Opinion Poll by Stratego-IMR for Η Καθημερινή, 11–15 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0.0% | 22.9% | 21.0–25.0% | 20.5–25.6% | 20.0–26.1% | 19.1–27.2% |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 19.9% | 18.1–21.9% | 17.6–22.5% | 17.2–23.0% | 16.3–24.0% |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 11.8–15.1% | 11.4–15.6% | 11.1–16.0% | 10.4–16.9% |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0.0% | 10.0% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.4–12.0% | 8.0–12.4% | 7.5–13.2% |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0.0% | 8.7% | 7.5–10.1% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.8–10.9% | 6.3–11.7% |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0.0% | 7.6% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.9–9.7% | 5.3–10.4% |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 4.7% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.4–6.5% | 3.0–7.1% |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.3–4.4% |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.6–3.9% | 1.3–4.4% |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.9–2.7% | 0.7–3.1% |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.9–2.7% | 0.7–3.1% |
| Σήκου πάνω! (*) | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
| Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Σήκου πάνω! (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ανορθωτικό Κόμμα Εργαζόμενου Λαού (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.1% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Εθνικό Λαϊκό Μέτωπο (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median |
Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Αξιοπρέπεια Λογοδοσία Μεταρρύθμιση Ανάπτυξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 99.4% | 99.4% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατικό Κόμμα (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 94% | 94% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Βολτ Κύπρος (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 98% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 2% | 2% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Οικολόγων—Συνεργασία Πολιτών (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Κίνημα Σοσιαλδημοκρατών (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ενεργοί Πολίτες–Κίνημα Ενωμένων Κυπρίων Κυνηγών (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Δημοκρατική Παράταξη (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Σήκου πάνω! (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Σήκου πάνω! (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI) | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Δημοκρατικός Συναγερμός (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 75% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 25% | 25% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |
Άμεσης Δημοκρατίας (NI)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 22% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 78% | 78% | Median |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Stratego-IMR
- Commissioner(s): Η Καθημερινή
- Fieldwork period: 11–15 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 728
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 2.44%