Opinion Poll by STEM for CNN Prima News, 10–28 January 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0.0% 35.1% 33.6–36.7% 33.2–37.1% 32.8–37.5% 32.1–38.3%
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0.0% 10.6% 9.6–11.7% 9.4–12.0% 9.1–12.2% 8.7–12.8%
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0.0% 8.7% 7.8–9.7% 7.6–10.0% 7.4–10.2% 7.0–10.7%
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0.0% 8.1% 7.2–9.0% 7.0–9.3% 6.8–9.5% 6.4–10.0%
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 6.4% 5.7–7.3% 5.4–7.5% 5.3–7.7% 4.9–8.2%
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0.0% 5.8% 5.1–6.6% 4.9–6.9% 4.7–7.1% 4.4–7.5%
TOP 09 (EPP) 0.0% 5.4% 4.7–6.2% 4.6–6.5% 4.4–6.7% 4.1–7.1%
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0.0% 5.3% 4.6–6.1% 4.4–6.3% 4.3–6.5% 4.0–6.9%
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0.0% 4.1% 3.6–4.9% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.6%
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0.0% 2.7% 2.2–3.3% 2.1–3.5% 2.0–3.7% 1.8–4.0%
Přísaha (PfE) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 2.1% 1.7–2.7% 1.6–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.3–3.3%
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0.0% 1.6% 1.3–2.1% 1.2–2.3% 1.1–2.4% 0.9–2.6%
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.6–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) 0 10 10–11 9–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) 0 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) 0 2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) 0 2 2 2 2 2
Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
TOP 09 (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 1 1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Motoristé sobě (PfE) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Přísaha (PfE) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Strana svobodných občanů (NI) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ANO 2011 (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 6% 100%  
10 83% 94% Median
11 11% 12% Majority
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 9% 100%  
3 91% 91% Median
4 0% 0%  

Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.4% 100%  
2 93% 99.6% Median
3 6% 6%  
4 0% 0%  

Občanská demokratická strana (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Občanská demokratická strana (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.5% 100%  
2 99.1% 99.5% Median
3 0.4% 0.4%  
4 0% 0%  

Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.6% 100% Last Result
1 74% 99.4% Median
2 26% 26%  
3 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 74% 76% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

TOP 09 (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the TOP 09 (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 23% 100% Last Result
1 75% 77% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 92% 92% Median
2 0.4% 0.4%  
3 0% 0%  

Motoristé sobě (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Motoristé sobě (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 77% 100% Last Result, Median
1 23% 23%  
2 0% 0%  

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sociální demokracie (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Přísaha (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Přísaha (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana zelených (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Strana svobodných občanů (NI)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Strana svobodných občanů (NI) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE) 0 10 34% 10–11 10–11 9–11 9–11
Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP) 0 5 0% 4–5 4–5 3–5 3–5
Stačilo! (GUE/NGL) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
Právo Respekt Odbornost (*) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0
Sociální demokracie (S&D) 0 0 0% 0 0 0 0

ANO 2011 (PfE) – Motoristé sobě (PfE) – Přísaha (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 5% 100%  
10 62% 95% Median
11 33% 34% Majority
12 0.4% 0.4%  
13 0% 0%  

Starostové a nezávislí (EPP) – TOP 09 (EPP) – Křesťanská a demokratická unie–Československá strana lidová (EPP)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.9%  
4 31% 97%  
5 65% 66% Median
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Stačilo! (GUE/NGL)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 24% 100% Last Result
1 74% 76% Median
2 2% 2%  
3 0% 0%  

Právo Respekt Odbornost (*)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Sociální demokracie (S&D)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations