Poll Average

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Summary

The table below lists the polls on which the average is based. They are the most recent polls (less than 30 days old) registered and analyzed so far.

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) ГЕРБ БСП ДПС ОП ВМРО НФСБ Атака РБ Воля ДБ ДСБ Да АБВ ИТН В ИС.Б РзБ Воля–НФСБ БП ПП БВ НДСВ Лев
26 May 2019 General Election 30.4%
6
18.9%
4
17.3%
4
10.7%
2
10.7%
1
10.7%
1
10.7%
0
6.4%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
10.7%
1
10.7%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
N/A Poll Average 23–33%
4–6
7–11%
1–2
12–17%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
3–6%
0–1
N/A
N/A
2–6%
0–1
11–17%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9–15%
2–3
1–3%
0
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
29 April–9 May 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС 28–34%
5–6
8–12%
1–2
12–16%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
4–7%
0–1
N/A
N/A
2–4%
0
11–15%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
11–15%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
28 April–5 May 2024 Алфа рисърч 23–28%
4–5
6–10%
1–2
12–17%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–4%
0–1
N/A
N/A
3–6%
0–1
N/A
N/A
4–6%
0–1
13–17%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9–13%
2–3
1–2%
0
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
12–19 April 2024 Тренд
24 часа
25–30%
4–5
8–11%
1–2
13–18%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2–4%
0–1
N/A
N/A
3–5%
0–1
N/A
N/A
4–7%
0–1
13–18%
2–3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9–12%
2–3
1–3%
0
N/A
N/A
1–3%
0
26 May 2019 General Election 30.4%
6
18.9%
4
17.3%
4
10.7%
2
10.7%
1
10.7%
1
10.7%
0
6.4%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
10.7%
1
10.7%
1
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0
0.0%
0

Only polls for which at least the sample size has been published are included in the table above.

Legend:

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 30.4% 27.4% 24.3–31.6% 23.7–32.4% 23.2–33.0% 22.2–34.1%
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 18.9% 9.1% 7.6–10.6% 7.2–11.0% 6.9–11.4% 6.3–12.1%
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 17.3% 14.5% 12.9–16.3% 12.5–16.8% 12.1–17.2% 11.4–18.0%
Обединени Патриоти (ECR) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Национален фронт за спасение на България (*) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Атака (NI) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Българските патриоти (ECR) 10.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Реформаторски блок (EPP) 6.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Воля (ID) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 3.3% 2.5–4.2% 2.3–4.4% 2.2–4.7% 1.9–5.2%
Демократи за силна България (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 4.5% 3.6–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.1–6.2% 2.8–6.8%
Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 4.5% 2.7–5.8% 2.4–6.1% 2.2–6.3% 1.9–6.9%
Възраждане (NI) 0.0% 14.5% 12.3–16.3% 11.8–16.8% 11.4–17.2% 10.7–18.0%
Изправи се Бг (EPP) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Републиканци за България (*) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 11.4% 9.7–13.6% 9.3–14.1% 8.9–14.6% 8.3–15.4%
Български възход (NI) 0.0% 1.5% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.5% 0.8–2.7% 0.6–3.0%
Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Левицата! (*) 0.0% 1.9% 1.4–2.5% 1.3–2.7% 1.2–2.9% 1.0–3.3%

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.1% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0.8% 99.9%  
22.5–23.5% 3% 99.1%  
23.5–24.5% 8% 96%  
24.5–25.5% 12% 88%  
25.5–26.5% 14% 76%  
26.5–27.5% 13% 62% Median
27.5–28.5% 11% 48%  
28.5–29.5% 9% 38%  
29.5–30.5% 9% 29% Last Result
30.5–31.5% 9% 19%  
31.5–32.5% 6% 10%  
32.5–33.5% 3% 4%  
33.5–34.5% 1.0% 1.2%  
34.5–35.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
35.5–36.5% 0% 0%  

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 1.0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 9% 98.9%  
7.5–8.5% 23% 90%  
8.5–9.5% 32% 68% Median
9.5–10.5% 25% 36%  
10.5–11.5% 9% 11%  
11.5–12.5% 2% 2%  
12.5–13.5% 0.1% 0.2%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 0%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 0%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Движение за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0.7% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 5% 99.3%  
12.5–13.5% 17% 94%  
13.5–14.5% 28% 78%  
14.5–15.5% 27% 50% Median
15.5–16.5% 16% 23%  
16.5–17.5% 6% 7% Last Result
17.5–18.5% 1.2% 1.4%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.2%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 7% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 22% 92%  
3.5–4.5% 21% 71%  
4.5–5.5% 35% 50% Median
5.5–6.5% 14% 15%  
6.5–7.5% 1.4% 1.4%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Възраждане (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0.3% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 99.7%  
11.5–12.5% 9% 97%  
12.5–13.5% 17% 87%  
13.5–14.5% 23% 71% Median
14.5–15.5% 24% 48%  
15.5–16.5% 16% 23%  
16.5–17.5% 6% 7%  
17.5–18.5% 1.2% 1.3%  
18.5–19.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.9% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 7% 99.1%  
9.5–10.5% 21% 92%  
10.5–11.5% 26% 71% Median
11.5–12.5% 20% 45%  
12.5–13.5% 15% 25%  
13.5–14.5% 8% 10%  
14.5–15.5% 2% 3%  
15.5–16.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0.1% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 10% 99.9%  
3.5–4.5% 44% 90% Median
4.5–5.5% 35% 46%  
5.5–6.5% 10% 11%  
6.5–7.5% 0.9% 1.0%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 11% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 56% 89% Median
3.5–4.5% 29% 33%  
4.5–5.5% 4% 4%  
5.5–6.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 0%  

Български възход (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Български възход (NI) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.2% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 50% 99.8%  
1.5–2.5% 46% 50% Median
2.5–3.5% 4% 4%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Левицата! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Левицата! (*) page.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 19% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 72% 81% Median
2.5–3.5% 9% 9%  
3.5–4.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 6 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 4 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 4 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Обединени Патриоти (ECR) 2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Национален фронт за спасение на България (*) 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Атака (NI) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID) 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Българските патриоти (ECR) 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Реформаторски блок (EPP) 1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Воля (ID) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократи за силна България (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Възраждане (NI) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Изправи се Бг (EPP) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Републиканци за България (*) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Български възход (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Левицата! (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 23% 100%  
5 66% 77% Median
6 11% 11% Last Result
7 0% 0%  

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Движение за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 41% 100%  
3 59% 59% Median
4 0% 0% Last Result

Обединени Патриоти (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Обединени Патриоти (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Национален фронт за спасение на България (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Национален фронт за спасение на България (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Атака (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Атака (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Българските патриоти (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българските патриоти (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Реформаторски блок (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Реформаторски блок (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Воля (ID)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Воля (ID) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 85% 100% Last Result, Median
1 15% 15%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократи за силна България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократи за силна България (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0% 0%  

Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  

Възраждане (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 44% 100%  
3 56% 56% Median
4 0% 0%  

Изправи се Бг (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Изправи се Бг (EPP) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Републиканци за България (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Републиканци за България (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 56% 100% Median
3 43% 44%  
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Български възход (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Български възход (NI) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Левицата! (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Левицата! (*) page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) – Реформаторски блок (EPP) – Да, България! (EPP) – Демократи за силна България (EPP) – Демократична България (EPP) – Изправи се Бг (EPP) 7 6 0% 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–8
Движение за права и свободи (RE) – Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) – Продължаваме промяната (RE) 4 5 0% 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Атака (NI) – Български възход (NI) – Възраждане (NI) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) – Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D) 4 2 0% 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Българските патриоти (ECR) – ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) – Обединени Патриоти (ECR) – Има такъв народ (ECR) 4 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID) – Воля (ID) 1 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Национален фронт за спасение на България () – Левицата! () – Републиканци за България (*) 1 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) – Реформаторски блок (EPP) – Да, България! (EPP) – Демократи за силна България (EPP) – Демократична България (EPP) – Изправи се Бг (EPP)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 29% 98%  
6 53% 69% Median
7 15% 16% Last Result
8 1.3% 1.3%  
9 0% 0% Majority

Движение за права и свободи (RE) – Национално движение за стабилност и възход (RE) – Продължаваме промяната (RE)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 18% 100% Last Result
5 61% 82% Median
6 20% 21%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Атака (NI) – Български възход (NI) – Възраждане (NI)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 44% 100%  
3 56% 56% Median
4 0% 0%  

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) – Алтернатива за българско възраждане (S&D)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 28% 100%  
2 72% 72% Median
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Българските патриоти (ECR) – ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение (ECR) – Обединени Патриоти (ECR) – Има такъв народ (ECR)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Median
1 33% 33%  
2 0% 0%  
3 0% 0%  
4 0% 0% Last Result

Воля–Национален фронт за спасение на България (ID) – Воля (ID)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Национален фронт за спасение на България () – Левицата! () – Републиканци за България (*)

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Median
1 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information