
600 0.1% 0.4%  
601 0.1% 0.3%  
602 0% 0.2%  
603 0% 0.2%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0.1%  
606 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 100%  
441 0% 100%  
442 0% 100%  
443 0% 100%  
444 0% 100%  
445 0% 100%  
446 0% 100%  
447 0% 100%  
448 0% 100%  
449 0% 100%  
450 0% 100%  
451 0% 100%  
452 0% 100%  
453 0% 99.9%  
454 0% 99.9%  
455 0% 99.9%  
456 0% 99.9%  
457 0% 99.9%  
458 0% 99.9%  
459 0% 99.9%  
460 0% 99.9%  
461 0% 99.9%  
462 0% 99.8%  
463 0% 99.8%  
464 0% 99.8%  
465 0% 99.8%  
466 0% 99.7%  
467 0% 99.7%  
468 0% 99.7%  
469 0% 99.7%  
470 0% 99.6%  
471 0.1% 99.6%  
472 0.1% 99.5%  
473 0% 99.4%  
474 0.1% 99.3%  
475 0.1% 99.3%  
476 0.1% 99.2%  
477 0.1% 99.1%  
478 0.1% 99.0%  
479 0.3% 98.9%  
480 0.1% 98.6%  
481 0.1% 98%  
482 0.1% 98%  
483 0.3% 98%  
484 0.1% 98%  
485 0.2% 98%  
486 0.1% 98%  
487 0.2% 98%  
488 0.2% 97%  
489 0.3% 97%  
490 0.2% 97%  
491 0.4% 97%  
492 0.4% 96%  
493 0.2% 96%  
494 0.5% 96%  
495 0.3% 95%  
496 0.1% 95%  
497 0.3% 95%  
498 0.2% 94%  
499 0.2% 94%  
500 1.0% 94%  
501 0.4% 93%  
502 0.3% 93%  
503 0.3% 92%  
504 0.3% 92%  
505 0.2% 92%  
506 0.4% 92%  
507 1.0% 91%  
508 0.3% 90%  
509 0.2% 90%  
510 0.3% 90%  
511 0.5% 89%  
512 0.8% 89%  
513 0.7% 88%  
514 0.6% 87%  
515 0.5% 87%  
516 0.7% 86%  
517 0.2% 86%  
518 0.3% 85%  
519 0.3% 85%  
520 0.7% 85%  
521 0.5% 84%  
522 1.2% 84%  
523 1.0% 82%  
524 1.2% 81%  
525 0.3% 80%  
526 0.9% 80%  
527 0.9% 79%  
528 0.4% 78%  
529 0.8% 78%  
530 2% 77%  
531 0.9% 75%  
532 2% 74%  
533 1.1% 72%  
534 0.9% 71%  
535 0.9% 70%  
536 0.9% 69%  
537 1.4% 68%  
538 2% 67%  
539 1.1% 65%  
540 0.7% 64%  
541 3% 64%  
542 1.0% 61%  
543 1.4% 60%  
544 2% 58%  
545 2% 56%  
546 1.1% 54%  
547 2% 53%  
548 1.4% 51%  
549 3% 50% Median
550 0.7% 47%  
551 2% 46%  
552 2% 45%  
553 1.0% 42%  
554 1.3% 41%  
555 2% 40%  
556 2% 38%  
557 0.9% 36%  
558 1.4% 36%  
559 2% 34%  
560 2% 32%  
561 2% 31%  
562 2% 29%  
563 2% 27%  
564 1.0% 26%  
565 2% 25%  
566 0.8% 23%  
567 2% 22%  
568 1.0% 20%  
569 0.8% 19%  
570 1.4% 18%  
571 2% 16%  
572 0.9% 14%  
573 1.2% 13%  
574 2% 12%  
575 0.6% 10%  
576 0.6% 9%  
577 1.1% 9%  
578 0.7% 8%  
579 0.9% 7%  
580 0.8% 6%  
581 0.4% 5%  
582 0.6% 5%  
583 1.0% 4%  
584 0.4% 3%  
585 0.3% 3%  
586 0.5% 3%  
587 0.3% 2%  
588 0.2% 2%  
589 0.1% 2%  
590 0.2% 2%  
591 0.3% 1.3%  
592 0.2% 1.0%  
593 0.2% 0.9%  
594 0.1% 0.7%  
595 0.1% 0.6%  
596 0.1% 0.5%  
597 0.1% 0.4%  
598 0.1% 0.3%  
599 0.1% 0.3%  
600 0.1% 0.2%  
601 0% 0.1%  
602 0% 0.1%  
603 0% 0.1%  
604 0% 0.1%  
605 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.8%  
442 0% 99.8%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0% 99.7%  
445 0% 99.7%  
446 0% 99.7%  
447 0% 99.6%  
448 0.1% 99.6%  
449 0.1% 99.5%  
450 0% 99.5%  
451 0.2% 99.4%  
452 0.1% 99.3%  
453 0.1% 99.2%  
454 0.1% 99.2%  
455 0.1% 99.1%  
456 0.1% 99.0%  
457 0.1% 98.9%  
458 0.2% 98.8%  
459 0.1% 98.7%  
460 0.2% 98.6%  
461 0.1% 98%  
462 0.2% 98%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.1% 98%  
465 0.2% 98%  
466 0.2% 98%  
467 0.2% 97%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.2% 97%  
470 0.2% 97%  
471 0.4% 97%  
472 0.3% 96%  
473 0.3% 96%  
474 0.4% 96%  
475 0.2% 95%  
476 0.7% 95%  
477 0.3% 94%  
478 0.1% 94%  
479 0.3% 94%  
480 0.2% 94%  
481 0.8% 93%  
482 0.3% 93%  
483 0.4% 92%  
484 0.4% 92%  
485 0.4% 91%  
486 0.5% 91%  
487 0.7% 90%  
488 0.1% 90%  
489 0.7% 90%  
490 0.4% 89%  
491 0.4% 89%  
492 0.3% 88%  
493 0.6% 88%  
494 0.5% 87%  
495 0.7% 87%  
496 1.4% 86%  
497 0.4% 85%  
498 0.4% 84%  
499 0.7% 84%  
500 0.5% 83%  
501 0.4% 83%  
502 0.8% 82%  
503 0.6% 81%  
504 1.4% 81%  
505 0.6% 79%  
506 0.7% 79%  
507 1.4% 78%  
508 0.6% 77%  
509 1.0% 76%  
510 1.0% 75%  
511 0.9% 74%  
512 0.6% 73%  
513 3% 72%  
514 1.0% 70%  
515 1.2% 69%  
516 1.3% 68%  
517 3% 66%  
518 0.4% 64%  
519 0.8% 63%  
520 1.3% 62%  
521 1.1% 61%  
522 1.2% 60%  
523 2% 59%  
524 1.3% 57%  
525 2% 56%  
526 3% 54%  
527 0.5% 51%  
528 2% 51%  
529 1.5% 49% Median
530 2% 47%  
531 0.8% 45%  
532 1.3% 45%  
533 3% 43%  
534 1.4% 41%  
535 2% 40%  
536 1.3% 38%  
537 3% 37%  
538 0.5% 34%  
539 2% 33%  
540 1.2% 31%  
541 2% 30%  
542 1.3% 28%  
543 2% 27%  
544 0.8% 25%  
545 2% 24%  
546 2% 22%  
547 1.3% 21%  
548 2% 19%  
549 0.9% 18%  
550 1.3% 17%  
551 1.3% 15%  
552 0.9% 14%  
553 1.1% 13%  
554 0.5% 12%  
555 2% 12%  
556 1.4% 10%  
557 0.6% 8%  
558 1.4% 7%  
559 0.4% 6%  
560 0.2% 6%  
561 1.0% 5%  
562 0.5% 4%  
563 0.2% 4%  
564 0.4% 4%  
565 0.5% 3%  
566 0.4% 3%  
567 0.3% 2%  
568 0.3% 2%  
569 0.3% 2%  
570 0.2% 2%  
571 0.1% 1.3%  
572 0.3% 1.2%  
573 0.1% 0.9%  
574 0.1% 0.9%  
575 0.2% 0.7%  
576 0.1% 0.6%  
577 0.1% 0.5%  
578 0.1% 0.3%  
579 0% 0.3%  
580 0% 0.2%  
581 0% 0.2%  
582 0.1% 0.2%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0.1%  
585 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 99.9%  
429 0% 99.9%  
430 0% 99.9%  
431 0% 99.9%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.8%  
439 0% 99.8%  
440 0% 99.8%  
441 0% 99.7%  
442 0% 99.7%  
443 0% 99.7%  
444 0% 99.7%  
445 0.1% 99.6%  
446 0% 99.5%  
447 0% 99.5%  
448 0.1% 99.5%  
449 0.2% 99.4%  
450 0.1% 99.2%  
451 0.1% 99.2%  
452 0.1% 99.1%  
453 0.1% 99.0%  
454 0.1% 98.9%  
455 0.1% 98.8%  
456 0.1% 98.7%  
457 0.2% 98.6%  
458 0.1% 98%  
459 0.2% 98%  
460 0.1% 98%  
461 0.3% 98%  
462 0.1% 98%  
463 0.2% 98%  
464 0.3% 97%  
465 0.1% 97%  
466 0.1% 97%  
467 0.1% 97%  
468 0.3% 97%  
469 0.3% 96%  
470 0.5% 96%  
471 0.2% 96%  
472 0.3% 95%  
473 0.7% 95%  
474 0.2% 94%  
475 0.2% 94%  
476 0.2% 94%  
477 0.3% 94%  
478 0.4% 93%  
479 0.9% 93%  
480 0.5% 92%  
481 0.2% 92%  
482 0.4% 91%  
483 0.3% 91%  
484 0.6% 91%  
485 0.4% 90%  
486 0.8% 90%  
487 0.6% 89%  
488 0.3% 88%  
489 0.4% 88%  
490 0.2% 88%  
491 0.6% 88%  
492 0.7% 87%  
493 0.6% 86%  
494 0.4% 86%  
495 1.4% 85%  
496 0.5% 84%  
497 0.5% 83%  
498 0.6% 83%  
499 0.9% 82%  
500 0.8% 81%  
501 1.2% 81%  
502 0.2% 79%  
503 0.4% 79%  
504 2% 79%  
505 0.9% 77%  
506 0.6% 76%  
507 1.5% 75%  
508 0.7% 74%  
509 0.7% 73%  
510 2% 73%  
511 2% 71%  
512 2% 69%  
513 1.0% 68%  
514 0.6% 67%  
515 1.2% 66%  
516 1.2% 65%  
517 3% 63%  
518 0.6% 61%  
519 0.6% 60%  
520 0.8% 60%  
521 1.4% 59%  
522 2% 57%  
523 3% 55%  
524 2% 52%  
525 1.3% 51%  
526 2% 49% Median
527 1.2% 48%  
528 0.7% 46%  
529 1.4% 46%  
530 1.4% 44%  
531 3% 43%  
532 0.9% 40%  
533 3% 39%  
534 2% 36%  
535 1.4% 35%  
536 1.5% 33%  
537 2% 32%  
538 2% 30%  
539 2% 29%  
540 1.4% 27%  
541 1.1% 26%  
542 2% 25%  
543 1.4% 22%  
544 2% 21%  
545 0.7% 19%  
546 0.5% 18%  
547 1.3% 18%  
548 1.5% 17%  
549 0.7% 15%  
550 1.0% 14%  
551 1.2% 13%  
552 2% 12%  
553 0.8% 10%  
554 0.8% 9%  
555 1.5% 8%  
556 0.8% 7%  
557 0.5% 6%  
558 1.0% 6%  
559 0.4% 5%  
560 0.5% 4%  
561 0.5% 4%  
562 0.4% 3%  
563 0.2% 3%  
564 0.3% 3%  
565 0.2% 2%  
566 0.3% 2%  
567 0.3% 2%  
568 0.3% 2%  
569 0.2% 1.2%  
570 0.1% 1.0%  
571 0.1% 0.9%  
572 0.1% 0.8%  
573 0.2% 0.7%  
574 0.1% 0.5%  
575 0.1% 0.4%  
576 0.1% 0.3%  
577 0% 0.2%  
578 0% 0.2%  
579 0% 0.2%  
580 0% 0.1%  
581 0% 0.1%  
582 0% 0.1%  
583 0% 0.1%  
584 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.9%  
408 0% 99.9%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.8%  
412 0% 99.8%  
413 0% 99.8%  
414 0% 99.7%  
415 0% 99.7%  
416 0% 99.7%  
417 0.1% 99.6%  
418 0.1% 99.5%  
419 0.1% 99.5%  
420 0.2% 99.4%  
421 0.1% 99.2%  
422 0.1% 99.1%  
423 0.2% 99.0%  
424 0.1% 98.8%  
425 0.1% 98.7%  
426 0.2% 98.6%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.2% 98%  
429 0.1% 98%  
430 0.3% 98%  
431 0.3% 98%  
432 0.3% 97%  
433 0.3% 97%  
434 0.3% 97%  
435 0.4% 96%  
436 0.3% 96%  
437 0.3% 96%  
438 0.4% 95%  
439 1.0% 95%  
440 0.3% 94%  
441 0.3% 94%  
442 0.2% 93%  
443 0.4% 93%  
444 0.5% 93%  
445 0.5% 92%  
446 0.5% 92%  
447 0.8% 91%  
448 0.4% 90%  
449 0.1% 90%  
450 0.3% 90%  
451 0.5% 90%  
452 0.7% 89%  
453 1.2% 88%  
454 0.5% 87%  
455 0.5% 87%  
456 0.3% 86%  
457 0.4% 86%  
458 1.1% 86%  
459 0.7% 84%  
460 0.8% 84%  
461 0.5% 83%  
462 0.5% 83%  
463 1.2% 82%  
464 1.3% 81%  
465 0.7% 80%  
466 1.3% 79%  
467 0.9% 78%  
468 1.3% 77%  
469 0.8% 75%  
470 2% 75%  
471 0.8% 73%  
472 1.3% 72%  
473 3% 71%  
474 0.4% 68%  
475 3% 68%  
476 2% 65%  
477 2% 63%  
478 2% 61%  
479 1.3% 59%  
480 2% 58%  
481 1.2% 56%  
482 2% 55%  
483 2% 52%  
484 2% 51% Median
485 2% 49%  
486 1.3% 47%  
487 2% 45%  
488 3% 43%  
489 0.8% 40%  
490 3% 39%  
491 2% 37%  
492 2% 34%  
493 2% 33%  
494 2% 30%  
495 1.1% 29%  
496 1.2% 28%  
497 2% 26%  
498 2% 25%  
499 1.4% 22%  
500 1.3% 21%  
501 2% 20%  
502 1.5% 17%  
503 1.1% 16%  
504 1.4% 15%  
505 1.4% 13%  
506 2% 12%  
507 1.0% 10%  
508 0.9% 9%  
509 0.7% 8%  
510 0.7% 7%  
511 0.9% 7%  
512 0.5% 6%  
513 0.7% 5%  
514 1.1% 5%  
515 0.3% 4%  
516 1.0% 3%  
517 0.4% 2%  
518 0.3% 2%  
519 0.2% 2%  
520 0.2% 1.5%  
521 0.2% 1.3%  
522 0.1% 1.0%  
523 0.1% 1.0%  
524 0.2% 0.9%  
525 0% 0.6%  
526 0% 0.6%  
527 0.1% 0.5%  
528 0.1% 0.5%  
529 0.1% 0.3%  
530 0.1% 0.2%  
531 0.1% 0.2%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0.1%  
535 0% 0.1%  
536 0% 0.1%  
537 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 99.9%  
400 0% 99.9%  
401 0% 99.9%  
402 0% 99.9%  
403 0% 99.9%  
404 0% 99.9%  
405 0% 99.9%  
406 0% 99.9%  
407 0% 99.8%  
408 0% 99.8%  
409 0% 99.8%  
410 0% 99.8%  
411 0% 99.7%  
412 0% 99.7%  
413 0% 99.7%  
414 0.1% 99.6%  
415 0.1% 99.5%  
416 0.1% 99.5%  
417 0.1% 99.4%  
418 0.1% 99.3%  
419 0.2% 99.2%  
420 0.2% 99.1%  
421 0.2% 98.9%  
422 0.2% 98.7%  
423 0.1% 98.5%  
424 0.1% 98%  
425 0.2% 98%  
426 0.1% 98%  
427 0.2% 98%  
428 0.4% 98%  
429 0.3% 97%  
430 0.3% 97%  
431 0.3% 97%  
432 0.4% 96%  
433 0.3% 96%  
434 0.5% 96%  
435 0.3% 95%  
436 0.2% 95%  
437 0.9% 95%  
438 0.4% 94%  
439 0.4% 93%  
440 0.4% 93%  
441 0.3% 93%  
442 0.3% 92%  
443 0.7% 92%  
444 0.5% 91%  
445 0.5% 91%  
446 0.2% 90%  
447 0.5% 90%  
448 0.4% 90%  
449 0.7% 89%  
450 0.8% 88%  
451 0.6% 88%  
452 0.6% 87%  
453 0.4% 86%  
454 0.6% 86%  
455 0.4% 85%  
456 1.2% 85%  
457 0.7% 84%  
458 0.5% 83%  
459 0.8% 83%  
460 0.6% 82%  
461 0.6% 81%  
462 0.7% 81%  
463 2% 80%  
464 1.4% 78%  
465 1.0% 77%  
466 0.9% 76%  
467 1.2% 75%  
468 1.3% 74%  
469 0.9% 72%  
470 3% 71%  
471 0.8% 69%  
472 2% 68%  
473 1.4% 66%  
474 2% 65%  
475 1.1% 62%  
476 2% 61%  
477 2% 59%  
478 2% 57%  
479 2% 55%  
480 2% 53%  
481 2% 51% Median
482 1.3% 49%  
483 2% 47%  
484 2% 46%  
485 3% 44%  
486 1.4% 41%  
487 2% 40%  
488 3% 38%  
489 1.4% 35%  
490 2% 34%  
491 3% 32%  
492 0.9% 29%  
493 3% 29%  
494 1.4% 26%  
495 0.7% 25%  
496 2% 24%  
497 1.4% 22%  
498 2% 21%  
499 0.8% 19%  
500 2% 18%  
501 2% 16%  
502 0.9% 14%  
503 1.4% 13%  
504 2% 11%  
505 0.7% 10%  
506 0.7% 9%  
507 0.7% 8%  
508 1.1% 7%  
509 0.8% 6%  
510 0.7% 6%  
511 0.8% 5%  
512 0.5% 4%  
513 0.7% 4%  
514 0.9% 3%  
515 0.2% 2%  
516 0.2% 2%  
517 0.2% 2%  
518 0.2% 1.4%  
519 0.2% 1.3%  
520 0.2% 1.1%  
521 0.1% 0.9%  
522 0.1% 0.8%  
523 0% 0.6%  
524 0.1% 0.6%  
525 0% 0.5%  
526 0.1% 0.4%  
527 0.1% 0.3%  
528 0.1% 0.2%  
529 0% 0.2%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0.1%  
534 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.8%  
387 0% 99.8%  
388 0% 99.7%  
389 0% 99.7%  
390 0.1% 99.7%  
391 0% 99.6%  
392 0% 99.6%  
393 0% 99.5%  
394 0.1% 99.5%  
395 0.1% 99.4%  
396 0.2% 99.3%  
397 0.2% 99.1%  
398 0.1% 99.0%  
399 0.1% 98.9%  
400 0.1% 98.9%  
401 0.1% 98.7%  
402 0.2% 98.6%  
403 0.2% 98%  
404 0.3% 98%  
405 0.2% 98%  
406 0.2% 98%  
407 0.1% 98%  
408 0.2% 97%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.5% 97%  
411 0.2% 96%  
412 0.3% 96%  
413 0.2% 96%  
414 0.2% 96%  
415 0.6% 96%  
416 0.6% 95%  
417 0.5% 94%  
418 0.9% 94%  
419 0.4% 93%  
420 0.5% 93%  
421 0.4% 92%  
422 0.3% 92%  
423 0.6% 91%  
424 0.2% 91%  
425 0.8% 91%  
426 0.5% 90%  
427 0.2% 89%  
428 0.5% 89%  
429 0.3% 89%  
430 0.4% 88%  
431 0.5% 88%  
432 1.1% 87%  
433 0.6% 86%  
434 0.7% 86%  
435 0.5% 85%  
436 0.8% 85%  
437 2% 84%  
438 1.1% 82%  
439 1.0% 81%  
440 0.7% 80%  
441 1.1% 79%  
442 1.1% 78%  
443 1.2% 77%  
444 0.9% 76%  
445 0.8% 75%  
446 0.9% 74%  
447 1.0% 73%  
448 2% 72%  
449 0.7% 70%  
450 3% 70%  
451 1.4% 67%  
452 1.0% 66%  
453 1.2% 65%  
454 2% 63%  
455 1.1% 62%  
456 3% 60%  
457 1.4% 58%  
458 1.3% 56%  
459 3% 55%  
460 1.2% 52%  
461 2% 51% Median
462 2% 49%  
463 3% 47%  
464 2% 44%  
465 1.2% 42%  
466 1.1% 41%  
467 3% 40%  
468 2% 36%  
469 3% 35%  
470 2% 32%  
471 1.1% 30%  
472 1.1% 29%  
473 1.2% 28%  
474 2% 27%  
475 2% 25%  
476 1.4% 22%  
477 2% 21%  
478 1.4% 19%  
479 1.2% 18%  
480 0.4% 17%  
481 1.2% 16%  
482 2% 15%  
483 2% 13%  
484 0.9% 11%  
485 0.6% 10%  
486 0.8% 9%  
487 0.9% 8%  
488 1.3% 7%  
489 0.7% 6%  
490 1.1% 5%  
491 0.8% 4%  
492 0.3% 4%  
493 0.3% 3%  
494 0.7% 3%  
495 0.1% 2%  
496 0.4% 2%  
497 0.3% 2%  
498 0.1% 1.5%  
499 0.1% 1.4%  
500 0.2% 1.2%  
501 0.2% 1.0%  
502 0.1% 0.7%  
503 0.1% 0.6%  
504 0.1% 0.5%  
505 0.1% 0.5%  
506 0% 0.3%  
507 0% 0.3%  
508 0.1% 0.3%  
509 0% 0.2%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0.1%  
514 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.8%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.7%  
386 0% 99.7%  
387 0% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0% 99.5%  
391 0% 99.5%  
392 0.1% 99.4%  
393 0.1% 99.3%  
394 0.2% 99.2%  
395 0.1% 99.0%  
396 0.1% 99.0%  
397 0.1% 98.9%  
398 0.1% 98.7%  
399 0.3% 98.6%  
400 0.1% 98%  
401 0.2% 98%  
402 0.2% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.2% 97%  
406 0.2% 97%  
407 0.2% 97%  
408 0.2% 97%  
409 0.3% 97%  
410 0.4% 96%  
411 0.1% 96%  
412 0.5% 96%  
413 0.4% 95%  
414 0.4% 95%  
415 0.8% 94%  
416 1.0% 94%  
417 0.3% 93%  
418 0.5% 92%  
419 0.8% 92%  
420 0.5% 91%  
421 0.5% 91%  
422 0.6% 90%  
423 0.1% 89%  
424 0.3% 89%  
425 0.2% 89%  
426 0.3% 89%  
427 0.4% 89%  
428 0.6% 88%  
429 0.3% 88%  
430 1.0% 87%  
431 0.8% 86%  
432 0.5% 86%  
433 0.8% 85%  
434 2% 84%  
435 0.7% 83%  
436 2% 82%  
437 0.7% 80%  
438 0.9% 79%  
439 1.5% 78%  
440 0.6% 77%  
441 1.2% 76%  
442 1.0% 75%  
443 1.5% 74%  
444 0.8% 72%  
445 0.8% 72%  
446 0.8% 71%  
447 1.4% 70%  
448 0.6% 69%  
449 2% 68%  
450 2% 66%  
451 2% 64%  
452 2% 63%  
453 0.9% 60%  
454 2% 59%  
455 2% 57%  
456 2% 55%  
457 2% 53%  
458 1.4% 51% Median
459 1.4% 50%  
460 3% 48%  
461 1.4% 45%  
462 1.4% 43%  
463 2% 42%  
464 2% 40%  
465 1.4% 38%  
466 2% 36%  
467 3% 35%  
468 2% 31%  
469 1.3% 29%  
470 0.9% 28%  
471 3% 27%  
472 2% 24%  
473 1.4% 23%  
474 0.7% 21%  
475 2% 21%  
476 1.0% 19%  
477 0.8% 18%  
478 1.5% 17%  
479 1.1% 16%  
480 2% 14%  
481 1.4% 12%  
482 0.8% 11%  
483 1.1% 10%  
484 0.8% 9%  
485 1.3% 8%  
486 0.9% 7%  
487 0.8% 6%  
488 0.3% 5%  
489 1.1% 5%  
490 0.6% 4%  
491 0.5% 3%  
492 0.3% 2%  
493 0.1% 2%  
494 0.2% 2%  
495 0.3% 2%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.2% 1.3%  
498 0.1% 1.1%  
499 0.2% 1.0%  
500 0.2% 0.8%  
501 0.1% 0.6%  
502 0.1% 0.5%  
503 0.1% 0.4%  
504 0.1% 0.3%  
505 0% 0.3%  
506 0% 0.2%  
507 0% 0.2%  
508 0% 0.2%  
509 0% 0.1%  
510 0% 0.1%  
511 0% 0.1%  
512 0% 0.1%  
513 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
87 0% 100%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0.1% 99.8%  
93 0.1% 99.8%  
94 0.1% 99.7%  
95 0.2% 99.5%  
96 0.1% 99.4%  
97 0.1% 99.3%  
98 0.1% 99.1%  
99 0.2% 99.0%  
100 0.1% 98.8%  
101 0.3% 98.6%  
102 0.3% 98%  
103 0.2% 98%  
104 0.4% 98%  
105 0.7% 98%  
106 0.3% 97%  
107 1.2% 96%  
108 1.1% 95%  
109 0.8% 94%  
110 0.9% 93%  
111 0.9% 92%  
112 2% 92%  
113 2% 90%  
114 1.3% 88%  
115 1.4% 87%  
116 2% 85%  
117 4% 84%  
118 2% 80%  
119 2% 78%  
120 2% 76%  
121 1.3% 74%  
122 3% 73%  
123 0.8% 70%  
124 1.0% 69%  
125 2% 68%  
126 1.0% 67%  
127 2% 66%  
128 1.2% 63%  
129 2% 62%  
130 2% 60%  
131 2% 57%  
132 1.5% 56%  
133 3% 54%  
134 1.0% 51% Median
135 4% 50%  
136 1.3% 46%  
137 2% 44%  
138 2% 42%  
139 4% 40%  
140 1.0% 35%  
141 2% 34%  
142 2% 32%  
143 2% 30%  
144 0.5% 28%  
145 1.2% 27%  
146 1.2% 26%  
147 1.5% 25%  
148 1.4% 23%  
149 1.3% 22%  
150 2% 21%  
151 0.7% 19%  
152 1.0% 18%  
153 1.1% 17%  
154 0.4% 16%  
155 0.6% 16%  
156 1.1% 15%  
157 0.3% 14%  
158 0.2% 14%  
159 0.4% 14%  
160 0.2% 13%  
161 0.2% 13%  
162 0.4% 13%  
163 0.6% 12%  
164 0.4% 12%  
165 0.6% 11%  
166 0.5% 11%  
167 0.7% 10%  
168 0.7% 9%  
169 0.2% 9%  
170 1.4% 9%  
171 0.3% 7%  
172 0.3% 7%  
173 0.3% 7%  
174 0.4% 6%  
175 0.3% 6%  
176 0.2% 5%  
177 0.5% 5%  
178 0.6% 5%  
179 0.7% 4%  
180 0.3% 4%  
181 0.3% 3%  
182 0.1% 3%  
183 0.4% 3%  
184 0.4% 2%  
185 0.3% 2%  
186 0.3% 2%  
187 0.1% 2%  
188 0.1% 1.4%  
189 0.2% 1.3%  
190 0.2% 1.1%  
191 0.2% 0.9%  
192 0.1% 0.7%  
193 0.1% 0.6%  
194 0.1% 0.6%  
195 0.1% 0.5%  
196 0.1% 0.4%  
197 0% 0.4%  
198 0% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.3%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0.1%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0.1%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.7%  
47 0.1% 99.6%  
48 0.1% 99.5%  
49 0.2% 99.3%  
50 0.3% 99.2%  
51 0.2% 98.9%  
52 0.3% 98.8%  
53 0.3% 98%  
54 0.1% 98%  
55 0.4% 98%  
56 0.5% 98%  
57 0.3% 97%  
58 0.5% 97%  
59 0.5% 96%  
60 0.7% 96%  
61 0.5% 95%  
62 0.9% 95%  
63 0.5% 94%  
64 0.8% 93%  
65 1.1% 92%  
66 0.9% 91%  
67 2% 90%  
68 2% 88%  
69 2% 87%  
70 0.3% 84%  
71 1.3% 84%  
72 2% 83%  
73 2% 81%  
74 1.3% 79%  
75 1.2% 78%  
76 1.2% 77%  
77 0.8% 76%  
78 2% 75%  
79 1.3% 73%  
80 2% 71%  
81 2% 69%  
82 2% 67%  
83 1.4% 65%  
84 1.3% 64%  
85 1.2% 62%  
86 2% 61%  
87 2% 59%  
88 1.3% 57%  
89 1.2% 55%  
90 2% 54%  
91 1.1% 52%  
92 4% 51% Median
93 2% 47%  
94 2% 45%  
95 2% 44%  
96 1.0% 42%  
97 1.1% 41%  
98 1.3% 40%  
99 2% 39%  
100 2% 36%  
101 1.0% 35%  
102 1.3% 34%  
103 1.2% 32%  
104 1.1% 31%  
105 1.1% 30%  
106 1.1% 29%  
107 1.4% 28%  
108 0.3% 27%  
109 0.7% 26%  
110 2% 26%  
111 1.4% 24%  
112 0.9% 23%  
113 0.4% 22%  
114 0.9% 21%  
115 0.8% 20%  
116 0.9% 19%  
117 1.1% 19%  
118 0.9% 17%  
119 1.3% 17%  
120 0.8% 15%  
121 0.4% 14%  
122 0.3% 14%  
123 0.4% 14%  
124 0.4% 13%  
125 0.5% 13%  
126 0.3% 12%  
127 0.5% 12%  
128 0.4% 12%  
129 0.7% 11%  
130 1.1% 10%  
131 0.4% 9%  
132 0.2% 9%  
133 0.2% 9%  
134 0.3% 8%  
135 0.6% 8%  
136 0.4% 7%  
137 0.6% 7%  
138 0.4% 7%  
139 0.2% 6%  
140 0.5% 6%  
141 0.4% 5%  
142 0.4% 5%  
143 0.2% 5%  
144 0.2% 4%  
145 0.3% 4%  
146 0.1% 4%  
147 0.3% 4%  
148 0.3% 3%  
149 0.3% 3%  
150 0.2% 3%  
151 0.2% 3%  
152 0.4% 3%  
153 0.3% 2%  
154 0.1% 2%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.1% 2%  
157 0.1% 1.5%  
158 0.1% 1.3%  
159 0.1% 1.2%  
160 0.1% 1.1%  
161 0.1% 0.9%  
162 0.1% 0.8%  
163 0.1% 0.8%  
164 0.1% 0.7%  
165 0% 0.6%  
166 0% 0.6%  
167 0% 0.5%  
168 0.1% 0.5%  
169 0% 0.4%  
170 0.1% 0.4%  
171 0% 0.3%  
172 0% 0.3%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.2%  
176 0% 0.2%  
177 0% 0.2%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0.1%  
185 0% 0.1%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.1% 99.8%  
42 0.1% 99.8%  
43 0.1% 99.7%  
44 0.1% 99.6%  
45 0.1% 99.6%  
46 0.2% 99.5%  
47 0.1% 99.3%  
48 0.3% 99.2%  
49 0.2% 98.8%  
50 0.2% 98.7%  
51 0.4% 98%  
52 0.2% 98%  
53 0.2% 98%  
54 0.5% 98%  
55 0.7% 97%  
56 0.3% 97%  
57 0.8% 96%  
58 0.5% 95%  
59 0.8% 95%  
60 0.6% 94%  
61 0.7% 94%  
62 1.3% 93%  
63 0.4% 92%  
64 1.2% 91%  
65 1.4% 90%  
66 2% 89%  
67 2% 87%  
68 1.1% 85%  
69 2% 83%  
70 2% 82%  
71 0.9% 80%  
72 2% 79%  
73 1.1% 77%  
74 0.7% 76%  
75 2% 75%  
76 2% 73%  
77 1.4% 71%  
78 3% 70%  
79 1.2% 67%  
80 2% 66%  
81 1.1% 64%  
82 2% 63%  
83 2% 62%  
84 3% 60%  
85 1.2% 57%  
86 2% 56%  
87 1.4% 54%  
88 0.8% 53%  
89 2% 52% Median
90 3% 50%  
91 3% 47%  
92 2% 44%  
93 1.0% 42%  
94 1.3% 41%  
95 1.0% 40%  
96 0.9% 39%  
97 2% 38%  
98 1.4% 36%  
99 2% 35%  
100 0.6% 32%  
101 0.9% 32%  
102 2% 31%  
103 1.3% 29%  
104 0.8% 28%  
105 0.6% 27%  
106 0.5% 26%  
107 0.8% 26%  
108 2% 25%  
109 0.6% 23%  
110 0.9% 22%  
111 0.7% 21%  
112 0.5% 20%  
113 0.5% 20%  
114 2% 19%  
115 0.9% 18%  
116 0.7% 17%  
117 0.7% 16%  
118 1.1% 15%  
119 0.6% 14%  
120 0.3% 14%  
121 0.5% 13%  
122 0.5% 13%  
123 0.4% 12%  
124 0.5% 12%  
125 0.2% 12%  
126 0.6% 11%  
127 0.9% 11%  
128 0.8% 10%  
129 0.2% 9%  
130 0.4% 9%  
131 0.6% 8%  
132 0.5% 8%  
133 0.1% 7%  
134 0.3% 7%  
135 0.4% 7%  
136 0.5% 6%  
137 0.5% 6%  
138 0.2% 6%  
139 0.5% 5%  
140 0.4% 5%  
141 0.3% 4%  
142 0.2% 4%  
143 0.3% 4%  
144 0.3% 4%  
145 0.2% 3%  
146 0.3% 3%  
147 0.2% 3%  
148 0.3% 3%  
149 0.2% 2%  
150 0.2% 2%  
151 0.1% 2%  
152 0.3% 2%  
153 0.1% 2%  
154 0.1% 1.5%  
155 0.2% 1.4%  
156 0.1% 1.2%  
157 0.1% 1.1%  
158 0.2% 1.1%  
159 0.1% 0.8%  
160 0.1% 0.7%  
161 0.1% 0.7%  
162 0.1% 0.6%  
163 0% 0.5%  
164 0.1% 0.5%  
165 0.1% 0.5%  
166 0% 0.4%  
167 0.1% 0.4%  
168 0% 0.3%  
169 0% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.2%  
173 0% 0.2%  
174 0% 0.2%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0.1%  
178 0% 0.1%  
179 0% 0.1%  
180 0% 0.1%  
181 0% 0.1%  
182 0% 0.1%  
183 0% 0.1%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 99.9%  
20 0.1% 99.9%  
21 0.1% 99.9%  
22 0.1% 99.8%  
23 0.1% 99.7%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.1% 99.6%  
26 0.1% 99.5%  
27 0.2% 99.4%  
28 0.2% 99.2%  
29 0.3% 99.0%  
30 0.2% 98.7%  
31 0.2% 98.6%  
32 0.3% 98%  
33 0.4% 98%  
34 0.2% 98%  
35 0.3% 97%  
36 0.7% 97%  
37 0.7% 96%  
38 0.7% 96%  
39 0.9% 95%  
40 1.0% 94%  
41 0.9% 93%  
42 1.3% 92%  
43 2% 91%  
44 1.1% 89%  
45 0.7% 88%  
46 0.9% 87%  
47 2% 87%  
48 2% 85%  
49 2% 83%  
50 1.2% 81%  
51 2% 80%  
52 2% 78%  
53 1.0% 75%  
54 0.9% 74%  
55 1.3% 73%  
56 2% 72%  
57 1.4% 70%  
58 0.7% 69%  
59 1.5% 68%  
60 2% 67%  
61 2% 65%  
62 3% 63%  
63 2% 60%  
64 1.2% 58%  
65 1.0% 57%  
66 2% 56%  
67 2% 54%  
68 2% 53%  
69 2% 51% Median
70 1.2% 49%  
71 2% 47%  
72 2% 46%  
73 2% 44%  
74 2% 41%  
75 1.4% 40%  
76 2% 38%  
77 3% 37%  
78 1.1% 33%  
79 1.2% 32%  
80 0.7% 31%  
81 0.7% 30%  
82 1.2% 30%  
83 1.4% 28%  
84 1.3% 27%  
85 0.7% 26%  
86 2% 25%  
87 0.3% 23%  
88 1.0% 23%  
89 2% 22%  
90 0.5% 20%  
91 0.6% 20%  
92 1.4% 19%  
93 0.4% 18%  
94 0.9% 17%  
95 0.6% 16%  
96 0.9% 16%  
97 0.8% 15%  
98 0.6% 14%  
99 0.5% 13%  
100 0.5% 13%  
101 0.4% 12%  
102 0.3% 12%  
103 0.2% 12%  
104 0.4% 12%  
105 0.3% 11%  
106 0.5% 11%  
107 0.3% 10%  
108 0.4% 10%  
109 1.1% 10%  
110 0.5% 8%  
111 0.3% 8%  
112 0.2% 8%  
113 0.2% 7%  
114 0.4% 7%  
115 0.5% 7%  
116 0.2% 6%  
117 0.7% 6%  
118 0.4% 5%  
119 0.3% 5%  
120 0.3% 5%  
121 0.3% 4%  
122 0.1% 4%  
123 0.2% 4%  
124 0.1% 4%  
125 0.2% 4%  
126 0.3% 3%  
127 0.4% 3%  
128 0.4% 3%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.3% 2%  
131 0.3% 2%  
132 0.1% 2%  
133 0.1% 1.5%  
134 0.1% 1.4%  
135 0.1% 1.2%  
136 0.2% 1.2%  
137 0.2% 1.0%  
138 0.1% 0.8%  
139 0.1% 0.7%  
140 0.1% 0.7%  
141 0% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.5%  
143 0% 0.4%  
144 0.1% 0.4%  
145 0.1% 0.4%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.3%  
148 0% 0.3%  
149 0% 0.3%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.2%  
153 0% 0.2%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0.1%  
161 0% 0.1%  
162 0% 0.1%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.1% 99.8%  
20 0.1% 99.8%  
21 0% 99.7%  
22 0.1% 99.7%  
23 0.1% 99.6%  
24 0.1% 99.4%  
25 0.2% 99.3%  
26 0.1% 99.1%  
27 0.2% 98.9%  
28 0.3% 98.8%  
29 0.2% 98%  
30 0.3% 98%  
31 0.3% 98%  
32 0.5% 98%  
33 0.4% 97%  
34 0.3% 97%  
35 1.0% 96%  
36 0.7% 95%  
37 0.7% 95%  
38 0.8% 94%  
39 2% 93%  
40 1.2% 91%  
41 0.8% 90%  
42 1.1% 89%  
43 0.7% 88%  
44 2% 87%  
45 2% 86%  
46 0.9% 84%  
47 2% 83%  
48 3% 81%  
49 2% 78%  
50 2% 76%  
51 2% 75%  
52 0.6% 73%  
53 1.1% 73%  
54 2% 71%  
55 0.6% 69%  
56 1.3% 69%  
57 2% 67%  
58 1.3% 65%  
59 3% 64%  
60 1.0% 61%  
61 2% 60%  
62 2% 58%  
63 1.4% 56%  
64 1.1% 54%  
65 2% 53%  
66 2% 52% Median
67 0.8% 49%  
68 1.3% 49%  
69 3% 47%  
70 0.9% 45%  
71 2% 44%  
72 5% 42%  
73 2% 38%  
74 1.2% 35%  
75 0.7% 34%  
76 2% 34%  
77 1.2% 32%  
78 1.4% 31%  
79 0.7% 29%  
80 1.4% 28%  
81 0.7% 27%  
82 0.8% 26%  
83 1.5% 25%  
84 0.7% 24%  
85 1.1% 23%  
86 0.8% 22%  
87 2% 21%  
88 0.5% 20%  
89 0.3% 19%  
90 1.0% 19%  
91 1.5% 18%  
92 0.6% 16%  
93 0.7% 16%  
94 0.6% 15%  
95 0.7% 14%  
96 0.5% 14%  
97 0.6% 13%  
98 0.6% 13%  
99 0.2% 12%  
100 0.2% 12%  
101 0.4% 12%  
102 0.4% 11%  
103 0.5% 11%  
104 0.3% 10%  
105 0.5% 10%  
106 0.5% 10%  
107 0.8% 9%  
108 0.5% 8%  
109 0.3% 8%  
110 0.3% 7%  
111 0.3% 7%  
112 0.6% 7%  
113 0.3% 6%  
114 0.6% 6%  
115 0.3% 5%  
116 0.4% 5%  
117 0.3% 5%  
118 0.3% 5%  
119 0.1% 4%  
120 0.1% 4%  
121 0.2% 4%  
122 0.2% 4%  
123 0.2% 4%  
124 0.4% 3%  
125 0.3% 3%  
126 0.3% 3%  
127 0.3% 2%  
128 0.3% 2%  
129 0.2% 2%  
130 0.1% 1.5%  
131 0.1% 1.4%  
132 0.1% 1.3%  
133 0.3% 1.2%  
134 0.1% 1.0%  
135 0.1% 0.9%  
136 0.1% 0.8%  
137 0.1% 0.6%  
138 0% 0.6%  
139 0% 0.5%  
140 0% 0.5%  
141 0.1% 0.5%  
142 0.1% 0.4%  
143 0% 0.3%  
144 0% 0.3%  
145 0% 0.3%  
146 0% 0.3%  
147 0% 0.2%  
148 0% 0.2%  
149 0% 0.2%  
150 0% 0.2%  
151 0% 0.2%  
152 0% 0.1%  
153 0% 0.1%  
154 0% 0.1%  
155 0% 0.1%  
156 0% 0.1%  
157 0% 0.1%  
158 0% 0.1%  
159 0% 0.1%  
160 0% 0%  
161 0% 0%  
162 0% 0%  
163 0% 0%  
164 0% 0%  
165 0% 0%  
166 0% 0%  
167 0% 0%  
168 0% 0%  
169 0% 0%  
170 0% 0%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations