Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.8% | 5.8–8.0% | 5.5–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.3% |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 6.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.4% |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
6.7% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.2–8.6% | 4.8–9.3% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.9–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.2–10.5% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.9% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–10.9% | 6.5–11.6% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 8.3% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.1–11.1% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Алианс за права и свободи (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 32% | 94% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 41% | 62% | Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 18% | 21% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
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| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Алианс за права и свободи (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 13% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 74% | 87% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |