Opinion Poll by Noverna for Politis, 1–12 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 21.7% | 19.9–23.7% | 19.4–24.2% | 19.0–24.7% | 18.2–25.7% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 20.2% | 18.5–22.1% | 18.0–22.7% | 17.5–23.2% | 16.8–24.1% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 11.8–14.9% | 11.4–15.4% | 11.1–15.8% | 10.4–16.6% |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0.0% | 10.6% | 9.3–12.1% | 8.9–12.6% | 8.6–13.0% | 8.1–13.7% |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0.0% | 8.8% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.3–10.7% | 7.1–11.0% | 6.5–11.8% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.1% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.9% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.9–5.7% | 2.5–6.2% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 3.9% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.8–5.5% | 2.5–6.1% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 2.9% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.7–4.8% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.8–4.2% | 1.6–4.6% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% | 1.3–3.4% | 1.1–3.9% |
| Σήκου πάνω! (*) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–1.0% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.3% | 0.1–1.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σήκου πάνω! (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.3% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 98.8% | 98.8% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 91% | 91% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.9% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Σήκου πάνω! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σήκου πάνω! (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 90% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 10% | 10% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Noverna
- Commissioner(s): Politis
- Fieldwork period: 1–12 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 792
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 3.57%