Opinion Poll by Phoenix Research, 1–10 November 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 32.4% 30.6–34.2% 30.1–34.8% 29.6–35.2% 28.8–36.1%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 16.0% 14.6–17.5% 14.2–17.9% 13.9–18.3% 13.3–19.0%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.2% 8.9–12.6% 8.4–13.2%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.5%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 6.2% 5.4–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.8% 4.5–8.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.7% 4.0–5.7% 3.8–5.9% 3.6–6.2% 3.3–6.7%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.7% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.4%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.5% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.2%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.4% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.1%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 1.8% 1.3–2.4% 1.2–2.6% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–3.1%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 9 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 4% 100%  
9 63% 96% Median
10 31% 32%  
11 0.9% 1.0% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.5% 100%  
4 84% 99.5% Median
5 16% 16%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 20% 100%  
3 79% 80% Median
4 0.4% 0.4%  
5 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 37% 100%  
3 63% 63% Median
4 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 78% 97% Median
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100% Last Result
1 53% 53% Median
2 0.7% 0.7%  
3 0% 0%  

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 76% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 24%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 89% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 11%  
2 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 1–2 1–2 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 27% 100%  
3 66% 73% Median
4 7% 8%  
5 0.2% 0.2%  
6 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100% Last Result
1 78% 97% Median
2 19% 19%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations