Opinion Poll by Kantar for ČT24, 10–21 June 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.0% 32.2–35.9% 31.6–36.5% 31.2–37.0% 30.3–37.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.3–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.3–19.2%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.6–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.5%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 7.0–10.4% 6.5–11.0%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 11 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–12
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 3% 100%  
10 32% 97%  
11 63% 65% Median, Majority
12 2% 2%  
13 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.1% 100%  
4 27% 99.9%  
5 72% 73% Median
6 0.8% 0.8%  
7 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 85% 99.9% Median
3 14% 14%  
4 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 79% 99.8% Median
3 21% 21%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 72% 94% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 91% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 9%  
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 2 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) – Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.2% 100%  
2 77% 99.8% Median
3 23% 23%  
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) – Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations