Opinion Poll by CYMAR for ANT1, 6–14 March 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.8% | 19.9–23.9% | 19.3–24.5% | 18.9–25.0% | 18.0–26.0% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 20.3% | 18.5–22.4% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.5–23.5% | 16.7–24.5% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.0% | 11.5–14.8% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.7–15.7% | 10.1–16.6% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 11.6% | 10.2–13.3% | 9.8–13.8% | 9.4–14.2% | 8.8–15.0% |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0.0% | 10.2% | 8.8–11.8% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.1–12.7% | 7.5–13.5% |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.5–10.3% | 7.1–10.7% | 6.9–11.1% | 6.3–11.8% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 3.0–6.1% | 2.7–6.7% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 3.0–6.1% | 2.7–6.7% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.6–3.0% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.6–3.0% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.8–2.6% | 0.6–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.7% | 99.7% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 98% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 2% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: CYMAR
- Commissioner(s): ANT1
- Fieldwork period: 6–14 March 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 698
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.39%