Opinion Poll by Median, 21 November–31 December 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 33.5% 31.6–35.4% 31.1–36.0% 30.7–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.9% 11.1–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.2–14.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 4.5% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 4.0% 3.3–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.4% 2.7–5.9%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 2.5% 1.9–3.2% 1.8–3.4% 1.7–3.6% 1.4–4.0%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 9–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 3 3 2–4 2–4 2–4
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.5% 100%  
9 17% 99.5%  
10 71% 83% Median
11 12% 12% Majority
12 0.2% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 16% 100%  
4 83% 84% Median
5 0.9% 0.9%  
6 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 6% 100%  
3 88% 94% Median
4 6% 6%  
5 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 11% 99.9%  
2 89% 89% Median
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 63% 98% Median
2 35% 35%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 75% 80% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 88% 100% Last Result, Median
1 11% 12%  
2 0.2% 0.2%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 98.5% 100% Last Result, Median
1 1.5% 1.5%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 12 98% 11–12 11–13 11–13 10–13
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 2% 100%  
11 21% 98% Majority
12 68% 77% Median
13 8% 8%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 15% 100%  
4 83% 85% Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 20% 100% Last Result
1 75% 80% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations