Poll Average
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Summary
The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 39 days old) registered and analyzed so far.
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | АБВ | БСП | БСП–ОЛ | АПС | ДПС | ПП | НДСВ | ГЕРБ | РБ | ДБ | ДСБ | Да | ИС.Б | ОП | ИТН | ВМРО | БП | СБ | Воля | Воля–НФСБ | В | Атака | БВ | ДПС–НН | В | Лев | МЕЧ | НФСБ | Радев | РзБ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
| N/A | Poll Average | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0 |
0–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–11% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
16–22% 3–5 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–8% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
9–15% 2–3 |
1–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0 |
N/A N/A |
29–36% 6–8 |
N/A N/A |
| 9–15 February 2026 | Мяра | N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
3–5% 0 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
6–10% 1–3 |
N/A N/A |
16–22% 3–5 |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
5–9% 0–2 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
9–13% 2–3 |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
3–6% 0 |
N/A N/A |
30–37% 6–8 |
N/A N/A |
| 7–13 February 2026 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
0–1% 0 |
N/A N/A |
8–12% 2–3 |
N/A N/A |
17–22% 3–5 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
2–5% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
4–7% 0–1 |
N/A N/A |
N/A N/A |
11–16% 2–3 |
1–3% 0 |
N/A N/A |
2–4% 0 |
N/A N/A |
29–35% 6–7 |
N/A N/A |
| 9 June 2024 | General Election | 0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
0.0% 0 |
Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.
Legend:
- Top half of each row: Voting intentions (95% confidence interval)
- Bottom half of each row: Seat projections for the European Parliament (95% confidence interval)
- АБВ: Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D)
- БСП: Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)
- БСП–ОЛ: БСП – обединена левица (S&D)
- АПС: Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
- ДПС: Движение за права и свободи (RE)
- ПП: Продължаваме промяната (RE)
- НДСВ: Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE)
- ГЕРБ: Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
- РБ: Реформаторски блок (EPP)
- ДБ: Демократична България (EPP)
- ДСБ: Демократи за силна България (EPP)
- Да: Да, България! (EPP)
- ИС.Б: Изправи се Бг (EPP)
- ОП: Обединени Патриоти (ECR)
- ИТН: Има такъв народ (ECR)
- ВМРО: ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR)
- БП: Българските патриоти (ECR)
- СБ: Синя България (ECR)
- Воля: Воля (PfE)
- Воля–НФСБ: Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE)
- В: Възраждане (ESN)
- Атака: Атака (NI)
- БВ: Български възход (NI)
- ДПС–НН: Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
- В: Величие (*)
- Лев: Левицата! (*)
- МЕЧ: Морал, Единство, Чест (*)
- НФСБ: Национален фронт за спасение на България (*)
- Радев: Партия на Румен Радев (*)
- РзБ: Републиканци за България (*)
- N/A (single party): Party not included the published results
- N/A (entire row): Calculation for this opinion poll not started yet
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| БСП – обединена левица (S&D) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.2–4.7% | 2.0–5.0% | 1.7–5.5% |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.4–2.4% | 0.3–2.6% | 0.2–2.8% | 0.2–3.3% |
| Движение за права и свободи (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0.0% | 8.5% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.6–10.8% | 6.3–11.2% | 5.7–12.0% |
| Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) | 0.0% | 19.1% | 17.4–20.9% | 16.9–21.5% | 16.5–21.9% | 15.7–22.9% |
| Реформаторски блок (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Демократична България (EPP) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% | 1.3–4.4% |
| Демократи за силна България (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Да, България! (EPP) | 0.0% | 3.3% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–4.9% | 1.8–5.4% |
| Изправи се Бг (EPP) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Обединени Патриоти (ECR) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Има такъв народ (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.0–3.6% |
| ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Българските патриоти (ECR) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Синя България (ECR) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Воля (PfE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.0–7.7% | 4.7–8.1% | 4.5–8.4% | 4.0–9.1% |
| Атака (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Български възход (NI) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0.0% | 12.0% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.4–14.8% | 9.1–15.2% | 8.4–16.1% |
| Величие (*) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.7–3.1% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.4–3.5% | 1.2–4.0% |
| Левицата! (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Морал, Единство, Чест (*) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 2.6–4.7% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.2–5.3% | 1.9–5.8% |
| Национален фронт за спасение на България (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Партия на Румен Радев (*) | 0.0% | 32.7% | 30.5–35.0% | 29.9–35.6% | 29.3–36.2% | 28.3–37.3% |
| Републиканци за България (*) | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Партия на Румен Радев (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Партия на Румен Радев (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 7% | 97% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 15% | 89% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 21% | 74% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 22% | 53% | Median |
| 33.5–34.5% | 17% | 31% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 9% | 15% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0% | 0% |
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 15% | 94% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 20% | 79% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 39% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 13% | 20% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Продължаваме промяната (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 18% | 95% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 27% | 77% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 26% | 50% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 16% | 24% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Морал, Единство, Чест (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 8% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 41% | 92% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 39% | 51% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 12% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Възраждане (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 20% | 97% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 28% | 40% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 12% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Демократична България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 48% | 97% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 43% | 49% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Величие (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 6% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 61% | 94% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 30% | 32% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
БСП – обединена левица (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 47% | 86% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 32% | 39% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 7% | 7% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Има такъв народ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 15% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 17% | 18% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 10% | 97% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 22% | 88% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 28% | 66% | Median |
| 19.5–20.5% | 22% | 38% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 11% | 16% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% |
Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 23% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 37% | 77% | Median |
| 1.5–2.5% | 34% | 40% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Да, България! (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 11% | 99.9% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 51% | 89% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 33% | 38% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Confidence Intervals
Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) page.
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.
БСП – обединена левица (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП – обединена левица (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алианс за права и свободи (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Движение за права и свободи (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (RE) page.
Продължаваме промяната (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) page.
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 84% | 92% | Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Реформаторски блок (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Реформаторски блок (EPP) page.
Демократична България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 20% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Демократи за силна България (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократи за силна България (EPP) page.
Да, България! (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 37% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 63% | 63% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Изправи се Бг (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Изправи се Бг (EPP) page.
Обединени Патриоти (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Обединени Патриоти (ECR) page.
Има такъв народ (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) page.
Българските патриоти (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българските патриоти (ECR) page.
Синя България (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Синя България (ECR) page.
Воля (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Воля (PfE) page.
Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE) page.
Възраждане (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Атака (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Атака (NI) page.
Български възход (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Български възход (NI) page.
Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 45% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Величие (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Левицата! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Левицата! (*) page.
Морал, Единство, Чест (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Морал, Единство, Чест (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.4% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Национален фронт за спасение на България (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Национален фронт за спасение на България (*) page.
Партия на Румен Радев (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Партия на Румен Радев (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 28% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 68% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Републиканци за България (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Републиканци за България (*) page.
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Левицата! () – Морал, Единство, Чест () – Национален фронт за спасение на България () – Партия на Румен Радев () – Републиканци за България (*) | 0 | 7 | 0% | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) – Да, България! (EPP) – Демократи за силна България (EPP) – Демократична България (EPP) – Изправи се Бг (EPP) – Реформаторски блок (EPP) | 0 | 5 | 0% | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Атака (NI) – Български възход (NI) – Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| Алианс за права и свободи (RE) – Движение за права и свободи (RE) – Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) – Продължаваме промяната (RE) | 0 | 2 | 0% | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| Възраждане (ESN) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) – БСП – обединена левица (S&D) – Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Българските патриоти (ECR) – ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) – Има такъв народ (ECR) – Обединени Патриоти (ECR) – Синя България (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Воля (PfE) – Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Левицата! () – Морал, Единство, Чест () – Национален фронт за спасение на България () – Партия на Румен Радев () – Републиканци за България (*)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 27% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 68% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) – Да, България! (EPP) – Демократи за силна България (EPP) – Демократична България (EPP) – Изправи се Бг (EPP) – Реформаторски блок (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 24% | 98% | |
| 5 | 63% | 75% | Median |
| 6 | 11% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Атака (NI) – Български възход (NI) – Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 45% | 45% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Алианс за права и свободи (RE) – Движение за права и свободи (RE) – Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) – Продължаваме промяната (RE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 79% | 96% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Възраждане (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 36% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 48% | 64% | Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) – БСП – обединена левица (S&D) – Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Българските патриоти (ECR) – ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) – Има такъв народ (ECR) – Обединени Патриоти (ECR) – Синя България (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Воля (PfE) – Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
- Number of polls included in this average: 2
- Lowest number of simulations done in a poll included in this average: 2,097,152
- Total number of simulations done in the polls included in this average: 4,194,304
- Error estimate: 3.87%