Opinion Poll by Median, 1–31 October 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.6–37.6% 32.1–38.1% 31.2–39.1%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 12.6% 11.3–14.0% 10.9–14.4% 10.6–14.8% 10.0–15.5%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.7% 9.1–14.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.3% 5.4–8.6% 5.0–9.1%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.3% 4.2–6.6% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.4%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.2% 3.5–5.2% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.7% 2.8–6.2%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.6%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.6%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.4–5.6%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 2.1% 1.6–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.3–3.2% 1.1–3.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 11 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 23% 98%  
11 54% 75% Median, Majority
12 21% 22%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 58% 99.9% Median
4 41% 42%  
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 2% 100%  
3 78% 98% Median
4 20% 20%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100% Last Result
1 18% 99.6%  
2 81% 82% Median
3 0.3% 0.3%  
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 51% 61% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 53% 64% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 9% 10%  
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 1.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.3% 1.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 96% 100% Last Result, Median
1 3% 4%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 78% 10–12 10–12 10–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 3 0% 3–4 3–4 3–5 2–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 2% 100%  
10 20% 98%  
11 55% 78% Median, Majority
12 23% 23%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.9% 100%  
3 72% 99.1% Median
4 24% 27%  
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 36% 100% Last Result
1 53% 64% Median
2 11% 11%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations