Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 10.4% 7.6–12.0% 6.9–12.5% 6.4–12.9% 5.8–13.7%
17–21 March 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 10.5% 9.3–12.0% 8.9–12.4% 8.6–12.8% 8.1–13.5%
12–20 March 2026 Алфа рисърч
bTV		 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
13–19 March 2026 Тренд
24 часа		 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
7–16 March 2026 Мяра 10.6% 9.3–12.1% 9.0–12.6% 8.7–13.0% 8.1–13.7%
7–15 March 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 9.0% 7.8–10.5% 7.5–10.9% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–12.0%
7–12 March 2026 Sova Harris
Trud		 7.1% 6.2–8.3% 5.9–8.6% 5.7–8.9% 5.2–9.4%
23 February–2 March 2026 Алфа рисърч 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 7.9–11.6% 7.4–12.2%
10–28 February 2026 Gallup International 11.2% 9.8–12.8% 9.5–13.2% 9.1–13.6% 8.6–14.4%
17–24 February 2026 Център за анализи и маркетинг 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.6% 9.0–13.0% 8.5–13.7%
12–18 February 2026 Тренд
24 часа		 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
9–15 February 2026 Мяра 10.7% 9.4–12.2% 9.1–12.7% 8.8–13.0% 8.2–13.8%
7–13 February 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 13.1% 11.7–14.8% 11.3–15.2% 11.0–15.7% 10.3–16.5%
18–29 December 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 12.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–12 December 2025 Алфа рисърч 10.8% 9.6–12.3% 9.2–12.7% 8.9–13.1% 8.4–13.8%
3–7 December 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 12.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 September–12 October 2025 Gallup International 17.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–20 September 2025 Тренд
24 часа		 13.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–12 September 2025 Мяра 13.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 July 2025 Gallup International 18.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 July 2025 Алфа рисърч 14.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–11 June 2025 Sova Harris 8.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 May–4 June 2025 Gallup International 16.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 May 2025 Тренд
24 часа		 11.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–30 April 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–13 April 2025 Мяра 10.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–30 March 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 12.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–30 March 2025 Gallup International 16.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 March 2025 Тренд
24 часа		 10.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 February–2 March 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 13.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–20 February 2025 Gallup International 13.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–16 February 2025 Мяра 10.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 January–3 February 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 11.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 January 2025 Тренд
24 часа		 10.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–20 January 2025 Алфа рисърч 11.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 January 2025 Gallup International 14.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–20 December 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 12.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 October 2024 Алфа рисърч 7.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–22 October 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 7.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 October 2024 Exacta 7.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–21 October 2024 Gallup International
BNR		 7.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–20 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 8.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 October 2024 Sova Harris
ПИК		 6.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 October 2024 Медиана 5.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 September–6 October 2024 Gallup International 6.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 September–1 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 7.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 September 2024 Тренд
24 часа		 5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 September 2024 Алфа рисърч 6.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 August 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 August 2024 Gallup International
БНТ		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–28 July 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0.2% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 3% 99.8%  
6.5–7.5% 7% 97%  
7.5–8.5% 6% 90%  
8.5–9.5% 12% 85%  
9.5–10.5% 27% 73% Median
10.5–11.5% 28% 46%  
11.5–12.5% 14% 18%  
12.5–13.5% 4% 4%  
13.5–14.5% 0.6% 0.7%  
14.5–15.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 2 2 2–3 1–3 0–3
17–21 March 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
12–20 March 2026 Алфа рисърч
bTV		 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
13–19 March 2026 Тренд
24 часа		 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
7–16 March 2026 Мяра 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
7–15 March 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 2 2 2 2 2–3
7–12 March 2026 Sova Harris
Trud		 2 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
23 February–2 March 2026 Алфа рисърч 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
10–28 February 2026 Gallup International 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
17–24 February 2026 Център за анализи и маркетинг 2 2 2 2 2–3
12–18 February 2026 Тренд
24 часа		 2 2 2 2–3 2–3
9–15 February 2026 Мяра 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
7–13 February 2026 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
18–29 December 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
5–12 December 2025 Алфа рисърч 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
3–7 December 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
29 September–12 October 2025 Gallup International          
13–20 September 2025 Тренд
24 часа		          
4–12 September 2025 Мяра          
11–23 July 2025 Gallup International          
7–14 July 2025 Алфа рисърч          
9–11 June 2025 Sova Harris          
28 May–4 June 2025 Gallup International          
12–18 May 2025 Тренд
24 часа		          
18–30 April 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
3–13 April 2025 Мяра          
22–30 March 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
19–30 March 2025 Gallup International          
10–16 March 2025 Тренд
24 часа		          
22 February–2 March 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
13–20 February 2025 Gallup International          
6–16 February 2025 Мяра          
25 January–3 February 2025 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
24–30 January 2025 Тренд
24 часа		          
15–20 January 2025 Алфа рисърч          
8–12 January 2025 Gallup International          
12–20 December 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
20–23 October 2024 Алфа рисърч          
16–22 October 2024 Тренд
24 часа		          
19–22 October 2024 Exacta          
10–21 October 2024 Gallup International
BNR		          
15–20 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
11–17 October 2024 Sova Harris
ПИК		          
8–13 October 2024 Медиана          
28 September–6 October 2024 Gallup International          
25 September–1 October 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
17–24 September 2024 Тренд
24 часа		          
18–24 September 2024 Алфа рисърч          
14–23 August 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС
bTV		          
1–9 August 2024 Gallup International
БНТ		          
20–28 July 2024 Маркет ЛИНКС          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Движение за права и свободи – Ново начало (NI).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 3% 98%  
2 87% 95% Median
3 9% 9%  
4 0% 0%