Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 31 October–8 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.7% 31.9–35.6% 31.4–36.1% 30.9–36.5% 30.1–37.5%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.5–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.9% 7.8–10.1% 7.6–10.4% 7.3–10.7% 6.9–11.3%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.4–10.8%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 6.1% 5.3–7.1% 5.0–7.4% 4.8–7.7% 4.5–8.2%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.7–7.5% 4.3–8.0%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.9% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.7–7.5% 4.3–8.0%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.4–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.1%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.3% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.8% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.5%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.1% 0.8–1.6% 0.7–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.5–2.2%
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0.0% 0.6% 0.4–1.0% 0.3–1.1% 0.3–1.2% 0.2–1.4%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–11
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 2 2 2 2–3 1–3
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 23% 99.8%  
10 69% 77% Median
11 7% 7% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 48% 99.9%  
3 52% 52% Median
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 58% 100% Median
3 42% 42%  
4 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 1.2% 100%  
2 94% 98.8% Median
3 5% 5%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 6% 100% Last Result
1 88% 94% Median
2 6% 6%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 29% 100% Last Result
1 44% 71% Median
2 27% 27%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 7% 100% Last Result
1 64% 93% Median
2 29% 29%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 80% 88% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98% 100% Last Result, Median
1 2% 2%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Trikolóra hnutí občanů (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 8% 9–10 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 4–5 3–5 3–6 2–7
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.1% 100%  
9 23% 99.9%  
10 69% 77% Median
11 8% 8% Majority
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.8% 100%  
3 6% 99.2%  
4 63% 93% Median
5 27% 30%  
6 2% 3%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 80% 88% Median
2 8% 8%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations