Opinion Poll by Stratego-IMR for Η Καθημερινή, 27 November–3 December 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 23.5% | 21.5–25.7% | 21.0–26.3% | 20.5–26.8% | 19.6–27.8% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 22.2% | 20.3–24.3% | 19.7–24.9% | 19.2–25.4% | 18.4–26.5% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 16.4% | 14.7–18.4% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.9–19.4% | 13.1–20.3% |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0.0% | 10.1% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.4–12.2% | 8.1–12.6% | 7.5–13.4% |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0.0% | 9.2% | 7.9–10.8% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.3–11.6% | 6.7–12.4% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 6.9–9.6% | 6.5–10.0% | 6.3–10.3% | 5.7–11.1% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.4% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–3.9% | 1.3–4.4% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.7% | 1.2–4.2% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.2–3.4% | 1.0–3.8% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.6–3.1% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.5% | 0.5–2.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 92% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 8% | 8% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.0% | 99.0% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 82% | 82% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 16% | 16% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 95% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Stratego-IMR
- Commissioner(s): Η Καθημερινή
- Fieldwork period: 27 November–3 December 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 694
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.30%