Opinion Poll by Ipsos MORI, 1–3 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 32.1% 40.9% 39.4–42.3% 39.0–42.8% 38.7–43.1% 38.0–43.8%
Conservative Party 43.6% 21.0% 19.8–22.3% 19.5–22.6% 19.2–22.9% 18.7–23.5%
Liberal Democrats 11.5% 12.1% 11.2–13.2% 10.9–13.5% 10.7–13.7% 10.3–14.2%
Green Party 2.8% 7.8% 7.0–8.6% 6.8–8.9% 6.6–9.1% 6.3–9.5%
Brexit Party 2.0% 7.2% 6.5–8.0% 6.3–8.3% 6.1–8.5% 5.8–8.9%
Scottish National Party 3.9% 6.6% 5.9–7.4% 5.7–7.6% 5.6–7.8% 5.2–8.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.9–1.5% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.6–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 202 375 360–404 354–410 348–416 340–425
Conservative Party 365 117 85–136 77–142 72–149 62–159
Liberal Democrats 11 50 45–60 42–63 38–66 35–69
Green Party 1 3 3–4 3–5 3–5 3–5
Brexit Party 0 19 12–20 11–21 7–21 4–24
Scottish National Party 48 58 58 58 57–58 57–58
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–6 5–6 5–7 4–7

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.2% 99.3%  
343 0.2% 99.1%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.3% 98.6%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.3% 98%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 0.3% 97%  
351 0.2% 97%  
352 0.5% 96%  
353 0.5% 96%  
354 1.1% 95%  
355 0.7% 94%  
356 0.7% 94%  
357 0.7% 93%  
358 1.3% 92%  
359 0.9% 91%  
360 1.0% 90%  
361 1.3% 89%  
362 2% 88%  
363 2% 86%  
364 1.4% 84%  
365 2% 82%  
366 2% 80%  
367 4% 78%  
368 3% 74%  
369 3% 71%  
370 2% 68%  
371 3% 66%  
372 4% 63%  
373 4% 59%  
374 2% 55%  
375 3% 53% Median
376 2% 50%  
377 3% 48%  
378 2% 45%  
379 2% 44%  
380 2% 42%  
381 2% 40%  
382 3% 38%  
383 2% 35%  
384 2% 33%  
385 1.4% 31%  
386 1.5% 29%  
387 1.2% 28%  
388 3% 27%  
389 0.8% 24%  
390 2% 23%  
391 0.6% 21%  
392 0.6% 20%  
393 0.3% 20%  
394 2% 20%  
395 0.4% 18%  
396 1.0% 18%  
397 1.1% 17%  
398 0.8% 15%  
399 0.3% 15%  
400 0.6% 14%  
401 1.2% 14%  
402 0.6% 13%  
403 1.1% 12%  
404 2% 11%  
405 0.5% 9%  
406 0.4% 9%  
407 1.1% 8%  
408 0.8% 7%  
409 0.8% 6%  
410 0.9% 6%  
411 0.4% 5%  
412 0.4% 4%  
413 0.4% 4%  
414 0.5% 3%  
415 0.3% 3%  
416 0.5% 3%  
417 0.3% 2%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.1% 1.4%  
421 0.2% 1.2%  
422 0.3% 1.0%  
423 0.1% 0.7%  
424 0.1% 0.6%  
425 0.1% 0.5%  
426 0.1% 0.5%  
427 0.1% 0.4%  
428 0.1% 0.3%  
429 0% 0.3%  
430 0.1% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.8%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0% 99.7%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 0.1% 99.5%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.3%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.1% 99.0%  
67 0.2% 98.9%  
68 0.3% 98.7%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.3% 97%  
74 0.2% 97%  
75 0.3% 97%  
76 0.6% 96%  
77 1.3% 96%  
78 0.3% 94%  
79 0.9% 94%  
80 0.4% 93%  
81 0.4% 93%  
82 0.5% 92%  
83 0.7% 92%  
84 0.6% 91%  
85 0.7% 91%  
86 0.3% 90%  
87 0.7% 89%  
88 0.7% 89%  
89 1.0% 88%  
90 0.9% 87%  
91 0.6% 86%  
92 0.7% 86%  
93 0.6% 85%  
94 0.7% 84%  
95 0.7% 84%  
96 0.9% 83%  
97 0.8% 82%  
98 0.7% 81%  
99 0.8% 81%  
100 1.4% 80%  
101 3% 78%  
102 1.4% 76%  
103 0.5% 74%  
104 1.1% 74%  
105 1.2% 73%  
106 2% 71%  
107 1.2% 70%  
108 2% 69%  
109 2% 66%  
110 2% 65%  
111 2% 63%  
112 1.2% 61%  
113 2% 59%  
114 3% 58%  
115 2% 55%  
116 3% 53%  
117 2% 51% Median
118 4% 49%  
119 2% 45%  
120 2% 43%  
121 3% 41%  
122 1.2% 38%  
123 3% 37%  
124 3% 34%  
125 3% 31%  
126 1.1% 28%  
127 3% 27%  
128 3% 24%  
129 1.5% 21%  
130 3% 20%  
131 1.1% 17%  
132 1.4% 16%  
133 2% 14%  
134 0.9% 13%  
135 1.2% 12%  
136 1.2% 10%  
137 1.2% 9%  
138 0.6% 8%  
139 0.7% 8%  
140 0.7% 7%  
141 0.7% 6%  
142 0.5% 5%  
143 0.6% 5%  
144 0.5% 4%  
145 0.3% 4%  
146 0.3% 4%  
147 0.4% 3%  
148 0.3% 3%  
149 0.3% 3%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.1% 1.4%  
154 0.3% 1.3%  
155 0.1% 1.0%  
156 0.1% 0.9%  
157 0.1% 0.8%  
158 0.1% 0.7%  
159 0.1% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0% 100% Last Result
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0% 100%  
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.4% 99.7%  
36 0.6% 99.4%  
37 0.9% 98.8%  
38 0.8% 98%  
39 0.5% 97%  
40 0.5% 97%  
41 0.9% 96%  
42 1.5% 95%  
43 0.7% 94%  
44 0.5% 93%  
45 3% 93%  
46 9% 89%  
47 15% 80%  
48 5% 66%  
49 3% 61%  
50 10% 58% Median
51 1.0% 48%  
52 6% 47%  
53 1.2% 41%  
54 7% 40%  
55 7% 33%  
56 4% 26%  
57 4% 22%  
58 4% 18%  
59 2% 14%  
60 3% 13%  
61 0.9% 9%  
62 2% 8%  
63 1.5% 6%  
64 0.5% 5%  
65 2% 4%  
66 0.4% 3%  
67 1.3% 2%  
68 0.4% 1.0%  
69 0.2% 0.5%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100% Last Result
2 0% 100%  
3 81% 100% Median
4 12% 19%  
5 7% 7%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.5% 100%  
5 0.8% 99.5%  
6 0.9% 98.7%  
7 1.2% 98%  
8 0.5% 97%  
9 0.2% 96%  
10 0.4% 96%  
11 1.4% 95%  
12 4% 94%  
13 5% 90%  
14 7% 85%  
15 1.0% 78%  
16 7% 77%  
17 4% 70%  
18 9% 66%  
19 24% 57% Median
20 24% 33%  
21 7% 9%  
22 0.4% 2%  
23 0.9% 2%  
24 0.2% 0.6%  
25 0.2% 0.4%  
26 0.2% 0.3%  
27 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0% 100% Last Result
49 0% 100%  
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 100%  
52 0% 100%  
53 0% 100%  
54 0% 100%  
55 0% 100%  
56 0.4% 100%  
57 3% 99.6%  
58 97% 97% Median
59 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100% Last Result
5 81% 99.3% Median
6 16% 18%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 266 493 100% 474–526 467–534 460–540 450–552
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 265 490 100% 471–523 464–531 457–537 447–548
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 261 485 100% 465–517 458–525 452–532 441–543
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 254 439 100% 423–467 417–473 411–479 403–488
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 217 432 100% 413–465 406–473 399–479 389–490
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 250 433 100% 417–462 412–468 406–474 398–483
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 213 427 100% 407–460 400–467 394–474 383–485
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 206 381 100% 365–409 359–415 353–421 346–430
Labour Party 202 375 100% 360–404 354–410 348–416 340–425
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 417 180 0% 148–199 140–206 135–212 125–223
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 413 175 0% 143–194 135–200 130–207 120–217
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 376 169 0% 141–183 135–189 131–194 124–202
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 369 122 0% 90–141 82–148 77–154 67–165
Conservative Party 365 117 0% 85–136 77–142 72–149 62–159

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100% Last Result
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 100%  
438 0% 100%  
439 0% 100%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0% 99.9%  
443 0% 99.9%  
444 0% 99.9%  
445 0.1% 99.8%  
446 0.1% 99.8%  
447 0% 99.7%  
448 0.1% 99.7%  
449 0.1% 99.6%  
450 0.1% 99.6%  
451 0.1% 99.5%  
452 0.1% 99.4%  
453 0.1% 99.3%  
454 0.2% 99.1%  
455 0.2% 98.9%  
456 0.2% 98.7%  
457 0.3% 98.6%  
458 0.3% 98%  
459 0.4% 98%  
460 0.3% 98%  
461 0.3% 97%  
462 0.3% 97%  
463 0.2% 97%  
464 0.3% 97%  
465 0.6% 96%  
466 0.5% 96%  
467 0.8% 95%  
468 0.5% 94%  
469 0.6% 94%  
470 0.4% 93%  
471 0.5% 93%  
472 1.0% 92%  
473 1.0% 91%  
474 1.1% 90%  
475 2% 89%  
476 0.6% 87%  
477 2% 87%  
478 1.3% 85%  
479 2% 84%  
480 2% 82%  
481 2% 80%  
482 2% 78%  
483 2% 76%  
484 3% 74%  
485 3% 71%  
486 2% 68%  
487 2% 67%  
488 3% 65%  
489 2% 62%  
490 3% 61%  
491 2% 57% Median
492 2% 55%  
493 4% 53%  
494 1.5% 50%  
495 2% 48%  
496 2% 46%  
497 1.2% 44%  
498 2% 42%  
499 2% 40%  
500 2% 39%  
501 2% 37%  
502 2% 35%  
503 2% 34%  
504 2% 31%  
505 2% 30%  
506 0.5% 28%  
507 2% 28%  
508 0.7% 26%  
509 2% 25%  
510 1.2% 24%  
511 0.4% 23%  
512 0.6% 22%  
513 2% 22%  
514 2% 20%  
515 0.7% 18%  
516 0.3% 17%  
517 0.4% 17%  
518 0.8% 16%  
519 0.3% 16%  
520 0.8% 15%  
521 1.1% 14%  
522 0.9% 13%  
523 0.5% 12%  
524 0.6% 12%  
525 1.1% 11%  
526 0.5% 10%  
527 0.5% 10%  
528 0.7% 9%  
529 0.3% 8%  
530 0.6% 8%  
531 0.6% 8%  
532 0.4% 7%  
533 1.4% 7%  
534 0.4% 5%  
535 0.3% 5%  
536 0.4% 4%  
537 0.4% 4%  
538 0.6% 4%  
539 0.2% 3%  
540 0.3% 3%  
541 0.2% 2%  
542 0.2% 2%  
543 0.3% 2%  
544 0.2% 2%  
545 0.1% 2%  
546 0.2% 1.4%  
547 0.2% 1.2%  
548 0.2% 1.1%  
549 0.1% 0.9%  
550 0.2% 0.8%  
551 0.1% 0.6%  
552 0.1% 0.5%  
553 0.1% 0.4%  
554 0.1% 0.4%  
555 0.1% 0.3%  
556 0% 0.3%  
557 0% 0.2%  
558 0% 0.2%  
559 0% 0.2%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0.1%  
564 0% 0.1%  
565 0% 0.1%  
566 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
265 0% 100% Last Result
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 100%  
433 0% 100%  
434 0% 100%  
435 0% 100%  
436 0% 100%  
437 0% 99.9%  
438 0% 99.9%  
439 0% 99.9%  
440 0% 99.9%  
441 0% 99.9%  
442 0.1% 99.8%  
443 0% 99.8%  
444 0% 99.7%  
445 0.1% 99.7%  
446 0.1% 99.6%  
447 0.1% 99.5%  
448 0.1% 99.4%  
449 0.1% 99.3%  
450 0.1% 99.2%  
451 0.3% 99.1%  
452 0.2% 98.9%  
453 0.2% 98.7%  
454 0.2% 98%  
455 0.3% 98%  
456 0.3% 98%  
457 0.3% 98%  
458 0.3% 97%  
459 0.3% 97%  
460 0.3% 97%  
461 0.3% 96%  
462 0.6% 96%  
463 0.5% 96%  
464 0.9% 95%  
465 0.4% 94%  
466 0.6% 94%  
467 0.6% 93%  
468 0.4% 93%  
469 1.0% 92%  
470 1.0% 91%  
471 1.4% 90%  
472 1.3% 89%  
473 0.9% 87%  
474 2% 86%  
475 2% 84%  
476 1.3% 83%  
477 2% 81%  
478 2% 79%  
479 2% 78%  
480 2% 76%  
481 3% 74%  
482 3% 71%  
483 2% 68%  
484 1.4% 66%  
485 3% 65%  
486 2% 62%  
487 3% 60%  
488 2% 57% Median
489 2% 55%  
490 4% 53%  
491 2% 49%  
492 2% 47%  
493 2% 45%  
494 1.2% 43%  
495 2% 42%  
496 2% 40%  
497 2% 38%  
498 1.4% 36%  
499 2% 35%  
500 2% 33%  
501 2% 31%  
502 2% 30%  
503 0.6% 28%  
504 2% 28%  
505 0.9% 26%  
506 2% 25%  
507 1.0% 23%  
508 0.5% 22%  
509 0.7% 22%  
510 2% 21%  
511 2% 19%  
512 0.7% 18%  
513 0.5% 17%  
514 0.6% 16%  
515 0.5% 16%  
516 0.4% 15%  
517 0.6% 15%  
518 1.2% 14%  
519 1.0% 13%  
520 0.5% 12%  
521 0.6% 12%  
522 1.1% 11%  
523 0.7% 10%  
524 0.4% 9%  
525 0.6% 9%  
526 0.3% 8%  
527 1.1% 8%  
528 0.3% 7%  
529 0.4% 7%  
530 1.3% 6%  
531 0.3% 5%  
532 0.5% 5%  
533 0.3% 4%  
534 0.5% 4%  
535 0.5% 3%  
536 0.3% 3%  
537 0.2% 3%  
538 0.3% 2%  
539 0.2% 2%  
540 0.4% 2%  
541 0.1% 2%  
542 0.2% 1.4%  
543 0.1% 1.2%  
544 0.1% 1.1%  
545 0.2% 1.0%  
546 0.1% 0.8%  
547 0.2% 0.7%  
548 0.1% 0.5%  
549 0.1% 0.5%  
550 0.1% 0.4%  
551 0.1% 0.3%  
552 0% 0.3%  
553 0% 0.2%  
554 0% 0.2%  
555 0% 0.2%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0.1%  
559 0% 0.1%  
560 0% 0.1%  
561 0% 0.1%  
562 0% 0.1%  
563 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100% Last Result
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 100%  
397 0% 100%  
398 0% 100%  
399 0% 100%  
400 0% 100%  
401 0% 100%  
402 0% 100%  
403 0% 100%  
404 0% 100%  
405 0% 100%  
406 0% 100%  
407 0% 100%  
408 0% 100%  
409 0% 100%  
410 0% 100%  
411 0% 100%  
412 0% 100%  
413 0% 100%  
414 0% 100%  
415 0% 100%  
416 0% 100%  
417 0% 100%  
418 0% 100%  
419 0% 100%  
420 0% 100%  
421 0% 100%  
422 0% 100%  
423 0% 100%  
424 0% 100%  
425 0% 100%  
426 0% 100%  
427 0% 100%  
428 0% 100%  
429 0% 100%  
430 0% 100%  
431 0% 100%  
432 0% 99.9%  
433 0% 99.9%  
434 0% 99.9%  
435 0% 99.9%  
436 0% 99.9%  
437 0.1% 99.8%  
438 0.1% 99.8%  
439 0.1% 99.7%  
440 0.1% 99.6%  
441 0.1% 99.6%  
442 0.1% 99.5%  
443 0.1% 99.4%  
444 0.1% 99.3%  
445 0.1% 99.2%  
446 0.3% 99.1%  
447 0.2% 98.8%  
448 0.2% 98.6%  
449 0.2% 98%  
450 0.4% 98%  
451 0.3% 98%  
452 0.3% 98%  
453 0.3% 97%  
454 0.3% 97%  
455 0.3% 97%  
456 0.5% 96%  
457 0.3% 96%  
458 0.6% 96%  
459 0.9% 95%  
460 0.4% 94%  
461 0.7% 94%  
462 0.5% 93%  
463 0.5% 92%  
464 1.4% 92%  
465 0.9% 91%  
466 1.3% 90%  
467 1.3% 88%  
468 1.1% 87%  
469 2% 86%  
470 1.5% 84%  
471 1.3% 82%  
472 2% 81%  
473 2% 79%  
474 2% 77%  
475 2% 75%  
476 4% 74%  
477 2% 70%  
478 2% 68%  
479 2% 66%  
480 2% 64%  
481 2% 62%  
482 3% 60%  
483 2% 56% Median
484 2% 55%  
485 4% 52%  
486 2% 49%  
487 2% 47%  
488 2% 45%  
489 1.2% 43%  
490 2% 42%  
491 2% 39%  
492 2% 38%  
493 2% 36%  
494 2% 34%  
495 2% 33%  
496 2% 31%  
497 1.5% 30%  
498 1.4% 28%  
499 0.9% 27%  
500 1.1% 26%  
501 1.4% 25%  
502 1.0% 23%  
503 0.5% 22%  
504 0.9% 22%  
505 2% 21%  
506 2% 19%  
507 0.6% 17%  
508 0.6% 17%  
509 0.6% 16%  
510 0.5% 16%  
511 0.4% 15%  
512 0.5% 15%  
513 1.3% 14%  
514 0.9% 13%  
515 0.4% 12%  
516 0.7% 12%  
517 1.0% 11%  
518 0.7% 10%  
519 0.3% 9%  
520 0.6% 9%  
521 0.4% 8%  
522 0.9% 8%  
523 0.4% 7%  
524 0.4% 7%  
525 1.3% 6%  
526 0.2% 5%  
527 0.6% 5%  
528 0.2% 4%  
529 0.7% 4%  
530 0.4% 3%  
531 0.2% 3%  
532 0.2% 3%  
533 0.3% 2%  
534 0.2% 2%  
535 0.3% 2%  
536 0.2% 2%  
537 0.2% 1.4%  
538 0.1% 1.2%  
539 0.1% 1.1%  
540 0.2% 1.0%  
541 0.1% 0.8%  
542 0.2% 0.7%  
543 0% 0.5%  
544 0.1% 0.5%  
545 0.1% 0.4%  
546 0.1% 0.3%  
547 0.1% 0.3%  
548 0% 0.2%  
549 0% 0.2%  
550 0% 0.2%  
551 0% 0.1%  
552 0% 0.1%  
553 0% 0.1%  
554 0% 0.1%  
555 0% 0.1%  
556 0% 0.1%  
557 0% 0.1%  
558 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
254 0% 100% Last Result
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 100%  
391 0% 100%  
392 0% 100%  
393 0% 100%  
394 0% 100%  
395 0% 100%  
396 0% 99.9%  
397 0% 99.9%  
398 0% 99.9%  
399 0.1% 99.8%  
400 0% 99.8%  
401 0.1% 99.8%  
402 0.1% 99.7%  
403 0.1% 99.6%  
404 0.1% 99.5%  
405 0.3% 99.4%  
406 0.2% 99.1%  
407 0.2% 98.9%  
408 0.4% 98.7%  
409 0.3% 98%  
410 0.2% 98%  
411 0.5% 98%  
412 0.3% 97%  
413 0.4% 97%  
414 0.2% 97%  
415 0.3% 96%  
416 0.7% 96%  
417 1.1% 96%  
418 0.7% 94%  
419 0.6% 94%  
420 0.8% 93%  
421 0.8% 92%  
422 1.4% 92%  
423 0.8% 90%  
424 1.2% 89%  
425 2% 88%  
426 2% 86%  
427 1.3% 84%  
428 2% 83%  
429 2% 81%  
430 4% 79%  
431 3% 74%  
432 3% 71%  
433 2% 68%  
434 3% 66%  
435 4% 63%  
436 4% 59%  
437 1.4% 55%  
438 3% 54% Median
439 2% 51%  
440 3% 48%  
441 1.4% 46%  
442 2% 44%  
443 2% 42%  
444 2% 40%  
445 3% 38%  
446 2% 35%  
447 2% 33%  
448 1.2% 31%  
449 1.4% 30%  
450 2% 28%  
451 3% 27%  
452 0.9% 24%  
453 2% 23%  
454 0.6% 21%  
455 0.6% 21%  
456 0.3% 20%  
457 1.4% 20%  
458 0.6% 18%  
459 0.9% 18%  
460 1.1% 17%  
461 0.8% 16%  
462 0.4% 15%  
463 0.5% 14%  
464 1.4% 14%  
465 0.5% 13%  
466 1.2% 12%  
467 2% 11%  
468 0.5% 9%  
469 0.4% 9%  
470 1.1% 8%  
471 0.9% 7%  
472 0.8% 7%  
473 0.9% 6%  
474 0.4% 5%  
475 0.4% 4%  
476 0.4% 4%  
477 0.6% 4%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.5% 3%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.3% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.2% 1.4%  
484 0.2% 1.3%  
485 0.3% 1.0%  
486 0.1% 0.7%  
487 0.1% 0.6%  
488 0.1% 0.5%  
489 0.1% 0.5%  
490 0.1% 0.4%  
491 0.1% 0.4%  
492 0% 0.3%  
493 0.1% 0.3%  
494 0.1% 0.2%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
217 0% 100% Last Result
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0.1% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0% 99.7%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0.1% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.5%  
390 0.1% 99.4%  
391 0.1% 99.3%  
392 0.1% 99.2%  
393 0.3% 99.1%  
394 0.2% 98.9%  
395 0.2% 98.7%  
396 0.2% 98%  
397 0.3% 98%  
398 0.3% 98%  
399 0.3% 98%  
400 0.3% 97%  
401 0.3% 97%  
402 0.3% 97%  
403 0.3% 96%  
404 0.6% 96%  
405 0.5% 96%  
406 0.9% 95%  
407 0.4% 94%  
408 0.6% 94%  
409 0.6% 93%  
410 0.4% 93%  
411 1.0% 92%  
412 1.0% 91%  
413 1.4% 90%  
414 1.3% 89%  
415 0.9% 87%  
416 2% 86%  
417 2% 84%  
418 1.3% 83%  
419 2% 81%  
420 2% 79%  
421 2% 78%  
422 2% 76%  
423 3% 74%  
424 3% 71%  
425 2% 68%  
426 1.2% 66%  
427 3% 65%  
428 2% 62%  
429 3% 60%  
430 2% 57% Median
431 2% 55%  
432 4% 53%  
433 2% 49%  
434 2% 47%  
435 2% 46%  
436 1.3% 43%  
437 2% 42%  
438 2% 40%  
439 2% 38%  
440 1.4% 36%  
441 2% 35%  
442 2% 33%  
443 1.4% 31%  
444 2% 30%  
445 0.6% 28%  
446 2% 28%  
447 0.8% 26%  
448 2% 25%  
449 1.0% 23%  
450 0.5% 22%  
451 0.7% 22%  
452 2% 21%  
453 2% 20%  
454 0.8% 18%  
455 0.5% 17%  
456 0.6% 16%  
457 0.5% 16%  
458 0.4% 15%  
459 0.5% 15%  
460 1.2% 14%  
461 1.0% 13%  
462 0.5% 12%  
463 0.6% 12%  
464 1.1% 11%  
465 0.7% 10%  
466 0.4% 9%  
467 0.6% 9%  
468 0.3% 8%  
469 1.0% 8%  
470 0.3% 7%  
471 0.4% 7%  
472 1.3% 6%  
473 0.2% 5%  
474 0.6% 5%  
475 0.3% 4%  
476 0.5% 4%  
477 0.5% 3%  
478 0.3% 3%  
479 0.2% 3%  
480 0.3% 2%  
481 0.2% 2%  
482 0.3% 2%  
483 0.1% 2%  
484 0.2% 1.4%  
485 0.2% 1.3%  
486 0.1% 1.1%  
487 0.2% 1.0%  
488 0.1% 0.8%  
489 0.2% 0.7%  
490 0.1% 0.5%  
491 0.1% 0.5%  
492 0.1% 0.4%  
493 0.1% 0.4%  
494 0.1% 0.3%  
495 0% 0.2%  
496 0% 0.2%  
497 0% 0.2%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0.1%  
501 0% 0.1%  
502 0% 0.1%  
503 0% 0.1%  
504 0% 0.1%  
505 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
250 0% 100% Last Result
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 100%  
388 0% 100%  
389 0% 100%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.9%  
393 0% 99.9%  
394 0.1% 99.8%  
395 0% 99.8%  
396 0.1% 99.7%  
397 0.1% 99.7%  
398 0.1% 99.6%  
399 0.1% 99.5%  
400 0.3% 99.3%  
401 0.2% 99.1%  
402 0.3% 98.9%  
403 0.4% 98.6%  
404 0.2% 98%  
405 0.3% 98%  
406 0.4% 98%  
407 0.3% 97%  
408 0.4% 97%  
409 0.2% 97%  
410 0.5% 96%  
411 0.5% 96%  
412 1.1% 95%  
413 0.7% 94%  
414 0.7% 94%  
415 0.8% 93%  
416 1.3% 92%  
417 1.0% 91%  
418 0.9% 90%  
419 1.3% 89%  
420 2% 88%  
421 2% 86%  
422 1.4% 84%  
423 2% 82%  
424 3% 80%  
425 4% 78%  
426 3% 74%  
427 3% 71%  
428 2% 68%  
429 3% 66%  
430 4% 63%  
431 4% 59%  
432 2% 55%  
433 3% 53% Median
434 1.5% 50%  
435 3% 48%  
436 2% 45%  
437 2% 44%  
438 2% 42%  
439 2% 39%  
440 3% 38%  
441 2% 35%  
442 2% 33%  
443 1.4% 31%  
444 1.5% 29%  
445 1.2% 28%  
446 3% 27%  
447 0.8% 24%  
448 2% 23%  
449 0.6% 21%  
450 0.6% 20%  
451 0.3% 20%  
452 2% 20%  
453 0.4% 18%  
454 1.0% 18%  
455 1.1% 17%  
456 0.8% 15%  
457 0.3% 15%  
458 0.7% 14%  
459 1.1% 14%  
460 0.5% 12%  
461 1.1% 12%  
462 2% 11%  
463 0.6% 9%  
464 0.4% 9%  
465 1.1% 8%  
466 0.8% 7%  
467 0.8% 6%  
468 0.9% 6%  
469 0.4% 5%  
470 0.4% 4%  
471 0.5% 4%  
472 0.5% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.5% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.1% 1.4%  
479 0.2% 1.2%  
480 0.3% 1.0%  
481 0.1% 0.7%  
482 0.1% 0.6%  
483 0.1% 0.5%  
484 0.1% 0.5%  
485 0.1% 0.4%  
486 0% 0.3%  
487 0% 0.3%  
488 0.1% 0.3%  
489 0.1% 0.2%  
490 0% 0.1%  
491 0% 0.1%  
492 0% 0.1%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
213 0% 100% Last Result
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 99.9%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0.1% 99.8%  
380 0.1% 99.8%  
381 0.1% 99.7%  
382 0.1% 99.6%  
383 0.1% 99.6%  
384 0.1% 99.5%  
385 0.1% 99.4%  
386 0.1% 99.3%  
387 0.1% 99.2%  
388 0.3% 99.1%  
389 0.2% 98.8%  
390 0.2% 98.6%  
391 0.2% 98%  
392 0.4% 98%  
393 0.3% 98%  
394 0.3% 98%  
395 0.3% 97%  
396 0.2% 97%  
397 0.3% 97%  
398 0.5% 96%  
399 0.3% 96%  
400 0.6% 96%  
401 1.0% 95%  
402 0.4% 94%  
403 0.7% 94%  
404 0.5% 93%  
405 0.5% 92%  
406 1.4% 92%  
407 0.9% 91%  
408 1.3% 90%  
409 1.3% 88%  
410 1.1% 87%  
411 2% 86%  
412 1.4% 84%  
413 1.3% 83%  
414 2% 81%  
415 2% 79%  
416 2% 77%  
417 2% 75%  
418 4% 74%  
419 2% 70%  
420 2% 68%  
421 2% 66%  
422 2% 64%  
423 2% 62%  
424 3% 60%  
425 2% 57% Median
426 2% 55%  
427 4% 53%  
428 2% 49%  
429 2% 47%  
430 2% 45%  
431 1.4% 43%  
432 2% 42%  
433 2% 40%  
434 2% 38%  
435 2% 36%  
436 2% 35%  
437 2% 33%  
438 1.4% 31%  
439 2% 30%  
440 1.4% 28%  
441 0.9% 27%  
442 1.0% 26%  
443 1.5% 25%  
444 1.0% 23%  
445 0.5% 22%  
446 0.9% 22%  
447 2% 21%  
448 2% 19%  
449 0.7% 18%  
450 0.6% 17%  
451 0.6% 16%  
452 0.5% 16%  
453 0.4% 15%  
454 0.5% 15%  
455 1.4% 14%  
456 0.9% 13%  
457 0.4% 12%  
458 0.7% 12%  
459 1.0% 11%  
460 0.7% 10%  
461 0.3% 9%  
462 0.6% 9%  
463 0.4% 8%  
464 0.9% 8%  
465 0.3% 7%  
466 0.4% 7%  
467 1.4% 6%  
468 0.1% 5%  
469 0.7% 5%  
470 0.2% 4%  
471 0.7% 4%  
472 0.4% 3%  
473 0.3% 3%  
474 0.2% 3%  
475 0.3% 2%  
476 0.2% 2%  
477 0.3% 2%  
478 0.2% 2%  
479 0.2% 1.4%  
480 0.2% 1.2%  
481 0.1% 1.1%  
482 0.2% 1.0%  
483 0.1% 0.8%  
484 0.2% 0.7%  
485 0.1% 0.5%  
486 0.1% 0.5%  
487 0.1% 0.4%  
488 0.1% 0.4%  
489 0.1% 0.3%  
490 0% 0.2%  
491 0% 0.2%  
492 0% 0.2%  
493 0% 0.1%  
494 0% 0.1%  
495 0% 0.1%  
496 0% 0.1%  
497 0% 0.1%  
498 0% 0.1%  
499 0% 0.1%  
500 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
206 0% 100% Last Result
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0.1% 99.8%  
342 0% 99.8%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0.1% 99.7%  
345 0.1% 99.6%  
346 0.1% 99.5%  
347 0.3% 99.4%  
348 0.2% 99.1%  
349 0.2% 98.9%  
350 0.4% 98.7%  
351 0.3% 98%  
352 0.2% 98%  
353 0.5% 98%  
354 0.3% 97%  
355 0.4% 97%  
356 0.2% 97%  
357 0.3% 97%  
358 0.7% 96%  
359 1.1% 96%  
360 0.6% 94%  
361 0.6% 94%  
362 0.7% 93%  
363 0.8% 93%  
364 1.3% 92%  
365 0.9% 90%  
366 1.3% 89%  
367 2% 88%  
368 2% 86%  
369 1.3% 84%  
370 2% 83%  
371 2% 81%  
372 4% 79%  
373 3% 74%  
374 3% 72%  
375 2% 68%  
376 3% 66%  
377 4% 63%  
378 4% 59%  
379 1.4% 55%  
380 3% 54% Median
381 2% 51%  
382 3% 49%  
383 1.4% 46%  
384 2% 44%  
385 2% 42%  
386 2% 40%  
387 3% 38%  
388 2% 35%  
389 2% 33%  
390 1.2% 31%  
391 1.5% 30%  
392 2% 28%  
393 3% 27%  
394 0.9% 24%  
395 2% 23%  
396 0.6% 21%  
397 0.6% 21%  
398 0.3% 20%  
399 1.4% 20%  
400 0.6% 18%  
401 0.9% 18%  
402 1.1% 17%  
403 0.8% 16%  
404 0.4% 15%  
405 0.5% 14%  
406 1.4% 14%  
407 0.5% 13%  
408 1.2% 12%  
409 2% 11%  
410 0.5% 9%  
411 0.5% 9%  
412 1.0% 8%  
413 0.9% 8%  
414 0.8% 7%  
415 0.9% 6%  
416 0.4% 5%  
417 0.4% 4%  
418 0.4% 4%  
419 0.6% 4%  
420 0.3% 3%  
421 0.5% 3%  
422 0.3% 2%  
423 0.3% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.1% 1.4%  
426 0.2% 1.3%  
427 0.3% 1.0%  
428 0.1% 0.7%  
429 0.1% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.5%  
431 0.1% 0.5%  
432 0.1% 0.4%  
433 0.1% 0.4%  
434 0% 0.3%  
435 0.1% 0.3%  
436 0.1% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.2%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
202 0% 100% Last Result
203 0% 100%  
204 0% 100%  
205 0% 100%  
206 0% 100%  
207 0% 100%  
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 100%  
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 100%  
213 0% 100%  
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 100%  
217 0% 100%  
218 0% 100%  
219 0% 100%  
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 100%  
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 100%  
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 100%  
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 100%  
232 0% 100%  
233 0% 100%  
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 100%  
239 0% 100%  
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 100%  
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 100%  
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 100%  
248 0% 100%  
249 0% 100%  
250 0% 100%  
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 100%  
254 0% 100%  
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 100%  
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 100%  
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 100%  
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 100%  
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 100%  
273 0% 100%  
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 100%  
285 0% 100%  
286 0% 100%  
287 0% 100%  
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 100%  
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 100%  
297 0% 100%  
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 100%  
300 0% 100%  
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 100%  
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 100%  
308 0% 100%  
309 0% 100%  
310 0% 100%  
311 0% 100%  
312 0% 100%  
313 0% 100%  
314 0% 100%  
315 0% 100%  
316 0% 100%  
317 0% 100%  
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0.1% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0.1% 99.7%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.6%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.2% 99.3%  
343 0.2% 99.1%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.3% 98.6%  
346 0.2% 98%  
347 0.3% 98%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 0.3% 97%  
351 0.2% 97%  
352 0.5% 96%  
353 0.5% 96%  
354 1.1% 95%  
355 0.7% 94%  
356 0.7% 94%  
357 0.7% 93%  
358 1.3% 92%  
359 0.9% 91%  
360 1.0% 90%  
361 1.3% 89%  
362 2% 88%  
363 2% 86%  
364 1.4% 84%  
365 2% 82%  
366 2% 80%  
367 4% 78%  
368 3% 74%  
369 3% 71%  
370 2% 68%  
371 3% 66%  
372 4% 63%  
373 4% 59%  
374 2% 55%  
375 3% 53% Median
376 2% 50%  
377 3% 48%  
378 2% 45%  
379 2% 44%  
380 2% 42%  
381 2% 40%  
382 3% 38%  
383 2% 35%  
384 2% 33%  
385 1.4% 31%  
386 1.5% 29%  
387 1.2% 28%  
388 3% 27%  
389 0.8% 24%  
390 2% 23%  
391 0.6% 21%  
392 0.6% 20%  
393 0.3% 20%  
394 2% 20%  
395 0.4% 18%  
396 1.0% 18%  
397 1.1% 17%  
398 0.8% 15%  
399 0.3% 15%  
400 0.6% 14%  
401 1.2% 14%  
402 0.6% 13%  
403 1.1% 12%  
404 2% 11%  
405 0.5% 9%  
406 0.4% 9%  
407 1.1% 8%  
408 0.8% 7%  
409 0.8% 6%  
410 0.9% 6%  
411 0.4% 5%  
412 0.4% 4%  
413 0.4% 4%  
414 0.5% 3%  
415 0.3% 3%  
416 0.5% 3%  
417 0.3% 2%  
418 0.2% 2%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.1% 1.4%  
421 0.2% 1.2%  
422 0.3% 1.0%  
423 0.1% 0.7%  
424 0.1% 0.6%  
425 0.1% 0.5%  
426 0.1% 0.5%  
427 0.1% 0.4%  
428 0.1% 0.3%  
429 0% 0.3%  
430 0.1% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.2%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
113 0% 100%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.9%  
118 0% 99.9%  
119 0% 99.9%  
120 0% 99.8%  
121 0% 99.8%  
122 0% 99.7%  
123 0.1% 99.7%  
124 0.1% 99.6%  
125 0.1% 99.5%  
126 0.1% 99.4%  
127 0.2% 99.4%  
128 0.1% 99.2%  
129 0.1% 99.0%  
130 0.2% 98.9%  
131 0.3% 98.8%  
132 0.3% 98%  
133 0.2% 98%  
134 0.5% 98%  
135 0.4% 98%  
136 0.4% 97%  
137 0.2% 97%  
138 0.4% 97%  
139 0.5% 96%  
140 1.1% 96%  
141 0.4% 95%  
142 0.8% 94%  
143 0.6% 93%  
144 0.4% 93%  
145 0.5% 92%  
146 0.5% 92%  
147 0.8% 91%  
148 0.7% 91%  
149 0.3% 90%  
150 0.7% 90%  
151 0.5% 89%  
152 1.1% 88%  
153 1.0% 87%  
154 0.5% 86%  
155 0.6% 86%  
156 0.7% 85%  
157 0.8% 84%  
158 0.6% 84%  
159 0.9% 83%  
160 0.7% 82%  
161 0.6% 81%  
162 0.9% 81%  
163 1.3% 80%  
164 3% 79%  
165 0.8% 76%  
166 1.1% 75%  
167 1.3% 74%  
168 1.2% 73%  
169 1.4% 72%  
170 1.2% 70%  
171 2% 69%  
172 2% 67%  
173 2% 65%  
174 2% 63%  
175 1.4% 61%  
176 2% 60%  
177 3% 58%  
178 2% 55%  
179 3% 53%  
180 2% 51% Median
181 4% 49%  
182 1.5% 45%  
183 2% 44%  
184 4% 42%  
185 1.1% 38%  
186 3% 37%  
187 2% 34%  
188 4% 32%  
189 1.0% 28%  
190 3% 27%  
191 3% 24%  
192 2% 22%  
193 3% 20%  
194 1.1% 17%  
195 1.5% 16%  
196 2% 15%  
197 0.9% 13%  
198 1.1% 12%  
199 1.3% 11%  
200 1.4% 10%  
201 0.5% 8%  
202 0.7% 8%  
203 0.6% 7%  
204 0.8% 6%  
205 0.5% 6%  
206 0.4% 5%  
207 0.8% 5%  
208 0.2% 4%  
209 0.4% 4%  
210 0.4% 3%  
211 0.2% 3%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.2% 2%  
214 0.3% 2%  
215 0.3% 2%  
216 0.1% 1.5%  
217 0.4% 1.4%  
218 0.1% 1.0%  
219 0.1% 1.0%  
220 0.1% 0.9%  
221 0.1% 0.7%  
222 0.1% 0.6%  
223 0.1% 0.5%  
224 0.1% 0.4%  
225 0% 0.4%  
226 0.1% 0.3%  
227 0.1% 0.3%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0%  
414 0% 0%  
415 0% 0%  
416 0% 0%  
417 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
108 0% 100%  
109 0% 99.9%  
110 0% 99.9%  
111 0% 99.9%  
112 0% 99.9%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0.1% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.8%  
116 0% 99.8%  
117 0% 99.7%  
118 0.1% 99.7%  
119 0.1% 99.6%  
120 0.1% 99.5%  
121 0.1% 99.4%  
122 0.2% 99.3%  
123 0.2% 99.2%  
124 0.1% 99.0%  
125 0.2% 98.9%  
126 0.4% 98.7%  
127 0.2% 98%  
128 0.2% 98%  
129 0.4% 98%  
130 0.5% 98%  
131 0.3% 97%  
132 0.3% 97%  
133 0.4% 96%  
134 0.5% 96%  
135 1.3% 96%  
136 0.2% 94%  
137 0.9% 94%  
138 0.5% 93%  
139 0.4% 93%  
140 0.5% 92%  
141 0.7% 92%  
142 0.6% 91%  
143 0.7% 90%  
144 0.3% 90%  
145 0.7% 89%  
146 0.6% 89%  
147 1.0% 88%  
148 0.9% 87%  
149 0.6% 86%  
150 0.7% 86%  
151 0.6% 85%  
152 0.8% 84%  
153 0.6% 83%  
154 0.9% 83%  
155 0.8% 82%  
156 0.7% 81%  
157 0.8% 81%  
158 1.4% 80%  
159 3% 78%  
160 1.4% 76%  
161 0.6% 74%  
162 1.1% 74%  
163 1.2% 73%  
164 2% 71%  
165 1.2% 70%  
166 2% 69%  
167 2% 66%  
168 2% 65%  
169 2% 63%  
170 1.2% 61%  
171 2% 59%  
172 3% 57%  
173 2% 55%  
174 3% 53%  
175 2% 51% Median
176 4% 49%  
177 2% 45%  
178 2% 43%  
179 4% 41%  
180 1.1% 37%  
181 3% 36%  
182 3% 33%  
183 3% 31%  
184 1.0% 28%  
185 3% 27%  
186 3% 24%  
187 1.5% 21%  
188 3% 20%  
189 1.2% 17%  
190 1.4% 16%  
191 2% 14%  
192 0.9% 13%  
193 1.3% 12%  
194 1.2% 10%  
195 1.2% 9%  
196 0.5% 8%  
197 0.7% 8%  
198 0.7% 7%  
199 0.7% 6%  
200 0.5% 5%  
201 0.6% 5%  
202 0.5% 4%  
203 0.3% 4%  
204 0.3% 4%  
205 0.4% 3%  
206 0.3% 3%  
207 0.3% 3%  
208 0.4% 2%  
209 0.2% 2%  
210 0.2% 2%  
211 0.1% 1.4%  
212 0.3% 1.3%  
213 0.1% 1.0%  
214 0.1% 0.9%  
215 0.1% 0.8%  
216 0.1% 0.7%  
217 0.1% 0.6%  
218 0.1% 0.5%  
219 0.1% 0.4%  
220 0% 0.4%  
221 0.1% 0.3%  
222 0.1% 0.2%  
223 0% 0.2%  
224 0% 0.2%  
225 0% 0.1%  
226 0% 0.1%  
227 0% 0.1%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0%  
377 0% 0%  
378 0% 0%  
379 0% 0%  
380 0% 0%  
381 0% 0%  
382 0% 0%  
383 0% 0%  
384 0% 0%  
385 0% 0%  
386 0% 0%  
387 0% 0%  
388 0% 0%  
389 0% 0%  
390 0% 0%  
391 0% 0%  
392 0% 0%  
393 0% 0%  
394 0% 0%  
395 0% 0%  
396 0% 0%  
397 0% 0%  
398 0% 0%  
399 0% 0%  
400 0% 0%  
401 0% 0%  
402 0% 0%  
403 0% 0%  
404 0% 0%  
405 0% 0%  
406 0% 0%  
407 0% 0%  
408 0% 0%  
409 0% 0%  
410 0% 0%  
411 0% 0%  
412 0% 0%  
413 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
112 0% 100%  
113 0% 99.9%  
114 0% 99.9%  
115 0% 99.9%  
116 0% 99.9%  
117 0% 99.8%  
118 0% 99.8%  
119 0% 99.8%  
120 0% 99.7%  
121 0.1% 99.7%  
122 0.1% 99.7%  
123 0.1% 99.6%  
124 0.1% 99.5%  
125 0.2% 99.5%  
126 0.3% 99.3%  
127 0.4% 99.0%  
128 0.3% 98.6%  
129 0.4% 98%  
130 0.3% 98%  
131 0.1% 98%  
132 0.2% 97%  
133 0.8% 97%  
134 1.4% 96%  
135 0.6% 95%  
136 1.1% 94%  
137 0.8% 93%  
138 0.6% 93%  
139 0.8% 92%  
140 0.8% 91%  
141 1.2% 90%  
142 1.1% 89%  
143 0.9% 88%  
144 0.5% 87%  
145 1.0% 87%  
146 0.5% 86%  
147 0.9% 85%  
148 0.1% 84%  
149 0.2% 84%  
150 0.1% 84%  
151 1.1% 84%  
152 0.6% 83%  
153 1.1% 82%  
154 1.3% 81%  
155 4% 80%  
156 2% 76%  
157 1.1% 74%  
158 2% 73%  
159 2% 72%  
160 3% 70%  
161 2% 67%  
162 2% 65%  
163 0.5% 64%  
164 1.3% 63%  
165 3% 62%  
166 5% 59%  
167 2% 54% Median
168 2% 52%  
169 2% 50%  
170 5% 48%  
171 4% 43%  
172 0.7% 38%  
173 2% 38%  
174 4% 35%  
175 5% 31%  
176 2% 26%  
177 5% 23%  
178 1.4% 19%  
179 2% 17%  
180 3% 15%  
181 0.8% 13%  
182 0.8% 12%  
183 3% 11%  
184 0.6% 9%  
185 0.7% 8%  
186 0.7% 7%  
187 0.8% 6%  
188 0.5% 6%  
189 0.8% 5%  
190 0.7% 4%  
191 0.1% 4%  
192 0.4% 4%  
193 0.3% 3%  
194 0.5% 3%  
195 0.1% 2%  
196 0.3% 2%  
197 0.4% 2%  
198 0.5% 2%  
199 0.2% 1.0%  
200 0.1% 0.9%  
201 0.2% 0.7%  
202 0.1% 0.5%  
203 0.1% 0.4%  
204 0% 0.3%  
205 0.1% 0.3%  
206 0.1% 0.2%  
207 0% 0.2%  
208 0.1% 0.2%  
209 0% 0.1%  
210 0% 0.1%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0%  
370 0% 0%  
371 0% 0%  
372 0% 0%  
373 0% 0%  
374 0% 0%  
375 0% 0%  
376 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.9%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 0% 99.9%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0% 99.9%  
62 0% 99.8%  
63 0% 99.8%  
64 0% 99.7%  
65 0.1% 99.7%  
66 0.1% 99.6%  
67 0.1% 99.5%  
68 0.1% 99.4%  
69 0.2% 99.4%  
70 0.1% 99.2%  
71 0.1% 99.1%  
72 0.2% 99.0%  
73 0.3% 98.8%  
74 0.3% 98.5%  
75 0.2% 98%  
76 0.5% 98%  
77 0.4% 98%  
78 0.4% 97%  
79 0.2% 97%  
80 0.3% 97%  
81 0.6% 96%  
82 1.2% 96%  
83 0.4% 95%  
84 0.8% 94%  
85 0.6% 93%  
86 0.4% 93%  
87 0.5% 92%  
88 0.5% 92%  
89 0.8% 91%  
90 0.7% 91%  
91 0.3% 90%  
92 0.7% 90%  
93 0.5% 89%  
94 1.1% 88%  
95 1.0% 87%  
96 0.5% 86%  
97 0.6% 86%  
98 0.7% 85%  
99 0.7% 84%  
100 0.8% 84%  
101 0.9% 83%  
102 0.7% 82%  
103 0.6% 81%  
104 0.9% 81%  
105 1.3% 80%  
106 3% 79%  
107 0.8% 76%  
108 1.0% 75%  
109 1.2% 74%  
110 1.2% 73%  
111 1.4% 72%  
112 1.3% 70%  
113 2% 69%  
114 2% 67%  
115 2% 65%  
116 2% 63%  
117 1.4% 61%  
118 2% 60%  
119 3% 58%  
120 2% 55%  
121 3% 54%  
122 2% 51% Median
123 4% 49%  
124 1.4% 46%  
125 2% 44%  
126 3% 42%  
127 1.3% 38%  
128 3% 37%  
129 2% 34%  
130 4% 32%  
131 1.1% 28%  
132 3% 27%  
133 3% 24%  
134 2% 22%  
135 3% 20%  
136 1.1% 17%  
137 1.5% 16%  
138 2% 15%  
139 1.0% 13%  
140 1.1% 12%  
141 1.3% 11%  
142 1.4% 10%  
143 0.5% 8%  
144 0.7% 8%  
145 0.6% 7%  
146 0.8% 6%  
147 0.5% 6%  
148 0.4% 5%  
149 0.8% 5%  
150 0.2% 4%  
151 0.4% 4%  
152 0.4% 3%  
153 0.2% 3%  
154 0.4% 3%  
155 0.2% 2%  
156 0.3% 2%  
157 0.3% 2%  
158 0.1% 1.5%  
159 0.4% 1.4%  
160 0.1% 1.0%  
161 0.1% 1.0%  
162 0.1% 0.9%  
163 0.1% 0.7%  
164 0.1% 0.6%  
165 0.1% 0.5%  
166 0.1% 0.4%  
167 0% 0.4%  
168 0.1% 0.3%  
169 0.1% 0.3%  
170 0% 0.2%  
171 0% 0.2%  
172 0% 0.1%  
173 0% 0.1%  
174 0% 0.1%  
175 0% 0.1%  
176 0% 0.1%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0%  
366 0% 0%  
367 0% 0%  
368 0% 0%  
369 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0% 99.9%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 0% 99.9%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0% 99.8%  
58 0% 99.8%  
59 0% 99.7%  
60 0.1% 99.7%  
61 0.1% 99.6%  
62 0.1% 99.5%  
63 0.1% 99.4%  
64 0.2% 99.3%  
65 0.1% 99.2%  
66 0.1% 99.0%  
67 0.2% 98.9%  
68 0.3% 98.7%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 0.2% 98%  
71 0.4% 98%  
72 0.5% 98%  
73 0.3% 97%  
74 0.2% 97%  
75 0.3% 97%  
76 0.6% 96%  
77 1.3% 96%  
78 0.3% 94%  
79 0.9% 94%  
80 0.4% 93%  
81 0.4% 93%  
82 0.5% 92%  
83 0.7% 92%  
84 0.6% 91%  
85 0.7% 91%  
86 0.3% 90%  
87 0.7% 89%  
88 0.7% 89%  
89 1.0% 88%  
90 0.9% 87%  
91 0.6% 86%  
92 0.7% 86%  
93 0.6% 85%  
94 0.7% 84%  
95 0.7% 84%  
96 0.9% 83%  
97 0.8% 82%  
98 0.7% 81%  
99 0.8% 81%  
100 1.4% 80%  
101 3% 78%  
102 1.4% 76%  
103 0.5% 74%  
104 1.1% 74%  
105 1.2% 73%  
106 2% 71%  
107 1.2% 70%  
108 2% 69%  
109 2% 66%  
110 2% 65%  
111 2% 63%  
112 1.2% 61%  
113 2% 59%  
114 3% 58%  
115 2% 55%  
116 3% 53%  
117 2% 51% Median
118 4% 49%  
119 2% 45%  
120 2% 43%  
121 3% 41%  
122 1.2% 38%  
123 3% 37%  
124 3% 34%  
125 3% 31%  
126 1.1% 28%  
127 3% 27%  
128 3% 24%  
129 1.5% 21%  
130 3% 20%  
131 1.1% 17%  
132 1.4% 16%  
133 2% 14%  
134 0.9% 13%  
135 1.2% 12%  
136 1.2% 10%  
137 1.2% 9%  
138 0.6% 8%  
139 0.7% 8%  
140 0.7% 7%  
141 0.7% 6%  
142 0.5% 5%  
143 0.6% 5%  
144 0.5% 4%  
145 0.3% 4%  
146 0.3% 4%  
147 0.4% 3%  
148 0.3% 3%  
149 0.3% 3%  
150 0.4% 2%  
151 0.2% 2%  
152 0.2% 2%  
153 0.1% 1.4%  
154 0.3% 1.3%  
155 0.1% 1.0%  
156 0.1% 0.9%  
157 0.1% 0.8%  
158 0.1% 0.7%  
159 0.1% 0.6%  
160 0.1% 0.5%  
161 0.1% 0.4%  
162 0% 0.4%  
163 0.1% 0.3%  
164 0.1% 0.2%  
165 0% 0.2%  
166 0% 0.2%  
167 0% 0.1%  
168 0% 0.1%  
169 0% 0.1%  
170 0% 0.1%  
171 0% 0%  
172 0% 0%  
173 0% 0%  
174 0% 0%  
175 0% 0%  
176 0% 0%  
177 0% 0%  
178 0% 0%  
179 0% 0%  
180 0% 0%  
181 0% 0%  
182 0% 0%  
183 0% 0%  
184 0% 0%  
185 0% 0%  
186 0% 0%  
187 0% 0%  
188 0% 0%  
189 0% 0%  
190 0% 0%  
191 0% 0%  
192 0% 0%  
193 0% 0%  
194 0% 0%  
195 0% 0%  
196 0% 0%  
197 0% 0%  
198 0% 0%  
199 0% 0%  
200 0% 0%  
201 0% 0%  
202 0% 0%  
203 0% 0%  
204 0% 0%  
205 0% 0%  
206 0% 0%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0%  
315 0% 0%  
316 0% 0%  
317 0% 0%  
318 0% 0%  
319 0% 0%  
320 0% 0%  
321 0% 0%  
322 0% 0%  
323 0% 0%  
324 0% 0%  
325 0% 0%  
326 0% 0% Majority
327 0% 0%  
328 0% 0%  
329 0% 0%  
330 0% 0%  
331 0% 0%  
332 0% 0%  
333 0% 0%  
334 0% 0%  
335 0% 0%  
336 0% 0%  
337 0% 0%  
338 0% 0%  
339 0% 0%  
340 0% 0%  
341 0% 0%  
342 0% 0%  
343 0% 0%  
344 0% 0%  
345 0% 0%  
346 0% 0%  
347 0% 0%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0%  
357 0% 0%  
358 0% 0%  
359 0% 0%  
360 0% 0%  
361 0% 0%  
362 0% 0%  
363 0% 0%  
364 0% 0%  
365 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations