Синя България (ECR)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 2.5% 1.2–3.6% 1.1–3.9% 0.9–4.2% 0.7–4.7%
20–23 October 2024 Алфа рисърч 2.7% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.9–3.9% 1.6–4.3%
16–22 October 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 0.9–3.1%
19–22 October 2024 Exacta 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
10–21 October 2024 Gallup International
BNR		 1.2% 0.9–1.8% 0.8–1.9% 0.7–2.1% 0.5–2.4%
15–20 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 3.1% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.2–4.3% 1.9–4.7%
11–17 October 2024 Sova Harris
ПИК		 1.6% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.8% 0.8–3.2%
8–13 October 2024 Медиана 3.4% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.5% 2.4–4.7% 2.1–5.2%
28 September–6 October 2024 Gallup International 1.1% 0.8–1.8% 0.7–2.0% 0.6–2.1% 0.5–2.5%
25 September–1 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 September 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 1.6% 1.2–2.2% 1.1–2.4% 1.0–2.6% 0.8–2.9%
18–24 September 2024 Алфа рисърч 2.8% 2.2–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.0% 1.7–4.4%
14–23 August 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 August 2024 Gallup International
БНТ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–28 July 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Синя България (ECR).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0.1% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 21% 99.9%  
1.5–2.5% 32% 79% Median
2.5–3.5% 36% 48%  
3.5–4.5% 11% 12%  
4.5–5.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0
20–23 October 2024 Алфа рисърч 0 0 0 0 0
16–22 October 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 0 0 0 0 0
19–22 October 2024 Exacta 0 0 0 0 0
10–21 October 2024 Gallup International
BNR		 0 0 0 0 0
15–20 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 0 0 0 0 0
11–17 October 2024 Sova Harris
ПИК		 0 0 0 0 0
8–13 October 2024 Медиана 0 0 0 0 0
28 September–6 October 2024 Gallup International 0 0 0 0 0
25 September–1 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
17–24 September 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 0 0 0 0 0
18–24 September 2024 Алфа рисърч 0 0 0 0 0
14–23 August 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
1–9 August 2024 Gallup International
БНТ		          
20–28 July 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Синя България (ECR).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median