Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.9% | 6.3–11.2% | 5.8–11.7% | 5.4–12.0% | 4.8–12.6% |
| 11–15 May 2026 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
7.6% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.9–9.7% | 5.3–10.4% |
| 6–13 May 2026 | Pulse Omega TV |
7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 6–13 May 2026 | Explorer Philenews |
8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.2–10.2% |
| 1–12 May 2026 | Noverna Politis |
10.6% | 9.3–12.1% | 8.9–12.6% | 8.6–13.0% | 8.1–13.7% |
| 1–11 May 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha Cyprus |
5.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.4% | 4.5–7.7% | 4.1–8.3% |
| 30 April–10 May 2026 | IMR Reporter |
7.5% | 6.9–8.1% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.5% | 6.3–8.8% |
| 28 April–10 May 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.6–8.1% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.0–9.0% |
| 2–9 May 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
| 5–8 May 2026 | Analytica Market Research Cyprus Times |
11.5% | 10.9–12.1% | 10.8–12.3% | 10.6–12.4% | 10.3–12.7% |
| 20 April–7 May 2026 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
8.5% | 7.6–9.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.1–10.1% | 6.7–10.6% |
| 4–6 May 2026 | RealPolls afentiko.eu and CyprusNews |
8.2% | 7.2–9.3% | 7.0–9.6% | 6.8–9.8% | 6.3–10.4% |
| 1–3 May 2026 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
6.5% | 5.4–7.9% | 5.1–8.3% | 4.9–8.6% | 4.4–9.3% |
| 9–24 April 2026 | Analytica Market Research Cyprus Times |
11.5% | 10.8–12.2% | 10.7–12.4% | 10.5–12.6% | 10.2–12.9% |
| 7–21 April 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha Cyprus |
10.3% | 9.4–11.4% | 9.1–11.8% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.4–12.6% |
| 14–21 April 2026 | Pulse Omega TV |
8.8% | 7.3–10.6% | 6.9–11.2% | 6.5–11.6% | 5.9–12.6% |
| 14–17 April 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.7–10.9% | 7.5–11.3% | 7.0–11.9% |
| 6–17 April 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
9.3% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.7–11.2% | 7.4–11.5% | 6.9–12.3% |
| 30 March–6 April 2026 | Explorer Phileleftheros |
7.4% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.8–9.4% | 5.3–10.1% |
| 10–26 March 2026 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.4–9.0% | 4.9–9.6% |
| 6–14 March 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 February–11 March 2026 | Noverna Politis |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.4% |
| 1–8 March 2026 | IMR Reporter |
6.2% | 5.2–7.3% | 5.0–7.7% | 4.7–8.0% | 4.3–8.6% |
| 17–25 February 2026 | Explorer Φ |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–17 February 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–14 February 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 January 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 November–3 December 2025 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–13 November 2025 | Pulse Omega TV |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–10 November 2025 | IMR Reporter |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–17 October 2025 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–22 September 2025 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 August 2025 | Cypronetwork | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 July 2025 | Symmetron 2Dots |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2025 | IMR/UNic Reporter |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 March 2025 | Symmetron 2Dots |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–21 March 2025 | Redwolf | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 March 2025 | IMR Reporter |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 October–1 November 2024 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
1.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 October 2024 | RetailZoom | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 September–5 October 2024 | Symmetron 2Dots |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 10% | 97% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 25% | 86% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 29% | 62% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 14% | 33% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 5% | 19% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 8% | 14% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–15 May 2026 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 May 2026 | Pulse Omega TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 May 2026 | Explorer Philenews |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–12 May 2026 | Noverna Politis |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1–11 May 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha Cyprus |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 April–10 May 2026 | IMR Reporter |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 April–10 May 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–9 May 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–8 May 2026 | Analytica Market Research Cyprus Times |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 20 April–7 May 2026 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–6 May 2026 | RealPolls afentiko.eu and CyprusNews |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 1–3 May 2026 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–24 April 2026 | Analytica Market Research Cyprus Times |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7–21 April 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha Cyprus |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–21 April 2026 | Pulse Omega TV |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–17 April 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–17 April 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 March–6 April 2026 | Explorer Phileleftheros |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–26 March 2026 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–14 March 2026 | CYMAR ANT1 |
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| 26 February–11 March 2026 | Noverna Politis |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| 1–8 March 2026 | IMR Reporter |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–25 February 2026 | Explorer Φ |
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| 9–17 February 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
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| 6–14 February 2026 | Prime Consulting Sigma TV |
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| 10–16 January 2026 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
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| 27 November–3 December 2025 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
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| 4–13 November 2025 | Pulse Omega TV |
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| 3–10 November 2025 | IMR Reporter |
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| 29 September–17 October 2025 | Cypronetwork CyBC |
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| 12–22 September 2025 | Stratego-IMR Η Καθημερινή |
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| 11 August 2025 | Cypronetwork | |||||
| 1–8 July 2025 | Symmetron 2Dots |
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| 24–28 June 2025 | IMR/UNic Reporter |
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| 1–31 March 2025 | Symmetron 2Dots |
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| 10–21 March 2025 | Redwolf | |||||
| 5–11 March 2025 | IMR Reporter |
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| 21 October–1 November 2024 | RAI Consultants Alpha TV |
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| 14–16 October 2024 | RetailZoom | |||||
| 25 September–5 October 2024 | Symmetron 2Dots |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 20% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 80% | 80% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |