Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.6% | 7.3–9.9% | 7.0–10.2% | 6.7–10.6% | 6.2–11.2% |
| 24–28 September 2025 | NMS Novinky |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Ipsos | 9.1% | 8.2–10.1% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% |
| 1–25 September 2025 | Median | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 18–24 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.1% | 8.1–10.2% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.6–10.8% | 7.1–11.4% |
| 8–22 September 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 8.1% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% |
| 1–19 September 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
8.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.4–10.8% |
| 28 August–16 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.4% | 7.5–9.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.7–10.4% |
| 21 August–9 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.7% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| 1–7 September 2025 | NMS | 8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.2% | 7.0–10.5% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 14 August–2 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.7% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–10.0% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| 1–31 August 2025 | Median | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.9–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 27–31 August 2025 | Ipsos | 9.2% | 8.2–10.4% | 7.9–10.8% | 7.7–11.1% | 7.2–11.7% |
| 7–26 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 4–22 August 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
8.6% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.5–11.0% |
| 31 July–19 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 July–12 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.7% | 7.8–9.7% | 7.6–9.9% | 7.4–10.2% | 7.0–10.7% |
| 17 July–5 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 August 2025 | NMS | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 28 July–2 August 2025 | Ipsos | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.8–11.4% | 7.3–12.0% |
| 1–31 July 2025 | Median | 8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.1–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 10–29 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–10.9% |
| 3–22 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 June–15 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 June–8 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.9% |
| 12 June–1 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2025 | Median | 8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 June 2025 | Ipsos | 9.2% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.1% | 7.1–11.7% |
| 5–24 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 June 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 30 May–17 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–11 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 May–4 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–3 June 2025 | NMS | 8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 May 2025 | Median | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–30 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–27 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–20 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 May 2025 | NMS | 9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 April–6 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Ipsos | 9.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 April–2 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Median | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–29 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–22 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 March–15 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 April 2025 | NMS | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 March–8 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 March–4 April 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 March–1 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 March 2025 | Median | 8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Ipsos | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–25 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–18 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 February–11 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–5 March 2025 | NMS | 8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 February–4 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Median | 7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–28 February 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 February 2025 | Ipsos | 8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–25 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–18 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 January–11 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 February 2025 | NMS | 8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 January–4 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–31 January 2025 | Median | 7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–31 January 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 January 2025 | Ipsos | 8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–28 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–21 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–14 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 November–31 December 2024 | Median | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 December 2024 | Phoenix Research | 12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | NMS | 7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 November 2024 | Median | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 November 2024 | NMS | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 November 2024 | Phoenix Research | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 October–8 November 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Median | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–11 October 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
14.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–11 October 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 October 2024 | NMS | 12.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 September 2024 | Median | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–10 September 2024 | NMS | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–8 September 2024 | STEM | 14.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 September 2024 | Phoenix Research | 14.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 August 2024 | Median | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 August 2024 | NMS | 14.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 July 2024 | Phoenix Research | 14.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 July 2024 | Median | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–12 July 2024 | NMS | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
14.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2024 | Median | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–21 June 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Občanská demokratická strana (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 13% | 98% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 33% | 86% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 15% | 17% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–28 September 2025 | NMS Novinky |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 1–25 September 2025 | Median | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 18–24 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 8–22 September 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–19 September 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 August–16 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21 August–9 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 |
| 1–7 September 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
| 14 August–2 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–31 August 2025 | Median | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27–31 August 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 7–26 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 4–22 August 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 31 July–19 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 July–12 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17 July–5 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–5 August 2025 | NMS | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 28 July–2 August 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 1–31 July 2025 | Median | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–29 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 3–22 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 June–15 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 19 June–8 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 12 June–1 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–30 June 2025 | Median | |||||
| 24–29 June 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 |
| 5–24 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 9–20 June 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
| 30 May–17 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 May–11 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 23 May–4 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 May–3 June 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 26 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 1–31 May 2025 | Median | |||||
| 12–30 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 9–27 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 April–20 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 6–12 May 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 18 April–6 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 14 April–2 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 1–30 April 2025 | Median | |||||
| 11–29 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 4–22 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 March–15 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 2–9 April 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 21 March–8 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 17 March–4 April 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 14 March–1 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–31 March 2025 | Median | |||||
| 24–28 March 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 7–25 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 February–18 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 February–11 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 February–5 March 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 14 February–4 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–28 February 2025 | Median | |||||
| 10–28 February 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 24–28 February 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 7–25 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 31 January–18 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 January–11 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 4–9 February 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 17 January–4 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 7–31 January 2025 | Median | |||||
| 13–31 January 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 24–29 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 10–28 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 3–21 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 3–14 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 3–7 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 November–31 December 2024 | Median | |||||
| 1–13 December 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 November 2024 | Median | |||||
| 5–12 November 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–10 November 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 October–8 November 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 1–31 October 2024 | Median | |||||
| 2–11 October 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 September–11 October 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 4–9 October 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 September 2024 | Median | |||||
| 3–10 September 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 29 August–8 September 2024 | STEM | |||||
| 1–8 September 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 1–31 August 2024 | Median | |||||
| 1–8 August 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–31 July 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 1–31 July 2024 | Median | |||||
| 4–12 July 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 June 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–30 June 2024 | Median | |||||
| 10–21 June 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Občanská demokratická strana (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 10% | 100% | |
| 2 | 90% | 90% | Median |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |