Opinion Poll by Explorer for Φ, 17–25 February 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.5% | 20.7–24.6% | 20.2–25.1% | 19.7–25.7% | 18.9–26.6% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 22.0% | 20.2–24.0% | 19.7–24.6% | 19.2–25.1% | 18.4–26.1% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 14.9% | 13.4–16.7% | 13.0–17.2% | 12.6–17.6% | 11.9–18.5% |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0.0% | 12.2% | 10.8–13.8% | 10.4–14.3% | 10.1–14.7% | 9.4–15.5% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.9% | 7.7–10.4% | 7.4–10.8% | 7.1–11.2% | 6.6–11.9% |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.6–10.2% | 7.3–10.6% | 7.0–11.0% | 6.4–11.7% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.6% | 2.0–3.5% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.7–4.0% | 1.4–4.5% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.4% | 0.6–2.8% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 1.3% | 0.9–2.0% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.7–2.4% | 0.6–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 95% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 5% | 5% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 96% | 96% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Explorer
- Commissioner(s): Φ
- Fieldwork period: 17–25 February 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 763
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.37%