Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 3–14 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 34.4% 33.1–35.8% 32.7–36.1% 32.4–36.5% 31.7–37.1%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 9.9% 9.1–10.8% 8.9–11.1% 8.7–11.3% 8.3–11.7%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.2% 7.5–9.1% 7.3–9.3% 7.1–9.5% 6.8–9.9%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 7.8% 7.1–8.6% 6.9–8.8% 6.7–9.0% 6.4–9.4%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 7.3% 6.6–8.1% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.5% 5.9–8.9%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.7–5.9% 4.5–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.1–6.7%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.1% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–5.9% 3.8–6.3%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.9% 4.3–5.6% 4.2–5.8% 4.1–5.9% 3.8–6.3%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.2–4.1%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.8% 2.4–3.4% 2.3–3.5% 2.2–3.6% 2.0–3.9%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.9% 1.6–2.3% 1.5–2.5% 1.4–2.6% 1.2–2.8%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.7% 1.4–2.1% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.5% 1.2–1.9% 1.1–2.0% 1.1–2.1% 0.9–2.3%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 10–11 9–11 9–12 9–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2–3 2–3 1–3 1–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 2 2 2 1–2 1–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 6% 100%  
10 58% 94% Median
11 31% 36% Majority
12 5% 5%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 16% 100%  
3 84% 84% Median
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 4% 100%  
2 77% 96% Median
3 20% 20%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 93% 99.7% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 5% 100%  
2 95% 95% Median
3 0.2% 0.2%  
4 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 39% 100% Last Result
1 61% 61% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 67% 100% Last Result, Median
1 32% 33%  
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 73% 100% Last Result, Median
1 27% 27%  
2 0.8% 0.8%  
3 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 11 55% 10–11 10–12 10–12 10–12
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 4 0% 3–5 3–5 3–5 2–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 0 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.2% 100%  
10 45% 99.8% Median
11 46% 55% Majority
12 9% 9%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.9% 100%  
3 31% 99.1%  
4 58% 68% Median
5 10% 10%  
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 59% 100% Last Result, Median
1 41% 41%  
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations