Opinion Poll by NMS, 1–8 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 29.3% 27.7–30.9% 27.2–31.4% 26.9–31.8% 26.1–32.6%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 14.3% 13.1–15.7% 12.8–16.0% 12.5–16.4% 12.0–17.0%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.6% 8.6–10.7% 8.4–11.1% 8.1–11.3% 7.7–11.9%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 8.0% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.3% 6.6–9.6% 6.2–10.1%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2% 4.8–7.4% 4.5–7.9%
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) 0.0% 5.7% 5.0–6.7% 4.8–6.9% 4.6–7.1% 4.3–7.6%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.6% 3.9–5.8% 3.7–6.0% 3.4–6.5%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 4.6% 3.9–5.4% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.5–4.9% 3.3–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 2.9–5.7%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.5% 2.1–3.7% 2.0–3.8% 1.8–4.2%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.0% 1.8–3.2% 1.7–3.4% 1.5–3.7%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.3% 1.9–3.0% 1.7–3.1% 1.6–3.3% 1.4–3.6%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 1.0–2.9%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.0% 1.0–2.2% 0.9–2.3% 0.8–2.6%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 7–10 7–10
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 3–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 1–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 5% 100%  
8 66% 95% Median
9 26% 30%  
10 4% 4%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 50% 100%  
4 38% 50% Median
5 12% 12%  
6 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 28% 100%  
3 72% 72% Median
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.1% 100%  
2 94% 98.9% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 28% 98%  
2 70% 70% Median
3 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 75% 96% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 18% 100% Last Result
1 82% 82% Median
2 0.9% 0.9%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 9 0.5% 8–10 8–10 7–10 7–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) – Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 5% 100%  
8 10% 95%  
9 74% 85% Median
10 11% 11%  
11 0.5% 0.5% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 11% 100%  
3 23% 89%  
4 66% 66% Median
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (NI) – Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 4% 100% Last Result
1 75% 96% Median
2 22% 22%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations