Алианс за права и свободи (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2.3% | 1.1–3.2% | 0.9–3.5% | 0.8–3.7% | 0.6–4.2% |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 1.2% | 0.9–1.8% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% | 0.5–2.5% |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.9–3.7% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.5–4.4% |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 1.4% | 1.0–2.1% | 0.9–2.3% | 0.8–2.5% | 0.6–2.9% |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.7% |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
5.8% | 4.9–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.5% |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 7.1% | 6.0–8.4% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.5–9.1% | 5.0–9.7% |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
7.4% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.4–9.8% |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 5.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 6.2% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.3–8.8% |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 6.9% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.3–9.0% | 4.9–9.6% |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
8.4% | 7.3–9.7% | 7.0–10.1% | 6.8–10.4% | 6.3–11.1% |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.4–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 6.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.4% |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
6.7% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.5–8.3% | 5.2–8.6% | 4.8–9.3% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.9–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.2–10.5% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.9% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–10.9% | 6.5–11.6% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 8.3% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.1–11.1% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
8.5% | 7.4–9.7% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 8.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.3–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Алианс за права и свободи (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 25% | 99.8% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 37% | 74% | Median |
| 2.5–3.5% | 33% | 37% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 September–12 October 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–20 September 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–12 September 2025 | Мяра | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–23 July 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–14 July 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9–11 June 2025 | Sova Harris | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 28 May–4 June 2025 | Gallup International | |||||
| 12–18 May 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 18–30 April 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 3–13 April 2025 | Мяра | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22–30 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–30 March 2025 | Gallup International | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 10–16 March 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22 February–2 March 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 13–20 February 2025 | Gallup International | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 6–16 February 2025 | Мяра | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25 January–3 February 2025 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–30 January 2025 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–20 January 2025 | Алфа рисърч | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 8–12 January 2025 | Gallup International | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 12–20 December 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
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| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
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| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Алианс за права и свободи (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |