Opinion Poll by Verian, 1 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 40.3% 38.8–41.7% 38.4–42.1% 38.1–42.5% 37.4–43.2%
Conservative Party 43.6% 23.5% 22.2–24.7% 21.9–25.1% 21.6–25.4% 21.0–26.0%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 14.6% 13.6–15.6% 13.3–15.9% 13.0–16.2% 12.6–16.8%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.8% 7.1–8.6% 6.9–8.9% 6.7–9.1% 6.3–9.5%
Green Party 2.8% 6.1% 5.5–6.9% 5.3–7.1% 5.1–7.3% 4.8–7.7%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 3.4% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 355 336–375 331–380 326–385 316–395
Conservative Party 365 139 116–159 110–165 106–171 95–181
Liberal Democrats 11 64 55–73 54–74 52–75 48–78
Brexit Party 0 20 18–23 16–25 14–26 12–28
Green Party 1 3 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
Scottish National Party 48 43 38–51 35–52 33–52 28–53
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.2% 99.4%  
318 0.1% 99.3%  
319 0.1% 99.1%  
320 0.2% 99.0%  
321 0.2% 98.8%  
322 0.3% 98.7%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.3% 98%  
326 0.3% 98% Majority
327 0.4% 97%  
328 0.3% 97%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.4% 96%  
331 0.9% 96%  
332 0.9% 95%  
333 0.4% 94%  
334 1.1% 93%  
335 1.1% 92%  
336 1.4% 91%  
337 2% 90%  
338 2% 87%  
339 1.2% 86%  
340 1.4% 85%  
341 2% 83%  
342 2% 81%  
343 2% 79%  
344 1.2% 77%  
345 3% 75%  
346 3% 73%  
347 2% 70%  
348 3% 68%  
349 3% 64%  
350 2% 61%  
351 1.0% 59%  
352 3% 58%  
353 3% 55%  
354 1.5% 52%  
355 4% 50% Median
356 1.3% 46%  
357 3% 45%  
358 2% 42%  
359 2% 40%  
360 2% 38%  
361 2% 37%  
362 2% 34%  
363 1.4% 32%  
364 2% 31%  
365 3% 28%  
366 3% 26%  
367 1.4% 23%  
368 2% 22%  
369 2% 20%  
370 1.5% 18%  
371 2% 16%  
372 0.9% 14%  
373 0.8% 13%  
374 1.4% 12%  
375 1.3% 11%  
376 1.4% 10%  
377 0.8% 8%  
378 1.0% 7%  
379 0.8% 6%  
380 1.0% 6%  
381 0.8% 5%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.2% 3%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.2% 1.3%  
390 0.1% 1.1%  
391 0.1% 1.0%  
392 0.1% 0.9%  
393 0.1% 0.8%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.1% 99.5%  
96 0.1% 99.5%  
97 0.1% 99.4%  
98 0.1% 99.3%  
99 0.1% 99.2%  
100 0.2% 99.1%  
101 0.2% 98.9%  
102 0.1% 98.8%  
103 0.1% 98.6%  
104 0.3% 98.5%  
105 0.5% 98%  
106 0.6% 98%  
107 0.3% 97%  
108 0.4% 97%  
109 0.7% 96%  
110 1.2% 96%  
111 0.5% 95%  
112 0.9% 94%  
113 0.9% 93%  
114 1.1% 92%  
115 1.1% 91%  
116 0.9% 90%  
117 1.3% 89%  
118 2% 88%  
119 0.6% 86%  
120 2% 85%  
121 2% 83%  
122 1.5% 81%  
123 2% 79%  
124 1.1% 78%  
125 4% 77%  
126 2% 73%  
127 1.3% 71%  
128 1.0% 69%  
129 1.2% 68%  
130 1.4% 67%  
131 2% 66%  
132 2% 63%  
133 2% 62%  
134 1.4% 60%  
135 1.2% 59%  
136 2% 57%  
137 2% 56%  
138 1.3% 53%  
139 2% 52% Median
140 2% 50%  
141 3% 48%  
142 2% 45%  
143 2% 43%  
144 3% 42%  
145 2% 39%  
146 3% 37%  
147 3% 34%  
148 2% 31%  
149 3% 29%  
150 2% 26%  
151 1.3% 25%  
152 2% 23%  
153 2% 21%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 2% 15%  
157 1.0% 14%  
158 1.2% 13%  
159 2% 11%  
160 1.1% 10%  
161 1.3% 9%  
162 0.6% 7%  
163 1.1% 7%  
164 0.5% 6%  
165 0.8% 5%  
166 0.5% 4%  
167 0.3% 4%  
168 0.4% 3%  
169 0.2% 3%  
170 0.2% 3%  
171 0.4% 3%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 1.5%  
176 0.2% 1.3%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.9%  
179 0.2% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0% 100%  
34 0% 100%  
35 0% 100%  
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.1% 99.9%  
46 0.1% 99.8%  
47 0.2% 99.7%  
48 0.2% 99.6%  
49 0.1% 99.4%  
50 0.1% 99.2%  
51 1.2% 99.1%  
52 0.8% 98%  
53 0.7% 97%  
54 5% 96%  
55 2% 91%  
56 2% 88%  
57 5% 86%  
58 2% 81%  
59 3% 79%  
60 1.5% 76%  
61 4% 74%  
62 9% 70%  
63 7% 61%  
64 6% 54% Median
65 14% 47%  
66 1.3% 33%  
67 6% 31%  
68 2% 26%  
69 2% 23%  
70 3% 22%  
71 2% 19%  
72 3% 17%  
73 7% 14%  
74 4% 7%  
75 0.8% 3%  
76 0.4% 2%  
77 0.3% 2%  
78 0.9% 1.3%  
79 0.4% 0.4%  
80 0% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 0% 99.8%  
9 0% 99.8%  
10 0% 99.7%  
11 0.2% 99.7%  
12 0.5% 99.5%  
13 0.8% 99.0%  
14 2% 98%  
15 0.3% 96%  
16 1.4% 96%  
17 0.8% 94%  
18 6% 93%  
19 16% 88%  
20 34% 72% Median
21 22% 37%  
22 1.4% 15%  
23 7% 14%  
24 1.4% 7%  
25 1.4% 5%  
26 3% 4%  
27 0.2% 1.1%  
28 0.7% 0.9%  
29 0% 0.2%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 13% 100% Last Result
2 10% 87%  
3 78% 78% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 99.9%  
22 0% 99.9%  
23 0% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.8%  
26 0.1% 99.7%  
27 0.1% 99.6%  
28 0.2% 99.5%  
29 0.2% 99.3%  
30 0.3% 99.1%  
31 0.6% 98.8%  
32 0.5% 98%  
33 0.6% 98%  
34 2% 97%  
35 0.3% 95%  
36 4% 95%  
37 0.7% 91%  
38 6% 90%  
39 2% 84%  
40 7% 82%  
41 16% 75%  
42 0.4% 60%  
43 11% 59% Median
44 0.2% 48%  
45 4% 48%  
46 2% 43%  
47 3% 42%  
48 12% 39% Last Result
49 8% 27%  
50 9% 19%  
51 4% 10%  
52 5% 7%  
53 1.0% 1.2%  
54 0.1% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.2%  
56 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.9% 100% Last Result
5 81% 99.1% Median
6 15% 18%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 470 100% 450–493 444–498 438–503 427–514
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 467 100% 448–490 442–495 435–500 425–512
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 462 100% 442–485 437–490 430–495 420–507
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 423 100% 401–448 396–454 389–458 377–471
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 417 100% 396–443 391–448 384–453 372–466
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 403 100% 389–422 382–426 378–430 370–440
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 398 100% 383–417 377–421 372–425 364–435
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 360 98.9% 341–380 336–385 331–390 321–400
Labour Party 202 355 98% 336–375 331–380 326–385 316–395
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 204 0% 184–218 181–224 177–228 167–236
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 189 0% 163–211 157–216 153–222 141–233
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 184 0% 158–205 152–210 148–217 135–227
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 145 0% 121–165 115–170 111–176 100–186
Conservative Party 365 139 0% 116–159 110–165 106–171 95–181

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0% 99.9%  
421 0% 99.9%  
422 0% 99.8%  
423 0% 99.8%  
424 0% 99.7%  
425 0% 99.7%  
426 0.1% 99.7%  
427 0.1% 99.6%  
428 0.1% 99.4%  
429 0.1% 99.3%  
430 0.2% 99.3%  
431 0.1% 99.1%  
432 0.2% 99.0%  
433 0.2% 98.8%  
434 0.3% 98.6%  
435 0.3% 98%  
436 0.2% 98%  
437 0.3% 98%  
438 0.4% 98%  
439 0.3% 97%  
440 0.2% 97%  
441 0.6% 97%  
442 0.3% 96%  
443 0.4% 96%  
444 0.7% 96%  
445 0.7% 95%  
446 1.1% 94%  
447 0.5% 93%  
448 1.1% 93%  
449 1.0% 92%  
450 0.9% 91%  
451 2% 90%  
452 1.4% 88%  
453 1.2% 86%  
454 2% 85%  
455 2% 84%  
456 2% 82%  
457 1.4% 79%  
458 3% 78%  
459 1.4% 76%  
460 3% 74%  
461 1.0% 71%  
462 2% 70%  
463 4% 68%  
464 2% 64%  
465 3% 62%  
466 2% 60%  
467 2% 58%  
468 3% 56%  
469 2% 52%  
470 3% 51% Median
471 2% 48%  
472 2% 47%  
473 3% 45%  
474 1.3% 42%  
475 2% 41%  
476 1.5% 39%  
477 2% 37%  
478 2% 36%  
479 1.1% 33%  
480 2% 32%  
481 2% 31%  
482 2% 29%  
483 1.0% 27%  
484 3% 26%  
485 1.4% 23%  
486 2% 21%  
487 2% 20%  
488 2% 18%  
489 1.1% 16%  
490 2% 15%  
491 1.2% 13%  
492 2% 12%  
493 0.9% 10%  
494 1.3% 9%  
495 0.7% 8%  
496 0.9% 7%  
497 0.8% 6%  
498 0.8% 6%  
499 0.8% 5%  
500 0.4% 4%  
501 0.3% 4%  
502 0.6% 3%  
503 0.6% 3%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.3% 2%  
506 0.2% 2%  
507 0.1% 1.4%  
508 0.1% 1.3%  
509 0.2% 1.1%  
510 0.1% 0.9%  
511 0.1% 0.8%  
512 0.1% 0.7%  
513 0.1% 0.6%  
514 0.1% 0.6%  
515 0.1% 0.5%  
516 0% 0.4%  
517 0.1% 0.4%  
518 0.1% 0.3%  
519 0% 0.3%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.2%  
522 0% 0.2%  
523 0% 0.2%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0.1%  
531 0% 0.1%  
532 0% 0.1%  
533 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0% 99.9%  
416 0% 99.9%  
417 0% 99.9%  
418 0% 99.9%  
419 0% 99.9%  
420 0.1% 99.8%  
421 0% 99.8%  
422 0% 99.7%  
423 0.1% 99.7%  
424 0.1% 99.6%  
425 0.1% 99.6%  
426 0.1% 99.4%  
427 0.1% 99.3%  
428 0.1% 99.2%  
429 0.1% 99.1%  
430 0.2% 98.9%  
431 0.2% 98.8%  
432 0.3% 98.6%  
433 0.3% 98%  
434 0.2% 98%  
435 0.3% 98%  
436 0.3% 97%  
437 0.2% 97%  
438 0.4% 97%  
439 0.4% 97%  
440 0.4% 96%  
441 0.6% 96%  
442 0.4% 95%  
443 1.0% 95%  
444 0.8% 94%  
445 0.7% 93%  
446 1.3% 92%  
447 0.9% 91%  
448 2% 90%  
449 1.4% 88%  
450 1.1% 87%  
451 1.3% 86%  
452 2% 85%  
453 2% 83%  
454 2% 81%  
455 3% 79%  
456 1.1% 76%  
457 3% 75%  
458 1.3% 72%  
459 2% 71%  
460 4% 69%  
461 2% 65%  
462 3% 64%  
463 2% 60%  
464 2% 58%  
465 3% 56%  
466 2% 53%  
467 2% 51% Median
468 2% 49%  
469 2% 47%  
470 3% 45%  
471 1.3% 42%  
472 2% 41%  
473 2% 39%  
474 2% 38%  
475 1.4% 36%  
476 1.0% 34%  
477 2% 33%  
478 2% 31%  
479 2% 29%  
480 1.0% 27%  
481 3% 26%  
482 1.5% 23%  
483 2% 22%  
484 2% 20%  
485 2% 18%  
486 1.1% 16%  
487 1.5% 15%  
488 1.4% 14%  
489 1.3% 12%  
490 1.1% 11%  
491 2% 10%  
492 0.7% 8%  
493 0.9% 7%  
494 0.7% 7%  
495 0.9% 6%  
496 0.8% 5%  
497 0.5% 4%  
498 0.2% 4%  
499 0.6% 3%  
500 0.6% 3%  
501 0.2% 2%  
502 0.3% 2%  
503 0.2% 2%  
504 0.2% 2%  
505 0.1% 1.3%  
506 0.2% 1.1%  
507 0.1% 1.0%  
508 0.1% 0.8%  
509 0.1% 0.7%  
510 0.1% 0.7%  
511 0.1% 0.6%  
512 0.1% 0.5%  
513 0% 0.4%  
514 0.1% 0.4%  
515 0.1% 0.3%  
516 0% 0.3%  
517 0% 0.2%  
518 0% 0.2%  
519 0% 0.2%  
520 0% 0.2%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0.1%  
526 0% 0.1%  
527 0% 0.1%  
528 0% 0.1%  
529 0% 0.1%  
530 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 99.9%  
410 0% 99.9%  
411 0% 99.9%  
412 0% 99.9%  
413 0% 99.9%  
414 0% 99.9%  
415 0.1% 99.8%  
416 0% 99.8%  
417 0% 99.7%  
418 0% 99.7%  
419 0.1% 99.6%  
420 0.1% 99.5%  
421 0.1% 99.4%  
422 0.1% 99.3%  
423 0.2% 99.2%  
424 0.1% 99.0%  
425 0.2% 98.9%  
426 0.2% 98.7%  
427 0.3% 98.5%  
428 0.3% 98%  
429 0.2% 98%  
430 0.4% 98%  
431 0.3% 97%  
432 0.3% 97%  
433 0.4% 97%  
434 0.4% 96%  
435 0.5% 96%  
436 0.6% 96%  
437 0.4% 95%  
438 1.1% 95%  
439 0.7% 94%  
440 0.8% 93%  
441 1.4% 92%  
442 1.2% 91%  
443 1.5% 89%  
444 1.2% 88%  
445 1.2% 87%  
446 2% 86%  
447 2% 84%  
448 2% 82%  
449 2% 80%  
450 2% 78%  
451 1.2% 76%  
452 2% 75%  
453 1.5% 72%  
454 2% 71%  
455 4% 69%  
456 2% 65%  
457 3% 63%  
458 2% 60%  
459 2% 58%  
460 3% 56%  
461 2% 53%  
462 2% 51% Median
463 1.4% 49%  
464 3% 47%  
465 2% 44%  
466 1.2% 42%  
467 2% 41%  
468 2% 39%  
469 2% 37%  
470 1.1% 35%  
471 1.0% 34%  
472 2% 33%  
473 2% 31%  
474 2% 29%  
475 0.8% 27%  
476 3% 26%  
477 1.3% 23%  
478 2% 22%  
479 2% 20%  
480 2% 18%  
481 1.0% 16%  
482 2% 15%  
483 1.2% 13%  
484 1.3% 12%  
485 1.3% 11%  
486 2% 9%  
487 0.5% 8%  
488 0.9% 7%  
489 0.8% 6%  
490 0.8% 6%  
491 0.8% 5%  
492 0.4% 4%  
493 0.3% 4%  
494 0.6% 3%  
495 0.6% 3%  
496 0.2% 2%  
497 0.2% 2%  
498 0.2% 2%  
499 0.2% 1.5%  
500 0.1% 1.2%  
501 0.2% 1.1%  
502 0.1% 0.9%  
503 0.1% 0.8%  
504 0.1% 0.7%  
505 0.1% 0.7%  
506 0.1% 0.6%  
507 0.1% 0.5%  
508 0% 0.4%  
509 0.1% 0.4%  
510 0.1% 0.3%  
511 0% 0.3%  
512 0% 0.2%  
513 0% 0.2%  
514 0% 0.2%  
515 0% 0.2%  
516 0% 0.1%  
517 0% 0.1%  
518 0% 0.1%  
519 0% 0.1%  
520 0% 0.1%  
521 0% 0.1%  
522 0% 0.1%  
523 0% 0.1%  
524 0% 0.1%  
525 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.9%  
369 0% 99.9%  
370 0% 99.9%  
371 0% 99.9%  
372 0% 99.8%  
373 0.1% 99.8%  
374 0.1% 99.8%  
375 0.1% 99.7%  
376 0.1% 99.6%  
377 0.1% 99.6%  
378 0.1% 99.5%  
379 0.1% 99.4%  
380 0.1% 99.4%  
381 0.2% 99.3%  
382 0.2% 99.1%  
383 0.3% 99.0%  
384 0.1% 98.7%  
385 0.3% 98.6%  
386 0.3% 98%  
387 0.3% 98%  
388 0.2% 98%  
389 0.2% 98%  
390 0.3% 97%  
391 0.4% 97%  
392 0.4% 97%  
393 0.2% 96%  
394 0.3% 96%  
395 0.4% 96%  
396 1.1% 95%  
397 0.8% 94%  
398 0.6% 93%  
399 0.8% 93%  
400 1.0% 92%  
401 1.2% 91%  
402 0.8% 90%  
403 2% 89%  
404 1.4% 87%  
405 2% 86%  
406 1.0% 84%  
407 1.1% 83%  
408 1.0% 82%  
409 2% 81%  
410 1.0% 79%  
411 2% 78%  
412 3% 76%  
413 1.2% 73%  
414 2% 72%  
415 3% 71%  
416 2% 67%  
417 2% 65%  
418 2% 63%  
419 3% 61%  
420 2% 58%  
421 3% 55%  
422 2% 52%  
423 2% 50%  
424 1.5% 48% Median
425 2% 47%  
426 2% 45%  
427 1.4% 43%  
428 1.0% 42%  
429 2% 41%  
430 2% 39%  
431 1.3% 37%  
432 1.0% 36%  
433 2% 35%  
434 1.5% 33%  
435 1.3% 32%  
436 4% 30%  
437 3% 26%  
438 2% 23%  
439 1.0% 21%  
440 1.2% 20%  
441 2% 19%  
442 0.7% 17%  
443 2% 16%  
444 1.1% 14%  
445 0.7% 13%  
446 0.8% 13%  
447 1.2% 12%  
448 0.9% 11%  
449 0.9% 10%  
450 1.0% 9%  
451 1.2% 8%  
452 0.6% 7%  
453 1.0% 6%  
454 0.8% 5%  
455 0.4% 4%  
456 0.4% 4%  
457 0.7% 4%  
458 0.5% 3%  
459 0.1% 2%  
460 0.2% 2%  
461 0.2% 2%  
462 0.2% 2%  
463 0.2% 2%  
464 0.2% 1.3%  
465 0.1% 1.1%  
466 0.1% 1.0%  
467 0.1% 0.9%  
468 0.1% 0.8%  
469 0.1% 0.7%  
470 0.1% 0.6%  
471 0.1% 0.6%  
472 0% 0.5%  
473 0% 0.4%  
474 0.1% 0.4%  
475 0% 0.3%  
476 0% 0.3%  
477 0% 0.2%  
478 0% 0.2%  
479 0% 0.2%  
480 0% 0.2%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0.1%  
485 0% 0.1%  
486 0% 0.1%  
487 0% 0.1%  
488 0% 0.1%  
489 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.8%  
367 0% 99.8%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0.1% 99.7%  
370 0.1% 99.7%  
371 0.1% 99.6%  
372 0.1% 99.5%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.1% 99.4%  
375 0.1% 99.3%  
376 0.1% 99.2%  
377 0.2% 99.1%  
378 0.2% 98.9%  
379 0.1% 98.6%  
380 0.3% 98.5%  
381 0.3% 98%  
382 0.3% 98%  
383 0.2% 98%  
384 0.2% 98%  
385 0.3% 97%  
386 0.4% 97%  
387 0.4% 97%  
388 0.2% 96%  
389 0.3% 96%  
390 0.5% 96%  
391 1.3% 95%  
392 0.6% 94%  
393 0.7% 93%  
394 0.7% 93%  
395 1.1% 92%  
396 2% 91%  
397 0.5% 89%  
398 2% 89%  
399 2% 87%  
400 1.0% 85%  
401 1.0% 84%  
402 1.1% 83%  
403 1.1% 81%  
404 2% 80%  
405 1.2% 79%  
406 2% 78%  
407 2% 76%  
408 2% 73%  
409 1.4% 72%  
410 4% 70%  
411 2% 67%  
412 3% 65%  
413 2% 62%  
414 4% 60%  
415 2% 57%  
416 2% 55%  
417 3% 52%  
418 2% 50%  
419 2% 48% Median
420 2% 46%  
421 2% 45%  
422 1.3% 43%  
423 1.0% 42%  
424 2% 41%  
425 2% 39%  
426 1.1% 37%  
427 1.1% 35%  
428 1.5% 34%  
429 2% 33%  
430 1.3% 31%  
431 4% 30%  
432 3% 26%  
433 2% 23%  
434 1.1% 21%  
435 1.4% 20%  
436 2% 19%  
437 0.8% 16%  
438 1.4% 16%  
439 1.1% 14%  
440 0.6% 13%  
441 0.7% 12%  
442 1.1% 12%  
443 1.1% 11%  
444 0.8% 9%  
445 0.9% 9%  
446 1.2% 8%  
447 0.7% 7%  
448 1.0% 6%  
449 0.8% 5%  
450 0.4% 4%  
451 0.3% 4%  
452 0.7% 3%  
453 0.5% 3%  
454 0.1% 2%  
455 0.3% 2%  
456 0.2% 2%  
457 0.2% 2%  
458 0.2% 1.4%  
459 0.2% 1.3%  
460 0.1% 1.1%  
461 0.1% 1.0%  
462 0.1% 0.9%  
463 0.1% 0.8%  
464 0.1% 0.7%  
465 0.1% 0.6%  
466 0.1% 0.5%  
467 0% 0.5%  
468 0% 0.4%  
469 0% 0.4%  
470 0.1% 0.3%  
471 0% 0.3%  
472 0% 0.2%  
473 0% 0.2%  
474 0% 0.2%  
475 0% 0.2%  
476 0% 0.1%  
477 0% 0.1%  
478 0% 0.1%  
479 0% 0.1%  
480 0% 0.1%  
481 0% 0.1%  
482 0% 0.1%  
483 0% 0.1%  
484 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.9%  
362 0% 99.9%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.8%  
366 0.1% 99.8%  
367 0.1% 99.7%  
368 0.1% 99.6%  
369 0.1% 99.6%  
370 0.2% 99.5%  
371 0.2% 99.3%  
372 0.2% 99.1%  
373 0.2% 98.9%  
374 0.3% 98.7%  
375 0.2% 98%  
376 0.3% 98%  
377 0.5% 98%  
378 0.4% 98%  
379 0.4% 97%  
380 0.4% 97%  
381 0.5% 96%  
382 0.8% 96%  
383 0.5% 95%  
384 0.8% 94%  
385 0.6% 94%  
386 0.7% 93%  
387 1.2% 92%  
388 1.0% 91%  
389 2% 90%  
390 2% 88%  
391 3% 86%  
392 3% 83%  
393 2% 80%  
394 3% 78%  
395 2% 75%  
396 3% 73%  
397 3% 70%  
398 3% 67%  
399 3% 64%  
400 5% 62%  
401 3% 57%  
402 3% 54%  
403 3% 51% Median
404 2% 48%  
405 3% 46%  
406 3% 43%  
407 2% 41%  
408 1.3% 39%  
409 2% 37%  
410 3% 36%  
411 0.7% 33%  
412 3% 32%  
413 2% 30%  
414 3% 28%  
415 2% 25%  
416 3% 23%  
417 2% 20%  
418 2% 19%  
419 2% 16%  
420 2% 14%  
421 1.2% 12%  
422 2% 11%  
423 1.5% 9%  
424 1.4% 8%  
425 1.1% 6%  
426 0.6% 5%  
427 0.8% 5%  
428 0.5% 4%  
429 0.7% 3%  
430 0.5% 3%  
431 0.3% 2%  
432 0.2% 2%  
433 0.2% 2%  
434 0.3% 1.4%  
435 0.1% 1.1%  
436 0.1% 1.0%  
437 0.1% 0.9%  
438 0.2% 0.8%  
439 0.1% 0.6%  
440 0.1% 0.5%  
441 0% 0.4%  
442 0.1% 0.4%  
443 0.1% 0.3%  
444 0% 0.3%  
445 0% 0.2%  
446 0% 0.2%  
447 0% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0.1%  
457 0% 0.1%  
458 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0.1% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.5%  
366 0.2% 99.3%  
367 0.2% 99.1%  
368 0.2% 98.9%  
369 0.2% 98.6%  
370 0.2% 98%  
371 0.3% 98%  
372 0.5% 98%  
373 0.5% 97%  
374 0.3% 97%  
375 0.4% 97%  
376 0.6% 96%  
377 0.8% 96%  
378 0.6% 95%  
379 0.8% 94%  
380 0.6% 93%  
381 0.9% 93%  
382 1.0% 92%  
383 1.4% 91%  
384 2% 90%  
385 2% 87%  
386 3% 86%  
387 3% 83%  
388 3% 80%  
389 2% 77%  
390 2% 75%  
391 3% 73%  
392 2% 69%  
393 3% 67%  
394 3% 64%  
395 5% 61%  
396 3% 56%  
397 3% 54%  
398 3% 50% Median
399 2% 47%  
400 3% 45%  
401 3% 43%  
402 2% 40%  
403 1.4% 38%  
404 2% 37%  
405 2% 35%  
406 0.9% 33%  
407 3% 32%  
408 2% 29%  
409 3% 27%  
410 1.4% 25%  
411 3% 23%  
412 2% 20%  
413 2% 18%  
414 2% 16%  
415 2% 14%  
416 1.4% 12%  
417 2% 11%  
418 1.3% 9%  
419 1.4% 8%  
420 1.1% 6%  
421 0.6% 5%  
422 0.8% 5%  
423 0.5% 4%  
424 0.7% 3%  
425 0.5% 3%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.3% 2%  
428 0.2% 2%  
429 0.3% 1.4%  
430 0.1% 1.1%  
431 0.1% 1.0%  
432 0.1% 0.9%  
433 0.2% 0.8%  
434 0.1% 0.6%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0% 0.4%  
437 0.1% 0.4%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0% 0.3%  
440 0% 0.2%  
441 0% 0.2%  
442 0% 0.2%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0.1%  
446 0% 0.1%  
447 0% 0.1%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0.1%  
453 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 99.9%  
313 0% 99.9%  
314 0% 99.9%  
315 0% 99.9%  
316 0% 99.8%  
317 0% 99.8%  
318 0% 99.8%  
319 0% 99.7%  
320 0.1% 99.7%  
321 0.1% 99.6%  
322 0.1% 99.5%  
323 0.2% 99.4%  
324 0.1% 99.2%  
325 0.2% 99.1%  
326 0.1% 98.9% Majority
327 0.3% 98.8%  
328 0.3% 98%  
329 0.3% 98%  
330 0.2% 98%  
331 0.4% 98%  
332 0.4% 97%  
333 0.3% 97%  
334 0.5% 97%  
335 0.5% 96%  
336 0.7% 96%  
337 1.0% 95%  
338 0.5% 94%  
339 0.7% 93%  
340 2% 93%  
341 1.2% 91%  
342 2% 90%  
343 1.5% 88%  
344 1.4% 86%  
345 1.0% 85%  
346 3% 84%  
347 2% 81%  
348 2% 79%  
349 1.5% 77%  
350 2% 76%  
351 4% 74%  
352 2% 70%  
353 3% 68%  
354 3% 65%  
355 2% 61%  
356 1.4% 60%  
357 3% 58%  
358 3% 55%  
359 1.3% 52%  
360 4% 51% Median
361 1.4% 47%  
362 2% 45%  
363 2% 43%  
364 2% 41%  
365 2% 39%  
366 3% 37%  
367 2% 34%  
368 2% 32%  
369 2% 31%  
370 3% 29%  
371 3% 26%  
372 2% 23%  
373 2% 22%  
374 2% 20%  
375 1.4% 18%  
376 2% 17%  
377 1.0% 14%  
378 0.8% 13%  
379 1.4% 13%  
380 1.4% 11%  
381 1.4% 10%  
382 0.9% 8%  
383 1.0% 8%  
384 0.9% 7%  
385 1.1% 6%  
386 0.9% 5%  
387 0.6% 4%  
388 0.3% 3%  
389 0.2% 3%  
390 0.6% 3%  
391 0.3% 2%  
392 0.2% 2%  
393 0.3% 2%  
394 0.1% 1.3%  
395 0.1% 1.2%  
396 0.1% 1.0%  
397 0.1% 0.9%  
398 0.1% 0.8%  
399 0.1% 0.7%  
400 0.1% 0.6%  
401 0.1% 0.5%  
402 0% 0.4%  
403 0% 0.3%  
404 0% 0.3%  
405 0% 0.3%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.2%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0.1%  
413 0% 0.1%  
414 0% 0.1%  
415 0% 0.1%  
416 0% 0.1%  
417 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.9%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0% 99.8%  
313 0.1% 99.7%  
314 0% 99.7%  
315 0.1% 99.7%  
316 0.1% 99.6%  
317 0.2% 99.4%  
318 0.1% 99.3%  
319 0.1% 99.1%  
320 0.2% 99.0%  
321 0.2% 98.8%  
322 0.3% 98.7%  
323 0.4% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.3% 98%  
326 0.3% 98% Majority
327 0.4% 97%  
328 0.3% 97%  
329 0.6% 97%  
330 0.4% 96%  
331 0.9% 96%  
332 0.9% 95%  
333 0.4% 94%  
334 1.1% 93%  
335 1.1% 92%  
336 1.4% 91%  
337 2% 90%  
338 2% 87%  
339 1.2% 86%  
340 1.4% 85%  
341 2% 83%  
342 2% 81%  
343 2% 79%  
344 1.2% 77%  
345 3% 75%  
346 3% 73%  
347 2% 70%  
348 3% 68%  
349 3% 64%  
350 2% 61%  
351 1.0% 59%  
352 3% 58%  
353 3% 55%  
354 1.5% 52%  
355 4% 50% Median
356 1.3% 46%  
357 3% 45%  
358 2% 42%  
359 2% 40%  
360 2% 38%  
361 2% 37%  
362 2% 34%  
363 1.4% 32%  
364 2% 31%  
365 3% 28%  
366 3% 26%  
367 1.4% 23%  
368 2% 22%  
369 2% 20%  
370 1.5% 18%  
371 2% 16%  
372 0.9% 14%  
373 0.8% 13%  
374 1.4% 12%  
375 1.3% 11%  
376 1.4% 10%  
377 0.8% 8%  
378 1.0% 7%  
379 0.8% 6%  
380 1.0% 6%  
381 0.8% 5%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.2% 3%  
385 0.5% 3%  
386 0.3% 2%  
387 0.2% 2%  
388 0.3% 2%  
389 0.2% 1.3%  
390 0.1% 1.1%  
391 0.1% 1.0%  
392 0.1% 0.9%  
393 0.1% 0.8%  
394 0.1% 0.6%  
395 0.1% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.3%  
399 0% 0.3%  
400 0% 0.3%  
401 0.1% 0.2%  
402 0% 0.2%  
403 0% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
150 0% 100%  
151 0% 99.9%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.9%  
161 0% 99.9%  
162 0.1% 99.8%  
163 0% 99.8%  
164 0% 99.7%  
165 0.1% 99.7%  
166 0.1% 99.6%  
167 0.1% 99.6%  
168 0% 99.4%  
169 0.1% 99.4%  
170 0% 99.2%  
171 0.1% 99.2%  
172 0.2% 99.1%  
173 0.3% 98.9%  
174 0.2% 98.6%  
175 0.4% 98%  
176 0.5% 98%  
177 0.4% 98%  
178 0.7% 97%  
179 0.3% 96%  
180 1.1% 96%  
181 1.0% 95%  
182 2% 94%  
183 1.2% 92%  
184 1.3% 91%  
185 2% 89%  
186 2% 87%  
187 3% 85%  
188 2% 83%  
189 1.3% 81%  
190 5% 80%  
191 1.5% 75%  
192 2% 73%  
193 3% 72%  
194 1.1% 69%  
195 2% 68%  
196 2% 66%  
197 2% 65%  
198 2% 63%  
199 1.4% 61%  
200 1.3% 60%  
201 3% 58%  
202 2% 56%  
203 2% 54% Median
204 4% 51%  
205 4% 47%  
206 3% 43%  
207 3% 40%  
208 3% 38%  
209 3% 35%  
210 4% 32%  
211 3% 28%  
212 2% 25%  
213 2% 24%  
214 3% 21%  
215 3% 19%  
216 3% 15%  
217 2% 13%  
218 2% 10%  
219 0.8% 9%  
220 0.9% 8%  
221 0.5% 7%  
222 0.5% 6%  
223 0.5% 6%  
224 0.6% 5%  
225 0.7% 5%  
226 0.8% 4%  
227 0.4% 3%  
228 0.4% 3%  
229 0.3% 2%  
230 0.4% 2%  
231 0.3% 2%  
232 0.3% 2%  
233 0.2% 1.2%  
234 0.2% 1.0%  
235 0.2% 0.8%  
236 0.1% 0.6%  
237 0.1% 0.5%  
238 0.1% 0.3%  
239 0.1% 0.3%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0.1% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
125 0% 100%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.9%  
129 0% 99.9%  
130 0% 99.9%  
131 0% 99.9%  
132 0% 99.9%  
133 0% 99.8%  
134 0% 99.8%  
135 0% 99.8%  
136 0.1% 99.7%  
137 0% 99.7%  
138 0.1% 99.7%  
139 0% 99.6%  
140 0% 99.5%  
141 0.1% 99.5%  
142 0% 99.4%  
143 0.1% 99.4%  
144 0.1% 99.3%  
145 0.1% 99.2%  
146 0.1% 99.1%  
147 0.2% 99.0%  
148 0.1% 98.8%  
149 0.1% 98.7%  
150 0.2% 98.6%  
151 0.2% 98%  
152 0.4% 98%  
153 0.6% 98%  
154 0.6% 97%  
155 0.3% 97%  
156 0.8% 96%  
157 0.8% 95%  
158 0.8% 95%  
159 1.0% 94%  
160 0.7% 93%  
161 0.8% 92%  
162 0.6% 91%  
163 1.0% 91%  
164 1.0% 90%  
165 0.8% 89%  
166 0.6% 88%  
167 1.0% 87%  
168 2% 86%  
169 1.1% 84%  
170 2% 83%  
171 2% 81%  
172 1.5% 79%  
173 3% 78%  
174 2% 75%  
175 2% 72%  
176 2% 71%  
177 2% 69%  
178 1.0% 66%  
179 2% 65%  
180 1.1% 64%  
181 1.1% 63%  
182 2% 61%  
183 1.3% 60%  
184 2% 59%  
185 0.9% 57%  
186 2% 56%  
187 1.0% 54% Median
188 1.5% 53%  
189 2% 52%  
190 2% 50%  
191 3% 48%  
192 2% 45%  
193 4% 42%  
194 3% 38%  
195 2% 36%  
196 2% 34%  
197 3% 32%  
198 1.5% 29%  
199 3% 27%  
200 1.1% 24%  
201 1.4% 23%  
202 1.2% 22%  
203 1.1% 20%  
204 0.8% 19%  
205 1.3% 18%  
206 1.0% 17%  
207 1.3% 16%  
208 2% 15%  
209 2% 13%  
210 1.0% 11%  
211 1.3% 10%  
212 1.1% 9%  
213 0.8% 8%  
214 0.7% 7%  
215 1.0% 6%  
216 0.6% 5%  
217 0.4% 5%  
218 0.5% 4%  
219 0.5% 4%  
220 0.4% 3%  
221 0.2% 3%  
222 0.2% 3%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.2% 2%  
225 0.1% 2%  
226 0.3% 2%  
227 0.2% 2%  
228 0.2% 1.4%  
229 0.2% 1.2%  
230 0.1% 1.0%  
231 0.1% 0.9%  
232 0.2% 0.7%  
233 0% 0.5%  
234 0.1% 0.5%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.3%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
120 0% 100%  
121 0% 99.9%  
122 0% 99.9%  
123 0% 99.9%  
124 0% 99.9%  
125 0% 99.9%  
126 0% 99.9%  
127 0% 99.9%  
128 0% 99.8%  
129 0% 99.8%  
130 0.1% 99.8%  
131 0.1% 99.7%  
132 0% 99.7%  
133 0.1% 99.7%  
134 0% 99.6%  
135 0.1% 99.5%  
136 0.1% 99.5%  
137 0% 99.4%  
138 0.1% 99.4%  
139 0.1% 99.3%  
140 0.1% 99.2%  
141 0.1% 99.1%  
142 0.2% 99.0%  
143 0.1% 98.8%  
144 0.1% 98.7%  
145 0.3% 98.6%  
146 0.2% 98%  
147 0.4% 98%  
148 0.6% 98%  
149 0.6% 97%  
150 0.3% 96%  
151 0.8% 96%  
152 0.8% 95%  
153 0.7% 95%  
154 1.0% 94%  
155 0.8% 93%  
156 0.9% 92%  
157 0.6% 91%  
158 0.9% 91%  
159 1.1% 90%  
160 0.7% 89%  
161 0.6% 88%  
162 0.9% 87%  
163 2% 86%  
164 1.2% 84%  
165 2% 83%  
166 2% 81%  
167 1.5% 79%  
168 3% 78%  
169 2% 74%  
170 2% 72%  
171 2% 70%  
172 2% 68%  
173 1.2% 66%  
174 2% 65%  
175 0.9% 63%  
176 1.4% 63%  
177 2% 61%  
178 1.2% 59%  
179 2% 58%  
180 1.2% 57%  
181 2% 56%  
182 0.8% 54% Median
183 2% 53%  
184 2% 51%  
185 2% 49%  
186 4% 47%  
187 2% 44%  
188 5% 42%  
189 2% 38%  
190 2% 36%  
191 2% 34%  
192 3% 32%  
193 2% 28%  
194 3% 27%  
195 1.3% 24%  
196 1.3% 22%  
197 1.1% 21%  
198 1.1% 20%  
199 1.1% 19%  
200 1.1% 18%  
201 0.9% 17%  
202 2% 16%  
203 2% 14%  
204 2% 12%  
205 0.7% 11%  
206 1.4% 10%  
207 0.9% 9%  
208 0.8% 8%  
209 0.7% 7%  
210 1.1% 6%  
211 0.4% 5%  
212 0.5% 5%  
213 0.5% 4%  
214 0.4% 4%  
215 0.4% 3%  
216 0.2% 3%  
217 0.2% 3%  
218 0.2% 2%  
219 0.2% 2%  
220 0.1% 2%  
221 0.3% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.3% 1.4%  
224 0.1% 1.1%  
225 0.1% 0.9%  
226 0.1% 0.8%  
227 0.2% 0.7%  
228 0.1% 0.5%  
229 0.1% 0.4%  
230 0.1% 0.4%  
231 0.1% 0.3%  
232 0% 0.3%  
233 0% 0.2%  
234 0% 0.2%  
235 0% 0.2%  
236 0% 0.1%  
237 0% 0.1%  
238 0% 0.1%  
239 0% 0.1%  
240 0% 0.1%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
83 0% 100%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.9%  
89 0% 99.9%  
90 0% 99.9%  
91 0% 99.9%  
92 0% 99.9%  
93 0% 99.8%  
94 0% 99.8%  
95 0.1% 99.8%  
96 0.1% 99.7%  
97 0% 99.7%  
98 0% 99.6%  
99 0.1% 99.6%  
100 0.1% 99.6%  
101 0.1% 99.5%  
102 0.1% 99.4%  
103 0.1% 99.3%  
104 0.1% 99.2%  
105 0.2% 99.1%  
106 0.2% 98.9%  
107 0.1% 98.8%  
108 0.1% 98.7%  
109 0.3% 98.5%  
110 0.4% 98%  
111 0.5% 98%  
112 0.4% 97%  
113 0.4% 97%  
114 0.7% 97%  
115 1.0% 96%  
116 0.6% 95%  
117 0.9% 94%  
118 0.8% 93%  
119 1.2% 93%  
120 1.1% 91%  
121 0.9% 90%  
122 1.1% 89%  
123 2% 88%  
124 0.9% 86%  
125 2% 85%  
126 2% 83%  
127 2% 81%  
128 1.4% 79%  
129 1.3% 78%  
130 4% 77%  
131 2% 73%  
132 1.1% 71%  
133 1.0% 70%  
134 1.2% 69%  
135 1.4% 68%  
136 2% 66%  
137 2% 64%  
138 2% 62%  
139 1.3% 60%  
140 1.1% 59%  
141 2% 58%  
142 3% 56%  
143 1.4% 54%  
144 2% 52% Median
145 3% 50%  
146 2% 48%  
147 1.5% 45%  
148 2% 44%  
149 3% 42%  
150 2% 39%  
151 4% 37%  
152 2% 34%  
153 2% 31%  
154 3% 29%  
155 1.4% 26%  
156 1.3% 25%  
157 2% 24%  
158 2% 22%  
159 2% 19%  
160 2% 18%  
161 2% 16%  
162 1.3% 14%  
163 1.2% 13%  
164 1.1% 12%  
165 1.4% 10%  
166 1.5% 9%  
167 0.7% 8%  
168 1.0% 7%  
169 0.7% 6%  
170 0.7% 5%  
171 0.5% 4%  
172 0.4% 4%  
173 0.4% 4%  
174 0.2% 3%  
175 0.2% 3%  
176 0.4% 3%  
177 0.2% 2%  
178 0.3% 2%  
179 0.3% 2%  
180 0.2% 2%  
181 0.2% 1.4%  
182 0.2% 1.2%  
183 0.2% 1.0%  
184 0.2% 0.8%  
185 0.1% 0.6%  
186 0.1% 0.6%  
187 0.1% 0.5%  
188 0.1% 0.4%  
189 0% 0.3%  
190 0% 0.2%  
191 0% 0.2%  
192 0% 0.2%  
193 0% 0.1%  
194 0% 0.1%  
195 0% 0.1%  
196 0% 0.1%  
197 0% 0.1%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0% 99.9%  
80 0% 99.9%  
81 0% 99.9%  
82 0% 99.9%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0% 99.9%  
85 0% 99.9%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0% 99.9%  
88 0% 99.8%  
89 0% 99.8%  
90 0.1% 99.8%  
91 0.1% 99.7%  
92 0% 99.7%  
93 0% 99.6%  
94 0.1% 99.6%  
95 0.1% 99.5%  
96 0.1% 99.5%  
97 0.1% 99.4%  
98 0.1% 99.3%  
99 0.1% 99.2%  
100 0.2% 99.1%  
101 0.2% 98.9%  
102 0.1% 98.8%  
103 0.1% 98.6%  
104 0.3% 98.5%  
105 0.5% 98%  
106 0.6% 98%  
107 0.3% 97%  
108 0.4% 97%  
109 0.7% 96%  
110 1.2% 96%  
111 0.5% 95%  
112 0.9% 94%  
113 0.9% 93%  
114 1.1% 92%  
115 1.1% 91%  
116 0.9% 90%  
117 1.3% 89%  
118 2% 88%  
119 0.6% 86%  
120 2% 85%  
121 2% 83%  
122 1.5% 81%  
123 2% 79%  
124 1.1% 78%  
125 4% 77%  
126 2% 73%  
127 1.3% 71%  
128 1.0% 69%  
129 1.2% 68%  
130 1.4% 67%  
131 2% 66%  
132 2% 63%  
133 2% 62%  
134 1.4% 60%  
135 1.2% 59%  
136 2% 57%  
137 2% 56%  
138 1.3% 53%  
139 2% 52% Median
140 2% 50%  
141 3% 48%  
142 2% 45%  
143 2% 43%  
144 3% 42%  
145 2% 39%  
146 3% 37%  
147 3% 34%  
148 2% 31%  
149 3% 29%  
150 2% 26%  
151 1.3% 25%  
152 2% 23%  
153 2% 21%  
154 2% 19%  
155 2% 17%  
156 2% 15%  
157 1.0% 14%  
158 1.2% 13%  
159 2% 11%  
160 1.1% 10%  
161 1.3% 9%  
162 0.6% 7%  
163 1.1% 7%  
164 0.5% 6%  
165 0.8% 5%  
166 0.5% 4%  
167 0.3% 4%  
168 0.4% 3%  
169 0.2% 3%  
170 0.2% 3%  
171 0.4% 3%  
172 0.2% 2%  
173 0.2% 2%  
174 0.3% 2%  
175 0.2% 1.5%  
176 0.2% 1.3%  
177 0.2% 1.1%  
178 0.1% 0.9%  
179 0.2% 0.8%  
180 0.1% 0.6%  
181 0.1% 0.5%  
182 0.1% 0.4%  
183 0.1% 0.4%  
184 0% 0.3%  
185 0% 0.2%  
186 0% 0.2%  
187 0% 0.2%  
188 0% 0.1%  
189 0% 0.1%  
190 0% 0.1%  
191 0% 0.1%  
192 0% 0.1%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations